I love Illinois here in this spot.  I'm not overreacting to week 0 win over Wyoming but they dominated the game.  QB transfer from Cuse in Devito could be what makes Illinois really completive this year and maybe pull an upset or two.  Illinois did win 5 game last season and are improved on both sides of the ball especially offense as I mentioned with the QB upgrade.  I truly believe Indiana is by far the worst team in the Big 10 and they have hardly any starters back from either side of the ball.  Wrong team is favored I expect this line to change 

I love the Cyclones here this weekend.  All summer long oddsmakers had this game at 7 and now based on 1 game they are dropping this line by 3!  Iowa St is better on both sides of the ball and plus they have the better QB here in Purdy.  Also Iowa was pretty lucky last week as they had two pick sixes in the first half.  Petras their QB hasn't improved a lick and I think in a hostile environment he folds.  

I love Bama here in this matchup.  All I have heard all week is LSU this and that.  This is the best LSU team in the last decade and Burrough is the front runner for Heisman, Bama hasn't played anyone.  Everyone and I mean everyone is all over LSU here.  When that happens it makes me love the favorite even more.  Bama has Tua back and I think he is at full strength.  This Bama team will be out to prove something and I think all this talk has motivated them even more.  Bama rolls here

I really like TCU you in this game.  Baylor in my opinion is very overrated as they are coming in with an 8-0 record.  They have had a very favorable schedule here so far and were very lucky @ Oklahoma St.  TCU will be looking forward to ruining their perfect season.  TCU has the weapons here and you know this will also be a sharp vs square side

I really love Michigan here this week.  The perception is still down on Michigan that they can't win a big game with Harbaugh as their coach.  I believe this game is the perfect storm here simply because Notre Dame is extremely overrated.  Last time we saw Notre Dame they struggled big time against a poor USC team.  I saw enough last week at Michigan isn't as bad as what the media thinks which definetly reflects what the public thinks.  Michigan wins this game fairly easily 

I love Oklahoma St here in this game.  This is a rally the team type of game with them coming off the bye week.  They entered the bye week with a sour taste in their mouths dropping a game @ Texas Tech.  Baylor is now ranked and 6-0, but they have survived two close games beating Iowa St in the final seconds and Texas Tech last week in double OT.  Both of those lucky games were at home and now this is finally a tough travel spot for Baylor here.  I actually think this line will go up so grab this number now. 

This seems to be a huge overreaction based on last weeks results.  Baylor was a home dog to Iowa St and won outright, but blew a 20-0 lead in that game in the 4th quarter.  They were also +2 in turnovers and couldn't put them away.  Now they are saying if this game was played @ Baylor they would be a full TD dog.  I'm not buying that considering Kansas St was less than that last week at  a better Oklahoma St team.  Kansas St should at least be -3.5 here in this game.  They won't come out slow this week.

I love Michigan here in this game this weekend.  People are simple overreacting here because they looked awful against Wisconsin.  The game of the year line here was Michigan -14.5 and now after 4 games it has been adjusted this much?  I think this is a rally the troops type of game for Big Blue and they put the hurt down.  I'm also not sold on Iowa, this team was extremely lucky to have won the game @ Iowa St and failed to cover in the process.  Michigan will be ready and I think that defense will rattle Stanley the QB who is vastly overrated IMO.  Michigan covers this short number in a must win game fairly easily

Really like the Aggies here in this game.  I also think the betting public will be all over Auburn here.  The reason they will be is because they remember the week 1 gross come back win and cover over Oregon in a game they were completely outplayed.  The Aggies have a great home field advantage here in the 12th man and also this is will freshman QB Nix first true road game.  Texas AM for sure has this game circled with two losses to this Auburn team.  Aggies have the defense here and I think they cover this one fairly easily 

I am just really surprised here by this crazy line movement.  First, the Game Of The Year lines had Iowa St -3 or -4 and the Cyclones played one game, I repeat one game this season and the line has flipped a full touchdown which is crazy and clearly a big time overreaction.  Also Iowa St dropped from the rankings while Iowa is 2-0 and have covered both games and coming off a shutout.  I'm not impressed by Iowa honestly and the best QB on the field is Purdy for Iowa St.  The Cyclones will be hungry here to end this little Iowa streak.  Iowa actually has some question marks with injuries on defense.  This will be the Hawkeyes first true test and I don't think they win and the wrong team is favored.

