20* Play on Oklahoma (-9).

20* Play on Auburn (-7).

20* Play on Cleveland (+1).

20* Play on Michigan (-11).

20* Play on Oakland (+3.5).

20* Play on Philadelphia (+2).

20* Play on Dallas (-5).

20* Play on Jacksonville (-4).

20* Play on Houston (+3).

20* Play on Mississippi (+28.5).

20* Play on Mississippi State (+8).

20* Play on Florida State (-7).

20* Play on Kansas City (-3).

20* Play on Indianapolis (+1.5).

20* Play on Pittsburgh (-7).

20* Play on Oklahoma (-27.5).

20* Play on Michigan (-10.5).

20* Play on West Virginia (-22).

20* Play on Washington (+2.5).

20* Play on Miami (+3.5).

20* Play on Jacksonville (+1).

20* Play on Arizona (-6.5).

20* Play on Pittsburgh (-7).

20* Play on USC (-15.5).

20* Play on Denver (-3).

25* Play on Alabama (-7)We backed Clemson last year in the National Championship Game to close out the year but we love backing Alabama early. While we are down on the SEC overall this season, the Crimson Tide are undoubtedly one of the best teams in the country and they always show up early. In the last five years, Alabama has started off their year with neutral field wins against Michigan (41-14), Virginia Tech (35-10), West Virginia (33-23), Wisconsin (35-17), and most recently USC (52-6). All of those wins came by double digits and they went 4-1 ATS in those contests. Bama only has six offensive starters returning and five on defense, however, the Crimson Tide simply reload on the defensive end of the field (no concern there) and they return key pieces from last year's offense including QB Jalen Hurts. Not too much bad to say about Florida State and we do expect them to be a top-ten team by year's end, but this is a bad spot for their first game of the season and believe the key match that favors Bama is FSU's offensive line. Don't believe they'll win that battle against a dominant Alabama defense, and when FSU falls behind that o-line is really going to be in trouble when the Seminoles become a primarily passing team. Alabama keeps their season-opening double-digit winning streak alive with an easy cover! 25* CFB "Clash of the Titans" Play on Alabama.

20* Play on Texas (-18.5). Can't think of a better choice than Tom Herman to turn around the Longhorns program. The new coach of the Longhorns was instrumental to Ohio State's offensive success, then immediately made an impact as the head coach of Houston. You may recall the Cougars upset a pair of #3 ranked teams last season - beating both Oklahoma and Louisville outright as double-digit underdogs. Herman will have this squad ready to go on day one and use this lopsided matchup to make a statement. After a pair of losing 5-7 seasons (with no bowl appearances), confidence has finally returned to Austin. Charlie Strong did not leave the cupboard bare with his departure, and we expect Texas to exceed expectations. Maryland has been a disaster since joining the Big Ten Conference, and are now relegated as the team that will beat Rutgers to close the season and then try to find a team in a bad scheduling spot to pull an upset. They didn't play a signature non-conference game last year, but the year before they were blown out by West Virginia by 39 points. No chance of Texas looking past this game to start the Herman era and with a non-threatening San Jose State team on deck. Texas dominates this one from beginning to end! 20* CFB "High Noon Showdown" Play on Texas.

20* Play on Washington (-27). Huskies took some heat last year for playing an extremely weak non-conference schedule, and this year's non-conference slate isn't much better with Rutgers, Montana, and Fresno State (they also miss USC this year). What Washington did, however, was win 12 games and reach the College Football Playoffs. Chris Peterson began last year with a 48-13 home win against this Rutgers team (as 25-point favorites) - covering that big number by halftime and then cruising to the blowout win. This year they are an even bigger favorite despite playing on the road, and we don't blame the linesmakers for the adjustment as Rutgers really doesn't have much of a home field advantage. The Scarlet Knights 37.5 points per game last year, and that number jumps to 40.8 against Power Five opponents. Rutgers suffered four shutout losses last season and against a Washington defense that gave up just 17.7 ppg in an offensive-heavy conference, the Knights will have a tough time matching the 13 points they scored last year. Huskies have their eye on another trip to the CFP Playoffs, and with their weak schedule they will need to win by large margins to state their case. That begins this Friday with a blowout win! 20* Play on Washington.

20* Play on Oklahoma State (-17.5). No hesitation laying the points with Oklahoma State to open the season and we fully expect the Cowboys to cover this line with ease. Oklahoma State returns seven starters on offense including their dynamic Rudolph to Washington and by season's end the Cowboys should rate as one of the top offenses in the country. Oklahoma State showed no mercy in a 61-7 season-opening rout against SE Louisiana last season, but then suffered their infamous three-point "loss" against Central Michigan. That defeat will serve as a wake-up call to not overlook early overmatched non-conference foes, and with a game against South Alabama on deck there is no reason for the Cowboys to lose focus here. Tulsa is a solid team that won ten games last year, but they have a tendency to "give up" against their tough non-conference foes. Hurricane was blown out 48-3 last year at Ohio State and has allowed 48, 52, 52, and 51 points the last four years versus their signature Power 5 non-conference opponents. Sooners take this one in a blowout! 20* CFB "Thursday Night Thunder" Play on Oklahoma State.

20* Play on Pittsburgh (+6). We've been riding out the Steelers red hot run in the second half of the season (and the playoffs), including last week's outright win against Kansas City and we're not about to jump off their bandwagon now. Not sure if Pittsburgh will be able to pull the outright upset again this Sunday on the road at New England, but we give them a fighting chance to win this game and a very good chance of staying well within this generous number. Pats won in Pittsburgh by a comfortable 11-point margin in the lone in-season meeting between these teams, however, that came during the Steelers lone bad stretch. In fact, prior to that game, the Steelers had lost by 15 points at Miami - the same Dolphins team that Pittsburgh just beat by 18 points two weeks ago in the Wild Card round. Steelers offense is now being run properly with a heavy dose of the running game and passing out of play-action. Pats defense hasn't really been tested since their loss against the Seahawks, and with Pittsburgh being able to throw to their running back as Seattle did in that game, we believe Pittsburgh's offense will do just fine here - even being the visitor. Tom Brady and company will admittedly do some damage as well, but the loss of receiving weapons throughout the season should finally show it's worth against a worthy opponent in a playoff setting. We look for this game to come down to the wire with the Steelers having the chance of pulling the outright upset! 20* NFL "Watch Party" Play on Pittsburgh.

20* Play on Pittsburgh (+1.5). We've been on the Steelers bandwagon all season long and we're not about to jump off now. Pittsburgh is a very small underdog on the road this Sunday night (game was moved to a later start because of an ice storm hitting the area this weekend), and we expect them to win this game by a comfortable margin. We really do like this KC team this season, but the Steelers are the one team in the AFC that give them the most matchup problems. That was clearly evident in their early-season matchup - a game the Steelers won 43-14 and won every major statistical category we care about. Of course, those stats are a bit misleading as the Chiefs were taken out of their preferred game plan early, and finished that game with 50 pass attempts - their most this season. While underrated as a team, Kansas City's defense is actually overrated and they have had trouble stopping the run - allowing 100+ yards rushing in six of their last seven games overall. Pittsburgh has allowed just two teams to reach triple digits in rushing in their last eight games, and one of those came the final week against Cleveland when the Steelers rested starters and didn't care about the outcome. KC's passing game is much better than last year, but still only "average" this season when compared to the rest of the league and are nowhere close to the level of talent of Pittsburgh's passing attack. With Bell once again carrying the workload (and we expect much more use of him in the passing game than last week), Pittsburgh takes an early lead and holds on for the outright win. Not a blowout like last time, but still a comfortable margin of victory by the visitor! 20* AFC Game of the Month Play on Pittsburgh.

25* Play on Dallas (-5). Not sure the linesmakers understand how important Jordy Nelson is to this Packers team - especially on an offense that has all but given up on their running game and now relies solely on the pass. With Nelson, Green Bay would have had a hard time upsetting the Cowboys on the road, and without him we look for the Packers to lose big. Green Bay's late season resurgence was the combination of stellar play from Aaron Rogers and favorable on-field matchups. Packers have committed just one turnover total in their seven game winning streak which is remarkable considering defenses knew they were going to see a ton of passing. Dallas is much better equipped to deal with this type of offense, and the loss of Nelson means the other GB receivers (while still very talented) will have to adjust their roles. As good as Green Bay's offense has been, their defense remains a huge liability and have given up big yardage against teams not exactly knows for their aerial prowess. Cowboys running game hasn't been stopped yet this season and they put up nearly 200 yards on Green Bay the first time they met this season (Dallas won 30-16 on the road). Don't believe Packers will be able to slow the Cowboys running game down again this Sunday, and that will only lead to easier throws as the game progresses. Too many question marks for Green Bay's passing game now and with no running game to help, this one should end in a blowout! 25* NFL Playoffs Game of the Year Play on Dallas.

25* Play on Clemson (+7). We were very impressed with Clemson's dismantling of Ohio State last weekend, and while we were under the impression we would be taking the winner of the Fiesta Bowl against Alabama in this Championship Game, the way the Tigers played against the Buckeyes combined with the amount of points Alabama is laying here really makes us like this play. Crimson Tide once again refused to throw the ball in obvious passing downs and let their defense win the game for them - a formula that has worked very well against a weak SEC Conference and an unworthy Washington opponent, but that formula will not work against this Clemson team. We have absolutely no faith in Alabama's passing game and while that obvious flaw has been masked all season long, it will finally come to fruition here. Clemson will be the best passing team Alabama will have faced this season by a wide margin, and that is how you have to attack this Alabama defense. Clemson will also be able to stack the box and make Alabama throw the ball - something they really haven't faced all year outside of the LSU matchup (and the Tide only scored 10 points in that game). Tide players have been reading the news stories proclaiming them as one of the best teams in College Football history. We don't buy that argument at all and strongly believe Clemson not only covers this generous number, but wins this game outright! 25* CFB Bowl Game of the Year Play on Clemson.

