Basketball Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
06-16-22 | Warriors v. Celtics -3.5 | Top | 103-90 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Bos Celtics at 9:00 ET. The Celtics and Warriors were tied at two-all in this year's NBA Finals, with the Warriors having outscored the Celtics by just ONE point (422-421). Couldn't be any tighter, right? Well, maybe not, as no single game has been decided by fewer than 10 points! Game 5 was in San Francisco and the Warriors led by just one point entering the 4th quarter but would win 104-94 (yet another game decided by 10-points or more). Wiggins had a great game (26 & 13), despite going 0 of 6 from three-point range. Curry, the series' highest scorer, had only 16 points, while missing all NINE three-point attempts. The career three-point leader’s NBA-record streak of 132 straight postseason games with at least one three ended, along with his NBA-best run of 233 consecutive games with a three between regular season and playoffs combined. Tatum led Boston with 27 points (added 10 rebounds), while starting guards Brown and Smart combined for 38 points, while shooting poorly. The duo combined to make only 12 of 33 FGs (36.4%), including 3 of 11 on threes (27.3%).
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06-13-22 | Celtics +4 v. Warriors | Top | 94-104 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* Game 5 Tiebreaker is on the Bos Celtics at 9:00 ET. The Celtics and Warriors are tied at two-all in this year's NBA Finals, with the Warriors having outscored the Celtics by just ONE point (422-421). Couldn't be any tighter, right? Well, maybe not, as the fact remains that no single game has been decided by fewer than 10 points! Boston failed to take advantage of securing home court by dropping Game 4 on Friday. Curry delivered a 43-point performance, his third-highest scoring total in the postseason. The Warriors have won at least one road game for an NBA-record 27 consecutive playoff series since 2013, taking Game 4 by the score of 107-97. Golden St scored 17 of the game's last 20 points, as Boston's Jayson Tatum, who had 23 points and 11 rebounds, managed just one basket while playing the entire fourth quarter.
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06-10-22 | Warriors +4 v. Celtics | Top | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner in on the GS Warriors at 9:00 ET. The Boston Celtics entered this year's NBA Finals looking to win the franchise's 18th NBA championship, breaking a tie with the Lakers for the most in NBA history. Meanwhile, the Golden St Warriors were seeking their seventh NBA title (Warriors and Bulls are tied for third with six NBA titles apiece) playing in their SIXTH Finals in eight seasons. The Warriors began the series with their players owning a total of 123 games of Finals experience compared to the Celtics' ZERO! Plus, let's not even try to equate Boston's rookie coach Ime Udoka with Golden St's Steve Kerr. The Celtics outscored the Warriors 40-16 in the final 12 minutes of Game 1, after trailing by 15 points late in the third quarter. Boston delivered the most lopsided fourth quarter in NBA Finals history and came away with a 120-108. The Celtics went on a 48-18 run in the second half to decide the opener, but the Warriors didn’t wait that long in Game 2, going on a 43-14 burst from late in the first half until early in the fourth quarter to turn a tie game into an absolute runaway. Golden St outscored Boston 35-14 in the third quarter to turn a two-point halftime lead into a 23-point edge. The 107-88 win evened the NBA Finals at one-all. Jayson Tatum finished with 26 points in Game 3 plus starting guards Brown and Smart combined for 51 points to lift the Celtics to a 116-100 victory over the Warriors on Wednesday in Game 3. Tatum, who made just 3 of 17 FG attempts, has now put together back-to-back strong games. Brown had a line of 27-9-5 and Smart one of 24-7-5, after that duo had combined to make 6 of 23 shots (3 of 12 on threes) to total only 19 points in Game 2. Curry scored 31 points for the Warriors, but he was injured during a scramble for the ball when Celtics big man Al Horford landed on his leg. Curry was in pain on the floor and initially remained in the game with 4:07 to play. He was removed less than two minutes later when coach Steve Kerr decided the game was out of reach. Thompson scored 25 points, after averaging just 13.0 PPG in the first two games when he shot 10-33 from the floor, including 4 of 15 from three-point range. Wiggins was again solid (18 & 7) but Green was AWFUL (two points) and Looney was a non-factor (6 & 7). Poole had just 10 points off the bench plus EIGHT more Warriors got in the game, combining for only EIGHT points. Boston's Game 3 win Celtics, make them 7-0 following a loss this postseason but the Warriors enter Game 4 having gone 5-0 this postseason following a loss, outscoring their opponents by 15.4 PPG. Curry insists he'll play and there is little reason to doubt his claim (note: Curry is averaging 31.3 points in this series so far, shooting a sizzling 49% on three-pointers). Thompson had his best game of the Finals in Game 3 and I think we should expect another strong effort here. Then there is Green, the 'Great Disruptor!' He's been a 'no-show' in Games 1 and 3 and the Warriors can't afford that here in Game 4. Boston lost twice at home to the Bucks in the second round and twice to the Heat in the conference finals, so why can't (won't) the Warriors win in Boston. The Warriors have won road games at Denver, Memphis and Dallas this postseason least on, giving the franchise e road win in each of their last 26 playoff series, an NBA record. Take the points! Good luck...Larry |
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06-08-22 | Warriors v. Celtics -3.5 | Top | 100-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* Game 3 Tiebreaker is on the Bos Celtics at 9:00 ET. The NBA Finals opened on June 2 in San Francisco with Boston owning this year's best postseason road record (7-2) but with Golden St being the only team yet to lose at home (9-0). The Celtics outscored the Warriors 40-16 in the final 12 minutes of Game 1, after trailing by 15 points late in the third quarter. Boston's Al Horford scored a team-high 26 points plus Brown (24 points) and reserve guard White (21 points) helped lead the Celtics in completing the most lopsided fourth quarter in NBA Finals history. All that despite Jayson Tatum, the team's leading scorer in the regular and the postseason, shooting 3 of 17 (note: he did have 13 assists, the most in any game of his career).
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06-05-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -4 | Top | 88-107 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the GS Warriors at 8:00 ET. The Celtics outscored the Warriors 40-16 in the final 12 minutes of Game 1, after trailing by 15 points late in the third quarter. Boston's Al Horford, who turned 26 on Friday, celebrated his birthday a day early by scoring a team-high 26 points. The Celtics rode Horford plus Brown (24 points) and reserve guard White (21 points) to complete the most lopsided fourth quarter in NBA Finals history (won 120-108). All this despite Jayson Tatum, the team's leading scorer in the regular and the postseason, shooting 3 of 17 (note: he did have 13 assists, the most in any game of his career). Curry led Golden St with 34 points, Wiggins had 20 points and Thompson a modest 15. However, Green shot just 2 of 12 (4 points / 11 rebounds / 5 assist) and Poole made only 2 of 7 shots for nine points. The Warriors small-ball lineup, one of the most feared in the NBA, just fell apart in the 4th quarter. It was not only Golden St's first home loss of this postseason (had opened 9-0) but the Warriors had won 13 straight playoff series openers at home, the third-longest streak in NBA history. Boston is now 8-2 away from home this postseason, including three wins at Miami in the Eastern Conference finals and a Game 6 victory at defending-champion Milwaukee that kept the Celtics alive in the conference semifinals. That said, Steve Kerr's team certainly doesn't envision falling behind 2-0 in the series. However, the collapse in Game 1 ramps up the importance of Sunday's game. "It's a different feeling," Kerr said. "Obviously you go into Game 2 with more of a sense of desperation." This is the Warriors' SIXTH trip to the NBA Finals in eight years, and Curry, Thompson and Green are hardly surrendering after one setback. "It's just nothing to panic about," Green said. "It's the first team to win four games, not the first to win one." I couldn't agree more. Golden St did EXACTLY what it wanted in Game 1, UNTIL the 4th quarter. Now, it's "put up or shut up" time. Good luck...Larry |
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06-02-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -3.5 | Top | 120-108 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* NBA Game of the Year is on the GS Warriors at 9:00 ET. The Celtics closed the regular season winning 28 of their final 35 games to earn the East's No. 2 at 51-31 (won tiebreakers over Milwaukee and Philadelphia, which both finished 51-31, as well). Boston opened the playoffs with a 4-0 "revenge" sweep of Brooklyn but has then had its last two series "go the distance." The Celtics needed to win Game 6 in Milwaukee and then Game 7 at home to eliminate the defending NBA champion Bucks in the second round and then in the conference finals, lost Game 6 at home against the top-seeded Heat, before winning Game 7 in Miami. The Warriors had to play their final 12 games of the regular season without Curry but entered the playoffs on a five-game winning streak and as the West's No. 3 seed. Golden St made short work of Denver, taking the series 4-1 with the lone loss coming at Denver in Game 4, when the Nuggets avoided the sweep. Then came the second-seeded Grizzlies, who pushed the Warriors to six games. Dallas, not top-seeded Phoenix, was Golden St's opponent in the conference finals. That series went similarly to the team's opening round series vs Denver. The Warriors opened a 3-0 lead, lost Game 4 in Dallas (as the Mavs avoided a sweep), before closing out the series with a Game 5 win. The Celtics own 17 NBA titles, tied with the Lakers, for the most in NBA history. However, Boston's last championship came back in 2008 and its last appearance in the NBA Finals was in 2010. Boston had lost in its last FOUR visits to the Eastern Conference finals, before winning Sunday's Game 7 in Miami. Tatum (27.0-6.7-5.9) has had a terrific postseason so far, while Brown (22.9 & 6.8) has done his part. PG Smart, the NBA's Defensive Player of the Year, had missed two games (midfoot sprain) but checks in averaging 15.5-4.5-6.2 in the playoffs. Center Al Horford (who turns 36 on Friday) has averaged 11.9 & 9.6 this postseason and will be playing in his first Finals after playing an NBA-record 141 playoff games without an appearance in the NBA Finals. The Warriors small-ball lineup of guards Stephen Curry (25.9-4.9-6.2), Klay Thompson (19.8 & 4.3) and Jordan Poole (18.4 & 4.5 APG) plus SF Andrew Wiggins (15.8 & 7.0) and PF Draymond Green (8.7-6.9-6.3) is one of the most feared in the NBA. However, don't overlook Golden State center Kevon Looney. He was inserted back into the starting lineup in Game 6 vs Memphis, and he pulled down 22 rebounds in that series clinching win. He then started all five games against Dallas, averaging 10.6 & 10.6. Looney had 21 points and 12 rebounds in Game 2 for just his second career postseason double-double. Looney credits a lack of playing time with keeping him fresh for the playoffs. He played the fewest minutes in the NBA this season (1,732) among all players with 60 or more starts (he made 80). Boston has this year's best postseason road record (7-2) but Golden St is the only team yet to lose at home, going 9-0. The series could be determined by shooting percentages, as it pits the long-range marksmanship of Golden State's Curry and Klay Thompson against Boston's suffocating perimeter defense featuring Smart and Brown. The Warriors rank third in the NBA in the postseason in field-goal percentage (49.3 percent) and fourth in three-point percentage (37.9 percent). They'll be up against a Celtics defense that ranks second in both categories (43.3 percent and 31.7 percent, respectively). The Game 1 winner? I'm "all over" the Warriors, whose players enter the series with a total of 123 games of Finals experience compared to the Celtics' ZERO! Good luck...Larry |
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05-29-22 | Celtics v. Heat +2.5 | Top | 100-96 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* Game 7 Tiebreaker is on the Mia Heat at 8:30 ET. The Miami Heat lost Games 4 and 5 in the Eastern Conference finals, getting held to just 82 and 80 points. However, with the Miami Heat facing elimination in Game 6 at Boston, the top-seeded Heat won 111-103. Jimmy Butler (26.9-7.3-4.8 this postseason), who had scored just 27 points over the previous three games, put on a show for the ages. He set a personal playoff high with 47 points and also contributed nine rebounds, eight assists and four steals. It Was his fourth, 40-point game of the 2022 playoffs and the second of this series (he had 41 in Game 1). Butler made just 7 of 32 shots in Games 4 and 5, totaling only 19 points. Starting guards Lowry (1 of 12) and Strus (0 of 16) had been just AWFUL in the back-to-back losses, but Lowry had 18 points and 10 assists in Game 6, while Strus had 13 points. Tatum (27.1-6.5-5.9 this postseason) had 30 & 9 in Game 6, while Brown (22.9 & 6.8) added 20-6-5. PG Smart (14.9-4.2-6.3), who has struggled with a midfoot sprain this postseason, had 14-4-3, making only 4 of 15 shots.
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05-27-22 | Heat +9 v. Celtics | Top | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Mia Heat at 8:30 ET. The Miami Heat (the East's No. 1 seed) took the floor in Boston for Game 4 with a 2-1 lead in the Eastern Conference finals but return to Boston tonight for Game 6 on the brink of elimination. The Celtics routed the Heat 102-82 in Game 4 and then took a 3-2 lead in the series with another impressive win in Game 5 at Miami, 93-80. Both teams have dealt with nagging injuries but these last two games, the Mavs have gotten the worst of it plus have just simply been plain 'offensive' on that end of the court. Jimmy Butler, Miami's best player, has made just 7 of 32 shots in Games 4 and 5, totaling only 19 points. Starting guards Lowry (1 of 12) and Strus (0 of 16) have been just AWFUL in the back-to-back losses. To add insult to injury, NBA Sixth Man of the Year Tyler Herro (groin) has sat out the last two games with a groin injury. Boton's been led this postseason by Tatum (26.9-6.3-6.0), Brown (23.1 & 6.9), Smart (15.0-4.2-6.5) and the surprising play of veteran center Horford (12.9 & 9.3). The Celtics have to 'LOVE' the situation that they are in, but nobody associated with the Celtics is ready to celebrate. The franchise has lost in its last FOUR visits to the Eastern Conference finals and on two of the occasions, they have let a 3-2 lead slip away. The Celtics would love to close out the Heat here, avoiding a Game 7 in Miami, as the Warriors have already clinched the West and are waiting for an opponent in the NBA Finals, which will begin June 2. "It's an elimination game, to have it on our home court is an advantage," Boston head coach Ime Udoka said. "They beat us here already. So we have to come out with the same urgency after these last two wins and try to put it away. Miami has listed Lowry (left hamstring), Strus (right hamstring), Gabe Vincent (left hamstring) and P.J. Tucker (left knee) as questionable. That said, expect most if not all of them to play, plus Herro has been cleared to play. Then there is Jimmy Butler, who prior to the last two games, has been one of the 2022 NBA playoffs' best players. When is the last time you've seen a No. 1 seed as this kind of an underdog in the playoffs? I'm taking the points! Good luck...Larry |
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05-25-22 | Celtics v. Heat +1.5 | Top | 93-80 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
My 10* Conference Finals Game of the Year is on the Mia Heat at 8:30 ET. Boston's Tatum, who scored just 10 points in Game 3 (was 3 of 14 from the floor), rebounded to score 31 points but Jaylen Brown (off a career-best 40-point effort in Game 3) made just 5 of 20 shots for 12 points. Was Boston's defense the reason for Miami's poor shooting, or did Miami just 'stink out the joint?' Boston shot just 39.7% in Game 4, including 8 of 34 on three-pointers. Teams that shoot that poorly, rarely (if ever) win a game like that by 20 points. We won't know which players will be available until game-time but note that Miami was 7-0 SU at home this postseason, before losing Game 2 at home in this series. This morning, the Heat were listed as a home dog and it's noteworthy the Heat have been favored in 35 of their last 36 home games entering Wednesday, AND Miami is 4-1 outright as a home underdog this season. The Heat take a 3-2 lead with a "W' and it's "back to Boston" for Game 6. Good luck...Larry |
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05-24-22 | Warriors v. Mavs OVER 215.5 | Top | 109-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* Conf Finals O/U Game of the Year is on G St/Dal Over at 9:00 ET. The Golden State Warriors have won NINE consecutive games in the Western Conference finals, after a 109-100 win over Dallas in Game 3. The Warriors haven't lost in the West finals since erasing a 3-2 deficit to Houston in 2018, when they won the last of their three titles in four years by beating Cleveland in the NBA Finals. Golden State swept Portland for a fifth consecutive trip to the Finals in 2019 before losing in six games to Toronto. The Warriors can make it an even 10 straight wins, eliminate Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks and return to the NBA Finals after three years away with a victory in Game 4 in Dallas on Tuesday night. Golden State looks to become the first team since Michael Jordan's Chicago Bulls to make SIX trips to the NBA Finals over an eight-year. The Warriors small-ball lineup of Stephen Curry (27.1-5.1-5.9), Klay Thompson (19.5 & 4.6), Jordan Poole (18.9 & 4.4 APG), Andrew Wiggins (15.9 & 6.9) and Draymond Green (8.0-7.1-6.1) is one of the most feared in the NBA. Then there is Golden State big man Kevon Looney, who was inserted back into the starting lineup in Game 6 vs Memphis. He pulled down 22 rebounds in that series clinching win. He then made all five FG attempts in Game vs Dallas (10 points / 5 rebounds), before making 10 of 14 shots in scoring 21 points and grabbing 12 rebounds in Game 2. In Game 3, he had 9 points and 12 rebounds. Doncic is averaging 32.1-9.5-6.2 this postseason, while Brunson has increased his scoring by almost a 'TD' more in the postseason (22.7 PPG) than he averaged in the regular season (16.3). Doncic has scored 42 and 40 points in the last two games, but he NEEDS more help than just Brunson. In Game 3, Dallas' three other starters combined for only NINE points (Dinwiddie did have 26 off the bench). Key three-point specialists Dorian Finney-Smith, Maxi Kleber and Reggie Bullock combined for just nine points (all of them from Finney-Smith), as Kleber and Bullock missed all 12 of their threes and all 15 of their shots overall. NO team has overcome an 0-3 'hole' to win an NBA seven-game series and Dallas won't be the first to do so. After all, the Warriors have been great at winning series in the Kerr era, capturing 20 of 22, losing only to the Cleveland Cavaliers in the 2016 Finals and to the Toronto Raptors in the 2019 Finals. That said, I just don't see Dallas going quietly. The Mavs scored 117 points (had 72 at the half) in Game 2 but scored just 87 points in Game 1 and only 100 in Game 3. Expect Doncic and his 'helpers' to put together a solid offensive effort in Game 4. The problem? The Warriors had 82 FG attempts in Games 1 and 2 plus 81 in Game 3 (talk about consistency). The Warriors are shooting 53.1% for the series, averaging 115.7 PPG. This one is Goin' Over! Good luck...Larry |
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05-23-22 | Heat v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 82-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Bos Celtics at 8:30 ET. The Celtics never led in Game 3 and trailed by as many as 26 points early in the second quarter. "We didn't match (their physicality) from the start," Boston head coach Ime Udoka said. "We got into complaining and let it take us out of our game. It's disappointing to come out that flat in a conference finals game.' Still, the Celtics had a chance to post a comeback victory before the Heat held them off down the stretch. Miami led by 13 with 6:30 left before Boston responded with 12 consecutive points to cut the Heat's lead to 93-92 with 2:40 to play. However, the Heat held on to win 109-103.
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05-22-22 | Warriors v. Mavs -2.5 | Top | 109-100 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Dal Mavs at 8:0 ET. The Warriors small-ball lineup of Stephen Curry, Jordan Poole, Klay Thompson, Andrew Wiggins and Draymond Green is one of the most feared in the NBA but Golden St has also dominated Dallas down low. The Warriors have outscored the Mavericks 106-62 in the paint while taking a 2-0 lead. Golden State big man Kevon Looney was inserted back into the starting lineup in Game 6 vs Memphis and he pulled down 22 rebounds in that series clinching win. He then made all five FG attempts in Game vs Dall (10 points / 5 rebounds), before making 10 of 14 shots in scoring 21 points and grabbing 12 rebounds in Game 2. It was just his second career postseason double-double. Looney credits a lack of playing time with keeping him fresh for the playoffs. He played the fewest minutes in the NBA this season (1,732) among all players with 60 or more starts (he made 80).
