Wednesday game resulted in a 2-0 pitcher's duel. Thursday afternoon's game will be entirely different. Carrasco is permitting a lot of baserunners. He has a 1.657 WHIP. Averaging less than 5 innings, he likely won't be around long. Four of Carrasco's last five starts against Boston have finished with 10 or more runs. Last game here Carrasco went only 2 1/3 innings and allowed 10 hits and 5 runs.

Brennan Bernardino won't be going deep into the game either. This is his first start this season. Of his 61 big league appearances, only 6 have been starts. The Boston bullpen didn't come into play yesterday because of Houck's masterpiece but it will today. Red Sox relievers have an awful 6.94 ERA and 1.69 WHIP at Fenway. Go with the Over!

The Oilers have much bigger games ahead. For the Arizona Coyotes, there will never be a bigger game. In case you haven't heard, the Coyotes are expected to leave the desert for greener pastures of Salt Lake City. This game marks the end of an era in Phoenix and the Coyotes want to go out on top. Arizona has won 4 of its final 6 games.

"We want to play our last game with class, with respect and give the best effort that crowd can expect," Coyotes coach Andre Tourigny said after Tuesday's practice. "We want to make sure we are remembered as a group who fought with every last ounce we have in our body." Arizona is off a 1-goal loss and 3 of the past 4 meetings have been 1-goal games. Edmonton plays Colorado tomorrow. Play the Coyotes on the puck-line!

They may have ended the year on a down note but the Hawks have a very dangerous team. They're still not completely healthy but they've got Trae Young back. The Bulls are only 9-14 versus the spread as home favorites. They lost 12 of those 23 games outright. One of those 12 outright losses came against Atlanta on the first day of this month.

I feel a lot better," Young said. "I'm just trying to make sure I can play at least close to my minutes that I played in the regular season in the play-in game." With Young complemented by players like Murray and Bogdanovic, the Hawks have the weapons. The Bulls are missing a number of players themselves. They will struggle against an Atlanta team with more recent postseason experience.

Skubal is an early Cy Young contender in the American League. He's got a 2.08 ERA and a special 0.78 WHIP to start the season. Though Skubal may be averaging 5.7 innings per start, the Detroit bullpen has been terrific. Collectively, Tiger relievers have a 1.70 ERA. Speaking of bullpens, the Texas relievers have a 7.40 ERA and 1.73 WHIP on the road. It is a small sample size but its still an ominous sign.

Dunning may be 2-0 on the road but he's got a 4.77 ERA in those starts. With the Texas hitters facing Skubal, he's not going to get the type of support which he's used to. The Rangers are 1-5 in day games. The Tigers are 8-4 in day games. Skubal outpitched Dunning in a head-to-head matchup in 2021, Skubal winning 4-1. Go with Detroit!

The Kings have long been in the shadow of the Warriors but they will have a great chance to step out from them on Tuesday night. Golden State knocked them out of the playoffs last season, Curry getting 50 in Game 7. Now it's Sacramento's turn.

The Kings aren't the same team that lost to the Warriors last year. They are older and wiser and they have had a taste of the playoffs. Last year, was their first time there in 16 years. They are also better defensively than last year's team.

Kings guard Davion Mitchell said: "It’s exciting. We get to get a little payback for last year ... We’re playing a home game and it’s going to be loud. It’s going to be physical, but I think we’re ready for it. I think the whole year, we’ve prepared ourselves for it, playing physical on both ends of the floor, and I think we’ll be ready." Last 3 meetings were all decided by 1. Kings will win outright. Grab the points.

The Milwaukee Brewers haven't been involved in many pitcher's duels but they're about to get one on Tuesday! Dylan Cease allowed 2 runs in 6 innings last start. Both were unearned. He has allowed 2 runs or less in 6 straight starts. He is 5-2 to the under his last 7 starts. As a Padre, Cease has a 2.16 ERA and 0.814 WHIP. He held the Brewers to 2 runs in 7 innings in a start last August.

Miley has a 2.25 ERA and 0.75 WHIP from this season's only start. He allowed only 1 hit and 1 run through 4 innings. Since last season, he has allowed 1 run or less in 4 of his last 5 starts, 3 runs in the other. Just like Cease, Miley is 5-2 to the under his last 7 starts. Miley's last start against SD finished with a 1-0 score. Both bullpens have been solid. Go with the Under!

The Flyers weren't given much hope at the beginning of the season. They played better than expected, gained everyone's respect and appeared to be playoff bound. Then they slumped and their playoff chances took a big hit. They're giving it one last kick at the can and have won back to back games. They are at home tonight and they have had the past 2 days off. They catch Washington play8ing with 0 days rest.

