I am going with the Cowboys to win and cover the spread at the same time.

The Cowboys deserve their place in the playoffs whereas the Packers can consider themselves fortunate.

Home advantage is very important to the Cowboys, they are 8-0 and all their best wins have come in from of their fans.

Even if this game was in the Packers backyard I would still have gone with the Cowboys to win by at least a TD.

Take the Cowboys -7

The Packers can secure a spot in the wild-card round by defeating the Bears at Lambeau Field, although the Bears are already eliminated. That said the Bears have hit top form in recent weeks.

They have won four of their last five games, however, the Packers, too, have seen improved performance in the latter part of the season, winning five of their last seven games.

The Packers have the edge historically having won the last nine games and remember, the Packers beat the Bears 38-20 in week one.

I get that the Bears are in good form but the Packers, at home, also in good form should be too much for the Bears and while I do not expect another 18 winning margin, I do expect it to be three or more.

Take the Packers to cover the spread

Securing a victory against the already-eliminated Titans will hand the Jaguars the divisional title. so they clearly have a lot to play for and one of the reasons I feel they will win and win by a decent score.

The Jaguars know a defeat would render them dependent on other outcomes, possibly resulting in them missing the playoffs altogether and they will give everything to avoid that happening today.

That said, The availability of Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence is uncertain due to a shoulder injury but I suspect he will start.

The Titans will, of course, want to spoil the Jaguar's party but I just do not see that happening, I am convinced the Jaguars will be up for this and will come through the other side victorious.

Take the Jaguars -4

This could be considered a nostalgic pick considering this may be the last time we see Bill Belichick in charge of the Patriots but I have no interest in that other than the crowd and probably players will be fully invested in this game being a winning one for the coach.

Basically, the Patriots have been improving, even in defeat in recent weeks, they have kept scores much closer and have registered a number of decent wins while the Jets have hardly been setting the world alight with just two wins in their last nine games.

With the context of this game and the fact that the Patriots are playing better than the Jets, I am going for a New England win and by at least three points.

Take the Patriots to cover the spread.

This is a mismatch and the spread should be a fair bit more.

The Panthers are the worst team in the league, their dismal record of 2-14 is a testament to that and even though, on occasions, they have been a little bit competitive, they are not a good team and are there for the taking.

The Bucs will want to win to clinch the AFC South title and playing such a poor side like the Panthers is simply a gift, it will take some doing by Tampa Bay not to secure an easy win today.

Take the Bucs to cover the spread.

Well, this one is fairly simple to sort out, you lose and you are out, you win and you are through to a wild-card spot and if Jacksonville loses tomorrow then whichever team wins would take the AFC South title. 

So, this is an everything to play for game and it is the Texans I am backing to emerge as the winners and cover the spread.

At the start of the season I had zero, below zero, hopes of the Texans making the playoffs but they have proven a lot of people wrong, they just keep coming no matter what happens, they bounce back as much as a tennis ball, they are a resilient, if inconsistent team.

The Colts are also inconsistent but I feel they lack the same resilience and determination as the Texans and that may well be crucial in this game.

There are good reasons to back the Colts, they are at home and a number of their offensive players have returned but the same can be said of the Texans, there are good reasons why they are worth backing, their young QB for example who must be a contender for the offensive rookie of the year.

I am backing the Texans based on the eye test, I have seen both these teams regularly this season and it is Houston that has impressed me more and shown me more when the chips are down.

All things considered, I am backing the Texans by at least three points.

The Dallas Cowboys, after a promising five-game winning streak, find themselves at a crossroads following back-to-back losses to the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins.

For Dallas, this game represents another significant test of their mettle and resilience. The recent setbacks have raised questions about their ability to perform under pressure, especially against formidable opponents. As they face the Lions, a team with a mix of motivations and a head coach with a competitive mindset, the Cowboys must rise to the occasion to prove their championship credentials.

The stakes are high for both teams. The Cowboys seek redemption after consecutive losses, while the Lions aim to solidify their playoff position. 

Of course, the Lions are a very strong opponent and could easily take the win this evening but I just cannot see the Cowboys falling for the third consecutive game against a top opponent, I believe they have it within them not to only beat the Lions but to do it by at least a TD.

Take the Cowboys to cover the spread.

This is one of those games where it is the spread that makes all the difference. I fully expect that the Browns will win this but I do not see them being more than a TD ahead of the Jets.

The Jets are capable of being beaten heavily and the Browns can inflict a big defeat but more often than not, the Jets are closer to superior teams in their losses and the Browns are not always convincing in their wins.

All things considered, I am backing the Jets to be more competitive than what some may expect.

Take the Jets +7.5

The Giants are not a very good team but they are capable of putting in the odd good performance they have won three of their last four matches and you know they will be motivated to do something against the Eagles.

The wheels have come off slightly for the Eagles, racking up three consecutive losses and they look like a team running out of steam, it was no shame losing to the 49ers and Cowboys but they looked like a tired team last time out against the Seahawks.

I do expect the Eagles to win but not by the huge spread that has been set, a month or so ago I would have gladly taken that spread but not today, I cannot see them being two TDs better than the Giants.

Take the Giants +14

Due to time constraints, there is minimal analysis today

It would be easy to pick the Bills after the Chargers suffered a mauling at the hands of the Raiders but I just do not see a repeat from Los Angeles and do expect them to give a better account of themselves today.

I doubt The Chargers will win but I also doubt they will be thrashed and I take them to cover the spread.

Take The Chargers to cover the spread

Due to time constraints, there is minimal analysis today

I am going with the Bengals to get the win and cover the spread. This pick is based on the eye test and what I have seen in recent weeks and it is the Bengals who I believe is in the better place.

The Bills have lost three on the bounce since their last win, which was over the Bengals but it is different circumstances today.

In contrast, the Bengals have won three on the bounce since that Steelers loss and I am very confident they will make it four wins in a row and avenge the loss to the Steelers.

Take the Bengals to cover the spread.

Due to time constraints, there is minimal analysis today

I have been hugely impressed by the Cowboys this season and they seem to step up a gear in big games and this is a big game for sure.

The Bills have something to play for and will be on it, especially at home but I just feel Dallas will have too much for them.

Take Dallas to cover the spread

Due to time constraints, there is minimal analysis today

I cannot see anything other than a comprehensive win for San Francisco and I fully expect the 49ers to put the Cardinals to the sword and expect them to win by double digits.