25* Play on Pittsburgh (-10.5). Linesmakers have set a trap having Pittsburgh as a double-digit favorite, as the books are begging for action on the big underdog. We're not biting, and we'll back the Steelers at home to win by a huge blowout margin and cover this spread with ease. Steelers have won seven games in a row to close the year, and while we don't put much stock into their regular season finale (an overtime win vs. Cleveland) when they rested starters, their overall approach to the second half of the regular season presents a number of matchup problems for the Dolphins this Sunday. Steelers held five of their last six foes (again, not counting the Cleveland game) to under 100 yards rushing while Miami's offense was held to under 100 yards rushing in six of their last seven games. Assuming those rushing trends hold (and we believe they will), that puts all the pressure on Miami's backup QB Matt Moore to carry the offense. On the other side of the ball, Pittsburgh's offense finally went back to their strength - which is a dominant rushing game with Bell and then throwing off of play-action. Miami hasn't done a great job defending the pass, but they are even worse at stopping run allowing 100+ yards in seven straight games. Everything points to a Pittsburgh blowout on Sunday and we'll lay the points expecting a blowout win and cover! 25* NFL "King's Ransom" Play on Pittsburgh.

20* Play on Oakland (+4). Odd matchup to open the postseason as Oakland will send Connor Cook out as quarterback making his first career start, while Houston is forced to go back to Brock Osweiler behind center after benching him for poor performance a few weeks back. The combination of the Raiders starting their third-string QB and Oakland being the visitor has Houston listed as the favorite despite the Texans finishing the regular season with three fewer victories than Oakland, as well as a losing 3-4 record overall down the stretch. We like this price with Oakland and believe they have a great chance at winning this game outright. Cook played at Michigan State and led an NFL-style offense there, plus his arm is very good and we believe the linesmakers aren't giving him enough credit here. In fact, the linesmakers have been undervaluing the Raiders all season long, as Oakland has notched four outright wins in the underdog role - all of them on the road. Including their win and cover against this Houston team in Mexico, the Raiders are 7-2 against the spread away from home this season. Texans defense is good statistically, but if they plan on stacking the box and forcing Cook to beat them through the air then we think Houston will be in for a surprise. Texans scored just 17 ppg on the season - three points per game fewer than they allowed - and can't be counted on to come up with a big day offensively now that they start Osweiler who they basically showed they have no confidence in. Cook shines in his debut as Oakland wins this game outright! 20* NFL "Watch Party" Play on Oakland.

20* Play on Oklahoma (-2). Sooners have to be regretting their non-conference schedule. If they had scheduled weak non-conference foes - like Washington did - the Sooners would be almost certainly undefeated and one of the four teams included in the College Football Playoffs. Early losses against Houston and Ohio State had them out of contention before conference play began, but to their credit, they regrouped and ran the table in the Big 12, entering bowl season as one of the most underrated teams in the country. We love the Sooners in this matchup against an average Auburn team and believe Oklahoma will steamroll the Tigers en route to a blowout win and cover. Sooners one glaring weakness is their secondary, but Auburn's rush-heavy and one-dimensional offense isn't built to take advantage. On the other side of the ball, Oklahoma is very balanced in their run-to-pass play calling, and we look for them to have success both on the ground and through the air here noting Auburn's defense was thoroughly outplayed against the better teams they faced this year. Sooners jump out to an early lead and never look back as they take this one by double-digits! 20* New Year's Day Special Play on Oklahoma.

20* Play on Wisconsin (-8). Fantastic job by Western Michigan this season, keeping a perfect record and earning a New Year's Day bowl bid. Unfortunately, their prize is a horrible on-field matchup against an underrated Wisconsin team, and we look for their dream season to come to a crashing halt Monday afternoon. Broncos literally ran through the MAC unscathed thanks to their powerful run game and aggressive defense, piling up 237 yards per game on the ground while forcing at least two turnovers on nine separate occasions. But they face an opponent in Wisconsin who is built to take on this type of game style. Badgers haven't allowed anyone to reach 200 yards rushing, and they faced some of the best rushing teams in the country (Penn State, Michigan, Ohio State, and LSU). Wisconsin is also very good at holding on to the ball, and in their last five games combined they have just two turnovers. Badgers rush-heavy offense should have a huge game, facing a Broncos defense that allowed 4.7 yards per rush against a schedule that doesn't match up with Wisconsin's. Western Michigan forced teams to throw the ball when playing from behind, but here we expect them to have to deal with a powerful rushing attack all game long. Nothing for WMU to feel bad about - they did great getting here, but they are simply outmatched in this game. 20* CFB New Year's Day "Early Equation" Play on Wisconsin.

25* Play on Ohio State (-2). Never a good a idea to go against OSU head coach Urban Meyer in a bowl game, and with a little extra incentive with Clemson beating the Buckeyes a few years ago in the last meeting we look for the Buckeyes to win this game in a blowout. Buckeyes did look a little shaky down the stretch and some have questioned their inclusion to this playoffs, but over the course of the season they have proved worthy of their high ranking with three victories against teams currently ranked in the top 8, including a dominating effort on the road against an Oklahoma squad that ran the table in the Big 12. Clemson also deserves to be here, although they have taken a small step back from last year's team and have looked very bad defensively against every good offense they faced this season. Clemson's offensive stats are balanced, however they "run off the pass" and we're not sure they'll excel against this underrated Ohio State secondary. No worries for us about Ohio State scoring, as we note the only thing that slows down their offense is bad weather - something they won't have to worry about here. Much tougher schedule for Ohio State from top to bottom and we give an edge to the favorite on both sides of the ball. OSU average more points offensively, allowed fewer points defensively, and showed up to play in big games better than Clemson did this year - and we look for the Buckeyes to silence their critics with a double-digit win and cover Saturday night! 25* CFB "Black Reign" Play on Ohio State.

20* Play on Louisville (+3). The linesmakers job is to set a line where the book can get equal action on both sides of the game - not necessarily what they believe the outcome of the game should be. In this context, it's not at all surprising that LSU is listed as the favorite here against Louisville, even with stud RB Leonard Fournette choosing to sit out and avoid injury prior to the NFL draft. After all, the mainstream sports networks have been talking about how great the SEC Conference is all season long, and in particular about how LSU is way better than their record shows. We've seen most of LSU's games this season, and that just isn't the case. Tigers are one-dimensional on offense with virtually no credible passing threat and while they are very good at stopping the run, they are susceptible in their secondary. Simply put, this is a decent team, but not a "good" team, and they need to play an opponent that matches up with their style of play in order to have a chance to win. Louisville doesn't fit that mode, and we look for the Cardinals to win this one by a surprising margin. Louisville's defense is built to stop the run, and on offense their passing game is set up for a huge statistical afternoon. Horrible on-field matchup for the favorite and the public perception is giving us tremendous line value here. 20* CFB Underdog of the Month Play on Louisville.

20* Play on Oklahoma State (+2.5). Colorado was exposed in their blowout loss against Washington - a team we are still not sold on - and while their overall 10-3 straight up record is quite good, a closer look at their schedule reveals they really haven't beaten an elite team all season long. Their best win in the eyes of the linesmakers came early in the season against an Oregon team that was later exposed as a fraud, and their next best win was a 10-5 snooze fest against a down Stanford squad. Oklahoma State's early "loss" against Central Michigan had this team out of contention pretty early, and while they ran the table in the Big 12 after the early Baylor loss all the way up until the Oklahoma game, the Cowboys were never on anyone's radar. We think Oklahoma State is the better team in this matchup, and we'll gladly take the points looking for the Cowboys to take this one outright. Colorado is good at stopping the run and is built for success in the Pac 12, but against a pass-happy Oklahoma State team the Buffs will need to score point here, too, and we're not convinced they can keep up. Colorado can and will move the ball on the ground here, but when they need to throw the ball they will get in trouble. Cowboys score points quick, and after a disappointing game to finish conference play, the hangover carries over as Oklahoma State takes this one outright! 20* CFB Bowl "Watch Party" Play on Oklahoma State.

20* Play on South Florida (-10). South Carolina comes into this game as one of the most undeserving bowl teams we can remember in recent history. Gamecocks have been terrible all season long - and that comes in a year the SEC was way down from previous years. Linesmakers are begging for action on the underdog having the Power Conference team as a double-digit underdog, but we're not biting and we look for South Florida to run through this South Carolina squad en route to a blowout victory and easy ATS cover. Love the matchup of South Florida's powerful rushing attack that put up big yardage on everybody - including quality opponents like Florida State and Navy - and now faces a Gamecocks defense that was crushed on the ground all season long. South Carolina's stats are heavily skewed thanks to more than a few very easy foes, but when they faced good teams they were crushed (lost by double-digits five times this year) and they missed most of the good teams in the SEC this season. Complete mismatch on the field and South Florida puts the exclamation point on a miserable Gamecocks season this afternoon! 20* CFB Bowl "Early Equation" Play on South Florida.

20* Play on Kansas City (-3.5). We backed the Chiefs the first time these teams met up, with Kansas City scoring an outright win as a three-point road underdog. KC didn't look good last week as they lost outright at home against a suspect Tennessee club, but that just means they are due for a nice bounce-back effort Sunday night. In fact, prior to their first Denver clash, the Chiefs lost outright at home against Tampa Bay by the identical 19-17 final score they suffered last week vs. the Titans! Chiefs had not been able to crack the Broncos when Denver had Peyton Manning at the helm, but with Denver struggling on offense KC is taking advantage. Broncos offense is mired in a bad slump scoring just 13 points combined in their last two games, and that lack of offensive production has started turmoil in the locker room. This is not the defense Denver wants to face in order to turn things around and build momentum, and while we have much respect for Denver's defense, we don't have any faith in their offense at this point - especially on the road. Chiefs won the first matchup on the road and they win by an even bigger margin tonight! 20* NFL Christmas Special Play on Kansas City.

20* Play on Oakland (-3.5). Colts are coming off their best game of the season by a mile - a stunning 34-6 upset on the road (as a five-point underdog) at Minnesota. That big win is giving us great line value this Saturday to fade them, and we'll look for the Raiders to keep their winning ways in tact in a lopsided victory at home in this matchup. Raiders had a six-game winning streak snapped at Kansas City two weeks ago, but then bounced back with a three-point win and cover last week at San Diego. Oakland's passing numbers have gone down in recent weeks, relying on their running game to rack up big yardage, but against a weak Colts secondary we expect Oakland's passing game to be the difference here. Colts defense has given up big yardage through the air and those numbers are worse than they appear on paper considering the competition the Colts have faced this season. Huge overreaction by the linesmakers based on last week's results, and we'll grab the line value with the far better team this Saturday! 20* NFL Christmas Eve Special Play on Oakland.