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05-21-22 | Heat +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* Game 3 Tie-Breaker is on the Mia Heat at 8:30 ET. Boston lost Game 1 of its series with Miami 118-107, despite outscoring the Heat in THREE of the game's four quarters. However, that ONE quarter (third) was a 'killer!' Boston didn't make a field goal in the first six minutes of the third quarter, as Miami outscored the Celtics 22-2 to start the third quarter and concluded it with a 39-14 advantage (Boston ended the quarter 2 of 15 from the floor!). Jimmy Butler had 17 of his 41 points in the third quarter. That said, I took Boston in Game 2, noting that the Celtics closed the regular season winning 28 of their final 35 games, losing back-to-back games just ONCE. Here in the postseason, they had not lost back-to-back games in 12 playoff games. Boston was hopeful that Marcus Smart (mid-foot sprain) was going to play after missing Game 1 but Horford (virus-related issues) being able to play was a surprise AND a bonus. Boston trailed by 10 in the first quarter of Game 2 but then outscored Miami 60-21 over the next 18 minutes — a 39-point turnaround that wound up leading to a 70-45 halftime lead. Grant Williams checked into the game at at the 5 minute, 14 second mark of the first quarter and never left the floor over the final 17 minutes of the first half. The 127-102 victory sends the series back to Boston tied at one-all. Williams had 19 & 4, while Boston's "Big 3" did its job as well. Tatum had 27-5-5, Brown 24 & 8 plus Smart added 24-9-12. The Celtics shot 51.2% from the floor, including making 20 of 40 three-pointers. Butler had 29 for Miami but didn't get much help from his teammates. While Boston was making 20 three-pointers, Miami made just 10, on 34 attempts (29.4%). Heat head coach Erik Spoelstra said the off day would be used to determine a response to the lopsided Game 2 result. "That's definitely part of the process in the playoffs," Spoelstra said. "You get to this point of the conference finals; you just have very good teams. You have teams without many weaknesses. It's great competition." Butler's had a terrific postseason, averaging 29.8-7.6-5.2 but 6th-man-of-the-year Herro (20.7 PPG in the regular season) and center Adebayo (19.1 & 10.1) have been hit-or-miss. Herro is averaging 13.9 PPG and Adebayo's numbers are off too, averaging 13.6 & 7.5. Noting all of the above, this point spread is too high in my opinion and I'll take Erik Spoelstra (he's led Miami to five NBA Finals!) over Boston's first-year head coach Ime Udoka on the sidelines. Take the points. Good luck...Larry |
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05-19-22 | Celtics +3.5 v. Heat | Top | 127-102 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Bos Celtics at 8:30 ET. The Celtics knew that they were going to play Game 1 of the Eastern Conference finals without Defensive POY Marcus Smart (15.0 & 6.2 APG this postseason) with a midfoot sprain) but big man Al Horford (13.0 & 9.4) was a late scratch. due to COVID-19 protocols. Boston got off to a strong start, with Tatum scoring 21 points in the first half and Robert Willaims playing for the first time since Game 3 vs Milwaukee (he wound up with 18 & 9). The Celtics led by EIGHT points at the half but then didn't make a field goal in the first six minutes of the third quarter. Miami outscored the Celtics 22-2 to start the third quarter and concluded it with a 39-14 advantage (Boston ended the quarter 2 of 15 from the floor!).
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05-18-22 | Mavs v. Warriors -4.5 | Top | 87-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the GS Warriors at 9:00 ET. The Dallas Mavericks finished with ONE less win than the Golden St Warriors during the regular season which is why the Warriors own the home court advantage in the Western conference finals. However, it should be noted that the Mavs won THREE of the four regular season matchups between the two teams. The series' two stars are Doncic and Curry but note that Doncic outscored Curry in all four regular-season head-to-heads this season. In fact, their personal duel wasn't close, with the Doncic running up 26-14, 25-18, 34-27 and 41-21 scoring advantages. That said, this series is much more than a 'One-on-One' showdown between Doncic and Curry.
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05-17-22 | Celtics v. Heat -1.5 | Top | 107-118 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Mia Heat at 8:30 ET. No teams have been in the East finals more than the Heat and Celtics, beginning in 2005.Miami will make its EIGHTH appearance in 18 seasons, while Boston will make its SEVENTH in the last 15. The top-seeded Heat have won SIX straight conference final appearances, (tied for the fourth-longest streak in NBA history), with two of those series victories coming against Boston (2012, 2020). Meanwhile, the second-seeded Celtics have lost FOUR straight Eastern Conference finals, including three in a four-season stretch from 2017-20. While the teams enter this series as the East's top-two seeds, they took different paths to reach that point. While the Heat battled at the top of the Eastern Conference season the entire season, the Celtics were just 24-25 through Jan 19, before closing the regular season winning 28 of their final 35 games.
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05-15-22 | Mavs v. Suns -6 | Top | 123-90 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* 2nd Round Game of the Year is on the Pho Suns at 8:00 ET. The fact that the Suns owned the NBA's best record at 64-18, EIGHT games better than Memphis (owners of the 2nd-best mark) and 12 games better than the 4th-seed Mavs, means absolutely NOTHING at the moment. All the pressure is on the Phoenix Suns when they host the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday night in Game 7 of the Western Conference semifinals. The home team has won in the previous six games of the series (also covered), including Dallas staving off elimination in Game 6 with a 113-86 rout of the Suns. A loss here by the Suns would be a 'killer' for a team that made the NBA Finals last season and rolled through the current regular season. The situation allows the fourth-seeded Mavericks to play freely, while the Suns' play will be 'put under the microscope' if they were to be eliminated in the second round. |
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05-15-22 | Bucks +5.5 v. Celtics | Top | 81-109 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
My 9* Game 7 Decider is on the Mil Bucks at 3:30 ET. Boston and Milwaukee both finished 51-31, two games behind Miami for the East's best record. However, the Celtics earned the No. 2 seed (Milwaukee settled for No. 3) due to tiebreakers. Milwaukee opened the series with a 101-89 Game 1 win (in Boston), with the Celtics bouncing back with 109-86 win in Game 2. That set a trend that continued all series, with the teams alternating wins and losses. Giannis Antetokounmpo poured in 44 points with 20 rebounds in a potential series-clincher on Friday for Milwaukee but he was upstaged by Jayson Tatum's 46 points plus a better performance from Tatum's supporting cast (brown had 2 points and Smart 21), than Gianinis got from his. The result? The 108-95 Boston road win set up this Game 7 in Boston.
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05-13-22 | Celtics +1.5 v. Bucks | Top | 108-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout is on the Bos Celtics at 7:30 ET. Boston and Milwaukee both finished 51-31, two games behind Miami for the East's best record. However, the Celtics earned the No. 2 seed (Milwaukee settled for No. 3) due to tiebreakers. The teams were tied two-all in this second round series going into Wednesday's Game 5 in Boston (had alternated wins the first four games) and the defending champs kept that trend going with a comeback win. Boston turned a 71-68 edge into a 12-point lead and was up 93-79 with 10:19 to play. However, Milwaukee won the fourth quarter 33-21 to give them a 110-107 victory and a 3-2 series lead. It marked Boston's biggest blown lead in the playoffs in more than 25 years! The Bucks will get an opportunity on their home floor to close out at Celtics on Friday night. |
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05-12-22 | Suns v. Mavs +2 | Top | 86-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Dal Mavs at 9:30 ET. The Phoenix Suns were easily the NBA's best team during the regular season but needed six games to eliminate No.8 New Orleans and now need to win Game 6 in Dallas (No. 4 seed) to avoid a Game 7. Despite the Suns' 110-80 win in Game 5, it has to be noted that the home team is a perfect 5-0 SU & ATS in this series. Dallas lost Games 1 and 2 in Phoenix, as Doncic (combined 80 points) got very little help from his supporting cast and the Dallas defense (104.7 PPG allowed ranked 2nd during the regular season) could not slow down the Suns, who averaged 125.0 PPG. However, back in Dallas for Games 3 and 4, Doncic finally got some help and the Mavs controlled the Phoenix offense, holding the Suns to 97.5 PPG, as Dallas tied the series at two-all. The Suns outscored Dallas 33-14 in the third quarter of Game 5 to take a 22-point lead into the final quarter and won by 30! Booker scored 28 points (he's averaging 26.8-5.2-5.4 in the series), Ayton added 20 & 9 plus SF's Bridges and Johnson each had 14. Phoenix may just be worried about Chris Paul. He scored 47 points in Games 1 and 2 but was awful in Games 3 & 4 in Dallas (a total of 17 points) and was non-factor in Game 5's blowout win (3 of 8 for 7 points). Luka Doncic said his team never got its offense into gear in Game 5. He had 28 points and 11 rebounds on Tuesday and is averaging 32.0-9.6-7.4 in the series. Brunson added 21 points (he's averaged 22.3 PPG in the last three games, after averaging 11.0 PPG in the first two), as the backcourt combined for 49 points. However, the rest of the Mavericks totaled only 31 points on 8-of-31 shooting. Doncic's 'helpers' stepped up in Games 3 and 4 at home and I'm betting they do so again in Game 6. "When you talk about the playoffs it's about protecting home court," Mavericks coach Jason Kidd said. "It's hard to win on the road. So far, both teams have held serve. Now our goal is to hold serve in Game 6." See you Sunday in Phoenix! Good luck...Larry |
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05-12-22 | Heat v. 76ers -2 | Top | 99-90 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on the Phi 76ers at 7:00 ET. Miami is the East's No. 1 seed (53-29) and Philadelphia (51-31), which won just two fewer games than the Heat (but lost tiebreakers to both Boston and Milwaukee), settled for the No. 4 seed. Joel Embiid was a Most Valuable Player candidate all season but sat out the first two games, as Miami won 106-92 and 119-103. However, Embiid made a surprise return to play Games 3 and 4 in Philadelphia. He's playing with a torn ligament in his right thumb and a face mask to protect an orbital fracture but helped Philly to 99-79 and 116-108 wins. Embiid had 42 points and 22 rebounds in the two wins and Harden had a terrific Game 4 with 31 points, seven rebounds and nine assists. However, back in Miami for Game 5, Embiid (17 & 5) looked tentative and also appeared to tweak his back. Harden managed only 14 points in 37 minutes and fellow guard Maxey, who averaged 23.0 PPG through the first four games, had just NINE points (2 of 10 shooting).
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05-11-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +4.5 | Top | 95-134 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Mem Grizzlies at 9:30 ET. Grizzlies PG Ja Morant has a bone bruise in his right knee and is considered doubtful for the remainder of the playoffs, the team announced Tuesday. Morant will definitely miss his second straight contest tonight, when Memphis attempts to stave off elimination at home against Golden St (Warriors lead 3-1). There is NOTHING good about Morant NOT playing but the Grizzlies went 20-5 without Morant this season. Memphis definitely missed his scoring down the stretch in a 101-98 loss in Game 4, as Memphis missed SIX of its final eight shots after leading by three with 2:32 remaining. |
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05-10-22 | Mavs v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 80-110 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Pho Suns at 10:00 ET. The Mavs fell behind 0-2 in this series for two reasons. The No. 1 reason was that they couldn't win with just Doncic (45 and 35 points) being a "one-man show," but reason No. 1-A was that a defense that ranked 2nd in the NBA in holding opponents to 104.7 PPG and one which held the Jazz to just 99.0 PPG in the first round, was 'helpless against the Suns in Games 1 and 2 in Phoenix. The Suns made 50.5 percent in a 121-114 win in Game 1 (final margin was made respectable by a late run by the Mavs) and then made 64.5% in Game 2's 129-109 win. The Suns started the fourth quarter of Game 2 nursing an 89-83 advantage, but they then made 16 of 19 from the floor! The Western Conference semifinal series between the Phoenix Suns and the Dallas Mavericks has followed a pattern.
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05-09-22 | Celtics +1 v. Bucks | Top | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Bos Celtics 7:30 ET. The Milwaukee Bucks were the NBA's best regular season team in the 2018-19 and 2019-20 regular seasons, only to 'flop' in the playoffs. Milwaukee was the East's No. 3 seed last year (7th-best record in the NBA, overall), but would go on to win the franchise's second-ever title. The Bucks fell behind the Suns 0-2 in the Finals but won the next FOUR games. Milwaukee, Boston and Philadelphia all finished at 51-31 this regular season with tiebreakers leaving Boston as the No. 2 seed, Milwaukee the No. 3 seed and Philly the No. 4 seed. Milwaukee only had a small blip against the slumping Bulls (Chicago won Game 2 in Milwaukee) in the first round, winning the series 4-1. That set them up for a 2nd-round matchup with Boston. Boston went 'quietly' against Brooklyn (lost 4-1) in the first-round last season and was seemingly going nowhere this season, with a 24-25 record back on the morning of January 27th. However, the Celtics would go 28-7 to finish the regular season and then served up a 4-0 'revenge' sweep over the Nets in the first round.
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05-08-22 | Suns -1.5 v. Mavs | Top | 101-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the Pho Suns at 3:30 ET. The Mavs fell behind 0-2 in this series for two reasons. The No. 1 reason was that they couldn't win with just Doncic (45 and 35 points) being a "one-man show," but reason No. 1-A was that a defense that ranked 2nd in the NBA in holding opponents to 104.7 PPG and one which held the Jazz to just 99.0 PPG, was 'helpless against the Suns in Games 1 and 2 in Phoenix. The Suns made 50.5 percent in a 121-114 win in Game 1 (final margin was made respectable by a late run by the Mavs) and then made 64.5% in Game 2's 129-109 win. The Suns started the fourth quarter of Game 2 nursing an 89-83 advantage, but they then made 16 of 19 from the floor!
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05-07-22 | Celtics v. Bucks -1.5 | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Mil Bucks at 3:30 ET. The Milwaukee Bucks were the NBA's best regular season team in the 2018-19 and 2019-20 regular seasons, only to 'flop' in the playoffs. Milwaukee was the East's No. 3 seed last year (7th-best record in the NBA, overall), but would go on to win the franchise's second-ever title. The Bucks fell behind the Suns 0-2 in the Finals but won the next FOUR games. Milwaukee, Boston and Philadelphia all finished at 51-31 this regular season with tiebreakers leaving Boston as the No. 2 seed, Milwaukee the No. 3 seed and Philly the No. 4 seed. Milwaukee only had a small blip against the slumping Bulls (Chicago won Game 2 in Milwaukee) in the first round, winning the series 4-1. That set them up for a 2nd-round matchup with Boston.
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05-06-22 | Suns v. Mavs | Top | 94-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout is on the Dal Mavs at 9:30 ET. With Doncic missing the first three games of its series against Utah, the Mavs were able to go 2-1 without him and then closed out the series by taking two of three games when he returned. More notably, after holding opponents to just 104.7 PPG on the season (2nd-best), the Mavs held the Jazz to just 99.0 PPG. However, the Mavs have been unable to slow down Phoenix in the first two games of this series, The Suns made 50.5 percent in a 121-114 win in Game 1 (final margin was made respectable by a late run by the Mavs) and then made 64.5% in Game 2's 129-109 win. The Suns started the fourth quarter of Game 2 nursing an 89-83 advantage, but they then made 16 of 19 from the floor! |
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05-04-22 | Mavs +6.5 v. Suns | Top | 109-129 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Dal Mavs at 10:00 ET. The Dallas Mavericks (No. 4 seed) and the Phoenix Suns (No. 1 seed) met in Game 1 on Monday of their second round series and while the final score landed 121-114, the contest wasn't as close as the final score indicated. Luka Doncic was terrific, scoring 45 points, adding 12 rebounds and handing out eight assists. However, Dallas never led at any point and trailed by as many as 21, before staging a frantic fourth-quarter comeback that made the score respectable. The major problem? Doncic was a "one-man band," as he scored more points by himself than the rest of the Mavericks' starters combined (just 39). In contrast, SIX Suns scored in double digits. All five starters did so, led by Ayton (25) and Booker (23). Ayton added eight rebounds and Booker just missed a triple-double, adding nine rebounds and eight assists. The sixth Sun to reach double digits was SF Cam Johnson, who chipped in 17 points. I took the Suns in Game 1 and noted that Jalen Brunson had scored 20-plus points in all six games, despite NEVER having had 20-plus points in more than TWO straight regular-season games. He averaged 38 minutes per game vs Utah and committed just FOUR turnovers. I added, "I find it hard to believe that Brunson can repeat that kind of effort against the NBA's best team." Good call! Brunson was just 6-of-16 from the floor, scoring 13 points. Fellow guard Spencer Dinwiddie, who averaged 15.3 PPG against Utah, had just eight in the opener. As for the Suns, let's note that Booker is struggling to regain his shooting stroke after missing three games in the first-round series against the New Orleans Pelicans due to a right hamstring injury. Booker had 23 points in Game 1 but was just 7-of-20 from the floor vs the Mavericks after having 13 points on 5-of-12 shooting in the final game against the Pelicans. I called Phoenix the NBA's best team but will note that the Suns almost blew a HUGE lead. The Suns led 106-85 with 8:48 remaining but the Mavs closed within five before Phoenix held off the Mavericks. In fact, the Suns were 8 of 8 from the FT line in the final 47.3 seconds to thwart the Dallas comeback bid. Doncic's 45 points raised his career playoff average to 33.4 points in just 17 games. He CAN'T do it alone, but his supporting cast almost HAS to play better in Game 2. I'm taking the points. Good luck...Larry |
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05-03-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +2 | Top | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on the Mem Grizzlies at 9:30 ET. The Golden State Warriors made FIVE consecutive NBA Finals appearances from 2015 to 2019, winning three. Now, after missing out on the playoffs in each of the last two postseasons, Golden St (No. 3 seed) is looking to make another postseason run. The Warriors took a 3-0 lead over Denver in the first round, lost Game 4, but then eliminated the Nuggets in Game 5. That set up a matchup with the 2nd-seeded Memphis Grizzlies, who had a tough time in the first round against the Minnesota T-wolves. Memphis needed six games to put away Minnesota and the series featured THREE Memphis wins in which the Grizzlies overcame double-digit 4th-quarter deficits, setting an NBA playoff record. Game 1 of the series was Sunday and Memphis found itself on the "wrong side" of a comeback. The Grizzlies led by as many as 13 points in the second quarter and were up 61-55 at the half. The Grizzlies entered the 4th-quarter trailing 91-90 but led the NBA in the fourth with an average of 33 points and outscoring opponents by 10.3 points a game. However, on Sunday they could only match the Warriors point for point in the period. Neither team led by more than four points during the final five minutes, which featured four ties and two lead changes. Golden State's Gary Payton II made a layup to even the score at 114-114 with 1:35 remaining. Memphis quickly bounced back with an alley-oop dunk by Brandon Clarke that made it 116-114 in favor of the Grizzlies with 1:16 to go. Klay Thompson put Golden State on top for good on a three-pointer with 36.6 seconds remaining and there was no scoring after that. Jordan Poole exploded onto the postseason scene with 30 points as a starter in his playoff debut against Denver last month but was even better in his first postseason reserve role, scoring 31 points to go along with eight rebounds and nine assists. Curry had 24 points, Wiggins 17 & 8 and Thompson had 15. Ja Morant led Memphis with 34 points (also had 9 rebounds and 10 assists), while PF Jackson added 33 and 10. Bane, who led Memphis by averaging 23.5 PPG against Minnesota, made just 3 of 10 shots, while scoring just NINE points. In the end, Morant couldn't convert a buzzer-beating driving layup that could have flipped the final score in Memphis' favor. "I missed a layup I normally make all the time," Morant admitted after finishing with 10 assists and nine rebounds. "Onto the next (game)." That's head coach Taylor Jenkins' state of mind as well. he left the arena Sunday expecting the same type of rebound that saw his team win four of the next five games against Minnesota, after the T-wolves upset Memphis in Game 1 of that series. "Do what we've done all season," he said of the plan moving forward. "Rest. Recover. Watch the film. Get better and come out and compete hard (in Game 2)." Don't forget, Memphis was easily the NBA's best ATS team this season (52-29-1). Memphis lost Game 1 but did get the cover and I'll back them again in Game 2, expecting them to win outright and send this series back to San Francisco tied at one-all. Good luck...Larry |
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05-03-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 86-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Bos Celtics at 7:00 ET. The Milwaukee Bucks were the NBA's best regular season team in the 2018-19 and 2019-20 regular seasons, only to 'flop' in the playoffs. Milwaukee was the East's No. 3 seed last year (7th-best record in the NBA, overall), but would go on to win the franchise's second-ever title. The Bucks fell behind the Suns 0-2 in the Finals but won the next FOUR games. Milwaukee, Boston and Philadelphia all finished at 51-31 this regular season with tiebreakers leaving Boston as the No. 2 seed, Milwaukee the No. 3 seed and Philly the No. 4 seed. Milwaukee only had a small blip against the slumping Bulls (Chicago won Game 2 in Milwaukee) in the first round, winning the series 4-1. That set them up for a 2nd-round matchup with Boston. |
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05-02-22 | Mavs v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Pho Suns at 10:00 ET The Dallas Mavericks (No. 4 seed) visit the Phoenix Suns (No. 1 seed) for Game 1 on Monday night. Both teams overcame the absence of their young superstars in tough first-round matchups. The Mavericks ousted the fifth-seeded Utah Jazz and the Suns survived the eighth-seeded New Orleans Pelicans, both winning in six games. Dallas was without Luca Doncic in the first three games of its series with a calf strain, while Phoenix saw Devin Booker leave Game 2 against the Pelicans with a hamstring strain, before returning in the Game 6 series-clincher in New Orleans. The Suns swept the season series 3-0 from the Mavericks, finishing with an NBA-best 68-14 record, 12 games better than the Mavs' 52-30 mark. Doncic returned to average 29.0-10.7-5.7 in Games 4 through 6 but I'd be remiss to not give a shout out to Jalen Brunson. The four-year vet from Villanova owns a career regular season line of 11.9-3.0-3.7 but averaged 27.8-4.8-4.2 against Utah. Brunson scored 20-plus points in all six games, despite NEVER having had 20-plus points in more than TWO straight regular-season games. Want more? He averaged 38 minutes per game and committed just FOUR turnovers. I find it hard to believe that Brunson can repeat that kind of effort against the NBA's best team. Phoenix head coach Monty Williams is convinced Booker's good health and that means he and Paul join a frontcourt of center Ayton, SF Bridges and veteran PF Crowder. Booker averaged 26.8-5.0-4.8 in the regular season, while in the playoffs, Paul has averaged 22.3 & 11.3 APG, Ayton 20.5 & 9.8, Bridges 17.3 & 4.5 and Crowder 7.5 & 3.5. SF Johnson has averaged 11.0 & 3.1 and backup center McGee, 8.3 & 3.7 in just 11 MPG. The Suns saw red-hot Boston lose Game 1 at home on Sunday (101-89!) and Memphis, owners of the NBA's second-best record, lose Game 1 at home against Golden St 117-116, blowing a double-digit first half lead. The Suns want NO part of giving Dallas a 'shot of confidence,' with a Game 1 win. Yes, the Suns are giving about a 'TDs' worth of points but I'm laying the points! Good luck...Larry |
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05-01-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +2.5 | Top | 117-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* Weekend Wipeout is on the Mem Grizzlies at 3:30 ET. The Golden State Warriors made FIVE consecutive NBA Finals appearances from 2015 to 2019, winning three. Now, after missing out on the playoffs in each of the last two postseasons, Golden St (No. 3 seed) is hoping to make another postseason run. The Warriors took a 3-0 lead over Denver in the first round, lost Game 4 but then eliminated the Nuggets in Game. Up next will be the 2nd-seeded Memphis Grizzlies, who had a tough time in the first round against the Minnesota T-wolves. Memphis needed six games to put away Minnesota and the series featured THREE Memphis wins in which the Grizzlies overcame double-digit 4th-quarter deficits, setting an NBA playoff record. Beating Minnesota marked the franchise's first playoff series win in SEVEN years.
