20* Play on Golden State (-5.5).

20* Play on Cleveland (+7).

20* Play on Cleveland.

25* Play on Cleveland (-5).

25* Play on Cleveland.

20* Play on Washington (+4.5).

20* Play on LA Clippers (-3.5).

20* Play on Toronto (-6).

20* Play on Chicago (+3).

20* Play on Cleveland (-3.5).

20* Play on San Antonio (-5).

20* Play on Toronto (-7.5).

20* Play on Cleveland (-2).

20* Play on Toronto (-9.5).

20* Play on Boston (-2).

20* Play on Toronto (-4.5).

20* Play on Memphis (-1.5).

20* Play on Cleveland (-9).

20* Play on Gonzaga (+1.5).

20* Play on Cleveland (-8.5).

20* Play on Oklahoma City (-5).

20* Play on Oklahoma City (-6).

20* Play on UCLA (Pk).

20* Play on Baylor (-3.5).

20* Play on Kansas (-5).

20* Play on Oregon (+1.5).

20* Play on Duke (-6.5).

20* Play on Oregon (-5).

20* Play on Arizona (-5).

20* Play on Villanova (-5.5).

20* Play on West Virginia (-2.5).

20* Play on Marquette (+1.5).

20* Play on Cincinnati (-3.5).

20* Play on USC (+6.5).

20* Play on Seton Hall (+1.5).

20* Play on Nevada (+6.5).

20* Play on Florida Gulf Coast (+12).

20* Play on Vanderbilt (-2).

20* Play on USC (-2.5).

20* Play on Kansas State (-2).

20* Play on Cleveland (-7.5).

20* Play on Houston (-6).

20* Play on Michigan (+2).

20* Play on Oklahoma City (+1).

20* Play on Oklahoma City (-4).

20* Play on Cleveland (-3).

20* Play on Cleveland (+1.5).

20* Play on Golden State (-6).

20* Play on Maryland (-6).

20* Play on Cleveland (-10).

20* Play on Arizona (-2).

20* Play on Oregon (-8).

20* Play on Villanova (-11).

20* Play on Wisconsin (-5).

20* Play on Oregon (-2.5).

20* Play on Michigan (+1).

20* Play on Maryland (+8).

20* Play on Arizona (-9).

20* Play on Xavier (+4).

20* Play on Ohio State (-4.5).

25* Play on Oregon (-12).

20* Play on Texas (+2).

20* Play on Villanova (-7).

20* Play on Notre Dame (-5).

20* Play on Oregon (-9.5).

20* Play on Arizona (-12.5).

20* Play on Oklahoma City (-7).

20* Play on Cleveland (-5.5).

20* Play on Cleveland (-4).

20* Play on Atlanta (+1).

20* Play on Boston (-2).

20* Play on Oklahoma City (+5).

20* Play on San Antonio (-8).

20* Play on Miami (-3.5).

20* Play on Miami (-6).

20* Play on Houston (-4).

20* Play on Toronto (-3.5).

20* Play on LA Clippers (-1).

20* Play on Atlanta (-4).

20* Play on Oklahoma City.

20* Play on San Antonio (-12.5).

20* Play on Washington (-1.5).

20* Play on Utah (-7.5).

20* Play on Boston (+1).

20* Play on Cleveland (-2). Cavs were blown out in both games played at Golden State, losing by wide margins of 15 and 33 points. But despite those lopsided scores, the only area statistically where Cleveland was struggling was their shooting. Cavs were held to 38% and 35% in those two losses, but did very well in rebounds (+8 in the two games combined) and were practically even in turnovers. Cleveland's shooting touch returned in Game Three on their home court, and they cruised to an easy 120-90 blowout, while also maintaining their dominance on the glass (+19). Cavs role players are clearly much more comfortable on their home court, and we expect to see another lopsided victory by the home side tonight. Kevin Love is listed as "probable" after suffering a concussion in Game Two, and while he sat out Thursday's game, he may see action here tonight. Love didn't play well at Golden State, but he has been far more effective at home this postseason anyway, and the way Richard Jefferson played in his absence on Thursday night means the Cavs have the option for a quick hook of Love if his struggles continue. The big concern for the Warriors is the play of star guard Curry, who has not been anywhere close to his normal self in any of the three games this series. Warriors were able to jump out to a 2-0 series lead despite Curry's poor play, but we don't believe that will be able to continue of Curry doesn't turn things around. Big edge in rebounding and the comfort of the role players on the home court are the two big factors tonight as the Cavs even the series! 20* NBA Playoffs "Watch Party" Play on Cleveland.