20* Play on Tulsa (-12.5). We grade Tulsa as one of the most underrated teams in the country, and we'll back them on Monday afternoon to win in a blowout against a Central Michigan team that is extremely fortunate to even be bowl eligible. You may remember the Chippewas early-season "win" against Oklahoma State - that coming on a last-play, Hail-Mary then lateral on an un-timed down that shouldn't have been awarded in the first place. That "victory" ended up being the difference in bowl eligibility for Central Michigan, who fell apart down the stretch of the regular season with four outright losses in their last five games (three of those four losses saw Central Michigan lose outright while listed as the favorite). Tulsa is 9-3 on the season, and that record is even more impressive considering their three defeats were all on the road against the likes of Ohio State, Houston, and Navy. The Golden Hurricane has been a stat machine this year, racking up huge yardage both on the ground as well as through the air, and they have no problem running up the score against overmatched foes having five wins by at least 21 points. Tulsa will give up some points and yardage through the air, but their offense will face little resistance here as they pull away in the second half en route to a blowout win and cover! 20* CFB Bowl "Early Equation" Play on Tulsa.

20* Play on New England (-3). Patriots have overcome the loss of quarterback Tom Brady for the first four games of the season and enter this weekend in the pole position for home field advantage throughout the playoffs. New England is currently one game better than both Oakland and Kansas City, and they put their perfect 6-0 road record (5-1 ATS) on the line this Sunday against another AFC West foe in Denver. This game doesn't have the appeal of past matchups with Peyton Manning now retired, but it is still a big game with playoff implications on both sides. We have much respect for the Denver defense, however, we have even more respect for New England's offense behind Brady and we expect the Pats to keep that perfect road mark in tact with another win and cover. New England is 8-1 with Brady behind center, scoring no less than 22 points in all nine of those games and putting up at least 30 points more times (5) than not (4). Again, we have much respect for Denver's defense, but their offense has been lackluster. Denver's recent 4-5 record since early October is alarming in the fact they haven't beat anybody good, and we can't trust them to play up to New England's level based on their play in the last two months. Broncos tend to struggle when they can't rush the ball (last week's 10-point effort in a loss against Tennessee is evidence of that) and they won't be able to run on the Pats this Sunday. New England's secondary can be beat, but in a matchup of passing games we'll side with Brady and the Pats every time. New England gets one step closer to home field advantage this Sunday! 20* AFC Game of the Month Play on New England.

20* Play on Green Bay (-5.5). The Packers blowout win against Seattle last week marked the first three-game winning streak of the season for Green Bay, and while Aaron Rogers has received the bulk of the credit for turning around the Packers fortunes this season, it's really the defense that has turned things around in that three-week span. Green Bay had allowed more than 30 points in each of the four games leading up to their current three-game winning streak, but have allowed just 13, 13, and 10 points in the three games since. Favorable matchup for the Packers defense this week as they take on a Chicago team that is a complete mess offensively, and we like the Packers to win this one by a wide margin. Detroit hung on for a three-point win against the Bears last week, but was unable to take advantage of a favorable matchup against a weak Bears secondary. Rodgers won't pass up this opportunity to air it out early and often and keep the momentum going. On the other side of the ball, Chicago has failed to reach 250 yards passing in six of their last seven games overall, and have numerous injuries to an offense that has been held to under 20 points on nine occasions this season. Packers beat the Bears 26-10 back when Green Bay wasn't playing well at all (in fact, that was their lone victory in the midst of a 1-5 slide), and we expect another easy double-digit win and cover this Sunday! 20* NFL "Blowout Demolition" Play on Green Bay.

25* Play on Pittsburgh (-3). While not as "certain" as death and taxes, the Pittsburgh Steelers winning in Cincinnati is pretty much the closest thing as a certainty as we can find in the NFL. In the last 26 years, Pittsburgh is 21-5 straight up and 19-6-1 against the spread in Cincinnati, and the Bengals are in trouble once again this Sunday as they face the Steelers right as they are peaking. We grade Pittsburgh as one of the current top four teams in the league despite their 8-5 record, and their play over the last four weeks justifies that high praise. Since Pittsburgh's offense returned to a rush-first mentality (and then passing off of play-action), they have been unbeatable, and last week's 240-yard rushing effort at Buffalo was the type of performance that will have confidence sky high on the Pittsburgh roster. Don't have faith in Cincy's ability to stop the run here after watching a bad Cleveland offense put up 169 yards on the ground last week, and while the Steelers rushed for 124 yards in the first matchup this season, that was one of the games where RB Bell was serving a suspension. Cincinnati stopped a four-game streak being held to under 100 yards rushing last week against a porous Browns defense, but we look for that trend to pick up again against this Steelers defense that has held nine foes to double-digits in rushing yards, including each of their last four. Steelers are in a "must-win" mentality after their slow start and won't overlook this game due to the Bengals record - no surprises here as the Steelers continue to build momentum towards the playoffs! 25* NFL Division Game of the Year Play on Pittsburgh.

20* Play on Miami (-2.5). Fantastic line value taking the Dolphins on Saturday night, and we are getting that line value thanks to Miami being the visitor as well as the Dolphins missing starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill. Dolphins have quietly been on a tear of late winning seven of their last eight games overall, (although many of those wins came against bad teams). We view the Jets as one of the worst teams in the entire league, and while we do believe Miami isn't as strong as their 8-5 record suggests, we also don't believe the Jets are as good as their 4-9 record suggests either. New York is 2-4 in their last six games with those two wins being a three-point win against winless Cleveland, and an overtime time win last week against 1-win San Francisco. Their passing game continues to be dreadful, and last week their 216-yard passing effort was the seventh time in their last eight games they failed to reach 225 yards through the air. More alarming for the Jets is their rush defense of late, as they gave up 387 yards on the ground the last two games against the Colts and 49ers, and that is where we believe the Dolphins will be able to to control this game. Neither side is going to do much damage through the air, but we do think the Dolphins can move the ball on the ground. Remember, this Jets team is horrible on their home field, going just 1-5 straight up and being outscored by an average of 7 ppg in those six home contests. Dolphins weren't going to throw the ball much even if Tannehill was playing, and the loss of the starting QB has a much bigger effect on the line than it does the outcome. 20* NFL Saturday Night Special Play on Miami.

25* Play on Houston (-4.5). Tom Herman led Houston to a 9-3 record with a pair of signature victories over a pair of Top-5 teams in Oklahoma and Louisville (those teams were ranked in the Top 5 at the time the games were played), however, Herman won't be on the sidelines this Saturday as he took the head coaching job at Texas. Major Applewhite will be roaming the sidelines for the Cougars in this bowl game, and this isn't like normal post-season coaching changes as Applewhite has already earned the head coaching label going forward. We do like how Houston has played this year in big games, and although they faltered in a few head-scratching upset losses this year, they certainly looked like they could hang with anybody in the country when it mattered most. Their Ohio-State offensive style that Herman brought over from Columbus fits very nicely with their personnel, and we like the matchup of Houston's offense, which has put up 38 ppg and 459 total yards per game with a balanced rushing and passing attack, against a San Diego State defense that has fallen apart down the stretch (over 40 ppg allowed last three games). On the other side of the ball, Aztecs are entirely dependent on their running game, and that's a problem here as they face a Cougars team that is third in the country at stopping the run, only allowing 98 rushing ypg on less than 3 yards per rush. This is a huge step up in class for San Diego State, who has been favored in every game this season, and we don't like their chances with the poor matchup with their rush offense. Cougars begin the Applewhite era with an easy win and cover, with their rush defense leading the way! 25* CFB Bowl "King's Ransom" Play on Houston.

25* Play on San Francisco (-3). We love this situation for the 49ers - a bad team that knows they have a rare opportunity for a straight up win, and the fact that San Francisco is favored makes us like this play even more. Linesmakers are begging for action on the underdog, listing the one-win team as the favorite, but we're not falling for the trap and we'll back San Francisco expecting one of their best efforts of the season this Sunday. Weather was a huge factor last week as the 49ers completed only five passes for six yards, but now back in California and against a weak Jets secondary we expect those numbers jump to levels above their season averages. 49ers running game is vastly underrated, as they have put up decent stats but have typically abandoned their running game in the fourth quarter when trying to make up a deficit on the scoreboard. Not necessary here, as we expect the 49ers to stick to their running game throughout and slowly but surely build a lead and protect it in the fourth quarter. Jets have scored just 33 points in their last three games combined and now travel across the country to take on an extremely motivated 49ers club. This one won't be pretty, but San Francisco grinds it out and picks up their season win of the season! 25* NFL "King's Ransom" Play on San Francisco.

20* Play on Pittsburgh (-3). Steelers have been perhaps are favorite "play on" team all season long, and after another easy win and cover with them last week against the Giants, we'll back them for the fourth week in a row this Sunday as a small road favorite at Buffalo. Great on-field matchup on both sides of the ball for the visitor here, with the Bills relying almost entirely on their running game offensively but face a very stout Pittsburgh rush defense. On the other side of the ball, Pittsburgh will be able to use RB Bell in both the running game and passing game with much success. After a four-game losing skid, the Steelers have reeled off three consecutive double-digit victories and it's no coincidence that winning streak began when the Steelers went back to their roots - running the ball more frequently and then passing off of play-action once that run has been established. Buffalo has been held to 170 yards passing or fewer in three straight games and simply don't have the type of passing game needed to keep up with Pittsburgh on the scoreboard. This line has already moved two points since the opening number, and we'll side with the public expecting yet another big Steelers victory! 20* NFL Blowout of the Month Play on Pittsburgh.

