50* NBA GAME OF THE MONTH

Portland Trailblazers -3

Everything I look for in a game is right here with Portland tonight. For starters, this is a fantastic public fade as everyone is lining up to back the King as an underdog. Also, those who know my style know that I LOVE storylines. Paul Allen, owner of the Seahawks and Blazers, just died. Portland has the ultimate motivation to go for a win in front of their fans. The bottomline here is the LeBron hasn't won his first game for his new team in his career. He lost his rookie debut, his first game with the Heat, and his return to Cleveland. Look for Portland to get the W tonight while the media questions what's wrong with the Lakers tomorrow.

30*

Oklahoma City Thunder +13.5

30*

Philadelphia 76ers +5.5

20*

Boston Celtics +1

30*

Golden State Warriors ML +113

30*

Philadelphia 76ers +1.5

30*

Philadelphia 76ers -4

40* 

Boston Celtics -4.5

30*

Utah Jazz -6

20*

Toronto Raptors -7

20*

Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 205

50* NBA TOTAL MAX BET

San Antonio Spurs vs. Golden State Warriors OVER 204.5

I am expecting a Warriors blowout tonight with an offensive explosion. The Warriors scored 116 and 113 at home in the frst two games of the series. The Spurs knew that they had no chacne in this series but wanted one more game in front of their home fans and for Pop in Game 4. I feel like this game is going to be played loose with a ton of scoring. Look for Golden State to really push the pace and focus their game plan on the offensive end.

30*

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Utah Jazz UNDER 208.5

20*

Boston Celtics +195

20*

Toronto Raptors +103

20*

New Orleans Pelicans -4

The Portland Trailblazers have NO answers for the Pelicans. They have been dominated down low and around the perimeter, which typically is the Blazers strength. Jrue and Rajon are totally in the heads of Portland's back court. It's tough watching CJ McCollum in this series. I like to call him "Baby Melo." There are times in the offense where he will only look for his shot. There is ZERO ball movement and no one else will touch the ball and he'll throw up a brick. Team's with players like that will never win in the Playoffs. It's no surprise that every team that makes deep runs year after year have exceptional ball movement and share the basketball. It wouldn't shock me one bit to see the Pels sweep this series.

BONUS 3% Play: San Antonio Spurs +1 FIRST HALF 

50* NBA MAX BET

Miami Heat +2

One of my favorite angles in betting is fading a team their next game after a double digit win streak comes to an end. This is the 76ers first loss in 17 games. A natural letdown is inevitable. Philadelphia truly hasn't looked that great in these playoffs. If you look deeper, they've had one dominant half (out of 4) The Heat have been the better team in the other 3. Miami clearly has the experience edge and getting a team like this at PLUS money at HOME is a MUST bet!

50* NBA GAME OF THE MONTH

Portland Trailblazers -6

Yes, we are playing into the Zig Zag theory. When a favorite of this number goes down in Game 1 at home...the team is 67-11 SU and 52-26 ATS in Game 2. You simply can't ignore that trend. The Pelicans nearly blew a 19 point lead late but held on barely at the end in Game 1. Why they extended that lead early was because Dame and CJ couldn't hit the broad side of a barn, starting 1-15. Once they settled in, they had their fierce come back and if there was just another minute left in the game...Portland would have won. This game also plays into an historical system that has not lost in this spot in 20 years.

30*

San Antonio Spurs vs. Golden State Warriors OVER 205.5

40* NBA TOP PLAY PARLAY

Miami Heat +6.5

There is a myth going around that you don't want to face teams going into the NBA playoffs hot. 70% of the NBA teams heading into the playoffs 9-1 or 10-0 in their last 10 games have lost the opening round of the Playoffs. The experience edge is CLEARLY on the side of the Miami Heat here and Spoelstra is one hell of a coach. A Miami series play at +400 is DEFINITELY worth a unit as well.

40* NBA TOP PLAY PARLAY

Washington Wizards +8

Yes, it's going to be tough for me to back a Washington team in the post-season, but we can't ignore the 0-12 historical Game 1 trend for the Raptors. This team has LOST 12 straight series openers, straight up AND against the spread. A team that has been this bad can not be expected to win by nearly double digits. Washington is a peculiar team. If this team could play with just a little bit of desire and team chemistry, they could play with anyone in the East. I expect them to have some heart out there becuase it IS the Playoffs. 

40* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK

Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves UNDER 215.5

30*

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Los Angeles Clippers OVER 223.5

50* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE YEAR

Chicago Bulls vs. Boston Celtics OVER 201

I love looking at overs in the NBA when two teams that have nothing to play for face each other. Boston just got the news of Kyrie being out for the year and they are locked into the #2 seed in the East. I can see them just going through the motions and having a 3 point exhibition type game against a Bulls team that has been in full blown tank mode for awhile. In fact, the over is 21-6 in the last 27 meetings in Boston. The Bulls simply go over the total when playing a great team on the road and the Celtics go over the total when playing a bad team at home. That is currently a 56-20 combined spot. 

The X factor for this game are the referees. The two top over referees in the NBA are calling the fouls in this one. Not only do we have the king of the over in Eric Lewis, we are also getting Nick Buchert...his games are averaging over 221 points a contest. 

20*

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Utah Jazz OVER 210.5

50* NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH

Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 205.5

analysis will be posted soon

30*

Miami Heat -12.5

20*

Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns UNDER 215

50* Final Four MAX BET

Michigan -5

This Loyola Cinderella story reminds me of the run George Mason went on in 2006. How did that end for George Mason? They got smoked by 15 against a much more talented Florida Gators team. I am expecting a similar result here when the Ramblers take on the Wolverines. The difference between the GMU run and Chicago's run, I believe, is the level of competition. GMU had to go through Murderer's row to win the Regional. Loyola-Chicago has GREATLY benefited from the teams they ended up playing. 

First, Chicago needed a miracle buzzer beater and missed free throws from Miami, who was playing without Bryce Brown. Second, they needed another miracle shot to beat Tennessee, who was playing without Kyle Alexander. Third, they beat Nevada (who just had two double digit comebacks) AND was playing without their PG. Fourth, they beat Kansas State, who was playing without their best player in Dean Wade. To say this team has been lucky is an understatement.

Michigan is by far the best team Loyola will face this tournament. Michigan's defense is ranked 3rd behind Cincinnati and UVA, but the way they were playing late in the year...this team had the best, in my opinion. As long as Michigan doesn't go ice cold from 3 and shoots a respectable percentage from the charity stripe, they will cover this number with ease.

20*

Portland Trailblazer -6

30*

Chicago Bulls vs. Orlando Magic UNDER 211

30*

Mississippi State vs. Penn State UNDER 136

20*

Portland Trailblazers ML -106

30*

Western Kentucky ML -120

30*

Toronto Raptors -8.5

40* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK

Syracuse vs. Duke UNDER 133.5

This game comes down to familiarity. Boeheim and Coach K are close friends. They know each others tendencies like the back of their hands. Coach K is now running the zone that he learned from Boeheim. Points are going to be at a premium in this one, unless they simply just connect on every 3 pointer they put up. The last time these two teams met the final score was 60-44. I doubt these guys would run the score up on one another and Boeheim isn't the type of coach to foul non-stop when the game is all but over to add meaningless points on the board. The under is now a combined 12-4 for these two teams and in order for Syracuse to have any chance in this game, they will have slow the game down and it will need to be played in the half court.

50* Sweet 16 MAX BET 

Kansas -4.5

Well we're doing it again folks. Last two seasons we have had 50* Sweet 16 MAX Bets on the Kansas Jayhawks and BOTH games were total blowouts. Kansas has done exceptionally well with the extra time to prepare in the tournament. Coaching his a HUGE deal the farther you get in the tourney and Bill Self has been there done that, going 9-3 in the Sweet 16, where Clemson hasn't sniffed this round in decades. 

We are getting a ton of line value here because of the performances of each team the last two games and the public perception that goes along with it. Everyone saw Clemson run Auburn out of the gym and beat the public darling in New Mexico State. In my opinion, I don't think these wins are impressive at all. Clemson had to be playing with a huge chip on their shoulder being totally dissed by everyone picking NMSU. They then took on Auburn...Auburn was hands down the most over rated team in the Big Dance. We did take College of Charleston in that 1st round game and they could've easily upset the Tigers, showing how grossly over seeded they were this year.

As for Kansas, they were in a big hole early to Penn and then went down to the wire with Seton Hall. I believe Seton Hall was an under rated team and that win was a lot more impressive then it was on paper. Kansas is on fire right now, winning 10 of their last 11 and they have the gift of playing in their backyard again. I'm expecting another repeat or should I say, three peat performance of the Sweet 16 for rock chalk Jayhawk.