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04-28-22 | Mavs v. Jazz | Top | 98-96 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* 'Signature' LEGEND Play is on the Ut Jazz at 10:00 ET. The Utah Jazz are on the brink of elimination, after getting routed 102-77 at Dallas in Game 5. The Jazz won Game 1 in Dallas (no Doncic for the Mavs but lost Game 2 (in Dallas) at Game 3 (in Utah), despite Doncic's absence. Doncic returned in Game 4 and scored 30 points with 10 rebounds. The Jazz led by 16 points in the late second quarter but Doncic's three-pointer with 39.6 seconds remaining gave Dallas a 99-95 lead. However, everything went Utah's way in those final 40 seconds. Utah won 100-99 to tie the series at two-all. Game 5 was a Maverick blowout, winning at home by the score of 102-77. Doncic has 33 points and 13 rebounds, while fellow guard Brunson scored 24 points. Brunson's been a "breakout star' this series, averaging 28.6-5.2-4.6. He has scored 20-plus points in five straight playoff games, despite NEVER having had 20-plus points in more than TWO straight regular-season games. Utah's Mitchell (26.7 PPG) limped off the court and grabbed at his hamstring with 4:55 to play in Game 5. An ensuing MRI was negative, and Mitchell said Wednesday, "I'm good to go. I'll be ready." The Mavs did not make the postseason in Doncic's rookie season and in each of the last two postseasons, they have been eliminated in the first round. Dallas (with Doncic) is now just ONE win away from its first playoff series win but getting a 'W" here, will be a challenge. The Jazz have underachieved in recent postseasons but with Mitchell playing, the Jazz have the players to match Dallas. Clarkson is averaging 18.0 PPG off the bench, SF Bogdanovich (17.8 & 4.2) has had a strong series both offensively and defensively plus center Gobert (12.4 & 13.4) is easily the best big man in the game. I think the home court WILL matter here. Utah made just 3 of 30 from three-point range in the Game 5 blowout loss and it not only was that the worst three-point field-goal percentage in Jazz history (minimum 20 attempts), it was the least-accurate performance in NBA postseason history (minimum 25 attempts), according to ESPN Stats & Info. This series is headed back to Dallas for a Game 7 on Saturday. Good luck...Larry |
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04-26-22 | Pelicans v. Suns -6 | Top | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
My 9* Situational Stunner is on the Pho Suns at 10:00 ET. The Pelicans heavily rely on SF Ingram (29.8-6.8-5.0), SG McCollum (24.0-7.3-6.0 and center Valanciunas (15.0 & 16.0). "Brandon is playing some of his best basketball of the season, and he's doing it on the biggest stage, and it's great to see," New Orleans coach Willie Green said. "I'm just trying to move out of the way and let him do his thing." Ingram scored 16 of his 30 points in the pivotal third quarter of Game 4 and became the first Pelicans player to score 30 points in three consecutive playoff games. Valanciunas bounced back from a poor performance in Game 3 (1 of 5 shooting for six points) to add a career playoff-high 26 points and 15 rebounds. Here's what Phoenix head coach Monty Williams said after the Game 4 loss. "We can't worry about whether Book comes back. Obviously, we need Book back, but that's not why we lost the game. They played much harder than we did." He added, "They outplayed us; they deserve to win. (But) that's a free throw disparity that you have to look at." He was referring to the fact that the Pelicans shot 42 free throws (making 32) and the Suns shot 15 (making 10).Williams may have a point but the Suns can't afford Paul to repeat his Game 4 performance (2 of 8 shooting for four points). The Suns have outstanding depth and will need it here. Ayton is averaging 20.5 & 10.8 in the four games, while Paul has added 19.8 and 12.3 APG, despite his 4-point Game 4 performance. SFs Bridges (13.8 & 4.8) and Johnson (11.3 & 2.8) have been consistent plus backup center McGee has averaged 11.5 & 4.3 in just 13 1/2-minutes. |
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04-26-22 | Wolves v. Grizzlies -6 | Top | 109-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the Mem Grizzlies at 7:30 ET. |
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04-25-22 | Jazz v. Mavs -2.5 | Top | 77-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout is on the Dal Mavs at 9:30 ET. Dallas ended the regular season 52-30, three games better than Utah's 49-33 mark. That earned the Mavs the No. 4 seed and the home court edge in their first round series with the Jazz. However, Dallas star Luka Doncic (28.4-9.1-8.7) would miss the first three games of the series due to a strained left calf. Utah won Game 1 in Dallas but the Mavs rebounded to win Games 2 and 3. Doncic returned in Game 4 and scored 30 points with 10 rebounds and four assists. The Jazz led by 16 points in the late second quarter but Doncic's three-pointer with 39.6 seconds remaining gave Dallas a 99-95 lead. However, everything went Utah's way in those final 40 seconds. Utah won 100-99 and the series is now tied at two-all.
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04-24-22 | Suns -2.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 103-118 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 42 m | Show |
The 3rd pick of my STP is a 9* on the Pho Suns at 9:30 ET. The 64-18 Suns were easily the NBA's best team this season and their first round series against the Pelicans (36-46) was expected to be a 'walk in the park!' The Suns won 110-99 in Game 1 but Devin Booker (26.8-5.0-4.8) sustained a hamstring injury in the third quarter of Tuesday's Game 2. He injured his right hamstring while chasing New Orleans' Jaxson Hayes in transition as the latter scored on a dunk. The Suns called timeout with 4:35 left in the quarter but Booker's night was done with the Suns trailing by three. The Pelicans then outscored Phoenix 48-40 the rest of the way to record a 125-114 road victory. Booker is expected to miss the rest of the series (maybe much longer). Suddenly, eighth-seeded New Orleans (36-46) had life in the series plus homecourt advantage, with three of the potential five remaining games on its home floor.
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04-24-22 | Heat v. Hawks +2 | Top | 110-86 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
The 2nd pick of my STP is a 10* on the Atl Hawks at 7:00 ET. The Atlanta Hawks made a surprising run to the Eastern Conference finals last season, while the Miami Heat, after making it to the NBA Finals two years ago (lost to the Lakers 4-2), got swept 4-0 in the first round by the Milwaukee Bucks. Much was expected from Atlanta this season but the Hawks finished as the East's No. 9 seed and needed two 'play in' wins to earn the final playoff spot in the East. As for the Heat, they spent most of the season at or near the top of the highly competitive East and finished with the No. 1 seed (53-29), two games better than Celtics, Bucks and 76ers (all 51-31).
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04-24-22 | Bucks -3.5 v. Bulls | Top | 119-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
The 1st pick of my STP is a 9* on the Mil Bucks at 1:00 ET. The Chicago Bulls ended a four-year playoff drought this season by going 46-36 (East's No. 6 seed). Chicago's first round opponent would be the third-seed Bucks, who are the NBA's defending champs. Milwaukee won a low-scoring contest in Game 1 (93-86) but the Bulls shocked the Bucks with 114-110 win in Game 2, as the Bulls' key trio of DeRozan, Vucevic and LaVine went 33 of 62 (53.2 percent) from the floor while scoring a combined total of 85 points. To add insult to injury, Milwaukee's Khris Middleton (20.1-5.4-5.4 in the regular season) sprained the MCL in his left knee, leaving Game 2 with 6:49 remaining. He did not return and he is expected to miss the remainder of the series (at least!).
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04-23-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +3 | Top | 118-119 | Win | 100 | 16 h 18 m | Show |
The 3rd pick of my STP is a 9* on the Min T-wolves at 10:00 ET. The Minnesota Timberwolves shocked the Memphis Grizzlies by winning Game 1 in Memphis 130-117 However, the second-seeded Grizzlies rebounded to win 124-96 in Game at home and then 104-95 in Minnesota in Game 3. The Game 2 was expected but the game 3 win needed a HUGE comeback. Minnesota seemed to be on a path toward duplicating its opening success when it put up 39 points in the first quarter and then 32 in the third, while leading by as many as 26 points in Game 3 at home. However, Memphis would outscore Minnesota 37-12 in the fourth quarter, making 12 of 23 (52.2 percent) and retrieving five of its misses with offensive rebounds.
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04-23-22 | Celtics v. Nets -2.5 | Top | 109-103 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
My 10* 1st Round Game of the Year is on the Brk Nets at 7:30 ET. The Nets were preseason favorites in the East and were fighting for the East lead back in January but at 29-16 through Jan 21, went on an 11-game losing streak. The Nets were not able to hold onto a top-six seed and entered the 'play-in' round as the No. 7 seed, where they beat the Cavs 115-108 to earn this first-round contest with the Celtics. Boston was just 25-25 back on Jan 28 but ended the regular season on a 26-6. Boston's 51-31 matched that of Milwaukee and Philadelphia, but the Celtics got the No. 2 seed via tiebreakers. The Nets have had a chance in each of the first two games in this series but the Celtics have gone up 2-0. Boston won 115-114 on a last second basket by Tatum in Game 1 and then outscored Brooklyn 29-17 in the fourth quarter of Game 2 (Nets shot 5 of 19) to win 114-107. It's safe to say "it's NOW or NEVER for the Nets!" Boston's "Dynamic Duo" of Tatum (5.0-5.0-9.0) and Brown (22.5-4.5-4.5) have led the way plus have been ably supported buy veteran PF/C Horford (18.0 & 10.5) and Defensive POY Smart (16.0-4.0-5.5). Durant (25.0-4.0-4.0) and Kyrie (24.5-6.5-3.5) have similar numbers to Tatum and Brown but K.D. has been "off his game." The Celtics held Durant to 9-of-24 shooting in Game 1 and forced him into six turnovers. Boston erased a 17-point deficit in Game 2 and held Durant to 4-of-17 shooting with another six turnovers. Looking closer, KD was 2 of 12 in the first half of Game 1 and 0 of 10 after halftime in Game 2. "It's on me to just finish it and figure it out," Durant said. "I'm not expecting my teammates or the defense to give me anything. I just got to go out there and play." He added, "I've just got to come back and play. Get ready to work, just keep grinding. I'm going to be expected to be aggressive throughout the rest of this series, so control some of that stuff and look at film and keep playing." Boston's on a roll (to say the least) but this is a game the Nets HAVE to win and WILL win! Expect a HUGE game from KD. Good luck...Larry |
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04-23-22 | Mavs v. Jazz -5.5 | Top | 99-100 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
The 2nd pick of my STP is a 9* on the Ut Jazz at 4:30 ET. The Utah Jazz had a great chance to take a 2-0 lead in their series with the Dallas Mavericks after winning Game 1 at Dallas 99-93. Doncic was a definite "no go" in Game 2 but Jalen Brunson scored a career-high 41 points plus Dallas made a team playoff-record 22 three-point and had only THREE turnovers in a 110-104 Dallas. Utah returned home tied 1-1 and still owned the home court edge but the Jazz fell behind by 17 points at home in Game 3 and got outplayed down the stretch against a team still missing its superstar. The Doncic-less Mavericks won Game 3 by a score of 126-118 at Vivint Arena (Brunson had 31 points!) and it didn't sit well with the home crowd. The boos from Utah fans were aimed at their own team
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04-23-22 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 213 | Top | 102-110 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
The 1st pick of my STP is a 9* on Phi/Tor Over at 2:00 ET. Toronto won 50-plus games over a five-year stretch prior to last season (won the NBA title in 2019), playing .693 basketball. However, the Raptors 'dropped like a rock' last season, finishing 27-45 (.375). The Raptors were a .500 team in late January, but an eight-game winning streak got them back in playoff position. The team was a modest 34-30 in early March but ended the season winning 14 of 18 and wound up with the East's No. 5 seed. Philadelphia battled at the top of the East all season but in the end, Miami (53-29) won the East, while Boston, Milwaukee and Philadelphia all finished 51-31. Due to tiebreakers, the 76ers wound up as the No. 4 seed and got Toronto in the first round.
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04-22-22 | Suns -1 v. Pelicans | Top | 114-111 | Win | 100 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
The 3rd pick of my STP is a 10* on the Pho Suns at 9:30 ET. The 64-18 Suns were easily the NBA's best team this season and their first round series against the Pelicans (36-46) was expected to be a 'walk in the park!' The Suns won 110-99 in Game 1 but Devin Booker (26.8-5.0-4.8) sustained a hamstring injury in the third quarter of Tuesday's Game 2. He injured his right hamstring while chasing New Orleans' Jaxson Hayes in transition as the latter scored on a dunk. The Suns called timeout with 4:35 left in the quarter but Booker's night was done with the Suns trailing by three. The Pelicans then outscored Phoenix 48-40 the rest of the way to record a 125-114 road victory. Booker, who scored 31 points in the first half of Game 2, is expected to miss the rest of the series (maybe much longer). Suddenly, eighth-seeded New Orleans has life in the series plus homecourt advantage, with three of the potential five remaining games on its home floor.
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04-22-22 | Bucks -2.5 v. Bulls | Top | 111-81 | Win | 100 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
The 2nd pick of my STP is a 9* on the Mil Bucks at 8:30 ET. The Chicago Bulls ended a four-year playoff drought this season by going 46-36 (East's No. 6 seed). Chicago's first round opponent would be the third-seed Bucks, who are the NBA's defending champs. Chicago shot just 32.3 percent from the floor in Game 1, scoring just 86 points in a seven-point loss. That couldn't have come as a surprise, as the Bulls fell to 0-5 against Milwaukee this season and 1-17 against them going back to 2018. What's more, while the Bulls were in the mix all season in the competitive East, they had gone just 2-21 against the top-four teams in both conferences.
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04-22-22 | Heat v. Hawks +2 | Top | 110-111 | Win | 100 | 26 h 28 m | Show |
The 1st pick of my STP is a 9* on the Atl Hawks at 7:00 ET. The Atlanta Hawks made a surprising run to the Eastern Conference finals last season, while the Miami Heat, after making it to the NBA Finals two years ago (lost to the Lakers 4-2), got swept 4-0 in the first round by the Milwaukee Bucks. Much was expected from Atlanta this season but the Hawks finished as the East's No. 9 seed and needed two 'play in' wins to earn the final playoff spot in the East. As for the Heat, they spent most of the season at or near the top of the highly competitive East and finished with the No. 1 seed (53-29), two games better than Celtics, Bucks and 76ers (all 51-31).