20* Play on Detroit (-7.5). Not many have noticed now well Detroit has been playing lately, winning four straight (including two outright victories as road underdogs) and seven of their last eight games overall. Great matchup at home against a horrible Chicago team this week and the Bears come into this weekend a complete mess on both sides of the ball. Bears passing game is a joke and missing key players both at the quarterback and receiver positions. Their running game is average, but face a Detroit team that is very tough to run on. That puts even more pressure on a bad passing team here. On the other side of the ball, Detroit doesn't run much but should find big holes in a bad Chicago secondary. Detroit is a big favorite for a good reason - they have big matchup advantages on both sides of the ball, and we expect the Lions to win this game going away! 20* NFC Game of the Month Play on Detroit.

20* Play on Washington (+2.5). Another team that can't get respect from the linesmakers is Washington, who has covered the spread in four straight games and eight of their last nine overall. Redskins lost on national television last week at Dallas on Thanksgiving, and perhaps that loss has the general public sour on this squad, but not us. Washington put up nearly 450 yards passing on the Cowboys and finished 152 total yards better than Dallas, and while the did lose that game outright they stayed close enough to cover a generous spot. Much easier task this week for Washington who not only will be playing with a few extra days of rest, but also against a much easier opponent. Not only does Arizona own a losing straight up record, but the Cardinals have 0-5 ATS in their last five games. Their defense has fallen apart ever since their boring 6-6 tie against Seattle, allowing 30, 20, 30, and 38 points in their last four. Cardinals have no home field edge going a perfect 0-6 ATS this season, and going back to last year they are a pathetic 1-10 against the spread when facing a team with a winning record. Cardinals very good at stopping the run, but Washington proved last week they don't need to run in order to move the ball. Dallas was able to put up the points but we don't believe Arizona will be able to match the Cowboys offensive production this week. Washington should win this game outright! 20* NFL "3-Game Power Pack" Play on Washington.

20* Play on Pittsburgh (-6). Steelers have been one of our favorite "play-on" teams this season, and we'll back them again this Sunday as they take on the streaking Giants. New York comes in riding a six-game winning streak, however, the list of teams on the schedule during that run is not very impressive. This Pittsburgh team is by far the toughest challenge the Giants will have faced in the last two months, and we expect a rejuvenated Pittsburgh team playing on their home field to win in a blowout. Pittsburgh was in the midst of a four-game slide a few weeks back, but a return to the running game has revitalized this offense in a pair of blowout wins and covers (both on the road) the last two weeks. Steelers are a notoriously good home team, and while we do expect the offense to put up big numbers again, it's their defensive matchup that really has us liking the Steelers this week. Giants finally got something going on the ground in their last few games after going five straight games failing to reach even 80 yards rushing. But again, those rushing numbers came against very weak competition. Don't believe New York will be able to run on the Pittsburgh defense here, and we do not like Eli Manning throwing the ball with high frequency without a running game to back him up. Steelers are at the start of what looks like an extended winning streak, and we'll back them to deliver their third double-digit victory in a row! 20* NFL "3-Game Power Pack" Play on Pittsburgh.

20* Play on Oakland (-3). Not sure what the Raiders have to do to get some respect from the linesmakers. They've won five games in a row and eight of their last nine dating back to late September, but have been listed as a four-point favorite or higher just once in that span. We'll jump on the good line value backing what is obviously the better team in this matchup against Buffalo and playing on their home field as an added bonus. Bills offense looses nearly six points per game from their season average when they leave home, and that's a bad omen considering Oakland is putting up 28 ppg on the season. Bills passing attack is virtually non-existent, having just 182 pypg on the season and failing to reach even 160 yards through the air in each of their last two games. Oakland has covered the spread in nine of the last ten games in this series, and with a huge offensive edge and home field advantage, we look for that trend to continue with an easy win and cover Sunday afternoon! 20* NFL "3-Game Power Pack" Play on Oakland.

20* Play on Wisconsin (-3). Odd matchup for the Big Ten Championship Game, with the eventual winner not guaranteed a spot in the College Football Playoff and the vast majority of people believe the two best teams in the conference to be Ohio State and Michigan. As it stands, both of these teams at least have a chance of grabbing one of the four playoff spots and we expect both teams to play as if a playoff spot is on the line. Not taking anything away from PSU's win against Ohio State, but they caught the Buckeyes in a horrible motivational spot (coming off an overtime road win at Wisconsin the week before) and needed two blocked kicks in order to win that game. They were also blown out by Michigan a few weeks prior, and haven't played a good team since that OSU victory. Wisconsin was very competitive against both Michigan and Ohio State, falling to the Buckeyes in overtime as well as staying within seven points of the Wolverines. They also beat LSU to open the year and dominated the stats in that victory. Not sure how Penn State plans to score here, as the Badgers don't budge defensively against the rush and are only giving up 13.7 ppg both overall this season as well as in conference play. On the other side of the ball, we expect Wisconsin's running game to have room to work - and while while Penn State has been able to stop the running game against the weaker teams they have faced, they gave up big yardage on the ground against quality foes. Badgers also have extra motivation to make up for the embarrassing 59-0 shutout loss two years ago - the last time they were in the Big Ten Championship Game - against an Ohio State team that went on to win the National Championship. Defense tends to win out in the Big Ten and that heavily favors the Badgers in this matchup. With the line as small as it is, we'll gladly lay the small number with Wisconsin as their defense leads them to victory! 20* CFB "Big Ten Championship Winner" Play on Wisconsin.

20* Play on Clemson (-10.5). Clemson Tigers are rightfully a big favorite in this matchup, and while we don't believe Clemson is the third-best team in the country (although we do believe they have earned that #3 ranking), we do believe they will beat an overrated Virginia Tech squad easily this Saturday and cover this big spot. Can't fault Virginia Tech for their schedule - they set up a game against what was supposed to be a good Tennessee team as well as Notre Dame, but both of those schools ended up falling well short of expectations. Hokies were blown out by the Vols by three touchdowns, and were three points better than the Irish. They also suffered bad losses against Syracuse (lost by 14 as a 22.5-point favorite) and Georgia Tech (lost by 10 points as 14-point chalk). Overall, there is nothing on VTech's schedule that implies they are capable of staying close to this Clemson squad. They have one victory against a team currently ranked in the Top 25 (that being a three-point win vs. #25 Pittsburgh), and they don't match up well on the field either. Clemson's defense has taken a big step backwards from last year's team, but their offense is still one of the best in the country. The game they lost they couldn't run the ball but still managed to put up 580 yards through the air and scored 42 points. We don't think Virginia Tech will be able to run much against the Tigers, and don't have faith in their passing game to move the ball consistently. This game might be close in the first half, but Clemson's big offensive advantage comes through when the defenses start to wear down, and the Tigers pull away for a lopsided win and cover! 20* CFB "ACC Championship Winner" Play on Clemson.

25* Play on Colorado (+7.5). Let's play the "what if" game momentarily and guess what would happen if Colorado and Washington had played each others non-conference schedules. Colorado certainly would have breezed through Rutgers, Idaho, and FCS Portland State (all at home) and would come into this game with an 11-1 straight up record. Washington would have beat Colorado State and Idaho, but would have had their hands full with a road game against Michigan and certainly would be listed as an underdog both at the time as well as now. The fact that Washington is such a large favorite in this game has everything to do with public perception and in no way takes in to account their strength of schedule. Both of these teams lost against USC, but even if we compare those games the Buffaloes played far better than the Huskies, with Colorado falling by just four points on the road while Washington lost by 13 at home (and the Huskies played far worse than that 13-point margin of victory indicates). Not only do we believe Colorado can easily cover this inflated number, but we give them an excellent chance of winning this game outright. Rushing and passing numbers on both sides of the ball are very similar, but Washington is has all the pressure on them as they are staring at one of the four invites to the College Football Playoff. That pressure tends to lead to conservative play-calling and a hard time to turn around momentum when it's lost. Colorado can build on the underdog mentality and take this line (as well as all the attention being paid to the Huskies) as a slap in the face. An outright upset wouldn't surprise us in the least, but we'll take the generous points as insurance. 25* CFB "King's Ransom" Play on Colorado.

20* Play on Kansas City (+3). Denver has has the Chiefs number the last few years with Peyton Manning behind center, but now that Manning is gone we like the Chiefs to finally grab a victory in this series. KC couldn't match Denver's passing attack in recent years, but they have improved in that department this season while Denver has taken a few steps back. Denver does get the slight edge defensively in this matchup, but Kansas City is underrated defensively and has actually given up fewer points per game than the Broncos this season. Big motivational edge to the visitor here, not only because they finally get a chance to get the monkey off their back in this series, but also entering this game in a "bounce-back" spot after having their five-game winning streak snapped last week in a two-point loss vs. Tampa Bay. KC comfortable playing on the road winning each of their last three games both outright as well as against the spread (Carolina, Indy, and Oakland). Denver managed to squeak out a close two-point win at New Orleans on a fluke play, but the fact that they couldn't get their passing game going against a very weak New Orleans secondary is a problem, and they have been held to less than 270 yards passing in seven straight games now. Chiefs pull the road upset tonight! 20* NFL "Sunday Night Showdown" Play on Kansas City.

25* Play on New England (-7). Pats have been one of our favorite "play on" teams ever since Tom Brady came back, and while they have been missing a few key offensive players the only thing those injuries have done is keep their pointspread lower and easier for us to cover. Their win and cover last week vs. San Francisco means New England is now 5-1 against the spread since Brady returned from his suspension, and we'll back him and the Pats at our highest 25* rating to win big once again this week. Jets are a complete mess on both sides of the ball and have lost six of their last eight games overall. Particularly important for this game is New York's pass defense, which has allowed over 300 yards four times already this year and this New England team will be the best passing team they will have faced to date. Jets are above average at stopping the run, but that will only result in more passing plays called for Brady and company. New England's weakness is their secondary, but New York lacks a credible passing threat and won't be able to take advantage. Brady has a huge statistical game as the Pats win this one in a lopsided blowout! 25* NFL Favorite of the Year Play on New England.

