50* NBA GAME OF THE MONTH

Portland Trailblazers -3

Everything I look for in a game is right here with Portland tonight. For starters, this is a fantastic public fade as everyone is lining up to back the King as an underdog. Also, those who know my style know that I LOVE storylines. Paul Allen, owner of the Seahawks and Blazers, just died. Portland has the ultimate motivation to go for a win in front of their fans. The bottomline here is the LeBron hasn't won his first game for his new team in his career. He lost his rookie debut, his first game with the Heat, and his return to Cleveland. Look for Portland to get the W tonight while the media questions what's wrong with the Lakers tomorrow.

30*

Oklahoma City Thunder +13.5

30*

Philadelphia 76ers +5.5

20*

Boston Celtics +1

30*

Golden State Warriors ML +113

30*

Philadelphia 76ers +1.5

30*

Philadelphia 76ers -4

40* 

Boston Celtics -4.5

30*

Utah Jazz -6

20*

Toronto Raptors -7

20*

Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 205

50* NBA TOTAL MAX BET

San Antonio Spurs vs. Golden State Warriors OVER 204.5

I am expecting a Warriors blowout tonight with an offensive explosion. The Warriors scored 116 and 113 at home in the frst two games of the series. The Spurs knew that they had no chacne in this series but wanted one more game in front of their home fans and for Pop in Game 4. I feel like this game is going to be played loose with a ton of scoring. Look for Golden State to really push the pace and focus their game plan on the offensive end.

30*

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Utah Jazz UNDER 208.5

20*

Boston Celtics +195

20*

Toronto Raptors +103

20*

New Orleans Pelicans -4

The Portland Trailblazers have NO answers for the Pelicans. They have been dominated down low and around the perimeter, which typically is the Blazers strength. Jrue and Rajon are totally in the heads of Portland's back court. It's tough watching CJ McCollum in this series. I like to call him "Baby Melo." There are times in the offense where he will only look for his shot. There is ZERO ball movement and no one else will touch the ball and he'll throw up a brick. Team's with players like that will never win in the Playoffs. It's no surprise that every team that makes deep runs year after year have exceptional ball movement and share the basketball. It wouldn't shock me one bit to see the Pels sweep this series.

BONUS 3% Play: San Antonio Spurs +1 FIRST HALF 

50* NBA MAX BET

Miami Heat +2

One of my favorite angles in betting is fading a team their next game after a double digit win streak comes to an end. This is the 76ers first loss in 17 games. A natural letdown is inevitable. Philadelphia truly hasn't looked that great in these playoffs. If you look deeper, they've had one dominant half (out of 4) The Heat have been the better team in the other 3. Miami clearly has the experience edge and getting a team like this at PLUS money at HOME is a MUST bet!

50* NBA GAME OF THE MONTH

Portland Trailblazers -6

Yes, we are playing into the Zig Zag theory. When a favorite of this number goes down in Game 1 at home...the team is 67-11 SU and 52-26 ATS in Game 2. You simply can't ignore that trend. The Pelicans nearly blew a 19 point lead late but held on barely at the end in Game 1. Why they extended that lead early was because Dame and CJ couldn't hit the broad side of a barn, starting 1-15. Once they settled in, they had their fierce come back and if there was just another minute left in the game...Portland would have won. This game also plays into an historical system that has not lost in this spot in 20 years.

30*

San Antonio Spurs vs. Golden State Warriors OVER 205.5

40* NBA TOP PLAY PARLAY

Miami Heat +6.5

There is a myth going around that you don't want to face teams going into the NBA playoffs hot. 70% of the NBA teams heading into the playoffs 9-1 or 10-0 in their last 10 games have lost the opening round of the Playoffs. The experience edge is CLEARLY on the side of the Miami Heat here and Spoelstra is one hell of a coach. A Miami series play at +400 is DEFINITELY worth a unit as well.

