It is hard for me to call a winner in this one simply because they have both been unreliable on multiple occasions this season, even when they have won and I cannot back either side on the spread.

I fancy the Chiefs to win but it would be guesswork on my part whether they won it by 4 points or more and I cannot say hand on heart that the Dolphins will not fold in what will be freezing conditions.

It tends to be the case that when the weather is atrocious we get a low-scoring game but because this is the playoffs and it is a winner-take-all situation I do expect that both teams will not only give their very best but to get on the scoreboard on a regular basis.

The advantage is certainly with the Chiefs, they are at home, Miami has a poor record in freezing conditions and the Dolphins have a poor record this season against playoff rivals but it would be wrong to underestimate the Dolphins, they are capable of racking the points up.

All things considered, I am confident we will see at least 44 points in this game.

This is a huge game for both sides with the winner clinching the divisional title.

The Dolphins have already qualified for a playoff place but that is not the case with the Bills who may have no choice but to beat the Dolphins to progress, so it is clear that there is a lot on the line here with both teams having something to play for.

This game could go either way, these are two good sides on their day and if both of them turn up today then we can expect a points festival.

And that is what I expect to happen.

I expect Miami to be on form in front of their own fans and to be very keen to finish as Divisional champions and the Bills, in my opinion, will also be on their game and will put on a good show as they target a playoff berth.

I am expecting a lot of points and will be taking over 48 points.

I am expecting a high score in this game and will happily take the over 47.5 points.

My confidence is based on the fact that the Cardinals have finally found a bit of their mojo recently and their 35-31 win on the road at the Eagles will have boosted their confidence and made them believe they are capable of anything.

The Seahawks are still chasing a playoff spot and simply must win, they have to be on the offense throughout otherwise they could miss out.

Everything points to a points fest here, with two teams more than capable of getting into the mid-20s and higher.

Take over 47.5 points. 

The points total on this game has been set at just 34 points and I get why that is but for me, it is a mistake and a must-bet at over 34.

The reason why the total has been set so low is because the Ravens have nothing to play for after securing their top spot and will rest several players including Lamar Jackson but to assume that will result in fewer points is too simplistic.

Remember, when the Ravens rested players previously in such a position they still ramped up over 20 points.

The Steelers, unlike the Ravens, do have something to play for and will do everything in their power to grab the win and that means they must outscore their opponents and be tight in defence, that is a tall order considering they are playing in the Ravens back yard.

Because of the expected changes to the Ravens line up this game could go either way but regardless of the outcome, I do expect to see over 34 points.

Take over 34 points.

This match-up has the potential to be a classic and that is exactly what I am backing here today, a high-scoring entertaining match between two good sides.

I fancy the 49ers to prevail but the spread feels like it has been set perfectly and that makes it difficult to pick one side over the other so I am leaving that bet alone but not the totals, that is where I am very confident.

The bottom line for me was how many points I believe each team will score and I am of the view that both sides will go beyond 20 points and in combination I am convinced we will see more than a total of 46 points.

This pick is based on the eye test and what I have seen in recent weeks and that is the ability of both sides to score TDs regularly.

Take over 46 points.

The Raiders are finally going on the road after three consecutive home games and they face a tricky fixture against the Kansas City Chiefs.

Las Vegas destroyed the Chargers in their last game 63-21 in what can only be described as a freak result, remember, the week before they lost 3-0 to the Vikings, in better words, Vegas are almost an impossible team to predict.

The same applies to the Chiefs to be fair, you never know what Kansas will turn up, they are just as liable to play a bad game as they are to blow the opposition away.

Basically, I am expecting points in this match-up, I feel the 63 points scored last week by Vegas will have boosted their morale significantly and they will look to build on that momentum and the Chiefs surely must put on a good display in front of their own fans.

Take over 40 points

Due to time constraints, there is minimal analysis today

Both teams have something to play for and that is why I am expecting this game to go over 40.5 points.

Both teams are more than capable of putting up points and this is the sort of game that brings the points and while it could be a defensive game, I am not seeing that scenario here.

Take over 40.5 points

Due to time constraints, there is minimal analysis today

The totals on this have been set quite low for me and I am going for over 37.5 points.

The Texans still have a chance of the playoffs and a win will increase that possibility significantly so they have something to play for and that will drive them on. The Titans will not allow the Texans to have a free run and will do what they must to be competitive.

Take over 37.5 points

On the face of it, this game screams under but I am not in that camp, I expect both teams to put points on the board this evening.

Vegas scored a stunning zero points against the Vikings last week but such a low-scoring game is rare in the NFL and one that is almost certainly not going to be repeated, Vegas will score this evening, it is just a question of how many.

They racked up 17 against a far superior Kansas before the Viking game and have generally scored in the mid-teens in the weeks previously, not high scoring but they do have the capabilities to get into the high teens and possibly low 20s.

The Chargers have made a habit of low scoring recently, 7. 6 and 10 in their last three games, woeful, however, prior to this poor run they had been scoring for fun, 20, 38, 27 and 30 points in the four games before their recent low scoring efforts.

The point is, that if the Chargers get their scoring boots working they are more than capable of going beyond 20 points.

I expect both teams to get back to scoring and combined they will surpass 25 points.

I am going for the overs in this matchup between the Rams and Ravens.

The Rams have put big points in the last two weeks beating the Browns 36-19 and the Cardinals 37-14 and they will feel confident coming into this game, though they will also be very aware they are facing a much tougher opponent in the Ravens.

The Ravens have also won their last two games and are looking good for the playoffs and while they have not been as prolific as the Rams over the last two games, they have still mustered 20 and 34 points in those games.

Both sides have not been shy when it comes to scoring in recent weeks and I expect that to continue to some degree today, although not to the same prolificacy but even so, getting 40 points between these two is more than doable.

Take over 39.5 points.

Huge game for both sides and it really could go either way.

Initially, I fancied the 49ers but with the Eagles being at home and my confidence low in the 49ers it was not a bet I was prepared to make.

However, I do see a high-scoring game, I know both defences have the capabilities to keep their opponents in check but with so much on the line I see this game being far more about the offense than the defense.

Take over 46.5 points. 

I have struggled with this one in terms of who will win and whether the spread will be covered.

However, I have not struggled with how many points will be scored in this one and I think that we will see over 50 points.

The reason is simple, I can see both teams getting into the mid-20s and possibly more and that means we will see over 47 points in this game.

Take over 47 points.

Another massive game for the Eagles, who will no doubt be full of confidence after defeating Kansas last week and in front of their own fans I expect them to enter this game with a spring in their step.

The Bills are improving and getting very close to what we know they are capable of and the fact that the spread is so close between these two tells you the level that is expected from the Bills, they are more than capable of beating the Eagles today.

