MIKE'S NINERS/CHIEFS TOTAL

I've backed the Chiefs for profits in every game through the postseason, and I think they're undervalued by the betting market once again here in the Super Bowl. Their defense is so underrated, and combine that with a future Hall of Fame quarterback in Patrick Mahomes and you have a team that should not be an underdog to anyone. 

In addition to backing the Chiefs, I also like the under as I think the defenses will dominate the game.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MAX BET ALERT: 5* NFC CHAMPIONSHIP TOTAL OF THE YEAR

The Detroit Lions are coming off a 31-23 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and they are 12-7 to the over on the season. Sure, here they'll face a much better defense, but even so, the Niners D has not been quite as dominant as in previous seasons.

Detroit has a lot more upside with the ball in their hands than on defense, and I like the over in this game even with this total which is on the higher side, especially for a playoff game.  

5* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

MAX BET ALERT - 5* GB/SF DIV PLAYOFFS TOTAL OF THE YEAR

The Green Bay Packers put up 48 points against the Cowboys in Dallas in the Wild Card round, but they'll face a much tougher defense here against the San Francisco 49ers in the Divisional Playoffs. The Niners have the third-best scoring defense in the NFL holding opponents to 17.5 points per game, and I think they'll be able to take an early lead and then start to bleed clock.  

I would lean to the 49ers to cover the spread as long as it's under 10, but I'm worried about the backdoor cover and feel that the under is a much better play. 

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 5* NFL WILD CARD WEEKEND TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

Sure, the Dallas Cowboys are averaging 37.4 points per game at AT&T Stadium and the Green Bay Packers have looked much better than expected with Jordan Love as the starting QB, but I think this total is way too high for a postseason game. 

Both teams have played quite well on the defensive side of the ball in recent games and the under is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

MAX BET ALERT: 5* BEARS/PACKERS NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH

The Chicago Bears are coming off a 37-17 win over Atlanta. They have scored 27 points or more in three of their last four games, the exception a 17-point outing against a Cleveland Browns team that boasts the best defense in the NFL. The Green Bay Packers have scored 33 points in back-to-back games and 20 points or more in each of their last seven games. 

Over is 12-2 in Packers last 14 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Bears last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

5* PLAY ON THE OVER.

MIKE'S 4* TEXANS/COLTS NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Indianapolis Colts are 11-5 to the over while the Houston Texans are 10-6 to the under. 

The Colts won 31-20 when they clashed with Houston back in September, but I think this will be a much lower-scoring affair as I expect both teams to be relatively conservative as they're playing for the AFC South title. 

Houston rookie QB CJ Stroud has been stealing most of the headlines from the rest of the team (and deservedly so), but the Texans defense has been sneaky good.

The Texans limited the Titans to three points last week; the under is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game and 9-3 in Texans last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MAX BET ALERT: 5* PACKERS/VIKINGS NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

Both the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings are in the hunt for a wild card, and both teams have found their groove when on the ball. The Packers have scored 20 points or more in six straight games and the Vikes have proven to be surprisingly competitive with Nick Mullens under center. 

The over is 7-1 in Vikings last 8 games in December and 4-0 in Packers last 4 games in December.

5* PLAY ON THE OVER.

5* MAX BET ALERT: COWBOYS/DOLPHINS NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

Both teams are 8-6 to the over on the season, but I think we'll see a low-scoring affair relative to the posted total. While the two teams' offenses usually get the headlines, note that they're both top 6 for total defense. The under is 8-3 in Cowboys last 11 road games and 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 4* SAINTS/RAMS NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY

The New Orleans Saints are 10-4 to the under on the season and they've held their last two opponents to six points each. The Los Angeles Rams have been involved in high-scoring affairs of late, but I think they'll find it difficult to move the ball against this Saints defense. 

The under is 24-8 in Rams last 32 games as a home favorite and 7-0 in Saints last 7 games as a road underdog. The under is 10-2-1 in Saints last 13 Thursday games.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 4* PACKERS/GIANTS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The New York Giants are 9-3 to the under on the season. They are averaging a miserable 13.2 points per game (31st) and an NFL-worst 258.7 yards of total offense per game. The Packers have scored 23, 29, and 27 points through a three-game winning streak, but note that the under is 5-1 in Packers last 6 Monday night games and 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 7-1-1 in Giants last 9 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S BILLS/CHIEFS NFL TOTAL BOOKIE BU$TER

Both teams are 8-4 to the under on the season. The Chiefs defense is one of the most underrated units in the NFL and their offense hs not looked quite right lately. Through their last five games, the Chiefs have been held to 9, 21, 17, 31 and 19 points.  

The Bills took a 37-34 loss in Philadelphia before their bye week. The under is 6-2 in Bills last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

3* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 5* NFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Detroit Lions are averaging 27.2 points per game overall, but that number drops a bit when they're playing on the road. The Bears rank 2nd in total defense home at Soldier Field with an average of only 261.6 yards allowed per game. 

The Chicago Bears offense has been anemic all season, and they've been held to 17 points or fewer in four of their last five games. 

Detroit won the first meeting of the season 31-26 back on Nov 19, but I think we'll see a lower-scoring game this time around. 

The under is 9-3 in Lions last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 4-1 in Lions last 5 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. 

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 5* COLTS/TITANS NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Tennessee Titans have scored more than 17 points in only one of their last seven games.

The Indianapolis Colts defense has come around following a poor start to the year and has held opponents to 13, 6, and 20 points through their last three games.

Offensively, the Colts will be without the 2021 NFL rushing champion Jonathan Taylor who underwent thumb surgery earlier this week. 

The under is 6-0 in Colts' last 6 games as a road favorite and 31-14 in their last 45 games in December.

The under is 18-6 in Titans' last 24 home games and, 6-2 in Titans last 8 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0 and 6-2 in Titans last 8 games in December.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 5* BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP TOTAL OF THE YEAR

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are averaging 30.2 points per game and while Texas is holding opponents to 325.3 yards per game (27th), they are much better at stopping the run than the pass.

Okie State has a well-balanced offense that ranks 50th on the ground and 40th through the air, and Texas has injuries on the defensive side of ball. 