40* NBA TOP PLAY PARLAY

Washington Wizards +8

Yes, it's going to be tough for me to back a Washington team in the post-season, but we can't ignore the 0-12 historical Game 1 trend for the Raptors. This team has LOST 12 straight series openers, straight up AND against the spread. A team that has been this bad can not be expected to win by nearly double digits. Washington is a peculiar team. If this team could play with just a little bit of desire and team chemistry, they could play with anyone in the East. I expect them to have some heart out there becuase it IS the Playoffs. 

40* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK

Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves UNDER 215.5

30*

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Los Angeles Clippers OVER 223.5

50* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE YEAR

Chicago Bulls vs. Boston Celtics OVER 201

I love looking at overs in the NBA when two teams that have nothing to play for face each other. Boston just got the news of Kyrie being out for the year and they are locked into the #2 seed in the East. I can see them just going through the motions and having a 3 point exhibition type game against a Bulls team that has been in full blown tank mode for awhile. In fact, the over is 21-6 in the last 27 meetings in Boston. The Bulls simply go over the total when playing a great team on the road and the Celtics go over the total when playing a bad team at home. That is currently a 56-20 combined spot. 

The X factor for this game are the referees. The two top over referees in the NBA are calling the fouls in this one. Not only do we have the king of the over in Eric Lewis, we are also getting Nick Buchert...his games are averaging over 221 points a contest. 

20*

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Utah Jazz OVER 210.5

50* NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH

Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 205.5

analysis will be posted soon

30*

Miami Heat -12.5

20*

Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns UNDER 215

20*

Portland Trailblazer -6

30*

Chicago Bulls vs. Orlando Magic UNDER 211

20*

Portland Trailblazers ML -106

30*

Toronto Raptors -8.5

20*

Toronto Raptors vs. Orlando Magic OVER 214.5

40*

Orlando Magic +10.5

30*

Charlotte Hornets vs. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 221

20*

Portland Trailblazers -5.5

20*

San Antonio Spurs -4.5

30*

Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5

20*

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Portland Trailblazers OVER 217.5

20*

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 222.5

30*

Charlotte Hornets vs. Boston Celtics OVER 209

Both teams are in solid offensive form after the all start break. These two teams combined are averaging over 231 points between the two of them post all star break. Michael Kidd Gilchrist is also listed as questionable and if he can't go, that is huge for the over because he is one of the best defensive players on the floor. The Celtics are also in their best OVER situation when they are playing a losing team at home, as the over is 35-15 in their last 50 in that spot.

30*

Utah Jazz +3

If they can't win this one, Houston just clearly has their number. Utah has triple revenge in this game and gets to face Houston in quite possibly the worst situation in the NBA. 3 games in 4 nights, from Denver to Utah on back to back nights. The Jazz are also a hot team right now and should pull away in the 2nd half when Houston gets tired from the altitude.

20*

Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks OVER 211.5

50* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE YEAR

Golden State Warriors -10.5

I fully expect the Warriors to lay a beat down tonight. Golden State usually loves running the Clippers out of the gym but surprisingly, last meeting Lou Williams went off for 50 and it was the Clippers laying the beat down.

I like the Warriors to get their revenge in a big way to start the 2nd half of the season in front of their home fans. Let's not forget, this team is now the #2 seed in the West and lost their last game going into the break. If the Warriors can't give max effort in this spot tonight, this team doesn't have a pulse.

20*

Cleveland Cavaliers -5

30*

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Detroit Pistons OVER 221.5

40*

Atlanta Hawks +2.5

30*

Brooklyn Nets vs. Detroit Pistons OVER 210

40* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK

Golden State Warriors -10

30*

Toronto Raptors vs. Washington Wizards UNDER 214

30*

Miami Heat vs. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 215.5

The Cleveland Cavaliers are 0-8 to the UNDER when playing the second of a back to back. Also, in the last 10 meetings between these two clubs. They scored over this number just once in regulation. We also have solid referees tonight and Scott Foster has had 5 straight Miami games go under the total by a wide margin.

