The Knicks dug deep last time out, and came up with a big win at home, despite of a lack of viable depth. The Knicks did exert alot of energy in that last victory, and Im betting on immediate regression because of exhaustion. The last time the Knicks played here in Indiana they looked gassed, and I wont be surprised if it happens again. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 40-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover 

The Twins are averaging .5.4 rpg on the road this season and are a viable offensive unit, while Cleveland averages 4.7 rpg at home. Cleveland has averaged five runs and behind 18 homers while winning 10 of its past 13 home contests. 

According to my early season power rankings the Twins matchup well vs  scheduled Cleveland starter Triston McKenzie (2-3, 3.54 ERA) who recorded a  6.23 ERA while losing two of his first three 2024 starts. Hes pitched better of late, but still looks beatable. The Guardians righty owns a  2-5 record along with a 5.14 ERA in 10 career starts vs. the Twins. Meanwhile, scheduled Twins starter Simeon Woods Richardson (1-0, 3.24 ERA)  is off giving up five runs on eight hits (including two solo homers) in 4 1/3 innings during a no-decision against the Toronto Blue Jays this past  Saturday. He will have his hands full with Josh Naylor who is batting .328 at home and has hit seven of his 12 home runs in 17 home tilts this season and off course  Guardians star Jose Ramirez who has five homers and 14 RBIs in his past 12 at home contests.

Everything points to an over wager cashing for us tonight. 

MINNESOTA is 49-27 OVER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 9.4 rpg scored. 

CLEVELAND is 8-1 OVER in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CLEVELAND/MINNESOTA) - in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%), in May games are 80-38 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 9.4 rpg game. 

MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CLEVELAND) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 85-49 OVER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate with the combined average score clicking in at 9.3 rpg .

Play over

Value with the road  dog. Advantage Rays. 

MLB  team (TORONTO) - sub standard  offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .165 or worse over their last 3 games are 4-29 L/27 seasons for go against 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Rays to win 

The Pirates offense continues to struggle  and according to my projections are fade material in this afternoon spot play at Wrigley. 

The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 34 games (-14.50 Units / -35% ROI)

PITTSBURGH is 2-9   against the money line after 4 or more consecutive road games this season. PITTSBURGH is 3-9 against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PITTSBURGH) - with a team on base percentage .300 or worse on the season (NL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 8-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 79?% conversion rate. 

Play on Chicago Cubs to win

This is a do or die game for the Wolves and Im betting they leave everything on the court tonight in a very aggressive posture. The Nuggets have  centered a great deal of time controlling Edwards offensive production, but Im betting on some viable adjustments here and a more concerted scoring ratio. from the home side The last three games have eclipsed this totals offering and nothing Im betting changes tonight. 

DENVER is 8-0 OVER  in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.9 ppg scored. DENVERs L/21 tilts  after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this season have seen a combined average of 219.2 ppg scored. 

MINNESOTA is 11-3 OVER after scoring 105 points or less this season with a combined average of 229.8 ppg scored. MINNESOTA is 18-9 UNDER  revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season with a combined average of 114.5 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MINNESOTA) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 154-93 OVER L/28 seasons for a 62% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 211.6 ppg. 

Play over

Zack Littell (2-2, 3.02 ERA) will take the mound for Tampa Bay on Thursday, while right-hander  Cooper Criswell (2-1, 2.10 ERA) goes to the hill for the Red Sox. I know both these hurlers have pitched well and the BoSox has taken part in some low scoring games so far this month, but my projections estimate both batting orders matchup well enough here against the starting pitching and perspective candidates in the  bullpens  to see enough runs cross the plate for a over wager to cash here in Fenway this evening. 

TAMPA BAY is 26-12 OVER  vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 3 seasons lie Criswell, with the average combined score of 9.5 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 16-5 OVER  with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings over the last 2 seasons with. combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (BOSTON) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 3.20 or less) -AL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 141-71 OVER L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 10.3 rpg. 

Play over

With all eyes on super rookie Caitalin Clarke , the sharp money now expects more regression for the young talent and her Indiana Pacers who were blasted by the Sun in their opener.  Clarke has an average at best game scoring 20 points but struggling in alot of facets of that game. The Fever did not look good and according to my early season power rankings are over matched here tonight vs a strong Liberty side that will be out to send a message. Note: WNBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - solid team from last season - outscored opponents by 6 or more points/game, after a win by 6 points or less are 25-3 L/27 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7.5 . 

Play on Liberty to cover

Boston has scored 106 or more points on offense in 3 of the 4 games in this series, and Im betting on them doing the same here tonight at home in game 5 of this series as Im expecting some aggressive action from the Celtics as they have a chance to wrap this series up. The Cavs will have to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks themselves or be blown off the court in what projects to be a combined score that eclipses this offering.BOSTON  in 18  home games after playing a road game this season have scored and average of 124.2 ppg. BOSTON  in 39 games have seen a combined average of 228.4 ppg scored while they themselves have put 122.2 ppg of offense on the scoreboard.Bickerstaff L/108 as a road underdog as the coach of CLEVELAND has seen a  combined average of 213.6 ppg scored. 

Play over 

Miamis starter ROGERS is 0-11  against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record ROGERS is 1-15   against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ROGERS is 1-12  against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) He surrendered eight runs and eight hits in 2 1/3 innings to the Oakland A's on May 4 and was subsequently smashed for  five runs (four earned) and nine hits in 3 1/3 innings against Philadelphia on Friday.

Trevor Rogers owns a ugly 12.66 ERA in his L/3 starts and is fade material in his current form.

Motowns starter  Mize (1-1, 3.58 ERA), who will start the series finale for the Tigers, pitched well in his latest outing and owns a 2.65 ERA at home this season. 

MIZE is 15-9 against the money line in the first half of the season in his career. (Team's Record)

Detroit won the series opener on Monday, 6-5. and have the edge here in game 2 of this series.

Play on Detroit to win 

The home team has yet to win a game in this series and with this being a must win situation you can bet the Wolves will be ready to battle to the end. It must be noted that post season sides that were favorites of -4 or more last time oput  and lost  39-17 ATS since the bubble season and 7-3 ATS  during this campaign.

MINNESOTA is 11-1 ATS  revenging a home loss vs opponent this season. MINNESOTA is 21-9 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.

DENVER is 5-14 ATS b after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.

Play on Minnesota to cover

Right-hander Michael Wacha (2-4, 5.15 ERA) is expected to go to the hill  for Kansas City on Tuesday against Seattle righty Logan Gilbert (3-1, 2.94). Wacha is 1-3 with a 6.39 ERA in seven career starts against the Mariners; While Gilbert is 2-0 with a 5.27 ERA in five previous starts versus the Royals. Considering bullpen alternatives and each sides offensive lineups my projections estimate a combined score closer to 8 which gives us a run advantage making this a solid over wager. 

KANSAS CITY is 15-3 OVER  vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored.

SEATTLE is 13-2 OVER vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (SEATTLE/ KANSAS CITY) - in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%), in May games are 32-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the average rpg out put clicking in at 10.2. 

Play on the over

 The Knicks came out flat last time out and were thoroughly embarrassed by the Pacers in game 4 of this series by a 121-89 count and will now be ready for a bounce back performance. Quote:"Yeah, we're short-handed but that doesn't matter right now,"  HC Brunson said. "We have what we have, and we need to go forward with that. So there is no ‘We're short-handed.' There is no excuse. There's no excuse whatsoever. If we lose, we lose.": this is fired up group that Im will to back here tonight on home court. INDIANA is 18-30 ATS  after a game where they covered the spread this season. NEW YORK is 22-11 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

  NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (INDIANA) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 4-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate with an average ppg diff of -106. which qualities on this ATS offering. 

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a blowout win by 15 points or more are 31-3 L/28 for a 91% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 9-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate. 

NBA Home favorites (NEW YORK) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 6-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate.

Play on NY Knicks to cover

NYY expected starter has pitched well of late, but was   3-8 with a 6.85 ERA in 14 starts last season and I am looking for regression very soon. RODON is 0-7  against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)RODON is 5-13   against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Twins starter  Paddack (4-1, 4.34 ERA),  , is coming off a win against the Seattle Mariners in his most recent outing last Wednesday when he  allowed just  one run on eight hits in 5 1/3 innings,  along with 10 strikeouts. He also has victories  against the Chicago White Sox, the Los Angeles Angels and the Boston Red Sox over his last four starts. He has a 1.93 ERA during that span and has walked three and struck out 28 in 23 1/3 innings. He gives the Twins a nice edge here at home. 

