Free Pick on Cardinals - 

I was on the wrong end of the Pirates meltdown yesterday, as Pittsburgh blew an early 5-1 lead in a 7-11 loss at home to St Louis. The Cardinals' offense bailed out starter Adam Wainwright, who lasted just 3 innings. St Louis totaled 15 hits for the game, giving them 10 or more hits in each of their last 5 games and 9 of their last 11 overall. I look for the offense to stay hot against Pittsburgh's Trevor Williams, who has a 4.14 ERA and 1.240 WHIP in 18 starts. Williams' only career start against the Cardinals came on July 16th. He allowed just 2 runs in 5 2/3 innings, but was fortunate it wasn't a lot worse. Williams gave up 10 hits and 2 walks, which is just over 2 runners on base/inning. 

On top of that, St Louis is sending out their ace in Carlos Martinez, who is one of the best the NL has to offer. Martinez has a strong 3.56 ERA and sensational 1.199 WHIP in 24 starts. Most importantly, he's had little problem keeping the Pirates' bats in check of late. In his last 5 starts against Pittsburgh, he's allowed just 7 runs. In his last 3 starts at PNC, he's only given up 3 runs in 22 2/3 innings of work. Take St Louis! 

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