Take San Francisco to cover the spread.

Due to time constraints, there is minimal analysis today

I am taking the Browns to get the win and cover the spread today. The Bears have improved but the Browns have home-field advantage and more to play for.

Take Cleveland to cover the spread.

Due to time constraints, there is minimal analysis today

I am backing the Saints to win this and beat the Giants by more than a TD. I have not been impressed by either team this season but the Giants have looked poorer more often and with home advantage I am backing the Saints to get the win in front of their own fans.

Take New Orleans to cover the spread

I have to admit I was a little slow with the spread on this one but even though it has got longer on the Cowboys, I still take them to cover it and beat the Eagles by at least four points.

The Cowboys have been smashing it in recent weeks and they seem to be getting stronger and even when a team matches them for points, as the Seahawks did last week, they still managed to show their determination and class to ground out the win.

The Eagles have had a great season but last week they were run over by the 49ers and I am getting the impression that they may be running out of steam, of course, one bad result does not define them but I have to say that their performance looked a very tired one and that is a concern.

I feel the Cowboys are in better shape and that will show tonight.

Take the Cowboys to cover the spread.

The Chiefs really need to get their act together or they could find themselves out of the playoffs, it is not out of the question.

The Bills have been a great disappointment this season, they were on my shortlist for the Superbowl prior to the season commencing but they have been awful far too often.

This game really came down to which team I feel wants it more and that is the Chiefs, they know they simply must win tonight and unlike the Bills, they do at least have something to play for.

Considering the context of this game I am going for the Chiefs to get the win and cover the spread.

Take Kansas -1

The Vikings are coming across as a team that has given up on their season, they were woeful against the Bears last week and if they play like that again this evening they will lose.

The Raiders have hardly set the world alight this season and overall have been poor but honestly, I expected nothing less from them.

Both sides have lost their last two games but the caliber of the opponent was a lot different with the Raiders having lost to much stronger opposition, not something you could say about the teams that the Vikings lost to.

The bottom line here is we have two poor teams with nothing much to play for but based on what I have seen over the last three weeks it is the Riders I strongly fancy to get a win today, or at the very least, cover the spread.

Take Vegas +3 

These two teams met about three weeks ago with the Lions emerging as 31-26 winners, however, that was in Detroit and, understandably, some feel this could be a closer game today in Chicago but I do not.

The Lions should never have allowed the Bears to run them so close in that game and I do not see them repeating that today.

Of course, the Bears will feel they can get the win in front of their fans after the game in Detroit but the truth is, in my opinion, that result was a false one and the Lions are the superior side.

I am taking the Lions to get a more convincing win today and to cover the spread.

New England has absolutely nothing to play for other than some self-respect. They have been woeful and are currently on a five-game losing streak. The only positive aspect for them now is that their defense has found some form.

On the other hand, the Steelers do have something to play for and desperately need to get back to winning ways after losing at home to the Cardinals last weekend in an abysmal performance. They probably could not have asked for a better opponent than the Patriots to achieve the goal of getting back to winning ways.

The only question for me is, will the Patriots' defense be able to keep the Steelers within a touchdown? Despite their commendable recent defensive performances, I just do not see that happening.

Take the Steelers to cover the spread.

The Chiefs have been slightly inconsistent this season but now that we are getting down to the business end of the season I fully expect them to start showing us why they are one of the favorites for the Super Bowl.

Green Bay do have home advantage but I do not see that making much difference this evening and I am confident that Kansas will get the win and by at least a touchdown.

Take Kansas -6

I liked the look of the Browns in this outright so getting 4 points on the spread is simply a gift.

Cleveland has far more to play for and it is not as if the Rams are formidable at home.

It will probably be a tight game with not much between them and the difference may well be the spread in the Brown's favour.

Take Cleveland +4

I am taking the Dolphins to get the win in Washington today and to beat the Commanders by a double-digit score.

When Miami is in the mood they really rack up the points and when Washington is not up for it, they tend to concede heavily.

We are getting down to the business end of the season and I expect Miami to come out and put Washington to the sword.

Take Miami -8.5

The spread is quite big but one I feel the Cowboys can overcome I am backing Dallas to beat the Seahawks by double-digit figures.

The Seahawks were so bad against the 49ers that it was embarrassing, they put up almost no resistance and San Francisco could have won by a lot more such was their dominance.

The Cowboys are on a three-game winning run and have won those games by margins of 35, 23 and 32 points and I see very little reason to feel that they will not do the same again this evening.

Take Dallas -9.5

The Bears have been poor this season and I have little doubt that the Vikings will get the win today, the only question for me was would Minnesota cover the spread and I am confident they will do so.

The Vikings still have the playoffs to play for and are at home, they have the incentive and motivation to put in a performance tonight, not something that applies to the Bears.

I cannot see anything else than a Vikings win and I do not see the Bears getting to within a field goal and that is why I am going for the home win and for Minnesota to cover the three-point spread.

Take Vikings -3

It is the Ravens all day long for me and the fact that I can grab them giving up just 2.5 points on the spread is a gift.

I get that the Chargers are highly motivated because they need to hang on to their slim playoff chances and that they are playing at home but there is a significant gulf between these teams and that will be on show today.

The Ravens ground game is just too good and they have the better QB.

I just do not see the Chargers being within a field goal and take the Ravens to win and cover the spread.

The Chiefs will be desperate to bounce back from the loss to the Eagles and they could not have asked for a better opponent to do that against than the Raiders.

I just cannot see anything other than a win for Kansas and it was just a question of covering the spread.

The Chiefs have not been as formidable or dominant as I would have expected this season but against certain opponents, they not only turn up but do dominate and the Raiders are the sort of opponent that will allow the Chiefs to do that.

Take Kansas -8.5

I am taking the Bengals to only cover the spread in this match-up but to also win outright.

I have no idea how the Steelers are 6-4, they are not that good a side and their overreliance on their defense will end up costing them.

The Bengals have disappointed me on occasions this season but in front of their own fans today I take them to turn up and hand out a defeat to Pittsburgh.

Take the Bengals +2.5

Seattle is 4-1 at home this season and has won its last four games at Lumen Field. They are a tough team to beat at their stadium, and I can see the 49ers struggling to dominate the Seahawks, as some may expect.