We have two top teams here and I believe we will see that on show today with both sides racking up the points.

Take over 48.5 points.

I have enjoyed both these teams this season and they have certainly provided an abundance of entertainment and that is exactly what I expect to see again today.

In other words, I am fully expecting both sides to rack up the points and that convinces me we will see more than 48 points in this game.

Both defenses are more than capable of giving up points and both offenses have the same capabilities of scoring regularly throughout.

Take over 48 points

I am backing overs in this one.

Simply put I am of the belief that the Dolphins will put up a good score as expected, however, I do fancy the Jets to also score a couple of TD's in front of their own fans.

Take over 39.5 points

A few weeks ago, this would have been a sure bet for me, backing the 49ers. However, they no longer impress as they did earlier in the season.

The 49ers finally returned to winning ways last week with a convincing 34-3 victory over the Jaguars. This followed three weeks of losses, during which they scored just 17 points in each game. They are undoubtedly better than that, and I anticipate their confidence has returned after last week's impressive win.

Tampa Bay also ended a four-game losing streak last week, although they had been consistently scoring points even in their losses, as demonstrated by the close 37-39 defeat to Houston.

While both teams have experienced recent struggles, the fact that they both secured victories last week suggests they will be full of confidence and capable of putting points on the board. This is why I am opting for the overs.

I am taking over 41.5 points.

This is an intriguing matchup between the Steelers and the Browns, especially considering the absence of Deshaun Watson, who is now out for the season, dealing a significant blow to the Browns.

If Watson were playing, I would have gladly backed the Browns to win and cover the spread. However, his absence cannot be ignored, and while I still believe the Browns will win, my confidence is certainly not as strong as it would have been.

The major issue for the Steelers is their poor offense, and yet, surprisingly, they hold a 6-3 record for the season. I'm not sure how they have achieved that, but it indicates that it would be a mistake to dismiss the Steelers outright.

I do not anticipate a high-scoring game, but the points total being set at 33 seems too low. While I don't expect the game to surpass 40 points, and I'm not even sure it will reach that total, I am still convinced that we will see more than 33 points in the game.

All things considered, I am betting on there being over 33 points.

I anticipate the Dolphins will emerge as convincing winners in this matchup, but I am hesitant to back them on the spreads.

My confidence in the Raiders has dwindled, as they have disappointed me too often. I don't foresee them gaining much from this game. However, I also don't envision the Dolphins running up a substantial score.

This uncertainty leads me to favor backing the unders in this matchup.

I don't anticipate the Raiders scoring many points, and if that holds, the Dolphins would need to score over 30 points to cover the overs. Even if Miami achieves that, I'm not entirely sure the Raiders will contribute enough points to supplement the Dolphins' score.

This game hinges on the Raiders' ability to generate sufficient points, and I'm sceptical that will happen.

Considering all factors, I am opting for under 46 points.

The Bengals had rebounded from a poor start to the season, enjoying a four-game winning streak until their recent loss to Houston. On the other hand, the Ravens also suffered a defeat last week against the Cleveland Browns, ending their own four-game winning run. Both teams will be looking to get back to winning ways and maintain their positive form.

Considering the recent performances of both teams, the matchup between the Bengals and the Ravens is intriguing and challenging to predict. The narrative is further complicated by the fact that both teams, despite their recent losses, had been on successful winning streaks.

In such a closely contested matchup, the focus shifts to the total points scored (overs) rather than predicting the winner or covering the spread. The rationale behind this choice is the offensive strength displayed by both teams in recent games. The Ravens have consistently scored over 30 points in their last four games, while the Bengals have recorded at least 24 points in four of their last five games. Despite facing stronger defenses, the offensive form of both teams is deemed strong enough for me to bet on the overs in this matchup.

Take Over 46 points

It's a very interesting matchup that could swing in either direction. If anything, the value may favor the Jets, but I can't place my trust in either them or the Chargers. I won't be backing either team outright or on the spreads due to the numerous variables that will be determined on the night.

What I do find appealing is the overs market.

If this were a few weeks ago, I might have been inclined to bet on the unders, but the Jets' offense has looked more effective recently. Coupled with the Chargers consistently putting up decent scores, I believe we'll see over 39.5 points this evening.

Only twice this season have the Chargers scored below 20 points, and the Jets have reached the 20-point mark in three of their last four games, although in their most recent game, they only managed 13 points.

The point is, I expect both sides to reach 20 points this evening, as they have been doing so more often than not lately, and I don't see that changing tonight.

Take over 39.5 points

Buffalo has been a great disappointment for me this season. I expected more from them. They have the capability to thrash a Miami Dolphins team but then lose to New England and barely beat Tampa.

The Bills can be a great side, almost unstoppable on their day, but that is so rare. In their last four games, they have scored just 20, 14, 25, and 24 points. We are not talking about a prolific offense right now.

The Bengals come into this with a three-game winning streak, culminating in an impressive 31-17 victory over San Francisco. They are a team on the rise, but they are a side that can put up 31 points against the 49ers but only 17 against Seattle, 3 against Tennessee, 19 against the Rams, and another 3 against Cleveland. In other words, not an offense to trust wholeheartedly.

I see these two more or less canceling each other out for the most part, and I am backing this game to be under 50.5 points

Take under 50.5

I feel that the spread is set almost perfectly on this one, making it tricky to back either side, but that doesn't mean there isn't a solid bet in this game, because there is.

I expected the total points to be higher, so when I saw it available at 44 points, I knew I had to bet on it.

This is about each team's ability to score points. Seattle has failed to reach 20 points only twice this season, and in 66% of their away games, they have scored at least 24 points.

Six of the Ravens' eight games have seen them score at least 24 points, and at home this season, they have scored 38, 25, and 19 points.

In other words, both sides are more than capable of exceeding 20 points, and with home advantage, the Ravens look good to score in the mid-20s at least, most likely even higher.

Taking everything into consideration, I believe the 44-point total is too low, and I am betting on the over.

Take over 44 points

Two of the best teams, both with Super Bowl aspirations, clash in Frankfurt, Germany early today in what promises to be a classic.

It is always tricky to pick a winner, even on the spreads, when the games are held outside the USA, especially when you have two teams so evenly matched.

That said, I do have a sneaky feeling for the Chiefs, but not enough to recommend them. I do see them bouncing back, and the Dolphins have never convinced me on the road as much as they do when playing at home.

My focus for this game is on the totals, as I see this being a high-scoring affair.

I acknowledge that both of these teams have good defenses, but they are both facing very explosive offenses, and I expect the offense to come out on top against the respective defenses today.

I see both sides getting into the mid-20s in this one and would not be at all surprised if one of them manages to clear 30 points. This match is more than just taking the win; it's about making a statement on neutral ground, and that is what I expect both teams to try and do today.

