Football Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
12-02-17 | Ohio State -3.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
OSU vs Wisconsin - these two teams meet again in the Big 10 Championship. A few years back Cardell Jones took over at QB for the Buckeyes and blew out the Badgers. Barrett is banged up a bit but he should be ok and if not OSU has enough weapons to take care of a highly overrated Wisconsin team. Wisconsin doesn’t have the offense to stay with OSU.This game opened with OSU a 5-point choice and due to Barrett’s uncertainty the line has dropped down to 4-points. OSU usually attracts most of the money but the bettors have loaded up on Wisconsin. This game won’t be a blowout but OSU gets a win and cover and the Big Ten Championship. Play on Ohio State. |
|||||||
11-25-17 | Washington State v. Washington -10 | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
Washington State at Washington – State can win a trip to the PAC-12 Championship game with a win over Washington. However, for the Huskies they’re chance to play for the title was dashed two weeks back with a loss to Stanford. Both teams come in at 8-2 with both teams losses on the road. The home team Huskies have the big time advantage. The books opened this game with Washington as a huge 11-point favorite and all of the bettors have jumped on Washington State. However, the line has dropped just a tick. Why would the line be so high with what appears on paper as two evenly matched teams! Because Washington is going to spoil the Cougars chance to advance to the championship game. We have Washington winning this game 21 points. Play on Washington. |
|||||||
11-12-17 | Patriots v. Broncos +8.5 | 41-16 | Loss | -130 | 56 h 60 m | Show | |
New England at Denver – after their opening week loss the Pats have won 6 of their last 7 games. Belichick has his defense playing much better as they have allowed 17 or less points the last four games. Meanwhile, the bottom has dropped out on the Broncos as they come into this game at 3-5 riding a 4-game losing streak. They’ve had a tough schedule playing the last 3 games on the road. They’ve also had QB issues as they are starting Osweiler. The Denver defense was embarrassed last week allowing 51 points. We see a much different performance this week. New England is a 7.5-point favorite and the sportsbooks have written all Patriots tickets. Denver’s season is on the line and we expect their defense to show up today. We’re taking the points. Play on Denver. |
|||||||
11-12-17 | Texans +11.5 v. Rams | 7-33 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 35 m | Show | |
Houston at LA Rams – the Texans are forced to start Savage at QB and as a result go to LA as huge 11-point underdogs. Last week they lost at home to the Colts 20-14 as 6-point favorites. Meanwhile, in LA Goff has been outstanding leading the Rams to a 6-2 record and three straight wins. Last week they put up 51 points on the Giants. The question is can they continue this pace? The bettors think so as the sportsbooks can’t find anyone to take the Texans. The Rams have attracted 75% of the wagers. We believe this line is way too high. Houston has a solid defense and will keep this game close. We see this as a 3-point game. Play on Houston. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Michigan State v. Ohio State -16 | 3-48 | Win | 100 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
Michigan State at Ohio State – Michigan State comes to Columbus with a 7-2 record and fresh off an upset win over Penn State. Meanwhile the Buckeyes saw their playoff hopes gone with a 55-24 drubbing at Iowa. That was the most embarrassing loss in Urban Meyer’s career at Ohio State. Both of these teams are 7-2 and after Ohio State’s awful performance last week you would think that the line would be about a touchdown in this game. No, Ohio State is a 17-point favorite. All of the squares have jumped of the Ohio State bandwagon and jumped on the Spartans getting this boatload of points. Over 80% of the bets are on Michigan State. This game has blowout written all over it as Meyer bounces back strong and blows out the Spartans. Play on Ohio State. |
|||||||
11-10-17 | Washington v. Stanford +6.5 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Washington at Stanford – the Huskies are 8-1 and ranked #9 in the country. They bring the best defense in the country to Stanford. Stanford is back home after a tough road loss at Washington State 24-21. Last year Washington embarrassed the Cardinal 44-6. This line opened with Washington as a 7-point road favorite and despite attracting the majority of the cash the line has dropped to 6-points. We like Stanford to knock off the Huskies. Take the points. Play on Stanford. |
|||||||
10-29-17 | Cowboys v. Redskins +3 | 33-19 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
Dallas at Washington – the Cowboys got to .500 by rolling over the Niners last week 40-10. Washington on the other hand fell back to .500 with a 334-24 loss at Philadelphia. Dallas controlled this series last year winning both matchups. However, we like the Skins to turn the tables on the Cowboys today. Dallas opened as a 2.5-point favorite and despite attracting the majority of the bets the line has dipped down to 2 or even 1.5-points. Our money is on Washington. |
|||||||
10-28-17 | NC State +7 v. Notre Dame | 14-35 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
NC State at ND – two 6-1 teams square off today in South Bend. NC State is riding a six game winning streak after losing their opener to SC. USC comes in off an impressive 49-14 win over USC. ND opened as an 8.5-point favorite but is down to a touchdown. Let down this week for ND. NC State keeps it close. Take the points. Play on NC State. |
|||||||