20* Play on Florida State (-7.5). We backed the Florida Gators last week in a favorable matchup against LSU, and while we didn't think they would win outright, we did like their chances of staying within a big 14.5-point number. That outright victory by the Gators gives us great line value playing against them this week in a horrible matchup with Florida State. We liked Florida's chances of staying close to LSU in a game where neither team had any semblance of a passing threat. Florida's lone big pass play ended up being the difference, and while that 98-yard touchdown certainly was important, the Gators finished with just 46 yards passing outside of that one play. Much different opponent this week as Florida State can run, but has also put up 280 ypg passing this season (and their passing game is getting stronger as the season goes on). This is also a poor motivational spot for the Gators, who clinched their division last week and will thus be in a big letdown spot this week coming off that big upset win. Florida State is decent against the run and the Gators simply don't have the type of passing game to keep up with Florida State on the scoreboard. Gators didn't need to score many points to cover a big number last week - they need to score this week and we don't believe they will! 20* CFB Saturday Night Showdown Play on Florida State.

20* Play on West Virginia (-7). Huge overreaction by the linesmakers after West Virginia fell against Oklahoma last week, and while the Mountaineers are likely a bit sour after that defeat, they are still playing for a ten-win season and have plenty of motivation to play well here this Saturday. Not so for Iowa State, who has no chance of going bowling this holiday season, and if anything they are the team in this matchup with a huge motivational disadvantage coming off a 66-10 stunning rout of Texas Tech (as a three-point home underdog). That's two wins in a row for the Cyclones, who also beat up hapless Kansas the week before, but now they take a huge step up in class against an 8-win WVU squad that actually plays defense (unlike the Red Raiders and Jayhawks). Mountaineers are +95 in total yards per game in conference play while Iowa State is -36 in the same statistic - further evidence of how much better WVU is in this matchup. Too much line value to pas up and we'll take advantage of the soft line as WVU wins comfortably. 20* CFB "Blowout Demolition" Play on West Virginia.

30* Play on Kansas State (-27). Long time clients already know that we back Kansas State in their annual in-state clash against the Jayhawks each and every year, and will continue to do so as long as head coach Bill Snyder continues to walk along the Kansas State sidelines. Snyder has publicly stated in the past that he intends to run up the score in this game every chance he gets so the in-state recruits know which team truly runs the state. Snyder had covered the spread in 11 of the 12 meetings prior to taking a three-year hiatus from 2006-2008. Kansas won all three games in that span, but since Snyder returned in 2009 the Wildcats have won and covered the spread in all seven meetings. K-State isn't just winning and covering, they are completely blowing Kansas out of the water. in the last six years alone, Kansas State has outscored the Jayhawks 301-81 - an average score of 50-14! Riding a current 18-1 SU and ATS record in this series, there is no reason to stop backing Snyder in this annual matchup now. If anything, this game sets up even better for us as Kansas is in the ultimate letdown spot this week after somehow managing to upset Texas - arguably their biggest win in years. Everything points to another lopsided result this Saturday, and we'll back Kansas State s our strongest play of the season! 30* 2016 CFB Game of the Year Play on Kansas State.

20* Play on Maryland (-14). We successfully faded Maryland last week with the full intent of backing them this week. The theory was that Maryland was sitting one victory away from becoming bowl eligible, and they were saving their focus and energy for this final winnable game against Rutgers rather than game with long-shot odds vs. Big Ten powers Michigan, Ohio State, and Nebraska. Maryland only managed to score 13 points combined in those three blowout losses, and as a result this line is lower than it should be. Rutgers has been a joke this year going 0-8 in conference play while being outscored by an average of 41-9 in those games. They have been shutout four times this season! Two of those four shutouts came in the last two weeks, symbolic of the effort and motivation coming out of this team as the season winds down. Clear motivational edge to the home side with bowl eligibility at stake, and while Maryland couldn't run the ball with any success against the Wolverines, Buckeyes, and Cornhuskers, they will be able to do some damage on the ground in this game. There is no tomorrow for the Terps so no reason for them to let up with a lead and let Rutgers back in the game. Rutgers likely won't be shutout for a third week in a row, but they don't stop Maryland's ground game and lose by yet another lopsided margin! 20* CFB "High Noon Showdown" Play on Maryland.

25* Play on Ohio State (-6.5). The best rivalry in College Football will have even greater importance this time around as #2 Ohio State hosts #3 Michigan with the inside track at a College Football Playoff spot on the line. An upset by Michigan will put them in the Big Ten Championship Game, where they will enter that game as the #2 team in the country. A win by Ohio State will likely be the final game of the season for the Buckeyes, as a Penn State win vs. Michigan State will have them playing in the Big Ten Championship Game, however, holding on to their #2 ranking as well as a resume filled with victories against Michigan, Wisconsin (on the road), and Oklahoma (on the road) will likely be enough to take one of the four playoff spots. Buckeyes are a legit #2 team, only losing against another top ten team (Penn State) on the road thanks to a pair of blocked kicks, but we are not completely sold on Michigan being ranked as high as they are. Particularly troubling is the fact that Michigan has played all of their tough games at home, leaving their home state only twice all season - once against Big Ten doormat Rutgers and the other time against an average Iowa team -a game Michigan lost outright as a big 24-point favorite. Can't trust this Michigan team based on their road results as they not only face their toughest game of the season by a mile, but will do so with a huge question mark at the quarterback position. John O'Korn was far from impressive as Michigan finished with just 59 yards passing against a bad Indiana defense, and against an Ohio State secondary that can afford to play receivers in man-to-man coverage, the Buckeyes can now stack the box to stop the run. Regular quarterback Wilton Speight might be listed as "day-to-day", but that seems like window dressing more than a realistic chance of playing due to the severity of his injury. Michigan defense is for real, however, they play one of the better offenses in the country in Columbus. Ohio State has completely dominated this rivalry of late, winning 11 of their last 12 games outright including all four since Urban Meyer took over for the Buckeyes. Michigan is still a year away from challenging Ohio State for Big Ten supremacy, and this year the Buckeyes hold serve on their home field and win by a surprising margin against a wounded Michigan offense! 25* CFB Rivalry Game of the Year Play on Ohio State.

20* Play on Baylor (-5). Both Texas Tech and Baylor have had very disappointing seasons, however we love the on-field matchup for Baylor in this season finale and we'll back the Bears to snap a four-game losing streak and end their regular season with a much-needed win and cover. Texas Tech was blasted 66-10 as a three-point road favorite at Iowa State last week - not only suffering their sixth loss in seven games but more importantly securing a lack of a bowl berth for the Red Raiders. That has to be a heavy motivational blow for Texas Tech, who really have nothing to play for in this game. Once again, Baylor's lack of competition in non-conference play had them totally unprepared for their games against better competition, and a close-fought, one-point loss at Texas started a four-game losing skid where their defense was heavily exposed. The good news for Baylor is that they can rely on their running game here almost entirely, as Texas Tech has allowed over 200 yards on the ground in all seven of their losses. They have also given up at least 44 points in all seven defeats, and it seems like they literally don't even care about the defensive side of the ball. Baylor rushed for 368 yards and put up 63 points last year in this matchup, and we look for similar types of offensive numbers this time around. Texas Tech will be able to score some points as well with their passing game, but they don't have much of a running threat and when motivation is lost, mistakes tend to happen frequently (penalties, turnovers). This line is far lower than it should be because of Baylor's high-profile losing streak, and we'll jump on the line value backing Baylor to take this one by an easy double-digit margin! 20* CFB "Friday Night Showdown" Play on Baylor.

Good luck, and don't forget our 30* CFB Game of the Year kicks off at Noon ET this Saturday!

25* Play on Arkansas (-7.5). We have no idea what the linesmakers are thinking with this soft line, and we aren't entirely sure if they are giving Missouri far too much credit or not giving Arkansas enough credit, but either way we expect the Razorbacks to dominate the Tigers and take this one by no less than 20 points. The SEC has been extremely overrated all season long outside of Alabama, and Missouri has been an absolute joke both in conference as well as out of conference. Their three victories came against the likes of Eastern Michigan, Delaware State, and Vanderbilt. Ever since their 79-0 win against Delaware State, the Tigers have gone just 1-7 both straight up and ATS, including 0-5 SU and ATS as conference underdogs, losing by double-digits each time (They also allowed 51 points in a six-point home loss as a favorite vs. Middle Tennessee State). Defense has been a mess for Missouri, particularly in the running game and that is where we believe Arkansas can dominate this game. Razorbacks struggled against the better rush defenses they've faced, but when they could run the ball they not only won but won by big margins. That includes outright victories as underdogs against Mississippi State, Florida, Ole' Miss, and TCU - games where Arkansas rushed for at least 180 yards. Tigers are giving up 239 rushing yards per game on over 5.5 yards per carry, and in reality they are even worse than those numbers show if we take out their game vs. Delaware State. Razorbacks steamroll over the Tigers and take this one in a blowout! 25* CFB Friday King's Ransom Play on Arkansas.

Good luck, and don't forget our 30* CFB Game of the Year kicks off at Noon ET this Saturday!

25* Play on Pittsburgh (-7.5). Steelers came through for us last Sunday as our AFC Game of the Year in an easy 24-9 win and cover (as 8-point road chalk) against the winless Cleveland Browns, controlling that game from the outset with a game plan heavily featuring RB Bell. That victory snapped a four-game losing streak for the Steelers and seemed to bring Pittsburgh back to basics in their offensive philosophy, which is to establish the run and then hit big pass plays off of play-action. The running game won't be featured as much this Thursday against a Colts defense who is decent at stopping the run, however they are extremely vulnerable in their secondary and that is where we give Pittsburgh the big advantage in this game. This is the third year in a row these two teams will face each other, and Big Ben has been up to the challenge in both of those meetings, posting 886 passing yards combined while the Steelers have put up a ridiculous 96 points. We are not expecting another 45+ point explosion by the visitor, but we do expect Pittsburgh to put up a big day through the air and light up the scoreboard for the third year in a row. Colts are a respectable 5-5 straight up on the season but that has come against a rather weak schedule and this is arguable their toughest game since they played Denver all the way back in Week 2 (lost that game by 14 points). Indy has virtually no rushing threat (just two games reaching at least 100 yards on the ground) and will have to rely solely on the pass to move the ball. Steelers used last week to re-establish the run, and they re-establish Big Ben's passing game this week in another lopsided victory! 25* NFL "Black Reign" Play on Pittsburgh.

Good luck, and don't forget our 30* CFB Game of the Year kicks off at Noon ET this Saturday!