All things considered, I am going for over 50.5 points.

Due to travelling and time constraints, there is no analysis today.

I take under 46 points

Due to travelling and time constraints, there is no analysis today.

I take over 43.5 points

Due to travelling and time constraints, there is no analysis today.

I take over 45.5 points

I expected the totals market to be relatively low in this game, perhaps around 40 points, but I was surprised to see it set as low as 37. As soon as I saw that figure, I knew I had to bet on the over for this matchup.

I understand why there's an expectation of a low-scoring game, but that assumes that both defenses will perform exceptionally well at the same time, which I find unlikely.

While the Giants managed to hold the Bills to just 14 points last week, it appeared to be more of a result of the Bills' offense having an off day rather than the Giants' defense excelling. To be fair, I thought the outcome flattered New York.

On the other hand, the Commanders are a struggling team, and their defense has a tendency to give up points on a significant scale. Last week, they only conceded 16 points, but in the four games before that, they had allowed at least 33 points in each game.

I just don't see both of these teams suddenly having solid defenses at the same time. In fact, I expect both to revert to their usual form and allow a high number of points.

So, I'm taking the over 37 points on this one.

This is going to be a one-sided affair, of that I am sure, however, I am not as confident that the Bills will cover the spread.

The Bills have run out convincing winners a couple of times this season but they have already not played to the standard that one expects from them and therein lies my apprehension backing them to beat a 15-point spread.

The Giants have been hammered a number of times but like the Bills, they do occasionally defy expectations, which in their case is low.

The Bills may well run out massive winners but there is also a good chance that the Giants will get a couple of TDs and that is what I am banking on.

In my view, there is more chance of this game having at least 44 points as opposed to the Bills covering the spread.

Take over 43.5 points

This one was a very tricky one for me. Kansas will win, of that I have no doubts but beating the spread is where I stumble, I suspect they will but my confidence in that actually happening is not in a place I would feel comfortable with, I just have this sneaky feeling that tonight may be a bit closer than most people probably think.

If the Chiefs are in the mood they could easily win by 20 or more points but too often they get wins that are much closer than they should have been, for example, beating the Jets by just 3 points, the Lions by one and the Vikings by seven. Yes, all wins but by less than what I anticipated.

Denver is a poor side, only beating the Bears this season and they should not really be a match for the Chiefs but if I am honest, my opinion is based far less on the Bronco's capabilities and more on the complacency of Kansas.

When I first analysed this game I had it in my mind that the totals would be set at 50-51 so when I saw it available at 47 I was surprised. Let me give you some examples of why I feel that, in the five games that Denver has played only once have we seen less than 50 points, even when they got annihilated by the Dolphins, they still managed to get 20 points on the board.

Strangely, the Chiefs are generally involved in low-scoring games with only one going over 50 points but that was on their home ground and I am of the belief that they are more "up for it" with their fans behind them.

All things considered, I am backing this game to have at least 50 points in it and therefore going over 47 points is the obvious bet.

The 49ers have been one of the most impressive teams this season, boasting a 4-0 record and an ability to score consistently. While they are strong contenders for the Super Bowl, it doesn't necessarily mean they will dominate the Cowboys in this game.

San Francisco's strong record notwithstanding, the Cowboys have performed well this season with a 3-1 record. On their best days, they have the potential to defeat any team, but the challenge lies in predicting when those days will occur.

It's likely that the 49ers will come out as victors in this matchup, but there's a degree of uncertainty in backing them to cover the spread, even with home advantage.

The Cowboys have a knack for surprising even the best teams, and for that reason, I'm more inclined to focus on the total points scored in this game.

Both teams have demonstrated their ability to put up points, and their defenses can also be effective. However, in this matchup, I don't anticipate the defenses having the upper hand. Instead, I see the offenses prevailing, leading to a high-scoring game.

Given this expectation, I recommend taking the over on the total points, set at 44.5.

The Eagles are off to an impressive start with a 4-0 record, while the Rams have had a somewhat inconsistent season with a 2-2 record. Although the Rams have the advantage of playing at home, I still believe the Eagles will extend their winning streak to 5-0.

However, I do have reservations about whether Philadelphia will cover the spread; it's not something I'm entirely convinced of.

What I'm more confident about is the total points scored in the game. I believe the total has been set too low at 50 points. Both teams have demonstrated their ability to score in the mid-20s or more in previous games.

Even in their matchup against the 49ers, the Rams scored 23 points, indicating they can put up a respectable score against a strong opponent like the Eagles. Philadelphia has consistently scored 25 points or more this season, surpassing 30 points on two occasions.

Considering these factors, I am highly confident that this game will have more than 50 points scored in total.

Take over 50 points

In my opinion, the key factor in this game revolves around the defenses, which I find to be unreliable and not particularly competent. Let's examine the number of points each side has conceded so far.

The Seahawks have allowed 30, 31, and 27 points in their three games, while the Giants have conceded 40, 28, and 30 points. By any measure, these numbers are not favorable.

Of course, it's not as straightforward as that. For instance, the Giants have faced tough opponents in the Cowboys and 49ers, both known for their ability to score high points. However, Seattle hasn't really encountered teams that should be capable of scoring such high numbers against a competent defense.

Nevertheless, regardless of the teams they face or the circumstances, consistently allowing high scores is still a cause for concern.

Regarding picking a winner for this game, I cannot do so with confidence, and neither does the point spread appear particularly enticing. However, the total points scored does.

Considering that both defenses have struggled to contain their opponents, I am confident that we will witness a high-scoring game. Therefore, I am betting on the overs.

Take over 47 points

With the Chiefs finally starting to click and the Jets without Aaron Rodgers, it would be fairly easy to see this game going in favor of Kansas, and for them to easily cover the spread. However, that's where I hesitate, as I feel the spread has been set almost perfectly.

I acknowledge that Kansas demolished Chicago, but the Jets are not the Bears. They have a stronger defense and, even more importantly, possess a good offense even without Rodgers and Zach Wilson struggling as his replacement.

Do I see Kansas winning? Yes, I do, but I'm not convinced they will cover the spread. I believe that the Jets will put up a good number of points on the scoreboard, and that will motivate the Chiefs.

For me, taking a side on the spreads felt like taking a guess, but when I looked at the total points line, this game just screamed "overs."

My thinking is simple: I can see the Jets getting close to 20 points, and if that happens, the total points scored will be over 41.

Take the over 41

Due to time constraints, the analysis is minimal today.

Two 2-0 teams and for a variety of reasons I fully expect both to get at least 20 points on the board and that means that the overs is a very enticing prospect.

I accept that the Tampa Bay defense is playing well and has not conceded 20 points in a single game this season but I fancy the Eagles to do that, they have certainly been racking up the points when given the opportunity.