San Francisco has been inconsistent of late. They did defeat Tampa Bay last week and were certainly impressive and are looking to make it three wins in a row. However, their ability to falter when least expected cannot be ruled out, as their three-game losing streak prior to their most recent wins will testify.

Do I think that San Francisco will win? Yes, probably. However, I do not see them covering the spread, especially not in Seattle.

I am backing the Seahawks to cover the spread

The Vikings are currently on a remarkable five-game winning streak, and while it might be tempting to back them based on their current form, my choice for today's winner is the Broncos.

The Broncos are also in excellent form, boasting a three-game winning streak that includes victories over strong opponents like the Bills and the Chiefs. Filled with confidence and playing at home, I am predicting them to secure the win and cover the spread.

While I anticipate a close game, I have been more impressed with the Broncos after watching both teams recently. I foresee the Vikings facing challenges in overcoming the Broncos' defense this evening.

My pick is for the Broncos to cover the spread.

I foresee nothing but a Lions win, and for me, it all comes down to whether the Lions will cover the spread.

I firmly believe they will, in fact, I see them winning by double digits, making taking the Lions at -7.5 a substantial bet.

The Bears have been struggling, particularly on the road where they hold a 1-4 record. In contrast, the Lions, especially at home, boast a 3-1 record and an overall 7-2. The disparity between these two teams is evident to everyone.

While the Bears did secure a victory over the Panthers last week, it's worth noting that it wasn't against an elite side. When facing strong teams, the Bears tend to suffer convincing defeats.

Five of the Lions' seven wins this season have been by double-digit scores, and I fully expect that trend to continue today.

Take the Lions at -7.5.

Due to travelling and time constraints, there is no analysis this evening

Take Las Vegas +1.5

Due to travelling and time constraints, there is no analysis this evening

Take Detroit to cover the spread

Due to travelling and time constraints, there is no analysis this evening

Take Atlanta to cover the spread

This is not a game that fills me with enthusiasm if I'm honest, but that does not mean that there is not a good bet to be had—there is.

This particular game is being played in Frankfurt, Germany, so we can dispense with home and away scenarios. I know that there is a token home side, and on this occasion, it is the Patriots, but I just do not feel it makes that much of a difference when the game is being played thousands of miles away from home.

This game simply comes down to which side is better and which one will emerge the victor, and for me, that is the Indianapolis Colts.

The only real question for me was, will they cover the spread, and I believe they will. The Colts bounced back from a three-game losing streak to beat the Carolina Panthers, and that will have arrested the rut that was developing, giving the Colts a much-needed boost in confidence.

The Patriots are 2-7 for a reason; they are not that good. They are on a two-game losing streak, and their loss to the Washington Commanders last week on home territory tells you where they are at right now.

All things considered, I am backing Indianapolis to cover the spread and get the win today.

It may sound like a strange thing to say about a team that's 7-1, but I haven't been overwhelmed by the Eagles this season. Yes, they are one of the favorites for the Super Bowl, and they are a very good side, but I do feel that they are very beatable and that they will not have enough to win the last game of the season.

Washington kept Philadelphia on their toes last week, and if the Eagles replicate the way they played against the Commanders, they will come unstuck against the Cowboys.

To be honest, this is more about the Cowboys than the Eagles, simply because I honestly feel that if both teams play to their best, then Dallas wins. The problem is that the Cowboys are too often inconsistent, hence their 5-2 record.

I see this game as far closer than what the spread suggests, and I will, therefore, be backing the Cowboys receiving three.

Take Cowboys +3

The Bears are not a good team and could potentially face a heavy defeat, but the Saints are not a great side either, and I believe they will struggle to cover the spread against Chicago today.

Chicago had a poor start to the season, but they have shown some improvement in recent weeks with wins over Washington and Las Vegas, and they also kept the game close against Minnesota, with the only significant setback being last week's loss to the Chargers.

Don't get me wrong, the Bears are still vulnerable to being defeated, but at least they are playing with some pride at the moment.

The Saints did win last week, but before that, they had three losses in four games. Some of their losses, such as those against Houston and Tampa, show that the Saints can be vulnerable.

I do expect New Orleans to win, but I don't think they will win by the margin that has been set on the spread.

Take Chicago +9.5

I've developed an appreciation for the Texans. They have clearly improved as the season has progressed, and while their results may not have always reflected their performances, they've displayed resilience and strength of character when facing superior teams.

They were unfortunate to lose against Carolina last week, but in recent weeks, they've demonstrated that they can compete with good teams, as seen in their games against New Orleans and Pittsburgh. On their best days, they are a very challenging team to beat.

Tampa Bay started the season 3-1, but their performance has declined over the past few weeks. Their recent trajectory is concerning, and while losing to the Bills is not catastrophic, losing to Detroit is hardly inspiring.

With home advantage and in better form, I am backing the Texans to cover the spread and secure a victory against the Buccaneers today.

Take Houston to cover the spread

In my view, this game will ultimately be decided by the performance of the quarterbacks, and that's where I believe the Steelers hold a distinct advantage.

Tennessee's Will Levis had an impressive first career start against the Atlanta Falcons last week, throwing four touchdowns. However, it's a considerable leap of faith to expect him to replicate that performance for a second consecutive week. I'm not saying he won't succeed, but I have doubts that the Steelers' defense will be as accommodating as the Falcons' defense.

The Steelers' quarterback, Kenny Pickett, is expected to start despite a recent injury. If he does, the advantage lies with the Steelers. Pickett is a much more reliable option, and I am confident that he will find more success against the Titans' defense than Levis will against the Steelers defense.

Throw in home advantage and the Steelers do look a solid pick and I believe the Steelers will not only emerge as winners but also cover the spread.

Take the Steelers -2.5

Due to travelling and time constraints, there is no analysis today.

I take Houston Texans to cover the spread

Due to travelling and time constraints, there is no analysis today.

I take the Vikings to cover the spread

The 49ers suffered a surprising loss to the Browns last week, ending their unbeaten start to the season. However, I anticipate a significant reaction from them this evening when they face the Vikings.

The Vikings have a 2-4 record this season and have generally performed poorly. While they did manage to secure a win against the Bears last week, it's not a significant achievement. They are struggling both offensively and defensively, which is not the ideal situation to be in when facing one of the Super Bowl favorites coming off an unexpected defeat.

