College Football Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
10-06-18 |
Colorado State v. San Jose State OVER 59 |
|
42-30 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 39 m |
Show
|
20* Colorado State vs. San Jose State OVER 59
|
09-22-18 |
New Mexico State v. UTEP OVER 49.5 |
|
27-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
30* New Mexico State vs. UTEP OVER 49.5
|
09-22-18 |
Kansas v. Baylor OVER 54 |
|
7-26 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 44 m |
Show
|
20* Kansas vs. Baylor OVER 54
|
08-31-18 |
Colorado State v. Colorado UNDER 66 |
|
13-45 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
20* Colorado State vs. Colorado UNDER 66
|
10-28-17 |
Georgia Tech v. Clemson UNDER 49 |
Top |
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
44 h 47 m |
Show
|
50* GT/Clemson MAX BET Parlay Georgia Tech vs. Clemson UNDER 49 I know it's surprising for me to go against a triple option team but I believe this is the perfect spot to back the National Champs. We all know Clemson is coming off a loss but the key here is that they have had over two weeks to prepare, since they played on a Friday. I've always been a fan of backing the triple option teams when their opponents get them on a short week or just one week. However, I love to fade them when they go into their bowl game or teams have an extended period of time to prepare for them. The icing on the cake here is that it's Clemson and that fantastic defensive front. How do you stop the triple option? Disrupt them right off the snap and Clemson has the big men on the DL to destroy the attack. The Tigers are also allowing only 13.6 points per game but just 7.5 at home. One of the toughest places in play in all of college football is Death Valley at night. I expect Clemson to just destroy GT by not allowing them to score and with GT having the rushing attack, it will take time off the clock and shortening the game, hence the under play as well.
|
10-07-17 |
Air Force v. Navy UNDER 50 |
Top |
45-48 |
Loss |
-110 |
99 h 50 m |
Show
|
50* NCAA TOTAL OF THE YEAR Air Force vs. Navy UNDER 50 EVERY year we play the Army/Navy game UNDER the total. This play is almost a mirror image of that for the same reasons (just take out Army and replace it with Air Force.) Both teams run the triple option and they know each other like the back of their hands. A lot of teams have trouble with the triple option that never see it. When you practice against it every day, you know how to contain the attack. It's going to be a ton of running plays and the clock is going to continuously move. We played this game under last year for a 50* and it was lined at 46.5. We now get 50! I love this play at 49 and above. I would play for 4% if aren't able to get the key number of 49 (7 TDs.) I believe why we are getting so much line value is because how each offense has done this season. Air Force just took on New Mexico and that game was a total shootout. On the surface, it looks like these offenses are juggernauts. But when you look closer and see it's the triple option that has this effect and that the Military academies are extremely disciplined and know how to stop this effective ground game, the under is the only way to look.
|
09-30-17 |
Oklahoma State v. Texas Tech OVER 83 |
Top |
41-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 36 m |
Show
|
40* NCAA SHOOTOUT OF THE WEEK Oklahoma State vs. Texas Tech OVER 83 It's funny saying this but we were actually waiting for this game to drop below the "key" number of 84. 84 is 21 points a quarter or 12 TDs. This game reminds me of our NFL GAME OF THE YEAR on the over last year when the Packers and the Falcons met in the NFC Championship. The reason I bring this up is because that game also had a ridiculous total of 61, which was the highest ever. Well, this game isn't the highest total ever, but it's one of them. I like playing contrarian when the conversation of highest/lowest ever lines come up. These two teams met last year to a final of 45-44 (89 points.) These two teams just play see saw football, hence why the over is a perfect 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Texas Tech has eclipsed 50 points themselves in both home games this season. I also expect Mason Rudolph to have a huge game because he was sub par in his standards last week against TCU. Prior to that, the Cowboys posted a 59 on the road at Pittsburgh.
|
09-23-17 |
Florida Atlantic v. Buffalo UNDER 62 |
Top |
31-34 |
Loss |
-115 |
22 h 33 m |
Show
|
40* NCAA TOTAL OF THE WEEK Florida Atlantic vs. Buffalo UNDER 62
|
09-16-17 |
Louisiana Tech v. Western Kentucky OVER 62.5 |
|
23-22 |
Loss |
-113 |
27 h 25 m |
Show
|
30* CFB TOTAL BEST BET Louisiana Tech vs. Western Kentucky OVER 62.5 To be totally honest, this match up every year is nearly a blind play for me. For 4 straight years we have cashed the over between these two squads. The last two seasons, they have eclipsed 100 points combined. These games have become who has the ball last, wins.