As for the Cowboys' defense, there are holes to exploit and they've given up 30+ points in consecutive games, both as favorites, and now they're coming up against one of the best teams in the nation.

I would not be surprised if both teams put up 30+ points in this game, and I love the over. 

5* PLAY ON OVER. 

MIKE'S 5* M.N.F. TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Minnesota Vikings are 8-3 to the under on the season and the under is 6-0 in the Vikings last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.

The Chicago Bears had scored 13, 17 and 16 points in their past three games before putting up 26 points in a loss at Detroit last week. They looked a lot better with Justin Fields back under center, but this is still a bad Bears offense and the Vikes are allowing only 320.6 yards per game (12th).

The Bears have more success running the ball than throwing, but stopping the run is the Vikes strength on D, so this is an unfavorable matchup for Chicago. 

As for the Vikings offense, Kirk Cousins is done for the year, and star wideout Justin Jefferson has been dealing with a hamstring injury. He's been reported as "unlikely to play", and I fully expect him to sit as their bye week is coming up. There's no reason for them to gamble and not let Jefferson heal up completely. 

The Vikings won 19-13 when these two teams clashed in Chicago back in October. I would not be surprised if we see a similar scoreline tonight. 

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 5* AFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Kansas City Chiefs are 8-2 to the under while the Las Vegas Raiders are 9-2 to the under.

The Chiefs offense has not looked right lately, with only 9, 21, and 17 points scored through their last three games and they've been held to 21 points or fewer in four of their last five games.

The Raiders have scored 16 and 13 points, against the Jets and the Dolphins respectively, in their last two games, and here they'll face a truly elite defense in the Chiefs. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S 5* ACC TOTAL OF THE YEAR

The Virginia Tech Hokies are 7-4 to the over while the Virginia Cavaliers are 8-2-1 to the over.

Virginia has allowed 27 points or more in each of its last five games while the Hokies have allowed 34+ points in two of their last three games.

The Cavaliers rush defense is among the worst in the nation and Virginia Tech is averaging a solid 168.7 rushing yards per game. 

5* PLAY ON OVER. 

MIKE'S 4* EAGLES/CHIEFS M.N.F. TOTAL TOP PLAY

I've said it before and I'll say it again; the Kansas City Chiefs' defense just might be one of the most underrated units in the NFL. That might seem like a weird statement about a team that just won the Super Bowl, but they rarely get the headlines despite ranking 4th in total defense while allowing only 15.9 points per game which ranks 2nd in the NFL.

The Chiefs are 7-2 to the under on the season and since the beginning of last season, they are 9-4 to the under against teams with a win percentage of 50% or more.

The Eagles' offense is flying high, but I think the Chiefs will dictate the tempo of this game and make it a low-scoring affair.  

4* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S 5* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Arizona Cardinals picked up their second win of the season when they defeated Atlanta 25-23 last week.

That was QB Kyler Murray's first game since suffering an ACL injury in December last year, and we should see a more effective Arizona offense now in the second half of the season. 

The Houston Texans are coming off a 30-27 win at Cincinnati and rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud keeps impressing under center. I think this will be a shootout as I expect solid play from both quarterbacks while both teams rank in the bottom third for total defense. 

5* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

MIKE'S 4* BRONCOS/BILLS MNF BEST BET

The primetime games are an incredible 24-7 to the under for the season, and I think this total is set way to high to not take advantage of. 

Sure, the Broncos rank dead last in total defense with 405.9 yards and 28.2 points allowed per game for the season, but they're coming off their bye week, so they'll have fresh legs and they've kept three straight opponents under 20 points. 

The Bills have not looked quite right in recent weeks, averaging a mediocre 20.2 points per game through their last five games. 

4* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S 5* NFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

This looks like a great spot to back the under, as I expect max effort from Dallas' defense after giving up 28 points in a loss in Philadelphia last week. 

The first meeting of the season ended with a 40-0 Cowboys win at MetLife Stadium, and that was with Daniel Jones under center for the Giants. Now they'll have rookie quarterback Tommy DeVito going up against one of the best defenses in the NFL ... 

The only risk of this losing is if the Cowboys decide to run up the score, but even so, they might need to score 38+ points themselves for us to lose. I would not be as tempted to back the Cowboys on the spread though, as they might feel comfortable just shutting down after going up by a couple of scores. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

5* MAX BET: MIKE'S PANTHERS/BEARS NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH

The Carolina Panthers are 5-3 to the under on the season and they were held to only 13 points and 275 yards of total offense in a loss to the Colts last week. That was against an Indianapolis team that has struggled on the defensive side of the ball all season long, and here they'll face a Bears defense that ranks 19th in total defense and has been great at stopping the run.

As for Chicago's offense it has much like Carolina, struggled to move the ball for most of the season and the Bears have put up a total of only 30 points through their last two games. This is a low total, but I still like the under as I don't see either team being able to run up the score. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S 5* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Los Angeles Rams are 5-3 to the under for the season, and starting QB Matthew Stafford is unlikely to play here due to an injured right thumb. Brett Rypien is the Rams backup QB, which is a huge step down in class and the Rams do not have much of a run game to lean on.

As for the Packers, they've struggled to move the ball all season long averaging only 287.0 yards of total offense. Over their last three games, the Packers have scored 13, 17 and 10 points.

This feels like a 20-17 win for either team. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S CFB BEDLAM TOTAL BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Oklahoma Sooners are 5-3 to the over while the Oklahoma State Cowboys have a 4-4 over/under record, but I think this game will go under the posted total.

Both offenses have been clicking, but the two teams are very familiar with each other and last season, the Sooners won 28-13 with a closing total of 69.5 here in Stillwater. 

3* PLAY ON UNDER. 

5* BEST BET: MIKE'S CFB TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The bookmakers keep lowering the totals for the service academy games but never seem to be able to set them low enough.

As for Army vs Air Force matchups, only one of the last six meetings went over this total.

Air Force is allowing only 237.9 total yards per game (3rd) while Army ranks 71st with 378 total yards allowed per game.