The only question for me was regarding the point spread, and I believe the 49ers will win this game by a considerable margin. Having them at -7 points is, in my opinion, a great opportunity, and I intend to take full advantage of that offer.

I recommend taking San Francisco to cover the spread.

The Eagles' undefeated streak came to an end last week with a loss to the Jets, and it felt like an inevitable outcome, even though I didn't expect it to happen in that particular game. In essence, despite their strong start to the season, it seemed like it was only a matter of time before they hit a rough patch. Now that they have suffered their first loss, I anticipate that there might be more setbacks on the horizon.

The Dolphins have only been defeated by the Bills this season, which is not a result to be ashamed of, and it will take a formidable team to hand them another loss. In fact, Miami has performed exceptionally well for the most part and has secured several convincing victories.

In my opinion, the loss last week for the Eagles was significant, and the current momentum seems to be with Miami. Considering that Miami is receiving 3 points on the spread, it's a clear choice for me. I'm picking Miami to cover the spread.

The Kansas offense hasn't displayed its usual dynamism this season, except perhaps in the game against the Bears. However, I don't anticipate this trend to continue, and I believe this is the perfect game for them to return to their fundamental strengths and start scoring more heavily.

Having watched the Chargers several times this season, I find them to be competitive, although not consistently clinical. They've managed to secure some narrow wins but have also lost close games. In my view, the Chargers are what I would call a "level team." Their performance doesn't tend to fluctuate too much, and their success often depends more on how their opponent performs than on their own performance.

In my opinion, if the Kansas offense steps up, I expect them to win this game fairly comfortably, perhaps even by a double-digit margin. Therefore, I'm giving the Chiefs the benefit of the doubt and predicting that they will cover the spread in this matchup.

The Steelers have been a significant disappointment for me this season. While they have had some moments of success, they have generally underperformed, and I don't see that changing in this game.

It's true that the Steelers have a 3-2 record, but when they've been beaten, they've been defeated quite decisively. Their morale appears to decline rapidly, and they struggle to contain their opponents. I have reservations about their ability to stem the tide, especially against a team like the Rams.

The Rams are currently 3-3, but it's worth noting that two of their losses came against the 49ers and the Eagles, and in both of those games, they put up a strong fight. I believe their offense has more than enough firepower to overpower the vulnerable Steelers' defense.

All things considered, I'm predicting that the Rams will emerge as clear victors in front of their home crowd. So, I'm taking the Rams to cover the spread.

Last week, I decided to give the Raiders one last chance, and they didn't disappoint. Now, I anticipate them to build on that positive result and continue their momentum against the struggling Chicago Bears.

The Bears have made improvements in their defense, but they still have vulnerabilities and lack a strong offensive presence.

While the Raiders have shown inconsistency, they do have their moments, and their defense is relatively stable. However, my concern lies with their offense.

In my view, this game highlights the Bears' struggles, and I don't see them achieving a favorable outcome, even with home-field advantage. I fully expect Las Vegas to secure the victory and cover the spread.

Take Las Vegas -2.5

I have watched both of these teams on numerous occasions this season, and the feeling I have taken away from their games is that I have been impressed with the Jaguars for the most part and disappointed with the Saints. I believe this trend will continue this evening.

New Orleans does have the home advantage; however, they also had home advantage against Tampa Bay, and that did not work out too well for them. Truth be told, the Caesars Superdome has not been a fortress for quite some time.

The Jaguars have won all their road games this season, although two of those were in London, even if they were considered the home side in one of those games. The point is that Jacksonville is not shrinking violets when they are playing in the opponent's stadium.

Moreover, Jacksonville has also secured some impressive wins this season, most notably their victory over the Bills in London, whereas the Saints have looked lackluster, except for their win over the Patriots.

All things considered, I am backing the Jaguars to cover the spread this evening.

I cannot see anything other than an Eagles win and this matchup came down to whether Philadelphia would beat the Jets by at least a touchdown and I am very confident they will do so.

The Eagles have beaten everything that has been put in their way, they stand at 5-0 and rank among the favorites for the Super Bowl, that is not something that you can say about the Jets who are 2-3.

The Eagles do make it difficult for themselves on occasion but if they are in the mood they have the capability to beat New York convincingly and I believe they have the motivation to do just that.

The Jets did start the season off with a very surprising win over the Bills but they then went on a three-game losing streak and even though they did get back to winning last week against the Broncos, I feel that just masked over their inadequacies.

All things considered, I am going with the Eagles to cover the spread.

I am going to give the Raiders one last chance against a poor Patriots outfit.

The Raiders are hit and miss and with the right coaching they could and should have been in positive figures this season, they are a team that shoots themselves in the foot more than any other team.

The Patriots are 1-4 for a reason, they are just not that good a team, they have conceded 72 points over their last two games scoring just three, which is horrendous and I just do not see it turning around any time soon.

The Raiders are not a top side for sure but they showed character in beating the Packers after a three-game losing streak and I see them making it two from two tonight.

Take the Raiders to cover the spread.

There is a clear gulf between these two sides and everything came down to how much the 49ers would win by.

Having watched both these sides regularly this season I am convinced that the 49ers will win this game by double digits.

The Browns have disappointed me so far and I have seen nothing that tells me that they will make this game competitive,

The 49ers are among my favourites to win the Super Bowl this year and that will show today.

Take the 49ers to cover the spread

I have been impressed by Houston this season, well, by the standards of what was expected. Truth is that I did not see them performing anywhere what they have done so far and there is no reason why they cannot continue how they are doing.

They are unlikely to make the play offs but the fact that it is regarded as unlikely and not impossible tells you how far they have come.

New Orleans is doing more or less what I expected, they are not setting the world alight and are very beatable. Put it this way, I do not see them having that much better of a season than the Texans based on what I have seen so far.

With home advantage, I am backing the Texans to cover the spread.

This game is being played at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London so there really is no home advantage and that is one factor that I can leave out of my analysis.

In fact, when games are played outside the USA a lot of factors go out of the window, some teams react differently to playing at what is essentially a neutral venue.

I have watched both sides this season and a lot of my belief in this game comes down to the eye test and to be honest, I have come to the conclusion that there is not that much between them.

I did look at the totals but found that it was fairly well set and it was a toss up which way the game would go.