MLB Home teams (MINNESOTA) - on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors against opponent after a game where they hit 5 or more home runs are 30-7 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to win 

Chicagos Taillon (3-0, 1.13 ERA) and  the Braves Sale (5-1, 2.95) go head to head today in Atlanta . Note:Sale has allowed only two runs in his L/ 18 innings of work. Sale has made five career appearances and three starts against the Cubs, going 2-1 with a 1.23 ERA and gets my support here laying a little extra lumber. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 15-25 against the money line against NL East opponents over the last 2 seasons.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or better  over his last 3 starts are 19-81 L/27 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ATLANTA) - after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 35-6 L/5 seasons for. a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to win 

Oklahoma City has lost two straight games after going 5-0 to begin the playoffs and Im betting on a third straight loss tonight vs a Dallas team that suddenly has another scoring threat  option as Washington shores up Doncic and Irving with some explosive offensive play. He has  scored 56 points in his last two games and becomes the wildcard here for a Mavericks edge. 

Daigneault is 1-13 ATS in road games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.OKLAHOMA CITY is 0-9 ATS  in road games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.OKLAHOMA CITY is 0-7 ATS  in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game - 2nd half of the season this season..DALLAS is 20-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

Play on Dallas Mavs to cover

 The Houston Astros remain 10 games under .500 and look far from viable favs here tonight vs a Oakland side that has shown that they can compete here in early season play and at one point put a 6 game winning streak together. With Astros Rookie right-hander Spencer Arrighetti (0-4, 8.44 ERA)  scheduled to start the series opener for the Astros the As look lime a viable runline underdog , as very few wins come easy for the Astros. HOUSTON is 6-13 SU in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON L/93 as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons have seen an average rpg diff click in at +0.1. 

Play on Oakland to cover +1.5 runline 

Down 2-0 in the series the defending NBA champion Nuggets came storming back in game 3 of this series in Minnesota  and left everything on the floor in an impressive 117-90 win. Im now betting on the Nuggets suffering some regression and on the flips side the Wolves after a little rest behind what I believe is a generational D,  will bounce back in a huge way just like they have all season long in these situations. Note: MINNESOTA is 9-0 ATS  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season.MINNESOTA is 11-0 ATS  revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.Finch is 20-6 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite as the coach of MINNESOTA.

NBA Favorites (MINNESOTA) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 57-24 ATS L/5 seasons for. a71% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA  team (MINNESOTA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite are 48-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a  70% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs (DENVER) - off a road win against a division rival, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 61-141 ATS L/27 seasons for. a 63%  go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Minnesota to cover

Atlanta’s Max Fried and two relievers combined for a no-hitter through 8 2/3 innings before New York’s J.D. Martinez homered to spoil the bid as the Braves beat the Mets 4-1 on Saturday. and now Im betting on their pitching staff getting them to the promised land again here tonight. Elders the Braves starter has ugly numbers based on a shellacking who took last time out but he pitched very well in his two previous starts and Im betting on a bounce back here vs a very weak hitting NY Mets offense.  The Braves  pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average.  NY METS are just  4-11  against the money line after two straight games where they had 5 or less hits over the last 2 seasons

Mets starter SEVERINO is 2-15  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) In his only start against Atlanta last season his team lost by a 5-0 count. 

Meanwhile, Atlanta starter ELDER is 2-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 0.971 in his career. 

The Braves have won each of their last eight games against teams that held a below.500 record record.The Mets have lost four of their last five games against the Braves following a home loss. 

Play on Atlanta to win 

All three of the games of this series have been closely contested and Im betting nothing changes today with taking points being the most viable investment option. 

NEW YORK is 10-2 ATS  after a loss by 6 points or less this season.NEW YORK is 10-1 ATS  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

INDIANA is 0-8 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

MIAMI in 25 games against right-handed starters this season like the Phillies starter Wheeler have scored an average of 4.2 rpg with a combined score of 9.8 rpg scored. Miami has done their best work against right handed starters this season and Im betting they have enough success offensivley to help us get over this offering. Meanwhile, the Marlins starter was recently activated from the injury list, and despite of being fresh is still getting back into form. The Phillies explosvie offense will be a formidable challenge for the former first round draft pick. My overall projections estimate a combined score closer to 8 thus giving is a full 1 run value edge to the over. GARRETT is 2-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.67 and a WHIP of 1.519. In his last two starts last season vs the Phillies 9 and 8 runs were scored by his opponent and he lasted only 3 and 5 innings in those tilts. 

MIAMI is 14-4 OVER  in home games vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11,7 rpg scored. MIAMI in 33 games when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season have seen a combined average of 9.7 rpg scored. MIAMI in 11    home games in day games this season have seen a combined average of +21. rpg scored. 

MLB Home teams where the total is 7 or less (MIAMI) - with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are 29-7 OVER L/27 seasons for. a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Marlins have gone over in 6 of their L7 overall. Phillies have gone over in 5 of their L/7 overall. 

 Play over 

The Mariners have been listed as the moneyline favorite by bookmakers just twice over the last 10 games, and split those matchups  and according to my projections are being over rated today.SEATTLE L/8 in home games off a win of 6 runs or more over a division rival over the last 3 seasons have seen an average rpg diff clicking in at -1.7. Seattle beat the As 8-1 in yesterdays series opener. Despite of the victory the Mariners have still only averaged 3.3 rpg at home this season via a .211 BA. Nothing rarely comes easily for the Mariners and today Im betting on regression from yesterdays one sided victory vs a As side that had a 6 game win streak from April 28th to May 4th. The Athletics have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Play on the As +1.5 runline 

 Dallas ranks 7t in ppg offensive output this season while ranking 20th in defesnive ppg allowed, while running at the 6th fastest pace in the NBA. Their game plan centers around their offensive super star  Doncic who dictates this teams enegy levels. Despite of being banged up Doncic continues to roll and Im betting on his being a big catalyst for his team tonight. Meanwhile, the well balanced  Thunder rqnk 3rd in ppg offensive production and 11th in defensive ppg allowed and 8th in pace. Both these teams are similar in their opous operandi and thats why Im betting on this tilt eclipsing the conservative totals offering. 

OKLAHOMA CITY in their L/8  road games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 238.8 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-4 OVER versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 243.6 ppg scored.

DALLAS in 47 games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 226.5 ppg scored.  DALLAS in  40 home games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 228.8 ppg scored.DALLAS in 29 games  when the line is +3 to -3 this season have seen a combined average of 229.6 ppg scored. Dallas in their L/12 off a upset win as an underdog this season have seen a combined average of 220.8 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 162-65 OVER L/5 seasons for. a 61% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over 

The Mavs took game 2 of this series in impressive fashion despite of the home edge the Thunder had. Now with the opportunity to get a leg up in this series Im betting on a very motivated effort from the Mavericks as they use the momentum of that last victory to carry them to a victory tonight. I know Mavs super star Doncic is banged up but he has defied all his doubters and continues to exhibit the ability to carry this team, and Im betting he rises to occasion here again tonight in front of the home town fans.OKLAHOMA CITY is 0-8 ATS in road games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at a massive -24.8 ppg. NBA Road teams (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 18-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Mavs to cover

The Dodgers have won 7 straight games and 14 of their L/16  and are currently in top form. With Tyler Glasnow (6-1, 2.70 ERA) on the hill they look like viable bets again. The right hander is coming off an 11-2 victory this past  Saturday night against Atlanta. He struck out 10 in seven  innings of premier pitching , allowing just five hits, a walk and two runs. The dodgers also have some motivation for having lost. two of three last month at Dodger Stadium. Advantage Dodgers. 

Note: Padres starter King is 1-0 with a 6.10 ERA in three prior appearances (one start) against the Dodgers.

SAN DIEGO is 6-17  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 2-10  against the money line in home games in night games this season.

LA DODGERS are 32-15 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 36-5 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win

The Knicks have taken the first two games of this series and have proven to me they matchup well vs the explosive Indiana Pacers. The Knicks have won 11 of their L/13 overall dating back to the regular season, and in their current form must be respected in the underdog role. 

NEW YORK is 22-10 ATS  in road games off a home win over the last 3 seasons witht he average ppg diff clicking in at +4.3 .

NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff of +7.5.

NBA Favorites (INDIANA) - after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more against opponent after scoring 120 points or more are just 28-71 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate!

Play on NY Knicks to cover

Cavs played the Celtics tough in game one before tiring and fading in the 2nd half as they exhibited some exhaustion after their hard fought game 7 series vs the Magic from their previous play off round which was mostly a half court slugfest. Now with a little be more rest Im betting the Cavs staying within the slightly bloated number in game 2. The previous 5 meetings in this series all stayed within this spread offering ( with  1, 9, 7, 4, 4 deficits ) with the average ppg diff clicking in at 5. CLEVELAND in 44 games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season have seen an average 4.4 ppg diff.CLEVELAND in 44 games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making  36% or more of their attempts this season have seen a average ppf diff of +0.3. 