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04-21-22 | Warriors v. Nuggets +2.5 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the Den Nuggets at 10:00 ET. PG Jamal Murray has never played a game for Denver this season and SF Michael Porter Jr. was lost after he played in just nine. However, the Nuggets would go 48-34 to earn the West's No. 6 seed. Denver drew the Golden St Warriors in the first round, the West's No. 3 seed. Steph Curry missed the final 12 regular season games with the Warriors going 6-6. However, they entered the playoffs having won their last FIVE. The Warriors have opened the series with two impressive wins, as Poole has taken Curry's place in the starting lineup. Poole (18.5 PPG). scored 30 points in Game 1 and scored 29 in Game 2. As for Curry, he had 16 points in Game 1 in 22 minutes off the bench, then scored 34 points (again off the bench in 23 minutes) in Game 2. Thompson (20.0) and Wiggins (14.5 & 8.5) have also had two solid games. Denver had a solid regular season even without two of their top-three players but have NOT been able to stay with Golden St in San Francisco, allowing 123 and 126 points in 16- and 20-point losses. Jokic has averaged 25.5-10.5-5.0 in the first two games but swingman Barton (18.0-8.0-3.5) is the only other Nugget to play well. PF Gordon (15.0 PPG in the regular season) has been awful (7.5 PPG) and a fairly deep group of role players have NOT been up to the challenge. The Nuggets didn't have an answer for the Warriors' small lineup of Curry, Thompson and Poole (trio combined for 84 of the Warriors 126 points in Game 2). Denver NEEDS a win Thursday in Game 3 or will face the possibility of being swept out of the postseason for the second straight season. "We've got to figure it out, because getting swept again, not a good look for nobody, and it's embarrassing," PG Monte Morris said. "If we've got any pride, we've got to find out real soon because it's not going to get no easier for us." The Warriors are off two near-perfect efforts, so I'm taking the small home underdog. Good luck...Larry |
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04-20-22 | 76ers v. Raptors +2.5 | Top | 104-101 | Loss | -111 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout is on the Tor Raptors at 8:00 ET. Full, detailed analysis by 7:00 ET. |
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04-19-22 | Wolves v. Grizzlies -6.5 | Top | 96-124 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* Playoff Game of the Day is on the Mem Grizzlies at 8:30 ET. The Memphis Grizzlies opened the season just 9-10 but then won 10 of 11. From there, it was a steady climb up the Western Conference standings, as the Grizzlies would finish 56-26 by going 47-16 after that 9-10 start. Only the 64-18 Suns had a better regular season at 64-18 (Suns' winning percentage was .780 and Memphis' was .746 over its final 63 games). Minnesota went 46-36 and finished as the top-seed in the 'play-in' tournament (No. 7). The T-wolves needed a big 4th-quarter comeback against the Clippers in the 7 vs 8 game but got it and earned just its second postseason appearance since 2004. In Game 1, the T-wolves pulled away for a 130-117 victory.
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04-19-22 | Hawks +7.5 v. Heat | Top | 105-115 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
My 9* PERFECT STORM is on the Atl Hawks at 7:30 ET. Much was expected from the Hawks after they made it all the way to the Eastern Conference finals last season. However, Atlanta was just 17-25 through Jan 15, before a seven-game winning streak put them back in 'play-in' position (hovered around .500 since that winning streak). Atlanta finished 43-39 (No. 9 Seed) but beat the Hornets 132-103 and Cleveland 107-101 on the road to capture the No. 8 seed. The Heat made an improbable run all the way to the NBA Finals in 2020 but last season were swept 4-0 in the first round by Milwaukee, the eventual NBA champs. Miami hung around the top of the East all season and clinched the No. 1 overall seed in the Eastern Conference playoff during the final week, giving Miami (53-29) its fourth No. 1 seed in team history. In Game 1, it was all Miami in Game 1, as the heat won 115-91.
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04-18-22 | Nuggets +7 v. Warriors | Top | 106-126 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Den Nuggets at 10:00 ET. Steph Curry missed the final 12 regular season games with the Warriors going 6-6. However, they entered the playoffs having won their last FIVE. Golden St hosted Denver in Game 1 on Friday and Jordan Poole got the start over Curry, who came off the bench. All Poole (18.5 PPG) did was score 30 points to tie Hall of Famer Mitch Richmond (1989) for the second-highest scoring playoff debut in Warriors' history, as Golden St won 123-107. Four more teammates joined Poole in double digits, led by Thompson's 19 points and Curry's 16 (off the bench). Wiggins had 16 & 9, while Green's line was 12-6-9. The Warriors made 54.2% from the floor, including 16 of 35 on threes. Denver's Nikola Jokic (27.1-13.8-7.9), the favorite to repeat as league MVP, registered 25 points, 10 rebounds and six assists for Denver. However, his impact was minor, as the Nuggets trailed by as many as 24 points. Swingman Barton had 24-6-5 and was really the only other Denver player to have a good game. Denver made 46.2% for the game, including 11 of 35 on threes. Steve Kerr has not announced whether Poole will start again but the Warriors will feel confident either way. "Wow, what a playoff debut," Klay Thompson said. "He's just incredible. What a star in the making." The Nuggets didn't look anything like the team that won three of four regular-season outings against the Warriors. There also continue to be rumblings that star guard Jamal Murray -- out the past 12 months due to an ACL tear -- could return later in the series. Then, after the Game 1 loss, forward Michael Porter Jr. said he might return during the series. Porter has been sidelined five-plus months due to back woes that included undergoing surgery for the third time in the past 4 1/2 years. I sure wouldn't count on those guys coming back and if they did, how effective could they be. The Nuggets have plenty of depth and I expect them to bounce back here, with Jokic leading the way. Denver's recent playoff history has been that of a team that just "never gives up" and I expect the Nuggets will be a 'tough out' in this one. Take the points. Good luck...Larry |
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04-17-22 | Nets v. Celtics -4 | Top | 114-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* "Signature" 38-Club Play is on the Bos Celtics at 3:30 ET. The Nets were preseason favorites in the East and were fighting for the East lead back in January but at 29-16 through Jan 21, went on an 11-game losing streak. The Nets were not able to hold onto a top-six seed and entered the 'play-in' round as the No. 7 seed, where they beat the Cavs 115-108 to earn this first-round contest with the Celtics. Boston was just 25-25 back on Jan 28 but ended the regular season on a 26-6. Boston's 51-31 matched that of Milwaukee and Philadelphia, but the Celtics got the No. 2 seed via tiebreakers. The Nets beat the Cavs last Tuesday in large part due their "Dynamic Duo" of to its superstar firepower. Kyrie Irving (27.4-4.4-5.8) and Kevin Durant (29.9-7.4-6.4). Kyrie had 34 points and 12 assists, while KD added 25 points and 11 rebounds. PF Aldrige (12.9 & 5.5) and guard Mills (11.4 PPG) have been solid contributors on the season (note: Mills missed just ONE game). Guard Curry has averaged 14.9 PPG and center Drummond (11.8 & 10.3) have played VERY well after coming to Brooklyn in the Harden-Simmons trade. Speaking of Dynamic Duos, the Celtics own one in Tatum (26.9 & 8.0) and Brown (23.6 & 6.1). I guess all the talk that Tatum and Brown were NOT getting along and that they were NOT able to "play well with others," is nothing but a distant memory (distraction). Guard Smart (12.1-3.8-5.9) is a team leader and its best perimeter defender. White has joined him in the backcourt to add 11.0 PPG in his 26 games since coming from the Spurs. C/PF Horford (10.2 & 7.7) is the veteran of many playoff 'wars' but the Celtics will be without Roberts Williams (10.0 & 9.6), due to meniscus damage in his left knee. The Nets won the first meeting of the season with the 123-10 (Nov 24) but have lost the last three (played from Feb 8-Mar 6), allowing 126,129 and 126 points. Defense is NOT a Brooklyn strength. Meanwhile, the Celtics led the NBA in several defensive categories, including points allowed at 104.5 per game (isn't that the MOST important defensive stat?). Holding opponents to 43.4% shooting (including 33.9% on threes), are also two pretty good stats to rank No. 1 in! Boston's rookie head coach Ime Udoka, a longtime assistant to Gregg Popovich in San Antonio, believes having six days off leading into Game 1 has benefited him and his team. "I think nine years of being an assistant, and making the playoffs every year, and playing in a few championships in high-pressure situations has prepared me for this," he claimed. "I think the team is ready as well." I'm with Ume. Lay the modest points. Good luck...Larry |
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04-16-22 | Raptors v. 76ers -4 | Top | 111-131 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the Phi 76ers at 6:00 ET. Toronto won 50-plus games over a five-year stretch prior to last season (won the NBA title in 2019), playing .693 basketball. However, the Raptors 'dropped like a rock' last season, finishing 27-45 (.375). The Raptors were a .500 team in late January, but an eight-game winning streak got them back in playoff position. The team was a modest 34-30 in early March but ended the season winning 14 of 18 and wound up with the East's No. 5 seed. Philadelphia battled at the top of the East all season but in the end, Miami (53-29) won the East, while Boston, Milwaukee and Philadelphia all finished 51-31. Due to tiebreakers, the 76ers wound up as the No. 4 seed and will get Toronto in the first round. The Raptors have FIVE players scoring 15-plus PPG, led by PF Siakam (22.8-8.5-5.3) and PG VavVleet (20.3-4.4-6.3). They also have quality big men coming off the bench in Boucher (9.4 & 6.2) and Achiuwa (9.1 & 4.5). The 76ers thought their championship window would be open for a decade with the Embiid-Simmons pairing, only to watch their relationship with Simmons disintegrate. They traded him to Brooklyn for Harden. Embiid (30.6-11.7-4.2) has MVP-worthy numbers, plus PG Maxey (17.5 & 4.3 APG) and PF Harris (17.2 & 6.8) have had strong seasons. In fact, Embiid won the scoring title this season and joined Allen Iverson and Wilt Chamberlain as the only 76ers to average at least 30 points in a season. As for Harden, he's averaged 21.0-7.1-10.5 in his 21 games with Philly, with the Sixers going 14-7 (.667). In games before Harden arrived and in games he missed while with Philly, the 76ers are 37-24 (.607). The verdict is in. Philly is a better team with Harden and the team believes it's in "full win-now mode." The best Philly team in Embiid's tenure was in 2019 when the 76ers lost to the Raptors on Kawhi Leonard's four-bounce Game 7 buzzer-beater in the second round. The Raptors went on to win the NBA title. The 76ers have seemingly never recovered from one of the more crushing defeats in team history. Philly needs to get off to a winning start in this series and the fact that Toronto won THREE of the four meetings this season will provide all the motivation the team will need. Lay the modest points. Good luck...Larry |
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04-15-22 | Pelicans v. Clippers -3.5 | Top | 105-101 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout is on the LA Clippers at 10:05 ET. The New Orleans Pelicans haven't seen Zion Williamson on the court all season and similarly, the LA Clippers' Kawhi Leonard never got near the court this season and Paul George was limited to 31 games. However, ONE of the two teams will grab final Western Conference postseason berth Friday night in LA. The Pelicans began the season losing 12 of 13 games but the bottom half of the Western Conference was VERY weak this season, so despite a 36-46 record, the Pels made the 'Play-In' round as the No. 9 seed. They advanced to this game by beating the visiting Spurs, who were just 34-48, 113-103. The Clippers were one of the final four teams standing last season before falling to the Suns in six games in the Western Conference finals but the club has often been in disarray this season with Leonard sidelined all season and fellow star Paul George missing more than three months with an elbow injury. The Clippers finished 42-40 (No. 8 seed) and played at Minnesota (No. 7 seed) on Wednesday, losing 109-104 (more in a bit). The midseason acquisition of guard CJ McCollum from the Portland Trail Blazers has helped New Orleans reach this stage. He averaged 24.3-4.5-5.8 in 26 regular season games with New Orleans, joining SF Ingram (22.7-5.8-5.6) and center Valanciunas (17.8 & 11.4) as the team's mainstays. In the Pels' win over SA, McCollum scored 32 points (added six rebounds and seven assists), Ingram had 27-5-5 and Valanciunas 222 & 14. Doing the math, those three accounted for 72% of New Orleans' points. Meanwhile, George (24.3-6.9-5.7) was superb in his return from an elbow injury that sidelined him for more than three months. He has averaged 22.6-5.6-6.8 in the five games after rejoining the team on March 29, making 21 of 40 three-point attempts (52.5 percent). The Clippers are also a deep team, as FIVE season-long regulars are scoring in double figures (PG Jackson tops the list averaging 16.8 PPG), plus trade pickup PF Covington (10.4 & 5.1) has added notable contributions. The Clippers received a MAJOR boost last week when Norman Powell returned from a foot injury that sidelined him for 22 games. He came from Portland in early Feb and averaged 21.0 PPG in three games, then went down with an injury. However, in his two games back, he's scored 24 and 20 points, making 7 of 10 from three-point range. The Clippers HAD the T-wolves beat on Tuesday, leading by 10 points with 8:54 remaining before the Timberwolves took control with a 16-2 surge. Amazingly, most of that run occurred after Minnesota star Karl-Anthony Towns fouled out with 7:34 left. The contest against Minnesota was George's sixth since returning and he poured in 34 points while making six 3-pointers. Jackson added 17-7-5 and Powell had 16 points off the bench. The Clippers hope to have backup guard Luke Kennard (11.9 PPG on 44.9% shooting from three-point range) back from a hamstring injury in the regular-season finale against the Oklahoma City Thunder. He sat out the game in Minnesota after being injured. Both LA head coach Lue and George have been quick to say the Clippers need to set aside the disappointing setback at Minny in the team's second-chance play-in game. "That's our focus now," Lue said of the must-win contest. "Got one game to win to get into the playoffs. We'll be ready to go on Friday." Surprisingly, the Pelicans went 3-1 against the Clippers this season with the victories coming by an average of 18.7 points. However, Los Angeles won the final meeting, 119-100 at home on April 3. That's what I'm expecting here. as LA's playoff experience (led by George) produces a B-L-O-W-O-U-T! Good luck...Larry |
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04-13-22 | Hornets +5.5 v. Hawks | Top | 103-132 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* "Win or go Home" play is on the Cha Hornets at 7:00 ET. The Charlotte Hornets went 33-39 last season but then got routed 144-117 by the Pacers in the 'play-in' round, missing the postseason for the FIFTH straight season. The Hornets improved to 43-39 this season but are in the 'play-in' round again, this time against the Atlanta Hawks. Much was expected from the Hawks after they made it all the way to the Eastern Conference finals last season. However, Atlanta was just 17-25 through Jan 15, before a seven-game winning streak put them back in 'play-in' position (hovering around .500 since that winning streak). Atlanta would go 26-14 its last 40 games (won SEVEN of the last nine) and would finish 43-39. The Hawks own a tiebreaker edge over the Hornets and that means tonight's "Win or go Home" game will be played in Atlanta.
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04-12-22 | Clippers +3.5 v. Wolves | Top | 104-109 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* 'Play-In' Payoff is on the LA Clippers at 9:30 ET. The Minnesota Timberwolves began the current season having reached the playoffs just once since the 2003-04 season and had a winning record just TWICE in that 17-year span (in 2004-05 and in 2017-18, the team's lone postseason appearance). However, the 46-36 T-wolves can clinch a postseason spot tonight when they host the Los Angeles Clippers in a play-in game. The Clippers finished 42-20 in a season in which Kawhi never got near the court and Paul George was limited to 31 games. However, George (24.3-6.9-5.7) has been superb since his return from an elbow injury that sidelined him for more than three months. He has averaged 22.6-5.6-6.8 in the five games after rejoining the team on March 29, making 21 of 40 three-point attempts (52.5 percent). The Clippers are a deep team, as FIVE season-long regulars are scoring in double figures (PG Jackson tops the list averaging 16.8 PPG), plus trade pickup PF Covington (10.4 & 5.1) has added notable contributions. The Clippers received a MAJOR boost last week when Norman Powell returned from a foot injury that sidelined him for 22 games. He came from Portland in early Feb and averaged 21.0 PPG in three games, then went down with an injury. However, in his two games back, he's scored 24 and 20 points, making 7 of 10 from three-point range. Minnesota's "Big 3" consists of center Towns (24.6 & 9.8), SF Edwards (21.3-4.8-3.8) and PG Russell (18.1 & 7.1 APG). Beasley (12.1) is the fourth double digit scorer but Minnesota also has SEVEN more players adding between 6.9 and 9.2 PPG. Of concern for Minnesota is that PG Russell is dealing with hamstring soreness and it remains to be seen if he will be available for tonight's contest. It's hard NOT to root for Minnesota but the team struggled down the stretch, going 4-6 SU and 2-8 ATS. The Clippers own a big experience edge, having made the postseason in NINE of the previous 10 seasons, reaching the Western Conference finals before losing to the Phoenix Suns in six games last year. The Clippers have averaged 127.3 PPG in winning SIX of their final seven games (lone loss was in OT at Chicago), while the Timberwolves are allowing 122.8 PPG over their last 10 games. Take the points. Good luck...Larry |
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04-08-22 | Hawks +2.5 v. Heat | Top | 109-113 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* Eastern Conference Game of the Month is on the Atl Hawks at 8:10 ET. Much was expected from the Hawks after they made it all the way to the Eastern Conference finals last season. However, Atlanta was just 17-25 through Jan 15, before a seven-game winning streak put them back in 'play-in' position (have hovered around .500 since that winning streak). The 42-38 Hawks visit Miami having secured a 'play-in' berth and are tied with the Nets for the No. 8 seed. Atlanta has won SIX of seven and a chance at earning that No. 8 seed WILL provide motivation plus both the Hawks and Nets are just ONE game behind the Cavs (No. 7 seed). As for Miami, the Heat made an improbable run all the way to the NBA Finals in 2020 but last season were swept 4-0 in the first round by Milwaukee, the eventual NBA champs. Miami has been around the top of the East all season and clinched the No. 1 overall seed in the Eastern Conference playoffs on Thursday. Losses by the Philadelphia 76ers and Boston Celtics gave Miami its fourth No. 1 seed in team history. The Heat came out on top of the competitive conference despite Jimmy Butler (21.4-5.9-5.6), Bam Adebayo (19.0 & 10.1) and Kyle Lowry (13,4-4.5-7.6) missing significant time throughout the season. Herro (20.8-5.0-3.9) seems a shoo-in to win 6th-man-of-the-year. PG Young (28.3 & 9.7 APG) continues to shine for Atlanta but PF Collins (16.2 & 7.8) has played in just FOUR of the team's last 25 games. Five more Hawks contribute double digits, spanning from SG Bogdanovich (14.9 & 3.9) to center Capela (10.9 & 11.8). Young scored 30 points in Wednesday's win over the Wizards, Danilo Gallinari added 26, and Bogdan Bogdanovic scored his 18 points off 6-of-9 shooting from three-point range as a reserve. I noted earlier that the Hawks enter having won SIX of seven and will add here that in each of their six wins, the Hawks have scored 118 points or more. Atlanta has LOTS to play for here (end season at the pathetic 20-60 Rockets), while Miami is just biding time until it learns which one of the four 'play-in' teams will be its first round opponent (could be Atlanta). The Hawks roll in this one, as it would be no surprise if Miami rested some players. Good luck...Larry |
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04-07-22 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
My 10* Western Conference Game of the Month is on the Den Nuggets at 9:10 ET. The 55-24 Memphis Grizzlies are locked into the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference and won't know who they will face in the first round until the play-in tournament is complete. "The Grizz" are in Denver tonight to take on the 47-33 Nuggets, who had a chance to clinch at least the No. 6 seed with a home win over San Antonio on Tuesday night. Minnesota had lost at home earlier on Tuesday, giving Denver a chance to clinch a dedicated playoff spot as a top-six team in the conference, but was blown out 116-97 by the Spurs. Good luck...Larry |
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04-07-22 | 76ers +1 v. Raptors | Top | 114-119 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
My 9* Weekly Wipeout is on the Phi 76ers at 7:40 ET. Toronto won 50-plus games over a five-year stretch prior to last season (won the NBA title in 2019), playing .693 basketball. However, the Raptors 'dropped like a rock' last season, finishing 27-45 (.375). However, the Raptors posted a 118-108 win over the visiting Atlanta Hawks on Tuesday night to earn a spot in the top six of the Eastern Conference and avoid the play-in tournament. It was Toronto's 12th win in its last 15 games. The Raptors look to clinch the season series against the visiting Philadelphia 76ers on Thursday night, having won two of the first three meetings with Philadelphia this season.