10-28-17 | Georgia v. Florida +14.5 | 42-7 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Georgia vs. Florida – Georgia takes their perfect 7-0 record into Jacksonville to take on the unimpressive 3-3 Gators. Georgia opened as a 14-point favorite and have attracted most of the money. However, the line hasn’t moved. We look for Georgia to have a close call. Take the generous points. Play on Florida. |
|||||||
10-28-17 | Penn State v. Ohio State -6 | 38-39 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Penn State at Ohio State – second ranked Penn State goes into Columbus to take on the Buckeyes. Penn State is ranked second in the country and has looked impressive while OSU has that bad home loss to Oklahoma on their resume. Why is OSU a touchdown favorite? Because their going to gain revenge and beat up Penn State. Play on Ohio State. |
|||||||
10-22-17 | Broncos v. Chargers | Top | 0-21 | Win | 100 | 51 h 6 m | Show |
Denver at LA Charges – the Broncos fell to 3-2 last week losing SU to the Giants SU as a 13-point favorite. The problem with the Broncos is their offense can’t score as they’ve scored only 42 points in their last 3 games. After opening with four straight losses (one of those to the Broncos) they’ve rebounded with back to back road wins over the Giants and the Raiders. The Broncos opened as a 1-point road favorite and that big upset loss last week the public is looking for them to bounce back strong. Denver has attracted a huge amount of the money. However, the line is now a pick. We look for the Chargers to gain revenge from that week 1 loss and score their third straight win. Chargers is our AFC West Game of the Year. |
|||||||
10-21-17 | USC +3.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 14-49 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 33 m | Show |
USC at Notre Dame – The Trojans ride into South Bend with a 6-1 record. Their only loss was three weeks ago at Washington State 30-27. USC has killed their backers this season with a 1-6 ATS record. USC has played a number of close games as they can’t hang onto the ball with 16 turnovers. ND is at 5-1 SU with their only loss 20-19 to the highly rated Georgia Bulldogs. ND does enter this contest with big time revenge as they were crushed by USC last year 45-27. This game opened with the Irish as a 3.5-point favorite and they’ve attracted most of the money. However, the line has dropped down to a field goal. We look for Sam Darnold to have a big game today and the Trojans winning this game by a touchdown. Our non-conference GOY is on USC. |
|||||||
10-21-17 | BYU v. East Carolina +6 | 17-33 | Win | 100 | 30 h 55 m | Show | |
BYU at E. Carolina – two bad 1-6 SU teams meet in this one. They’ve been great teams to bet against with BYU 0-7 ATS and E. Carolina at 1-6 ATS. BYU opened as a 7-point favorite and they’ve attracted the majority of the cash. However, the line has dropped to 5.5-6 points. Take the home dog. Play on E. Carolina. |
|||||||
10-21-17 | Indiana +7 v. Michigan State | 9-17 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 27 m | Show | |
Indiana at Michigan State – Indiana comes in off a tough overtime loss at home to Michigan. Michigan State scored another hard fought win on the road at Minny 30-27. Michigan State opened as a 7-point favorite and despite attracting most of the money the line has dropped down to 6.5-points. We like Indiana to keep this close against a very mediocre Michigan State team. Play on Indiana. |
|||||||
10-21-17 | Syracuse v. Miami-FL -17 | 19-27 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 20 m | Show | |
Syracuse at Miami Florida – Syracuse at 4-3 tries to knockoff the 5-0 Miami Hurricanes. Syracuse upset Clemson last week while Miami scored a lucky win over Georgia Tech. This game opened with Miami as a 14-point favorite and the public is all over Syracuse after them win over Clemson. However, the line is up to 17-points. This game has let down for Syracuse written all over it. Blowout for Miami. Play on Miami Florida. |
|||||||
10-16-17 | Colts v. Titans -6.5 | 22-36 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Indy at Tennessee – both teams have had QB issues and both teams come in at 2-3. Luck is still out for the Colts and they’ll go again tonight with Brissett. He led the Colts to a 26-23 home win last week over the Niners. Mariotta is slated to start tonight after being out in losses to Houston and Miami. Last week the Titans offense without Mariotta has awful putting up a total of 188 yards. That will change tonight being back at home and with Mariotta at the controls. This line opened with the Titans as a touchdown favorite but has been up to 7.5-points at some offshores. This tick up is despite the public all over the Colts. We look for Tennessee to bounce back strong tonight. Lay the points. You can find the best line over at 5dimes at -6.5. Play on Tennessee. |
|||||||
10-15-17 | Packers v. Vikings +3.5 | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 24 h 28 m | Show | |
Green Bay at Minnesota – the Packers are 4-1 fresh off their 35-31 road win over Dallas. The Vikings are hanging in there with Case Keenum at QB. Last week they squeaked out a 20-17 road win in Chicago. Despite their struggles on offense the Vikings defense has been solid. As usual the bettors are on the Packers as they have attracted 80% of the early wagers. However, after opening as a 4-point road favorite the Packers are down to a field goal choice. On paper the Packers should roll over the Vikings. However, we look for a letdown and for the Vikings to steal a win. Play on Minnesota as our NFC North Game of the Year. |
|||||||