20* Play on Cleveland (+5.5). Not only is this a different Cavs team that Golden State faced last year in the NBA Finals (that club was missing Kevin Love, had a hobbled Kyrie Irving for Game One and missed Irving the rest of the series, and had little depth), but this is also a completely different team from the one Golden State beat twice in the regular season. Those two in-season meetings took place in December and January, and since that time, the Cavs have made a head coaching change that has resulted in an offensive-heavy, up-tempo style of play that matches up very well with the Warriors. Golden State is fortunate to even be here, as they had trailed the Thunder 3-1 prior to winning the last three games. The final two victories were heavily aided by Oklahoma City's poor three-point shooting - something Golden State shouldn't rely on in this series. Cavs three-point shooting - both in terms of volume and accuracy - has been at a season-best in these playoffs, and this Cleveland team has never been playing better. Can't say the same about Golden State, who does not look like the invincible club that set a regular season record for victories, and they looked extremely vulnerable last series against Oklahoma City. We noted in the Thunder's Game One road win here at Golden State that the opening game of a series is usually the best chance to score a road upset. Coupled with the Warriors in an obvious letdown spot after winning a Game Seven while Cleveland has rested, along with Cleveland's near victory last year in Game One of the NBA Finals with a depleted roster, and an outright Cavs win wouldn't surprise us in the least. Massive line value backing the visitor, who despite the weaker competition has looked to be the strongest team in the playoffs so far (based SOLELY on NBA Playoffs results). Grab the points for insurance as this one comes down to the wire! 20* NBA "Watch Party" Play on Cleveland.

20* Play on Oklahoma City (+7). Typically, backing the home team in a Game Seven of the NBA Playoffs is the smart play. But this series has been different than most, with the Oklahoma City Thunder already winning on the road in Game One, and Golden State needed a huge fourth quarter along with an unusually bad three-point shooting effort from the Thunder in Game Six to even force tonight's winner-takes-all matchup. Thunder finished just 3-23 from distance compared to Golden State's 21-44 three-point effort, and even with that big discrepancy the Thunder still had a shot of winning. OKC turned the ball over multiple times in the closing moments and the Warriors were able to steal the game late. If this game was close to a pick 'em, we would back the Warriors, and we do expect them to have a pretty good chance of winning this game outright. But we don't believe Oklahoma City will lose this game big, and we'll grab the points with the underdog here. Remember, OKC won outright the only time they played here in Golden State when NOT having a series lead (and therefore not "needing" to win while still able to keep home court advantage). Thunder also proved they could handle the pressure last series as they demolished a very good Spurs team. Warriors have not been able to contain OKC on the glass, and we expect the Thunder to win that battle again tonight. Warriors may win outright, but we don't count OKC out from an outright win and are very confidence they can stay within 7 points - as long as they don't go 3-23 from beyond the three-point arc again! 20* NBA "Watch Party" Play on Oklahoma City.