I think this line is pretty short here all things considered.  UCLA was a 2.5-3 point dog @ Cincy a very well respected non power 5 team which means they would have been a 3 point favorite at home over them.  Well based on that performance we are seeing IMO another overreaction in the line here.  SDSU is only 4 point difference?  UCLA had a lot of bad momentum swings in that Cincy and 2 turnovers were simply because the QB dropped the ball.  I think they take care of business here and blow out this SDSU team who struggled with Weber St last week winning 6-0

Grabbed this one and really like Ohio St.  First, Washington hasn't live up to expectations this year and the PAC 12 was really a down conference this season.  The main factor here though is all motivation.  Ohio St will want to win this one for Meyer as he is stepping down after this game.  I think Ohio St gets on them early never lets up.

This game means more to one team here and that is the Aggies.  I say that because under first year head coach Jimbo Fisher he wants to have a big signature win and he knows what this game does for a fan base.  LSU I dont trust in this tough environment facing a good Aggies defense.  

For those who do follow me on twitter, I have talked about this Cal team for the season and I think they are a play on.  Cal returns 10 starters on offense and 7 on defense.  This team improved a ton on the 1st season head coach in Justin Wilcox.

They finished 5-7 last year but had a loss in OT and back to back 3 point losses both on the road to Stanford and UCLA.  I think we see them take a huge leap forward and I wouldn't be surprised if they won 8 games.

North Carolina could end up being the worst team in the Coastal Division of the ACC.  This team won just 3 games last year and only have 12 starters back.  2 of their wins were against non Division 1 teams.  I see them struggling against a vastly improved team in Cal

This Oregon team would have been a legit top 20 team this year if their QB Herbert was healthy for a full season.  He came and to no surprise they score 48 and 69 to finish off the season.  This team is just different when he is running the show. Boise played one of the easiest schedules you could have asked for this season.  This team simply isn't built for a big come from behind.  

Love Georgia here getting revenge from earlier this season.  Auburn has now beat both Georgia and Bama and are now getting prices like that.  Both those games were at home though

Now Georgia is catching 3 because of that when they were 2.5 point favorites the first time around.  The line has been adjusted by 9-10 points and that is way too many. 

Georgia wins this game out right on a neutral field

I love the Bruins here showing a lot of heart last week actually out playing their rival in USC last week.  Both teams in fact are coming off their rivals with Cal coming off Stanford.  UCLA still has plenty of motivation trying to make a bowl game and I think they will respond having a new coach on the sidelines.  UCLA is a perfect 5-0 at home and believe they can handle Cal who has been pretty poor on the road. 

Really like the Badgers here against Michigan.  Wisconsin simply doesn't get much love because of their style of play.  All they have done so far is just dominate teams and it's because of their #1 overall ranked defense.  Michigan does have a good defense as well but the two quality teams they have played in Michigan St and Penn St both were losses.  I do love the spot for Wisconsin as they will want to earn style points with the committee and Michigan as the biggest look ahead you could ask for with Ohio St on deck

I'm going to roll with the Cyclones here.  I faded them last week at West Virginia coming off their huge upset win over TCU and that worked out.  I will back them as I think Oklahoma St will be deflated here coming off an emotional loss against their rival Oklahoma.  Iowa St by far has the better defense here and with them catching 7 here suggest that Oklahoma St is equal to TCU but that clearly isn't the case.  I think people fall in love with high octane offenses.  I also think the fact that Iowa St is playing the underdog role this season and still have a legit shot at the Big 12 title game gives them all the motivation.

Was really surprised by this number as I think Arizona St bounces back here in a big way after playing terrible against USC last week.  Colorado really doesn't pose a threat here and are getting a lot of respect after blowing out Cal last week who is the 2nd worse team in the PAC 12.  This Colorado team destroyed ASU last year and I really like the revenge angle here as well.  The Buffs only two conference wins have came against the 2 worst teams in the conference this number shouldn't be an issue for the Sun Devils

Love Oklahoma St here in this rivalry match up against the Sooners.  Oklahoma is getting a lot of respect here in my opinion since they did go on the road and win @ Ohio St, but that was early in the year.  Oklahoma defense is very very shaky giving up 8.0 yards per attempt while Oklahoma St averages over 10.0 yards per pass attempt.  I know this series has been OU recently I also think that is played into the line.  Oklahoma St also has the better defense that ranks 35th and OU pass defense ranks 87th.  The Cowboys get revenge here

I know the line has gone against us here, but I cant believe Tennessee is taking any kind of money.  After last week against Bama I think all their motivation is gone here.  They didn't score an offensive touchdown at all.  We all know Butch Jones will be fired at the end of the season if not before.  Kentucky will have the motivation here as they can become bowl eligible here with a win and I think this is a spot to back them.  