Take over 44 points

Two rather mediocre teams, the Steelers and Raiders, have shown this season that on their good days, they can perform well, but at other times, they are susceptible to being overrun.

I have little trust in both teams' defenses and offenses. When you have a scenario like that, you can expect almost anything to happen.

I anticipate seeing lots of mistakes, turnovers, and the occasional moment of brilliance from both sides today. When I have this perspective on a game, it usually results in a high-scoring match.

I have no idea who will win this one; it really could go either way. However, I am of the opinion that both teams will score at least 20 points, and that makes the over 43 points a viable option.

Take the over 43

The Bills have been inconsistent this season. One week they struggle, and the next they score with ease.

Washington, on the other hand, is 2-0 with two close victories under their belt, making them a tough opponent. If the Bills play as they did last week, they could hand the Commanders their first loss of the season.

However, it's a big "if," and I lack confidence in the Bills to back them for a win.

What I am confident in, though, is that regardless of the outcome, we'll likely see a high-scoring game with both teams putting up points.

Take the over 43

The New York Giants played to form in the first half against the Arizona Cardinals, and another blowout was on the cards. However, they rallied in the second half, racking up 31 points to claim the win. They showed remarkable fortitude, character, and resilience, and they must be given credit for that.

On the other hand, San Francisco showed, once again, why they are among the favorites to win the Super Bowl this season. It is very difficult to go up against them, even with the big spread against them. They really are an excellent team.

I was tempted to back the 49ers to cover the spread, but it all depends on how the Giants perform, and that is something that, for me, is just guesswork at this moment in time. They may well kick on from the Arizona win and play far better than they did in the first six quarters of this campaign. However, they are just as liable to be blown out of the water again.

The way I have looked at this game is simple. I am very confident that the 49ers will rack up at least 30 points, and that is at a minimum. The question for me is how many points the Giants will score.

Providing that the Giants will not be walkovers as they were in the first game and first half last week, which I do not think they will be, then I do see them getting at least 14 points, quite possibly more. That makes me feel that the overs have been set far too low, and that is the bet I will be placing today.

Take over 44 points.

Last week, I was confident that the Steelers would give the 49ers a run for their money and expected a much closer game than what we ended up witnessing. If anything, the 30-7 win for the 49ers flattered a woeful Steelers.

The Rams also had a very good opening weekend, racking up 30 points against the hapless Seahawks and clearly are looking to have a good season. They certainly have enough belief in themselves.

What struck me about both sides is how confident they both appeared on offense, but it is fairly unknown how well they will perform defensively against a good offense, considering they were not tested last week against poor opposition.

With that in mind, I am betting on the overs in this game simply because I am convinced by both teams' offenses but not yet by their defenses.

Take over 45 points

I expected the total score in this game to be close to 45-46 points, so you can imagine my surprise when the total points available were just 40.

Both teams have gotten off to a winning start, with the Packers beating the Bears 38-20 and the Falcons defeating the Panthers 24-10.

Whatever is expected of these teams this season, starting with wins can only help boost morale and send both into the game full of confidence.

The Packers have obviously found scoring easy enough; however, there are questions about their defense.

The Falcons did just fine last week, but there are concerns with them as well, and all of this leads me to believe that we will see over 40 points in this game, and that is exactly the bet I am making.

Take over 40.5 points

The expectation is that Philadelphia will emerge as easy winners against the Minnesota Vikings, and the betting certainly reflects that expectation.

However, there is certainly no value in backing the Eagles outright, and the handicap, for me, has been set almost perfectly, which makes predicting a winner on the spread tantamount to guesswork and is best left alone.

For starters, the Vikings should perform better than they did last week. You have to think they will reduce the turnovers and be more efficient in the red zone. Coupled with their passing game, this does make them a team to respect.

Of course, Philadelphia is a very talented team, but their defense makes me nervous, and I believe they can be exploited, especially by the Vikings' receivers. However, as an all-around team, the Eagles do have the edge over the Vikings, but the question is by how much, and I am simply not sure about that.

What I am sure about is that both teams will score touchdowns and quite a few of them. This has convinced me that the total has been set a little too low for this matchup.

I would have still bet on the overs if it had been set as high as 52-53 points. So, being able to bet on over 49 points, for me, is a gift that I simply cannot ignore.

If the Vikings can improve in the two areas that let them down last week, turnovers and red zone failures, there is every reason to believe they can score in the mid-20s.

If the Vikings can reach that total, and the Eagles win as I expect them to, then the total must surpass 50 points, and that is the bet I am taking.

Take the over at 49 points.

The overs total for this game has been dropping most of the week, especially in Europe. At one point, the total was set at 47 points, but it's now down to 45 points, and I see this as an opportunity to profit from this game.

I understand why the overs have been decreasing, likely due to the comments from Mike McCarthy about resting the defense. Personally, I take that sentiment with a grain of salt and don't expect the Cowboys to be overly conservative in their offense.

The Cowboys have a wealth of talent that sometimes underperforms, but when they're in form, they can put a significant number of points on the board.

The Giants have been steadily improving, exceeding expectations last season and making some upgrades. They will give the Cowboys a tough challenge today.

I anticipate both teams scoring at least 20 points, and I believe one of them will rack up 25-30 points, which should be more than enough to cover the over.

Take the overs at 45 points.

I had initially decided to back the Raiders receiving 3.5 on the spread, but their defense worries me seriously, and I feel that it will be their weak point this season. Therefore, my confidence was lacking in backing Las Vegas.

That said, Denver's defense is questionable in my opinion. I know some rate them much higher than I do, and time will tell us who was right. But right now, I am just not convinced by them and therein lies the quandary for me when it comes to the spread.

That is why I have left it alone and come to the conclusion that with one definite suspect defense in Las Vegas and a questionable Denver defense, points could easily be racked up in this game.

With that in mind, the over being set at 43 points feels like strong value and a bet I simply could not miss out on.

Take Over 43 points.

I was tempted to back the Eagles on the spread but the confidence was just not there, however, I do see this being a low scoring game and that is the much better pick for me than doing the spread.

You cannot ignore the thrashing the Saints handed out to the Eagles earlier in the season but circumstances have changed since that game and it is highly unlikely that New Orleans will repeat that sort of win again today.

The Saints are the better team, however, this is the playoffs, the Eagles continue to defy expectations and they will be a better team today than the team that lost 48-7, they will certainly defend a lot better and will provide far more potency up front.

The New Orleans defence will feel confident that they can keep the Philadelphia offense at bay and I fully expect the Eagles defence to put in a strong performance today.

The Saints will probably win, they could easily win by double digits but at the same time the Eagles could once again rise to the occasion and to some extent that is what I expect but it will not be because they are running the points in but because their defence does a much better job containing the Saints offense.