20* Play on Golden State (-7). After Oklahoma City upset the Warriors outright in Game One, they were blown out in Game Two. OKC had already accomplished what they wanted to do prior to that second game - winning a road game to steal home court advantage. Similar spot tonight as the Thunder were able to not only win both home games, but win convincingly, and they now hold a commanding 3-1 series lead. The way Golden State has played in those two road games has the Thunder already knowing that Game 6 is their best chance to win this series and advance to the NBA Finals, so they are once again in a big letdown spot here tonight. Warriors are dealing with pressure that they haven't had to face at any point this season, and we expect a desperate team to come out fighting. We just saw yesterday how Cleveland responded on their home court after a pair of disappointing losses on the road, and while we're not calling for a 40-point victory here, we do believe Golden State will take control of this one early and cruise to a blowout win and cover. Thunder are going to try to get out of town healthy and rested, putting all of their hopes on Saturday's Game Six. Huge discrepancy in terms of motivation tonight, and we'll back the home side to win this one wire-to-wire! 20* NBA "Watch Party" Play on Golden State.

20* Play on Oklahoma City (+2). Apparently winning by 28 points two days ago had no effect whatsoever on the linesmakers, who put up a very similar line tonight compared to Sunday's Game Three line. Thunder are embracing the underdog role in this series much the same way they did last series against San Antonio, and we'll back them to win outright on their home floor (though, not in the neighborhood of 30 points again) and take a commanding 3-1 series lead. Thunder lost Game Two on the road in an obvious letdown spot, but that doesn't apply here on their home court, and they have been the far more aggressive team so far in this series. OKC finished with a 50% shooting percentage and more importantly to us, they were +12 in free throw attempts and +14 in rebounds. Golden State never had to deal with any real adversity over the course of the regular season and through the first two rounds of the playoffs, and judging by Draymon Green's antics in Game Three, they are clearly rattled. Green was able to avoid suspension, but he will be closely watched by the referees tonight. Golden State has put up a historic season but this OKC team is exactly the type of squad that matches up well against them - able to match their high scoring output while much more physical in the paint (rebounds). Thunder won their last two home games against San Antonio by double-digits when they had momentum, and they clearly have it right now in this series. 20* NBA Playoffs "Watch Party" Play on Oklahoma City.

25* Play on Cleveland (-5). Cavs keep on marching through the playoffs and after winning the first two games of this series by a combined 50 points, they are now a perfect 10-0 straight up. We didn't like the idea of laying double-digits in a Conference Finals setting in Games 1 and 2, but Cleveland proved worthy of that praise by the linesmakers and the Raptors have had absolutely no answer for Cleveland's high-octane offense. Raptors clearly wanted to take away the three-point shooting that Cleveland demolished Atlanta with in the previous round, but that only opened up the paint and the Cavs have taken advantage. Kyrie Irving can't be stopped one-on-one and that is leading to a number of easy baskets at the rim. If Toronto does begin to double-team and collapse at the rim, then Cleveland's three-point game starts to take over. Raptors have not been able to step up their game since the playoffs began, and have actually lost their first home game of both of the previous playoff series. On the other side, Cleveland has come out to make a statement in their first road game of a series, beating Detroit by 10 points and Atlanta by 13 points to take a commanding 3-0 series lead. We fully expect another double-digit victory tonight as Toronto simply has had no answer and their confidence is obviously shaken. Cavs continue to roll, and we'll back them at our highest 25* rating now that the pointspread is back to respectable levels! 25* NBA "Black Reign" Play on Cleveland.

20* Play on Golden State (-8.5). After backing the Thunder in each of their last three games, we are going to fade OKC tonight in a horrible motivational spot for the visitor. Road teams tend to take the mentality of wanting to win one of the first two games on the road and return back home with home court advantage. The Thunder already accomplished that goal, and now find themselves in a big letdown spot. On the other side, Golden State is now in "panic mode", after blowing a double-digit halftime lead and letting the Thunder back in the game. That was just the third time Golden State has lost on their home court all season long, and while we thought OKC had a shot of keeping it close in the series opener, even we didn't expect OKC to win that game outright. Warriors don't let their foot off the gas pedal this time around and play with much more urgency than they did in Game One. This line is still a little high, but we like the Warriors to open a sizeable lead by half time and then cruise to the blowout win with the pointspread never being a factor! 20* NBA Playoffs "Watch Party" Play on Golden State.