20* Play on LSU (-7). Regular clients already know that we are not high on this year's LSU squad - in fact we faded them last week in their outright loss against Florida as a big 14.5-point home favorite. The Tigers don't match up well against good defensive teams as their offense simply isn't reliable and LSU is often asked to cover pointspreads that require them to score more than they are able to. That isn't the case this Thursday, however, and we look for the Tigers to bounce back and win by a big margin against a vastly overrated Texas A&M team that is in the midst of a free fall. Aggies were one of the top four teams in the country according to the College Football Playoff Committee at the start of this month, and while A&M should never have been ranked that high in the first place, not many foresaw the Aggies imploding this month. Bad losses against both Mississippi State and Ole' Miss as well as a pedestrian 23-10 win (as a 25.5-point favorite) vs. UTSA has the Aggies limping into this high-profile showdown, and to make matters worse for the home side the Aggies do not match up well at all vs. the Tigers. A&M needs to run in order to be successful on offense. When they rush for more than 180 yards, they are a perfect 8-0 straight up. Anything less than that number and they are winless in three chances. Alabama was one of those defeats, which wasn't all that surprising, but falling against both Mississippi teams was a bit of a shock. LSU is one of the best rush defenses in the country, only giving up more than 134 yards on the ground twice all year (Auburn and Alabama), and those two teams combined for 100 rush attempts to do so. On the other side of the ball, Tigers offense is entirely dependent on their running game (something we didn't like last week vs. Florida), and here they face an Aggies defense that has allowed 280+ yards rushing in three of their last four conference games. Confidence lacking on the home side and we expect A&M's struggles to continue as the Tigers control the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball and win easily! 20* CFB "Thanksgiving Feast" Play on LSU.

Good luck, and don't forget our 30* CFB Game of the Year kicks off at Noon ET this Saturday!

20* Play on New England (-11). Patriots don't take too kindly to losing. We backed New England last week and were burned as Seattle was able to pass with far more success than we anticipated, and the Seahawks were able to pull off the outright upset. That was just the second loss for New England this year, and we expect them to bounce back much like they did after their first defeat of the season. After that first loss, we backed the Patriots as our 2016 NFL Game of the Year on the road against a bad Cleveland squad, and the Pats ended up with an easy 20-point win while covering they spread by a full ten points. Very similar spot here, as the Pats are a sizeable favorite on the road, but for good reason. 49ers defense can't stop anyone with a passing game, and while the aerial assault hurt NE last week, the 49ers have virtually no passing game. Pats head coach Bill Belichick is a profitable 17-7 at the betting window following a home loss and we look for that trend to continue as New England has the massive edge in the passing game here. Pats take this one by 20+ points! 20* NFL Blowout of the Month Play on New England.

25* Play on Pittsburgh (-7.5). The Cleveland Browns are mired in a historical losing season and might just hit that "perfect" 0-16 mark. Already losers of their first ten games, they don't catch a break in the schedule this Sunday as they face a Pittsburgh team that is desperate for a win after the Steelers have dropped four straight. This is the perfect opponent for Pittsburgh to face, as Big Ben is 20-2 straight up against the Browns in his career and the Steelers offensive and defensive units need a breakthrough statistical game to build their confidence. Steelers have gone away from their running game which has really hurt them in recent weeks. Pittsburgh played good enough to win last week but Dallas mounted a late comeback to win in the final moments. That loss hurt, and we expect Pittsburgh to take their aggression out on a hapless Cleveland squad that has already lost six games by double-digit margins. No reason for Pittsburgh not to return to their powerful rushing attack against a Browns defense that has given up 100+ yards rushing in eight of their ten games, and we don't expect much of anything from the Browns offensively after scoring just 17 points combined in their last two contests. Pittsburgh's losing streak and the few extra days of rest Cleveland has after playing last Thursday has this line far lower than it should be - lay the points with confidence as the Steelers win this one in the neighborhood of a 20-point margin! 25* AFC Game of the Year Play on Pittsburgh.

25* Play on Oklahoma (-3). The Sooners season couldn't have started worse, losing to Houston and Ohio State before conference play began, but Oklahoma has rallied and has really dominated the Big 12 after that poor start. Sooners come into this game a perfect 7-0 straight up while scoring 48 ppg in Big 12 action, and have climbed back into the Top Ten in all three major polls. West Virginia is underrated by the pollsters in our opinion, however, this is a bad matchup for the Mountaineers and we expect Oklahoma to keep their undefeated conference record in tact by the end of the night. WVU is coming off a road win at Texas, but a closer look at the stat sheet reveals the Mountaineers were very fortunate to come away with a victory. WVU was out-rushed 218-114 and out-passed 318-269. And according to the linesmaker (and us), that game vs. Texas was their toughest to date. West Virginia has all of their toughest games back-loaded at the end of their schedule, and now it's put up or shut up time. Sooners far more tested and have a massive edge on both sides of the ball in the running game. Wouldn't be surprised at all if the Sooners take this one by more than two touchdowns! 25* CFB "King's Ransom" Play on Oklahoma.

20* Play on Florida (+14.5). On Thursday night, we took Houston at +14.5 in a matchup we felt the Cougars offense matched up well enough to keep them in the game. Houston's offense went off while Louisville fell flat and lost by a huge margin. In this Florida vs. LSU matchup, we have the opposite, as we expect Florida's defense and LSU's lack of a credible passing game to have a huge impact on this ATS decision. Far too high of a line for LSU to be asked to cover here considering they are only scoring 26 ppg in conference play and facing a defense that is only giving up 16 ppg in conference play. Even if LSU matches their average scoring output (which we don't think they will), they would need to do better than their average defensive scoring numbers of 14 ppg in order to cover. It's not really LSU's fault that they are just 1-8 ATS on the season - they have been overvalued by the linesmaker all season long and continue to be despite their results. We don't have much love for either of, these teams, although they would each be very good if they could do anything offensively through the air. Florida doesn't have much of a passing game but they are still far better than LSU in terms of passing offense, and in a game where rushing yards will be hard to come by on both sides of the ball, that edge in the passing game will be more than enough to keep this game within one score for most of the 60 minutes. We do think Florida has a chance to win this game outright, although an LSU outright win at home seems more probable. Still, Florida's defense is too tough for the Tigers to amass a big lead, and unless the Gators commit a number of turnovers, they'll stay well within this big number. 20* CFB "Underdog Shocker" Play on Florida.

20* Play on Nebraska (-13.5). This is the time of the season where motivation plays a huge role in terms of bowl eligibility. Maryland is coming off back-to-back embarrassing blowout losses, falling 59-3 at Michigan and then 62-3 last week at home vs. Ohio State. Nebraska isn't quite at the level of those two teams, but still far better than the Terps and that's especially true with Maryland playing the role of the visitor where they are 0-3 both SU and ATS in conference play, allowing 38+ points in each game. Maryland is one victory away from becoming bowl eligible, and with a home date coming up next against Rutgers it would make all the sense in the world for the Terps to be concentrating on next week's game instead of this one. Nebraska has some health issues at quarterback, but that's not a big deal in this matchup as their running game is all they need. Terps have given up over 225 yards rushing in each of their last six game, and we look for the Cornhuskers to wear down a disinterested Maryland team as the home side rolls to a blowout! 20* CFB "High Noon Showdown" Play on Nebraska.

20* Play on Houston (+14.5). A pair of upset losses against Navy and a shocking defeat against a bad SMU team has the Houston Cougars completely off the radar of the linesmakers, who give the Cougars little to no chance of winning this game at home against Louisville. That's a dangerous move, as this is the same Houston team that has a prolific offense in the style of Ohio State and has already upset Oklahoma this year. Additionally, Louisville now has all the pressure on them in this game, playing in front of a national audience after a slew of upsets last week have them back in the hunt for a College Football Playoffs spot, while Houston has absolutely nothing to lose and everything to gain. This game is all about offense, and while the lack of quality competition for both teams means the defensive numbers look better than they actually are, Houston's offense is potent enough to stay close in this game. Louisville looked great against what is now considered to be an average Florida State team, but were torched for 500+ total yards and 42 points in a loss against a good Clemson squad. Also notable is Louisville's defensive numbers on the road, which are not great in all games except for the offensively-inept Boston College Eagles. Houston has covered the spread in seven straight games when listed as the underdog, and this is far too high of a price to lay against a superior offensive team playing on their home field. Cougars may not win this game outright, but we give them a better chance to do so than the linesmakers and we fully expect this game to be decided by single digits. 20* CFB "Thursday Night Thunder" Play on Houston.

25* Play on New England (+106). We've backed the Patriots a few times since Tom Brady returned from his suspension, and for good reason and the Pats are looking like the best team in the entire league since that return. New England has not only gone 4-0 straight up with Brady in the lineup, but also 4-0 at the betting window with each victory coming by double-digits. And while we certainly are still high on the Pats right now, this selection is more of a play "against" Seattle than it is "on" New England. Seahawks don't resemble the team that has dominated the NFC in recent years, having a running game that has been held to under 75 yards in each of their last five games and a defensive secondary that has allowed 250+ yards passing in four straight contests. This matchup couldn't be any better for the Patriots, who are average at stopping the run and underrated against the pass. Pats defensive passing stats don't look great, but that is due to teams passing at a high rate in the second half to attempt to comeback from a deficit. And we don't have much faith in Seattle's passing game. New England keeps their streak of double-digit victories alive and well this Sunday night in another easy win and cover! 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Game of the Year Play on New England.

20* Play on Denver (+3). New Orleans is coming off a pair of wins against Seattle and San Francisco - two teams that have had their fair share of issues of late on both sides of the ball. Those wins have the Saints listed as a home favorite this week as they host Denver - another team struggling offensively. One thing Denver does do well, however, is play defense. And that's particularly true against the pass, as they've held seven of their nine opponents to under 190 yards through the air this season. We do believe New Orleans will be able to break the 200-yard passing mark here, but that is only because of their pass-heavy offensive approach. Saints will still struggle to move the ball and score against this Denver team, and when Drew Breese struggles he tends to get wild and turn the ball over. On the other side of the ball, the Saints are still a mess defensively and their secondary has a tough matchup here with two legit receiving threats to worry about. Not putting much stock in to the two-game winning streak by New Orleans as they play a much different opponent this week, and we fully expect Denver to win this game outright! 20* NFL "Underdog Demolition" Play on Denver.