10-14-17 | Colorado v. Oregon State +10 | 36-33 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Colorado at Oregon State – the Buffs started off hot winning their first three games. However, the wheels have come off since as they are riding a 3-game losing streak. Oregon State has been pretty bad all season winning only once. This is one of those ugly picks but we like Oregon State to keep it relatively close. Colorado opened as a 12-point choice and despite attracting most of the money the line has dropped down to 10-points. Take Oregon State. |
|||||||
10-14-17 | Oklahoma -9 v. Texas | 29-24 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Oklahoma at Texas – this big rivalry matchup lost its luster with Texas being so bad and Oklahoma suffering one of the most embarrassing losses in CFB history losing outright to Iowa State as a 30-point favorite. Oklahoma opened as a 8-point choice and after their upset loss last week they lost all of their backers as Texas has attracted the majority of the money. The Sooners take out their frustrations on a bad Texas team. Play on Oklahoma. |
|||||||
10-14-17 | Vanderbilt v. Ole Miss -3 | 35-57 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
Vandy at Mississippi – Vandy has had a rough 3 weeks losing to Alabama, Florida and Georgia. Ole Miss has also had a rough couple of weeks losing three straight to Cal, Alabama, and Auburn. Ole Miss opened as a 3-point choice and despite Vandy attracting the majority of the cash the line has drifted up a bit to 3.5-points. We like Ole Miss to score an easy home win. Play on Mississippi. |
|||||||
10-08-17 | Chiefs v. Texans | 42-34 | Win | 100 | 57 h 19 m | Show | |
KC at Houston – the Chiefs are the only undefeated team in the league and they take their perfect 4-0 record into Houston on Sunday Night Football. On Monday Night they rallied to win 29-20 and covered on the last play of the game on a failed Washington lateral rooskie! Houston rode their new QB Watson to a 57-14 whipping of the Titans. The books have this game as a pick and the books can’t attract much Houston money, as most are all over the undefeated Chiefs. However, we look for KC to suffer their first loss. Best line is over at 5Dimes at a pickem. Play on KC. |
|||||||
10-08-17 | Bills v. Bengals -3 | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 50 h 41 m | Show | |
Buffalo at Cincy – the Bills are off to a fast starting winning 3 of their first 4 games. The last two weeks they scored SU underdog wins over two pretty good teams in the Broncos and at Atlanta. The Bengals may have saved Marvin Lewis’ job with a 31-7 win in Cleveland. Despite the teams records and the Bills last two wins the Bengals are 3-point favorites up from the opener of 1-point. This line move is despite the Bills attracting the majority of the cash. Find the best odds over at Bovada at -3 (-105). Play on Cincy. |
|||||||
10-08-17 | Cardinals +6.5 v. Eagles | 7-34 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 40 m | Show | |
Arizona at Philadelphia – Cardinal bettors are broke so far this year posting an 0-4 ATS record. On the season they have managed to win two games. Those wins aren’t very impressive as they are over Indy and SF. Meanwhile Phily behind Carson Wentz are off to a hot start posting a 3-1 record with their only blemish a 27-20 loss at KC. This line opened with the Eagles as 6-point favorites and have drifted up to 6.5-points. We like Arizona to keep this one close. Take the points with Arizona. |
|||||||
10-08-17 | Panthers +3 v. Lions | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 50 h 40 m | Show | |
Carolina at Detroit – after not showing up at home the week before against New Orleans, Cam Newton and the Panthers offense bounced back last week to win in NE 33-30. The Pats win takes the Panthers to 3-1 on the season. The Lions squeaked out a tough win last week in Minny to go to 3- on the season. The Lions opened as a 3-point home favorite and the public has jumped on Detroit. However, the smart money is on the Panthers driving the line down to 2-points. You can find the best line over at Bovada at +3. We’re taking the Panthers. |
|||||||
10-07-17 | Stanford -4 v. Utah | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 13 m | Show | |
Stanford at Utah - the Cardinal have been hot and cold this season losing 2 of their first 3 games than bouncing back last week to beat Arizona State 34-24. They have their rushing game rolling putting up 328 and 405 yards the last two weeks. Utah is 4-0 but they’ve played a very weak schedule. Last week they went to Arizona and won 30-24 covering as 4.5-point favorites. In that contest Arizona was very kind as they turned the football over 5 times. Stanford won’t be as generous today. Stanford opened as a 4.5-point road favorite over the undefeated Utes. The squares have jumped all over the home dog as Utah has attracted three fourths of the bets. However, the line hasn’t dropped. We love betting against the public and teams that are perfect both SU and ATS. We’re laying the points. Play on Stanford. |
|||||||
10-07-17 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska +11 | 38-17 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 9 m | Show | |
Wisconsin at Nebraska – this game was supposed to be a big time Saturday Night matchup. Wisconsin has done their part winning all four of their games. However, Nebraska stumbles into this game with a suspect 3-2 record. Nebraska fired their AD and coach Riley is on the hot seat. This is one of those classic games where the beaten down home dog and rises to the occasion and despite Nebraska being so far on the season we see a great effort against their arch rival Badgers. The line opened with Wisconsin a 13.5-point favorite and despite them grabbing the majority of the money the line has dropped down to a 10.5 point number. We’re taking the points. You can still find them at +11 at a few books. Play on Nebraska. |
|||||||