30* BEST BET

Texas A&M vs. Michigan UNDER 136.5

I realize we are going against the market on this one but I'm sticking with my gut here. A few main factors have us landing on this under tonight. For starters, both teams play exceptional defense. Michigan ranks 3rd in defensive efficiency and 8th in points allowed per game. Texas A&M ranks 9th in efficiency and 8th in defensive FG percentage. We also have a change in venue for this match up so it might take awhile for these teams to get used to the sight lines and the rims.

One of the big dependents of this total is which team controls the pace. Personally, I believe it will be the Wolverines, hence the under play. Michigan plays slow and ranks near the bottom (329) in tempo. More often than not, Texas A&M will play to the pace of their opponent. They are not one of those teams that MUST control pace like a UVA (slow) or Oklahoma (fast.) Michigan has gone under the total in 4 straight NCAA Tournament games and I believe it'll be 5 in a row after this game tonight.

20*

Toronto Raptors vs. Orlando Magic OVER 214.5

40*

Orlando Magic +10.5

40*

Utah -4.5

30*

Charlotte Hornets vs. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 221

50* One & Only March Madness GAME OF THE YEAR

Kansas State -10

No surprise here. We are fading UMBC. Unless you live under a rock, you know that the Retrievers pulled, quite possibly, the biggest sports upset in HISTORY! Not only did they win, they beat the living crap out of the #1 overall seed. So this squad that just beat "the best team in the country" is now catching 10 points?! Easy money right? Not so fast. 

UMBC is in the letdown spots of all letdown spots. These players just became celebrities over night. Every media outlet wants to talk to them and their phones have to be ringing off the hook. To say they are feeling full of themselves is an understatement. They could lose this game by 100 and it would not matter. No one will remember what they did in this game. Their claim to fame will always be the 16 that beat the 1. UMBC did their jobs.

Time to snap back to reality. The team is massively under sized and they will get BEAT DOWN by a much more talented, power conference team that will NOT be taking them lightly this time. To make matters worse, UMBC's best player clearly isn't at 100% right now. 

30*

Cincinnati -8

I don't know how much Nevada is going to have left in the tank after beating Texas in OT. Nevada plays, what they call a "6 and a half man rotation." They are not deep whatsoever. Yes, we did have Texas in that game and I am a little bitter about it, but I don't think Nevada is any good. They only won because Texas can't make simple free throws. Cincy should pull away from the Wolfpack in the 2nd half when Nevada runs out of gas. 

30*

Florida vs. Texas Tech UNDER 133.5

This game has all the making of an under. Both teams play slow and play efficient defense. It's a bit of a surprise but Texas Tech ranks 3rd in defensive efficiency and Florida ranks 21st. TTU ranks 15th in scoring defense and 14th in shooting percentage. Guess who is one of the worst teams in the nation in FG percentage on offense? Yup, its the Florida Gators. Both team also play in the half court, ranking towards the bottom in tempo. Also, both teams are a combined 41-17 to the under in non conference games. This shows that teams have a tough time going up against these defenses that aren't accustomed to it.

30*

Kentucky -5.5

The Wildcats are now in the drivers seat to make it to the Elite 8. This bracket looked like they had ZERO chance to get out with Arizona and UVA standing in their way. Funny how crazy March can be. John Calipari will have these boys ready for Buffalo. They will definitely have their way down low and the key here is the 3 point line. Buffalo relies on the perimeter to score their points and that's how they beat Arizona. Kentucky will not let that happen as they are one of the best teams in the nation defending the 3 as they have outstanding length. Kentucky is on an absolute roll right now and have been dynamite covering the spread of late too. Historically, 12 seeds or worse have not fared well ATS in the Round of 32. Look for Kentucky to roll into the Sweet 16.

40* CBB TOP DOG PARLAY

New Mexico State +5

40* CBB TOP DOG PARLAY

College of Charleston +9

This play is a complete fade of the Auburn Tigers. I think this is one of the most over rated teams in the country. Yes, injuries have hurt this team but they are in a downward spiral and they are facing a Charleston team that is on fire right now. They have won 14 of their last 15 games with the only loss coming in OT. Charleston has an outstanding point guard and if he is on, I believe they have a great chance of winning this game outright.