20* Play on Los Angeles (+2). While Los Angeles RB Todd Gurley has been a disappointment this season and the Rams quarterback woes have been well-documented, the Rams come into this game against the Jets with a better passing game statistically than the Jets. And while New York's passing game is seemingly getting worse by the week (held to under 200 yards passing in three of their last four games), LA is getting better through the air (311, 271, 280 last three games). Both of these defenses are extremely stout against the rush and neither team should have much success on the ground, which means this game will be decided by the passing game, and that heavily favors the visitor. Not only because of the Jets offensive woes, but their secondary has been awful already allowing 300+ passing yards four times this season. This may not be a popular choice backing a losing team on the road, but at this moment the Rams are clearly the better team overall and benefit greatly from the on-field matchups. Rams not only win this game outright, but win easily! 20* NFL Underdog of the Month Play on Los Angeles.

20* Play on Texas A&M (-10). Aggies were exposed last week in their outright loss at Mississippi State (as a ten-point road favorite) and have now failed to cover the pointspread in each of their last five games. That being said, we like the Aggies to bounce back this week against a very bad Ole' Miss squad that has dropped four straight games at the betting window and have lost each of their last three conference games outright. While Texas A&M has lost two of their last three games overall, it's worth noting that both of those defeats came on the road and against very good rush defenses. A&M was ranked #4 in the initial CFP standings, and while that decision was mocked nationally, their loss last week has the public mocking their initial high ranking. That type of coverage can really motivate a team, and this is the perfect opponent for A&M to beat up and silence their critics. Rebels have given up 34+ points in each of their last three conference games and more importantly for this matchup they have allowed 200+ yards rushing in each of their last four contests. Aggies are able to run and pull away in the second half against an overmatched Rebels defense! 20* CFB SEC Game of the Month Play on Texas A&M.

25* Play on Washington (-8.5). With a 6-3 straight up record, USC isn't considered an elite team this year. But don't tell that to Washington's fan base, who will treat this game as a huge marquee matchup as Washington looks to keep their grasp on a College Football Playoff spot. Washington moved up to the fourth and final place in the latest CFP rankings, and while Ohio State was said to be very close to the Huskies, Ohio State and Michigan play each other later this year so the Huskies basically control their own destiny from here on out. Trojans have won five straight to turn their season around, but we're not convinced they are as good as that winning streak suggests. USC was favored in all five of those games, including double-digit favorites in each of their last three. Huge step up in class this week for the Trojans and against a team brewing with confidence and in front of what will be an insane home crowd. Washington has been an underrated home team thanks to their defense over the past few seasons, and that's true again this year as they are only allowing 10.6 ppg on this field. USC is just 1-3 straight up on the road (lone win came as a 14-point favorite at Arizona) and will have a very tough time getting anything done through the air. People have questioned if Washington is really good enough to deserve a spot in the playoffs, and they prove their case Saturday night! 25* CFB "Black Reign" Play on Washington.

20* Play on Penn State (-7.5). In a conference stacked with big name schools like Michigan, Ohio State, and Wisconsin, it's no wonder the Nittany Lions have been overlooked this year, but ever since their upset win against the Buckeyes this Penn State team is playing extremely confident and has climbed in the polls. PSU still isn't garnering the proper respect from the linesmakers, however, and will jump on this line value Saturday afternoon against the Indiana Hoosiers. Great on-field matchup here for the visitor, as PSU has a big edge in the running game on both sides of the ball. Indiana can't win if they can't run - going 5-0 straight up when they rush for at least 147 yards and going 0-4 straight up when held to 115 rushing yards or fewer. Add in a huge motivational disadvantage to the home side with Big Ten leader Michigan looming next week for Indiana (PSU has no such scheduling disadvantage) and we expect Penn State to control this game from the outset and cruise to the easy win and cover! 20* CFB "High Noon Showdown" Play on Penn State.

20* Play on Oklahoma (-17.5). It's the same story about Baylor every time around this time of the year - the Bears laughably weak non-conference schedule has this team completely overrated based on statistical numbers and straight up record, and as soon as they start to finally play against quality teams the Bears are not able to compete. After a "grueling" first month of the season against Northwestern State, SMU, and Rice (Baylor was favored by no less than 34 points in each of those three games), the Bears opened Big 12 play with a fairly easy road up until a few weeks ago. Bears have been listed as the favorites in every game played so far this year, but they have lost their last two games outright at Texas and then at home vs. TCU. Now they face the class of the Big 12 this week and on the road no less, and we fully expect Oklahoma to completely dismantle Baylor on the home field. Bears have allowed over 200 yards rushing five separate times this season (431 rushing yards allowed in their previous game vs. TCU) and Oklahoma will no doubt be able to take advantage. And while Oklahoma did beat Baylor by 10 points last year (as a small road underdog), the Sooners haven't forgot about the last time these teams played here in Oklahoma when Baylor ripped the Sooners 48-14. Oklahoma was quietly been a very good team in an average overall conference after their two high-profile non-conference defeats, and are set up great here to hand Baylor a blowout loss. 20* CFB "Watch Party" Winner Play on Oklahoma.

20* Play on Florida State (-21). At first glance, it seems like the line is too high in this BC-FSU matchup, as Florida State is in a down year - already with three losses on the season and a number of their victories coming by small margins. This is certainly a trap line set by the linesmakers begging for action on the visiting underdog, but we're not biting and we fully expect Florida State to have their biggest blowout margin of the season vs. a FBS opponents (Florida State beat FCS Charleston Southern 52-8). Boston College is scoring just 12 ppg in conference play while allowing 36 ppg - an difference of 24 ppg which is more than this number, and Florida State is certainly better than the average ACC team. More importantly, the Eagles lack a legitimate passing threat, which has been Florida State's biggest weakness overall this year. Clearly frustrated this season, this is the perfect chance for the Seminoles to take that frustration out on an overmatched opponent, and with a national audience watching we are looking for FSU to run out to a big lead early and never take their foot off the gas pedal. BC lost by 45+ points against Clemson and Louisville, and another lopsided defeat looms this Friday! 20* CFB "Friday Night Showdown" Play on Florida State.

20* Play on Utah (-5). Utes played well in a seven-point loss (but ATS cover) against the current #4 team in the country their last time out - Utah's second loss of the season. We expect a bounce-back effort here playing with more rest than usual against an overrated Arizona State team, and expect Utah to win this game by a comfortable margin. Good line value with the Utes being the visitor this Thursday and coming off that loss, but Utah has a strong on-field matchup edge with their powerful running game going up against a weak ASU rush defense. Utes have put up over 200 yards on the ground in four straight games, and are averaging a bit over 250 rypg away from home this season. Arizona State's defensive rush numbers look good on paper, but that is due to a weak non-conference schedule and a number of teams that crushed them through the air. The two best running teams they faced torched them on the ground, with Colorado going for 315 rushing yards and Oregon 245 - games ASU failed to cover the spread by double-digits in each blowout defeat. Utah controls the game on the ground and wins big! 20* CFB "Thursday Night Thunder" Play on Utah.

25* Play on Dallas (-7). Great spot to fade the Browns this week after they blew their best remaining chance for their first win of the season last week at home vs. the Jets. Browns led big in that game early but then completely fell apart and are now winless in eight games with little chance (on paper) to avoid a historic season. Cowboys have won and covered six games in a row, and not that Cleveland has a strong home edge anyway, but the Cowboys are already 3-0 SU and ATS on the road this year. Dallas has scored at least 24 points in each of their last six games and we love the matchup of that high-scoring offense against what we consider to be the worst defense in the league. Add in the bad motivational spot for the home side and this one turns into a blowout before halftime! 25* NFL "Black Reign" Play on Dallas.

25* Play on Alabama (-7). The dominance of the Crimson Tide is a combination of Alabama being very good this year along with the rest of the SEC (Texas A&M included) being vastly overrated. No reason for this line to be as low as it is, even given the series history and the fact that LSU has home field advantage. Teams that have any hope of upsetting the Tide need to be able to stop the run and throw the ball. LSU has half of that formula with their rush defense, but does not have the offensive weapons to score on Alabama's defense. Tide basically load the box and dare teams to beat them through the air. Alabama won this game by 14 points last year as a similar favorite, and we expect them to best that margin of victory tonight! 25* CFB "Clash of the Titans" Play on Alabama.

25* Play on New England (-5.5). Big revenge spot for the Pats here, as they look to avenge a shutout loss against these Bills as their only defeat this season. Of course, that came prior to Tom Brady's return, and for some unknown reason the Bills have been talking smack this week to give the Pats even more reason to be on their game. Brady has led the Pats to three straight double-digit wins since he returned (all ATS covers) and has put up huge passing numbers when warranted (didn't need to pass last week in the second half vs. Pittsburgh). Bills were a small home favorite last year vs. New England and lost outright by 8 points. Bigger margin of defeat for the home side this time around as New England shows no mercy! 25* NFL Blowout of the Year Play on New England.

25* Play on Clemson (-4.5). We haven't been the biggest fans of Clemson this season, and don't believe they are the third best team in the country, but we do like them in this matchup against Florida State and we believe they'll easily cover this soft line against an overrated FSU squad. Seminoles never really recovered from their blowout loss against Louisville, and have since lost outright here at home against North Carolina while also playing relatively close games against both Miami FL (won by a single point) and Wake Forest. Big edge to the Clemson offense in this game and we look for the Tigers to have success both on the ground and through the air here. FSU's offense is nothing like the team that went to the College Football Playoffs a few years ago and can't keep up here. Playing at home in a nighttime setting will help the Seminoles but that by itself is not enough to overcome their poor defensive matchup. FSU has allowed 34+ point four times already this season, and we expect that number to climb by one as the Tigers steamroll FSU and pull away late for an easy win and cover! 25* CFB "Black Reign" Play on Clemson.

