Betting NFL Football – The Game Plans
Betting NFL Football – The Game Plans
For serious football bettors who like betting NFL football, here is breakdown of what to look for from key contests for Week 12 and what these teams will be attempting to accomplish to win the contest.
(215) SAN DIEGO at (216) KANSAS CITY CBS
SUNDAY NOV. 24 / 1:00 E
Chargers Game Plan: The San Diego offense has been near dormant, with five touchdowns in the last three games. They have lost their way in term of productivity and despite having the No. 7 total offense; they are 29th in yards per point in the NFL. The Chargers are 27th against the forward pass and the secondary has to play better. They could receive help since the Kansas City pass catchers have not played very well the past few weeks.
Chiefs Game Plan: Kansas City has to play their game and that means running the ball and playing defense. Nonetheless, if the Chiefs want to win the division and make a deeper run in the playoffs, Alex Smith and passing offense has to do better than 26th in passing yards at 198.5 per game. It would not surprise us to see more shotgun or rollouts with Smith this week.
Key sports betting number: Kansas City is 9-1 UNDER off a road loss the last three seasons.
(217) CAROLONA at (218) MIAMI FOX
SUNDAY NOV. 24 / 1:00 E
Panthers Game Plan: From a matchup perspective, this certainly favors Carolina with their No. 3 rated defense facing Miami’s 31st ranked offense. The Panthers will be trying to stuff the Dolphins running game and turn loose the pass rush against an offensive line which has allowed the most sacks. QB Cam Newton has accounted for 13 touchdowns and three turnovers during the Panthers’ win streak, and he has to continue to protect the ball if Carolina is going to win its seventh straight.
Dolphins Game Plan: For Miami, this will be about trench warfare. If the Dolphins can run the ball and stop the run, they’re on their way to success. This has been an ongoing conundrum all season; nevertheless, because of the lack of explosiveness on offense, a ground attack is tantamount to help Ryan Tannehill. This has been mentioned before here, the defensive line has to be play to the level of its paychecks and get down and dirty with the ‘Cats physical offensive line.
Key sports betting number: Carolina is 8-1 ATS versus defensive teams allowing 350 or more yards game since last season.
(227) INDIANAPOLIS at (426) ARIZONA CBS
SUNDAY NOV. 24 / 4:05 E
Colts Game Plan: The nickname – Colts – implies a young and aggressive horse and Indianapolis has come out like a plow horse the last couple of weeks and needs to be more aggressive from the start. Offensively, Andrew Luck will want to be able to get the ball out quickly and keep the Arizona defense off balance, because running against the Cardinals will not be simple since they are No.2 in the NFL. Defensively, Indianapolis has to be able to keep pressure on the Carson Palmer and try to force turnovers.
Cardinals Game Plan: Off three consecutive wins, Arizona is starting to believe and is a small favorite in this Bruce Arians Bowl. As has been the case all season, if Palmer has time, he will be able to capitalize on the advantage the Cardinals receivers have over the Indianapolis secondary. But Arians knows very well about how disruptive DE Robert Mathis and others can be. Developing a run game give the Cards more options, particularly using the tight ends with greater regularity. The Redbirds are strong in the defensive line and in the secondary and have to play to these advantages.
Key sports betting number: Arizona is 3-13 ATS after three or more consecutive wins the past two decades.
(229) DALLAS at (422) N.Y. GIANTS FOX
SUNDAY, NOV. 23 / 4:25 E
Cowboys Game Plan: Dallas set a franchise record a year ago for the fewest rushing yards in a 16-game season. In the off-season, Jerry Jones and head coach Jason Garrett talked about recommitting to the run. It has not happened, with the Cowboys 29th running the pigskin (77 YPG). To defeat the New York, Dallas has to rush to keep the Giants honest, which could pave the way for some big plays down the field. Defensively, they must the stop run and force QB Eli Manning and the Giants offense into some third and long situations and keep their fingers crossed the NFL’s worst pass defense holds up.
Giants Game Plan: With New York’s offensive line finally playing better and the return of Andre Brown and a rejuvenated Brandon Jacobs, everything the Giants do offensively does not have to revolve around Manning. Look for New York to test every facet of a below average Dallas defense. On the other side of the line there has also been a change in attitude and production as the D-Line has sprung to life and creating havoc. With Tony Romo prone to big mistakes at all the wrong times, the G-Men’s front four can set the table for turnovers.
Key sports betting number: New York is 14-4 ATS off two consecutive home wins.
(231) DENVER at (232) NEW ENGLAND NBC
SUNDAY, NOV. 24 / 8:30 E
Broncos Game Plan: For Denver to go to 10-1, keeping Peyton Manning upright is imperative. Here is something very important, when Manning is sacked two or more times by a Bill Belichick New England defense, Manning is 2-7 SU. (4-3 otherwise) The Broncos offensive line comes off its best game of the season, holding the league-leading Chiefs to no sacks, but will face a Pats defense that have the most sacks in the past five weeks. Getting to the quarterback also applies to Denver, trying to force Tom Brady into errant throws.
Patriots Game Plan: While everything was not 100 percent in Carolina, we began to see what Brady can do with a full complement of weapons. Brady will have to avoid the big mistake and LB Von Miller has to be blocked to work his magic against the NFL’s 28th-ranked pass defense. The New England secondary is a mess because of injuries and pass-rushers have to pick up the slack to offset this massive disadvantage in this confrontation.
Key sports betting number: New England is 20-8 ATS as a home underdog since 1992.