The reasoning for this under is simple: both teams will run the ball all game long, and the clock with keep ticking during long drives. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

5* BEST BET: MIKE'S CFB TOTAL OF THE MONTH

The over/under is 7-1 in Massachusetts' eight games this season and 4-3 in Army's seven games.

The Minutemen will have fresh legs coming off their bye week, and they'll be eager to get back on the scoreboard after getting shut out in a brutal 63-0 loss at Penn State two weeks ago.

Believe it or not, but Army is in even worse shape after getting shut out in back-to-back games(!) against Troy and LSU. This looks like a good spot for Army's running game to get going again against a UMass defense that is allowing 223.4 rushing yards per game and 6.0 yards per carry. 

No one expects a lot of points, but I think we'll see floodgates open here following the score-draught. 

5* PLAY ON OVER. 

4* TOP PLAY: MIKE'S NINERS/VIKINGS NFL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Vikings are 5-1 to the under on the season and through their last three games, they've scored 21 points at Carolina, 20 points against KC and 19 points at Chicago. You really would have expected them to put up bigger numbers against teams like the Panthers and the Bears, and now they'll face one of the best defenses in the league.

Defensively, the Vikes have been decent as well, and they're good at stopping the run, which should come in handy against a team like San Francisco. I like the Niners to jump out to an early lead and then start bleeding the clock to shorten the game. 

4* PLAY ON UNDER. 

5* BEST BET: MIKE'S NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Cleveland Browns have scored a total of only 22 points through their last two games. They managed to defeat the Niners 19-17 last week despite the absence of starting quarterback Deshaun Watson who is expected to get the start here, but is he really 100% fit? 

Whether we see Watson on the field or not, I expect the Colts' defense to bring the heat here after giving up 37 points to Jacksonville last week. 

As for Cleveland's defense, it ranks No.1 for several key metrics and should not have any issues to contain Colts backup quarterback Gardner Minshew. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S JAGS/SAINTS T.N.F. BOOKIE BU$TER

The New Orleans Saints are 6-0 to the under while Jacksonville has a 3-3 over/under record. I would not be surprised to see the Jags coming out flat on offense here after putting up 37 points on the Colts last week. QB Trevor Lawrence injured his left knee late in the game and was limited at practice on Tuesday and Wednesday, and here the Jags will face a Saints defense that ranks 5th in total defense and 5th against the pass. 

3* PLAY ON UNDER. 

4* TOP PLAY - COWBOYS/CHARGERS M.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER

The Chargers have one of the best QBs in the league in Justin Herbert, but they do not pose much of a threat on the ground and here they'll run into one of the best pass defenses in the league. I also expect the Dallas defense to come out extra motivated after giving up 42 points to the Niners last week.

While the Chargers will come out fresh from their bye, I think Dallas will do its best to slow down the pace, and offensively, the Cowboys have mustered a total of only 26 points through its last two road games. 

On the season on the season, Monday and Thursday games are a combined 9-4 to the under and all games with a closing total of 50 or higher are 5-2 to the under.

4* PLAY ON UNDER. 

4* TOP PLAY - MIKE'S GEORGIA/VANDERBILT TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Vanderbilt Commodores are 6-0-1 to the over on the season, and I expect to see another high-scoring affair when they host Georgia Saturday afternoon. 

The Bulldogs are as per usual boasting one of the best defenses in the nation, but Vandy QB Ken Seals has thrown for 539 yards, four touchdowns, and one INT while starting the Commodores' past two games instead of AJ Swann who could not stop turning the ball over, and despite Swann's struggles, the team ranks 37th on the season with 274.4 passing yards per game. 

As for the Bulldog's offense, they rank 8th for total offense and they have the 10th best scoring offense in the nation averaging 40.7 points per game. They just put up 51 points on Kentucky, and here they'll face a Vandy defense that ranks  12th in the SEC in pass-efficiency defense. 

4* PLAY ON OVER. 

5* BEST BET - Mike's Broncos/Chiefs NFL Total of the Month

The Broncos' defense is almost historically bad so this could get ugly in a hurry, but I still like the under as KC can go into time management mode and churn clock with long drives after jumping out to a big lead. The Broncos have looked decent when on the ball in recent weeks, but here they'll face a Chiefs defense that may not get a lot of headlines, but certainly can hold its own.

Since the start of last season, Chiefs games with a total closing at 50 points or higher are 11-4 to the under. 

5* play on UNDER. 

Mike's 4* Packers/Raiders M.N.F. Total BEST BET

'The 1-3 Las Vegas Raiders will be looking to end a three-game skid, and I like them to get the W here against a 2-2 Green Bay team that has had mixed results.

Vegas expects to get starting QB Jimmy Garoppolo back from a concussion and running back Josh Jacobs should finally wake up here against a Packers defense that allows 155.2 rushing yards per game.

Don't get me wrong; the Raiders are not a good team, but they match up fairly well against Green Bay and they get a chance to end a three-game slide in just their second home game of the season. 

I like the under even more though. Green Bay ranks 29th in total offense and 24th in yards per play. Vegas ranks 28th in total offense and 22nd in yards per play. Vegas has not scored more than 18 points in any games this season, but its defense ranks around average. The over/under is 1-3 in Vegas' games this season. 

4* play on UNDER. 

4* BIG BET - Mike's Chiefs/Vikings NFL Total of the Week

The Minnesota Vikings are 3-1-1 to the under on the season as they average only 22.5 points per game (25th) despite averaging 370.8 yards per game (9th) and 6.4 yards per play (3rd).

Untimely turnovers have cost them, but I think we'll see a locked-in Vikes offense here against a KC defense that might not be quite as good as the numbers would suggest. KC is allowing only 15.0 points per game, but its last three opponents have been Jacksonville, Chicago, and the NY Jets.

As for the Chiefs offense, you never have to worry about them putting up points.

I expect to see this one go over the total. 

4* play on OVER. 

Mike's Georgia Tech/Miami-FL CFB BOOKIE BU$TER

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 4-1 to the over on the season, but I think this will be a relatively low-scoring affair.