20* Play on Oklahoma City (+8). Thunder have been kind to us with a pair of outright underdog victories against San Antonio in Games 5 and 6 (the line moved late in Game 6 and closed with the Thunder as a one-point home favorite), and we'll stay with them again here in Game One looking for a Golden State victory by a slim margin. Warriors have owned OKC in the regular season, winning all three matchups, but the Thunder didn't play poorly in those losses (averaged 110 ppg) and they are playing better now than at any point in the season. Let's not forget that the Thunder just got past an exceptional San Antonio team that started that series with home court advantage, and the Thunder have taken a step down from their amazing regular season performance. We do not think Golden State will lose this game outright on their home court, but the Thunder are playing with a ton of confidence right now and they have the scoring ability needed to keep up with the Warriors. OKC is 14-6 ATS playing with same-season revenge, and Game One is the best chance for a visitor to steal an upset on the road (look at both Toronto series). Thunder keep this one close and while they fall short of the outright upset, they stay well within this generous number! 20* NBA Playoffs "Watch Party" Play on Oklahoma City.

20* Play on Oklahoma City (+1.5). We noted in Game Five's handicapping report that the Thunder were not intimidated by this Spurs team, and the longer this series plays out, the harder it gets for San Antonio to win. Spurs age is beginning to catch up to them, and while Tony Parker has already lost a step, Tim Duncan is now becoming less and less relevant. OKC made a strong second-half comeback to steal Game Five and they now have a chance to end this series on their home court. Spurs were a big favorite to win this series and remain favored to win this Game Six outright. We don't agree, and based on the way this series has played out (including two OKC wins on the road at San Antonio), there's not a good reason for the Thunder being a home underdog here. OKC has crushed the Spurs on the glass, going +11, +7, +10, and most recently +19 in rebounds. Spurs have been able to slow the game pace down so far, but that becomes much harder on the road, and Oklahoma City put up 111 points the last time they played here (won by 14 points). Don't believe the Spurs will panic in an elimination game setting, but we also don't believe they have the stamina to keep up with this fast-paced OKC team on their home court. Don't look for a blowout here, but OKC will win this game outright and advance to face the Warriors in the Western Conference Finals! 20* NBA Playoffs "Watch Party" Play on Oklahoma City.

20* Play on Oklahoma City (+7). After San Antonio blew out the Thunder in Game One, this series became hotly contested and the Thunder have proven they aren't intimidated by the Spurs whatsoever. Oklahoma City came back to win Game Two (in a wild finish), and also played well at home (splitting 1-1) so this is now a a de facto best of three series. And while we wouldn't be surprised to see the Spurs win this game outright, we don't believe they will win by a wide margin, and we'll gladly take the generous points looking for another close finish tonight. OKC has outscored San Antonio by a combined 11 points since that Game One loss, and managed to out-shoot and out-rebound the Spurs in two of the last three games. Many sports bettors like to back the "zig-zag" theory in the NBA Playoffs, backing the team that lost the previous game, but we don't buy into that theory at all. These are two of the four elite teams in the league (along with Golden State and Cleveland), and they both need to be treated as such. We don't have much to say negatively against San Antonio, rather this is simply a value play as the Spurs are being asked to cover a large number against a quality foe that has proven to be a tough matchup. This game goes down to the wire with the outright winner being decided late, and regardless of whoever emerges victories, this one stays close to the end! 20* NBA Playoffs "Watch Party" Play on Oklahoma City.