Just love Purude here this week as they come into this game dropping back to back road games.  Now, last week they lost to Rutgers but that was very misleading as Purdue out gained them by over 200 yards.  I think a large part of last week was because they were looking ahead to this game vs Nebraska.  

The Cornhuskers are done for period.  This team couldnt manage to get up for home games vs Wisconsin and Ohio St, I don't care if they are off their bye they have no interest here.  Purdue is eager here to make a bowl game and they need this one in order to do so.

Really like Michigan St here as I don't think Vegas is pricing them right.  I was lucky last week to cover with Minnesota as Sparty went to their house and dominated.  So it was a little misleading there and Indiana was misleading as well as they came back to take it to OT vs Michigan.  were 7 point dogs to them on their home field and now 7 on the road to a team that won @ Michgian?  Vegas is still pricing Michigan better than Michigan St.  I think Indiana is deflated here as last week and Michigan St controls this game start to finish 

Really love Tennessee here this week coming off their bye week and this is gut check time.  They were just embarrassed at home last time out vs Georgia.  Now, Jones job is on the line he knows it and I think we see a big response here

I just think this South Carolina team is very overrated especially now coming off a blowout win over Arkansas who appears to have thrown it in for the season.  That was a misleading score as South Carolina scored 21 from their defense. This is a South Carolina team that trailed 16-0 at home vs La Tech and came back to win by 1. 

I realize many have gave up on Tennessee as they haven't looked great so far.  However, I do love this spot/situation for them here and let's not forget they did beat Georgia Tech and that is their only loss of the season.  With Alabama on deck Jones can't afford a loss here 

Really like the Wolfpack here to make a statement on the big stage tonight.  Yes, this team has been a disappointing in terms of covering games, but they shouldn't be a dog here as this should be a PK.  I really question how good or bad this Louisville team is as they have played a bunch of cup cakes so far outside of Clemson.  The only other power 5 team was Purdue and they struggled against them.  NC ST has a very good defense here and I think they can keep Jackson in check.  I expect this line to drop throughout the day here take all the points you can grab now 

I think we are getting a huge discount here on the Aggies that have just found their stride after beating Arkansas in OT last week.

I'm not high on this South Carolina team at all as they were extremely lucky last to beat Louisiana Tech as they are down 13-0 going into the 4th.  They have been extremely fortunate beating NC St earlier this season despite being out gained by 258 yards.  They were also out gained by a terrible Missouri team.  They then lost to Kentucky at home. Now they have lost their best play maker in Deebo Samuel. 

Texas Am is a team yes, that hasn't looked very impressive but still have won 3 straight and could easily be 4-0 if it wasn't for that crazy come back from UCLA in week 1.  They have now found a new QB in Fond who threw for over 200 and ran for over 100 last week vs Arkansas.   

I'm gonna go ahead and grab this one early do my write up for it.  There isn't a more deflating loss than what the Hawkeyes suffered over the weekend.  They had Penn St on the ropes as it came down to the final play of the game and Penn St needed a TD.  This Penn St team is for real.  They actually dominated the game out gaining Iowa by over 300 total yards it was a very misleading final score.  Sparty was on the hand of a bad beat here and misleading they actually out gained Notre Dame by 149 yards and lost by 10.  Figure that one out.  The main difference here was because of the turnovers as Sparty had 3 and ND had 0.  I think Michigan St bounces back here as the Hawkeyes struggle to recover from that game 

Love Stanford here in this spot.  So they are playing their first home game of the season against a rival in UCLA and coming off back to back losses.  I dont believe motivation will be a problem here.  Stanford losing to SDSU last week isn't a big deal to me as simply turnovers cost them and they are also in a sandwich spot coming off of USC and having UCLA on deck here.  UCLA barely beat Texas Am week 1 and it looks like they are a bottom 5 team in the SEC.  Their defense ranks 123rd in the country and there are major problems here.  They give up 6.2 yards per play while Stanford average 7.5 yards per run.  I think the Bruins defense get worn out as Stanford can have some big long drives by controlling the ball.  