All things considered, I am going with under 53 points.

Earlier in the season I would have had this game, in LA, as a walkover for the Rams, however, the Cowboys have improved as the season has progressed and if anything the Rams have shown more and more vulnerabilities but that said, I still believe that the Rams will win, I just could not say hand on heart that they would beat the spread.

In Ezekiel Elliott, the Cowboys have a force of nature and I do see the Rams struggling to contain him and I expect the Cowboys to break 24 points in this game.

The Rams, of course, have Todd Gurley and the Rams offense, when they are in the mood, scream points and I have them breaking 30 points.

How many points either team goes beyond what I am expecting from them I am not sure, thus why I am unable to predict who covers the spread but based on my analysis of the points that each team will get it tells me that they will comfortably beat 48.5 points and go well beyond 50 points.

All things considered, I am going with over 48.5 points on the totals.

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

My analysis has this game going over 50 points and so getting over 45.5 points is a gift.

The circumstances of this game mean that the Ravens have to go for it and the Bucs have shown that they can run the points up when they are in the mood, I expect an open game today with both teams racking up the points.

Take over 45.5 points

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I do expect this to be a fairly low scoring game but I am of the opinion that we will see more than 40 points between these two.

The Bills have been a little surprising, when the season started I expected them to be the victims of a turkey shoot every game but if they win this game today their season will be on par with the Lions and I did not see that happening.

The Bills are more than capable of getting in excess of 20 points, they have shown that in three of their last four games, the Lions have gone backwards and have found scoring difficult but they will be confident they can get in excess of 20 points against the Bills.

I see both teams getting over 20 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I actually find it hard to separate these two teams, both have been playing better recently, especially the Giants and this game could go either way.

I also believe that both teams will continue to put points on the board, the Giants knocked up 40 points last week and 30 the week before against the Bears, the Titans have scored 30 and 26 in their last two games, in better words the offense for both teams is in form right now.

All things considered, I am going over 43 points.

Stake - 2pts

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

I like the look of over 46 points in this one, my analysis has the game getting to 50 points with there being more chance that it goes over 50 than staying below.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

This game has all the hallmarks of going well over 50 points and that is my pick in this game.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

This could be a turkey shoot for the Saints, however, I feel that the Bucs will have a say, especially with home advantage and in combination I see the points total going beyond 55 points.

Stake 2pts

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

The stats do point to a low scoring game but the Bills are capable of putting points on the bard and Ia am confident that the Jets will be competitive and in combination, they will surpass 40 points.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

I fully expect the Packers to win but am not convinced with the spread and my analysis of this game has it going over 42 points so I am happy to accept over 40.5pts

Over 40.5

Stakes 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

The Bills have certainly improved and the Dolphins are their usual inconsistent selves and either team can win, I see both teams getting in excess of 20 points and from then onwards it is a shootout on who actually wins the game.

Over 39.5

Stakes 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Massively important game for both sides, especially the Packers who know this is one game they simply cannot afford to lose.

When these two met last time out it ended in a tie with 58 points shared between them and I see a repeat of that today, not in terms of a tie but in terms of how many points are scored.

I simply do not see this game being dominated by defence, both teams must be attack orientated, they need the win and only points on the board will do that.

All things considered, the circumstances of this game and what is at stake leads me to believe we will see roughly 60 points and so going over 47.5 points is a no-brainer.

Take over 47.5 points.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game will probably be one-way traffic but the spread was just too close for me to make a call either way, however, I am confident that over 43.5 points will be achieved.

The Chargers had been flying until losing to Denver and I expect them to bounce back in style today, their offense is potent and they will be looking to take advantage of a very poor Cardinals side.

The Falcons are so bad that they even lost to the Raiders and the question for me was how many points they would score not if they would win, that I cannot see.

I expect the Chargers to get at least 30 points today which would mean that in the event that the Chargers only score 30, which I see as an absolute minimum, then the Cardinals would need to score at least 14 and I do see that happening and so the overs, even if the Chargers are not firing on all cylinders, will be reached.

Take over 34.5 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A win for either team will go a long way to cementing their playoff hopes while a loss would be a blow for sure and that will determine how these two approaches this game.

The last two games that Seattle have featured in have been high scoring games and three of the last four Panther games have been the same.

The Panthers will be looking to break a two game losing run while the Seahawks will look to build on their win over Green Bay.

Basically, both teams have something to play for, both have incentives and both know a loss is just unacceptable and that means to me that risks will be taken, mistakes will be made and points will be scored.

Take over 46 points.

Stake - 2pts

Due to time constraints, there is no extensive analysis today, however, this pick has been fully analysed and researched and carries maximum confidence.

New Orleans are flying right now and are scoring for fun and it is difficult to see anything other than a win for them, however, I do believe that the Falcons will play their part today and not be totally rolled over by Drew Brees and the Saints.

60.5 points is quite high but the way the Saints are scoring and my belief that the Falcons will put up a respectable show I am confident that between these two teams we will see in excess of 60.5 points.

Take over 60.5 points

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The overs market is set quite high but if there are two teams that can beat 63 points, it is these two.

Offense wise these two teams are impressive, they score regularly and they score quick and both defences have shown that they give up points on a regular basis as well.

Not every game that involves these two go high but when they face teams on their level then the points roll, just look at the Rams game against the Saints and the Chiefs game against the Patriots.

All things considered, I am very confident that we will see in excess of 63 points and wuld not be at all surprised to see this game go beyond 70 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Neither team has been impressive this season and yet both somehow are still with a chance in the NFC East, though the Cowboys are running out of time fast.

Both defences are vulnerable, however, there are good reasons to feel that the respective offenses can rack the points up.

Wentz is impressing for the Eagles and he now has Golden Tate to aim for and of course, the Cowboys have added Amari Cooper and he will have come on following his first game.

With both offenses reinforced and their defences suspect there is a real chance of a high scoring game between these two tonight and that is how I will be betting this game.

Take over 45.5 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is a must-win for the Lions and I expect them to take more risks today and be more adventurous, they simply cannot afford not to and when they have had a real go at it and been more effective with their offense they have put the points on the board and five times this season they have managed to put at least 24 points on the board.

The Bears have home advantage and in seven of their eight games this season have scored at least 23 points, they top the NFC North and will see this as a game that they can cement that position, however, I am not sure they will cover the spread.

What I am sure is that both teams will score in excess of 20 points respectively and in combination beat the total of 44 points, the stats are there to indicate that will happen.

Take over 44 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The spread on this one is crazy high but the thing is that the Chiefs are capable of covering it, however, there is also a strong chance they may not and if there is one game on the spreads that I am leaving alone it is this one.

The Chiefs are flying, they are scoring at will and the Cardinals are struggling offensively big time, so a big win is expected but by how much and how many will each team score.