20*

Texas ML -118

This "havoc" defense is going to give Nevada serious trouble without their PG. Nevada is limping down the stretch and that's not a team you want to back in the tournament. Mo Bamba will make a big difference in this game. I love backing teams that play great defense and Texas is a Top 10 defense. They are also battled tested from playing in the Big 12 and having the 3rd toughest schedule in the Nation.

50* NCAA TOTAL OF THE MONTH

Georgia State vs. Cincinnati UNDER 130

I am really shocked we are getting a 130 here. I was expecting something in the low 120s. Both these teams play outstanding defense and play a slower tempo. Cincinnati has the 2nd best defense in the country, behind UVA, and Georgia State plays a tricky zone defense that reminds me of the Syracuse zone, which is tough to go up against if you haven't seen it before. Both teams are a combined 62-24 to the under against non-conference opponents. This shows how difficult it is for teams to score that aren't familiar (out of conference games) with both of these defenses. Both teams are also a combined 13-1 to the under on a neutral court. This means that it's even tougher to score on these defenses when you aren't familiar with the rims. I recommend playing some of your wager on the First Half under as well.

20*

Portland Trailblazers -5.5

20*

San Antonio Spurs -4.5

30*

Kentucky -4.5

20*

Seton Hall -3

20*

South Dakota State +8.5

50* CBB MAX BET

University of Texas-Arlington +1.5

I really like this UTA team. I'm going to be looking to play on this team in the Big Dance if they can pull out this victory today. This team is full of seniors, they have great team chemistry, and they have two studs in Neal and the best player in the country you haven't heard of yet in Kevin Hervey. When those two guys are hot, I truly believe they can match up with anyone in the nation. 

My long term clients know that I graduated from WVU and Coastal Carolina. The reason I mention this is because CCU recently joined the Sun Belt Conference. I follow this conference very closely and even though UTA was the #4 seed, they are hands down the best team in this conference. We played on this team earler this year, heavy, when they took on Alabama as 11 point dogs and they nearly pulled out the outright victory at the buzzer, losing by a single point. I love UTA here guys and like I said before, don't be surprised if we play on them again BIG in the 1st round of the NCAA tournament.

20*

Virginia -3.5

Was waiting all day to try and get a 3 but we can't any longer and need to release. 

UVA is clearly my favorite team in College Basketball right now and one of my picks to win it all. This defense is the real deal and they have held UNC to under 50 points, that's right FIFTY, in the last two meetings. UVA continues to be undervalued over and over again. This is the best team in the country and they still weren't even the favorite to win the ACC?! I expect UVA to prove their worth tonight and beat last year's Champions.

30*

Villanova -13.5

To be honest, this was going to be a 5% GOY at 10 or less. I was a bit disapointed to see a 13 but it does tell me that Villanova is the right side here. This is the BIG EAST CHAMPIONSHIP and there's a team that is expected to win by two touchdowns...this could get ugly. I don't think Providence will have enough left in the tank after over coming that 17 point deficit and winnning in OT last night. This team was celebrating last night like they won the whole thing, talking about "WE TOOK OUT THE #1 SEED." Slow down Providence. Villanova is on a roll right now and they are revenge minded from losing to the Friars last time out. Villanova has been hitting everything from the floor during the tourney and these rims are their best friends right now. 

50* PAC-12 GAME OF THE MONTH

Southern California (USC) ML -140

I'm personally splitting this bet up with 3% ML (-140) and 2% on -2 (-120)

We're rolling with the Trojans again tonight after their impressive cover last night against the Beavers. I watched both games between the Ducks and the Trojans this year and I think USC is in the heads of Oregon. I think the Ducks luck is finally going to run out after overcoming double digit deficits in back to back nights. They can't afford to do that against these Trojans or they will get run out of the gym. 

USC has covered NINE straight neutral court games and they are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games facing a team with a winning record. This team has been a great bet this season and we've had some great luck backing them this year so we'll try it again here tonight heavy with the Mighty Trojans.