I had Miss St last week as my game of the week and that cashed easily with a huge win over LSU.  Now they seem to be getting a lot of credit and I consider Georgia the 2nd best team in the SEC.  Georgia backup Jake Fromm went into a very tough place one of the hardest in college football in Notre Dame and came away with the win.  Maybe Miss St is the real deal and I do like Fitzgerald their QB, but I will need to see how they handle a big win before I can back them again in another tough SEC game. 

I will back the Bulldogs here as I feel this line is just a huge over reaction based on team name alone in LSU.  They have played absolutely no one in their first two game and neither has Miss St but that shouldn't make LSU a TD road favorite in a very hostile environment here.  The Bulldogs granted haven't played anyone extremely tough but scoring 57 and 49 is taking care of business.  Both defenses have been rock solid so far and I just really like what I have seen from Nick Fitzgerald at QB.  I expect this line to drop throughout the week

This total has simply been bet up way to high here for this match up.  Yes both of these teams like to score but with what has gone on with Missouri this week firing their defensive coordinator and I think they sure things up.  Purdue IMO right now is over achieving big time and their first true road test will be eye opening.  Both of these teams like to get up and down the field but also this is just being over hyped as most think they don't have great defenses.    

Talk about one of the most experienced teams in the country returning 16 starters.  What I really like is that they have everyone back on both lines expect one guy!  They NC St team should have beat Clemson last year losing in OT, only lost to Florida St by 4.  Finley is more than a capable QB now that he is an upperclassmen.  

I simply don't trust South Carolina for the fact I don't trust their overrated head coach in Will Muschamp.  Sure he does return a lot but this team beat absolutely no one last season.  Their offense was 2nd worst in the SEC.  The value lies with the Wolfpack because this game is being played on a neutral field here.  I expect sharp some to drive this up

I know it's hard to go against Bama as they have proven they are capable of blowing about any team out.  This Clemson team IMO is the only team I believe is capable of up beating them.  We all know about Watson the stud QB for the Tigers.  He has revenge on his mind from last year and wont scared of the moment.  Bama has a freshman QB and now a big question mark with Kiffin leaving.  Replacing an OC is an extremely hard thing to do especially given the shortness of time and take into count the magnitude of this game.  That's a big red flag for me here.  Clemson has the 2nd best defense behind Bama.  I honestly wouldn't be surprised to see Clemson come out on top here

I love the Trojans here in this spot against Penn St as I think this will be a blow out from the get go.  It really reminds me a lot of the Iowa Stanford game from last year.  Penn St won the Big 10 and now are getting nearly a TD? It shows you what Vegas actually thinks of this team.  USC is one of the hottest teams in all of college football and they by far have a lot more talent.  Sam Darnold will expose this secondary in a big way lay the points

I was really surprised when this bowl line opened up a full TD.  This match up alone will sure as motivation for Florida St here.  Michigan is getting a lot of respect because of the season they had and how close they were to beating Ohio St.  Talent wise I actually think FSU has the better talent and they are playing in their home state as well.  Dalvin Cook will be a RB Michigan hasn't seen all year.  I really expect this line to drop closing to game time so grab the points now 

I was all over this line early when I heard the new of Gopher players being suspended.  It is clear that Minnesota doesn't have an interest in this game and are missing starters on the defensive side against a pass happy team.  Also Minnesota has never seen a tempo like this and I expect a route to say the least from the get go here

I love the Huskies here tonight as they have a ton to play for considering they are in the 4th pot for the playoffs.  This team is 4th in country right now in scoring and have key play makers on the defensive side of the ball in fact 5 that rank inside the top 100 for NFL draft which is very impressive.  Colorado is still getting a lot of respect because they are 10-2 and 10-2 ATS this yar, but they don't want a shoot out here.  Washington has the better QB in Jake Browning who I feel is a top 5 college QB, they also have the better coach in Chris Petersen who is no stranger to big games.  I love the Huskies to make a statement win with the whole country finally getting a chance to watch them!

Even though this is a rivalry I see Florida laying a complete egg here.  They are coming off a big upset over LSU which locked up the SEC East for them.  Let's face it that is the game they care about with Alabama coming up for the SEC Title.  Also the Gators are battling all sorts of injuries right now and may even choose to rest some key guys for the bigger game as I have mentioned.  Florida St isn't getting a lot of credit but they are rolling on both sides of the ball right now.  Gators are going to have a difficult time putting points on the board