10-01-17 | Eagles v. Chargers -1 | 26-24 | Loss | -115 | 53 h 18 m | Show | |
Philadelphia at LA Chargers – the Eagles have played a tough schedule thus far but have been able to post a 2-1 record after scoring a comeback win over the Giants last week. Meanwhile, the Chargers are searching for their first win. They lost their first 2 games by a total of 5 points but last week it wasn’t pretty at home losing to a tough KC team 24-10. Turnovers cost them that Chiefs game as they had a -3 turnover ratio. Tough spot for the Eagles winning that tough division game last week at home over the Giants and this week having to travel out west to play the 0-3 Chargers. Believe it or not the Chargers opened as a 1-point favorite and despite the Eagles having the majority of the action the line is up to 1.5-2 points at some books. (A few of the books have them at -1 -115) Chargers get the win. Play on LA Chargers. |
|||||||
10-01-17 | Bengals v. Browns +3.5 | 31-7 | Loss | -115 | 50 h 18 m | Show | |
Cincinnati at Cleveland – a battle of 0-3 teams meet in Cleveland this afternoon. For the Browns the 0-3 record isn’t a big surprise but the Bengals coach Lewis’ job may be on the line. Losing to an 0-3 team and to their old coach Hugh Jackson might be too much for the Cincy ownership to take. Cincy opened as a 4-point choice but despite grabbing a big chunck of the bets the line has dropped down to a field goal at some books. We’re taking the 3.5 points with the Browns. Play on Cleveland. |
|||||||
10-01-17 | Lions v. Vikings -1.5 | 14-7 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 17 m | Show | |
Detroit at Minnesota – after opening the season with 2 wins the Lions lost a tough one at home last week to the Falcons. The Vikings have QB issues with Keenum leading the offense. Last week nobody had any faith in Keenum and he led the Vikings to a 34-17 win over Tampa which included 369 passing yards. Once again this week the bettors don’t like the Vikings and are all over the Lions. However, the line which opened with Minny a 1-point choice has gone the Vikings way and they are now favored by 1.5-2 points at different books. We like the Vikings to win at home. Play on Minnesota. |
|||||||
10-01-17 | Rams +6.5 v. Cowboys | 35-30 | Win | 100 | 50 h 14 m | Show | |
LA Rams at Dallas – Goff is starting to pay dividends for the Rams as he’s led LA to a 2-1 start. Last Thursday night he led the Rams to a 41-39 win at SF. The Cowboys are also at 2-1 after winning in Arizona on Monday Night 28-17 despite putting up only 273 yards of offense. The line in this contest opened with Dallas as a 7.5-point favorite and despite the Cowboys attracting the majority of the cash the line has dropped down to 6-points. Best line is over at 5Dimes at 6.5 points. We like the Rams. Play on LA. |
|||||||
09-30-17 | Clemson -7 v. Virginia Tech | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 33 h 26 m | Show | |
Clemson at Virginia Tech – everyone in Clemson was worried about new QB Kelly Bryant replacing Watson. He’s been fine. However, what everyone overlooked was the Clemson defense which is ranked third in the country and arguably the best in the country. Despite the brutal schedule Clemson is undefeated and passed a tough road test 2 weeks back winning at Louisville 47-21. Virginia Tech is undefeated at 4-0 but their schedule has been a joke. The toughest test was in their opener when they beat a so-so W. VA team 31-24 despite allowing nearly 600 yards. The betting public, who usually jumps on Clemson has abandoned ship and has jumped on VA Tech. However, the smart money is on Clemson taking theTigers from a 5-5 point favorite to a 7-point choice. Another factoring keeping the line down is the fact that VA Tech played Clemson tough in the ACC Championship game last year losing 42-35. However, Clemson was looking past that game to the Bowl Championship. The last time Clemson visited Blacksburg was in 2011 and Dabo and his troops won 23-3. The Clemson defense will be the difference. Clemson scores a double digit win. Play on Clemson. |
|||||||
09-30-17 | Iowa v. Michigan State -3 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 29 h 27 m | Show | |
Iowa at Michigan State – the Hawkeyes are in a tough spot this week having to go to Michigan State after losing on the last play of the game at home to Penn State. How Iowa kept this game close is a mystery as they were outgained 579 yards to 273 yards. Meanwhile, Michigan State comes off a tough home loss to their arch rival ND 38-18. The score should have been much closer as MSU won the stats 496 yards to 355 yards. MSU had a -3 turnover ratio that cost them the game. The squares are all over Iowa as they almost beat Penn State and MSU is off that loss to ND. However, the line has risen to 3.5-points from the opening at 2.5-points. We like Michigan State to score a double digit win in a big bounce back win. Play on Michigan State. |
|||||||
09-30-17 | North Carolina +9.5 v. Georgia Tech | 7-33 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 10 m | Show | |
NC at Georgia Teach – NC has been a mess this year posting a 1-3 record. The first 2 losses were competitive games versus California and Louisville. Last week not so as they lost as a home favorite to Duke 271-7. Georgia Tech opened with a 1-point loss to Tennessee but has bounced back with 2 straight wins and are now 3-0 ATS on the year. However, that ATS streak gets snapped today as they are lofty 9.5-point favorites. Big overlay as NC keeps this one close. The last 2 years NC has won outright. Play on NC. |
|||||||
09-29-17 | Miami-FL -6.5 v. Duke | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 55 h 46 m | Show | |