The Capitals have played a lot of hockey over the past 2 weeks. The last time that they played with 0 days rest, they lost by 2 goals. The Flyers need a win in regulation. They are excited again and playing their best hockey. They are 2-1 against the Capitals this season. With Washington off last night's upset win, the Flyers will get it done tonight!

Here's what I said prior to the first leg: "Dortmund has suffered three successive quarter-final Champions League eliminations. The German squad looked bad against Stuttgart and will have trouble scoring today against a rested Atletico Madrid squad which doesn't concede often at home. Go with Atletico Madrid." Atletico Madrid won 1-0.

Now the second leg will be played at Dortmund's Signal Iduna Park. With the venue shifting from Spain to Germany, we are now able to get an extra half goal with the visiting Spanish squad. In a match which has a great chance at resulting in a draw, that extra half goal may easily prove to be the difference. Look for Atletico Madrid to earn at least a draw and to advance to the semi-finals of the Champions League once again.

The Kings are priced as if they need to win this game. They don't. Kings interim coach Jim Hiller said. "...we just want to be feeling good. Whether that's winning or playing well and maybe not quite getting it done, just feeling good going into the playoffs." The Kings rested Kopitar last game.

The Wild are giving some of their young players well and they're contributing. Off a 6-2 win last game, they've got some excitement generated going into tonight's game. The Kings have humiliated them this season and they will have something to say about it tonight. Take the extra +1.5 goals on the puck-line.

The Red Sox are 5-1 in day games. Krawford has 3 starts under his belt and has an impressive 0.57 ERA and 0.957 WHIP. He's only given up 2 runs in the 3 starts, none last game. He hasn't given up a home run in any of his last 5 starts.

Curry missed a chunk of Spring Training due to a respiratory virus and stayed in Arizona to make up for lost time. He's put in some rehab work but this is his first start of the season. He's here due to injuries to Williams and Bieber. Take Boston to win its third straight game.

Yesterday's game finished with a 5-2 score and runs will be hard to come by again today. Paxton has a dynamite 1.64 ERA in 2 starts. He's off a quality start at Minnesota, a game which finished with a final score of 4-2. Paxton faced the Padres last season and held them to 1 run in 6 innings. The final score was 6-1.

Darvish has been decent so far as he has a 3.86 ERA. Darvish has allowed 3 earned runs or less in 6 straight starts against the Dodgers, 2 or less in 5 of those. He only went 3 2/3 innings in this season's first start agains them but allowed just 2 hits and 1 unearned run. San Diego bullpen has been fairly solid (1.25 WHIP) on the road. Twelve of Darvish's 13 starts versus LA have finished with 9 runs or less. Eleven of those games finished with less than 9. Go with the Under! **NL WEST TOY**

This is the biggest game of the season for Orlando. The Magic have their sights set on a top 6 position which would mean avoiding the play-in round. A win over the Bucks gets them there.

"We control our destiny in this situation," said Orlando coach Jamahl Mosley, "so the way in which we have to play, the focus we have to have, and the attention to detail in how we start games and how we finish games is going to be very important."

"We just need one win and we're good," Magic forward Franz Wagner said. "One more game and we have to focus on that one and get a win."

The Bucks are still without Giannis Antetokounmpo and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. A win gets them the #2 seed but they don't seem overly concerned about it.

"You're going to play somebody good in the playoffs no matter what. There is no easy path. We learned that in the past before -- winning it and also losing it.

The Magic are 25-11 versus the spread, when favored. They've had a great season and they will finish it strong. Lay the points!

The Senators and their fans had hoped for a much better season. The players still have pride and they know that their fans still love the team. This is their home finale and they are going to go all out to get the victory.

We want to leave our best effort for our fans and leave a good taste in their mouth moving forward into next year," Senators captain Brady Tkachuk said. "Create some excitement, create some energy for hopefully a big season next year. But, most importantly, for a year that's been a lot of ups and downs, just to leave on a high note with the people that have supported us through thick and thin."

Ottawa is off a win at Tampa and has won 2 of 3. The Senators are 8-2 the past 10 meetings, 2-0 this season. The Canadiens are 13-33 their last 36 tries in the revenge role. They are also 19-47 their last 66 tries with home revenge. This one is all Ottawa! **ATLANTIC DIV GOM**

This is an interesting battle of two Brazilian fighters who both need a win to keep their momentum going. Marina Rodriguez is a quality striker but she doesn't have the strength or power that Andrade has. Remember that Andrade has fought at Flyweight, 125 pounds instead of 115. One recent common opponent was Amanda Lemos. Lemos scored a TKO against Rodriguez. Andrade submitted her in the first round!