30*

Portland Trailblazers vs. Los Angeles Clippers OVER 220

Not over thinking this one. Both teams are dead nuts over teams. Clippers score a ton (OVER 110) but allow a ton at home (OVER 107.) The Trailblazers do the same but on the road. So we have a road over team facing a home over team that pretty much just told the world they're in rebuild mode. I expect this game to be played like an exhibition game with zero defense and a lot of 3 point shooting.

30*

Cleveland Cavaliers -5.5

I know you have to be a bit off your rocker to bet on the Cavs this year but I feel like this is a great spot for them. With the trade for Blake Griffin, the Pistons now have lost some depth. This should allow the Cavaliers bench to extend the lead when on the floor instead of being a liabilty. The Cavs have dominated the Pistons in the last 3 meetings by 28, 32 and 17.

50* NBA Divisional GAME OF THE YEAR

Atlanta Hawks +5.5

It's border line embarrassing how the Wizards are playing right now. I expect them to completely look passed the Hawks tonight. They just lost to the Thunder (Scott Brooks' former team) on the road and their next game is against the Thunder at Capital One. The Hawks are sandwiched right in between them. 

From a situational stand point, the Wizards are pathetic right now. The Wizards have covered the number ONCE in their last 10 games. They are 3-13 ATS facing a team with a losing record and its even worse on the road. They have covered the spread only 5 times in their last 27 tries. 

As for the Hawks, this team has done surprisingly well following a loss. They are 19-7 ATS and are a perfect 5-0 ATS on the 2nd of a back to back. If the Wizards sleep walk through this game, it wouldn't shock me to see the Hawks win this game outright.

50* NBA GAME OF THE MONTH

Los Angeles Clippers ML -120

Boston is stuck in the mud right now. They have now lost 4 straight with a final possession loss to the Lakers last night. The Celtics are now playing back to back and their 3rd game in 4 nights. The first game of this set was a home loss to the Magic and then they had to travel to LA for this grueling set of games. There's a reason the Clippers are favored tonight folks. The public is also all over the Celtics here and you know how we love fading a public underdog.

The Clippers are playing great right now (17-6 ATS) and have also owned this series of late, winning 5 straight at home. Los Angeles is just a half game out of the 8th playoff spot and with the snub of Lou Williams, I expect a huge effort from the Clippers tonight.

30*

Dallas Mavericks vs. Portland Trailblazers OVER 209.5

Three things that have us on this play.

1: Dallas as been an over machine when having multiple days off, going 17-7 to the over.

2: Portland has been on an over tear of late and 8 of their last 10 games have seen both teams score triple digits.

3: Eric Lewis is the best over referree in the association and he is the 2nd officlal tonight.

20*

Charlotte Hornets -5

30*

Los Angeles Lakers +2

30*

San Antonio Spurs vs. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 205.5

30*

Golden State Warriors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 235

30*

Utah Jazz +4.5

20*

Memphis Grizzlies ML +108 

30*

Charlotte Hornets -7

30*

Minnesota Timberwolves -6.5

20*

Chicago Bulls -2

30*

Charlotte Hornets ML +105

40* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK

Utah Jazz -1

Solid spot to back the home team tonight. We have the quick revenge angle for the Jazz as they got embarrassed by the Thunder just two games ago. What makes this even better is that the Thunder are playing the 2nd of a back to back in the altitude, which should really effect their play in the 2nd half.

Oklahoma City has just been terrible on the road and even worse in this situation. OKC is just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games, 2-8 ATS following a win, and a miserable 0-8 against the number when facing a team with a losing record. This shows that this team gets over valued and plays down to their opponents, especially away from home.

30*

Dallas Mavericks ML -117

30*

Dallas Mavericks -1

The 8-23 Dallas Mavericks are favored over the 17-13 Detroit Pistons. Think about that. We're making this play based of the line and we've had solid success doing that this year. The Atlanta Hawks and Chicago Bulls have dominated when listed as the favorite against a winning team this season and I'm expecting that trend to continue here with a "bad team" expected to win (favored) over a "good team."