Miami-Florida has held its four opponents to 3, 33, 7, and 7 points, and while they've played a soft schedule, you can only defend against who's in front of you, and they've done it well. Also, the Hurricanes are coming off their bye week, so they're coming into the game fresh and healthy and expect to get several key defensive starters back from injury.  

3* play on UNDER. 

5* BEST BET - Mike's Oklahoma/Texas Total of the Month

The Texas Longhorns are 4-1 to the under on the season. They've allowed more than 14 points in only one game, and that was a in their 34-24 win at Alabama in Week 2. Oklahoma has held its opponents to 0, 11, 17, 6 and 20 points. The Sooners have the No. 3 scoring offense in the nation, but this will be their first game against a ranked opponent. Both teams are capable of putting up big numbers, but I think defense will rule this game. 

5* play on UNDER. 

4* BIG BET - Mike's Broncos/Bears NFL Total of the Week

The Denver Broncos came into the season with a supposedly strong defense but question marks whether veteran QB Russell Wilson still got what it takes.

Instead, Denver ranks dead last in total defense and yards allowed per play. while offensively, the Broncos rank 15th in total offense and 5th in yards per play.

The Bears defense ranks 30th in total defense and yards allowed per play. I think this will be a high-scoring affair. 

4* play on OVER. 

Mike's Browns/Steelers NFL Total BOOKIE BREAKER

The Steelers took a 30-7 loss to the Niners in Week 1 while Cleveland is coming off a 24-3 win over Cincinnati. 

The Steelers offense is extremely limited with Kenny Pickett under center (he finished last season with more INTs than TDs), and they'll be without receiver Diontae Johnson and running back Anthony McFarland Jr.

The Browns' defense looked extremely solid against the Bengals and held Joe Burrow to 82 yards passing. 

Still, never underestimate the Steelers, especially not at home, as an underdog, off a loss, against a divisional rival.

I think Mike Tomlin will have a plan in place to keep this a tight and low-scoring game. 

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's 4* Commanders/Broncos NFL Total Game of the Week TOP PLAY

Washington defeated Arizona 20-16 in Week 1, but while they got the win it wasn't pretty. The Commanders had only 248 yards of total offense, and would most likely have lost to just about any other team in the league with that kind of performance.

Denver meanwhile took a 17-16 loss to Las Vegas, and while Russell Wilson completed 27 of 34 pass attempts and threw for two TDs, note that he finished with only 177 passing yards.

I'm not sure if even Sean Payton can get what's needed out of Russell Wilson, and here they'll run into a very tough Washington defense. 

Bet this TOP PLAY on the UNDER with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Jets/Cowboys NFL Total BOOKIE BOMBER

Dallas shut out the Giants on primetime in Week 1, and here they'll face a Jets team that will be without Aaron Rodgers for the rest of the season, and there's a major drop-off to backup QB Zach Wilson. The Jets still have an elite defense though. They return eight starters from a unit that ranked No. 4 in scoring and No. 4 in yards allowed last season and they limited the Bills to only 16 points in their Week 1 matchup. 

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll.

Mike's Bears/Bucs NFL Total BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Bears took a 38-20 loss to Green Bay in Week 1 while Tampa Bay recorded a 20-17 upset win at Minnesota. I think the Bears' defense will do a lot better here against a Tampa Bay team that will struggle to move the ball this season, but I don't think points will come easy for Chicago either. 

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll.

Mike's Vikings/Eagles T.N.F. Total BOOKIE BREAKER

The Vikings took a 20-17 home loss to the Bucs in Week 1 and now they have to travel to Philly to take on last season's Super Bowl runner-up, the Eagles. Philadelphia opened the season with a 25-20 win against New England, and I have a feeling that few teams will be able to put up that many points against the Pats this season. 

The Vikings defense was never really put to the test by the Bucs, but they sure will in this one. Offensively, the Vikes committed three turnovers and had several costly penalties that hurt their offense.

I like Philly to rack up a decent amount of points, but playing from behind should force Minnesota to open up, and they have the weapons to make a lot of damage.  

Bet on the OVER with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Bills/Jets NFL Total BOOKIE BREAKER

We'll see two of the best quarterbacks in the NFL take the field here when the Bills and Josh Allen visit the Jets and Aaron Rodgers for our first Monday night matchup of the season. 

Do not sleep on the defenses though: The Bills finished last season ranked seventh in total defense while the Jets finished fourth in the NFL in total defense. Also, it might take a couple of games for Rodgers to click with his new weapons. 

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's 4* Eagles/Patriots NFL Total Game of the Week TOP PLAY

Teams coming off a loss in the Super Bowl tend to start the next season slow and with the Pats, you just know that Bill Belichick will have a great plan on the defensive side of the ball.

The Eagles held opponents to an NFL-best 292.8 yards per game last season. The Pats ranked 26th in total offense and they're coming into this game with a banged up offensive line.  

Bet this TOP PLAY on the UNDER with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Panthers/Falcons NFL Total BOOKIE BOMBER

Both Atlanta and Carolina ranked bottom-10 for total offense last season, and I think we'll see a low-scoring affair here as both sides' rebuilding process continues.

Atlanta had success running the football, but that will also take time off the clock.

As for the Panthers', they're handing over the keys to rookie QB Bryce Young, the top pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, but is he ready to play with the big boys?

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. 

4* Ball State/Georgia CFB Total Game of the Week TOP PLAY

Ball State took a 44-14 loss at Kentucky in Week 1, and it won't get any easier here at two-time defending national champion Georgia who opened the season with a 48-7 win over UT Martin.

This early in the season, we have no reason to believe that Georgia will do anything but keep the foot on the gas to set the tone for what should be another successful season. 

Bet this TOP PLAY on the OVER with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Lions/Chiefs T.N.F. Total BOOKIE BU$TER

The Chiefs are as per usual bringing a stacked offense led by Patrick Mahomes. Detroit had a slow start to last season but closed out strong as QB Jared Goff played some of the best football of his career.

This is a high total, but not high enough IMO as I think we'll get the season started with a primetime shootout. 

Bet on the OVER with 3% of your bankroll. 