Miami Florida at Duke – this is a rare ACC Friday Night matchup, but the good news is that both teams are undefeated. Miami comes in at 2-0 winning last week at home over Toledo 52-30. Duke has a much more impressive resume at 4-0 with wins over Northwestern, Baylor, and last week at NC. The Cane’s opened in this game as a 4.5-point favorite but the line is up to 6.5-points. This move up is contrary to the money as the Blue Devils have attracted the majority of the money. The smart money is on Miami and so is ours. Last year Miami scored a 19 point win and this year we see another double digit Cane’s victory. Play on Miami. |
|||||||
09-24-17 | Raiders v. Redskins +3.5 | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 55 h 59 m | Show | |
Oakland at Washington – the Raiders are the new darling of the NFL and they haven’t disappointed opening the season at 2-0. Opening with a win on the road at Tennessee and then last Sunday crushing the hapless Jets 45-20. The Skins rebounded off their awful opening week home loss to the Eagles with a 27-20 win last Sunday in LA over the Rams. The line in this matchup opened with the Raiders as a 3.5-point road favorite and as expected the public is all over Oakland. However, the line is down to only a field goal. We look for the Raiders to get upset and the Skins to score a Sunday Night upset. Play on Washington. |
|||||||
09-24-17 | Saints v. Panthers -5 | 34-13 | Loss | -111 | 47 h 28 m | Show | |
New Orleans at Carolina – the Saints take their 0-2 record on the road to Carolina in their first matchup of the year. After opening with a 29-19 loss at Minnesota the Saints got pasted by the Pats last Sunday 36-20. The nagging defensive woes of the Saints continue. Carolina is 2-0 on the season but were sleep walking through their first two games. In their opener at SF they won 23-3 but last week struggled at home beating the Bills only 9-3. Despite their offensive struggles the constant for the Panthers is their defense. They are allowing only 196 yards per game. The last four times these teams have met the games have all been decided by 5 points or less. Not this time. The Saints are getting older and won’t be able to stay with the Panthers who are due to score a ton of points. This game opened with Carolina a 6-point favorite and has slipped a tick down to 5.5-points. However, with Carolina’s offense sputtering and this series being close lately the public has jumped on the Saints. New Orleans has attractive a huge majority of the bets. As usual they’re wrong. We like the Panthers to score a double digit win. Our NFC North Game of the Year is on the Panthers. |
|||||||
09-23-17 | Florida v. Kentucky +3 | 28-27 | Win | 100 | 30 h 11 m | Show | |
Florida at Kentucky – it’s pretty well documented that Florida has owned KY winning 30 straight times. Well, all streaks must come to an end! Florida was run over by a so-so Michigan team in their opener then escaped via a Hail Mary win last week at home versus Tennessee. A game that they were totally outplayed. For Kentucky they come in at 3-0 highlighted by an impressive road win last week at South Carolina holding the Gamecocks to 13 points. This Kentucky defense is for real allowing only 16 points per game and are impossible to run on allowing only 62 yards rushing. They should have no trouble stopping a very weak Florida offense. This line opened with Florida a 2.5-point favorite and due to their impressive record over KY the public has jumped all over the Gators. However, the line has dropped down to Florida only a 1.5-point favorite. KY snaps the losing streak and goes to 4-0 on the season beating Florida by a touchdown. Play on KY. |
|||||||
09-23-17 | Arkansas +3 v. Texas A&M | 43-50 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 28 m | Show | |
Arkansas at Texas A&M – the Razorbacks offense didn’t show up last week as they lost at home to TCU 28-7. They put up only 267 yards of offense but that was against a rugged TCU defense. They shouldn’t have any trouble posting some good numbers against a weak A&M defense. Last week the Aggies scored a 45-21 win over LA Lafayette but that was aided by 5 Lafayette turnovers. The last two years A&M has won and covered in the matchup. However, this year Arkansas turns the tables. A&M opened as a 3-point neutral site favorite but despite attracting the majority of the money the line has dropped down to 2.5-points. We’re taking the points with an outright Arkansas win. Play on Arkansas. |
|||||||
09-22-17 | Virginia +13 v. Boise State | 42-23 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Virginia at Boise State – the Cavs go out on the road to take on the Broncos at Albertson Stadium. The last time these two teams met was in the 2015 season at Virginia it wasn’t much of a game with Boise winning 56-14. Both teams enter at 2-1 and both come off wins. The line in this game opened with Boise as a 13-point choice and it hasn’t move very much. The money is almost dead even. This is rare for a Boise game on the blue carpet as most times the books can’t find anyone to play against them at home. Over the last two seasons Boise bettors are broke with a 9-16 ATS record. We’re taking the points as we expect Virginia to keep this one close. Play on Virginia. |
|||||||
09-21-17 | Rams v. 49ers +3 | 41-39 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
LA Rams at SF – after opening with a big home win over Indy the Rams suffered their first loss of the season last Sunday at home to Washington 27-20. For the Niners they are 0-2 dropping their two games to Carolina and Seattle. The Niners have been struggling offensively as Hoyer hasn’t been very effective. The Rams opened with both games at home against so-so opponents and we look for them to struggle this week on the road. Meanwhile, the Niners step way down in class this week after facing two of the NFL’s best teams to open the season. This game opened with the Rams as a 3-point choice and the public has been all over the Rams as they love betting against the Niners. However, despite the money coming in on LA the line has dropped to 2.5-points. We like SF to score their first win! Play on SF |