Andrade, the former champion, is going to hurt Rodriguez with body blows, something she does well. Rodriguez isn't going to possess the power to make Andrade respect her. Instead, Andrade will take some shots in order to get in. She will mix in grappling and will be able to exploit Rodriquez's suspect take-down defense. Whether by KO/TKO or submission, Andrade will win this fight!

The Jets were able to win at Dallas but they're not winning here at Colorado. The Avalanche are 30-9 on home ice. Winnipeg is 7-8 its last 15 off a shutout win. The Jets are also 16-23 (-11) their last 39 tries, after playing 3 or more consecutive road games.

The Avalanche are 15-7 their last 22, when playing with 3 or more days rest. They are also 19-8 their last 27 tries when playing with revenge. The Jets have beaten them in both meetings but the Avalanche won't permit the season sweep. Go with Colorado!

The Royals winning streak came to an end yesterday. Today, they will experience their 2nd straight defeat. With a 3.08 ERA through his first 2 starts, Alec Marsh has been quite good. Not as good as Sean Manaea though. Through his first 2 starts, Manaea has a 0.82 ERA, a 0.00 ERA at home!

A further look at Marsh shows that he was only good in his first start. His second start was against the White Sox. They aren't very good but they still pounded out 8 hits against Marsh in just 4 and 2/3 innings. Manaea went 6 scoreless innings in his home start. The Royal bullpen now has a 7.45 ERA on the road. The Mets bullpen has a 2.08 ERA at home. Royals are now 23-44 their last 67 IL games. Let's go METS!

This is a lot of points to be giving a desperate home underdog. The Kings are playing with 0 days rest but the last time that they did that, they lost by only 1 point at Boston. This is a Sacramento team which badly needs to get on track before its too late. They will fight with everything they've got. The Suns are 8-9 in division games, the Kings are 10-6.

The Kings are 9-4 versus the spread after allowing 130 points or more. The Suns are 9-16-1 versus the spread off a win by 10 points or more. The Suns are also 8-20 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. The Kings are 17-10 ATS as underdogs. Grab the points! **Pacific Div. GOM**

Bad start (4-10) for Houston but yesterday's 13-3 loss represents rock bottom. The Astros are 10-6 their last 16 tries after 3 or more consecutive losses and 12-5 their last 17 tries after allowing 10 runs or more.

France has allowed 3 runs in each of his 2 home starts. He has made one home start against Texas. That came last July. In 7 innings, France allowed only one run and it was unearned. Houston won 4-3. Dunning usually seems to get to face the Astros at home. This time, he's at Houston. In his only previous start here, a span of only 4 innings, he gave up 7 hits and issued 3 walks. He also allowed 4 runs. The Astros won 6-5. They will win again tonight! **AL WEST GOM**

The Dallas Stars are the best team in hockey's Western Conference this season and they are on a mission to lock down first place. They can do that with a win tonight. The Jets are battling for a chance to have home ice advantage in the first round. They have an even bigger game against Colorado coming up Saturday though. That's the one they really need and will be getting excited about.

The Jets are 6-8 their last 14 tries, when playing against a team with a winning record. They are 24-38 (-14) their last 62 tries, when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. Both teams have excellent goalies but Dallas has better scorers. The Jets score 2.9 goals per game on the road. The Stars score 3.9 goals per game at home. Dallas goalie Oettinger is 8-0-0 with a pair of shutouts his last 8 starts. He has posted a 1.63 goals-against average and a .939 save percentage in those games. Go with Dallas!

The Pirates got off to a hot start last year and then cooled right off. They are off to a hot start again this season. Once again, they will begin to cool off. That's what I said before their last game and they lost to the Tigers. Now they are on the road against a difficult opponent. Pirate rookie Jared Jones is also off to a strong start but he has only made 2 starts and will also cool off today.

The Phillies are off a win yesterday and they send Ranger Suarez to the mound today. They are 2-0 in his starts this season and he has a dynamite 0.727 WHIP in those games. The Phillies are 3-0 when Suarez starts against the Pirates. In 2 of those starts, Suarez allowed 0 runs. One was a game here where Suarez delivered a complete game 4-hitter. Off a win, the Phillies are 121-79 their last 200 tries. The Phillies are also 13-4 the past 17 times they hosted the Pirates. I'm going with the Phillies!

The Royals are on a 6-game winning streak and they're playing at home. Houston has dropped consecutive games. Kansas City finds itself in an underdog role for a reason though. Houston is 89-54 the past 3 seasons off a loss and 10-5 after giving up 10 or more runs. Over the same time, the Astros are 35-18 as road favorites of -125 to -175.