4* LSU/FSU CFB Total TOP PLAY Game of the Week

Florida State won 24-23 when these two teams battled it out last season. The total was set at 51 for that game, and for this contest, we're seeing an even bigger number.

Sure, both teams have dangerous offenses led by elite quarterbacks, but don't underestimate the defenses. 

Bet this TOP PLAY on the UNDER with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's CFB Total BOOKIE BLA$TER

This will undoubtedly end with a blowout win for Alabama, but I think they'll slow down the tempo once going up a couple of scores.

The Tide have a new QB under center as Bryce Young has moved on to the Carolina Panthers in the NFL, and they've seen a huge turnover overall. Meanwhile, Middle Tennessee State will do everything in its power to shorten the game to avoid a blowout. 

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's CFB Total BOOKIE BU$TER

The Texas A&M Aggies shut out New Mexico in a 34-0 as a 30-point home favorite in 2021. They're once again a huge favorite here in 2023, and I would honestly not be surprised if they blanked the Lobos again. New Mexico averaged only 13.1 points per game last season and they've lost their starting quarterback from the previous season. Texas A&M averaged only 22.8 points per game last regular season. 

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll.

10* CHIEFS/EAGLES SUPER BOWL TOTAL MAX BET

The over in the Super Bowl is a public bet pretty much every year, but the public is not always wrong.

While the Chiefs defense turned up the heat late in the season, they're still allowing 21.7 ppg and they allowed 20 points in both the divisional round and the conference championship game. The Eagles have been dominant on both sides of the ball all season and they've scored 38 and 31 points in their two playoff games. 

I see a 28-27. 30-28 win for either team. 

10* PLAY ON OVER. 

NINERS/EAGLES 10* TOTAL TOP PLAY

The Niners and the Eagles are top two for total defense this season, with both sides allowing only just over 300 yards per game. San Fracncisco's third-string quarterback Brock Purdy has been putting up strong numbers, but now he'll face an Eagles team that held Daniel Jones to 135 passing yards in the divisional round. The Niners should have decent success running the football, but that will also take time off the clock. 

Under is 7-0 in 49ers last 7 playoff road games. Under is 15-5-1 in Eagles last 21 playoff games.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

10* JAGS/CHIEFS NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The line total has gone up a couple of points since the opener, but I like the under here. Sure, Jacksonville's wild Wild Card win over the Chergers was a shootout, but do you expect Trevor Lawrence to throw four picks and four touchdown passes again? Jacksonville's defense has played a lot better doown the stretch than it did at the beginning of the season and KS's defense is somewhat underrated, with the offense stealing all the headlines. 

Under is 7-3 in Jaguars last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Kansas City won 27-17 when the two teams clashed back in November. I would not be surprised to see a similar scoreline today. 

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

RAVENS/BENGALS BOOKIE BU$TER TOTAL

Cincinnati is a big favorite as the Ravens are expected to start backup quarterback Tyler Huntley instead of the injured Lamar Jackson. Still, the Ravens have shown that they can win games with their defense, and this is an interesting spot as these two teams met in the regular season finale. Huntley missed that game due to shoulder and wrist injuries, but I expect him to take the field. 

Under is 6-1 in Ravens last 7 vs. AFC North. Under is 12-3-1 in Bengals last 16 vs. AFC.

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK  - 10* LIONS/PACKERS MAX BET

The Lions are 10-6 to the over on the season and over is 13-6 in Lions last 19 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. The Packers are coming off a 41-17 win over Minnesota, and their offense has been heating up at exactly the right time. Over is 10-1 in Packers last 11 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Over is 14-3 in Packers last 17 games in January.

10* PLAY ON OVER. 

10* QUICK LANE BOWL TOTAL TOP PLAY

Bowling Green was held to 14 points and 279 yards of total offense in a loss at Ohio in its last game. Falcons QB Matt McDonald McDonald was intercepted three times and New Mexico State ranks 14th in the nation against the pass. New Mexico State's offense has been hot, but QB Diegoa Pavia suiffered a hamstring injury against Valpo last time out. 

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

NFC TOTAL GAME OF THE YEAR - 10* BUCS/CARDINALS BEST BET

I expect the Bucs defense to step up in a big way after giving up 30+ points in back-to-back weeks. Arizona is already eliminated from postseason contention and will be starting third-string quarterback Trace McSorley. As fort the Bucs offense, they've not looked right all season and under is 8-1 in Buccaneers last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

10* NCAAF TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - LOUISVILLE/CINCINNATI BEST BET

We'll see two interim head coaches and a backup QB for Louisville as Malik Cunningham has opted out of the game to prepare for the NFL Draft. Running back Tiyon Evans has opted out as well. These are two solid defenses and the under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games overall and 6-2 in Bearcats last 8 games overall.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* BROWNS/TEXANS BEST BET

We should see fireworks here as Deshaun Watson returns to Houston, but this time quarterbacking the Cleveland Browns instead of the Texans. The Browns have averaged a respectable 23.9 points per game (11th) even without Watson and he'll no doubt be fired up for this one. 

Houston is not exactly known for putting points on the board, but expect the offense to bring it here to keep up with Watson. 

10* PLAY ON OVER. 

RAVENS/JAGS TOTAL

The Ravens are on a roll, coming into this game on a four-game winning streak and 7-3 over their last 10 games. They held Carolina to three points and just over 200 yards last week and they sacked Carolina quarterback Baker Mayfield four times. Now, they'll face a Jacksonville team that has been limited to 17 points in three of its last four games.

The Jags have had extra time to prepare as they're coming off their bye week, but I think they'll find it extremely hard to put up points against this Ravens D. I like the Ravens and the under. 

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MOUNTAIN WEST CFB TOTAL GAME OF THE YEAR - 10* MAJOR WAGER

I expect a shootout when Hawaii visits San Jose State Saturday afternoon. Hawaii is 8-4 to the over for the season and while their offense doesn't travel all that well, neither does their defense and the over is 3-2 in their five road games. The over is 4-1 in Hawaii's five games with a total of 57 or higher this season. 

10* PLAY ON OVER. 