|||||||
09-17-17 | Dolphins v. Chargers -3.5 | 19-17 | Loss | -105 | 52 h 27 m | Show | |
Miami at LA Chargers – the Dolphins has their first game washed out by Hurricane Irma and will now open their season on the road in LA. Another first for the Dolphins is their new QB Jay Cutler who they convinced out of retirement. The 10 million bucks went a long way in convincing him! For the Chargers they play their first game in their new LA digs after losing on Monday night in Denver. The line has dropped in this game from the LA as 5-point choices down to 3.5-points. The money is even which signals that despite the drop the smart money is staying on the Chargers. We’re not big Cutler fans and we look for him not to play very well. Chargers win their home debut in LA. |
|||||||
09-17-17 | Browns v. Ravens -8 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 49 h 23 m | Show | |
Cleveland at Baltimore – the Browns opened the season with a competitive game against the Steelers losing 21-18 and covering as 10-point dogs. In fact, the Browns may have won the game if they won’t have had a punt blocked for a touchdown in the first quarter. The Ravens went on the road and shutout the Bengals in their opener 20-0. They were helped by 5 Raven turnovers. The Ravens opened as a 7-point favorite but the line has drifted up to 8-points. However, we believe the line in this game should be double digits. The Browns rookie QB Kizer played “ok” in his debut but that game was at home against a “so-so” Steelers defense. The Ravens defense is much better and they’ll make it very tough on the Browns who by the way have no play makers on offense. The Browns have improved their defense but Flacco will do enough to lead the Ravens to an easy win. The Browns are better than last year but that’s not saying much. Lay the points. Play on Baltimore as our AFC North Game of the Month! |
|||||||
09-16-17 | Purdue v. Missouri -7 | 35-3 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 48 m | Show | |
Purdue at Missouri – after losing in week one to Louisville the Boilers rebounded with a 44-21 win over Ohio U. After failing to run the football against Louisville, Purdue got their ground game working last week rushing for 263 yards. For Missouri they’re looking to rebound off a terrible home loss last week to S. Carolina 31-13 as a 2.5-point home favorite. They actually won the stats in that game but lost the turnover battle 3-0. The line in this contest opened with Missouri a touchdown favorite and it went as high as 8-points but has settled in at 7.5-points. However, the books can’t find anyone to play on Missouri as Purdue as grabbed over 80% of the money. The public is getting fooled by Purdue’s first game against Louisville when they were competitive. However, the Tigers were embarrassed last week and we think we’ll get their offense rolling and if they hold on to the football they’ll win this game by 17 points. Lay the points. Play on Missouri. |
|||||||
09-16-17 | UCLA v. Memphis +3.5 | 45-48 | Win | 100 | 25 h 49 m | Show | |
UCLA at Memphis – the high profile UCLA Bruins take their 2-0 record on the road to play their first road game against Memphis. Two weeks back UCLA made the comeback of the year to stun Texas A&M 45-44. Last week they rolled Hawaii 56-23. Memphis has played only once, two weeks back they beat LA Monroe. Last week their game against UCF was cancelled. UCLA opened as a 4.5-point road favorite and the game has dipped as low as 2-points. The line as settled in with UCLA a 3-point favorite. However, everyone is riding the Bruins. This is a tough spot for UCLA having to travel east and playing a noon game. The Bruins will be sleep walking as they’ll still be on West Coast time. Memphis is a good team and they’ll get the win over a UCLA team that has an awful defense. Play on Memphis. |
|||||||
09-15-17 | Illinois v. South Florida -17 | 23-47 | Win | 100 | 48 h 48 m | Show | |
Illinois at S. Florida – both teams come into this contest at 2-0. Illinois has struggled offensively against two bad teams averaging only 22 points per contest. Their offense isn’t strong enough to stay close to this S. Florida squad. The Bulls have a ton of weapons and they haven’t been running on all cylinders yet, but they’ll get rolling tonight. This game opened with S. Florida a 16.5-point favorite and the line has moved up to 17.5-points. The Big 10 Illini are getting no respect from the line makers but the public is backing them as they garnered over 60% of the action. We have S. Florida scoring a 24 point win. Play on S. Florida. |
|||||||
09-11-17 | Saints v. Vikings -3 | 19-29 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
New Orleans at Minnesota – The Saints come into this year off three straight 7 win seasons. The Sean Payton and Brew Drees show in New Orleans is starting to get old. If the Saints don’t make it to the playoffs this season changes in New Orleans will be coming. Minnesota lost Bridgewater and mustered only 8 wins last season. Bradford stepped in and did have a nice completion percentage but couldn’t get the Vikings consistently in the end zone. The offense was upgraded by bringing in two free agent tackles as well as Michael Floyd and Latavius Murray and drafted Dalvin Cook with their first pick. Cook is expected to Viking fans to forget all about Adrian Peterson, who by the way is now a member of the Saints. The line in this game opened with the Vikings as a 3.5-point choice and the money as come in on the Saints, dropping the number down to 3 points. The big difference in this game will be on defense with the Vikings have the superior defensive unit. We’re laying the points with Minnesota. |