20*

Boston Celtics -9

7 is such a key number for me in the NBA as teams typically stop fouling late game once they go down 3 possessions. I'm saying this because this would have been a huge play at 7 or less. We'll still play this game for 2% under double digits.

The last time these two teams met, we were actually on Miami as they ended the Celtics 16 game win streak. I knew right after that game we would be on the Celtics the next meeting. The Heat are completely banged up right now and I like the Celtics to get their revenge in a big way at home  against this depleted Miami team.

30*

Chicago Bulls +120

We're taking both the Bulls and the Hawks on the money line tonight, instead of taking the points. I obviously think Chicago and Atlanta should get the outright win but the reason why this is such a great bet is that we get plus money will both home teams. This way if we do split these games, we still end up with a tidy profit. 

This Bulls bet is handicapping 101. Chicago is on fire where the 76ers are coming un-done. The Bulls have won 5 in a row and covered 6 straight where Philadelphia has played back to back OT games and have lost 5 of their last 6 games. Backing the hot team and fading the cold.

30*

Atlanta Hawks +130

50* NBA GAME OF THE MONTH

Washington Wizards -9

There are 100's of handicappers out there. Most have systems, some have computer models, others just constantly put up non-sense for sales. I am telling you this because the only angle that matters in my mind in the NBA is motivation. It's the only factor that you can rely on when it comes to these players. This is a daily grind for them.

Think about your job. Do you give 100% effort every single day? If you do, kudos to you, but more than likely you have off days or just mail it in half the time. Now, I'm not making excuses for them, but you can see how some of these games don't matter as much. The time to strike in the NBA is when you know you'll get max effort from a team especially when they are playing a team that might go through the motions like we have tonight.

The Wizards just lost on the 9th of this month to the Clippers. Like typical Washington fashion, the Wizards choked away the game in the final minute but still had a chance to win it at the end but some suspect officiating got in the way. I love the revenge spot for Washington tonight for several reasons.

Washington will have John Wall for this game and since the Clippers don't have Patrick Beverley, he should go off. It's important that this isn't his first game back. He got rid of the cob webs Wednesday at home and then had a day off to get ready for this game. The only threat the Clippers have right now is Lou Williams. As long as the Wizards shut him down and/or Lou has a terrible shooting night, Washington will cruise to double digit victory without question.

One final note: The public is loving the Clips right now. Currently they are the 2nd most popular NBA bet this evening. You know how we love fading a public dog. 

30*

Brooklyn Nets +3

30*

Atlanta Hawks -4.5

40* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK

Dallas Mavericks -2.5

I let you guys in on a little secret. When I look at the NBA card every day, I look for the lines that look out of whack. Usually there aren't many and rarely do you get one that makes your eyes go big. Whenever we find games like this one tonight, we go big. The last two we had that really stood out were the Heat +2 against the 16 in a row Cetlics and the 3-15 Hawks -1 against the Knicks. Well both of those cashed with flying colors. The Mavericks are favored over the 13-9 Nuggets. Need I say more?

30*

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Atlanta Hawks OVER 214.5

30*

Atlanta Hawks +2

40* NBA VEGAS INSIDER

Miami Heat +3.5

This simply comes down to being the trap line. The Heat are only getting 3 points to the 16 in a row Boston Celtics? Boston is getting over 80% of the action at nearly every book, yet the line is starting to drop. The Heat should bounce back nicely here as well, since they got destroyed their last game. Miami is 15-6 ATS following a straight up double digit loss.

40* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK

New Orleans Pelicans -2.5

The situational clearly favors the Pelicans. The Raptors are now playing back to back and 3 road games in 4 nights. The two prior games were against two of the best teams in the league, Boston (came down to the wire) and Houston (lights out shooting.)

The Pelicans are playing their 3rd straight home game and had the night off last night. They are currently on a 5-1 win streak. Their only loss...to these Raptors just a few nights ago. Big time revenge angle for the Pelicans. The Raptors have also failed to cover the spread in 4 straight following a straight up win.