So, I see a very even game with the totals set about right but not the spread, that is where I feel that I can take advantage.

Because I see a tight game with very little between the sides based on my analysis it made sense to go with the Titans receiving 5.5 points, I simply do not see the Ravens beating them by that score, if they beat them at all.

Take the Titans +5.5 points

In Green Bay and Las Vegas, we have two very average teams and some will say two very poor teams and it is hard to argue with them.

It will come down to small differences this evening and when I analyse it all, my determination is that it is the Raiders that hold the slight edge and will emerge as the victors.

There is the home advantage of course and while it can be pointed out that the Raiders have lost already at the Allegiant stadium this season, they have only played there once in this campaign and a passionate home crowd cannot easily be dismissed.

I also feel that the Raiders would have done better if they were coached better, my opinion of Josh McDaniels is as low as it gets but I am hopeful that he will have learned from some of the mistakes he has made this season.

Then there is the QB situation, the Raiders expect Jimmy Garoppolo back tonight and while he is hardly at the top level I am of the opinion that he has a little more about him than Jordan Love.

The Raiders also have Devante Adams who seems to thrive on big evening games.

These are all small details and on their own not enough to have full confidence but added together, home advantage, Garoppolo returning and Adams in the spotlight give me the confidence to back the Raiders to cover the spread.

The Giants haven't shown themselves to be a particularly strong team, and when they allow their opponents to score, they tend to give up a significant number of points. Aside from their one victory over Arizona, they have struggled to be competitive this season.

The Dolphins faced a tough challenge against the Bills in their previous game, and Buffalo is considered a top-tier team and one of the favorites for the Super Bowl. Prior to that game, Miami was on a three-game winning streak and had been scoring consistently.

In my assessment, it's difficult to envision anything other than a Miami victory today. The main question for me was whether they would cover the spread, and I am very confident that they will even though it is a double-digit spread

My prediction is for Miami to cover the spread.

Josh McDaniels came under immense criticism this week for his very strange call last week to go for a field goal when the Raiders really needed a touchdown, and rightfully so. For me, he epitomizes Las Vegas and the way they play, a team lacking the right mentality, and that always costs you in the end.

The Chargers have hardly set the world alight themselves, with a 1-2 record, same as the Raiders. However, they have far more about them. At least they have the right mentality and finally got off the mark with a win over the Vikings last week.

I see two teams heading in different directions here. The Chargers will get better, whereas I have zero confidence in Las Vegas doing anything of note this season.

The question for me was, "Are the Chargers a touchdown better than the Raiders?" and the answer is a resounding yes.

Take the Chargers -6

Two teams without a win so far this season, and despite playing at home, I expect it to be more misery for the Panthers.

Carolina expects to have rookie quarterback Bryce Young back, but I am not sure it will make too much difference. They are, at best, a very mediocre team, and it will take a lot more than Young returning to turn their season around.

The Vikings have been error-prone, that is for sure, and have shot themselves in the foot on numerous occasions. However, that can be turned around because they do have the talent.

If the Vikings can cut out the turnovers and support Kirk Cousins, then they will win this game by a lot more than what the spread suggests.

This is about faith for me, and I do have it in the Vikings but not in the Panthers.

Take the Vikings -4.5.

The Texans stunned the Jaguars last week and will be looking to make it two wins in a row, but I just do not see that happening; lightning rarely strikes twice.

One area where Houston will find little joy this week is against the Pittsburgh defense. They are a solid unit, generally speaking, and I see the Texans struggling all game long against Pittsburgh. I cannot see them putting too many points on the board, no matter how much confidence they have after last week.

This all came down to the spread for me, and when I saw that the Steelers were only giving up 3 points, I knew this would be my bet of the weekend, and I would be all over it like a rash.

I expect Pittsburgh to win this quite comfortably, and it would not surprise me if Mike Tomlin's men emerge as winners by double digits.

Take the Steelers -3.

The London Series kicks off with the Jacksonville Jaguars facing the Atlanta Falcons.

The Jaguars are coming off a shocking loss to the Houston Texans last week, with quarterback Trevor Lawrence failing to meet the high expectations placed on him this season.

The Falcons also suffered a loss last week after opening the season with two wins. However, quarterback Desmond Ridder is experiencing difficulties, leading to a heavier reliance on Atlanta's running game.

The Jaguars seem better positioned to return to the winning column. It's challenging to imagine them performing as poorly as they did last week, and I have more confidence in Lawrence's ability to rebound compared to Ridder.

Furthermore, the Jaguars' defense appears stronger than the Falcons', and they should be able to effectively contain Atlanta's running game.

With these factors in mind, I'm confident that the Jaguars will secure the victory and cover the spread.

Take the Jaguars -3

The Detroit Lions are on a determined quest to secure their first NFC crown since 1993, and their head coach, Dan Campbell, possesses the leadership to guide them to a division championship.

It's worth highlighting Campbell's impressive track record against the Green Bay Packers, with a 3-1 margin in his favor. I have every confidence that he will further bolster this record in tonight's game.

While Green Bay orchestrated a commendable comeback against the New Orleans Saints in their recent matchup, it's crucial to note that this comeback unfolded after Derek Carr left the field. In Jordan Love, the Packers have a quarterback who exhibits moments of brilliance but often struggles with consistency, with these moments remaining sporadic.

Moreover, I believe that Love's statistics may be somewhat inflated due to the victory over the struggling Chicago Bears, creating a somewhat distorted perception of his overall performance.

Given the stability displayed by the Lions' defense and my reservations about the Packers' offense, I am confident that Detroit will emerge victorious and cover the spread in this game.

Take Detroit to cover the spread.

Due to time constraints, the analysis is minimal today.

A lot depends on the Joe Burrows situation but even with him I see the Bengals continuing to struggle, they are 0-2 for a reason and the idea that they just cannot go 0-3 for no other reason than it is the Bengals is not enough for me.

The Rams are a very different team than the last couple of seasons but they are still getting points on the board, they did very well in the first week and were not disgraced against the 49ers.

Take LA Rams +3

The Chiefs have been a bit of a disappointment this season, especially their much-vaunted offense. But if they ever needed a perfect opponent to open up against, it's the Chicago Bears.

The Bears are not a very good team, possibly one of the worst last season, and the last team they would want to be facing right now is the reigning Super Bowl champions.

