At home Vardar hasn't lost a game yet. Macedonia's last year Champion fell into the Europe League from Champions League where they lost to Copenhagen 1-0 at home(win) and 1-4 on the road (loss). Fener historically does not play well in Europe League, it is like a second cast for them. Those players with millions contract are too prideful to waste energy on games with Macedonian teams. Vardar will come more motivated and the crowd support will lead to a local success in this particular home game

In last two Europe League games, Everton showed that they are not going to use main resources for Europe League. A very weak Slovenian team was beaten only 1-0, 1-0 twice. Hajduk is an experienced team by themselves and they won't let Everton squad rotation players to dominate. Most likely this game will be very scoreless and poor on dangerous attacks.

Jurgen Klopp has never been a defensive coach and Hoffenheim has always been a team oriented for attack. In the first game of the season, Liverpool had a back to back amazing match against Watford which ended 3-3. I believe that Klopp does not go to Germany to park a bus. I am not sure that Liverpool will be able to win this one, even though the odd is so seductive, but the 1-2, 2-1, 2-2 score is a confident bet to have on this game

Shakhtar never has easy wins in Olexandria. Last and only time when a team from Donetsk won a game with more than 1 goal difference was 9 games ago! This season Shakhtar does not show a super scoring football and therefore we can't expect a team to do well in such a difficult road game for any team in Ukrainian League. A handicap on Olexandria is one of the TOP plays of Saturday.

Burnley is not an easy team to just walk through. We all remember those 4:3 against Liverpool last year. Chelsea didn't play well in a pre-season at all and few days ago they lost a SuperCup game against Arsenal. In addition to everything, their main star Eden Hazard is injured and is not included into the starting line up for today's game. 

Liverpool did extremely well on a preseason: there was only one loss to Atletico Madrid and an absolutely sensational win 0-3 against Bauern. A newcommer Mohammed Salah seems to be a right player on the right spot.  The only problem that looks like to bother a team is a saga with Coutinho's trasnfer to Barca. I believe this is not going to prevent Liverpool to have a confident win in Watford

Veres had 3 first games ended as 0-0. Zorya is struggling very much after majority of players left the team in summer. Nothing says towards the goals in this match, I would risk to predict a total under 1.5 here, so those who want to take a good odd for a valued risk is a total under 1.5 for this game. A much safer and confident is a play with total under 2. 

In all of the five games between each other these two teams scored more than 4 goals. There is a good pattern for a total over 3 with a quiet worthy odd. This is a pure statistical bet where the base is a pattern of certain results. 

I don't like how Zorya is playing so far and even though Olimpik had a very difficult road game in Greece, I still believe that they will be able not to loose in this game. Zorya lost their key players in summer and right now they are trying to find new ways of winning. So far it does not bring them a positive result.

The opposition that these two guys have faced is a huge difference. Evans has fought against the best and he is the former light heavyweight champion of the world. Alvey is one of the most unorthodox fighters on the roster: he looks so dis-coordinated but still manages to get his victories. Evans coming to this fight on a three fights loosing streak and he needs this win. Alvey didn't have many opponents as skillful as Rashad so I believe this is going to be Evans's win most likely by decision.

Both of these fighters have a high percentage of finishes and I believe that the fight is not going to go to decision here. I would predict Soukhamthath to win here via knockout but Perez is also a puncher and Andre does not have a granite chin or good defense. So for this pair the best pick would be total under or, otherwords, fight will be ended inside the distance.

SKA is one of the main teams to be blown out of the division at the end of the season. They show a very poor football mostly sitting on their side of the pitch. On the other hand, it is good for us handicappers to catch total under on their games. In a game against CSKA they lost only 2 goals and of course didn't score any. With Loko, I believe, the situation is going to repeat: Loko will score one or two goals and leave their net empty. The win for Loko goes under a very small odd, so we are playing a total here

In last three games neither of these teams scored more than 2 goals. We are dealing with a very low scoring teams and the most logical decision is to play total under here. If we look on friendlies as well, then we can see a pattern that both of these teams didn't score more than 2 goals in last 5 games! If to add up then in last 10 games there was no total over 2.5! A very logical and statistical decision is under 2.5 here for a quiet worthy odd

PSG is playing against the last year Division 2 team. Paris is one of the most ambitious teams in the world, which was proved by signing Neymar this summer. I believe that a newcommer of the league won't stand any chance against a Paris machine on Stad de France. PSG is too strong, too ambitious, and would like to show right away their plans for the season, especially after yesterday's struggle of their main opponent Monaco.