20*

Atlanta Hawks vs. New Orleans Pelicans UNDER 217

I like how this game sets up from a trends stand point. There are certain key angles I always look at for totals and this game has several in our favor. The two we are focusing on here are how teams respond after getting blown out and after a poor defensive performance. The Hawks are 12-4 to the under after losing by more than double digits and the Pelicans are 5-1 to the under after allowing 100+ points. The Hawks are also known to go under when playing good teams (winning records) and both teams have had a night off, so legs should be fresher to play defense.

30* NBA Friday BEST BET

Detroit Pistons -9

Atlanta just went through Murderer’s Row playing a 3 games in 4 nights sets against Boston, Houston, and an outright upset of the Cavaliers. They now have had 3 days off since then and I believe this will only hurt. The Hawks should be rusty as they are 5-13 ATS with 3+ days off. They face a Pistons team that is in an advantageous spot, having been playing at home since November 3rd winning 3 straight. The Pistons have always done well covering the number against the bad teams of the league (losing record) at home, going 13-3.

20*

Miami Heat -6

This play is based off the benching of Hassan Whiteside. I expect an inspired effort from Miami tonight, facing a Suns team that have OWNED in the past. Miami is 23-7 ATS which includes going 8-1 the last 9 in Phoenix. The Suns are also just 2-11 ATS when facing a team with a losing record.

20*

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Brooklyn Nets OVER 226

30*

Houston Rockets vs. New York Knicks OVER 213

I believe this game is going to be a 3 point shootout. We all know the Houston Rockets do nothing but shoot 3 pointers but now the Knicks are becoming a 3 point shooting team. During their 3 game losing streak, they weren't shooting as many 3 pointers and were playing slow. Since they picked up the pace and decided to let it rain from distance, they have won 3 straight. I also expect the Knicks to try and push the pace tonight since Houston is playing 3 games in 4 nights and on a back to back. 

30*

Denver Nuggets -4

Going to give the Nuggets one more chance. They haven't been kind to us this year and if they can't take out the lowly Knicks in this terrific spot, it's time to stay away from them. 

Obvisouly this is a let down spot for the Knicks, as they creamed the Cavaliers last night at the Q, but this has been an awful spot for the Knicks lately and I'll tell you why. NY is just 1-6 ATS following a double digit straight up win, which means they get over valued. They are also just 1-6 ATS when scoring 100+ points. This means that they usually have a let down after a solid offensive performance. The Nuggets have covered 5 straight in this series and I expect that perfect run to continue tonight.

30*

New York Knicks -2

One of our main handicapping angles is simply fading the “trap” line or the spread that looks too easy. The Nets just took out the mighty Cleveland Cavaliers and are the main surprise of the NBA season so far. However this is a tough spot for them playing 4 games in 6 nights and alternating home and away games. The Knicks are winless on the season but are favored. That should tell you all you need to know.

30*

Denver Nuggets -2.5

I love fading a public underdog. Also, there is a reason the Nuggets are favored on the road here folks. This game is a trend lovers dream. Denver is a combined 10-0 ATS on the road, facing a team with a a losing record and they are also 17-5 ATS following a straight up loss. Injuries have really hurt the Hornets to begin the season and to be quite honest, I love going against Dwight Howard. There are certain players I love betting on or hate betting against (Aaron Rodgers/Clayton Kershaw) and players I hate betting on or love betting against (Cutler/Anthony) and Dwight Howard is definitely one of them. He has that "I don't care" attitude and he can't buy a free throw to save his life.

20*

Brooklyn Nets vs. Orlando Magic UNDER 230.5

Familiarity helps the defense. That should be the case tonight as these two teams just faced of against each other last week. I also think the Magic are in for a let down after their terrific performance against the Cavaliers. Let's be real, 230 is a TON of points. In order to score that many, you have to just say "we're not playing defense." You also have to hit a barrage of 3 pointers, which they did in the last meeting. I don't see them having the same success tonight.

30*

Brooklyn Nets -1.5

30*

Milwaukee Bucks +2