LOUISVILLE/KENTUCKY CFB TOTAL

This looks like a good spot back Kentucky to bounce back from a 16-6 loss to Georgia last week. While they failed to get their offense going, the defense held strong. The Wildcats are allowing only 19.6 points per game and they rank 19th nationally for total defense with 321.2 yards allowed per game. The Wildcats are 21-6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 home games. Their defense can carry them to a win here and I also like the under. 

8* PLAY ON UNDER.

NFL Total Game of the Month - Pats/Vikes 10* BEST BET

The Vikes took a 40-3 home loss to Dallas last week. I expect a much better performance from their defense here, but their offense might struggle again against a Pats defense that held the Jets to three points and 103 yards of total offense in a 10-3 win last week. Under is 14-3 in Patriots last 17 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

10* play on UNDER. 

NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* BROWNS/BILLS BEST BET

The Bills put up 30 points on Minnesota last week but still lost the game. It was an uncharacteristically poor performance defensively from the Bills who are 7-2 to the under on the season while holding opponents to 16.8 ppg. The Browns have been held to 20 points or fewer in three of their last four games. 

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

CHARGERS/NINERS S.N.F. TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Niners are coming off their bye week. The under is 5-1 in 49ers last 6 games following a bye week and 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The Chargers put up only 20 points on a below-average Atlanta defense last week, and now they'll face one of the best defensive units in the league. It's also worth noting that the Niners are one of the slowest teams in the league at 29.7 seconds per play, and I expect them to hold the ball for the majority of the game.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

COWBOYS/PACKERS TOTAL

The Packers are coming into this game on a five-game losing streak. They're extremely banged up and here they'll face a Dallas team that is coming out of their bye week and put up 49 points on Chicago last time out.

The Packers have struggled to stop the run all season long and Dallas is averaging a respectable 4.7 yards per carry (13th) and 28.1 rushing attempts per game (10th). 

I also like the under as I expec the Cowboys to get an early lead and then keep running to take time off the clock. 

Cowboys are 35-17-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Packers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC. Under is 11-3-1 in Cowboys last 15 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

TITANS/CHIEFS S.N.F. TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Titans are 5-2 to the under on the season and they've allowed 10 points in each of their last two games. The Chiefs beat the Niners 44-23  on October 23, but the under is 12-3-1 in Chiefs last 16 games following a bye week. The Titans held Pat Mahomes and the Chiefs to three points when they faced off last season. Titans QB Ryan Tannehill missed Thursday's practice and was limited on Friday. He was listed as questionable on the Friday injury report. 

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

CFB TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* VOLS/BULLDOGS MAJOR WAGER

The Vols are 5-3 to the over while the Bulldogs are 5-2-1 to the under. THey rank No. 1 and No. 2 for total offense, but Georgia's defense is also one of the best in the country and I expect the home team to control the tempo of this game. It has yet to allow more than 22 points in a game this season and under is 9-4 in Bulldogs last 13 conference games and 35-17-3 in Bulldogs last 55 home games.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

NFL GAME OF THE MONTH - NINERS/RAMS 10* TOTAL MAJOR WAGER

The Niners are 5-2 to the under on the season, the Rams 5-1 to the under. These two teams know each other extremely well, and the first meeting of the season saw a total of only 33 points scored. Under is 9-1 in 49ers last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points. Under is 21-7 in Rams last 28 home games.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

10* USF/HOUSTON CFB TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Houston Cougars are 6-1 to the over the USF Bulls are 5-2 to the over. USF has allowed 40+ points in three of their last four games. Over is 8-1 in Cougars last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.

10* PLAY ON OVER. 

MIKE'S TEXANS/RAIDERS NFL TOTAL

Both teams are coming off their bye week, and I think the Raiders will find it difficult to pull away from a Houston team that has been surprisingly competitive, at least against the spread. The Raiders on the other hand have not been nearly as good as expected, and Davante Adams and Darren Waller are dealing with injuries. The Raiders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.

In addition to Houston covering the spread, I also like the under, as  Under is 8-2 in Texans last 10 road games, 6-1 in Texans last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game and 4-1 in Raiders last 5 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S VIKES/DOLPHINS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER TOTAL

The Vikes have put up 28, 28 and 29 points through a three-game winning streak. They have however also allowed 24, 25 and 22 points. Miami starting QB Tua Tagovailoa was cleared from the concussion protocol on Saturday but will not be active for this game. Instead, rookie third-string quarterback Skylar Thompson is set to make his first NFL start. Don't know all that much about Thompson, but I do know teams have had no trouble moving the ball against the Vikes. 

8* PLAY ON OVER. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S 10* TOTAL MAJOR WAGER

The Bucs defense has been phenomenal. The one blemish is their 41-31 loss to the Chiefs, but ... Pittsburgh does not have Patrick Mahomes at QB.

In fact, the Steelers will have rookie QB Kenny Pickett under center for his second career start. Pittsburgh ranks 29th in the league with 89 rushing yards per game so I just don't see how they'll be able to move the ball in this one.

There is of course the risk of the Bucs running up the score, but their offense has not looked all that great either. 

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S RAIDERS/CHIEFS NFL TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER

Showtime Mahomes on primetime against a Raiders team that is allowing 24 ppg should be an automatic over, right? Not so fast.

Since the start of the 2018 season, the Chiefs are 4-0 to the under in Monday night games with a total of 50 points or more and the under is 5-0 in Chiefs last five Monday games overall.

Under is 6-2 in Raiders last 8 Monday games and 5-1 in Raiders last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, which they did in a 32-23 win against Denver last week.

Sure this could turn into a shootout, but I'll take my chances with the under. 

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S LIONS/PATRIOTS NFL BOOKIE BA$HER

This is about as square of a bet as it gets, but Detroit's mix of a potent offense and soft decent is ideal for overs. 

Detroit is 1-3 despite averaging an NFL-best 35 points per game. Their defense is absolutely atrocious, and even veteran QB Brian Hoyer or rookie QB Bailey Zappe, whoever gets the start under center for the Pats, should be able to move the ball. Over is 7-0 in Patriots last 7 home games.

8* PLAY ON OVER. 