These teams played 3 games against each other in Lviv and all those 3 games were with less than 2 goals scored. I don't see any reasons why would this time these careful teams become reckless and go score for the God sake. Stal is playing a very pragmatic football with minimum risk especially away so most likely this pair is going to play a dry draw or maximum a 1-1 draw

The line is very close for this game even though on my opinion, Terek is a favorite. Ufa so far has not lost a game yet, but it can continue forever: they are not a top team of Russian league and they won't be able to stay lucky all the time. Why lucky, because they played 0-0 with Spartak and it was a miracle that they didn't loose as well as in all of the other games they didn't have the advantage on the pitch. I don't think that Ufa will be able to win here and the worst that can happen is a draw and in this case we will get a push

Victoria was playing good in a road game in Romania and it gives a hope that the Chech team will qualify next. I don't believe these teams are going to play 0-0: Steaua will go for a kill and will miss a counter attack. Viktoria plays very good at home and especially on counter attacks. A comfortable win of the Chech team: 2-0, 2-1

CSKA is not famous for their defense and AEK needs to score in this game. The first game ended 2-0 and AEK is coming to Moscow to score at least 2 goals. I believe that they will be able to score at least once which will make CSKA to attack and they can do it very well. The score here is going to be 1-2, 2-1 in either side

Slutsk and Naftan have played against each other 7 times and 6 times there was only 1 goal scored and once 2 goals were scored. Not even once the total over 2.5 was beaten. So far the statistics gives us 100% probability and -150 is a fantastic odd for this kind of statistic. Belarus league is a very low scoring league and in addition to this we have a fantastic statistics that proves a point of a very worthy odd

Cerrone in 170 lbs was doing well until Masvidal. But even in Matt Brown's fight there were obvious holes in Cowboy's game. Cerrone is too small for 170 lbs, where fighters are hitting much harder than in 155 lbs. Lawler is a big puncher and a former champion in this weight class. In his last fight he got knocked out by Woodley and took a one year delay. Cerrone was knocked out my Masvidal just few month ago and I believe that Cerrone's head is not ready to take another punishment again. Lawler is going to land his one-two all day and this will weather lead to a TKO or Cerrone will be beaten by points

A lot of people believe that Oezdemir is a stranger in the TOP 5 of light heavyweights and I am with those people. He could barely beat OSP in a very competitive 3 round fight and knocked out Cirkunov by hitting his chin under a very lucky angle. Manuwa is a much more experience in UFC fighter, he has a better reach and he won't have to jump like Cirkunov and therefore won't be countered by Oezdemir. This time, it is Oezdemir who will have to solve the reach advantage puzzle. I believe that the fight is going to be very slow paced where one of Manuwa's  right hand will hit the button and the fight will be over

Barao is a former bantamweight champion and a former pound for pound best fighter in UFC. After his looses to Dillashaw, Barao has fallen out of that league. In 135 lbs, Sterling would probably be able to beat Barao as the Brazilian does not have a good cardio there due to a massive weight cut. In a catchweight, Barao's chances grow in times. He is a much stronger and bigger guy with a supreme takedown defense so Sterling will have to spend a fight on his feet where it is very difficult to beat Barao. So far, there was only one person who was able to beat Barao on feet - TJ Dillashaw. Sterling is not even close to Dillashaw and therefore I expect a KO or a decision win for Barao

Brooks is an undefeated flyweight with a good wrestling base. Flyweight division does not have a lot of talent and interesting fighters and UFC is definitely interested in keeping Brooks undefeated record. I believe this is a comfortable match up for him and he will be able to out wrestle Shelton and get a victory by decision  

Terek has started very well, with two victories in first two tours. Dynamo played well against Spartak but lost to Ural in the home game. The odd on Terek is set too high on this game. They have a better squad, a more used to each others team, and a better condition. I believe this is more than 50% win chance for the home team which means that this is our value bet