|||||||
09-10-17 | Giants v. Cowboys -4 | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 33 h 46 m | Show | |
NY Giants at Dallas – great opening night Sunday night matchup with the Giants taking on the Cowboys. After back-to-back six win seasons the Giants won 11 games last year and made the playoffs. Coach Mcadoo in his second season fixed the Giants defense improving their points allowed from 28 to 19 points per game. The Cowboys also had a big bounce back season winning 13 games last year after scoring only 4 wins the previous season. The two big reasons for their success was QB Prescott and RB Elliot. In this matchup somehow Elliot will get to play despite his suspension. These two teams opened the season last year here in Dallas and the Giants left with a 20-19 win covering as 1-point dogs. NY also won the rematch at home later in the season winning another low scoring game 10-7 again covering as 4-point dogs. In this matchup the books have the Cowboys as 4-point favorites. Despite the Giants grabbing over 60% of the bets the line hasn’t moved. The Giants have covered five straight times here in Dallas. Look for that trend to reverse and the Cowboys scoring a 7-point plus win. Play on Dallas. |
|||||||
09-10-17 | Falcons v. Bears +7 | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 25 h 17 m | Show | |
Atlanta at Chicago – the Falcons open the season with a road game in Chicago. Atlanta had all season to agonize over their Super Bowl collapse. Will they have the Super Bowl loser hangover. The Bears start season three with John Fox and they’re hoping to improve upon their 3-13 record of last year. The Bears signed Mike Glennon to a big contract and then traded up to select rookie QB Mitch Trubisky. The Bears were awful on offense scoring only 17 points per game and they’re hoping Glennon can have them in the end zone more often. As bad as the Bears were last year they were a very profitable 5-1 ATS as home dogs. Atlanta opened as a 7-point favorite and despite attracting the majority of the money the line has dropped under a touchdown. We’re taking the Bears. Play on Chicago. |
|||||||
09-10-17 | Raiders v. Titans -1.5 | 26-16 | Loss | -130 | 25 h 16 m | Show | |
Oakland at Tennessee – The Raiders had a great 2016 season winning 12 games and making the playoffs for the first time in a long time. All of the key players for the Raiders return and they added running back Marshawn Lynch and TE Jared Cook. Tennessee had a big time bounce back season under QB Marcus Mariota. In his rookie season they won only 3 games but last year scored 9 wins. Last year these two teams met in week three here in Tennessee and the Raiders left with a 17-10 win. There’s been a big line swing in this game as the Raiders opened as a 1-point favorite but the Titans are now a 2.5-point favorite. We like the Titans to gain revenge. Play on Tennessee. |
|||||||
09-09-17 | Stanford v. USC -5.5 | 24-42 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Stanford at USC – Stanford has scored three ATS wins over USC in their last three meetings. Last year it wasn’t much of a game as they beat USC at home 27-10. USC didn’t look very good in their opener under big time QB Sam Darnold squeaking by W. Michigan. USC opened this game as a 5.5-point favorite and the line hasn’t moved. However, all of the money is on the underdog Cardinal. We’re not getting trapped. Lay the points with USC. |
|||||||
09-09-17 | Oklahoma v. Ohio State -7 | 31-16 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Oklahoma at Ohio State – big rematch tonight in Columbus with the Bucks hosting the Sooners. Last year the Buckeyes went to Norman and spanked the Sooners 45-24. The Buckeyes opened as a 5.5-point choice and the line is all the way up to 7.5-points. The money is favoring the Sooners but the sharp players are laying the points. Our money is on Ohio State. |
|||||||
09-09-17 | Auburn +5.5 v. Clemson | 6-14 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
Auburn at Clemson – these two teams tangled in the opener last year and Clemson scored a 19-13 win. Clemson lost Watson but they looked good last week beating up Kent State. However, it’s going to be much tougher this week against an Auburn team that returns 16 starters. Clemson opened as a 6-point favorite and despite attracting a good percentage of the bets the line has dropped down to 5-points at most books. We look for a very close game and wouldn’t be surprised with a SU Auburn win. |
|||||||
09-02-17 | Florida State v. Alabama -7 | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 53 h 50 m | Show | |
Alabama vs. Florida State – this game sets up as a possible National Championship matchup as many have these two teams making the playoffs. FSU was predicted to make the playoffs last year but those hopes faded early when they lost two of their first five games. Saban is still smarting from losing the title last year to Clemson. In the last nine years Saban has opened up the season with a perfect 9-0 SU record and a near perfect 8-1 ATS mark. Alabama is only a 7-point favorite and many believe they lost too many players from last season. We don’t. FSU is over rated every year and once again they’ll stumble early. Play on Bama. |
|||||||
09-02-17 | Michigan v. Florida +6 | 33-17 | Loss | -115 | 48 h 15 m | Show | |
Florida vs. Michigan – Florida seems relevant again after a 9-4 season. They concluded with a 30-3 bowl win over Iowa and have high expectations with 15 returning starters. Michigan started the 2016 season with 9 straight wins but lost 3 of their last 4 games. This game will be played at AT&T stadium with the Wolverines a 4-point favorites. The books have the wrong team favored. Florida wins outright. Play on Florida. |
|||||||