|
09-09-17 |
Louisville v. North Carolina OVER 63 |
|
47-35 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 41 m |
Show
|
20* Louisville vs. North Carolina OVER 63
|
09-02-17 |
Western Michigan v. USC OVER 58 |
|
31-49 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 23 m |
Show
|
30* Western Michigan vs. USC OVER 58
|
09-02-17 |
California v. North Carolina UNDER 58 |
|
35-30 |
Loss |
-115 |
2 h 38 m |
Show
|
20* California vs. North Carolina UNDER 58
|
09-01-17 |
Navy v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 67 |
|
42-19 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
|
30* Navy vs. Florida Atlantic UNDER 67
|
08-26-17 |
Rice v. Stanford OVER 50.5 |
|
7-62 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 0 m |
Show
|
30* Rice vs. Stanford OVER 50.5 Apologize for no write up today. Extremely busy day in Vegas today with the Floyd Mayweather/Conor McGregor Fight. For what it's worth, we are on Floyd Mayweather big.
|
01-02-17 |
USC v. Penn State UNDER 60 |
|
52-49 |
Loss |
-115 |
17 h 2 m |
Show
|
30* Rose Bowl BEST BET PARLAY USC vs. Penn State UNDER 60
|
12-27-16 |
Army v. North Texas UNDER 49 |
|
38-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 14 m |
Show
|
20* Army vs. North Texas UNDER 49
|
12-21-16 |
BYU v. Wyoming OVER 57 |
|
24-21 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
20* BYU vs. Wyoming OVER 57
|
12-20-16 |
Memphis v. Western Kentucky OVER 77.5 |
Top |
31-51 |
Win
|
100 |
271 h 26 m |
Show
|
50* CFB Boca Raton Bowl MAX BET Memphis vs. Western Kentucky OVER 77.5 Get this one ASAP. This line is only going to keep rising. Not over thinking this one. It's two of the best offenses in the nation. One of the totals I look for every week is Western Kentucky and who they are playing. If they are playing a team that has any kind of offense, we're taking the over. WKU has scored 44 or more points in 9 straight games. They are also the number 2 team in the country in points scored. Memphis is not too far behind them averaging just under 40 points per game on the season. Both teams like to play extremely fast and it's nothing but the hurry up for both squads. This game should be back and forth, non stop, for 60 minutes.
|
12-10-16 |
Army v. Navy UNDER 50 |
Top |
21-17 |
Win
|
100 |
119 h 49 m |
Show
|
50* CFB Army/Navy MAX BET Army vs. Navy UNDER 50 (This line has tumbled down to 47 at most shops now and would play for 4% at this number. No play at < 45.) There is no secret to this play. It's the Army/Navy game. You take the under. Both teams run the triple option and they know each other like the back of their hands. Lot of teams have trouble with the triple option that never see it. When you practice against it every day, you know how to contain the attack. It's going to be a ton of running plays and the clock is going to continuously move. Navy is also without their senior QB and senior RB so getting into an offensive rhythm could be a serious problem.
|
12-03-16 |
Penn State v. Wisconsin UNDER 46.5 |
|
38-31 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
|
20* Penn State vs. Wisconsin UNDER 46.5
|
12-03-16 |
Louisiana Tech v. Western Kentucky OVER 79.5 |
|
44-58 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 19 m |
Show
|
20* Louisiana Tech vs. Western Kentucky OVER 79.5
|
11-26-16 |
Tennessee v. Vanderbilt UNDER 53.5 |
|
34-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
30* Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt UNDER 53.5
|
11-26-16 |
Notre Dame v. USC OVER 58.5 |
|
27-45 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 27 m |
Show
|
30* Notre Dame vs Southern California OVER 58.5
|
11-25-16 |
Washington v. Washington State UNDER 64 |
|
45-17 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 35 m |
Show
|
30* Washington vs. Washington State UNDER 64
|
11-25-16 |
Houston v. Memphis OVER 61.5 |
|
44-48 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 16 m |
Show
|
20* Houston vs. Memphis OVER 61.5
|
11-05-16 |
Oregon v. USC OVER 78.5 |
Top |
20-45 |
Loss |
-108 |
26 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
11-05-16 |
Air Force v. Army UNDER 46.5 |
Top |
31-12 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
10-29-16 |
SMU v. Tulane OVER 51 |
|
35-31 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 43 m |
Show
|
30* Tulane vs. SMU OVER 51
|
10-22-16 |
Oklahoma v. Texas Tech OVER 85 |
|
66-59 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 37 m |
Show
|
20* Oklahoma vs. Texas Tech OVER 85 Two teams that do nothing but play offense. Both teams are nursing injuries on the defensive side of the ball, which only helps our cause. Both teams are "big play" type teams. They score a lot on big plays, but give up a ton of big plays. Texas Tech leads the nation in passing and you typically want to take overs with passing teams and unders with running teams (passing stops clock while running keeps the clock moving) The over has cashed in 5 straight meetings. Oklahoma goes over (7-2) when playing on the road and TTU goes over (11-3) when playing at home.
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