Its been a difficult start for Brown but he will get solid run support this afternoon. Singer has been good so far but Houston will be a tougher oponent than Chicago! Singer had a 5.52 ERA in 29 starts last season. The Astros hit 3 HRs the last time that Singer started against them. Houston won 10-3. Astros will snap the Royals' winning streak on Thursday afternoon!

Arizona snapped its 5-game losing streak yesterday. This afternoon, in a rematch of a March 30th pitching matchup between Henry and Gomber, the Diamondbacks will make it 2 in a row.

The Rockies won that first meeting between Gomber and Henry. Henry was much better last start though. He was facing the powerful Braves but allowed only 2 runs in 5 innings. Before the March 30th loss, Henry had fared very well against Colorado. He allowed 2 hits through 7 shutout innings in his previous start against the Rockies and is 3-1 his 4 team starts against them. Go with Arizona.

Playing at Metropolitano Stadium will give Atletico Madrid with the edge in this match. Atletico has never suffered a Champions League knockout defeat here, or their old Vicente Calderon home. Since a 1-0 (group-stage) defeat to AC Milan in November 2021, Atletico have gone nine Champions League home games without a loss - winning each of the last four here.

Dortmund has suffered three successive quarter-final Champions League eliminations. The German squad looked bad against Stuttgart and will have trouble scoring today against a rested Atletico Madrid squad which doesn't concede often at home. Go with Atletico Madrid.

We may not need them but I will be happy to take an extra +1.5 runs with the Cardinals this afternoon. Nola was much better last start after he got pounded in his first one. He still walked 4 batters and has a 6.30 ERA through 2 starts. Nola's last start against the Cardinals was a 1-run game.

On the same day, that Nola was getting hammered by the Braves, Lynn blanked the Dodgers through 4 innings. He has 12 strikeouts against 2 walks so far this season. Lynn had some good years here earlier in his career and the Cardinals are 2-0 in his 2 starts this season. Lynn's teams are 6-1 his last 7 starts and 11-3 his last 14. Play the Cardinals on the Run-Line.

Both teams are playing surprisingly well at the moment. If they'd done more of that earlier in the season, they might be getting ready for the playoffs. Instead, they are playing for pride.

Arizona has won both games this season. Each was tied after regulation time. One finished in Overtime and the other was decided in a shootout. Both those games were at Tempe, Arizona though. Now the Kraken get to host the Coyotes. Seattle is 32-17 (+10.8) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season. Winners of 4 of their last 6, the Kraken will have their revenge!

This is a true clash of the titans. Real Madrid is a 14-time champion. Manchester City is the current champion. It's a rematch of a battle a little less than a year ago which saw Manchester City win 5-1. That was the semis and this is the quarter finals. The super heavyweights may not combine for 6 goals again but they will get at least half that many.

Real Madrid is in top form. The Spanish squad virtually always makes it past the quarter finals. City has the longest winning streak in Champions League history. Both offenses are absolutely top level. Both defenses can be prone to being beaten. Both teams should score and at least 1 of them should do so multiple times. Go with the Over!

The Pirates got off to a hot start last year and then cooled right off. They are off to a hot start again this season. Once again, they will begin to cool off. On the surface, Perez's 2.45 ERA looks pretty good. He's only faced the Marlins and Nationals though and if we take a closer look, we find that he's got a 1.545 WHIP. Remember that Perez has been around a long time and that he had previously pitched in the American League his entire career. Washington and Miami weren't familiar with him but Detroit is!

Mize had been out for a long time so it was important that he get that first start out of the way. "I’m certainly proud to get back here. This is a good checkpoint, obviously, in a really long and tough process, and I’m proud of the work that I put in and people have done for me. I owe a lot of people a lot of thanks for getting me back to where I am, but I think it would be a disservice to them if I just took it all in and did it once or whatever. So got to keep going, got to keep pushing for more, and continue to get better. And I feel really good about being able to do that.” Mize outpitched Perez when the two opposed each other in the spring of 2021, the Tigers winning a 1-run game. Grab the extra +1.5 runs with Detroit on the Run-Line.

A string of unders from both teams have kept this line in the mid 140s. Its a lower total than either team saw in either of the last 2 rounds. Too low! These may be excellent defenses but there is no stopping either of these offenses. UConn has scored 75 or more in every game this tournament. Prior to the low-scoring game against NC State, Purdue has scored 72 or more in 5 straight and 10 of 11.