CFB GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S 10* ARMY/WAKE FOREST TOTAL

Army is 3-1 to the over this season, but I expect this to be a low-scoring affair. Wake Forest is holding teams to 3.8 rushing yards per attempt and the Black Knights have attempted only 35 passes all season. 

Under is 18-7-1 in Black Knights last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 8-2 in Black Knights last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S 10* BRONCOS/RAIDERS TOTAL

The Broncos have yet to score more than 16 points in a game with Russell Wilson at the helm. They've still managed to ride their defense to back-to-back wins and now they'll face a struggling Raiders team that is one of only two teams without a win. The under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings between these two AFC West rivals.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S TULANE/HOUSTON NCAAF TGIF TOTAL

The Cougars are 4-0 to the over and Tulane 3-1 to the under. Tulane's defensive numbers look good on paper, but this will be the best offense they've seen so far. The Cougars have scored 30 points or more in each of their first four games of the season, but also allowed 27 points or more. Their points allowed per game average is 35.8. Tulane is averaging 33.8 ppg. 

8* PLAY ON OVER. 

NINERS/BRONCOS TOTAL

The Broncos have a lot of things to figure out, especially on offense where Russell Wilson not has been nearly the hit most expected and new HC Nathaniel Hackett has struggled with the playcalling. The Broncos have been held to 16 points in each of their first two games of the season, and now they'll face a stout San Francisco defense that has held opponents to an NFL-best 210 total yards per game. Sure, they've faced Chicago and Seattle, but still... 

Offensively, the Niners came alive in their 27-7 win over Seattle last week, and that was without star tight end George Kittle who could be back for this game. The Broncos are on fade alert until they show us a reason not to, pretty much solely because of their struggling offense. I expect this game to go way under the total. 

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S RAIDERS/TITANS NFL TOTAL BOOKIE BLA$TER

Tennessee managed only 187 yards of offense when they got humiliated in a blowout loss to the Bills on Monday, but they should have more success moving the ball here against a Raiders defense that is allowing 384 yards per game. Over is 5-1 in Titans last 6 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Over is 11-5 in Titans last 16 games following a straight up loss.

8* PLAY ON OVER. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* BILLS/DOLPHINS TOTAL MAJOR WAGER

The Bills were dominant on both sides of the ball in their Monday night win over Indianapolis. They held the Colts to seven points, 12 first downs, and fewer than 200 yards of total offense.

Miami has looked good in its first two games, defeating New England and Baltimore. Tua Tagovailoa looks like he's about to have a breakout season, but this Bills defense is really, really good.

Under is 5-1 in Dolphins last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S VIRGINIA/SYRACUSE TOTAL

Syracuse is an undefeated 3-0 SU and ATS on the season and 3-0 to the under. They've held opponents to an average of 16.7 points per game and Virginia has averaged only 17.7 ppg over its first three games of the season.The Cavaliers still have two wins against one loss, thanks to their stout defense, but last week as a 9-point favorite against Old Dominion, they just barely escaped by scoring the winning field goal as time expired. I don't see the Cavaliers keeping pace with Syracuse in this one. 

Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September. Orange are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games in September.

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* NFL MAJOR WAGER TOTAL

The Giants ran the ball for 238 yards on 32 carries in their 21-20 win against Tennessee. Expect them to come into this game with the same game plan against a Panthers team that gave up 217 rushing yards to Cleveland in Week. The Giants will burn a lot of clock when holding the ball, and the same should be true for the Panthers if they rely on Christian McCaffrey to move the sticks. 

Under is 7-2 in Panthers last 9 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 20-5-1 in Giants last 26 games overall.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

NCAAF TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* MAJOR WAGER

Nebraska is 1-2 on the season with disappointing setbacks to Northwestern and Georgia Southern. Head coach Scott Frost was fired after last week's loss and Mickey Joseph will take over as the interim coach. Oklahoma has allowed just 16 points through two solid performances against UTEP and Kent State teams. Offense has not been an issue for the Cornhuskers, but they're likely to struggle to move the ball here and Oklahoma is relatively conservative when on the ball.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S UCONN/MICHIGAN TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER

UConn was held to 202 total yards in a 48-14 loss as a 23.5-point dog against Syracuse last week. This game could have a similar storyline as they once again are severely outmatched on paper, this time against Michigan. The Wolverines have allowed a total of 17 points through their first two games. Both went under the total. 

Under is 5-1 in Wolverines last 6 games in September. Under is 4-1 in Wolverines last 5 vs. INDEP. Under is 7-0 in Huskies last 7 vs. Big Ten.

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S 10* TOP PLAY

The Colts have a new QB in Matt Ryan, but the veteran has tons of experience and plenty of weapons around him. He'll settle in just fine and Jonathan Taylor is one of the top running backs in the league. The Texans are in rebuild mode, and they are inexperienced on both sides of the ball, but on defense in particular. The Colts to win seems like a no-brainer, but I'm not ready to lay this many points on the road and I like the over a lot better. 

10* PLAY ON OVER. 

NCAAF TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* MAJOR WAGER

Both teams are 1-0 on the season after a 69-10 win for Baylor over Albany while BYU defeated South Florida 50-21.

Two high-scoring games, and as a result I think the bookmakers have overreacted and set the total for this game too high.

One or both teams could easily come out completely flat here.

Under is 13-6 in Bears last 19 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game and 14-6 in Cougars last 20 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S APP STATE/TEXAS A&M NCAAF TOTAL BOOKIE BLA$TER

Appalachian State is coming off a wild 63-61 loss to UNC. The two teams combined for 62 points in the fourth quarter, of which App State contributed 40.

Now they'll face a tougher defense in a Texas A&M team that held Sam Houston State to zero points and fewer than 200 yards in its season opener.

Under is 7-0 in Aggies last 7 games in September. Under is 4-1 in Aggies last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Under is 25-7-1 in Mountaineers last 33 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

NCAAF TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* MAJOR WAGER

Florida State opened the season with a 47-7 rout of Duquesne while this will be LSU's first game of the season and their first with Brian Kelly as head coach. FSU did most of their damage against Duquesne on the ground, but QB Jordan Travis had a solid game going 11-for-15 with 207 yards. LSU's secondary was questionable last season and they're replacing several starters in the backfield. 