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04-06-22 | Wizards v. Hawks UNDER 231.5 | Top | 103-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* O/U Game of the Week is on Was/Atl Under at 8:10 ET. The 35-44 Washington Wizards and the 41-38 Atlanta Hawks get together at the State Farm Arena on Wednesday night in Atlanta. The Wizards are playing out the string but do enter having won FIVE of seven, including an impressive 132-114 win last night in Minnesota. Much was expected from the Hawks after they made it all the way to the Eastern Conference finals last season, However, Atlanta was just 17-25 through Jan 15, before a seven-game winning streak put them back in 'play-in' position (have hovered around .500 since that winning streak). The Hawks enter tonight's game having won 17 of their last 23, but saw their five-game winning streak end 118-108 last night in a loss at Toronto. Atlanta is tied with the Nets, with both teams trailing the Cavs (No. 7 seed) by 1 1/2-games (note: Brooklyn owns the tie-breaker over Atlanta). The current Wizards look nothing like the team did at the midpoint of the season, when guards Beal and Dinwiddie were joined by a trio of former Lakers (Caldwell-Pope, Harrell and Kuzma) plus undersized center Gafford as the team's "Core 6." Beal's season ended after playing just 40 games, Dinwiddie and Harrell have both been traded, while Kuzma is currently out of commission with right knee tendinitis. In last night's win at Minnesota, Porzingis led the team with 25 points, Gafford added 24 points with 12 rebounds off the bench, Rui Hachimura added 21 points while Deni Avdija chipped in with 17 points, eight rebounds and five assists off the bench. The Wizards shot 55 percent from the floor, including 13 of 30 from the three-point line. PG Young (28.2 & 9.67APG) continues to shine for Atlanta but PF Collins (16.2 & 7.8) has played in just FOUR of the team's last 24 games. Five more Hawks contribute double digits, spanning from SG Bogdanovich (14.9 & 3.9) to center Capela (10.8 & 11.9). Young led the team with 26 points and 15 assists in last night's loss at Toronto, followed by Huerter's 21 points, Hunter's 20 points and Bogdanovic's 19 & 9 off the bench. I expect the Hawks to grab the win here, as earning the No. 8 seed would give the team a much better chance to reach the playoffs through the play-in round. Both teams are playing the second game of a back-to-back and at this stage of the season, fatigue is a factor. After an offensive "outburst" by Washington last night (132 points on 55% shooting), expect the Wizards to play closer to their season form (108,9 PPG). Go UNDER! Good luck...Larry |
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04-05-22 | Grizzlies v. Jazz -4.5 | Top | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
The 3rd pick of my STP is a 10* on the Ut Jazz at 9:10 ET. Memphis picked up an impressive win last Friday when it beat the Suns at home 122-114, snapping Phoenix's nine-game winning streak. The win came even though Ja Morant (knee), Desmond Bane (ankle), Steven Adams (calf), Tyus Jones (hand) and Jaren Jackson Jr. (thigh) were sidelined with injuries. The Grizzlies have gone 19-2 without Morant (27.6-5.7-6.7), a record that is somewhat hard to believe. 55-23 Memphis comes into this contest having won SEVEN games in a row and is locked into the West's No. 2 seed. The Utah Jazz were 33-21 through Feb 7 and 45-26 through March 20, but a five-game slide followed, before they beat the 'sad-sack' Lakers 122-109 at home last Thursday. However, the Jazz lost Saturday night in San Francisco, again blowing a big lead. Utah held a 21-point lead but the Warriors scored 18 straight points on six 3-pointers to rally past the Jazz for a 111-107 win. 46-21 Utah is now the No. 6 seed in the West, (with four games left), but just a half-game behind Denver, which has three games remaining. Most importantly, the Jazz need to hold on to a top-six finish (last of the guaranteed playoff spots), The Jazz lead the 45-34 Timberwolves (No. 7 seed) by 1 1/2-games, who have just three games remaining.
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04-05-22 | Hawks +4.5 v. Raptors | Top | 108-118 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
The 2nd pick of my STP is a 9* on the Atl Hawks at 7:40 ET. Much was expected from the Hawks after they made it all the way to the Eastern Conference finals last season, However, Atlanta was just 17-25 through Jan 15, before a seven-game winning streak put them back in 'play-in' position (have hovered around .500 since that winning streak). The Hawks enter tonight's game having won 17 of their last 22, including FIVE in a row. At 41-37, they enter on a five-game winning streak and as owners of the No. 8 seed. Goal No. 1 this final week is to stay ahead of the Hornets and Nets, who are within ONE game of Atlanta. Toronto won 50-plus games over a five-year stretch prior to last season (won the NBA title in 2019), playing .693 basketball. However, the Raptors 'dropped like a rock' last season, finishing 27-45 (.375). Toronto is currently 45-33, tied with the Bulls. PG Young (28.3 & 9.6 APG) continues to shine for Atlanta but PF Collins (16.2 & 7.8) has played in just FOUR of the team's last 23 games. Five more Hawks contribute double digits, spanning from Bogdanovich (14.8 & 3.8) to center Capela (10.8 & 11.8). Toronto has FIVE players averaging more than 15.0 PPG. The starting lineup consists of PF Siakam (22.4-8.4-5.2), PG VanVleet (20.4-4.5-6.6), SG Trent (18.1) plus SFs Anunoby (17.3 & 5.4) and Florida rookie Barnes (15.4 & 7.5). Adding some muscle to the frontcourt are the 6-8 Boucher (9.2 & 6.2) and the 6-9 Achiuwa (8.9 & 6.7). The Raptors had a five-game winning streak before falling 114-109 at home to the Miami Heat on Sunday. Anunoby missed the Miami game with a bruised thigh, continuing a trend of lineup-shuffling that Raptors coach Nick Nurse would like to see stop. Anunoby had been one of the Raptors' best players during the five-game winning streak, averaging 16.0 points, shooting 54.7 percent from the floor and 55.6 percent on 3-pointers. He could be back here. The Raptors can clinch a playoff berth Tuesday night, but that would require not only a win by them but also a loss by the Cleveland Cavaliers (43-36) at Orlando. Bottom line is, I'm not sure if it matters much if the Raptors finish 5th or 6th in the East. Meanwhile, keeping at least the No. 8 seed clearly gives the Hawks a better chance to advance in the 'play-in' round. Atlanta's averaging 18.4 PPG during their five-game winning streak (Young has 30 or more points in FOUR of the wins) and I'm taking the points. Good luck...Larry |
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04-05-22 | Hornets +6 v. Heat | Top | 115-144 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
The 1st pick of my STP is a 9* of the Cha Hornets at 7:40 ET. The Hornets went 33-39 last season but then got routed 144-117 by the Pacers in the 'play-in' round, missing the postseason for the FIFTH straight season. The Hornets are destined for the 'play-in' round gain, as they are currently 40-36, tied with the Nets for the 9th and 10th spots. Both teams are one game behind the Hawks (No. 8) and two games back of the Cavs (No. 7). Being able to get that No. 8 seed really helps and maybe the return of Gordon Hayward will make a difference for the visiting Hornets when they play the 51-28 Heat tonight in Miami. The Heat made an improbable run all the way to the NBA Finals in 2020 but last season were swept 4-0 in the first round by Milwaukee, the eventual NBA champs. Miami has been around the top of the East all season and currently the Heat are two games up on the 49-30 Celtics (both have three games remaining) for the East's best record plus lead the Bucks and 76ers both at 48-30 and with four games left). Hayward (15.9-4.6-3.6) has missed 29 games due to injuries, but his return leaves the Hornets with FIVE players averaging more than 15 PPG. Bridges (20.3 & 7.10 lead the way, followed by Ball (19.9-6.7-7.50 and Oubre (15.2). Then there is Harrell (11.3 & 5.1 in his 22 games since the trade) and PF Washington (10.3 & 5.7). Miami is without head coach Erik Spoelstra due to the NBA's health and safety protocol and assistant coach Chris Quinn ran the team Sunday night in a 114-109 win in Toronto. The Heat faced the Raptors without injured starters Jimmy Butler (toe) and P.J. Tucker (knee) as well as reserves Dewayne Dedmon (ankle) and Gabe Vincent (toe). Butler (21.3-5.9-5.5) could return on here. Herro (20.6-5.0-3.9) is an elite off-the-bench scorer and seemingly a 'lock' for 6th-man-of-the-year. Center Adebayo (18.9 & 10.2) has had a terrific season plus the Heat are 'loaded' on the perimeter with PG Lowry (13.4-4.5-7.6) and SGs Robinson (10.9) and Strus (10.6). Miami will likely hold on to the No. 1 seed but while the Hornets can't control what the Nets and Hawks do, they CAN "take care of their own business." Charlotte's back on the court for the first time since Saturday's embarrassing 144-114 Saturday loss in Philly and tonight, will be looking to avoid losing to the Heat for the FOURTH time this season. I want the points! Good luck...Larry |
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04-03-22 | Heat v. Raptors -3.5 | Top | 114-109 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Tor Raptors at 7:10 ET. The Heat made an improbable run all the way to the NBA Finals in 2020 but last season were swept 4-0 in the first round by Milwaukee, the eventual NBA champs. Miami has been around the top of the East all season but began the week on a four-game losing streak. The Heat snapped that season-worst streak on Monday by beating the visiting Sacramento Kings, plus have followed with wins at Boston (Wed) and Chicago (Sat). They are currently 50-28 (have reached 50 wins for the first time since 2013-14) and 1 1/2-games up on Milwaukee for the East's No. 1 seed. However, Boston is just two games behind and Philly 2 1/2-games behind, so nothing is 'written in stone' just yet. Toronto won 50-plus games over a five-year stretch prior to last season (won the NBA title in 2019), playing .693 basketball. However, the Raptors 'dropped like a rock' last season, finishing 27-45 (.375). Toronto is currently 45-32, after a FIVE-game winning streak. The Raptors are currently the East No. 5 seed (a half-game better than the Bulls) and more importantly, 2 1/2-games clear of the Cavs, who are now the No. 7 seed (top-six are guaranteed a playoff spot). Jimmy Butler (21.3-5.9-5.5) led SEVEN Miami players in double digits with 22 points in the Heat's 127-109 win last night in Chicago. Guard Herro (20.6-4.9-3.9), who typically comes off the bench), plus center Adebayo (19.0 & 10.2) give Miami three high-quality scorers. SIX more Heat players chip in between 7.6 and 13.3 PPG, led by PG Lowry (13.3 & 7.6 APG). Toronto's never been healthier, with FIVE players averaging more than 15.0 PPG. The starting lineup consists of PF Siakam (22.3-8.4-5.2), PG VanVleet (29=0.3-4.5-6.6), SG Trent (18.1) plus SFs Anunoby (17.3 & 5.4) and Florida rookie Barnes (15.4 & 7.5). Adding some muscle to the frontcourt are the 6-8 Boucher (9.3 & 6.2) and the 6-9 Achiuwa (9.0 & 6.7). Here's the rub. This is the second of a back-to-back for Miami and its FOURTH road game this week. Meanwhile Toronto has won 11 of 13 (10-3 ATS) and FIVE in a row entering this contest, after a Friday win in Orlando. Raptors get the "W' and the cover. Good luck...Larry |
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04-03-22 | 76ers v. Cavs UNDER 224.5 | Top | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
My 9* O/U Game of the Day is on Phi/Cle Under at 6:10 ET. The last thing the Philadelphia 76ers needed was a three-game losing streak to end March but that's exactly what happened the 27th thru the 31st. Philly did rebound in a big way with a 30-point 144-114 win over the Charlotte Hornets on Saturday. Philly is back in action again on Sunday, taking a 47-30 record into a game with the Cavs in Cleveland. The 76ers are currently the East's No. 4 seed (last to get home court in the 1st round), two games clear of Toronto (No. 5 seed). Looking up, the 76ers are just a half-game behind the Celtics (No. 3 seed) and one game behind the Bucks (No. 2 seed). The Cleveland Cavaliers entered this season having gone 60-159 (.274) the previous three seasons but through Feb 11, were one of the league's biggest surprises with a 35-21 record. However, the Cavs have won just EIGHT of their last 22 games and at 43-35, have dropped out the top-six. They are now the No. 7 seed and TWO games behind the Bulls (No. 6 seed) with only four games left to play. The 76ers still have a decent chance to move up at the top of the East standings and while the Cavs will likely be stuck in the 'play-in' round, I do expect them to give it their best shot here. The Cavaliers will be shorthanded again on Sunday without center Jarrett Allen (finger) and PF Evan Mobley (ankle). "I think we're learning from our past," head coach Bickerstaff said after last night's 119-101 win at the Knicks. "I don't think we played particularly well in Atlanta. I didn't like the way that we played in Atlanta (a loss on Thursday). What this afternoon showed is that we can take steps and learn quickly. Before the game today in our meeting we watched clips of us at our best offensively and it wasn't a lot of ball holding." Both teams are playing the second of back-to-back games and both are coming off big offensive efforts. Philly, in particular, set season highs in points (144), three-pointers made (21) and assists (38). However, take note that these are two excellent defensive teams, as Cleveland has allowed 105.1 PPG (4th) and Philadelphia 106.8 PPG (8th). This O/U is too high. Go UNDER! Good luck...Larry |
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04-03-22 | Mavs v. Bucks -5 | Top | 118-112 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
My 9* Afternoon Delight is on the Mil Bucks at 1:10 ET. The 48-30 Mavs are in Milwaukee this afternoon to take on the 48-29 Bucks. Both teams are coming off embarrassing Friday losses, as Dallas lost 135-103 in Washington, while Milwaukee lost 153-119 at home to the LA Clippers. Dallas is currently the West's No. 4 seed, one game behind Golden St (No. 3). The Mavs also own a two-game cushion on the Jazz and Nuggets, who are battling for the No. 5 and 6 seeds. The defending champion Bucks are 1 1/2-games behind the East's No. 1 seed (Miami), with the Celtics (a half-game back) and the 76ers (one game back) right on their tails. Dallas features three players listed as PGs, including the "do-everything" Doncic (28.3-9.1-8.6). Dinwiddie (16.7 & 4.0 APG in 19 games) has been an excellent pick up plus Brunson (16.3-3.9-4.9) has played well all season. Forwards Finney-Smith (10.9 & 4.8), Bullock (8.4) and Kleber (7.0 & 5.9) join center Powell (8.4 & 4.8) up front. Brook Lopez has finally made his long-awaited return for Milwaukee, after recovering from back surgery. He is currently on a minutes restriction (about 20 per game) and in nine games has averaged 9.7 & 3.6). The Bucks also recently got guard Connaughton (10.1) back from a hand injury on March 19 and in seven games, he has averaged 10.3 PPG. The starting-five for most of the season is a very good one. Antetokounmpo (30.1-11.7-5.8) is having another MVP-like season, with SF Khris Middleton (20.3-5.5-5.4) and PG Holiday (18.6-4.5-6.7) giving the Bucks their own version of a "Big 3." PF/C Bobby Portis (14.7 & 9.1) has been a 'savior' with Lopez missing all that time, plus Allen (11.1) has been a steady presence at SG. The Mavs' 135-103 loss at the Wizards snapped a three-game win streak but it also marked the team's FOURTH loss in its last five road games. As for Milwaukee's home loss to the Clippers, the 153 points were a franchise record for LA in a regular-season game, as the Clippers shot 60.9 percent from the floor. However, there is a caveat. Antetokounmpo, Middleton, Holiday and Lopez all were ruled out hours before game time. All FOUR are expected to be back in action on Sunday and the Bucks had won SIX straight at home (averaging 124.3 points) prior to Friday's massacre! Lay the points with Milwaukee. Good luck...Larry |
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04-02-22 | North Carolina v. Duke -4 | Top | 81-77 | Loss | -105 | 37 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* ONE & ONLY CBB Game of the Year is on Duke at 8:49 ET. Everyone knows the set-up by now. The UNC-Duke rivalry is over 100 years old but the schools have never gone head-to-head in the NCAA tournament until now. It comes in Mike Krzyzewski's final season, While Coach K is in his 13th Final Four (most of any coach in NCAA history) his "opposite number" will be UNC's Hubert Davis. He is the first first-year head coach to make the Final Four since Bill Guthridge, who also did so with UNC after taking over for Dean Smith in 1998. You can't make this stuff up! 28-9 North Carolina is the lowest seed at No. 8 but the Tar Heels have already spoiled Coach K's homecourt goodbye (94-81 back on Mar 5) in a game Hubert Davis believes flipped the switch for what he felt was an underachieving team up to that point. When Carolina takes the court Saturday in New Orleans, the Tar heels will take a 10-1 run (9-2 ATS) into the contest. 32-6 Duke opened the season No. 9 in the AP's preseason poll and for most of the season, were the lone ACC team ranked in the top-25 (Blue Devils finished 9th in the AP's final regular season poll). North Carolina is 4-0 ATS in the tournament so far, while after beating CS-Fullerton by 17 points (as an 18 1/2-point favorite), Duke covered in its wins over Michigan St, Texas Tech and Arkansas, North Carolina has an excellent frontcourt duo in the 6-10 Bacot (16.5 & 12.8) and 6-9 Oklahoma transfer Manek (15.2 & 5.9). It was a trio, but 6-11 Marquette transfer Garcia (9.0 & 5.5) left the team in mid-January and has not returned. Sophomore guard Love (15.7-3.4-3.7) teams with freshman Davis (13.4-4.0-3.7) in the backcourt, with Black (4.9 & 4.3) starting in Garcia's place. Manek has been great in the tourney by averaging 21.5 & 8.0 and Bacot his usual self (16.5 PPG but also an impressive 15.8 RPG!). Love scored just FIVE points vs Baylor but has averaged 22.3 PPG in the other three. Davis stepped up with 30 points vs Baylor and is averaging 13.8 & 6.0 in the tourney. Duke has had three freshmen make major contributions. The 6-10 Paolo Banchero (17.1 & 7.7), guard Keels (11.3) and the 6-6 Griffin (10.5 & 3.9). That trio has started for most of the season along with junior SF Moore (13.5-5.2-44) and 7-0 sophomore center Williams (11.3 & 7.5). Guard Roach (8.6) has mostly come off the bench. In the tourney, Bacot (18.5 & 7.0), Williams (14.5 & 8.8) and Moore (13.5-3.5-3.5) have all reached double digits in all four games. Griffin has averaged 11.5 & 4.8 plus Roach (12.3 & 3.8 APG) has replaced Keels in the starting lineup, scoring in double digits in three of the four (nine points in the other one). Keels' minutes have been reduced and he's averaging a modest 6.8 PPG in the tourney. Neither school has much depth but both are playing great. Kudos to the job that Davis has done but Coach K's ]magical' last season run WON'T run here. When all is said and done, Duke's loss to North Carolina in Coach K's final regular season game may have been "just what the doctor ordered" for the Blue Devils. See you Monday in the championship game. Good luck...Larry |
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04-02-22 | Jazz v. Warriors +2 | Top | 107-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
My 9* Weekend Wipeout is on the GS Warriors at 8:40 ET. The Utah Jazz were 33-21 through Feb 7 and 45-26 through March 20, but a five-game slide followed, before they beat the 'sad-sack' Lakers 122-109 at home on Thursday. At 46-31, Utah is currently the West's No. 5 seed but are just a half-game better than Denver (No. 6 seed) and 2 1/2-games clear of Minnesota (No. 7 seed). Looking up in the standings, the Jazz trail the Mavs (No. 4 seed) by 1 1/2-games and the Warriors (No. 3 seed) by two games. The Jazz will be in San Francisco tonight to meet the Warriors, who spent a good part of the season battling the Suns for the West's best record. Golden St opened 18-2 and was 41-13 through Feb 7, with Phoenix checking in at 43-10. Those days are LONG gone, as the Warriors are currently 48-29, while the Suns are 14 games better at 62-15. Memphis has clinched the No. 2 seed in the West and the Warriors are now trying to hang onto the No. 3 seed, with the Mavs just a half-game behind, the Jazz two games behind and the Nuggets 2 1/2-games behind.