Purdue was an underdog twice. Those games averaged 162 points. The Boilermakers are 4-1 to the over when playing with 1 days rest and 6-2 to the over after allowing 60 points or less. The Huskies are 5-1 to the over their past 6 tries as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 9 points. This game goes Over!

The Marlins bats came to life yesterday. Miami belted out 13 hits and scored 10 runs. Hitting is contagious and the Marlins will bring it with them into Monday's series opener at Yankee Stadium.

A look at the starting pitching finds that the Yankee hurler is allowing far more baserunners. Miami's Luzardo has a 0.968 WHIP through 2 starts. New York's Cortes has a 1.700 WHIP through 2 starts. Both starters have already been involved in a 1-run game. Yankees have been nothing special (35-34 L3 Years) in IL play in recent seasons. Grab the +1.5 runs with Miami!

The Houston Rockets can't afford any losses. The Rockets are four games behind the Warriors with only five remaining in the regular season. That obviously doesn't give them much of a chance. They have fought all year though and they are going to continue to battle until the bitter end.

Rockets coach Ime Udoka: "Just finishing on the right step, on the right foot and playing the right way."

Dallas isn't entirely healthy and wants to make sure it it for the playoffs. Doncic missed the Mavericks last game and is questionable. So is Kleber. Those guys would play if this was a playoff game but they may not for this one. Rookie sensation Lively is out. Green remains out.

The Rockets are 7-3 versus the spread after 3 or more consecutive losses. Grab the points! **Southwest GOY**

Manchester United just suffered an epic collapse against Chelsea a few days ago. United was up 3-2 very late but gave up 2 goals deep into extra time. That devastating defeat will impact them today!

Liverpool will show know mercy. Undefeated (8 wins, 1 draw) in its last 9 league matches, Liverpool just keeps winning. United won when these clubs met March 17 in FA Cup action though. Liverpool will settle the score today. Still traumatized from the Chelsea loss, United has issues on defense right now and won't be able to keep the ball out of the net. Liverpool wins!

The Battle of Alberta is always a big deal for both teams. Tonight's game may mean more to Calgary though. Edmonton won big again last night, an impressive 6-2 win over Colorado. That was a big game against an elite opponents and the Oilers also have big playoff games ahead of them. For the Flames, this is as big as it gets. They will be fired up!

The Oilers aren't nearly as good on the road as they are at Edmonton. They lost their last road game 5-0 and their previous one was a 1-goal win. They've only been mediocre when playing with 0 days rest, 14-13 their last 27. Last time in a back-to-back saw them lost 5-3 at Ottawa. The Flames beat the Oilers 6-3 in the last meeting and they are going to bring it again tonight. Go with Calgary on the puck-line.

The 76ers were minus their big guns last month at Memphis. Embiid was out but Maxey was also absent. The Grizzlies might argue that they have been dealing with missing players all season. They've done well, all things considered. But they do remain extremely short-handed and now the 76ers are healthier. Memphis will have no answer for a Philly team hell-bent on revenge and now being led by their stars.

The 76ers are 56-40-1 versus the spread their last 97 tries in the revenge role. They are 28-19 ATS when laying points this season. The Grizzlies are only 4-8 versus the spread when playing 2 games in 2 days. Their tired legs won't be ready for what the 76ers will throw at them. Lay the points!

The Marlins have gotten off to a terrible start. He wasn't great but Rogers wasn't "terrible" in his first outing. He allowed 4 earned runs, striking out 6. Given that he only made 4 starts last season, after a full workload in 2021 and 2022, it was a somewhat encouraging effort which he can build from. He was also really sharp in his only career start at St. Louis. In 6 innings, he allowed 1 run on 3 hits. He struck out 6 and walked 0. The final score was 2-1 for the Cardinals.

The Cardinals lost a 1-run game in Matz's first start this season. Matz's last start versus Miami was an 8-4 loss in which he gave up 9 hits and 6 runs. His team starts are 4-2 his last 6 against the Marlins but 2 of the wins were by 1 run. The Cardinals have struggled in day games so far and they will get all that they can handle from Miami on Saturday afternoon! Play the Marlins on the run-line.

Seattle has no business being favored by this much on the road right now. The Kraken are off a 5-2 loss. They are 3-10 their last 13 games. They are also 9-16 in 25 tries after allowing 4 or more goals. Now they have to go the road and win by 2 or more to beat us. Its not happening.

The Ducks are feeling good about themselves as they are off a 5-3 win at Calgary, to close out their road trip. Seattle is 3-2 here all-time but all 3 victories were by 1 goal. Grab the extra +1.5 goals with Anaheim!