01-15-17 | Packers v. Cowboys -4 | 34-31 | Loss | -115 | 53 h 14 m | Show | |
Tom Grassi Playoff Game of the Week Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys – the Packers roll into Dallas red hot riding a seven game winning streak. Last week they looked impressive beating up the Giants 38-13. The Cowboys were off last week and actually had two weeks off resting their starters in their final game of the season. This line opened with Dallas as a 4-point favorite and despite the public jumping on the Packers the line has moved up to 4.5 or 5 points at most of the offshore books. The big difference in this game is going to be the defenses. The Packers defense isn’t very good especially on the road where they allow 28 points per game. The Cowboys defense is allowing only 19 points per game. We’re laying the points. Play on Dallas Cowboys |
|||||||
01-14-17 | Texans v. Patriots -15 | 16-34 | Win | 100 | 33 h 53 m | Show | |
Tom Grassi Playoff System Winner Houston Texans at New England Patriots – the Texans scored an easy playoff win last week over a quarterback-less Raiders squad. However, this Sunday they have to go on the road and play a team with a pretty good QB named Tom Brady. Brady and the Patriots playoff record is well documented with SU wins, however, in this contest they are laying a whopping 15-points. The Pats have been double digit playoff favorites three times since the 2007 season and although they are 3-0 SU they are only 1-2 ATS. However, the last time they were in this role they drilled Denver 45-10 in the 2011 playoffs. The public is on the Pats as they have attracted over 70% of the action. We normally don’t like going with the public and laying this many points but we have to take the Patriots. Since 2000 there have been 12 playoff games in which a team has been a favorite of 10 or more points and these favorites are a very profitable 9-3 ATS. Lay the points. Play on New England Patriots |
|||||||
12-30-16 | Florida State v. Michigan -7 | 33-32 | Loss | -100 | 56 h 46 m | Show | |
Tom Grassi Bowl Game of the Year Florida State vs Michigan - The Noles and Wolverines matchup in Miami in the Capital One Orange Bowl. Florida State gets to play in their home state but we believe they're overmatched in this contest. The difference in this game is going to be the Michigan Defense. Florida State Likes to run the football but they won't be able to run against this rugged Wolverine defense who allows opponents an average of only 117 yards per game and an average of 3.1 yards per rush. The other big factor is Michigan will have a healthy Wilton Speight at quarterback. Michigan opened as 7-point favorite and it's proved to be a good number as the line hasn't moved. Florida State actually has attracted a little more money than Michigan. We're projected a double digit Michigan win. Play on Michigan Wolverines |
|||||||
12-29-16 | Arkansas v. Virginia Tech -7 | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 29 h 28 m | Show | |
Tom Grassi Belk Bowl Arkansas vs Virginia Tech - Much of the credit for Virginia Tech also goes to junior quarterback Jerod Evans. He has thrown for more than 3,300 yards and for 27 touchdowns with only seven interceptions. Virginia Tech, with 455 points this year, is within 20 points of breaking the school record for points in a season (set in 2010). Ford has 73 receptions, just two shy of reaching his single-season school record set last year. The Hokies have previously played at Bank of America Stadium, defeating Florida State in the 2010 ACC championship game. Shopping around at the books you can find Virginia Tech -7 at 5dimes. Play on Virginia Tech |
|||||||
12-28-16 | Indiana +6 v. Utah | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Tom Grassi Foster Farms Bowl Indiana vs Utah - Indiana is 3-1 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. The Hoosiers will most likely rely heavily on running back Devine Redding, who rushed for 1,050 yards this season. Expect their defense to make a strong showing too. Indiana ranked 41st in the nation in total defense this season in Allen's first year as defensive coordinator after ranking 120th of 129 FBS school last season. Take the points. Play on Indiana Hoosiers |
|||||||
12-28-16 | West Virginia v. Miami (Fla) -3 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
Tom Grassi Russell Athletic Bowl Winner Taking a look at the books online you can find Miami FL -3 at Bookmaker. Miami does well within the role of the favorite this year. So far the Hurricanes are 8-2 ATS as a favorite this season. As for West Virginia, historically the neutral field doesn't play well for them. The Mountaineers are 6-18 ATS in games played on a neutral field. Play on Miami Hurricanes |
|||||||
12-28-16 | Northwestern +4.5 v. Pittsburgh | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
Tom Grassi Pinstripe Bowl Shopping the online sportsbooks you can find Northwestern +4.5 at Bovada. The Wildcats have a 1,000-yard rusher in Justin Jackson, a 1,000-yard receiver in Austin Carr, who leads the Big Ten with 84 catches, and a 3,000-yard passer in sophomore QB Clayton Thorson. The trends favor Northwestern who are 13-8 ATS as an underdog. The Wildcats are also 10-3 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. Take the points. Play on Northwestern Wildcats |
|||||||
12-27-16 | Baylor +7.5 v. Boise State | 31-12 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Tom Grassi Cash In Cactus Bowl Play Bovada sportsbook has the best line on Baylor +7.5. Baylor is 6-3 ATS off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival. Along with being 9-7 ATS in games played on a neutral field. While Boise State is only 1-7 ATS after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. Take the points with Baylor. Play on: Baylor Bears |