My analysis has the Chiefs scoring roughly 35 points in this one and the Cardinals between 17 and 20 points and that makes the over 49 points total a given.

Take over 49 points.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Carolina Panthers Cam Newton is playing out of his skin right now when it matters, he may not be the most consistent QB and his team may not be the most reliable, but over the last three games Newton and the Panthers have come through when it matters, they are scoring healthily and I expect them to put points on the board again tonight.

The Steelers are also scoring well, they are on a four-game winning streak and in front of their home fans will be looking to make it five in a row and cement their position at the top of the AFC North.

The spread is probably about right, however, when the Panthers are in this mood they can be anything, they can just as easily win this game as be humbled and it takes a leap of faith that I do not have in them to back them on the spreads and by the same token, to oppose them.

But the over 51 points market does look very tasty, I am certain that these two will both clock up more than 25 points apiece and therefore the over market is the pick for me today.

Take over 51 points.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I was torn in this game, at first I was tempted to back the Broncos at home but the form of the Texans and the inconsistent form of Broncos QB Case Keenum has undermined my belief in the Broncos winning this one.

By the same token, I worry about the Texans visiting Denver and coming away with the win, just too many variables in play here.

However, what I am sure of is that both teams will score and score in excess of 20 points each and in combination I have them breaking 50 points and so getting over 45.5 is more than acceptable.

Take over 45.5 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A case can be made for either team, both are in good form and both are capable of getting the win, but I am not as convinced by the Seahawks as I am the Chargers, Seattle for me are more brittle and less explosive but they have home advantage which evens things out a little.

But I do like the look of over 48 points in this game.

Seattle has scored 28.27 and 31 points in their last three games and at least 20 points in their last five games.

The Chargers have scored 38.26 and 29 points in three of their last four games and at least 20 points in every game this season.

I am convinced that both teams will break 24 points in this game and will, in combination, get over 50 points and so over 48 points is an easy pick for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A huge game for both teams, not because it means anything for their respective seasons, it does not, but because of local bragging rights and that can never be underestimated.

These two teams have had poor seasons, both have just one win all season long, their respective performances have been woeful and it is really difficult to make a case for either team, they are just that bad.

That said, there is still a cast iron pick here and that is the over 45.5 market.

I see this game going over 50, to be honest, both teams have awful defences, just look at the stats but they can score points with their respective offences and with the defences like sieves you have to think that this is the perfect game for both offenses to rack up some points.

Put it this way, this game will not be about the defences, it will be about which offense can take advantage of the opposing weak defence and in my opinion, I see both teams doing just that.

Take over 45.5pts

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This one could be a classic and I am backing both teams to put points on the board.

The Saints have won five in a row and are bouncing, they will also be looking for revenge against the Vikings following last years dramatic playoff match between these two. They have scored an average of 34 points per game and I can see them getting close to that tonight.

The Vikings may not be as prolific but they have averaged 24 points a game this season and remember that includes a measly 6 points in their freaky loss to the Bills and if you look over the last four games they have averaged 29.5 points a game.

Both teams have top quality quarterbacks that can create points almost regularly and over 54 points looks well within the reach of these two.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game has the look of under 44 points to me.

Four of Baltimore last five games have all gone under 44 points and their defence has conceded an average of 12.8 points in those five games.

The Panthers defence has conceded an average of just 21.8 points this season and today we have five of the top 6 players in career tackles playing.

All things considered, I am going under 44 points.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I fancy the Bears to win this one but was unsure if they would beat the spread, however, even if I did believe they would beat the spread I am far more confident in this game going over 42 points.

So much has been made of the Bears defence but it was not exactly impressive in their last two games and in 50% of their games they have conceded at least 24 points this season and even with home advantage I am doubtful that they will keep the Jets below 20 points.

The Jets bounced back from a three-game losing streak to record two impressive wins before being humbled by the Vikings and the best you can say about the Jets is that they are inconsistent but when they are in the mood they can put points on the board.

All things considered, I expect the Bears to win but that the Jets will get to at least 20 points and that means over 42 points is a given.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Texans have now gone four straight wins after losing their opening three games of the season and will attempt to make that five wins on the trot against the Dolphins.

Houston are clear favourites and it is hard to see them losing, however, I am not sure they will beat the spread despite having home advantage.

I am expecting a big game from the Miami quarterback Brock Osweiler, he had a disastrous time with the Texans and has a big point to prove and he will be absolutely determined to do just that and that is why I am not sure the Texans will cover the spread.

I feel the over is far more likely, Miami will put points up on the board and I see them getting at least 20 points and at the same time I do see the Texans winning and that makes me confident that the combined score will be in excess of 44 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

You have to think that the loss against the Patriots last week and the toughness of that game will have had an impact on the Chiefs, especially their defence and that may well give the Bengals more opportunities than usual.

The Bengals are no walkovers, they are deservedly 4-2 and will be looking to bounce back with immediate effect from their loss to the Steelers last week, they are more than capable of scoring well against the Chiefs.

The Chiefs will probably win, they have home field advantage but I just was not sure on the spreads as I do see the Bengals getting a few TD's themselves and this game just screams high score to me due to the background and context of this matchup.

All things considered, I am going for a high scoring game.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This one could go either way as both teams are more than capable of racking up the points.

Both quarterbacks are having good seasons within the context of their positions and while the Jets are suffering some crucial injuries right now they do have home advantage which to some degree will even this game out a little.

I was tempted to back the Vikings but the Over market is far more appealing as I do see both teams getting excess of 20 points comfortably.

Take over 45 points

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The stats point to this being an overs game and also the recent performances of these two teams indicates strongly that overs is the way to go.

Five of the last six Lions games have gone over and six of their last eight road games have gone the same way, add to those stats the fact that seven of the last nine Miami home games have also gone over and then you can see where this is going.

Additionally, the Lions have broken 24 points in four of their five games this season and Miami has broken 27 points in every one of their home games.

Take over 46.5 points

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tricky game to call this one and a case can be made for both sides.

Denver did well against the Rams at the weekend despite just losing but then they were at home, their two wins this season have been at the Mile High Stadium and even though they went close against the free-scoring Chiefs and Rams they did lose in their own stadium and when they are away they have been dispatched by double figures both times.

The Cardinals are certainly no better, they are 1-5 for a reason, they have lost all their home games and just like the Broncos, have significant issues all over the place.

Both teams clearly have quarterback issues, that is obvious, they have other issues they must contend with, as an example, Denver are useless against the run and the Cardinals are just as bad offensively and basically, this game is now a must win for either team and whichever team does get their act together tonight will win, it is just guesswork which one is likely to do that.

So, picking a winner is fraught with difficulties, as soon as you make a case for one or the other an issue pops up but that does not mean that there is not a pick to be had.