The spread is obviously set rather high, but I firmly believe that the Chiefs will cover it; they are certainly capable of doing so.

This is far more about the Chiefs than the Bears. If Kansas City gets their offense going, this could be a turkey shoot.

Take the Chiefs to cover the spread.

Despite opening the season with two losses, the Broncos are showing signs of improvement, but I still cannot see them outperforming the Dolphins, who are scoring points with relative ease and currently have a 2-0 record.

I really cannot envision anything other than a Dolphins victory here. Their offense is performing exceptionally well, and I don't think the Broncos can keep the score low.

It all boils down to whether the Dolphins will cover the spread. I believe they are at least one touchdown better than the Broncos, so the answer, for me, is yes.

Take the Dolphins to cover the spread.

I backed Pittsburgh to cover the spread last week, and they truly disappointed me. Their performance was abysmal, lacking any resilience, and they looked desperate in their 30-7 loss to the 49ers.

Now, it's important to consider the context here. The 49ers are a strong team and one of the favorites for the Super Bowl, so a loss to them isn't the end of the world. However, the way Pittsburgh crumbled against San Francisco was embarrassing.

On the flip side, the Browns exceeded expectations by convincingly defeating the highly-regarded Cincinnati Bengals 24-3. That victory will have undoubtedly boosted their confidence for this game.

However, it's worth noting that Cincinnati had an uncharacteristically poor performance, and the Browns had the advantage of playing at home. The circumstances are different for this game.

Nonetheless, I can't overlook how poorly Pittsburgh performed last week. While they will likely perform better this week with home-field advantage and a less accomplished opponent than the 49ers, it would still require a significant turnaround in form for me to not bet against them.

In my view, the Browns appear to be a solid bet to cover the spread. They are riding high on confidence after their performance against the Bengals, and if they can replicate that level of play or come close to it, they should be able to beat the Steelers.

My pick is to take Cleveland to cover the spread.

I was impressed by the Dolphins last week in their 36-34 win over the Chargers. Yes, their defense has many questions to answer, and no doubt the coaches have worked on that this week. But every time they had the ball, I expected them to score; they looked very potent to me.

The Patriots lost last week 25-20 to the Eagles, and the game was closer than I thought it would be. However, that was mainly due to the Eagles, who I thought had a very mixed game. In other words, I am of the opinion that the Patriots were somewhat flattered to get within 5 points of the Eagles.

I fully expect the Dolphins to be just as strong on offense this week, and if they tighten up their defense, even by a small margin, I expect them to be too strong for the Patriots. I believe the Dolphins will win and cover the spread, which I feel has been set too low.

Take Miami -3

The New York Giants were woeful last week. I saw this game live, and to call their performance dismal is an understatement. There is no way they will do that again this week; well, one has to hope so.

The Cardinals also lost their opening game of the season, but at least they put in more effort in their loss than the Giants did in theirs.

A lot depends on what sort of Giants we see on display today, but no one can have real confidence that they will all of a sudden be world-beaters. Though there has to be some improvement, they simply cannot perform so badly two weeks in a row.

In the preseason, I would have taken the Giants to get the win today, and they may still, but after last week, I have zero confidence in them. Of the two, I believe that the Cardinals will have the better mindset today.

The Giants may win, but not by more than four points, in my opinion, and that is why I am backing the Cardinals receiving four points.

Take Arizona +4 points

I watched the Bills' game against the Jets in full, and I still cannot fathom how they managed to lose that one. Make no mistake, the Jets did not beat the Bills; it was the Bills that lost that game on their own.

I believe they will do better this week, but even so, they seem to have a vulnerability when the pressure is on, lacking resilience, and that is a worry.

I do not expect much from the Raiders this season, but at least they have some backbone in them. They fight and can grind out the occasional win, just as they did against Denver last week.

So, do I expect the Bills to win? Yes, I do, but not by more than 8 points, that's for sure.

I am more than happy to take the Raiders with an 8-point handicap against a very questionable Bills side.

Take Las Vegas +8

The Chiefs disappointed me greatly last week, and I expect to see a vast improvement this week against the Jaguars.

For their part, Jacksonville had a good opening weekend, registering a nice 31-21 win over the Colts and will no doubt approach this game in good spirits.

However, this is one of those games where if the better teams play to their true ability, they will win, and in this case, that is the Chiefs.

Occasionally, the Chiefs let themselves down, as they did last week, but they soon bounce back, and that is what I fully expect from them later today.

It will be a competitive game for sure; however, I cannot see anything other than a Chiefs' win, and I will be very surprised if they do not cover the spread, which I believe has been set far too low.

Take Kansas -3.5

Two fairly evenly matched teams here, but I am backing the Chargers to take the win and cover the spread.

Both the Dolphins and Chargers made last season's playoffs but fell short in the first round. For the Chargers, it was especially painful after they took a 27-point lead over the Jacksonville Jaguars, only to succumb 31-30. That is a memory they can only erase by going deep into the playoffs this season.

The pressure will be on QB Justin Herbert, that is for sure. He was found wanting in the big moments last season and has to step up and lead this team properly, and that starts today.

I find the Dolphins to be a hit-and-miss team; you never really know which Miami side will turn up. There are questions over their QB Tua Tagovailoa, much more so than over Herbert in my view.

I expect a close game today, but at home and with a focused and determined Herbert leading the Chargers, I am confident they will win and cover the spread.

Take the Chargers -3

The Pittsburgh Steelers are gearing up to kick off their 2023 NFL season and the stage is set for a thrilling showdown as they face the San Francisco 49ers at Heinz Field this Sunday.

While the 49ers might be the favored team in this particular matchup, I hold a strong belief that the Steelers will ultimately emerge as the victors on the spread. Several compelling reasons underpin this conviction.

First and foremost, the Steelers are in good condition, boasting a well-rounded roster of seasoned talent, a formidable defense, and the distinct advantage of playing on their home turf.

In stark contrast, the 49ers have been in the spotlight for their decision to part ways with Trey Lance, opting to entrust the helm of their offense to quarterback Brock Purdy. However, it's worth noting that Purdy is still in the process of regaining his peak form, having recently returned from a challenging elbow ligament injury.