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover

My own Totals projections estimate a 1.5 run advantage to the over , which is a significant advantage that makes this a viable  wager. 

Seattles starter GILBERT in 30 games when pitching against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in his career. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. 

Minnesota in their L/ 133 games   vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 8,8 rpg scored. 

Minnesotas starter LOPEZ is 11-2 OVER  vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored. SEATTLE is 19-7 OVER in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 9.4 rpg scored. 

MINNESOTA L/30 against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored.

MLB  teams where the total is 7 or less (MINNESOTA /SEATTLE) - in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%), in May games are 30-4 OVER with a combined average of 10.1 rpg scored. 

Play over

The Pacers pushed the Knicks out of their comfort zone last time and the Knicks responded with some offensive fireworks and a 121-1117 victory. We all know the Pacers high octane offense will be ready to run and gun and here again tonite which will have the Knicks having to reciprocate with aggressive offensive maneuvers or  be blown of the court. My projections estimate both these teams will score more than 114 points. NEW YORK is 16-0 OVER   where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 250.1 ppg scored. INDIANA is 39-4 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 257.1 ppg scored. 

Note:Carlisle in 55 games against Atlantic division opponents as the coach of INDIANA has seen a combined average of 238.2 ppg scored.Carlisle in 137 games  when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of INDIANA ha seen a combined average of 236.6 ppg scored. NDIANA in 68 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 144.7 ppg scored.INDIANA in 43 games  revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season have seen a combined average of 243.2 ppg scored.

Thibodeau in 109 games  when the total is 220 to 229.5 as the coach of NEW YORK has seen a combined average of 226.8 ppg scored. Six of the L/seven meetings in this series have eclipsed this Totals offering.NEW YORK in 73 games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 227.3 ppg scored.NEW YORK is 13-4 OVER vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 234.4 ppg scored. 

Play over 

Miamis starter Weathers has faltered of late losing his L/.3 starts while garnering a 6.89 ERA. All three losses came by two or more runs.  The Marlins southpaws most recent appearance vs the Dodgers came last season in a 4-0 loss. Im betting hes in trouble vs a Dodgers team that is averaging 5.8 rpg at home on the season.  Meanwhile, the Dodgers starter Gavin Stone owns a   2.20 ERA in his L/3 starts with his team winning 2 of those tilts. He has garnered a 2.90 ERA on the season and according to my projections gives the Dodgers the pitching edge.  

The Dodgers won the first game of this series by a 6-3 count and followed that up with a 8-2 win yesterday and Im betting on another 2+ run victory here today. 

Dodgers have won 6 straight games with 5 of those games coming +2 runs.  Miami has lost 4 of their L/5 with 4 of those tilts seeing losses of +2 runs . 

MIAMI is 5-21  against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2.  MIAMI is 33-91  against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season  with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MIAMI) - bad offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ) (NL), with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 1-36 L/5 seasons for go against 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff registering at -3.5 which easily qualifies on this run-line offering. 

Play on the LA Dodgers Runline 

Pittsburghs starter PEREZ is 21-6  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)PEREZ is also 14-3  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons He has seen his team win his L.3 appearances vs the Angels .

The Angels entered Tuesday having lost 14 of their past 17 game and are fade material in this current form.  I know they exploded yesterday, but now Im betting on immediate regression. LA ANGELS are 2-12  against the money line in day games this season

LA ANGELS are 6-15  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or worse) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA  5.00 or more ), in May games are 42-9 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pirates to win 

Dallas super star Doncic is dealing with a right knee sprain that has hindered him since just before the playoffs and Im sure its not getting better considering the amount of playing time hes getting. Im betting on the thunders  Luguentz Dort slowing Doncic down and for the Thunder to have the edge here at home tonight. Note: The Thunder won three of the four meetings between the teams this season, including both matchups in Oklahoma City. Rinse and repeat is my call here tonight along with the cover.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-8 ATS in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-14 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.4 . 

NBA Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 3-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 8-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

The Phillies have won six straight, 17 of their past 20 and 10 in a row at home and   the best record in the majors at 25-11. With that said, lets ride their momentum here today against a Blue Jays side, that has lost 4 of their L/5 overall. 

Blue Jays starter BERRIOS is 21-36 (against the money line in road games after a loss in his career. (Team's Record) PHILADELPHIA is 11-2  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher like Berrios  whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 2 seasons.

TORONTO is 1-8 ( against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season like the Phillies starter Sanchez (

THOMSON is 43-11  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of PHILADELPHIA. PHILADELPHIA is 27-12 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 42-14  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home teams (PHILADELPHIA) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more ), in May games. are 53-16 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Phillies to win 

Detroit's starter MAEDA is 11-20 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5  in his career. (Team's Record)   Maeda (1-1, 5.02 ERA) went 0-1 with a 7.64 ERA in his first four starts. My projections estimate the Guardians match up well vs Maeda and have the edge here. 

CLEVELAND is 10-3  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season . 

Motown baseball has lost 4 straight while Cleveland has won 3 straight. Im riding that momentum in this spot play.

MLB team (CLEVELAND) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after allowing 1 runs or less 3 straight games are 30-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. 

MLBl underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (DETROIT) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games, with a well rested bullpen - threw 3 innings or less over last 2 games are 8-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate.

Play on Cleveland to win 

The defending NBA Champs went up against a top tier D, last time out, and failed to get the victory in the fist game of this play off series. Both teams played a grinding style of hoops, but the visitors made more shots in clutch situations. Im betting the Nuggets are now wide awake and must up their offensive play, which Im betting Jokic and company can accomplish in rebound mode. 

DENVER is 9-1 ATS  off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +14.7. 

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 26-7 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

Play on Denver to cover

Cleveland starter McKenzie has pitched well of late as evident by his  1-0  record along with a 2.81 ERA in his L/3 starts. He started slowly this season because of injuries he sustained last year, but now looks to be in top form. Note: McKenzie has pitched well in his career against the Tigers , going 3-2 with a stingy 1.05 ERA while striking out 50 in 43 innings across seven starts. Meanwhile, the Tigers will reply with Flaherty  who has fanned 50 and walked just five over 36 innings this year. Im expecting these viable pitchers to long and strong here today and for their viable bullpens when need to be solid as well.  Detroit owns a 2.09 bullpen ERA at home, and the Guardians pen  own a 2.56 road ERA . Both these hurlers last three starts vs these teams have gone under the total with none of the games eclipsing this offered totals number. 

CLEVELAND is 23-4 UNDER vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. 

CLEVELAND is 24-8 UNDER after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. 

HINCH is 25-13 UNDER after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games as the manager of DETROIT which was the case last time out in a 5-2 loss to the Yankees with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. 

Play under

The Philles have won 9 of their L/10 and 5 straight and have momentum entering this game against a road weary SF team that is playing their 7 straight road game, having already lost 6 of those tilts.Considering the Phillies starter Zach Wheeler is on a heater, winning his L/3 trips to the hill while garnering a minuscule 0.49 ERA it will not be a hard decision to lay a little extra lumber in this spot play with the home side. 

SAN FRANCISCO is 13-37  against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 1-11  against the money line in road games after 6 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 47-13  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (SAN FRANCISCO) - bad offensive team (3.8or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better) (NL), with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 1-35 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win

Phillies stater WALKER is 15-4 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)WALKER is 13-4  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Im betting Walker thrives vs a SF side that has averaged just 3.9 rpg vs righty starters this season. I know Logan Webb is a solid starter but the Phillies re averaging 5.6 rpg vs rtightys this season, and Webb has not been all that strong in 4 away starts garnering a hefty 5.31 ERA. With the Phillies in top form having won four straight and 8 of their L/9 they get the nod here in Sunday night spot play on a value line.  THOMSON is 42-11  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of PHILADELPHIA.

Play on Philly to win 

 Reds starter LODOLO is 14-5 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

CINCINNATI is 15-9 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 3 seasons like Kremer. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (BALTIMORE) - excellent power team ( 1.5 or more  HR's/game) vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 7-36 L/27 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cincinnati to win

Both of todays starters Carrasco and Canning have not looked great this season, but the far superior bullpen is owned by the Guardians who have garnered a 2.20 ERA. MLB  The edge on offense for the Guardians also gives us an advantage  as they average of 5 rpg compared to the Angels 4.2 rpg output. 