After getting shellacked by the Guardians on Wednesday, a day off Thursday was just what Seattle needed. The Mariners are 24-16 their last 40 tries, when playing with a day off. Peralta has a exceptional 1.50 ERA but Gilbert's 1.29 ERA is even better. Peralta was good last season but Gilbert was arguably even better. The Mariners are 10-5 in Gilbert's last 15 starts.

This season, the Seattle bullpen has a 2.10 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. The Milwaukee bullpen has a 6.10 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. The Brewers swept the Mariners at Seattle last April. The Mariners know they could have really used one of those wins and they will make sure the same thing doesn't happen this season. They start by taking Game 1 of the series!

The Rockets have many factors in their favor tonight. They are playing with Double-Revenge with the Warriors having won both of this season's previous meetings. Golden State has been strong on the road this season but the Rockets are even better at home. The Warriors need wins but the Rockets need them even more!

The Warriors play at Dallas tomorrow night. Its a really big game and a rematch from Tuesday. If there is a game to look ahead to, its a game against Luca Doncic and the Mavericks! The Rockets have been underestimated all year. They are 13-7 versus the spread as home underdogs and they won 11 of those game outright. They are 12-3 ATS against Pacific Division teams and they will have their revenge on Thursday night!

I admire this Boston team and I've previously said that they're a legitimate contender to hoist the Cup. There are still opportunities to go against them though. This is one of them. Boston is just 8-7 (-6.2) its past 15 tries, when off a shutout win. Not nearly as strong a win percentage as the Bruins have when not off a shutout.

The Hurricanes are 6-1 (+4.5) the past 7 times that they hosted Boston. This season, the Bruins are 21-17 on the road. Carolina is 25-13 at home. The Hurricanes are the healthier squad, Boston is dealing with some injuries. The Hurricanes are very well rested and they are 5-2 when playing with 3 or more days rest. After Carolina wins tonight, you might find me on the Bruins for next weeks rematch. For now, home ice, rest and health add up to a win for the Hurricanes!

It's an understatement to say that this season has started badly for the Marlins. They're 0-7. Since they weren't getting anything right at home, heading out on the road is probably a good thing. The Cardinals played on the West Coast yesterday. Their 3-2 loss was their 3rd 1-run game in their past 5.

Weathers made one start against the Cardinals and his team won 5-3. Lynn's last 3 starts against the Marlins saw his team lose all 3. Scores were 11-4, 9-3 and 5-2. In last season's start against Miami, Lynn gave up 8 earned runs. The Marlins hit three home runs. The Cardinals are winless in day games. Play Miami on the run-line!

Charlotte went through a stretch of games which went under the total. That is finished but the markets have still yet to adjust. This is the 2nd lowest of Wednesday's 9 totals. Too low!

Charlotte's last 7 games have resulted in 6 overs and 1 under. The Hornets allowed more than 110 points in all 7 games. Their last 2 games averaged 235 points.

Portland is 7-2 to the over its last 9 games. On the season, Trail Blazer games average 223.2 points. Charlotte games average an identical 223.2 points. When favored at home. Charlotte games average 233.2 points. Go with the Over!

Ragans didn't get any run support in his first start and that will be an issue again today. Former Milwaukee ace Corbin Burnes was dynamite in his first start as an Oriole. He only allowed one hit!

The Orioles have edges at the plate and in the bullpen. They are 66-43 against left-handed starters the past 3 years. The Royals are 54-79 in day games over that time, 50-114 on the road. They pulled off an upset yesterday but they won't be able to beat Burnes today!

Both teams are battling for the final playoff spot. The Devils are well-rested and the Penguins are coming off a road win over the Rangers last night. Advantage New Jersey. In 10 tries with 3 or more days rest, the Devils are 7-3. When off a win by 2 or more goals, the Penguins are 9-13 (-9.1).

The Devils are 8-2 (+7.9) their last 10 meetings with the Penguins, 2-0 this season. The Devils are also 19-14 after allowing 4 or more goals. They fell behind Pittsburgh with the Penguins winning last night but the teams will continue to play leap-frog again tonight. **METRO DIV GOM**

Indiana State has a far superior record and is the better team here. Inside or outside their conference, the Sycamores have handled their business. The Sycamores were 19-4 against Missouri Valley Conference opponents and 12-2 in non-conference play. Utah was only 10-12 within its conference. The Pac-12 has some good teams but so does the Missouri Valley. The level of competition doesn't account for such a large discrepancy in records!

The Utes are 0-3 versus the spread their last 3 tries as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick. They were only 4-7 ATS as underdogs this season. They won only 5 of their 12 road games. The Sycamores are 20-11 ATS as favorites. They are 30-14 ATS their last 44 tries after scoring 80 or more. Lay the small number!