25* Play on Cleveland (-5). Ever since they pulled away late in the fourth quarter of Game One, the Cavs have completely dominated this series in just about every facet of the game. They set an NBA record for three-pointers made in Game Two and were able to rest all of their starters for the final quarter and a half in a blowout. Game Three was similar to Game One, as the Hawks put up a decent run to take the lead (20-5 run to close the first half), but the Cavs completely took it over when it mattered, crushing the Hawks in the fourth quarter and winning by a comfortable double-digit margin for the third time this series. Atlanta has still not made many adjustments defensively to stop the Cavs three-point shooting, and there's no reason to believe they'll suddenly turn things around now. Being down 3-0 in a series is a huge blow to the confidence and motivation of the losing side, giving them little reason to even try to win here as it would only extend the inevitable and force them to hit the road again. Atlanta was out-rebounded 65-34 in Game Three, and if not for an uncommonly high 18 turnovers, the margin of victory would be even higher. Cleveland hasn't lost all season to the Hawks and are playing their best basketball now than at any point of the regular season. Hawks now 7-24 ATS in the second round of the playoffs after going 0-3 ATS in this series, and are a paltry 1-8 ATS playing with triple-revenge. No motivation on the home side as their season comes to an end this afternoon in yet another blowout! 25* NBA "Black Reign" Play on Cleveland.

20* Play on Cleveland (-2). Cavs put on an offensive show in Game Two, jumping out to an insurmountable 74-38 lead at halftime and finishing with an NBA record 25 made three-point attempts (record for any NBA game - not just playoffs). And while that shooting effort was indeed spectacular, Atlanta didn't do much to stop it. Hawks never once made an adjustment to run the Cleveland shooters off the three-point line, and before halftime the Hawks were clearly defeated. The final winning margin of 25 points doesn't accurately depict how much Cleveland dominated in that game - an effort we believe will propel them to another win and effort tonight. Atlanta hasn't beaten Cleveland all season long, not only losing all four games in Cleveland by double-digits (including playoffs), but also falling at home (as a favorite) in the lone game played here in Atlanta. Cavs are peaking at the right time in these playoffs and haven't lost yet, while Atlanta needed six games to get past Boston and have been held to under 41% shooting four times this postseason. Atlanta certainly is a better team on their home floor than they are as a visitor, and we do not expect the Cavs to put in 25 three-pointers again, but the Hawks also haven't showed any confidence that leads us to believe they can beat the Cavs straight up either. Cleveland is doing everything they want to at the offensive end of the floor, and there isn't any matchup for Atlanta when they have the ball that they can take advantage of (no one-on-one advantage). Atlanta is just 7-23 ATS in the second round of the playoffs, and the way they lost Game Two might have just sucked all hope out of this club. This line doesn't at all reflect the way Cleveland dominated Atlanta in the final stretch of Game One and the entire 48 minutes of Game Two, and the better team wins out again tonight! 20* NBA "Watch Party" Play on Cleveland.

20* Play on Toronto (-4.5). While we can't reveal the specific of our "Secret System", we can tell you that it involves playing on certain home teams after losing Game One of a playoff series. This is actually the same exact system we used when we backed Toronto in Game Two against the the Pacers. In that game, the Raptors were coming off an outright home loss against the Pacers as a big seven-point favorite, and rebounded to win Game Two by 11 points (also covered the spread). Toronto didn't play poorly in Game One vs. Miami, as they finished with the exact same shooting percentage (40-89, 45%) as the Heat, but Miami was better from distance and held a huge edge in rebounds, which was the deciding factor. That rebounding discrepancy did not follow what had happened in the regular season, and we don't believe Miami will be able to count on another +15 rebounding edge tonight. Typically road teams take the mentality of winning one of the two road games to begin a series and head back to their home court with home court advantage. When those road teams win the first game, they already accomplished that goal, and thus fall into a "letdown" spot in Game Two. Raptors have been far from their top form in this postseason, but have still earned our respect on their home court, going 35-11 straight up this season (including playoffs). Raptors make up for Game One's loss with a solid effort tonight - much like they did last series! 20* NBA "Secret System" Play on Toronto.