Home teams (CLEVELAND) - starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings, with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 42-23 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (LA ANGELS) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 11-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to win 

In game 5 of this series  in Ohio the Magic and Cavs took part in a very close 104-103 tilt that saw the Cavs come out of it with a narrow victory. Last time out in Orlando we saw another close game with the Magic pulling ahead very late for a 103-96 victory. Im betting on more grinding action but as this game winds down Im also expecting alot more aggressive offensive output in this do or die situation. My totals number for this game is 200 so a full possession edge to the over is my call. Bickerstaff in 13  all playoff games as the coach of CLEVELAND has seen a combined average of 198 ppg scored.Bickerstaff in 49  home games revenging a road loss vs opponent as the coach of CLEVELAND have seen a combined average of 220.6 ppg. Bickerstaff in 80  home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached has seen a combined average of 218.5 ppg scored.Mosley in 106 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of ORLANDO has seen a combined average of 220.7 ppg scored.

CLEVELAND is 11-3 OVER in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with a combined average of 223.6 ppg scored.

Play over

Toronto's offense has been frustrated by the Bruins goalie Swayman as the Leafs have averaged 1.8 goals per game in this series and despite of finding a way to keep the Bruins off the board last time out  are at a disadvantage here on foreign ice. Note:Prior to the last game the buds had allowed three goals per game in thjis series vs the Bruins and has only held the Bruins to less than three goals in two of the five games this series and were 1-for 17 on the power play. Also entering these playoffs the Leafs were ranked 30th in high danger chances . I give the Leafs alot of respect for their 2-1 vicotry at home last time out, but Im betting it all ends for them here tonight ion Beantown. 

 BOSTON is 18-3 ATS  in home games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less over the last 2 seasons.

NHL Road underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line (TORONTO) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after allowing 1 goal or less in 2 straight games are 47-112 L/27 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Boston to win

Right-handers Michael Wacha (2-1, 4.24 ERA) of Kansas City  Royalsand Dane Dunning (3-2, 4.13) of  the Texas  Rangers  will go head to head  on Saturday.

Royals starter WACHA is 9-0 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) WACHA is 12-0 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

KANSAS CITY is 10-0 against the money line in home games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season. 

MLB team (KANSAS CITY) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after allowing 1 runs or less 3 straight games are 30-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the KC Royals to win

The Minnesota Wolves and Denver Nuggets own two grinding defenses and slow paced attacks. But despite of this still have enough weapons to put a generous amount of points on the board. In a game Im betting will be close, my projections estimate both sides will put up +104 points which qualifies on an over wager. 

DENVER is 19-5 OVER  in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average  228.4 ppg scored.DENVER L/17 when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 215.2 ppg scored. 

Minnesota L/ 82 games as a road underdog have seen a combined average of 229.6 ppg scored. MINNESOTA is 25-12 OVER  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.9 ppg scored,

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games in 498 games  spanning 27 seasons has seen a combined average of 232.9 ppg scored.

NBA team (MINNESOTA) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games have seen a combined average of 221.7 ppg scored spanning 5 seasons and 252 games.

These teams have gone over the total in 7 of the 9 games in the Mile High city. Only 1 times in the L/13 meetings in this series have seen these teams combined for less than this offered totals number. 

Play over

Left-hander Austin Gomber (0-2, 4.50 ERA) will go to the hill for Colorado against Pirates right-hander Jared Jones (2-3, 3.18).

Gomber has faced Pittsburgh eight times (four starts) in his career and is 0-3 with an 8.10 ERA and Im betting his luck wont change today. Meanwhile, the Pirates starter Jones  pitched at least five innings in all of his six start.  He has not given up more than three runs in a game and in two starts has allowed one run or less. Advantage Pittsburgh.

COLORADO is 7-33  against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons.

COLORADO is 25-75against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 14-6  against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (COLORADO) - bad offensive team ( 3.8 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ) (NL), with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 1-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pittsburgh to win 

These teams have seas-awed back in forth in this series, and have played winning ball when Kawhi Leonard is not in the lineup winning 2 of 3, and   he wont play tonight. Here in this game after going just 2-of-12 shooting Im betting James Harden has a big bounce back effort. The Clippers have already proved they can win in Dallas, and with their backs against the wall, they wont go down without a fight , as the well respected HC Lue Im betting will have his team ready to play and have a viable game plan prepared that can be implemented by his veteran squad and deep bench. 

LA CLIPPERS are 15-3 ATS L/18 in road games when trailing in a playoff series . 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after scoring 120 points or more are 55-107 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

 NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 51-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play on the Clippers to cover

Nats starter Corbin ss 43-25 UNDER  in home games in the first half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.1 rpg scored. 

KIKUCHI  L/13 vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. 

WASHINGTON L/54 in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.3 rpg. 

Blue Jays hitters have been in a season-long drought and Im betting nothing changes today.   Blue Jays are averaging 3.47 runs per game and have scored three runs or less in 18 of their 32 games this season. I know Corbin has not pitched well for the Nats this season, but the way the Jays have faltered Ill continue fading their offensive production at least for now.

Toronto is scheduled to start left-hander Yusei Kikuchi (2-2, 2.94 ERA) in the opener of this series vs Washington and according to my power rankings matches up very well here.

 TORONTO is 15-4 UNDER after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. TORONTO is 24-5 UNDER  in road games after scoring 1 run or less 2 straight games with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored.

TORONTO is 10-1 UNDER  vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season with a combined average of 6.4 rpg. TORONTO is 12-3 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg. TORONTO is 11-1 UNDER   after two straight games where they had 5 or less hits over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (TORONTO) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or worse) against a horrible NL starting pitcher (ERA 5.50 or more , WHIP 1.650 or more ), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games are 30-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored. 

Play under

Pittsburghs starter PEREZ is 21-5   against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) PEREZ is against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) PEREZ is 15-3  against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) PEREZ is 14-2  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) PEREZ is 10-1  against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record).

Perez is currently in top form, and owns a 2.86 ERA on the season, and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up very well against a struggling Colorado batting order. with a .229 road batting average.The Pirates lefty  has allowed two runs or fewer in four of his first six starts.

One the flipside The Rockies will send  struggling right-hander Cal Quantrill (0-3, 5.34 ERA), to the hill. Last time out he allowed a hefty  six runs over five-plus innings in a 12-4 loss to the Houston Astros on Saturday in Mexico City. He is backed by a bullpen that owns a 5.50 ERA.

I know the Pirates have not been getting much run production, but Colorado has also struggled to score consistently, and with the home side having had a day off, and the Rockies now playing their fourth straight road games, all losses, Im betting on the fresher side with the better starting pitcher to get the job done.

Colorado has lost five straight and has not won a series this season. The Rockies have trailed at one point in each of their first 31 games, which is a modern-era major league record. They are currently the kings of futility and deserve their fade status here today in Pittsburgh. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - struggling NL hitting team (AVG .250 or worse) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worsr), in May games are 37-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (COLORADO) - bad offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 1-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pittsburgh to win

In the two games in this play off series played in Indiana the pace and combined  scoring outputs have produced exactly 239 points both times. Im now betting on a similar all out output, as the Bucks are on the verge of illumination and will have to be aggressive offensively against the NBAs No 1 offense that will be ready to run and gun their way to the next series. The Bucks upset the Pacers by a 115-92 count  at home last time out as the the visitors looked lethargic , but Im betting on a huge rebound here from the Pacers and an all out performance especially on offense where they usually thrive.  Note:INDIANA is 20-7 OVER after scoring 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 242.9 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE in 41 games after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average 232.8 ppg scored.

.INDIANA in 33 in home games versus sub standard defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better this season have seen a combined average of 244..3 ppg scored. 

MILWAUKEE in 65 games versus sub standard defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  this season with a combined average of 236.1 ppg scored.

***There are reports Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard will return for this game, but still not verified. Play or not Im still expecting offensive fireworks.

Play on the over

Boston turns to right-hander Josh Winckowski (1-1, 3.50 ERA), who is scheduled to make his third straight start after seven relief appearances to start the season. He is 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA in two appearances (no starts) against San Francisco.The righty has allowed just one earned run over 6 1/3 innings since joining the rotation April 2 and projects to have another strong effort here. Meanwhile, San Francisco,, will  send Kyle Harrison (2-1, 4.09) who threw six scoreless innings last Friday against Pittsburgh, striking out seven and allowing only five hits. He also projects to last into the mid innings of this game.  MLB  Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SAN FRANCISCO) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, playing on Thursday are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored.

BOSTON is 16-4 UNDER  vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.3 rpg scored. 

SAN FRANCISCO is 26-13 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored.  SAN FRANCISCO is 45-19 UNDER (after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored. 

SF has gone under in 5 straight games. Bosox have gone under in 3 straight. 