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04-02-22 | Nets -1.5 v. Hawks | Top | 115-122 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Brk Nets at 7:40 ET. The 'play-in' round features the teams that finish 7-10 in each conference. In the East, the 42-35 Cavs are currently the No. 7 seed, while the Nets, Hornets and Hawks are all at 40-37. All four teams have five games remaining to sort things out. The Nets will be in Atlanta tonight to take on the Hawks. The Nets were preseason favorites in the East and were fighting for the East lead back in January but at 29-16 through Jan 21, went on an 11-game losing streak. However, the best the Nets can do now is hope to get the No. 7 seed. They enter this game off a 120-1119 OT loss at home against the Bucks but have gone 8-4 in their last 12 games. Much was expected from the Hawks after they made it all the way to the Eastern Conference finals last season, However, Atlanta was just 17-25 through Jan 15, before a seven-game winning streak put them back in 'play-in' position (have hovered around .500 since that winning streak). The Hawks have won 14 of their last 22 and enter on a four-game winning streak. With their regular seasons dwindling to a handful of games, the Brooklyn Nets and Atlanta Hawks seem destined for the NBA play-in tournament but overtaking the free-falling Cavs, who have lost five of their past six games for the No. 7 seed is clearly attainable. KD (29.6-7.3-6.2) and Kyrie (26.9-4.2-5.6) lead the way, along with regulars Aldridge (13.5 & 5.6) and Mills (11.7). Guard Curry (15.1) and center Drummond (11.8 & 9.9) have really made excellent additions since coming over in the Harden trade. PG Young (28.2 & 9.6 APG) continues to shine for Atlanta but PF Collins (16.2 & 7.8) has played in just FOUR of the team's last 22 games. Five more Hawks contribute double digits, spanning from Bogdanovich (14.9 & 3.9) to center Capela (10.8 & 11.8). This is the final meeting between the two teams but the first since Dec 10. Is there any significance to the fact that the Nets have won each of the first two? I don't think so. That was THEN and this is NOW. Getting that No. 7 seed is no small deal, as it would give the 'owner' a chance to secure a place in the playoffs by winning a home against the No. 8 seed or by winning a home game over the winner of the No. 9 vs No. 10 game. Let's NOT forget that the Nest were the Eastern Conference favorites at the opening of the season and that while they have a "different look" now, are still a better team than Atlanta. Durant is averaging 30.6 points per game in March, is averaging 28.6 in 25 career games against Atlanta and 31.5 points in two games this season. KD leads the way to a Brooklyn win! Good luck...Larry |
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04-01-22 | Wolves v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 136-130 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* Division (Northwest) Game of the Year is on the Den Nuggets at 9:10 ET. The Timberwolves were just 24-25 through Jan 28 but an 18-5 surge put the team in position to challenge for a top-six seed in the West, as Minnesota was looking to earn a playoff spot for just the SECOND time since 2004. However, the T-wolves will 'limp' into Denver having lost FOUR of five (also 1-4 ATS) and at 43-34, find themselves THREE games behind in the chase for that No. 6 seed. Denver won 10 of 11 games from Feb 12 through March 9 but then went 3-5 its next eight. However, three straight wins have given the 46-31 Nuggets a chance to win the Northwest Division and possibly get a top-four seed in the conference. The Jazz are also 46-31, as those teams battle for the Northwest Division title but also hope to catch either Mavs or Warriors, who are both 48-29 and fighting over the No. 4 and No. 5 seeds. Minnesota revolves around its "Big 3" of center Towns (24.4 & 9.8), swingman Edwards (21.0-4.8-3.7) and PG Russell (18.0 & 7.0 APG). Guard Beasley (12.1) has joined that trio in double digits this season but he's missed the last two games with an ankle issue. Head coach Chris Finch said recently that Beasley isn't "anywhere close" to returning to game action," However, Minnesota does own a deep bench. It is still undetermined whether the Nuggets' two injured stars, Jamal Murray (ACL) and Michael Porter Jr. (back), will return before the end of the regular season. Both got some work in with the G-League and are progressing, but Denver won't rush either one back, especially Murray, who hasn't played since last April. However, the team revolves around Nikola Jokic, who is making a serious bid to repeat as the league MVP. He is averaging 26.5. points, which ranks ninth in the NBA, and his 13.6 rebounds per game are second. Throw in his 8.0 assists average per game, and he has solid credentials for the NBA's top award. Also playing key roles for Denver have been swingman Barton (14.7-4.9-3.9), PF Gordon (14.4 & 5.7) and PG Morris (12.7 & 4.4 APG). Minnesota is THREE games behind Denver and its chances of catching the Nuggets (or the Jazz, who have the same record) seems unlikely with just FIVE games remaining. Meanwhile, after tonight's game, the Nuggets play in LA vs the 'sad-sack" Lakers and then finish with home games against the Spurs, the Grizzlies and the Lakers (again). Denver has a real chance at winning 50 games despite not having their two best players besides Jokic this season. What's more, the Nuggets will also likely remember losing 130-115 at Minnesota back on Feb 1 (T-wolves have won two of the three meetings this season). Lay the 'cheap price!' Good luck...Larry |
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04-01-22 | Fresno State v. Coastal Carolina +3 | Top | 85-74 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* TBC Game of the Year is on Coastal Carolina at 6:00 ET. Justin Hutson is in his fourth season as head coach of the Fresno St Bulldogs, He won 23 games in his first season but entered the current season off 11-and 12-win seasons. However, this year's team did return all FIVE starters. The MWC was a tough league this season, as FOUR schools got NCAA bids, and Fresno finished just 8-9 in conference play. After losing its second game in the MWC tourney,19-13 Fresno has made the most of its postseason in TBC by winning THREE home games. However, Fresno is off to Conway, SC for the championship game of TBC to take on Coastal Carolina. The Chanticleers' head coach is Cliff Ellis, who is in his 48th season and his 15th at Coastal Carolina. The Chanticleers were just 8-8 in the SBC and lost their first game of the SBC tourney. They entered TBC at 16-13 but three games later (two home wins and a 69-68 OT win at South Alabama), get to host TBC championship game in their home gym (HTC center). Fresno St is led by 7-0 center Robinson (19.4 & 8.2) but what was a deep backcourt has been weakened by injuries. Hill (10.1) and Holland (9.6) have been steady all season but Holland has missed the last two games with a hamstring issue (questionable here). Baker averaged 12.0 PPG last season but made it through just FIVE games this season. Another guard, Ballard (5.3), hasn't played since the MWC tourney with an undisclosed issue. Coastal Carolina features a solid trio in guards Cole (15.4) and Williams (14.5 & 4.1) plus 6-9 center Mostafa (13.2 & 9.6). Four more players combine to add about 27 PPG. Fresno St is on the road for the first time in this tourney and one can't ignore that Bulldogs have averaged just 63.2 PPG in road games this season. Coastal Carolina is 3-0 SU & ATS in this tourney and enters having covered SIX of its last seven, overall. A closing thought. This marks Ellis' 29th postseason tourney (10th with Coastal Carolina) and he has yet to win one. His 2017 Coastal Carolina team was the CBI runner-up, as was last season's team. Isn't it about time he wins one of these? My bet is Y-E-S! Good luck...Larry |
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03-30-22 | Heat +5 v. Celtics | Top | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the Mia Heat at 7:40 ET. The Heat made an improbable run all the way to the NBA Finals in 2020 but last season were swept 4-0 in the first round by Milwaukee, the eventual NBA champs. However, the current Heat get set to visit Boston at 48-28, giving them the East's best record (but just barely!). The Celtics entered last season having made the playoffs in 12 of the previous 13 seasons. Boston made the postseason again last year but after reaching the conference finals in THREE of the previous four seasons, Boston lost 4-1 in the first round to Brooklyn. Boston seemed like a non-factor this season at 25-25 through Jan 26 but the team has won 22 of its last 26 to reach 47-26. Setting the stage, the Heat are 48-28, the Bucks 47-28, the Celtics 47-29 and the 76ers 46-29. The Heat snapped a season-worst four-game losing streak on Monday by beating the visiting Sacramento Kings 123-100. SF Jimmy Butler led Miami with 27 points and seven, while center Bam Adebayo had a double-double by halftime, finishing with 22 points and a game-high 15 rebounds. Butler (21.2-6.0-5.6) and Adebayo (19.2 & 10.2) are joined by guard Herro (20.8-4.8-3.9), to give Miami three high-quality scorers. SIX more Heat players chip in between 7.7 and 13.1 PPG, led by PG Lowry (13.1-4.6-7.5). It wasn't long ago that there were all sorts of rumors that Tatum and Brown were NOT getting along AND that they "not playing well with others' That chatter is 'Gone with the Wind,' as Tatum is averaging 27.1- 8.1-4.3 and Brown 23.4 & 6.1. "I think the main thing that we've seen is consistency over the last few months," head coach Ime Udoka said. "A lot of areas that we've really targeted offensively -- sharing the ball, defensively coming out with that mindset. And then playing with a sense of urgency, getting off to better starts, and so consistency is what we've done. There's no reason to go back on that. We see the success it's brought us, and the unselfishness is contagious." However, Tatum and Brown both have sore right knees, forcing them to sit out Monday's 115-112 overtime loss at the Toronto Raptors that ended Boston's six-game winning streak. Celtics center Al Horford (10.0-7.5-3.3) also missed Monday's game due to personal reasons. A fourth Celtics player -- center Robert Williams -- is expected to miss at least the remainder of the regular season due to a left-knee injury. Williams, who averages 10.0 points, leads Boston in rebounds (9.6) and blocks (2.2). It's expected that Tatum, Brown and Horford will play tonight (no guarantees) but I like the Heat, either way. "I think we got a little comfortable, expecting we were going to win every night," Jimmy Butler said of Miami's slump. "We have lapses at times, but I feel like we have a championship-caliber team. When we are clicking, we are tough to beat." Head coach Erik Spoelstra made a change in his starting lineup vs the Kings, inserted Max Strus (10.4) in place of Duncan Robinson (11.1)."That's the best part of this team -- nobody takes anything personal," Butler said about the change to the starting lineup. "I'm not going to lie to you and say it's an easy thing to handle. But (Robinson) has been handling it like a pro. The Heat are a MONEY-MAKING 14-6, 70% ATS on the season as an underdog. Take the points in a game I expect Miami to win OUTRIGHT! Good luck...Larry |
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03-30-22 | Hornets -1.5 v. Knicks | Top | 125-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
My 9* Weekly Wipeout is on the Cha Hornets at 7:40 ET. The Hornets went 33-39 last season but then got routed 144-117 by the Pacers in the 'play-in' round, missing the postseason for the FIFTH straight season. The No. 9 Hornets are currently 39-37 (a virtual lock for the 'play-in' round) but they would love to catch the No. 8 Nets, who are just ONE game better. The NY Knicks went 41-31 last season, ending a seven-year playoff drought. Expectations were high for 'The Garden' fans but despite having won NINE of their last 13 games, the Knicks are just 34-42, 4 1/2 games behind the Atlanta Hawks (38-37) in the race for 10th place in the Eastern Conference. The fact that prior to New York's recent 9-4 run it had lost SEVEN in a row makes the team's current surge looks like it has come too late to extend the season. SF Bridges (20.1 & 7.1), PG Ball (20.0-6.8-7.4) and fellow guard Rozier (19.5-4.3-4.4) are quite a trio. Haywards adds 16.1-4.6-3.6 but has been sidelined since Feb 7. Oubre (15.1 & 4.0) and Washington (10.2 & 5.3) also score in double digits, as does Harrell, who has averaged 11.8 & 5.4 in his 20 games since being acquired around the trade deadline. The Knicks have nowhere near the Hornets' depth, having been led by PF Randle (20.1-10.0-5.1) and SG Barrett (20.0 & 5.9) all season, supported by a revolving cast of characters. The Knicks really have nothing to play for, while the Hornets would really improve their playoff chances by catching the Nets for the No. 8 seed. Charlotte's just ONE game back and visits MSG having won its previous four road games. Hornets win "with room to spare!" Good luck...Larry |
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03-29-22 | St Bonaventure v. Xavier +1.5 | Top | 77-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* NIT Game of the Year is on Xavier at 7:00 ET. St Bonaventure entered the season as the defending Atlantic 10 regular season and tournament champions and were ranked No. 23 in the AP's preseason poll, the school's first ranking in the media poll since January 1971 (Can you say Bob Lanier?). Head coach Mark Schmidt had all five starters back and expectations were high in Olean, NY. The Bonnies were just 12-7 in early February but finished the regular season on an 8-1 run to finish 4th in the A-10 at 12-5 (20-8 overall). However, St Louis beat them 57-56 in their first A-10 tourney game. There was no NCAA berth for St Bonaventure this season but the Bonnies have earned their spot in this year's semifinals with three road wins at Power 5 opponents over a one-week span, beating Colorado, Oklahoma and Virginia. Xavier head coach Travis Steele was badly in need of a 20-win season entering the 2021-22 season. He took over from Chris Mack (23.9 wins per season with NINE straight Big Dance bands), who took over from Sean Miller (24 wins per season and NCAA bids in his last four seasons of his five-year stint). The Musketeers had won just 51 games (17 per) in Steele's first three seasons, without an NCAA bid. The Musketeers were feeling pretty good about the current season, as they were 14-3 (4-2 in Big East) through Jan 19. However, Xavier stumbled to a 4-9 finish and then lost its first Big East Tourney game 89-82 (OT) to Butler. Steele's team got an NIT bid and THREE home games, beating Cleveland St, Florida and Vanderbilt. St Bonaventure features a STRONG starting-five but little else. The 6-10 Osunnyi (11.3 & 7.7) is joined by four guards. Adaway (15.7 7 5.9) leads the way, followed by Holmes (13.4-5.0-3.6), Lofton (12.7-3.6-5.7) and Welch (11.9 & 6.0). Xavier is almost a 'mirror image' of St Bonaventure as its starting-five also features five double-digit scorers. The 7-0 Nunge (13.3 & 7.3) and the 6-9 Freemantle (10.3 & 5.7) are joined by a backcourt trio of Scruggs (11.7-4.2-4.1), Jones (11.2 & 7.4) and Johnson (10.4). However, Xavier also gets contributions from guards Kunkel (8.6) and Odom (6.0). Obviously, winning a NIT title pales in comparison to winning March Madness but it IS a "big deal" for these two schools. They are pretty similar but it's clear that St Bonaventure has had a more impressive run to get here, winning three ROAD games, while Xavier was HOME for its three wins. That said, maybe St Bonaventure is being asked to do too much. In the end, I like Xavier's TWO big men vs Osunnyi, plus Xavier throws SIX guards against St Bonaventure's four. Historical notes: This marks the first appearance for the Bonnies in the NIT semifinals since 1977, when they won the event. Xavier won the 1958 NIT title, beating St. Bonaventure in the semifinals and then Dayton in the championship game. Second verse, same as the first. Take the Musketeers. Good luck...Larry |
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03-28-22 | Coastal Carolina v. South Alabama -2 | Top | 69-68 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on South Alabama at 8:00 ET. Two SBC rivals meet tonight in The Basketball Classic from Mitchell Center in Mobile, Al. The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers finished 8-8 in league play this season and the South Alabama Jaguars finished 9-7 but both lost their first game in the SBC Tourney. Both teams have been given home games in TBC and each have advanced by winning those contests. However, while Coastal Carolina is 2-0 ATS, South Alabama is 0-2 ATS. Cliff Ellis is in his 48th season as a head coach and his 15th at Coastal Carolina. He's a solid trio in guards Cole 15.4) and Williams (14.4 & 4.2) plus 6-9 center Mostafa (13.3 & 9.6). Four more players combine to add about 27 PPG. South Alabama's top-two scorers on the season have been guards Manning (15,4-3.8-3.6) and Chandler (15.3) but Chandler hasn't played since late February and Manning, after scoring 10 points in USA's first win, scored just two points (in eight minutes) in its second. However, the 6-7 Franklin and guard Jones have come up HUGE in TBC. Franklin (12.0 & 7.7 on the season) has gone for 28 & 7 and 17 & 14 in the two wins. Jones was hurt early and didn't get back on the court until late January, but has played PG and scored 45 points with 13 assists in three tourney games (one in SBC and two in TBC). Also note that Franklin has solid help in the frontcourt with the 6-8 Goncalves (7.4 & 4.0), the 6-6 Smith (7.0 & 3.8) and the 6-6 Anderson (6.1 & 3.3) Coastal is playing with revenge (lost 71-68 at home on Feb 17 and has the veteran head coach but USA's Richie Riley went 54-39 in his first three seasons as South Alabama's head coach and now has his team at 21-11, including 15-2 at home (losses came against the SBC's top-two teams, Texas St and App St). Home court "wins the day" here, over "revenge!" Good luck...Larry |
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03-28-22 | Celtics v. Raptors UNDER 213 | Top | 112-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* Division (Atlantic) O/U Game of the Year is on Bos/Tor Under at 7:40 ET. The Boston Celtics visit the Toronto Raptors on Monday night in a key Eastern Conference contest. The Celtics entered last season having made the playoffs in 12 of the previous 13 seasons. Boston made the postseason again last year but after reaching the conference finals in THREE of the previous four seasons, Boston lost 4-1 in the first round to Brooklyn. Boston seemed like a non-factor this season at 25-25 through Jan 26 but the team has won 22 of its last 25! Look at the standings right now. Boston is tied with Miami (47-28) for the East's No. 1 seed. However, Milwaukee and Philadelphia lurk just one-half game behind. Toronto won 50-plus games over a five-year stretch prior to last season (won the NBA title in 2019), playing .693 basketball. However, the Raptors 'dropped like a rock' last season, finishing 27-45 (.375). Toronto is currently 42-32, giving them the East's No. 6 seed (final guaranteed playoff spot). Toronto is just ONE game behind the No. 5 seed (Chicago) but also just ONE game ahead of the No. 7 seed (Cleveland). It wasn't long ago that there were all sorts of rumors that Tatum and Brown were NOT getting along AND that they "not playing well with others' That chatter is 'Gone with the Wind,' as Tatum is averaging 27.1- 8.1-4.3 and Brown 23.4 & 6.1. Tatum scored 34 points and Brown had 31 points in Sunday's 134-112 home victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves. "I think the main thing that we've seen is consistency over the last few months," head coach Ime Udoka said. "A lot of areas that we've really targeted offensively -- sharing the ball, defensively coming out with that mindset. And then playing with a sense of urgency, getting off to better starts, and so consistency is what we've done. There's no reason to go back on that. We see the success it's brought us, and the unselfishness is contagious." The Raptors moved past the Cavaliers by one game in the Eastern Conference with their 131-91 home victory over the Indiana Pacers on Saturday. Pascal Siakam scored 23 points for the Raptors, while OG Anunoby (17.4 & 5.4) scored 16 points in his second game back after he was out for 15 with a broken finger. Three more Raptors are averaging more than 15 points. PG VanVleet (20.6-4.6-6.7), SG Trent (18.0) and rookie forward Barnes (15.4 & 5.4). The Celtics will be out to clinch the season series with the Raptors, after winning two of the first three games between the teams. Notable about those three contests is the fact that the final scores have averaged 198.7 points. Both teams are coming off HUGE offensive efforts, as Boston scored 134 points and Toronto 131 points in their most recent games. Lots on the line for each team in this game and in EVERY game through April 10. What's more, the Celtics could be short-handed for the game. Robert Williams left the game Sunday in the third quarter with a left knee sprain and did not return. Al Horford did not play Sunday for personal reasons. Brown and Tatum have been dealing with sore knees. For Toronto, Trent has sat out the last three contests with a left big toe hyperextension, Go UNDER! Good luck...Larry |
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03-28-22 | Nuggets -4 v. Hornets | Top | 113-109 | Push | 0 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on the Den Nuggets at 7:10 ET. The Denver Nuggets have made the postseason in each of the previous three seasons (147-80, .648) led by center Nikola Jokic and are currently 44-31, giving them the West's No. 6 seed (last of the guaranteed playoff spots). Denver is 1 1/2-games clear of Minnesota (the No. 7 seed) and goal No. 1 these last seven games is to AVOID the 'play-in' round. Denver also has hopes of "moving up," as the Nuggets are just ONE game behind Utah (No. 5 seed) and two behind Dallas (No. 4 seed). The Hornets went 33-39 last season but then got routed 144-117 by the Pacers in the 'play-in' round, missing the postseason for the FIFTH straight season. The No. 8 Hornets are currently 39-36 ( a near-lock for the 'play-in' round) but they would love to somehow get into the East's top-six. However, they are currently 3 1/2-games behind the No. 6 seed (Toronto) and have just SEVEN games remaining. Charlotte's prospects for the No. 6 seed look bleak.
