The Saints are struggling to win, especially on the road, but the Over is 5-1 in the Saints last 6 games overall.  They've also scored just shy of 30 ppg at home as they've played much more confident on their home carpet.  The Packers have played to the Over in 6 of their last 7 road games and are scoring over 28 ppg on the year.  Also, they've scored over 36 ppg during their current 4 game win streak.  In this series of perennial NFC powers, the Over has hit in their last 7 meetings, with a combined average score of nearly 63 ppg as none of the 7 games have seen totals under 55 points. 

The Bears, and namely QB Jay Cutler, have struggled at home but they've been outstanding on the road.  They're 3-1 and scoring over 26 ppg.  Since being blown out by Kansas City, the Patriots have been among the hottest teams in the league, winning 3 straight and scoring just over 35 ppg.  The Over is 5-1 in the Bears last 6 road games and 8-3 in their last 11 games overall.  Also, the Over is 15-3 in the Patriots last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Long term, under coach Bill Belicheck and QB Tom Brady, we see the Over is 36-17-1 in the Patriots last 54 home games and 55-26 in their last 81 games overall!

Kansas State and Texas Tech have played 6 times over the last 10 years, to an average total of 79 ppg. and all 6 games went Over the posted number.  This season, the Wildcats' games are averaging 63 ppg and the Red Raiders have totaled an average of 73 ppg.  With both of these offenses on the same field, we'll surely see closer to 80 points than we will 70.   

5* Top Play!

Stanford has allowed just 19 points in 4 games this season!  Unlike most teams that have padded their stats against cupcakes and FCS schools, that 5 ppg average includes two conference games, against USC and Washington.  In Stanford and Notre Dame's 8 games combined this season, just one time did we see more than a total of 46 points scored, with the average sitting at 40 ppg.  The Under is 10-1 in Stanford's last 11 vs. a team with a winning record and 10-2 in their last 12 overall.  For Notre Dame, the Under is 20-6-1 in their last 27 games against a team with a winning record and it's also 27-11 in their last 38 home games.  In the series, the Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings at South Bend and that goes to 7 of 8 this weekend.

Over the last 10 meetings, these two have combined to average 47 ppg and the Under has gone 7-3.  This season, Stanford is allowing just 4 ppg to start this season and the Under is 9-2 in Cardinal last 11 games overall!  The way Stanford controls the ball on offense their defense is always in good position to keep games low scoring.  The Under is 10-1 in the Huskies last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record while the Under is 9-1 in the Cardinal last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.  The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings at Washington and I look for more of the same this Saturday afternoon.

Over the last 10 meetings in the series, just 2 games have seen the total finish at 47 or more points.  Over that stretch, the combined score has actually been under 40 ppg.  The Under has currently hit in 5 straight meetings and it is 5-2 in the last 7 contests played in Washington.  Also, the Under is 14-5 in the Giants last 19 road games and 6-1 in the Redskins last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. 

In this series, the Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings and over the last 10 meetings, just 2 games have seen 70 or more points.  This season, just 1 of these teams' combined 5 games have seen a total over 70, when Arizona and UNLV totaled 71 points in Week 1.  The Under is 5-1 in the Golden Bears last 6 road games and 7-3-1 in their last 11 games overall.  Also, the Under is 7-1 in the Wildcats last 8 home games and a noteworthy 19-6-1 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

The Under is 4-1 in the Scarlet Knights last 5 road games and 11-1 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  For Navy, the Under is 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record and it's 13-3 in the Midshipmen's last 16 home games.  The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two programs, with an average score of 47 total points.  While all signs point toward Keenan Reynolds being behind center for Navy, he's not 100% and we'll look for Navy's offense to be a step slower than normal.     

The Over is 4-1 in the Tigers last 5 road games and 6-1 in their last 7 games overall.  The Over is 5-1 in the Wildcats last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 5-2 in their last 7 games overall.  Each team has 2 games under its belt and they're averaging over 67 ppg in those contests.  Offensively, Auburn is scoring over 50 ppg and Kansas State is putting nearly 45 ppg on the board.   

Can the Volunteers stop anybody on defense this year?  That's the big question that the Vols and the SEC are looking at this year.  Tennessee gave up 33 ppg to FBS opponents last season and we'll see that and more as they face off against Oklahoma on Saturday.  The Sooners are rolling on offense, averaging 50 ppg thru their first two games.  They may not quite get there against Tennessee, but I wouldn't bet against it.  The Over is 7-3 in the Vols last 10 road games and the Over is 4-1 in the Sooners last 5 home games. 

It's early, but both teams are already averaging over 65 ppg and they each have long histories of putting bunches of points on the board.  Arkansas has seen the Over go 8-2-1 in their last 11 games and the Over is 16-4-1 in the Razorbacks last 21 road games.  For Texas Tech, we find the Over with a 14-5 record in their last 19 games, including a 4-1 record in their last 5 home games. 

We've seen the Saints and Falcons play to the under in 5 of their last 7 meetings and 5 straight in games played in Atlanta.  Also, against NFC South foes, the Under is 5-2 in the Falcons last 7 and 5-1 in the Saints last 6.  As explosive as Drew Brees and the Saints offense is, they saw the Under hit in 8 of their last 9 games last season, including 6 straight road contests.  It's safe to say the public drives totals much higher than they should be in New Orleans games, and we'll look for that to continue in Week 1 this year. 

Pittsburgh and Cleveland have played under 41.5 points in 9 of their last 10 meetings, giving the Under a 6-4 record, including a 5-1 record over the last 6 meetings.  As I mentioned in the write up of Pittsburgh winning ATS, the Browns lack the big play threat without Josh Gordon, which will only enhance the odds of seeing yet another game between these two rivals stay below 40 points.   

The Under is 6-4 in this series over the last 10 years, with games averaging 51 ppg.  Also, the Under is 4-1 in the Wolverines last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and the Under is 22-8-1 in the Fighting Irish's last 31 games against a team with a winning record.  The Under is also an outstanding 25-11 in Notre Dame's last 36 home games.  This will most definitely be a defensive battle, with neither team touching the 30 point mark.