Play on the under

The Orioles were shutout yesterday by a 2-0 count  and I am now expecting another low scoring tilt  in the finale of this 4 game set . It must be noted that the Yankees  have scored a total of only four runs in the first three games of the series. The  Yanks starter  Rodon has pitched well this season, garnering a   (2-1, 2.48 ERA) record. In his last two games combined, he has pitched in 13 innings while allowing only one run. He struck out a season-high eight in six innings Saturday at Milwaukee and has momentum entering this game and is back with a viable bullpen that owns a stingy 1.87 ERA on the road this season. On the flip-side right-hander Kyle Bradish is expected to come off the injured list for his season debut. He is a viable hurler, and deserves respect here as hr is fresh and far from tired , and is backed by a quality Os bullpen that has garnered 3.66 ERA at home this season.  Im betting on a lower scoring game as my projections estimate both offenses will struggle today.

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NY YANKEES) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, playing on Thursday are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpgs clicking in at 7.3.  

Play under 

The Heat Im betting will be far more aggressive than they have been in their L/2 games vs the Celtics . Their defensive minded game plan utterly failed vs the Celtics and now they have to open up or be blown off the court. This Im betting leads to combined score that eclipses this total.  BOSTON L/35 as a favorite of 10 or more points this season has seen a combined average of 230.4 ppg scored. BOSTON 16 games after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half this season have seen a combined average of 231 ppg scored.

MIAMI in 20 games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored. MIAMI in 29  road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%  or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. MIAMIs L/33 road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 217.3 ppg scored.

 NBA team (MIAMI) - after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 66-27 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 224.4 ppg.

Play on the OVER 

Im betting on Baltimore's Corbin Burnes continuing  his dominate 2024 season when the Orioles host the New York Yankees on Wednesday evening. Burnes (3-0, 2.55 ERA) has given up three runs or less in each of his first six starts for the Orioles. He has struck out 35 and walked eight in 35 1/3 innings. Rinse and repeat now on board.

BALTIMORE is 22-9 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 season. BALTIMORE is 19-9 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. BALTIMORE is 36-17 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

MLB  Home teams (BALTIMORE) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more  runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), with a slugging percentage of .440 or better over their last 20 games are 37-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate.

Play on the Baltimore 

Okalnd has won 3 straight and 5 of their L/6 an dhave momentum entering this game against a Pittsburgh team that has lost 3 straight and 6 of their L/7 and  scored a total of 5 runs in their L/5 games OAKLAND is 19-14 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 3 seasons. Note: Stripling the As starter today has seen his team win his L/3 starts vs the Pirates. 

PITTSBURGH is 13-36  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons

MLB team (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 on the season-AL, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games are 35-13 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the As to win

Braves were tripped up last time out and will be in a prime bounce back situation vs the Mariners. ATLANTA is 12-0  against the money line in road games after a one run loss over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 12-0 against the money line in road games revenging a one run loss to opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Mariners starter Castillo has lost all 3 of his home starts this season while garnering a 5.40 ERA. 

Braves starter Lopez owns a 2-0 - 0.72 ERA on the season. 

This year, Seattle has won just one of four games when listed as at least +112 or worse on the moneyline.

Play on Atlanta to win 

So far this has been a homer series, with the host winning and covering all 4 games, and Im betting nothing changes here tonight. 

CLEVELAND is 14-4 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons  with the average ppg diff clicking in at +5.5 .  CLEVELAND is 14-6 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.3.

CLEVELAND is 20-6 ATS  in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasonswith the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4.

NBA  Road underdogs vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 4-42 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff registering in at -10.8 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA  Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 7-44 L/28 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.2 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 7-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover

Baltimore shutout the Yankees yesterday and have momentum entering this game.

Os starter KREMER is 15-6  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KREMER is 16-6  against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  KREMER is 10-2  against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KREMER is 10-1 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

My power rankings suggest the Os matchup well vs the Yankees expected starter Cortes who has seen hims team lose his L/3 starts overall. 

BALTIMORE is 21-9 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

NY YANKEES are 3-11  against the money line in road games after a 3 game span with an OBP of .393 or better over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - very good offensive team - scoring 5.4 or more  runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 32-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more  runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ) (AL), with a slugging percentage of .440 or better over their last 20 games are 36-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors .

Play on Orioles

Denver knows how to slow down run and gun teams like the Lakers, here in the Mile High City  behind the 6th ranked defense and 27th ranked pace. The Nuggets held the Lakers to 99 and 103 points in the first two games of this series here in Denver, behind a strong grinding D. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here and a combined score that stays on the low side of the offered total 

DENVER is 9-0 UNDER  in home games against Pacific division opponents this season with a combined average of 214.7 ppg scored. DENVER is 16-3 UNDER   after playing 2 consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 216.2 ppg scored. DENVER is 11-3 UNDER  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season for 215.2 ppg. 

NBAl teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER/LA LAKERS) - in the first round of the playoffs, in the 5th game of a playoff series are 30-4 UNDER L/28 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Knights lost to the Stars for the first time in 7 games last time out,  but now Im betting on the home side to continue their domination vs Dallas here tonight at home in game 4 of this series. It was a grueling game that Im betting took alot out of the Stars as they were playing with desperation down 2-0 but repeating that kind of intensity against the defending Stanley Cup Champs will be a difficult  task. VEGAS is 14-5 ATS  after losing their previous game in overtime over the last 2 seasons.VEGAS is 25-9 ATS  revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less over the last 2 seasons. Note:Dallas has dominated possession at 5-on-5  in this series while controlling 57.8% of expected goals in Game 1 then registering  64.1% mark  in Game 2  and  79 % in Game 3. Its obvious to me the Knights matchup well and deserve our backing as dogs tonight. 

Play on Golden Knights to win  

The Pirates are off a low scoring weekend series vs the Giants, and their overall offense has been muted recently, but Im betting on a break out offensive performance here against the As, and their starter Boyle who has garnered a ugly 1-4 record so far this season along with a hefty 7.06 ERA that includes a 0-2 record at home along with a 9.39 ERA. Note: The As have allowed an average  4.8 rpg at home this season and in night games have allowed 4.9 rpg .  Meanwhile, on the flip-side I know Falter the Pirates starter has looked decent this season, but on the road , owns a 5.79 ERA in 2 starts, and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the As struggling offense actually matches up well and should provide us with enough support to get us over the offered totals number.

PITTSBURGH is 10-1 OVER  after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. PITTSBURGH in their L/31 road games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 9.2 rpg scored. ( lost 3-2 in SF yesterday)PITTSBURGH is 23-11 OVER  vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 9.2 rpg scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (OAKLAND) - terrible AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 30-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. 

Play over

The Red Sox have won seven, or 63.6%, of the 11 games they've played as favorites this season.Boston has a record of 5-1 record when favored by -127 or more on the opening line  by oddsmakers this season and once again look like viable favs to back.  The Red Sox smashed the Cubs yesterday by a 17-0 count and now with momentum on their sides Im betting on them cashing again tonight .

 MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - after a game where they had 20 or more hits, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 26-7 L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite, a top-level team 62% or better) playing a team with a winning record are 11-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boston to win

Braves starter  Elder (1-0, 0.00 ERA) and Guardians starter  Lively (0-1, 2.38), are a viable  pair of right-handers who according to my projections matchup well here vs these batting orders. 

CLEVELAND is 23-9 UNDER in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage of .340 or better with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored.CLEVELAND is 27-14 UNDER  as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. 

Atlanta ha allowed a total of 5 runs in their L/4 games as the D, and pitching staff look to be in top form. 

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ATLANTA/ CLEVELAND) - in a game involving two top-level teams ( 62% or better ), playing on Sunday are 30-4 UNDER /L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. 

Play under

The Knicks look like they matchup well vs the Knicks and despite of a DD loss last time out, are more than capable of giving the76ers all they can handle in this spot post season betting situation. The Knicks are also very motivated as they feel a fragrant foul from Joel Embiid against Mitchell Robinson should have resulted in an ejection in game 3. Bad blood starting to form, here and tight tough battle is my call. 

NEW YORK is 31-19 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.NEW YORK is 21-10 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Thibodeau is 31-17 ATS  in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of NEW YORK.

Nurse is 9-22 ATS   off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival in all games he has coached since 1996. 

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

Dallas is the No. 1 seed in the West after garnering  a conference-best 113 points in the regular season. But the Stars are down 2-0 in this series, vs a experienced play off squad that knows how to win big games in post season action as their defending Stanely Cup status would signify. Vegas has won the L/6 meetings in this series and Im betting they get the job done here again tonight.DALLAS is 11-24 ATS   in the 3rd game of a playoff series since 1996.