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03-27-22 | 76ers +5.5 v. Suns | Top | 104-114 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Phi 76ers at 6:10 ET. The Eastern Conference has had a logjam at the top all season and entering Sunday, the 46-27 Philadelphia 76ers are percentage points ahead of the 47-28 Miami Heat (.630-to-.627). Just a half-game back are Boston and Milwaukee (both are 46-28). The 7ers will conclude a three-game road trip having already beaten both LA teams, with a Sunday game in Phoenix against the league best Suns (60-14). The Suns were 48-10 at the break but had lost PG Chris Paul to a thumb injury. Some wondered how the Suns would do without Paul, but Phoenix responded by going 11-4 without their All-Star PG and got him back in Thursday's 140-130 win in Denver. Much ado about nothing! The Suns have already clinched the West's (and the league's) best record.
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03-27-22 | St. Peter's v. North Carolina -8 | Top | 49-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* Elite 8 Game of the Year is on North Carolina at 5:05 ET. Head coach Shaheen Holloway was just 42-45 in his first three seasons at St Peter's but his team's NCAA run has made him a shooting star in the coaching ranks. His counterpart, Hubert Davis, took over at North Carolina (an NCAA blueblood) for the retiring Roy Wiliams and after a modest start (by Carolina standards), has his alma mater ONE win away from a Final 4 appearance.
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03-27-22 | Miami-FL v. Kansas -5.5 | Top | 50-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
My 9* Situational Stunner is on Kansas at 2:20 ET. Jim Larranaga entered this season having led the Hurricanes to six, 20-win seasons in his 10 years, to all three of the school's 25-win seasons and to two of the school's three Sweet 16 appearances. By the way, I could also throw in him leading unheralded George Mason to a Final 4 appearance back in 2006. The 'Canes were awful last season (10-17 / 4-15 in the ACC), but this year's team contended for the ACC title during the regular season, before losing in the ACC semifinals to top-seeded Duke. Now, the 10th-seeded Miami Hurricanes are taking on Kansas (No.1 seed in the Midwest), looking to continue a historic run that has vaulted the program to its first-ever Elite Eight appearance. Bill Self's Jayhawks began the current season ranked No. 3, tied Baylor for the regular season title but then won the Big 12 tourney to enter the Big Dance as one of four No. 1 seeds. Ho-hum!
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03-26-22 | Arkansas v. Duke -3.5 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
My 9* Situational Stunner is on Duke at 8:49 ET. Eric Musselman is in his third season at Fayetteville, after four OUTSTANDING seasons at Nevada. He won the CBI title in his first season, then went to three straight NCAA tourneys (4-year record of 110-34!) with the Wolf Pack. He was 20-12 in his first season at Arkansas, then went 25-7 last season (Elite 8 appearance). His Razorbacks (No. 4 in the West) just took down the No. 1 overall seed of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday (beat Gonzaga 74-68) and 28-8 Arkansas is in the Elite Eight for the second straight season. Another upset will elevate the Hogs to their first Final Four since 1995. Standing in the way is 31-6 Duke (No. 2 seed), which advanced with a 78-73 win over third-seeded Texas Tech to send Mike Krzyzewski to the Elite Eight for the 17th time. The victory was the 100th in NCAA Tournament competition for Krzyzewski, and a win over Arkansas would send Coach K to his 13th Final Four in his 42 seasons at Duke. Arkansas is led by a trio of guards, all scoring in double digits. The group includes Notae (18.5-4.6-3.7), Umude (11.8 & 4.7) and Toney (10.7 & 5.3). The 6-10 Williams adds 10.7 & 9.8 and is really the lone frontcourt player of note. Guards Davis (8.3) and Lykes (7.8) round out what has basically been a six-man rotation. Notae's line vs Gonzaga was 21-6-6, while Williams (15 & 12) and Umude (15 & 7) both played well. However, the game's 'MVP' was the Arkansas defense (remember "40 Minutes of Hell?"), as Gonzaga was held to 68 points on 37.5% shooting (Gonzaga entered leading the nation in scoring at 87.8 PPG). Duke has relied on three freshmen this season, the 6-10 Paolo Banchero (17.2 & 7.8), guard Keels (11.3 & 3.6) and the 6-6 Griffin (10.3 & 3.9). That trio has started along with 7-0 sophomore center Williams (11.3 & 7.4) and junior SF Moore (13.5 -5.3-4.5). Guard Roach (8.5) has come off the bench. I'm not sure why (haven't read anything), but Keels did not start and played just 14 scoreless minutes. Duke's five starters all scored in double digits against Texas Tech. Roach took over for Keels and had a line of 15-4-5. Banchero led with 22 points, Williams had 16 & 8, Moore had 12 points and Griffin 11 & 7. Duke shot 71% from the floor in the second half and made its final EIGHT shots. It's Musselman's turn to end the coaching career of Duke legend Mike Krzyzewski but Duke has won 12 of 14 and looks as if it is ready to send Coach K back to his 13th Final Four. I'm laying the points and going against Arkansas off its upset on the top-seeded Bulldogs. Good luck...Larry |
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03-26-22 | Bulls v. Cavs | Top | 98-94 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* Division (Central) Cane of the Year is on the Cle Cavs at 8:10 ET. The Chicago Bulls opened the current season off a 31-41 year, the team's fourth straight losing one (collective 102-199 record.). The Bulls will spend Saturday night in Cleveland to take on the Cavs, their Central Division rivals. Cleveland entered this season having gone 60-159 (.274) the previous three seasons, after LBJ 'flew the coop' for the second time. However, both the Bulls and Cavs have had turnaround seasons, although BOTH have struggled lately. The 42-31 Bulls are one game better than the 41-32 Cavs (Raptors are also 41-32), as the three teams 'battle for the East's No. 5 and No. 6 seeds. The "odd team out" will drop to the No. 7 seed and into the 'play-in' round. The Bulls 'limp in' having lost 10 of 13, including the first two of what will be a five-game road trip (more in a bit). DeRozan (27.6-5.3-5.0) is having a career year for the Bulls and has an excellent scoring partner in LaVine (24.8-4.7-4.8). Center Vucevic (18.0 & 11.3) was 'rescued' from Orlando last season, and he's delivered. PG Ball (13.0-5.4-5.1) is expected back at the end of the month but White (13.3) and rookie Dosunmu (8.5) have done a nice job, plus it's also good news that Caruso (8.1) returned March 12, after missing more than a month. The Cavs have lost 11 of 17 games but more notable was Cleveland losing All-Star center Jarrett Allen (16.1 & 10.8) to a broken finger in a March 6 meeting with Toronto. Head coach JB Bickerstaff feels that the Cavaliers have enough big men with Evan Mobley (15.1 & 8.3), Lauri Markkanen (14.5 & 5.6) and Kevin Love (13.6 & 7.3) to overcome Allen's loss but I'm NOT so sure. PG Garland (21.4 & 8.6 APG) has been terrific but LeVert (acquired from Indiana in a trade) missed almost an entire month before returning in March. He's averaging 17.3 PPG on the season but just 12.2 points in 10 games with Cleveland. One last thing on Garland, he is averaging 25.7 points and 12.0 assists in March and has recorded double-doubles in nine of his last 11 games. I believe the Cavs MISS Allen more than their head coach is willing to admit but that said, the Cavs have shown excellent depth. Adding to the roster mentioned above, you can throw in SFs Osman (10.8) and Okoro (9.2). Most importantly for this particular game, the Cavs (23-13 at home) face a Chicago team that has lost EIGHT of its last nine road games, with the lone win coming at Detroit (Piston are 20-54, tied with the Magic for the worst record in the East). At this number, a win equals a cover and that makes the Cavs a STRONG play! Good luck...Larry |
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03-26-22 | Houston v. Villanova +2.5 | Top | 44-50 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* Weekend Wipeout is on Villanova at 6:09 ET. Kelvin Sampson had a great run at Oklahoma (11 NCAA berths in 12 seasons but at Indiana, ran into recruiting issues and lasted just two seasons. No one really expected him to get another major job, but he resurfaced at Houston for the 2014-15 season. His first team went 13-19 but it's been nothing but 20-win seasons since. 32-5 Houston (No. 5 seed) moved into the Elite Eight with an impressive 72-60 win over top-seeded Arizona on Thursday, as the Cougars never trailed and pulled away late. The Cougars are ONE win away from their second straight Final Four berth. 29-7 Villanova (a No. 2 seed) fought past No. 11 seed Michigan 63-55 on Thursday to reach the Elite Eight for the third time in the past six tournaments, and the fifth time in 21 seasons under coach Jay Wright. The Wildcats won national championships in 2016 and 2018. This may be Sampson's best-ever coaching job. Starting guard Mark (10.1) was lost just seven games into the season and then Houston's best player, Sasser (17.7), saw his season end in late December, after just 12 games. However, here the Cougars are. They are down to basically their starting-five, but ALL average in double digits. Edwards (14.1 & 6.9) leads a trio of guards that includes Moore (10.3 & 4.7) and Shead (10.1 & 5.9 APG). Up front, it's the 6-8 White (12.8 & 5.7) and the 6-11 Carlton (11.8 & 6.3). The Cougars never trailed against Arizona and pulled away late. Jamal Shead poured in 21 points and Kyler Edwards added 19. A concern may be that White and just 4 & 5. However, it was the Houston defense that was the difference. Arizona was averaging 84.7 PPG on 49.5% shooting but was held to 60 points on 33.3% shooting, including 7 of 22 on threes! Villanova was ranked 4th in the AP's preseason poll but was an early season disappointment but the key to Villanova's late-season success started with a record-breaking early season 57-36 loss at Baylor on Dec 12. It set a mark for the fewest points scored in Wright's 21-year tenure as coach of the Wildcats. 'Nova lost by 20 points in their next game (at Creighton) and stood just 7-4. However, the Wildcats will take the court tonight having won 22 of their last 25 games, after knocking off Michigan. 'Nova goes no more than six-deep. PG Gillespie (15.9-3.8-3.3) and fellow guard Moore (15.0 & 4.9) start in the backcourt, while it's the 6-7 Samuels (11.0 & 6.4), the 6-8 Dixon (9.2 & 6.4) and the 6-7 Slater (8.4 & 3.6) up front. The Wildcats do have a very good 6th-man (and part-time starter) in Daniels (10.2 & 3.7). Samuels led Villanova with 22 points against Michigan, while Moore added 15 points and Gillespie 12. Samuels also drew the defensive assignment on Michigan star center Hunter Dickinson and while Dickinson had 15 points and 15 rebound, he made just 6 of 16 shots. Wright's Villanova team knows more than a little about defense too, holding Michigan to 55 points on 34.4% shooting. I have nothing but admiration and praise for Sampson and his Houston team but since losing 71-169 at UConn in Feb 22, Villanova has won EIGHT in row. In its SIX Big East and NCAA tourney games, the Wildcats have held its opponents to just 58.2 PPG. Villanova is back in the Elite Eight for the third time in the last six seasons. The other two appearances? They won the title. Not sure why Houston is favored in this one, as I see the Wildcats pulling away to win comfortably. Good luck...Larry |
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03-25-22 | Iowa State v. Miami-FL OVER 132.5 | Top | 56-70 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* Sweet 16 Total of the Year is on Iowa St/Miami OVER at 9:59 ET. Four double-digit seeds made it to the Sweet 16 this year. Michigan (No. 11) lost last night to Villanova and it's hard to see St Peter's (No. 15) beating 29-7 Purdue (No. 3) tonight. However, we KNOW that at least one double-digit team will advance to the Elite 8 because the 10th-seeded Miami Hurricanes (25-10) and the 11th-seeded Iowa State Cyclones (22-12) meet Friday night in the Midwest regional semifinal at Chicago's United Center. Who'da thunk it! Miami came into the season off an 'ugly 10-17 year (4-15 in the ACC), while Iowa St was 2-22 (0-18 in the Big 12) during the 2020-21 season! Miami coughed up a late lead in its first-round game against seventh-seeded USC before winning 68-66 and then two days later, the Hurricanes trounced No. 2 seed Auburn 79-61. Iowa State began with a tournament-opening upset of No. 6 seed LSU (59-54) and then essentially had a road assignment Sunday in facing Wisconsin in Milwaukee. However, the Cyclones emerged with another impressive win, beating the third-seeded Badgers 54-49. Jim Larranaga entered this season having led the Hurricanes to six, 20-win seasons in his 10 years, to all three of the school's 25-win seasons and to two of the school's three Sweet 16 appearances. By the way, I could also throw in him leading unheralded George Mason to a Final 4 appearance back in 2006. The 'Canes were awful last season (see above) but this year's team contended for the ACC title during the regular season, before losing in the ACC semifinals to top-seeded Duke. Miami is led by the guard trio of McGusty (17.5 & 4.9), Wong (15.5 & 4.3) and Moore (12.8 & 4.6 APG). Miller is a fourth guard and adds 10.1 & 6.0. Miami's lone big man of note is the 6-10 Waardenburg (8.4 & 4.2), although the 6-9 Walker contributes 5.11 & 2.4 in just 14 MPG. T.J. Otzelberger came from UNLV to take over at Iowa St and the Cyclones opened 12-0 and were ranked No. 8 thru Dec 21. The team couldn't keep up that pace but then came the two back-to-back tourney wins. A trio of guards lead the way for Iowa St, starting with standout Izaiah Brockington, who leads the team in scoring (17.21 and rebounding (6.8). He's joined on the perimeter by PG Hunter (10.9 & 4.9 APG) and Kalscheur (9.5). The team's frontcourt rotation is led by the 6-8 Kunc (6.1 & 3.9) and the 6-9 Conditt (4.9 & 3.5). Guard Grill (6.5) is the first player off the bench and each one of the just mentioned players have participated in all of Iowa St's 34 games this season. With Iowa St winning its first two games by scores of 59-54 and 54-49, it would be easy to say, "go under!" However, as Lee Corso loves to say, "Not so Fast!" Miami just scored 79 points in beating Auburn (despite making only 3 of 15 on threes) by using their quickness and experience. Both teams own excellent (and deep) backcourts and I expect BOTH teams to surpass 70 points in tonight's contest. This one is Goin' over! Good luck...Larry |
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03-25-22 | North Carolina v. UCLA -2 | Top | 73-66 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* Sweet 16 Game of the Year is on UCLA at 9:39 ET. North Carolina and UCLA were supposed to meet last December in Las Vegas, but the game was canceled when UCLA had a COVID-19 outbreak. Instead, the college basketball blue bloods will meet in a 'makeup' game Friday night in Philadelphia after the East Region's other game between Purdue and St Peter's. 26-9 North Carolina is a No. 8 seed and 27-7 UCLA a No. 4 seed. Roy Williams retired after last season and Hubert Davis stepped into his shoes. The Tar Heels were ranked No. 19 in the preseason but spent much of the year outside of the top-25. However, an 11-2 run to close the regular season (including an upset of Duke in Mike Krzyzewski's last home game before retirement) allowed North Carolina to sneak into the top-25 right before the ACC tourney. However, a loss to Va Tech in its second game, saw the Tar Heels drop out of the final AP poll. UCLA made that great run to the Final 4 last season and opened No. 2 in the AP poll. It's hard to say the Bruins underachieved this season but they ended the season 11th in the final AP poll and with no better than a No. 4 seed. We don't often see North Carolina as a No. 8 seed but one could argue that the Tar Heels are a MUCH better team than that right now. North Carolina has an excellent frontcourt duo in the 6-10 Bacot (16.4 & 12.5) and 6-9 Oklahoma transfer Manek (15.1 & 5.8). It was a trio, but 6-11 Marquette transfer Garcia (9.0 & 5.5) left the team in mid-January and has not returned. Sophomore guard Love (15.3-3.4-3.7) teams with freshman Davis (13.5-3.9-3.7) in the backcourt, with Black (5.0 & 4.3) as the only other North Carolina player averaging as much as 5 PPG. UCLA is led by a 'Core 4' of guards. Juzang (15.7 & 4.8) leads the way, followed by Jaquez (14.0 & 5.7) and Bernard (12.7 & 4.7). All three are 6-7 and 5-11 PG Campbell (11.8 & 4.2 APG) runs the show. Centers Riley (7.4 & 3.9) and Johnson (3.6 & 5.4) have been serviceable plus the 6-5 Clark (6.9 & 4.8) has played well after getting a late start due to nagging injuries and health issues. Guard Singleton also chips in 4.8 PPG. A closer look reveals that UCLA is the MUCH deeper team but Jaquez, UCLA's second-leading scorer and one of the Bruins' most indispensable players, suffered an apparent ankle injury in the second half of the Bruins' 72-56 romp over Saint Mary's last Saturday night. UCLA coach Mick Cronin said regarding Jaquez, "He's had so many sprained ankles, I don't know how much he can sprain it anymore." He added, "I'll tell you if anyone can deal with it, it's him. He's the epitome of physical and mental toughness." Jaquez is Cronin's kind of player, a paragon of grit and toughness, which has defined Cronin's coaching career. Cronin led Cincinnati to the Big Dance in his final NINE seasons with the school, before coming to UCLA. His first team went 19-12 (no postseason due to COVID) but then came last year's Final Four run and now this year's team is two wins away from back-to-back Final 4 appearances. In the end, I want Cronin over Davis (first-ever season as a head coach), especially with North Carolina coming off its upset of Baylor. The "Price is sure Right" on UCLA! Good luck...Larry |
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03-25-22 | Warriors v. Hawks -2.5 | Top | 110-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Atl Hawks at 7:40 ET.
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03-24-22 | Texas Tech v. Duke | Top | 73-78 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout is on Texas Tech at 9:39 ET. When Chris Beard left Texas Tech to take the Texas job, his assistant (Mark Adams) elected to stay in Lubbock as the Red Raiders' head coach. It's safe to say that Texas Tech AND coach Adams are more than just a little pleased with how things have turned out. Texas Tech didn't miss a beat this season and at 25-9, earned a No. 3 seed in the West Region. The Red Raiders routed Montana State and rallied to beat Notre Dame (Tech ended the game on a 10-1 run!) to reach the Sweet 16. Waiting for the now 27-9 Red Raiders will be the region's No. 2 seed, Duke. The 30-6 Blue Devils are in the Sweet 16 for the 28th time as a program, after defeating Cal State Fullerton and Michigan State.