As for LSU's offense, Brian Kelly is coming in with a new system, but he has a lot of talent and weapons to work with and I think they'll figure it out early. 

10* PLAY ON OVER. 

MIKE'S NCAAF BOOKIE BOMBER

Illinois already has a game under its belt a 38-6 triumph over Wyoming. They held the Cowboys to just over 200 yards of total offense and Wyoming only threw for 30 yards. Here they'll face an Indiana team that is unlikely to put up big yards and points on the regular.

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S WVU/PITT NCAAF BOOKIE BU$TER

Pittsburgh is returning eight offensive starters, but it lost QB Kenny Pickett to the NFL and wide receiver Jordan Addison to USC. The Mountaineers have lost some players on the defensive side of the ball but are still returning a strong unit. As for the Panthers defense, they are returning seven starters from a unit that led the ACC in rush defense and No. 2 nationally in sacks. 

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* BILLS/CHIEFS NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

The first meeting of the season ended with a 38-20 Buffalo win. Both teams put 40+ points on the board in the Wildcard Round and I expect this to be a wild and high-scoring affair. Bills' defense is great, but KC started running the ball better down the stretch so the Bills' can not focus all their efforts on Mahomes. Over is 8-0 in Bills last 8 games as an underdog. Over is 6-0 in Chiefs last 6 games as a favorite. Over is 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Over is 8-3 in Bills last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.

10* play on OVER. 

MIKE'S MONDAY NIGHT CARDNIALS/RAMS TOTAL TOP PLAY

The Arizona Cardinals and the Los Angeles Rams two regular-season meetings saw 57 points and 53 points respectively, but I think we'll see a much tighter and lower-scoring affair when they clash in the Wildcard Round Monday night. Arizona's offense has regressed throughout the season, and both head coach Kliff Kingsbury and QB Kyler Murray will be making their postseason debuts. They gave up 38 points to Seattle in Week 18, but under is 16-5 in Cardinals last 21 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. As for the Rams, they have an elite defense but much like the Cards, their offense is on a downward trend. Under is 17-5 in Rams last 22 games as a home favorite.

10* play on UNDER. 

MIKE'S STEELERS/CHIEFS WILD CARD ROUND TOTAL TOP PLAY

The Pittsburgh Steelers won four of their last six games, but they sure did not do so with their offense as Big Ben has looked off all season and even more so down the stretch. The Steelers' defense has kept them in the games, and they have been particularly good against the pass. The Chiefs do not pose much of a threat on the ground, and I think KC quarterback Patrick Mahomes will be under a lot of pressure. 

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* GEORGIA/BAMA CFB CHAMPIONSHIP GAME TOTAL

Georgia's defense looked unbeatable during the regular season, but Bama still managed to score 41 points on the Bulldogs in the SEC Championship Game. 

Bama head coach Nick Saban is familiar with the Bulldogs defensive schemes as Georgia head coach Kirby Smart was Saban's defensive coordinator at Alabama for several years. I think the Bulldogs will put up their fair share of points as well though, and I like the over. 

Over is 4-0-1 in Crimson Tide last 5 Bowl Championship games. Over is 10-4-1 in Crimson Tide last 15 games in January. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

10* play on OVER. 

TITANS/TEXANS TOTAL

The Tennessee Titans put up 34 points against Miami in their last game, and I don't think they'll have any trouble moving the ball against Houston in Week 18. The Texans were held to seven points at San Francisco in their last game, but they scored 41 points against the Chargers in their last home game. 

Over is 5-1 in Titans last 6 games as a road favorite and 11-3 in Titans last 14 road games. Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games as a home underdog. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.

8* play on OVER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Jacksonville Jaguars gave up 50 points to the Patriots last week, but now they'll face a Colts team that has averaged only 23 points per game through its last three games. Jags QB and No. 1 overall pick Trevor Lawrence has had a rough rookie year, and Colts' defense has played at a very high level down the stretch, giving up 0, 17, 16 and 23 points through its last four games.  

Under is 4-0 in Colts last 4 games overall. Under is 12-3 in Jaguars last 15 games as an underdog. Under is 11-4 in Jaguars last 15 games overall.

10* play on UNDER. 

MIKE'S SUNDAY NIGHT VIKINGS/PACKERS TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER

The Minnesota Vikings' quarterback Kirk Cousins will not take the field after testing positive for COVID-19 and star wideout Adam Thielen was placed on injured reserve Wednesday with a left ankle injury. To have a chance to stay in the game, the Vikes' defense will have to be at its very best and I think they'll rise to the occasion. It is expected to be very cold weather at Lambeau, and I think points will come at a premium for both teams. 

8* play on UNDER. 

MIKE'S BUCS/ JETS MONEYMAKER (TOTAL)

There is a good chance that the New York Jets will come out flat here, coming off their second win of the season. It is a big, big difference between taking on Jacksonville as a favorite compared to coming into a game as a double-digit dog to the reigning Super Bowl champions. Jets are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog. The Buccaneers are 7-2 ATS as double-digit favorites dating back to the start of the 2020 season. 

I also like the under as I don't see the Jets putting up a lot of points against a Bucs defense that has given up a grand total of 15 points over the last two weeks. 

8* play on UNDER. 

SUPER EARLY TAXSLAYER GATOR BOWL TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER

I think the TaxSlayer Gator Bowl matchup between No. 17 Wake Forest Demon Deacons and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights will be a high-scoring affair. 

Rutgers can play freely and without pressure after replacing the No. 23 Texas A&M who had to pull out due to a combination of season-ending injuries and COVID within the program. Rutgers lost its last game 40-16 to Maryland, and here it'll face a Wake Forest team that was second in the ACC with 41.2 points scored per game. Dual-threat quarterback Sam Hartman threw for 36 touchdowns and added 11 scores on the ground. 

Defensively Wake Forest was not sharp down the stretch giving up 42 points or more in four of its last five games. 

10* play on OVER.