The over looks good to me and the reason is simple, both teams have zero choice but to take risks and go for the win, I know that neither offense fills one with confidence but there are signs there that an improvement is close, this was shown by the Broncos last week and the Falcons two games back against the 49ers and even in the loss against the Vikings they did get more points on the board than in almost all their games this season.

The bottom line for me is that I see both teams taking more risks than usual and both are showing signs of improvement in offense, albeit only slightly, but enough for me to go over 42.5 points.

Take over 42.5 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is one of those games where the spread is almost perfect and it amounts to guesswork whether one team or the other manages to cover it.

But there is a standout pick in this one for me and that is the totals.

I am very confident that this game will go over 46.5 points.

Three of the last four 49ers games have all gone over 50 points and the other one (their most recent game) was 46 points and even when they have lost in that sequence they managed to get at least 27 points. The point I am making is that even when the 49ers lose, which is rather regular, they still manage to put in a decent show and get points on the board.

Four of the five games involving the Packers this season have all gone over 46.5 points and against this 49ers the Packers will be confident they will break 30 points.

The 49ers are riddled with injuries and that will no doubt have an effect on their performance tonight but I am fairly confident they will get at least 20 points or very close to it.

All things considered, I see this game going over 50 points and so the totals at 46.5 points is a definite over for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game has all the hallmarks of a low scoring affair.

The last three Baltimore games have all ended under 42 points and even though they won two of those games they did not go too high in the scoring charts and their defence was able to hold their opponents to lowish scores in those wins.

The Titans have gone under 40 points in three of their last four games and to some degree, they have struggled in offense with their defence stepping up.

I see these two teams cancelling each other out for the most part and a game under 40 points looks on the cards for me.

Take under 43.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I expect the Rams to win this one but was unsure on the spread, it could easily be a tightish game or a big Rams win, however, I am a lot more sure of a high scoring game.

The last three Rams games have gone for 64, 69 and 58 total points, it basically seems to me that they have the attitude of however many you score we will score more and that tells me two things, 1) their defence is vulnerable and their offense is formidable.

The Broncos are on a three-game losing streak and need a huge performance tonight and while I do not see them winning I do see them staying close, especially in the Mile High Stadium, their defence knows they have been the weak link this season and they will look to improve, it is just unfortunate for them they are facing a frightening offense.

All things considered, I see the Rams getting beyond 30 points tonight and the Broncos to get in excess of 24 points, how much higher either team goes is anyone's guess but the game will be beyond 50 points regardless of the final score.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This one could go either way, the Jets are going for a second win in a row at home while the Colts are looking to break a 3 game losing streak.

I feel the spread is about right and I do slightly favour the Jets to get the win but would not be surprised if the Colts got the win, therefore I am not in the position to pick a winner either way, it is one of those games.

But what stands out for me is the total, I see this game going over 48 points, the Colts are capable of getting at least 24 points, they have done so in their last two losses and the Jets are more than good enough to do the same.

Both teams will be offensive minded today and will be confident they can break each other's defences, I do not see either team playing conservative football today and over 47 points is a low total for me.

Take over 47 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

If there was ever a game destined to go over 60 points it is this one.

The total has been set fairly high at 57 but for very good reason and even that high total I feel is on the low side.

These two sides can score and concede in big numbers, The Falcons have conceded 41, 37 and 43 in their last three games, all losses, and when they beat the Panthers they scored 31 points.

The Bucs are no better, they have conceded 48, 30 and 40 in three of their last four games and in three of those four games the total scores have been 58, 57 and 88 points.

The bottom line for me is that I have zero confidence in either team's defence, they will both concede regularly today but at the same time, I do have confidence that their offenses can rack the points up, mainly because they are facing vulnerable defences.

All things considered, I am going over 57 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I believe there are good reasons to believe that this game will go over 51 points.

New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees is on the verge of breaking a couple of historic NFL records but he is professional enough not to prioritise that and instead focus on the win but he would not be human and neither would his teams if that was not in their thinking and how they approach this match.

Then you have Washington who will be looking to break their Monday night hoodoo and who are fresh from a bye week and will feel confident that they can win this game and why not, they have put in at least two good performances this season from their three games.

It should also be noted that New Orleans love a high scoring game, certainly this season and while the Redskins have not as many high scoring games this season they are more than capable of racking up the points as they showed against Green Bay.

All things considered, I am going over 51 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The spread on this game is just too low for me and I am happy to go over 40.5 points.

The reason for the low spread is the Cardinals inability to put points on the board but they will be hoping that changes against the 49ers who hardly have a solid defence.

By the same token the 49ers, even when they lose, have not had that much trouble putting points on the board, they have put up 27 points in each of their last three games.

The bottom line for me is that I can see the Cardinals finally getting beyond 20 points against this 49ers defence and I see the 49ers remaining consistent and also putting up a minimum of 20 points.

Take over 40.5 pts

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game can go either way, I would not be surprised if either of these two emerged victorious and I simply cannot make a case for backing either the Falcons or the Steelers on the spreads, it would be just guesswork.

But it is not guesswork to believe that there will be a ton of points on the board.

Both teams are more than capable of racking the points up and both are more than capable of conceding a load of points as well, just look at the last three Falcon games, they have totalled 73, 80 and 55 points respectively and then look at the last three Steelers games 40, 57 and 79 points.

Point is these two have issues in both defence and offense and that tends to leads to high scoring games and I see very little reason for that to be any different today, not based on the respective performances of these two this season.

Take over 57.5 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Colts scored 34 points and still lost against the Texans and that is how I see this match up going this evening.

I expect the Patriots to win but feel they will need to put up at least 30 points to do so, they may well beat the Colts by ten points or more, but I do see the Colts getting at least 20-25 points this evening and that will put them within striking range of the Patriots unless they score in excess of 30 points.

I know the Patriots were very impressive last week against the Dolphins and their defence, on the whole, had a great game but it would be folly to ignore their previous two games, both losses.

The Colts have had their share of disappointing performances as well but I expect more from them tonight against a team that has scored at least 34 points against them in their last five meetings.

The bottom line for me is that I see the Patriots winning and scoring in excess of 30 points and the Colts to score between 20-25 points which tells me that the total score will be in excess of 50 points.

Take Over 49.5 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Bills pulled off a stunning win last week over the Vikings, I thought they would get thrashed but they proved that they still have life in them after an appalling start to the season.

The Green Bays are in effect a one-man team, if Rodgers plays bad so do the Packers, that may be a bit too simple an analysis of them but it is factual and the stats back that up.

The Bills can get points against this Packers outfit and of course, Green Bay are more than capable of amassing a nice total against this Bills team and all that tells me that we will see a good chunk of points in this game.

