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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 26, 2017
Rockies vs Giants
Giants
-128 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

10* San Francisco (10:05 ET): I don't think that there's been a more one-sided division rivalry this year (in terms of head to head results) than Colorado-San Francisco. The surprising Rockies are 10-1 H2H vs. the Giants, which certainly goes a long way in explaining the massive 20-game gap that exists in the NL West standings between the two teams. Of course, SF has more issues than just struggling against Colorado as they were just swept here at home by the Mets over the weekend. This perennial playoff contender now finds itself in the unusual position of having the second worst overall record (Phillies) in the sport as well as the second worst run differential (Padres). So, you might be surprised to learn that they are FAVORED tonight on the money line. I am not. The revenge angle (one of my favorites) is in play here and the Rockies arrive in town on their own five-game losing streak. Plus, we have Jeff Samardzija pitching for the Giants.

Samardzija is a real key here. While his overall numbers may not "wow" you, his other-worldly 77-3 KW ratio (not a misprint!) over his L10 starts certainly should. He's allowed 3 ER or less in eight of those and while one of the two he didn't was against Colorado, that was also at Coors Field. He is 0-3 against the Rockies this year, but two of the starts were on the road and he was a lot better in the one here at AT&T Park. For seemingly the entirety of the franchise's existence, Colorado has seen its offensive production plummet outside of Coors Field. This year, they average 4.6 rpg on the road.

The Rockies only scored seven runs total in three games at Dodgers Stadium over the weekend and six of those came in yday's loss. That 12-6 defeat does not set them up well today as their record after allowing 10+ runs the previous game is 2-6 this season. Though it's been a tight three-horse race in the NL West all season, a pretty clear cut case can be made that Colorado is the weakest of the three teams as they trail - significantly - both the Dodgers and D'bcks in run differential. Of course, all five losses during the current streak came to those two teams. They've obviously had the Giants' number in 2017, but like their road record, doesn't that have to regress a little? Starter German Marquez has dazzled of late, but I'm still a skeptic as his road WHIP is 1.400. 10* San Francisco

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 26, 2017
Rangers vs Indians
Rangers
+1½ -125 at 5Dimes
Lost
$125.0
Play Type: Top Premium

8* Run Line Texas (7:10 ET): Please note that this is a run line play only where I am taking the Rangers +1.5. This would also be Cole Hamels' long-awaited return from a two-month stint on the DL (strained right oblique). He looked good in two rehab assignments, turning in a 1.04 ERA. Considering the Rangers have been able to maintain a .500 record w/o their top pitcher, one could make the case here that they're in pretty good shape moving forward. Hamels and Yu Darvish, both of whom will pitch in this series, are a formidable 1-2 combo at the front end of the rotation. The team, now 11-5 overall since June 9th, has actually outscored its opponents (+29 run differential) by a wider margin this year than they did in LY's 95-win campaign (only +8). A key to that has been their record in one-run games as LY they were a record-setting 36-11 while 2017 has seen them go just 5-12. But that's where the added insurance of the RL comes into play as I'll say Texas does no worse here than one-run defeat in Hamels' return.

Cleveland's curious struggles at home continued over the weekend as they were swept by the Minnesota Twins and shut out twice (outscored 13-2 overall!). That came on the heels of a 7-1 road trip, so there's no denying as to just how disappointing the weekend result was. For the year, the reigning AL Champs are 24-15 on the road, but only 15-20 here at Progressive Field. At -19.5 units YTD, no team has lost more money at the betting window than the Indians and it's really not even close. Another troubling sign here is the Tribe's 0-3 record this year after being shut out the previous game. Sunday saw them finish w/ nine hits, but no runs as they were 1 for 23 w/ RISP for the series. Starting tonight will be Carlos Carrasco, who certainly gives the team a "fighting chance," but note his 1.246 WHIP his L3 starts is a bit of a warning sign that the 1.53 ERA is a little misleading. He is 2-3 lifetime vs. Texas w/ a 5.95 ERA. 

The Rangers are coming off a one-run win Sunday, 7-6 over the Yankees, that saw them have to hold on after taking a 7-0 lead. The bullpen may continue to be a bit of a concern, but I certainly don't think Hamels is and at this price, he's too good to pass up. His five starts in April saw him turn in "the usual" numbers (3.03 ERA, 1.133 WHIP) and while strikeouts were down, he never allowed more than 3 ER in any start. He did lose to Cleveland, 9-6, in his first start of the year. But note that he was actually in line for the win before the bullpen allowed a Francisco Lindor grand-slam in the top half of the ninth. That capped a three-game sweep for the Tribe in Arlington, but now the revenge angle kicks in and given how the home team has struggled all year at Progressive Field, I'll gladly take the +1.5 here. 8* Run Line Texas (+1.5)

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 26, 2017
Reds vs Cardinals
Cardinals
-141 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

8* St. Louis (4:15 ET): Many times, the team coming off the Sunday Night games is at a slight disadvantage playing on Monday as its opponent has had more lead in time. But despite this being an even quicker turnaround than per usual, I don't really feel as if that's the case for the Cardinals today in this make-up affair w/ the Reds. First off, they get to stay at home. Secondly, they have a big-time case of revenge on their minds after suffering a shocking sweep in a four-game series at Great American Ballpark earlier this month. Speaking of shocking, that sweep put the Reds at 7-2 head to head in this NL Central rivalry this season, but I feel it's them at the slight disadvantage as they've got to fly out to another city for one day after visiting Tampa Bay and Washington last week (went 2-4). With the revenge angle kicking in, this is an easy call.

For those "new to the program," I like to take teams playing w/ revenge for a prior series sweep of three games or more. Generally speaking, it has become increasingly difficult for to beat the same team, day after day, in today's game. As mentioned above, the Reds pulled off their shocking sweep of the Cards earlier this month at home. On the road, this team is just 12-24 and being outscored by 1.5 rpg. That's even after winning 6-2 yday, thereby avoiding a sweep in Washington. It has been nearly three weeks since Cincy won B2B games (haven't done it since sweeping St. Louis) as they've gone 2-13 their L15 games overall. Today's starter, Brandon Finnegan, is making his return from a two-month stint on the DL and a rehab assignment where he allowed four runs in five innings was certainly an ominous sign.

The Cardinals' offense reawakened last night w/ an eight-run output. Things looked somewhat grim early on as they trailed 4-2 going into the bottom of the sixth and were facing the prospect of being swept here in their own ballpark. Thankfully, things then turned their way w/ B2B explosive innings at the plate. With the Reds allowing 6.2 rpg in day games (11-19 record), the chance of another strong offensive effort is there. Michael Wacha will be the one toeing the rubber here for the Redbirds and there's no real sugarcoating the fact he's struggled in recent starts. But, Cincinnati (who he has not faced since his first start of the year) just might be the opponent for him to turn things around. Including six strong innings where he allowed just one run and three hits (back on 4.8), Wacha is 7-1 w/ a 2.95 ERA lifetime against the Reds. 8* St. Louis

SERVICE BIO

The time has come for Bryan Power to EXPAND! Having achieved a tremendous amount of success, Power is expanding his reach in 2015 as he proudly announces the formation of Power Sports Picks (that's "PSP" for short). Power Sports Picks promises to deliver the same quality analysis (and same amount of winning) as before, only now with a FULL TEAM assembled, the SKY IS THE LIMIT!