25* Play on Cleveland (-7). We viewed the fourth quarter of Game One as a possible microcosm of how this series will likely play out. Cavs proved the be the superior team over the first three quarters - building an 18-point lead towards the end of the third. Atlanta did make a strong push and try to compete - even taking a brief one-point lead with about four minutes to play. But the Cavs simply dominated down the stretch, ending the game on a commanding 17-5 run to put Atlanta away. That four quarter showed us Cleveland can win easily when properly motivated, and the Hawks simply don't have the skill to match up with this loaded Cleveland team. Hawks shooting woes - which surfaced against Boston - continued on Monday night finishing just 38% from the floor and also settling for way too many three point shots (34). Cleveland had 31 three-point attempts, however, that has been a big focus in their offense since Tyrone Lue took over as head coach so that wasn't anything out of the ordinary. The 11-point margin of victory on Monday night means Cleveland has beat Atlanta by double-digits in all three home games this season, and we expect that trend to continue again tonight. Hawks have to feel like they let their best chance of a road upset get away from them, and they manner in which they fell apart on Monday can't be viewed as a confidence-builder. Also, Cavs were able to get a "wake up call" with tight fourth quarter and still win the game, which should have them extremely focused for tonight's Game Two. Monday's loss drops Atlanta under .500 on the road this season (including playoffs), and everything statistically and motivationally points towards another double-digit win by the favorite tonight! 25* NBA "King's Ransom" Play on Cleveland.

20* Play on Toronto (-5.5). While we can't reveal the exact specifics of our "Secret System", we can tell you that it involves playing on certain home teams in a Game Seven setting. Miami did not qualify for this NBA Playoffs system today, but Toronto does, so we'll back the Raptors to win by a convincing margin and advance to the next round. After losing Game One on their home floor, Toronto came back to take Game Two by an 1-point margin, and immediately regained home court advantage with a Game Three road victory. Since then, the home team has won every game in this series. The key statistical factor so far has been Toronto's shooting percentage - when they are held under 40% shooting they are 0-3, but 3-0 when they aren't. Raptors are very comfortable offensively here at home (where they are a dominant 34-10 straight up) scoring 104.4 ppg on 45.5% shooting on the season (including playoffs). Extra buzz in the crows with this being a decisive Game Seven and therefore an obvious elimination scenario, and these types of environments tend to have a negative impact on the visiting team. By this time in a seven-game series, there are no surprises in terms of lineups, matchups, and offensive/defensive sets - this game will really just come down to which side will execute better. Toronto has been one of the most underrated teams all season long, and from a generic standpoint we are backing a team that is 34-10 on their home court against a team that owns a losing 20-24 record on the road. Raptors 7-1 straight up and 6-2 ATS at home vs. the Pacers the last few years, and they add to that mark with a fast start tonight, and a solid fourth quarter as they pull away to the decisive win and cover! 20* NBA "Secret System" Play on Toronto.

20* Play on Charlotte (-2). While we didn't expect it, Charlotte was able to pull off the big upset in Miami in Game Five, winning 90-88 as a 5.5-point underdog. That upset was particularly surprising considering how poorly Charlotte played in Miami during the first two games, losing by blowout margins of 32 and 12 points. And we're still not entirely sure the Heat lost that game at home, as they won the game statistically out-shooting Charlotte 42% to 39% and also having a 55-50 rebounding edge and more free throw attempts (Charlotte did most of their damage with a big edge in three-point shooting). As it stands now, Miami is now facing elimination on the road against a supremely confident team that has been awesome on their home court all season (32-11 straight up), and this is an awful spot for the visitor. We'll back the Hornets to win their first playoff series in 14 years behind what should be an extremely loud home crowd, and we point to Miami's two scores of 80 and 85 points the first two games played here in Charlotte as evidence. Miami was held to under 40% shooting in both of those SU and ATS losses, and have not been able to make the necessary adjustments offensively as they have been held under 90 points in three straight games now. Miami is not a good road team (20-23 straight up and ATS) and clearly lost any momentum they had after winning the first two games of this series. Hornets defense leads the way as they advance to the next round in convincing fashion! 20* NBA Playoffs "Watch Party" Play on Charlotte.