Play on the Golden Knights to win on the money-line 

Orioles starter IRVIN is 8-0  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at  +2.5.  After getting upset yesterday by the As in the opner you can bet the sometimes explosive Os will be primed to bounce back. 

BALTIMORE is 34-12  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons.

MLB  Home teams (BALTIMORE) - very good offensive team (5.4  or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), with a slugging percentage of .440 or better over their last 20 games are 34-7 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Baltimore to win 

The Thunder are setting into a groove and when their in this kind of form  they are har4d to beat. This team looked like they were on a mission last time out , as they destroyed the Pelicans, 124-92 count. Im betting the home side will play better here tonight, but that wont be enough against a  defensively  determined looking Thunder that has allowed no more than 92 points in the first two games of this series.. I know its  highly likely tbhe 
thunder wont replicate the 59% FG conversion rate they had  last time out, but could easily still eclipse the 50% shooting plateau in what Im betting will be a road victory. 

NEW ORLEANS is 2-11 ATS  in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-11 ATS   after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons.OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-19 ATS  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 25-5  ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 40-7 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. are 9-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

. Both offenses are playing extremely well ,while both goaltenders are struggling vs explosive tick tack toe play with 11 goals scored in game 1 and 9 goals scored in game 2.

Note:Kings goalie Cam Talbot,  has now allowed three or more goals in eight of his last 10 starts dating back to the regular season. Talbot has garnered a ugly .883 SV% and 3.36 GAA over that time

Oilers golatender Skinner Dating back to the regular season  owns a  1-2 record  and nasty looking  .829 SV% and 5.49 GAA. Hes backed by a D, that looks in disarray at times which is reflected in thier 12th ranled Expected Goals Against per 60 minutes (xGA/60) at 5-on-5. ( 
that points to offense that is slow or lazy in transition. 

EDMONTON is 15-4 OVER  after 2 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8 gpg scored. 

Play over

 The Diamondbacks are averaging 5.73 runs per game and according to my early season pitcher vs batting order power rankings  have an edge for a  stellar outing vs Hancock (6.10 ERA) here today and could easily eclipse this totals offering  on their own. Meanwhile, Seattle despite of their struggling offense matchup well vs Gallen, who owns a 7.20 ERA in two road starts this season, and is backed by a bullpen that owns  4.83 ERA on the road this season. 

LOVULLO is 30-13 OVER  in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better as the manager of ARIZONA with a average of 10 rpg scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (SEATTLE) - sub standard AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less), cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games. are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% converison rate for bettors.

Play over

The Pacers were in true run and gun form in game 2 of this series winning by a 125-108 count. The Bucks will have to ramp up their attack here in game two or be blown of the court as Im betting the Pacers  on their own home floor will feed off the energy of the crowd and be in full flight. This will lead to a higher scoring affair than the linesmakers are estimating. INDIANA is 8-0 OVER in home games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 263.3 ppg scored. Carlisle is 15-3 OVER in April games as the coach of INDIANA with a combined average of 245.3 ppg scored. 

INDIANA is 40-21 OVER \ when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 241.1 ppg scored. INDIANA in their L/43   when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 236 ppg go on the board.

MILWAUKEE  in 39  road games this season has seen a combined average of 234.7 ppg scored.MILWAUKEE iin 20 games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season have seen a combined average of 247.7 ppg scored.

These teams have gone over in 5 of the L/6 meetings here in Indiana.

Play on the over

My. projections estimate that both these teams will produce +114 points in what the linesmakers expect to be a very close game  .LA LAKERS are 31-0 OVER  where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 253.2 ppg scored..DENVER is 16-2 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 244.5 ppg scored.

LA LAKERS L/30 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined score of 227.3 ppg scored.LA LAKERS  L/173 games versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 232.2 ppg scored. LA LAKERS in 48 games as a favorite this season have seen a combined average of 235.5 ppg scored.

DENVER 45 games this season  when playing against a team with a winning record has seen a combined average 221.2 ppg scored.

DENVERs 65 games  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season has seen a combined average of 222.9 ppg scored.

Play over

Orlando has its back up against the wall as they are down 2-0 in this series, and will now be primed for a huge bounce back performance here at home where they have played their best hoops this season winning 29 of their 40 games while covering 27 of those tilts. The last game between these two teams was a grinding affair in Cleveland with the Cavs pounding out a 96-86 win. Note: Bickerstaff is 0-10 ATS  in road games after a combined score of 185 points or less as the coach of CLEVELAND. Also Bickerstaff is 17-33 ATS L/50 in road games against Southeast division opponents in all games he has coached . 

CLEVELAND is 9-19 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

ORLANDO is 12-4 ATS in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season.

ORLANDO is 15-6 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season. ORLANDO is 11-2 ATS  in home games versus sub standard pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 37-4 L/28 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.8 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Favorites (ORLANDO) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 30-11 ATS L/28 seasons for. a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 

The Reds clinched a season series vs Philly with a 7-4, come-from-behind win on Wednesday and I project them to be a solid runline winner here today in a game that is expected to closely contested. It must be noted Reds starter Martinez will be making his first career start against Philadelphia, but the  right-hander has been dominant in five career relief appearances vs. the Phillies, allowing just one run and four hits over 10 1/3 innings with no decisions.PHILADELPHIA is 13-29 against the run line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 20-42   against the run line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 19-39  against the run line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons.CINCINNATI is 49-30 SU  vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Cincinnati +1.5 runline 

The Pelicans played the Thunder tough in game 1 of this series losing by a 94-92 count and now Im betting on another very close physical playoff game. Note: The road team in this series has covered 8 straight meetings and number 9 Im betting is on tonights agenda.

NEW ORLEANS is 21-12 ATS  as an underdog this season with a +0.5 ppg diff. NEW ORLEANS is 14-6 ATS as a road underdog this season with average ppg diff of +2.4.

Daigneault is 11-25 ATS in April games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.

Home teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record L/43 games dating back 5 seasons have seen a average ppg diff of +3.8 ppg . 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 58-25 ATS L/27 seasons for 68% conversion rate.

Play on New Orleans to cover

The White Sox have lost 11 of their 12 games on the road this season, in what has begun as an absolutely abysmal start  to their campaign which gives me little credence to consider them as viable underdogs. 

White Sox expected starter Crochet goes to the hill in  his sixth start of the season. He is 1-3 with a 5.61 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 25 2/3 innings pitched.The southpaws most recent appearance was on Friday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he threw three innings, surrendering seven earned runs while allowing five hits. In his current form he is fade material. Note: White Sox are averaging just 2.2 rpg scored. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 2-17  against the money line against right-handed starters this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 4-21   against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 2 seasons.

 MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - very bad AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), after a loss by 2 runs or less are 38-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to win

Atlanta routed the Marlins 5-0 Tuesday while cashing as a -258 home favorite and Im betting on another top tier effort from the Braves again as the weak bats of the Marlins (2.16 BA) go head to head against expected starting pitcher  Lopez  (2-0, 0.50 ERA) who makes his 4th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 9.0 BB/9 and 3.0 K/9 in 18 innings. The starter is backed with a solid Bullpen that has garnered a 3.38 ERA. Advantage Braves 

MIAMI is 4-16  against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MIAMI) - bad offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games. are 33-1 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff +3.6 which qualifies on this runline offering. 

ATLANTA is 2-0  against MIAMI this season with the victories coming by 5-0 and 3-0 scores.

The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)

Play on Atlanta to win -1.5 runline 

In game 1 of this series the  Celtics outscored the Heat 31-14 in the third quarter and led 91-59 entering the fourth. Needless to say, the Heats defense first  game plan did not work, and they now need to be more aggressive offensively or be blown off the court again. Tonight look for the Heat to try to speed their game up, and for more shots to drop and for a higher scoring game than the lines-makers expect.Mazzulla is 18-7 OVER after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half as the coach of BOSTON with a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. MIAMI in 26 games as a road underdog this season have seen a combined average of 213.8 ppg scored.MIAMI is 5-13 ATS in 18 games revenging a road loss vs opponent this season have seen a combined average of 218.8 ppg scored.

Play over

Everything seemed to go well for the Wolves in game 1, they made tough contested shots, grabbed a plethora of rebounds, and snatched and stole some errant passes from the Suns.However,  doing that two games in a row will be a tough assignment for the Wolves . Yes, Minnesota owns a great defense, but when the men from the Arizona desert are flying their hard to stop and Im betting that will be the case here as they get back into a groove and shoot at above tor at their season average . The Suns dominated the Wolves during the current campaign, winning all three reg season meetings by DDs, and Im now betting they bounce back. 

PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS  after scoring 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 7-17 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or more ) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 61-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Suns to cover

When these teams played last week the Nationals won 2 of 3 games, and once again look like vial-be runline underdogs here today in DC. The Dodgers were just 3-6 in their recent home stand and now traveling from west to east with very little momentum, must deal with a time zone change which could easily contribute to a down effort vs a home side that has won 3 of their L/4 trips to the diamonds . It must be noted Dodgers expected starter James Paxtion has seen his team lose his last 2 starts vs the Nats garnering. nasty 6.43 ERA , while losimng by combined 15-4 count. I know Paxton is 2-0 on the season, but could be in trouble vs a patient Washington batting order, as he owns a ugly walk-to-strikeout rate of 14-to-10 this season. 

MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (WASHINGTON) - starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings, with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 45-17 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on Washington +1.5 runline 

Denver ranks 6h in-defense ppg allowed , and 14th in offensive production and 27th in pace.Slow and and easy is the defending campions modus operandi, and nothing will chan ge today in the high altitudes of Rockies. Im betting the Nuggets play gridning physcial game as they look to slow down the Lakers and make them work hard for every point, which will lead to a lower socring game than the linesmakers number suggests. 

DENVER is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 215.3 ppg scored.DENVER is 16-6 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots this season with a combined average of 219 ppg scored.DENVER is 17-8 UNDER (+8.2 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored.DENVER is 8-0 UNDER  in home games against Pacific division opponents this season with a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored.

Five of the last eight games here in Denver have stayed under.

Play on the under

Pitching Trends:KCs expected starter SINGER is 17-6 OVER  as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with combined average of 10.6 rpg scored. Blue Jays expected starter KIKUCHI is 1-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 6.37 and a WHIP of 1.483. KIKUCHIin his L/11 starts  vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) have seen a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. Jays bullpen owns a sub par 5.24 ERA so far this season. KC has averaged 5.9 rpg at home this season.

QUATRARO in his L/ 32  in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season as the manager of KANSAS CITY has seen a combined average of 10 rpg scored. 

QUATRARO is 14-3 OVER  in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more as the manager of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. ( Lost to Baltimore 5-0 yesterday)

 MLB  teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (TORONTO) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 3.20 or less ) -AL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 start are 36-10 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with an average of 11.5 rpg scored.

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (KANSAS CITY/TORONTO) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 3.20 or better) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up  2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 70-30 OVER for a 70% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at 10.6 rpg .

Play over

Game one saw the Isles lose 3-1 with one of the goals they gave up being an empty netter. With  Carolina goaltender Frederik Andersen  making 33 saves in game one he looks like he is in a groove .Meanwhile,  Isles Im betting will struggle to score once again, while Carolina Im betting will find the sledding tough against a veteran Isles team that knows how to grind it out in play off hockey. Also the goaltending tandem of Sorokin and Varlamov are also considered to be a top tier pair of puck stoppers.

CAROLINA is 21-4 UNDER   against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or better  of their chances in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 5 gpg scored.

CAROLINA is 8-1 UNDER  in home games in April games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.6 gpg scored. 

The Carolina Hurricanes have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 95 games (+10.20 Units / 10% ROI)

Play under

These teams have a recent history of playing very physical defensive games in the recent past and Im betting on nothing changing here tonight in game two of this series. Three of the L/4 meetings have failed to eclipse this Totals offering. 

NEW YORK in 26 games  when leading in a playoff series since 1996 have seen a combined average of 174 ppg scored.

PHILADELPHIA is 9-0 UNDER  when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent this season with a combined average of 204.6 ppg scored. 

NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 28-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the under 

The Predators have claimed an upset victory in 18, or 47.4%, of the 38 games they have played as an underdog this season and are  9-8 when they are underdogs of +124 or more on the moneyline. The Canucks are a explosive offensive side, but their type of play is not as efficient in post season action vs a tough  Nashville group that is more physical than their opponents. In post season hockey gritty sides like the Preds deserve respect. Note: Canucks Brock Boeser (40 goals, 73 points) is less than 100% because of injury and uncertain to start this tilt. Also Nashvilles goaltender Saros has a reputation for being very streaky and that was apparent when he stood on his head during a 13-game stretch from Feb. 17 to March 23 in where  he went 11-0-2 with a 1.76 GAA and a .936 save percentage. He is a one man game changer. NHL Road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (NASHVILLE) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent by 2 goals or more, well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 20-7 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Nashville Predators to win 

The New Orleans Pelicans won Friday night's elimination game in the West play-in with a 105-98 victory over the Sacramento Kings and must not be under estimated in their ability to play this  Thunder side tough. I know Zion Williamson will be out, but the Pelicans have come together in efficiently and proved in a top tier defensive game to get here.  It must be noted that New Orleans is 4-1 SU L/5 here in Oklahoma City and the road team have covered seven straight meetings between these teams.Daigneault is 11-24 ATS  in April games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with a -9.6 ppg diff. NBA Underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 135 points or more are 64-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pelicans to cover

 The  Pacers since March 20,  have the best offense in the league and sit third in Net Rating and deserve respect here in Game 1 vs a Milwaukee side that is expected to be without their super star Giannis Antetokounmpo. 

MILWAUKEE is 10-21 ATS  as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a average ppg diff of -10.7. 

INDIANA is 12-1 ATS  in road games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996. INDIANA is 12-4 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

The Pacers have won the last two meetings and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today.

Play on Indiana to cover

This season, the Cubs have been favored seven times and won six of those games and own a  record of 6-1 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -128 on the moneyline and have the edge today according to my own own projections. I know Hendricks the Cubs starter might have some nasty early season numbers attached to his pitching profile, but it must be noted he will face a Miami side that has garnered a ugly .324 slugging percentage this season so far which is the second-lowest percentage in the majors.The Marlins also rank 27th in MLB with a .215 batting average. Im betting on Hendricks righting his ship and for the Cubs to do enough damage against the Marlins starter Cabrera to get us to the promised land of victory.

MIAMI is 1-9  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.MIAMI is 31-86 L/117 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MIAMI) - with a team on base percentage .300 or worse on the season (NL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or more over his last 3 starts are 7-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate. 

MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255or less) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.50 or more over his last 3 starts are 48-16 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play on Chicago to win

Baltimore evened up the series with the Royals Saturday night with a 9-7 victory but Im now betting on immediate limited  offensive production here today, mostly based on the output projections expected by the Royals . Note:The Orioles will start Lugo (3-0, 1.05 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 4.6 K/9 in 25 2/3 innings and has not allowed more than 2 ERS in any start and is off a shut out performance last time out.  KCs starter IRVIN in 6 career outings  when starting against KANSAS CITY has garnered a  ERA of 2.83 and a WHIP of 1.172 with all six games staying on the low side of the totals offering. 

Kansas City went gone under the total in 4 previous games before the Baltimore series began.

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (KC/ BALTIMORE) - in a game involving two top-level teams ( 62% or better ), playing on Sunday are 30-4 UNDER L/27 seasons with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored.

Play under

The Phillies offense is finally starting to roll and have scored 5, 7, 7 runs in their L/3 trips to the diamonds and Im betting on more production today vs expected starting Right-hander Michael Soroka (0-2, 6.98 ERA) . Im also betting the Phillies will be primed to support right-hander Zack Wheeler (0-3, 3.00 ERA), who hasn't received much run support this season. QUOTE: "It's frustrating," Manager Thomson said. "We haven't really swung the bats in his starts. That'll change."

 PHILADELPHIA is 72-43 UNDER  in home games after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games with a combined average of 8.7 rpg scored.

PHILADELPHIA is 16-5 OVER   in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored .PHILADELPHIA is 20-8 OVER in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.6 rpg scored.

MLB  team (CHI WHITE SOX) - struggling AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 34-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. 

MLB team (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (AL), with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games are 50-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 11 rpg. 

Play over

Islanders are red hot having won 8 of their L/9 and have a recent history of playing the Carolina Canes tough. I know the Canes are what we might consider the better team, but the Isles goalie tandem of Sorokin and Varlamov are on fire at the moment and in the play offs we are talking q whole new season. Islanders have the edge. 

NY ISLANDERS are 8-1 ATS in April games this season.

NHL  team against the money line (CAROLINA) - as a # 2 seed in the playoffs, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 7-22 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on NYI to win 

The Suns finished off their reg season with a astounding 125-106 win at Minnesota as underdogs for their third straight win this season vs the Wolves. With that said, Im now betting the Wolves will be ready for redemption/revenge against a team that has soundly beat them this season. Note:PHOENIX is 4-16 ATS L/20  in road games off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog . Also

MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season. MINNESOTA is 10-0 ATS  revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 39-8 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs (PHOENIX) - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a home loss are 101-150 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to win/cover

The Magic have played some great defensive ball this season, but their offense can sometimes be stagnant and have been a better team at home in the Magic Kingdom, than they have been on the road. A tell take sign for me going against Orlando today was because they were just  5-10 SU against top-six defenses like the Cavs, averaging 104.4 points per game, Considering the Cavs are fairly healthy at least from the starting unit  perspective with Donovan Mitchell, Darius Garland, Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen all expected to play, they have a pronounced edge at home. NBA team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 27-4 with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.2 which qualifies on the ATS offering. CLEVELAND is 5-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons at home. 