20* Play on Tennessee (-14). Regular clients already know we don't have a high opinion on Tennessee, as we've faded them a few times already this season. But we love the Volunteers this week against a horrible South Carolina team, and expect the Vols to win this one in a blowout. Tennessee finally ran out of luck in a close loss at Texas A&M a few weeks back (their first loss of the season), and then they were completely annihilated at Alabama the following week. UT followed up those two losses with a much-needed bye to prepare for this game, and we expect the huge drop in class to allow the Volunteers to finally win a game by a comfortable margin. South Carolina is just 1-4 straight up in conference play (0-4 their last four) and have not scored more than 14 points in any of those five games. Big matchup edge in this game is the Tennessee rush offense against a horrid Gamecocks defense that has allowed over 200 rushing yards per game on 5 ypr. UT's offense sputters when they can't run the ball and are forced to throw - but won't be an issue here. Vols take out their aggression for the last two losses on an overwhelmed Gamecocks offense as Tennessee wins this game by 20+ points! 20* CFB "Blowout Demolition" Play on Tennessee.

25* Play on Wisconsin (-8). Nebraska comes into this high-profile showdown ranked #7 in the country and still owning a perfect record. Wisconsin is just behind them in the polls, coming in at #11 despite having two losses. But the Badgers are a big favorite on their home field, and we like Wisconsin's chances of winning this game by a big margin. Nebraska may be unbeaten, but they have faced very little in terms of quality competition - their toughest opponent to date is arguably Oregon - a game the Cornhuskers won at home by a slim three-point margin. And that game vs. the Ducks was a much better matchup for the Cornhuskers, as they now have to face a Wisconsin team that is very tough against the run, negating Nebraska's only consistent offensive attack. Badgers have lost twice, but those games were both competitive against very good foes Ohio State and Michigan (back-to-back weeks no less). Hosting the #7 team in the country won't have the Badgers intimidated after playing those two teams well. Nebraska gave up over 300 yards rushing against Oregon and figure to be in for a long night trying to stop Wisconsin's running game here. Nebraska loses this game big to fall into the late teens in the rankings where they honestly belong! 25* CFB "Clash of the Titans" Play on Wisconsin.

20* Play on Oklahoma (-40). When the Jayhawks nearly upset TCU at home a few weeks ago (lost by a single point), that result turned a few heads around college football. But Kansas wasn't able to build on that game, and have lost by blowout margins of 42 and 24 points since. Now they take on the best team in the conference this week, and more importantly Kansas is the visitor. Jayhawks have been blown out in all three games away from home this year, falling by 36, 36, and 42 points while not even coming within a touchdown of covering the spread in those three games. Sooners have a couple of tough matchups ahead in their quest for a perfect conference record, but those games aren't until the final two weeks of the season. Nothing taking away focus this week, and with the Sooners putting up well over 800 yards of offense last week, we look for this one to get out of hand fast. Big number this week for Oklahoma, but they still cover it with ease! 20* CFB Big 12 Game of the Month Play on Oklahoma.

25* Play on Oakland (+1.5). Linesmakers haven't properly adjusted their rating for the Oakland Raiders, who have already won three road games this year (in three chances), also going a perfect 3-0 ATS in those games including outright wins in New Orleans and Baltimore. Good on-field matchup for the Raiders this Sunday as their pass-heavy offensive attack goes up against an overrated Jacksonville secondary. Jags are pretty good at stopping the run, but Oakland doesn't need to run the ball in order to score. On the other side, Oakland's biggest weakness is their rush defense, but Jacksonville doesn't rush well - thus negating Oakland's weakness. Raiders have already proven they can win on the road, and they make it a perfect 4-0 away from home with another win and cover this Sunday! 25* NFL "Black Reign' Play on Oakland.

25* Play on Alabama (-17.5). Both Texas A&M and Alabama come into this Saturday's showdown with perfect records, but the Crimson Tide are clearly the superior team here and match up very well against the Aggies. Texas A&M features a rush-heavy offense that will not be able to control the line of scrimmage against this stout Alabama rush defense. On the other side of the ball, the Aggies are not good at stopping the run and Alabama should be able to have a massive edge in the ground game on both ends of the field. Both of these teams played Tennessee in their most recent game, with A&M scoring a 45-38 win in overtime while Alabama won 49-10 on the road. That is a perfect snap shot of how different these teams are, and we look for the Tide to cover this big trap line with ease! 25* CFB "Clash of the Titans" Play on Alabama.

20* Play on Indiana (+3). Horrible spot here for Northwestern, who are caught in a letdown - look-ahead sandwich. The Wildcats scored back-to-back upsets against Iowa and Michigan State in their last two games, and have big showdowns against Ohio State and Wisconsin the next two weeks. That type of schedule leaves little room for concentration on the task at hand, and while Indiana is only 3-3 on the season they have played far better than that record indicates. The Hoosiers held their own against the Buckeyes and Cornhuskers, and while Northwestern finally put some numbers on the scoreboard the last two weeks they are still not what we would consider a "good" scoring offense (their offensive yardage did not match their scoring output the last two weeks). Indiana takes advantage of a weak NW secondary and wins this game outright as the Wildcats can't match the effort of their last two games! 20* CFB "High Noon Showdown" Play on Indiana.

20* Play on New England (-7). We backed the Patriots last week in their easy 20-point win (and 10-point cover) on the road in Cleveland. This Sunday marks Tom Brady's first home game since returning from suspension, and we expect the crowd to be even more invested and rowdy than usual. Brady put up over 400 yards passing, and it could have been more if the Browns had put up any type of fight offensively. Bengals were tabbed as one of the best teams in the preseason, but haven't lived up to expectations winning just twice in five games while going 1-3-1 at the betting window. That includes a pair of losses on the road at Pittsburgh and Dallas by more than a touchdown each. Bengals defense decent at stopping the run but has holes in their secondary, which spells doom against a rested and motivated Brady-led Pats offense. New England put up 33 points last week and may top that mark this week in another blowout victory! 20* NFL Blowout of the Month Play on New England.

25* Play on Ohio State (-10.5). This is the first matchup between these teams since they met in the Big Ten Championship Game two years ago. You may recall the Badgers were a 4-point neutral field favorite in that game and were demolished 59-0 as the Buckeyes went on to win it all. Buckeyes won't be an underdog this time around and certainly won't win by a near 60-point margin, but we do expect Ohio State to win this one by a surprising margin once again. Linesmakers are begging for action on the underdog with this high line, but we're not biting. Badgers don't have the offensive firepower to keep up with an Ohio State offense that is averaging 53 ppg, and while Wisconsin's defense has been great so far this year, Ohio State is doing even better, including the all-important stats of ppg and ypg. Buckeyes proved they can handle hostile environments with a convincing win and cover at Oklahoma - this is a different test as the Badgers don't have the type of offense Oklahoma does. Michigan proved you can run on this Badgers team, and we believe they certainly will. Too much talent on the Buckeyes sideline as they take a commanding lead early and never look back in a blowout! 25* CFB "King's Ransom" Play on Ohio State.

25* Play on Alabama (-13.5). Tennessee's luck finally ran out last Saturday, although they did have another incredible fourth quarter surge to force overtime, eventually falling by seven in overtime. That loss punctures the "sense of invincibility" that has surrounded this Volunteers program all season long, starting in Week 1 when they needed a missed field goal, missed extra point, and a recovered fumble in the end zone to get past Appalachian State. Now they face the top-ranked Crimson Tide, and the Vols don't have a prayer to stay close. Alabama will be able to run all over this Tennessee defense, and while the Vols passing game is decent, Tennessee also has a habit of committing turnovers, which is a huge determent against this Alabama defense that is forcing more than 2 TO's per game on the season. Vols high ranking means Alabama will take this game very seriously, and we give a big matchup advantage on both sides of the ball to the #1 team in the country. Alabama wins this one big! 25* CFB "Clash of the Champions" Play on Alabama.

20* Play on Pittsburgh (-7). Steelers offense was unstoppable last week vs. Kansas City, showing the rest of the league how dominant they are with RB Le'Veon Bell back in the lineup alongside the QB-toWR combination of Big Ben and Antonio Brown. Way too much offense then for a visiting Jets to keep up with, noting New York has been held to under 200 yards passing in half their games, and have scored just 20 points combined the last two weeks. We don't think New York will be able to do much on the ground against a Pittsburgh rush defense that has held three of their four foes to under 90 yards rushing. Add in the confidence built up from last week's dominant effort and this one has all the makings for an old fashioned blowout! 20* NFL Blowout of the Month Play on Pittsburgh.

30* Play on New England (-10.5). We remember what New England was like the last time they had something to prove - blowing every team out and running up the score in the aftermath of the spygate scandal. Week 1 of the Tom Brady Revenge World Tour begins this Sunday against the worst team in the league, and this line isn't anywhere close to high enough to scare us away from backing the favorite. Browns secondary has come up with some big plays the last few weeks to stay relatively close, but the way Miami and Washington played against the Browns it was clear those foes never took Cleveland seriously. Not so for Brady and the Pats this week, as Brady will be looking to make a statement and after suffering an embarrassing shutout loss last week against Buffalo, the entire Patriots roster will be looking to avenge last week's poor showing. Browns incapable of putting up a fight here as they are thoroughly outmatched on both sides of the ball. Pats jump out to a huge lead early and never take their foot off the gas pedal as they win this one by 3+ touchdowns! 30* 2016 NFL Game of the Year Play on New England.

20* Play on Arkansas (+14). Crimson Tide play their second true road game of the season this Saturday and are a heavy favorite to get past Arkansas. Alabama should win this game outright, however, we look for this game to be very close throughout and for the Razorbacks to stay within a touchdown at the final whistle. Arkansas has covered the spread against Alabama each of the last two years, including a slim one-point loss the last time these teams met up on this field. Tide should have lost their only true road game this year if not for an absolute implosion by Mississippi in the second half. Alabama to their credit played very well in their comeback victory, but showed they were susceptible against the pass and not at all invincible away from home. Arkansas has the balanced offense that matches up well with Alabama - having enough of a rushing threat that the Crimson Tide can ignore while also having enough firepower in their passing game to do some real damage. If the Razorbacks rush defense was better we could give them a chance of winning outright. Don't expect the outright upset be we do expect a very close final score as Alabama struggled from beginning to end! 20* CFB Shocker of the Month Play on Arkansas.