Kenny Pickett, the Steelers' quarterback, is poised for a breakout season, having transitioned from a backup role last season. Combined with the Steelers' solid and robust defense, they form a formidable unit ready to take on any challenge.

As the pieces of the puzzle fall into place, everything seems to align perfectly for the Steelers. Considering all these factors, my recommended bet is Pittsburgh +2.

For me, this one didn't require too much brain power or common sense to conclude that the Ravens would defeat the Texans today. However, what does require some thought is how much Baltimore will win by.

The spread has been set at -9 for the Ravens, and I am confident they will cover that and more.

Let's not kid ourselves here; Houston is probably the very worst team in the NFL right now. They will be cannon fodder all season long, whereas Baltimore is looking at a playoff run at the very least. The gap between these two sides is immense, and that will show today, especially with the Ravens playing at home.

Lamar Jackson will relish going up against the Texans that is for sure and providing he stays fit he could guide them all the way to the Super Bowl, In contrast, Houston will do well to finish the season with one or two wins.

Take Baltimore -9

So here we are, it is Superbowl time and I am backing the Patriots to get the better of the Rams tonight and win this game and cover the spread.

I was certain that the Patriots would lose to the Chiefs but they once again showed that they have that bit extra when it really matters and in hindsight, the signs were there that they would overcome the Chiefs, I just did not see it, but I do this time around.

The Patriots are one of those teams, even when supposedly in decline that delivers in the big games, their big players step up and show their class, their defence makes the stops when required and their offense puts the points on the board at just the right time and of course, there is Tom Brady, what a leader, what a player and this game is all set up for him to produce once again.

Of course, the Rams are here on merit and they can be explosive but if there is one area that worries me it is their defence and if there is a team that knows how to exploit a teams weakness it is the Patriots.

For me, I am of the opinion that the Patriots defence will do a better job of containing the Rams offense than what the Rams defence will against the Patriots offense and that will be the difference tonight.

Take the Patriots -2.5

Here we go again with the Patriots in a Conference final but this is clearly not the same New England that we have seen in previous years, they are still a very good team but their aura of invincibility has gone and this game tonight could see the end of an era.

The Patriots beat the Chiefs earlier in the season but the Chiefs have simply been the better team overall, they run up the points for fun, they have an extraordinarily confident quarterback and with the creaking Patriots defence now more vulnerable than it has ever been I do see Kansas winning this game and by more than the three points on the spread.

Home advantage is there but in all fairness to the Patriots they will probably feed off of that, they are relishing the underdog tag and all the negative comments about them but there is a reason for those negative comments, it is because they are valid, Tom Brady has aged, the defence is weaker than before and their offense is not as consistent as it was.

If the Chiefs play like we all know they can then they will win, I am confident they will be able to repel the Patriots offense far more than New England will be able to contain the Chiefs offense and it would not surprise me to see the Chiefs win by double digits.

All things considered, I am going with the Chiefs -3

Massive game for both teams with the winner progressing to the Superbowl and it is the Rams that I am going with to at least cover the spread in this game and in my opinion, to probably win.

I know that the Saints saw off the Rams earlier in the season but over the last month or so I have not seen the same explosive Saints that I saw earlier in the season, in fact, in their last six games the most they won by was 14 points against Tampa Bay and apart from that game the most they have won by over that period is the six points gap they had over the Eagles last week, they have, in fact, lost twice in their last six games and won three of the other four by just three points, they basically appear to be a team that has already peaked.

The Rams have their vulnerabilities, we all know that, but they can still be explosive, they have won their last three games on the bounce by margins of 22. 16 and 8 points and I expect to see them in that sort of form again today.

It will be a close game for sure, the Saints do have home advantage but for me, they are a team that is slowing down, whereas the Rams still have that spark about them and for me, that will be the difference today.

This game will be won by the offense today and the Rams offense is simply more potent at this minute in time and for that reason, I am backing them on the spreads today.

Take the Rams +3

Due to time issues outside my control, I have been unable to provide an extensive preview of this game, however, it has been fully analyzed and comes with maximum confidence.

I am going with the Chargers to be within 4 points of the Patriots today.

That is not to say that the Patriots will not win but in the event they do I do not see it being a comfortable win and that this game will be very tight.

I would also not be at all surprised if the Chargers managed to get the win, they are much improved, have huge confidence in their ability and believe they can beat anybody.

Take the Chargers +4

From very early on I had the Chiefs as one of my two teams in this division to make the AFC Championship game and I have not changed my mind, the only issue for me in this game is whether the Chiefs can cover the spread and I am convinced they will do.

The weather is not great and that may have an effect but for me, that is a variable that I cannot calculate for either team with any confidence and will not play a part in my thinking in terms of the winner, on the totals maybe, but not in the context of which team will emerge the winner.

The Chiefs have home advantage and that is significant, they have a 7-1 record whereas the Colts on the road are 5-4.

The Colts have put together an impressive run and the Chiefs have stumbled slightly, however, this game is the biggest now for both teams and I fully expect the rested Chiefs to be at their best today.

In Mahomes, they have a game-winner and I am very confident he will put in a top performance and if he does that then, in my opinion, the Chiefs will have too much for the Colts to handle as the game progresses.

All things considered, I am going with the Chiefs to get the win in front of their home fans and to win the game by at least 6 points and most probably by double digits.

Chiefs -5

I have a soft spot for the Eagles and was pleased they made the playoffs but the chances are that their attempt to retain the Super Bowl will come to an end today, but I do not see them being beaten out of sight and am confident they will be within 6.5 points of the Bears come the end of the game.

Let's be honest, the Eagles have been poor generally and are lucky to be here today but they have been improving, their confidence has been restored and they enter this game on the back of a three-game winning run and five wins from their last six games and that includes an impressive win over the Rams.

The Bears have been very impressive since a poor start to the season, they have lost just the once in their last ten games and are 7-1 at home, they are formidable opponents for sure and it will take either a bad game from Chicago or Philadelphia playing out of their skins to stop the Bears progressing.

I do feel that the Bears will win but the Eagles have found their mojo again and I do expect them to be far more competitive than the spread suggests and do see them staying close to the Bears throughout.

All things considered, I am going for a Bears win but for the Eagles to cover the spread.

Take the Eagles +6.5

I am going with the LA Chargers to cover the spread in this game and most likely win outright.