Both teams need this game. The Jets need it more though as they are stuck in a losing streak. It needs to be stopped today! This will mark the Jets' 4th straight home game. They are 10-1 (+8.4) after playing their previous 3 games at home. They are 30-11 (+17.8) their last 41 tries in that situation!

The Kings build up their record against bad teams. They are 16-19 against teams with a winning record. They are 53-71 their last 124 tries against winning teams! OFf a loss to Calgary last game. the Los Angeles coach stated: "We were a step behind." The Jets are healthier than the Kings. Tonight they will also be better than them!

These teams are jostling for position in the crowded NBA playoff race. Both want this victory. The Pelicans closed a 4-game road trip and have been playing some elite teams since coming home. Since returning, they've faced OKC, Milwaukee and Boston. The Suns are also strong. Though they did win here in January, the Suns aren't as good on the road as they are in Phoenix. That makes tonight important as the teams play again at Phoenix next week!

This is game 5 of a 5-game road trip for the Suns. They are looking forward to getting home. The Suns are 5-10 versus the spread and 7-8 straight up against teams from the Southwest, 8-10 ATS when off a loss of 10 or more points. New Orleans is 9-6 SU (10-5 ATS) off a loss of 10 or more. The Pelicans are also 13-4 straight up when revenging a home loss. New Orleans wins! **Western Conf. GOY**

In case you haven't been paying attention, the Trail Blazers are terrible right now. They have lost 9 straight. The last loss came by 60 points! The Trail Blazers are 1-6 versus the spread against Southeast division opponents.

The Magic thrive as favorites. They are 24-7 versus the spread in the role of the favorite. As a home favorite of more than 12 points, they are 2-0 ATS. This Magic team makes short work of weaklings. They are 24-5-2 ATS against losing teams, 14-3 ATS their last 17. That level consistency comes from quality coaching. They don't let down. They beat Memphis by 30 last game and this will be another cakewalk!

These clubs have gotten off to opposite starts. The Tigers are 3-0 and the Mets are 0-3. That's partly a result of who they were playing. The White Sox are going to be awful this season and the Tigers began their season against them. A game at Citi Field will be a different matter! The Mets were 20-12 the last 2 years, after 3 or more consecutive losses. The Tigers were 13-13 after 3 or more consecutive wins.

Off the sweep at Chicago, the Tigers are still 75-90 on the road. After getting swept by Milwaukee, the Mets are still 97-70 at home. Manaea's teams are 2-0 his last 2 "home" starts against the Tigers. They won 8-4 and 3-1. Both Manaea's starts were quality. In all starts, Manaea has allowed 3 runs or less in 11 of his last 13. Go with the Mets!

Zach Edey is a different kind of player. He changes the game. You have to worry about him when you're on both offense and on defense. Worry too much about him on offense and he'll mess up your shot, if he hasn't blocked it. Worry too much about him on defense and he'll kick it out to Purdue's capable 3-point shooters. So far, that formula has worked for the Boilermakers. That was before they had to contend with the Tennessee Volunteers! Purdue hasn't faced a defense like this one in this tournament. Tennessee allowed 49 and 58 points its first 2 games!

Excellent on both sides of the ball, the Volunteers are peaking at exactly the right time. They got a taste of Purdue in the Maui Invitational. The Boilermakers pulled away late for a 4-point win. The experience of having faced Edey once will help Tennessee in Sunday's rematch. The Volunteers know what he's all about. They know they could have won that game. They know that they've improved since then. The Boilermakers average more than 80 points a game but the Volunteers are 7-1 their last 8 tries versus the spread against teams which average 77 or more per game. Grab the points!

We successfully backed the Reds in Thursday's season opener. Off their 8-2 win, the Reds coughed up a lead yesterday and lost 7-6. They will respond by closing the series with a victory! Used primarily as a reliever, Martinez is ready to prove he can cut it as a starter for Cincinnati. Opposing batters only hit .172 against him in the spring.

Irvin was 3-7 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.42 WHIP last season, 1-2 with a 4.89 ERA on the road. In two starts against Cincinnati last season, Irvin gave up 3 home runs in 10.3 innings. The Nationals may have taken yesterday's game but they are still 20-40 their last 60 as a road underdog of +125 to +175. Reds win!

The Alabama offense versus the Clemson defense. Who wins? I say, who cares. I'm going with the total instead! The Tigers kept Arizona and Baylor well below their season averages. The Crimson Tide have the best offense in the country though. They also allow more than 80 points per game, more than 89 per game on the road!