I don't like how Shakhtar is playing this season. They won a Super Cup but they didn't show a good game there and lost to Dynamo in first tour by all of the parameters. Stal is oppositely playing very good, winning 0-1 and 0-1 their two first games. So far, Stal didn't miss any goal in their net. I don't see how Shakhtar can score a lot in this game and +2.5 handicap is a really good bet on this pair

CSKA just had a very difficult game in Champions League against AEK and moreover it was a road game in Greece and it is quiet a distance to cover from Moscow to Athens. CSKA has a very tight calendar and most likely they don't have enough energy for 90 minutes of a game. SKA will come to Moscow with the goal of defending their net so this leads to thoughts that the game is not going to be a highscoring one

Bermudez should be a huge favorite of the fight. Elkins had a miracle KO against Bektic and therefore he was able to climb up into the TOP-15. Bermudez has a superior wrestling and good punches, Elkins won't be able to do anything on feet or on the ground. Bermudez will have to watch out Elkins knee while completing a take down and this is the only way how Dennis can loose this fight

Jimmie Rivera is one of the TOP fighters in 135lbs. I don't know why promoters don't give him any fights against TOP-10 fighters in the division. Rivera literally destroyed one of the best fighters of all time and Hall of Famer Faber. Thomas Almeida, as for me, is very overestimated. He has good punching power but his wrestling and his defense is not his strong side. Rivera is going to reveal all of those weak sides of the young Brazilian

Bochniak is a big underdog in this pair and I don't quiet agree with this. Kennedy is his previous UFC fights didn't show anything besides his ability to take guys down. Bocnniak himself is a good wrestler and was able to stop 88% of takedowns tried on him. The chances to win here are close to be equal, in my opinion. Bookmaker gives Kennedy as a big favorite which I strongly disagree with. This is a value bet of the night 

"Loko" had a very difficult first tour game against a weak Arsenal. Majority of experts expected a blow out from the "Railroaders" but they could barely won 1-0 and had really tough time at the end of the game. Lokomotiv does not have upcoming Champions League and therefore they didn't have to force their peak of shape to the beginning of a season, like CSKA did. Right now, CSKA is in a better physical form than Lokomotiv. Having said that, let's take a look on Loko's schedule for a past week: they had 2 games in 6 days and this is going to be their third game in 9 days! It is a very dense schedule for a team that is only starting to gain their physical conditions. The match is going to become more and more one sided to the end of the game. In the first half Loko will be able to keep their net safe but in the second half they will get tired and loose concentration. I would have 2 plays on this game: CSKA to win and more goals to be scored in the second half than in the first half

I have an advantage over a bookmaker in this case as I keep a very close eye on Ukrainian Championship. Ukraianian First League is not a popular League to bet on and the odds on the games are never perfect. Bookmaker misses a lot of key details that is going on in Ukrainian football. Nowadays, the teams are not scoring a lot of goals because of the crisys in the country: Clubs do not have money to provide their players with and therefore the majority of the players are hometown players, especially in the League One. Crowd does not go to the stadium and the games are happening basically in silence. Nothing motivates a player to run more or to score more: there is no money and no fans. Volyn has been showing themselves as a team that likes 1-0, 0-1 in either side. I really like the total under in this pair because of the specifics that I have mentioned above

Jose likes to do a lot of experiments in the preseason and he has a very bad statistics against Guardiola. Man City will most likely have a squad closer to the main squad than United. Last 4 games these teams played on the total under but this is a friendly this is why players will feel less responsible for the score. I believe that Guardiola will want to win this more than Jose and therefore put more main roster players into today's squad

First away game was a total nightmare for Utrecht. They managed to shoot only 2 times on target and the majority of time the ball was in the middle of the pitch. At home, they will be more aggressive and play in a more attacking football. At the same time, a missed goal at home worth 2 away goals and that's why Utrecht still will be looking back and try not to miss any goal in their net. According to the first game, I don't expect a lot of goals in the home game for Utrecht either.

Honved has lost the first game 1-2 but it was an away game and they played a very good football. Honved had more shots on target and didn't loose in possession. Knowing how hard it is to play in Israel for guest teams because of the synthetic pitch and terrible humidity, Honved played very well. At home in Hungary, Honved has to win the game in order to qualify next. I believe, they are capable of doing it but in order to play safe, I suggest to take Honved or a draw. It is a good and safe pick for a good odd. 