The Ravens did beat the Chargers in week 16 but the score is misleading and if anything will motivate the Chargers to prove that result was more a fluke than a fair reflection of both teams capabilities.

The Chargers have an impressive road record of 7-1 with that only loss being against the Ravens a couple of weeks back. they are 8-2 over their last ten games and have had some very good results in that run, including a narrow win over the Chiefs.

The Ravens are 6-2 at home, they are in this position today thanks to a three-game winning run and were lucky to get home field advantage, they will be confident of beating the Chargers again obviously but for me, that confidence is misplaced.

Based on current form and what I have personally seen if both teams play to their true capabilities the Chargers will win, they have been the better side all season long and I expect that to show today.

Take the Chargers +2.5

Stake 2 pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Vikings need a couple of things to go right for them to make the playoffs and the very first task is for them to beat the Redskins today.

The Redskins have been very poor recently, they are plagued with injuries and I just cannot see them getting anything from this game other than a beating.

The Eagles have everything to play for while the Redskins just want to go home and nurse their wounds.

Eagles -6.5 for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Everything points to a Ravens win today and a convincing win at that.

The bottom line is that the Browns have nothing to play for, sure, they will be professional and go for the win and so on but when you have one team with something to play for and one team that does not it has an effect.

The Ravens are back in decent form, they have the motivation and belief and they are at home.

Home win for me and Ravens by at least 7.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This will be a great game and I am going with the Chargers to get the win and cover the spread.

Chargers still have a lot to play for despite making the playoffs, they will want to be top seeds and have home advantage in the postseason and the only way that will happen is if they keep on winning.

The Ravens also have a lot to play for and they know that now is not the time to be losing.

For me, the difference is that the Chargers are the slightly better team overall and have home advantage, they have massive belief and know what a win will mean for them today.

All things considered, I am going with the Chargers -3.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I expect the Vikings to win but not by 9 points, that is just too much, the Dolphins showed their competitive nature last week and they are still in the playoff hunt, they will give a good account of themselves today.

The Vikings have home advantage and should win but they will be happy with a narrow win just as much as they would with a big win, I doubt they will take too many risks today.

Dolphons +9 for me

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with the Bengals to halt their losing run and finally claim a win against the hapless Raiders.

I know the Raiders have had a couple of good results recently but they remain a team in chaos, both on and off the field and they are there for the taking providing the Bengals can lift themselves and I think they will.

It's the Bengals -3 for me.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing the Cowboys to get their sixth win on the bounce today and certainly cover the spread.

The Cowboys are in hot form right now and that sequence includes a win over the Saints, the Colts, on the other hand, won narrowly against the Texans last week after going pointless against the Jags and the calibre of the teams they have beaten recently has not exactly been the strongest.

All things considered, it is the Cowboys +3 for me

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Bears are deservedly favourites and their defence is proving itself week in week out now and any team will struggle to beat the Chicago defence back but Aaron Rodgers can, providing he gets a semblance of protection.

The Bears, at home, will be looking to clinch the NFC North and they may well do but not by more than 5 points in my opinion, I expect the Packers to kick on from their win over Atlanta and be very competitive and it would not surprise me if just a field goal separates these two at the end.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I know that the Redskins are in freefall right now and they were humiliated last week against the Giants but I do expect a better performance today.

The Jags are hardly setting the world on fire either, they have just one win in eight and while they are playing a team in a meltdown that does not automatically translate to a win for this Jags outfit.

The bottom line is I do expect the Jags to win but not by more than seven points.

Stake - 2pts

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

The Rams just keep on winning and while the Bears have done very well recently they did lose last week and even though they have the home advantage I still see them losing by more than three points tonight.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

I know the Raiders have home advantage but the Steelers really should be too strong tonight and I expect them to run out double-digit winners.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

This has all the signs that this will be a close game which is recognised by the spread, the Cowboys do have home advantage but whenever you count the Eagles out they come up smelling like roses. they are on a two-game winning run and so confidence is restored, the Cowboys are on a four-game winning run and have home advantage but it is still the Eagles for me all things considered.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

I fully expect the Chargers to win this one but not by 17 points even with home advantage. The Bengals are not in good shape but I expect them to be more competitive than the spread indicates.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

Based on my analysis I am going with the Chiefs to win this one by at least 7 points.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

The Colts are vulnerable and the Texans have more than enough about them to win this game and by at least 5 points.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

The Panthers are just too inconsistent for my liking and the Browns are improving, albeit slowly and have home advantage.

The Browns +1 for me.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

The Patriots should win this one but I am not at all confident they will do by 10 points, I am confident that the Dolphins will put up a good show and stay in contention for large parts of this game.

Stake 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing the Titans to get the win and cover the spread.

The Jags finally won against the Colts with a fantastic defensive display but that win was on the back of seven straight losses, they only scored six points themselves against the Colts and the chances of their defence putting such a display again is very unlikely.

The Titans are not world beaters, they have a very mixed record but it is certainly better than the Jags recently, they are 4-1 at home and they have to think they can do a better job in offense than what the Colts did.

For me, the Jags win over the Colts is a one-off, they are poor on the road and their offense is hardly inspiring, the Titans are decent at home, they also won last time out and will see this game as a perfect opportunity to gain momentum as the season enters the final straight.

Stake - 2pts

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

The spread is slightly high but the Seahawks, at home, will have the measure of the 49ers and for me, it was always a case of how many would they win by and I see it being by at least 10 points, probably more.

Seahawks -9.5

Stakes 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

The Patriots always show their class at home against the better teams and I fully expect that to be the case today, The Vikings will be competitive but the Patriots will grind them down and I see them winning by 7 points in the end.

Patriots -4.5

Stakes 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

This game for me will be a Turkey shoot, it is arguable that we are seeing the best v the worst in the NFL today and the score will reflect that.

Chiefs -13.5

Stakes 2pts

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

It is the Colts for me, the Jags season has fallen apart, they are bereft of confidence and the Colts are flying right now.

Colts -4

Stakes 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

The Texans are on fire right now and will probably win but the Browns are no pushovers anymore, they showed that last week and I am of the opinion they will be within 6 points of Houston today.

Browns +6

Stakes 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

The spread is too high for me and even though I expect the Rams to win I do not see them doing it by more than 10 points, the Lions are a far better home team than a road team,

Lions +10

Stakes 1pt