20*

Southern California (USC) -5.5

20*

Toledo -6

30*

Fordham vs. George Washigton OVER 130

20*

Bucknell -9

20*

Georgia -2

30*

South Dakota -1.5

30*

Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5

50* CBB GAME OF THE YEAR

North Carolina State -1

Louisville might be in one of the toughest situations I have seen in some time in College Basketball.They are coming off, quite possibly, the WORST loss I have ever seen in the final second. The Cardinals were up 4 with 0.9 seconds and found a way to lose in regulation. Interim coach David Padgett called it the "toughest loss I've ever had." That was on THURSDAY! Not to mention it was against the #1 team in the country, at home, on senior night. They now have to pick their selves up off the mat, just one day later, and face a hungry NC State team that's also coming off a loss AND it's senior night for the Wolfpack. NC State has been dynamite at home, going 15-3 and outscoring their opponents by 15. Getting NC State just to win this game is a gift in my opinion and strong enough to make it our CBB GAME OF THE YEAR! Best of luck tonight and only bet what you can afford! Thanks to all the followers!

20*

Creighton vs. Marquette OVER 163.5

40*

Illinois State -1

This game is simple. The Redbirds worst loss of the season was against Indiana State, an 84-54 defeat. I look for them to get their revenge in a big way tonight. Illinois State has also done well following a straight up loss, going 16-5 ATS. Indiana State has gone 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral court games.

30*

Rhode Island +2

This is a fantastic situational bet. Rhode Island comes off the most embarrassing loss of their season, it actually may be the most embarrassing loss of any team the entire college basketball season thus far. Davidson comes off a brutal TRIPLE OT loss to Saint Bonnie's just a few nights ago. I like for R.I. to bounce back nicely here and right the ship heading into the A-10 tournament.

20*

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Portland Trailblazers OVER 217.5

20*

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 222.5

20*

Virginia vs. Louisville OVER 123

30*

Charlotte Hornets vs. Boston Celtics OVER 209

Both teams are in solid offensive form after the all start break. These two teams combined are averaging over 231 points between the two of them post all star break. Michael Kidd Gilchrist is also listed as questionable and if he can't go, that is huge for the over because he is one of the best defensive players on the floor. The Celtics are also in their best OVER situation when they are playing a losing team at home, as the over is 35-15 in their last 50 in that spot.

20*

San Diego State -4

40* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK

DePaul vs. Creighton OVER 153.5

I am not over thinking this one. If these two teams just do what they are supposed to do (play their averages) this game will soar over. Creighton averages 90 points per game at home and DePaul averages 70 PPG on the road. Both teams also have suspect defense but they do play a fast tempo and rank in the Top 50. I believe we are getting some value here because the fact this game only saw 151 points a few weeks ago. Creighton had their lowest output against DePaul in a few seasons with "only" 76 points. Prior to that, Creighton has put on a show against this DePaul defense, scoring: 93, 83, 88, and 91. Both teams love to shoot the long ball and as long as they don't go ice cold from the perimeter, this game will fly over.

30*

Utah Jazz +3

If they can't win this one, Houston just clearly has their number. Utah has triple revenge in this game and gets to face Houston in quite possibly the worst situation in the NBA. 3 games in 4 nights, from Denver to Utah on back to back nights. The Jazz are also a hot team right now and should pull away in the 2nd half when Houston gets tired from the altitude.

40*

West Virginia -6.5

DREADFUL spot for Texas Tech here. They played one of the biggest games in program history at home to the Jayhawks on Saturday and came up short. They now have to travel to West Virginia in one day and play that press on Senior night for the Moutaineers. WVU also has revenge from an earlier 1 point loss this season, where WVU had a double digit 2nd half lead. It's hard to imagine TTU getting up for this game where the Moutaineers should be full force in front of a frenzied crowd.

20*

Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks OVER 211.5

30*

Cleveland State vs. Youngstown State OVER 152.5

30*

Oregon -3

50* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE YEAR

Golden State Warriors -10.5

I fully expect the Warriors to lay a beat down tonight. Golden State usually loves running the Clippers out of the gym but surprisingly, last meeting Lou Williams went off for 50 and it was the Clippers laying the beat down.

I like the Warriors to get their revenge in a big way to start the 2nd half of the season in front of their home fans. Let's not forget, this team is now the #2 seed in the West and lost their last game going into the break. If the Warriors can't give max effort in this spot tonight, this team doesn't have a pulse.

20*

Cleveland Cavaliers -5

50* CBB TOTAL OF THE MONTH

Georgia vs. South Carolina 130.5

50* SEC GAME OF THE YEAR

Louisiana State (LSU) -4.5

30*

Texas A&M -6.5

40* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK

Minnesota vs. Wisconsin UNDER 138.5

30*

Notre Dame -4.5

20*

Baylor -1.5

20*

Wake Forest -2.5

50* CBB MAX BET PARLAY

La Salle ML +102