Sheriff had numerous chances to win bigger than 1-0 at home, but they hit the post 2 times, and the Albanian keeper was saving over and over again. In order to qualify next, Sheriff must at least end it up with a draw. After the first game, there is an understanding that Sheriff is a much better team, with better players and higher motivation. Kukesi was just involved into the fixed games scandal and UEFA won't let this team to qualify next. I think that if the wonder will happen and Kukesi will be winning the game, the referees will do everything in their power to let Sheriff at least not loose in this game as Kukesi right not is not a wanted team to participate in Euroleague for UEFA.

I am taking this bet only because of the odd. Under 2.5 for +250 in UFC between good fighters is a definetely value bet. These fighters like go to distance, but they are not flyweights and both know how to hit hard. I believe this fight has chances to be over inside the distance and therefore suggest to take this +250 odd as a value bet

I believe that the weigh difference will play a huge role in this bout. The only fighter in the heavyweight history who was a small and successful guy was Fedor. Mulheron is no where near close to the "Last Emperor". 30 pounds of weight difference will play a huge role in ground game. Mulheron does not have enough striking skills to keep this fight on feet for 3 rounds. Sooner or later Willis will bring this fight down to the ground and beat the smaller guy up

Terek had a great pre season, beating some TOP teams in Europe. They found new sponsors, signed up new players and I believe they will start from a victory over a team whose ambitions not getting higher than survival in the premier league

Bofando is a much bigger and much more experienced guy here. Ward is fighting at home in Britain but this won't give him too much of an advantage over a guy who walks outside of the octagon over 200 pounds. Bofando will most likely put Ward to sleep but the total for this bout is only 1.5 so I prefer to pick a simple victory for Bofando

Teymur surprised everybody in his debut by beating one of the most exciting prospects Lando Vanatta. He showed great durability and great striking accuracy. I am surprised that he does not go as a huge favorite in this pair and -182 is a quiet high odd on Teymur who is on my opinion a huge favorite in this match up

Stal is a very tough team to play against in Ukrainian League. This team does not have stars but they are a real home team who plays for the town and for the coach. Zorya didn't play good in pre-season friendlies so I believe they won't be able to score a lot of goals against Stal tomorrow

These two teams have played last 6 games scoring less than 2 goals. This is the first tour of the season and none of the players have gained top conditions yet, therefore we will see about 60 minutes of football and then it will be just lazy walk around the pitch. I predict a total under in this game

I like Zeljeznicar in this pair. AIK had an unexpectedly difficult round against a no-name team. Zeljeznicar is the top team in their championship and an experience team in Europe League qualification. At least at home, they should give a good tough match to AIK

I like Haugesund not to loose here. Lech is a strong team but Norway teams are very athletic and play in aggressive football. I believe that this game most likely will end up a draw like 1-1

Galatasatay is completely another level team. Ostersunds can win only if Turkish will come unfocused and unprepared. I believe that +110 is a worthy odd to bet on in this case. Away team has much bigger chances than 50%

Zaria has lost last games with a huge deficit like 5-0, 5-1 in their home champtionship. Apollon is an every year Europe League team. They should decide the winner in this pair right away at home

Kalju is a top Estonia team but they can be competitive only in Estonia. I am positive that Videoton will solve the problem of qualifying to the next round in the first game. The difference in level is too obvious here

HJK need to win at least with a 2 goals gifference in order to be promoted next without extra time. HJK is a beast at home with 18 scored goals versus 0 forfeited! I am sure that HJK will be able to score more than 2 goals at home. I would recommend to take a risk and take HJK -3.5 for 1% of a bank. Who has an opportunity to bet on HJK -3.5 can use the high odd on this pick

Milsami is a team that two years ago made problems for Saint-Ettienne in the Play-Off round. It was a surprise to see them loosing to Fola even on the road. Trailing 1-2, Milsami will have to win the home game in order to qualify next and I am sure they will be able to do it 

Slutsk didn't beat total over 2.5 goals in 5 out of 6 last home games. They are playing against another "dry" team - Dnepr. Very unlikely these team will score 3 goals today, especially knowing that their last 5 games between each other ended up to be less than 2 goals 