Play on the Cavaliers to cover

The Kings are off a conclusive victory last time out, vs Golden State by a 118-94 count. Note: SACRAMENTO L/16 after allowing 105 points or less this season have seen a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored. Meanwhile, the Pelicans lost a 110-106 battle to the experienced Lakers last time out, but Im betting on them being more aggressive here tonight offensively which in turn will help us see the combined score eclipse this offering. Brown L/42 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of SACRAMENTO has seen a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored.

The nine most recent meetings in this series have all eclipsed this totals offering and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here again tonight. 

NEW ORLEANS L/72 games  versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored.

SACRAMENTOs L/41 in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons haver seen a combined average of 232.8 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO L/24 in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 231.4 ppg scored. 

SACRAMENTO L/12 in road games when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.2 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SACRAMENTO) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 65-37 OVER L/27 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the over

In a game like this the physicality  and die heard defense that ranks 3rd in NBA in ppg allowed gives the  the Heat  an advantage. The Bulls rank 16th in the league in D, and their offense has generally been sub standard  ranking 22nd in ppg output. 

MIAMI is 22-10 ATS  in April games over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams (MIAMI) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 34-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors 

Play on Miami to cover

My own projections estimate a combined score in the 211-to 214  range giving us a 2 possession edge to the over. I know Miami is a defense first team, but when pushed- which they will be- can light up the scoreboard with some offensive fireworks of their own. Note: The Heat have gone over in 9 of their L/10 overall.  

MIAMI L/77 games as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored. MIAMI in 7  road games revenging a home loss vs opponent this season have seen a combined average of 219 ppg scored ( Lost 109-105 to Phil on April 4th) MIAMI in L/ 44 games   when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 220.4 ppg scored. ( lost last two meetings)

MIAMI is 17-4 OVER  in April games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.3 ppg scored. 

Nurse in 27 games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season as the coach of PHILADELPHIA has seen a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored.

PHILADELPHIA is 17-7 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 234.7 ppg scored.

NBA team (MIAMI) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half have seen a combined average of 227.7 ppg scored during a current 65 game sample size over the L/5 seasons. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more have seen a combined average of 213.5 ppg scored over a 233 sample size going back 27 seasons.

Play over

The Islanders have already clinched a play off spot and could rest as many as 5 players tonight so they don't risk injuries . This also the Isles 3rd game in 5 nights.  Meanwhile, the Pens still have a chance at a play off spot and must at least win this game to get their shot and Im betting they leave everything on the ice and grab the victory. 

NY ISLANDERS are 16-31 ATS (+49.2 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 5 days this season.

NHL Road Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (PITTSBURGH) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 5 or more goals, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season in the second half of the season are 113-52 L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pens to win 

The Tigers were able to get redemption for a 1-0 loss in the series opener on Monday and grabbed a  4-2 victory on Tuesday afternoon by garnering  two runs in the eighth inning and get the nod again here today.

 Note: Texas starter DUNNING is 7-20  against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)DUNNING is 3-10   against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 0-9 against the money line in road games against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record)  DUNNING is 4-18 against the money line in road games in the first half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 1-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.73 and a WHIP of 1.020.

Left-hander Tarik Skubal (2-0, 2.08 ERA) is expected to start the third game of the four-game set for Detroit against the Rangers. Skubal collected his second victory of the season on Friday when he held the Minnesota Twins scoreless for five innings and enters this game with momentum. SKUBAL is 7-1  against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record) The Tigers bullpen also hasn't allowed a run over 5 2/3 innings in the series and Im betting will give Skubal the support he needs when and if he leaves this game. 

Considering Texas has scored two runs or fewer in four of the past six games their current from suggests their host has the advantage. 

Play on the Tigers to win 

My projections place this game total in the high 220s to low 230s, giving us at least one possession plus edge on this current totals offering. My estimates also suggest both sides will score +114 points- Note:LA LAKERS are 31-0 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 253.2 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 15-1 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 250.4 ppg scored.

The Lakers rank 6th in NBA in offensive production and a lowly 23rd in defensive ppg allowed and a speedy 4th in pace. Meanwhile, the Pelicans rank 13th in offensive production, and 8th in ppg allowed, behind the 17th ranked pace, but those numbers are a little deceiving as they have allowed  a 46.7 % FG conversion rate from opponents at home and in their L/5 overall games entering this game have allowed a 49.7 % FG conversion rate.

Pelicans have gone over in 3 straight games and 7 of their L/9 , while the Lakers have gone over in 4 straight and 6 of their L/7. 

LA LAKERS L/8 after scoring 120 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 234.8 ppg scored.

LA LAKERS are 23-13 OVER  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 231.4 ppg scored. 

LA LAKERS are 9-1 OVER  in road games against Southwest division opponents this season with a combined average of 240.8 ppg scored. 

LA LAKERS are 22-7 OVER when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 239.4 ppg scored.

Ham  in 134 games vs sides like the Pelicans allowing a  46% or more defensive FG conversion rate  as the coach of LA LAKERS has seen a combined average of 236 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or  of their shots over a 143 game sample size have seen a combined average of 228 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (NEW ORLEANS) - average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 62-31 OVER L/27 seasons with a average combined score of 230.5 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW ORLEANS) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games have seen a combined average of 233.3 ppg over a 245 game sample size. 

Play over

The Guardians improved their road record to 8-2 with Monday's 6-0  win at Fenway and have obvious momentum entering this game vs their hosts the BoSox.  Note: BOSTON is 8-17  against the money line in home games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 15-32  against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. 

BOSTON is 2-14  against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Cleveland starter BIBEE is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.200

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are just 18-41 L/27 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB  Road teams (CLEVELAND) - after 5 straight games where they had less than 10 hits, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 10 games are 60-33 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to win 

The Kings are playing great hockey right now have won 5 of their L/6, and have dominated tonights competition the Wild this season, beating them by 7-3 and 6-0 counts. Meanwhile, Minny has lost 4 of their L/6 while allowing 21 goals despite of a road win vs lowly San Jose last time out  , and things could easily roll out of control here in LA tonight  as Goalie Gustavsson is set to start. He owns a  . 898 save percentage and minus-6.0 goals saved above expected, and has lost his last three trips to the golden pond. The Kings have won by 2 goals or more in 6 of their L/8 home victories and get the nod again in this spot play situation. 

Play on the LA Kings -1.5 to win  

Right-hander Cal Quantrill (0-2, 7.20 ERA),  will start Monday's game for Colorado and is fade material in his current form.  I know Philadelphia has scored more than five runs in a game just once this year, and the offense has looked inconsistent, but this is a major break out situation for the Phillies. Quote: "We have to get going offensively, which I think we will. I don't think that's a question at all," said Turner, per the Press of Atlantic City. "I feel like we're in a good spot, and we'll get rolling." EndQuote:

Phillies starter Aaron Nola (2-1, 4.50 ERA) and this will be his fourth start this season for the Phillies. The right-hander allowed two runs on three hits in six innings in the Phillies 4-3 victory  last week against the Cardinals in St. Louis and gets my backing in this spot play. 

COLORADO is 4-40  against the money line as a road underdog of +200 or more over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.2 which easily quaflies on this run-line offering. 

MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (COLORADO) - after a game where they had at least 10 less hits than their opponent, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games are 11-40 L/27 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.1. 

Play on Philadelphia to win -1.5 runline 

Chicago has allowed 4, 5,5 goals in their L/3 trips to the ice and Im betting nothing changes today vs the Carolina Canes. With nothing left to play for Im betting the Blackhawks being very loose and  aggressive offensively vs the Canes, with little tp no forechecking , and for the Canes to very likely over looking their opponents which could lead to a bigger output by the home side than the linesmakers anticipate. CHICAGO is 6-0 OVER in home games after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game this season with a combined average of 7.2 gog scored. ( Lost to Nashville last time out by a 5-2 count)

CAROLINA is 8-1 OVER in road games after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 gpg scored. (Carolinas just beat Boston 4-1 and St.Louis 5-2)

Carolina beat Chicago 6-3 earlier this season, and a rinse repeat combined score is not out of the question)

NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (CHICAGO) - after allowing 4 goals or more 3 straight games against opponent after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored are 24-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over

Play over