I expect the Packers to win and even if they win by a wide margin I still see the Bills getting between 17 and 24 points and that will be more than enough to see the Total exceed 44 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game has over written all over it.

My analysis in fact has this game going over 60 points and I have both teams clearing 30 points with the Falcons edging it.

It was a toss up for me between doing the Falcons on the spread but the better value and more sure pick is the over market.

Over their last two games the Falcons have really racked up the points and both those games easily cleared the over total and all three of the Bengals games this season have gone over.

Take over 53 points.

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This has all the makings of a tight game between two good teams.

The Bears are unlucky not to be 3-0, their confidence is growing with each game and with Khalil Mack on board, they are frightening the hell out of every offense they face.

Tampa Bay has shown already this season that they are not a team to take lightly and deservedly have a 2-1 record and they are in the fortunate position of having two good quarterbacks available to choose from.

The Bears have the momentum but it would be a mistake to underestimate the Bucs, I see both teams scoring well today with both putting in excess of 20 points on the board, the only fly in the ointment is, of course, Mack but even with him in the side, the Bucs have the firepower to get a decent amount of points.

Take over 46 points.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This has low scoring game written all over it.

Both teams are poor and if it was not for the opposition consistently scoring high against the Seahawks there would always be low scores in their games while the Cowboys have regularly been featuring in low scoring games recently.

Neither of these two offenses fills me with confidence and I am happy to go with under 41 points.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have this game going over 50 points and with the Totals being over 46.5 points then it did not need a rocket scientist to convince me that the best pick in this matchup was over 46.5 points.

Both teams are more than capable of racking up the points and their respective defences have shown some vulnerabilities.

All things considered, I am confident we will see a points fest.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have to be honest and say that for me, the Packers are basically a one-man team, not literally of course, they do have some quality players but if Rodgers underperforms so do they, it is as simple as that and with the injury he is still probably carrying then it remains up in the air what Packers team we will see today.

The Redskins do not impress me too much either but they are more than capable of getting points on the board against the Packers defence and with the Packers obviously being potent in offense with Rodgers then to me, over 45 points is a given.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Vikings will win this and win by a big score, the Bills are as poor as they come and the Vikings will have a field day today but I was not sure whether they would beat the huge spread but I am convinced that this game will go over 41 points.

I do see the Bills getting some points on the board and my analysis has them getting between 15 points and 20 and the Vikings between 30 and 35 points and so on balance over 41 points slightly edges the Vikings beating the spreads.

Take over 41 points.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Browns have been extremely unlucky n their opening two games and it is just a matter of time before they break their 19 games winless streak. They are a far better outfit this season than last, they have a belief and determination that has previously been absent and have already proven this season that they will be a match for anyone.

The jury is still out on the Jets, they were impressive in their opening game but were found wanting against Miami, Sam Darnold is a rough diamond and despite some serious inexperience, he was still able to pull off some impressive plays and far more is to come from him and that will only benefit the Jets.

The stats point to under I admit but that is not taking into consideration that Cleveland is vastly improved and that the Jets could be anything under their young quarterback.

This game is set up to be a high scoring affair, if Darnold and the Jets click and the Browns continue with their improved form then this game will be closer to 50 points then 40 in my opinion.

I am confidently taking over 40.5 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This matchup between the Seahawks and Bears has all the hallmark of being a very close game.

Both teams had narrow losses last week with the Bears especially unlucky to lose to an Aaron Rodgers inspired comeback against the Green Bay Packers.

The Seahawks just could not hold on against the Broncos and will feel disappointed in the ending to that game.

I can understand why the totals are low with the likes of Khalil Mack on the field and no doubt he will play a pivotal role but the bottom line for me is that I see both teams getting over 20 points and if that happens then going over 42 points is nailed on.

I am not sure about the spread but I am sure that this game will result in over 42 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

This really does look like it will be a low scoring game, both teams do not inspire offensively and I just cannot see there being a load of TD's, not with these two teams and under 42.5 points looks a safe pick.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

The Rams are going to win this one but the spread was just too tricky for me, do I think they can win by 14 points? Yes, am I very confident they will? No, and that was the dilemma.

For me, there is much more chance of this game going over 44.5 points than a ridiculous high win for the Rams.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

This matchup has under written all over it and that is how I will be playing this game between the Panthers and Falcons.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

I see this being a high scoring game with the Redskins probably running out the winners. I have both teams scoring highly in this game and over 48 points looks a good bet.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

This was a tricky one for me, I was tempted to go with the Eagles but my confidence in them is not rock solid and I am much more confident that we will have a high scoring game, I can see both teams going above 20 points and one of them, if not both, going above 25 points.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Raiders are definitely weakened with the loss of Khalil Mack and it will probably show this season starting with the game against the Rams, however, they do have Derek Carr to at least compensate for the defensive weakness they have and hope that he will be as clinical in offense as he has been in previous seasons.

A lot will depend on whether the Raiders can somehow cover the loss of Mack and it could well be that they are simply forced to accept they will concede more often and hope that their offense will get them out of trouble.

The Rams are deserved favourites but whether they can cover the spread is open to question.

The bottom line for me is that while the Raiders will concede a fair amount tonight I also see them scoring a few as well and that the overs is the value pick here.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with over 42 points in this game between the Cowboys and Panthers.

The Panthers are one of the most frustrating sides in the NFL, on their day they can be devastating but those days are not so often, they are very consistent at being inconsistent but when they click they really can rack the points up.

The Cowboys are a different team to last season and the jury is out on whether they will improve but just like the Panthers, when they are in the mood they can rack the points up.

I would back the Panthers to win but not with any great confidence but I can see this game going over 50 points and so getting total at 42 really is a gift

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I really like the look of over 48 points in this one.

The Chiefs defence is not exactly watertight but the thing with them is that while they concede points they are more than capable of racking up points as well.

The Chargers defence is fairly solid and their offense can be effective though at times they are susceptible to errors and with this being the first game of the season I do see some errors sneaking in.

Point is this, while the Chargers defence is strong they are liable to errors in offense and the Chiefs defence is not the best but they can be effective in offense and that is the ingredients required for a high scoring game.

Over 48 points for me

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A tale of two quarterbacks this one with an aged Tom Brady leading the Patriots against a Houston Texans lead by Deshaun Watson who is 19 years younger than the legendary Brady.

My judgement on this game is that the Patriots will just scrape the win, they tend to win at home but I no longer see it as being a given anymore and the Texans will run the Patriots close.

I could not confidently predict what I thought the spread would be though if forced would have gone with the Texans to cover, however, I am much more confident that we will see at least 50 points in this matchup.

I have the Patriots getting close to 30 points and the Texans not far behind and I would probably have gone as high as +53 points on the totals in this one and so +49.5 is a gift.

Take over 49.5 pts

Stake - 2pts