These two teams sometimes score a lot of goals to each other but usually after a high scoring game they have a low scoring game. The last game between them ended up 0-4. According to statistics between these two teams, this means that the next one is going to be a low scored one. In the championship in general, Gomel has scored only 5 goals and forfeited 2 goals on the road

A very confident play, where a Chech Republic Champion is playing against a 2nd division team. They have played 4 Friendlies and all 4 Friendlies ended up similar: Victoria won all of them. This year, Plzen is playing Friendlies extremely well: 3 victories in 3 games and this would be just another game and just another win for them

In Friendlies, Budapest has won against Cegldi all 3 times they played and won decisively. I don't see why would they loose this year against a team was one of the worst in the lower division of Hungary

Vorskla is a team that loves total unders. They haven't scored more than 2 goals for last 11(!) games. This is a great ground to stand on when you use statistics. There is a huge possibility this match also be "dry" as previous 11 games

There is absolutely no way how Christensen can win this fight. Reyes is a devastating puncher, a young blood of the UFC. Watching his previous fights, I can say that he might be a very interesting prospect with the champion ambitions. Christensen in his 3 UFC fights didn't show anything at all: no speed, no grappling, and no aggression. There only thing I can give him credit for is for good timing but this won't be enough to beat a hungry debutant

Clay Guida is a veteran of the MMA. He has 46 fights under his belt and this definetily has left a certain print on his chin and his stamina. In his last 4 fights he is 1 win and 3 loses and all loses were inside the distance. Koch got his last 3 wins via TKO or Sub so I don't think in this fight fighters will go the full distance. 

Both fighters are finishers, both fighters have iron in their fists and this light heavyweight bout is very unlikely to go full distance. Vettori is a favorite in this fight but the odd is not worthy enough to take him as a winner, so we are going to bet on this fight to be over inside the distance 

Johnny Case goes as an underdog in this fight and I don't understand why. For me, Case should be a favorite as he is more experienced in the octagon, brings more punching power and a better takedown defense. Martin has a better jiu-jitsu and this is his only advantage over Case.

Lorenz Larkin has changed UFC on Bellator because UFC didn't pay him enough and now he is a title challenger. Douglas Lima has accidentally won the title in his last fight against Koreshkov. Lima, even though is a champion, is less experienced in big fights. Larkin is on a win streak and has a lot of experience from the tough UFC fights unless Lima

Gallagher is trying to be a new McGregor. So far he has an undefeated record and he is facing a strong opponent this time. Chinzo Machida, a brother of Lyoto, is a dangerous opponent and very doubtfully this fight will go to distance. Gallagher is too young and unexperienced so I wouldn't risk betting on his win. Instead, I pick this fight not go to distance for -105

Macedonia is one of the most unappreciated teams on the Europe U-21 Cup. They are playing good but still don't manage to win a game yet. Even in a game where they lost 5-0 to Spain, Macedonia played good and didn't deserve to loose that badly. In order to proceed next, Macedonia needs to win this game and they will be able to escape from the group. 

Takanori Gomi has gone to sleep 3 times in the first round in his last 3 fights. He is too old and his chin has taken too much punishment by now. He was put to sleep by fighters like Lauzon and Miller who do not possess punching power. John Tuck will easily put Gomi away in the first round. This is a very good bet with a good odd. IF you are able to pick Tuck to win in the first round, then don't hesitate and catch a good odd

There are no doubts about Harris winning this fight. He is too powerful for Asker. But the odd is too low so we are looking at totals. This fight will very unlikely go to the third round. Two rounds is more than enough for Walt Harris to knock the weak opponent out. Total under 1.5 is a great bet for this match up

This is a fight between so called "grasshoppers". Both Caceres and Dy are strikers who like to exchange kicks and beating around the bush. I do not see any of them forcing the knock out or slag fest. Most likely this fight goes to decision, where Caceres will win via unanimous.

Carlos de Tomas is a huge underdog here for basically no reason. He is a fighter with a perfect record (8-0-0) who is facing a japanese mixed martial artist Naoki Inoue who has at least 2 arguable split decisions over weak opponents. The odds here are very imbalanced and why won't we try to catch a good deal by betting on the underdog

Lucie Pudilova is a much better striker when a korean girl is a better grappler. On Pudilova's side there are experience in UFC and better game on the feet. In my opinion, this would be enough to beat a newcomer.