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03-24-22 | Cavs v. Raptors -3.5 | Top | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
My 38-Club Play is on the Tor Raptors at 7:40 ET. The Cleveland Cavaliers entered this season having gone 60-159 (.274) the previous three seasons, after LBJ 'flew the coop' for the second time. However, the Cavs have been one of the league's biggest surprises and at 41-31, are trying to hang onto the sixth spot in the Eastern Conference playoff race. The Toronto Raptors entered last season having made SEVEN straight postseasons (won NBA title in 2019) but finished the season just 27-45. Toronto was a .500 team (23-23) through Jan 29 but then ripped off EIGHT consecutive wins. A 3-7 stretch followed but Toronto had won SIX of seven prior to losing 113-99 at Chicago on Monday. The Raptors welcome the Cavs to Toronto just ONE game behind Cleveland and just two games behind Chicago (Bulls own the No. 5 seed but have lost NINE of their last 12). Cleveland lost All-Star center Jarrett Allen (16.1 & 10.8) to a broken finger in a March 6 meeting with Toronto. Head coach JB Bickerstaff feels that the Cavaliers have enough big men with Evan Mobley (15.2 & 8.3), Lauri Markkanen (14.4 & 5.6) and Kevin Love (13.6 & 7.3) to overcome Allen's loss but I'm NOT so sure. PG Garland (21.2 & 8.6 APG) has been terrific but LeVert (acquired from Indiana in a trade) missed almost an entire month before returning in March. He's averaging 17.6 PPG on the season but just 12.3 points in nine games with Cleveland. Toronto SF Anunoby (17.5 & 5.5) remains out with a fractured finger and Gary Trent (18.0) missed Toronto's game on Monday with a toe issue and is questionable here. Monday's starting lineup consisted of PF Siakam (22.0-8.3-5.1) and PG VanVleet (21.0-4.6-6.8) plus rookie Barnes (15.4 & 7.7), the 6-8 Achiuwa (8.8 & 6.9) and center Birch (4.7 & 4.5). Achiuwa had delivered SEVEN straight games in double digits (14.1), before scoring just six points in Monday's loss at Chicago. Then there is the 6-9 Boucher (9.2 & 6.1), who has contributed consistently all season. Getting to the bottom line, the Cavs MISS Allen more than their head coach is willing to admit and come into this contest having lost 10 of 16, including going 1-6 on the road in that stretch. The Cavs have beaten the Raptors in the first three meeting this season but winning a FOURTH straight is 'A Bridge Too Far!' Good luck...Larry |
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03-24-22 | Michigan v. Villanova -5 | Top | 55-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
My 9* Situational Stunner is on Villanova at 7:29 ET. Michigan was the No. 6 team in the AP's preseason poll coming off a 23-5 year in which Michigan made it to the Elite. Villanova opened the year as the AP's 4th-ranked team, after going 18-7 with a loss in last year's Sweet 16. Tonight's South Regional opens with No. 11 Michigan (19-14) taking on No. 2 Villanova (28-7). Michigan beat No. 6 Wyoming 75-63 in the first round and then upset No. 3 Tennessee 76-68. Villanova beat Delaware (No. 15) 80-60 and then No. 7 Ohio State 71-61.
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03-23-22 | Washington State +3.5 v. BYU | Top | 77-58 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* NIT Showdown (Cougars vs Cougars) is on Washington at 9:00 ET. One team of Cougars will be headed to NYC's Madison Square Garden for its version off a 'Final Four,' after tonight's NIT quarterfinal game (in Provo, Utah) between 21-14 Washington State and 24-10 BYU. Kyle Smith won the CIT championship and finished 25-10 in his final season at Columbia. That led to a three-year stint at San Francisco, where his teams went 63-40. He left for Washington St but his first two years were disappointing (16-16 and 14-13). However, the Cougars finished 11-9 in the Pac 12 this season and after back-to-wins in the NIT (more in a bit), are one win away from a trip to MSG. Mark Pope is also in just his third season at BYU but entered this season having delivered a 44-15 two-year record. BYU was 17-4 through Jan 22 but after a loss to San Francisco in the WCC tourney, finished on a 5-6 run its final 11 games. However, after two DOMINATING home wins in the NIT (more in a bit), this group of Cougars is ONE win away from visiting the Big Apple. Wash St has a nice guard rotation in Flowers (14.1), Roberts (11.3), Williams (9.7) and Bamba (7.9). Up front, it's the 6-10 Abogidi (8.1 & 5.7) and the 6-11 Gueye (7.6 & 5.2). BYU owns a very good guard duo in Barcello (16.9-3.8-3.3) and Lucas (10.6 & 4.8 APG) plus a frontcourt that features the 6-6 Traore (9.3 & 8.5), the 6-6 George (8.9 & 5.1) and the 6-8 Lohner (6.9 & 6.2). BYU is a terrific offensive team and in its two NIT wins (both at home), scored 93 and 90 points, while shooting 53.7% from the floor. In contrast, Wash St won at home vs Santa Clara (held the Broncos to 50 points!) and then won 75-63 at SMU, which entered the game a perfect 16-0 at home on the season. BYU gets a THIRD straight game at home (has to be considered an advantage) but doesn't the old axiom go, "Defense wins championships?" Wash St has allowed an average of just 56.5 PPG on 33.9% shooting in its first two NIT wins. I'm taking the points. Good luck...Larry |
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03-23-22 | Suns v. Wolves +2 | Top | 125-116 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
My 9* PERFECT STORM is on the Min T-wolves at 9:10 ET. The 58-14 Phoenix Suns have a chance to secure the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference when they visit the 42-31 Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday night in Minneapolis. Phoenix can clinch the top spot in the conference if it beats Minnesota and the Memphis Grizzlies lose to the Brooklyn Nets. The Suns entered the All-Star break at 48-10 but had just lost Chris Paul for six-to-eight weeks. There was 'talk' that just maybe, the Suns couldn't hold on the West's best record. So much for that. The Suns are 10-4 since the break and will take a five-game winning streak into tonight's contest. However, a visit to Minnesota will be no picnic, as the T-wolves are 42-21 and looking to make just the team's SECOND playoff appearance since 2004. Minnesota is just ONE game behind Denver (No. 6) and will be striving to avoid the play-in round. SG Booker (25.9-5.1-4.9) and center Ayton (17.0 & 10.4) are the team leaders with Paul sidelined plus SF Bridges (14.1 & 4.3) has started all 72 games. The Suns depth matches that of any team in the league. Minnesota revolves around its "Big 3" of center Towns (24.9 & 9.8), swingman Edwards (21.1-4.7-3.7) and PG Russell (18.5 & 7.1 APG). Guard Beasley (12.2) joins that trio in double digits plus head coach Chris Finch owns a 'deep' bench, as well. Here's the rub. The Suns will clinch the West's best record tonight or sometime this week (no urgency here). However, the T-wolves really want that No. 6 seed. Consider this. The T-wolves lost 134-124 back on Jan 28 at the Suns, dropping them to 24-25. However, they have gone 18-6 since, including winning 10 of their last 12. I'm "all over" Minnesota in this one. Good luck...Larry |
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03-23-22 | Nets -2.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 120-132 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
My 10* NBA Game of the Week is on the Brk Nets at 7:40 ET. The Nets traveled to Minnesota back on Jan 23 to face the Timberwolves with a 29-16 record. At the time, the Nets sat atop the East with a 29-16 record, with Chicago and Miami just a half-game back. Incredibly, the top-six East seeds are separated by just THREE games on that date! However, the Nets would lose their next 11 games, before ending the slide with a Feb 14 win over Sacramento. That said, the win over the Kings was part of a 3-6 run. Now, no matter who is available, Kevin Durant is doing everything he can to lift the Brooklyn Nets out of a play-in spot in the Eastern Conference (more in a bit). The Memphis Grizzlies opened the season 9-10 but now have the West's (and the league's) second-best record at 49-23. That said, the Grizzlies trail the Suns by NINE games (own a two-game lead over the now Curry-less Warriors). The Nets are 6-1 following a 3-17 skid from Jan 23-Mar 6, with the only loss in their last seven games being last Wednesday's two-point setback to the visiting Dallas Mavericks when the Nets blew a 14-point lead! Durant is averaging 30.8-6.6-7.3 on 55.1 percent shooting (41.5% on three) in nine games since his return from a sprained medial collateral ligament in his left knee (he had missed 21 games!). In Monday's 114-108 home win over the Jazz, Durant scored 15 of his 37 points in the third quarter. It marked the first time Durant scored at least 35 points in consecutive games this season and it was his fifth 30-point game since returning. Durant played with his FIFTH different starting lineup since returning March 3 and Brooklyn's 40th overall. More details would take 'forever,' but Durant should have Kyrie Irving (27.7-4.7-5.3) back, given it's a road game. Memphis announced late Tuesday that Ja Morant (27.6-5.7-6.7) would not play against the Nets due to right knee soreness. It will be the second consecutive game Morant has missed. However, Memphis is surprisingly 14-2 without him. The Grizzlies are on the verge of their first 50-win season since 2014-15 and Memphis has scored at least 100 points in 23 straight games. After ending a four-game road trip with a 122-98 rout of the Houston Rockets on Sunday, the Grizzlies have won 14 of 189 and remain the NBA's top ATS team at 46-26. Memphis is seeking its SIXTH straight win over the Nets since Jan 4, 2019, including its Grizzlies 118-104 win in Brooklyn back Jan 3 (Morant scored 36 points). Knowing all of the above, the Nets opened as the small favorite. At first blush that seems wrong, but KD is in "beast mode" and Kyrie joins him, while Morant stays of the court. The Nets need to make up THREE games on the Cavs to have a chance to stay out of the play in round and have just 10 games remaining. I'm backing the nets. Good luck...Larry |
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03-22-22 | Southern Utah +4.5 v. UTEP | Top | 82-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* CBB Game of the Week is on Southern Utah 9:00 ET. The 22-11 Southern Utah Thunderbirds and the 20-13 UTEP Miners meet Tuesday in The Basketball Classic from the Don Haskins Center in El Paso. Todd Simon is in his sixth season (1st was 2016-17) with the Thunderbirds and he has now put together back-to-back 20-win seasons, after going 20-4 last year (the school we just 6-27 in that 2016-17 season). Jeff Golding led the Abilene Christain Wildcats into the Big Dance in both 2019 and 2021 (upset Texas in the first round) but decided to take the job at UTEP. The Miners were just 12-12 last year, so 20 wins (and counting) has made for a solid start for Golding's return to his alma mater.
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03-22-22 | Hawks -1.5 v. Knicks | Top | 117-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker's Error is on the Atl Hawks at 7:40 ET. The Atlanta Hawks and NY Knicks each went 41-31 last season (Knicks ended a seven0year playoff drought) and met in the first round of the playoffs. Atlanta won that series 4-1 and made it all the way to the Eastern Conference final, before falling to the eventual NBA champion Bucks. Expectations were high for both teams back in October but with the current season nearing its close (April 10th is the final day of the regular season), both have disappointed their respective fans. The Knicks have gotten the better of the Hawks in both encounters in Atlanta, as well as in a game on Christmas Day at MSG, but it sure looks as if only the Hawks will be playing past April 10th this season. Good luck...Larry |
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03-22-22 | St Bonaventure +3.5 v. Virginia | Top | 52-51 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
My 9* NIT Showdown is on St Bonaventure at 7:00 ET. St. Bonaventure was ranked 23rd in the AP's preseason poll, coming off an NCAA appearance and a 16-5 record. Virginia snuck in as the AP's No. 25 in that poll, coming off an 18-7 season after a first-round NCAA loss to 13th-seed Ohio U. Both schools have underachieved during the regular season but will have a chance to salvage their 2021-22 campaigns, as the winner of tonight's game will head "off to MSG" for the NIT's version of its 'Final Four!' St Bonaventure is 22-9 and visits 21-13 Virginia in Charlottesville, Va.
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03-21-22 | Wolves v. Mavs -3.5 | Top | 108-110 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
My 9* PERFECT STORM is on the Dal Mavericks at 8:40 ET. The Minnesota Timberwolves were only 24-25 through Jan 28 but have gone 18-5 since, including 10-1 over their last 11 games, after a 138-119 home win over Milwaukee on Saturday. The surge has lifted Minnesota to 42-30 and into a tie with Denver for the West's No. 6 seed. The Mavericks have been battling Denver for months over the West's No. 5 and No. 6 seeds, and now have to worry about the Timberwolves as well. Dallas is back home off a five-game road trip in which the Mavs won the first three, before losing the final two. That said, the Mavs had won 14 of 17 prior to their recent back-to-back losses.
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03-21-22 | Ohio -1.5 v. Abilene Christian | Top | 86-91 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* CBI Game of the Year is on Ohio U at ET. The Abilene Christian Wildcats and the Ohio Bobcats meet Monday in second round CBI Tournament action from Ocean Center in Daytona, Fl. Ohio (25-9) won its first-round game 65-64 over Rice on Saturday, while Abilene Christian (24-10) won its first-round game 82-70 over Troy. The Bobcats are coached by Jeff Boals (in his third season at Ohio), while Abilene Christian's Brette Tanner is in his first season. Jeff Golding led the Wildcats into the Big Dance in both 2019 and 2021 (upset Texas in the first round) and decided to take the job at UTEP. Tanner, the school's associate head coach (started at the program in 2013), replaced him. The Bobcats played in last year's Big Dance as well and also delivered an upset of its own, beating 4th-seeded Virginia 62-58. Ohio guard Preston (15.7-7.3-7.3) left for the NBA (1st Ohio player picked in the draft since Brandon Hunter in 2003) but PG Sears (19.1-6.0-4.1) has stepped up big time. He's joined by fellow guards Brown and Schmock, who combine to chip in 13.4 PPG. The Ohio U frontcourt features the 6-8 Carter (14.1 & 6.9), the 6-8 Vander Plas (14.1 & 6.6) and SF Roderick (6.8 & 3.1). Sears came to the rescue against Rice, making the game-winning layup with just FOUR seconds left. He led the way with 26 points, while Carter added 26 & 12 and Vander Plas 13 & 6. The Wildcats feature a trio of double-digit scorers in SF Simmons (11.8 & 5.5) plus guards Mason (11.8) and Moore (10.9). FIVE more players average between 5.8 and 8.8 PPG, led by the 6-8 Steele (8.8 & 3.9). Mason had a team-high 19 points in the win over Troy, while Steele came up big off the bench with 18 & 7. Ohio 'limped' into the CBI on a 1-4 slide but Saturday's last-second win should be a momentum builder. Matchup wise, the Bobcats own a strong edge in the frontcourt with the 6-8 Carter and the 6-8 Vander Plas plus Sears will be the best guard on the floor in tonight's game. Ohio also owns a slight scheduling edge, having played Saturday, while Abilene Christian played Sunday. Bobcats roll! Good luck...Larry |
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03-21-22 | Heat v. 76ers OVER 215 | Top | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* O/U Game of the Week is on Mia/Phil Over at 7:40 ET. The top of the Eastern Conference has been tightly contested all season and Monday night the 47-24 Miami Heat will be searching for their third consecutive victory when they visit the 43-27 Philadelphia 76ers. Miami is three games up on Milwaukee, plus 3 1/2-games ahead of the 76ers and Celtics. The Heat defeated the Oklahoma City Thunder 120-108 on Friday, giving them THREE straight wins. More notably, the Heat have won 15 of 19 to take over as the East's current No. 1 seed. The 76ers lost 93-88 at home last night to the Raptors (after giving up an early 16-point advantage) and could really use a "W' in this one.
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03-20-22 | Texas +3.5 v. Purdue | Top | 71-81 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* NCAA 2nd Round Game of the Year is on Texas at 8:40 ET. Both Texas and Purdue were upset last year in the first round. The Longhorns, as a No. 3 seed, lost 53-52 to 14th-seeded Abilene Christian. As for the Boilermakers (a No. 4 seed), they lost to 13 seeded North Texas. Texas (22-11) topped Virginia Tech 81-73 for its first NCAA Tournament win since 2014 on Friday, while Purdue (28-7) defeated Yale 78-56. With those first-round hurdles safely in the rearview mirror, No. 3 Purdue and No. 6 Texas will meet Sunday in a second-round game in the East Region at Milwaukee. Chris Beard left Lubbock (Texas Tech) and its beloved fan base last April to take over the Texas program for the current season, replacing Shaka Smart. Texas was ranked No. 5 in the preseason but it was far from smooth sailing in the brutal Big 12. The Longhorns opened 12-2 but entered the Big Dance having lost five of their past eight games, including THREE in a row. Texas was hoping for HUGE seasons from transfers Allen (6-6 forward who averaged 17.2 & 6.4 at Utah) and Carr (Minnesota PG averaged 19-4.4.0-4.9). However, both players failed to live up to expectations. Allen has averaged 12.4 & 6.5 and Carr 11.0 & 3.3 APG. Guards Jones (11.1) and Ramey (9.5 & 3.5) are solid contributors, but the 6-9 Mitchell (8.7 & 4.0) has been out since Feb 15, leaving the 6-7 Bishop (6.9 & 5.5) to be Allen's best 'helper' up front. The Longhorns had all FIVE starters score in double digits in the win over Va Tech, led by Andrew Jones' 21 points (Carr had 15 and Allen 14 & 6). Matt Painter is in his 17th season at Purdue and it's been one of his best. 7-4 sophomore Edey (14.6 & 7.8) teams with 6-10 senior Williams (11.6 & 7.4), the 6-6 Gillis (6.4 & 4.7) and 6-10 freshman Furst (4.1 & 3.3 ) up front. The perimeter is led by Ivey (17.6 & 4.9) and Stefanovic (10.5), while Hunter (6.3) and Newman (4.8) add depth. Ivey had 22 points and Zach Edey added 16 & 9, as Purdue built a 13-point halftime lead over Yale. The Boilermakers then took control with a 15-0 run in the second half, pushing the lead to 63-39. Texas was No. 5 in the preseason poll and Purdue was No. 7. The Boilermakers have had the better season but Chris Beard was brought to Texas to end the Longhorns' poor recent past in the Big Dance. I noted Friday's win was Texas' first since 2014 but will add that Texas also lost in the first round in 2015, 2016 and 2018. Texas just may be ready to 'make some noise' here in 2022. Va Tech was 'Step 1,' and now Purdue is 'Step 2!' Good luck...Larry |
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03-20-22 | Raptors +6 v. 76ers | Top | 93-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Tor Raptors at 8:40 ET. The Toronto Raptors returned home Friday after winning all five games on their road trip. That surge had moved them to 39-30 and into a tie with the Cleveland Cavaliers for the East's No. 6 seed. However, the Raptors lost 128-123 in overtime Friday night to the dysfunctional Los Angeles Lakers, after LA tied the game in the final second of regulation on Russell Westbrook's three-point shot (one of the few he's made this season). More bad news came Toronto's way in that Cleveland beat Denver in OT on Friday and last night, beat Detroit. The Cavs are now 41-30. moving 1 1/2-games ahead of the Raptors. Toronto is back on the road tonight at Philadelphia, which beat Dallas 111-101 on Friday. Philadelphia is 43-26 and in a virtual tie with 44-27 Milwaukee, with both teams trailing the East's No. 1 seed (Miami) by three games. Note, the red-hot Celtics have closed to within a game of both the 76ers and the Bucks.
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