The Tigers have only faced 3 teams which allow more than 77 points a game. The over was 2-1 in those games. Alabama is 26-9 to the over on the season, 6-1 in tournament play. The Tide are going to score more than 80 points, probably significant more, and the Tigers are going to have to do the same if they want to keep pace. The Tigers have scored more than 70 in all 3 of their games and those were better defenses. Against a weaker defense, in a game where they will need to score to keep up, they can easily get more than 80. Go with the OVER!

Who needs Trae Young? The Atlanta Hawks are playing their best basketball of the season. They have won 4 in a row and 2 of those wins came against Boston! The Hawks are 20-17 at home and the Bucks are 17-20 on the road. The Bucks are off a loss and they are missing Lillard. And we still get points with Atlanta!

The Hawks are 10-5 versus the spread their last tries against a team with a winning record. The Bucks are 8-19 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. The Bucks scored only 100 last game and Atlanta has scored 120 or more in 4 straight. The Bucks are 2-4 versus the spread after scoring 100 or less. Grab the points!

The Bruins are off a loss, rested and playing with revenge. Bad news for Washington! Boston is 29-11 the last 40 tries, when playing with 2 days rest. The Bruins are also 51-26 (+17) when playing with revenge. Boston is also 23-8 (+12.2) the last 31 tries, after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game.

The Bruins weren't pleased with their effort in the 3-0 loss to Washington in February. With that win, the Capitals are still only 17-23 when playing against a team with a winning record. They were outshot 48-24 in a 5-1 loss last game. The Capitals have a minus-30 goal differential this season. They won't be ready for the angry Bruins!

The Huskies have been impressive but this is the game they finally get tested and this is way too many points. The Illini have also impressed. The stats aren't that far enough. Not far enough to warrant such a big number. The Huskies did win a few more games and they do allow fewer points. The Illini played in a tougher conference though and they also score more points.

Its important to recognize that NONE of Illinois' 8 losses has been by more than 9 points. The Illini do not get blown out. They're 7-0 their last 7 games, 10-1 their last 11. The only loss was by 6 against Purdue. With a 6-1 ATS record, as an underdog, grab the points with Illinois!

We had with the Rays yesterday so it was nice to see them add some late insurance runs to their 8-2 blowout victory. That was also the score in Thursday's opener, the Blue Jays winning that one. Those totals were set at 7.5 and 8. This one is even higher. Too high!

Littlell was sneaky good in a September start versus the Jays. He gave up 2 runs through 5 2/3 innings but both were unearned. He struck out 6 and walked one, keeping the ball in the park. In 8 starts versus Tampa, Kikuchi has allowed 3 or fewer earned runs on 7 occasions. The bullpen won't blow it again. Go with the Under!

Houston versus Duke. In the past, you'd expect the Blue Devils to be favored over the Cougars. Those days are over. The Cougars are the better team, as they were last year. Duke still carries the name and the tradition though and that has helped in preventing this line from being even higher. The Cougars are 12-7-1 against the spread in 20 tries with 3 or more days rest. The Cougars only allow 57.7 points a game. Their defense is for real.

The Cougars are 10-2 versus the spread their last 12 tries, a perfect 12-0 straight up, in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 134.5. The Blue Devils are only 2-5 versus the spread their last 7 tries as an underdog. They found themselves in that role twice this season and went 0-2 ATS with losses against Wake Forest and UNC. This is the end of the road for the Blue Devils!

It's important to put the schedule to work for you. This is the 4th and final game of a 4-game homestand for the Heat. They play their next game at Washington and then they have 2 more difficult games at home, followed by 3 on the road. They are already 1-2 in the first 3 games. They are also 6-1-1 versus the spread in 8 tries, after playing their previous 3 games at home. If you add it all up, the Heat absolutely need to take advantage of this easier opponent. Its the largest pointspread which they've been asked to cover all season and there is a good reason for that.

The Trail Blazers, 1-5 versus the spread against Southeast Division teams, are really bad. They are 19-54 on the season. The Heat have had 2 days off and the Washington game isn't until Sunday. They won by 10 at Portland and this will be an even bigger "cakewalk!"

Off a loss on Opening Day, the Tampa Bay Rays are going to really want this one. The Rays were 78-64 off a loss the last 2 years. Aaron Civale came over at the deadline from Cleveland last year. Civale was better before the move. He's got a lot of determination to get off to a strong start to show Tampa what he's all about.

Bassitt was a much better pitcher at home than on the road last season. He had a 2.86 ERA and 0.99 WHIP at home but a 4.50 ERA and 1.486 WHIP on the road. He turned things around in May but struggled with a 5.18 ERA before that. The Rays are 104-61 their last 165 games at home. They will even their record after today.

Illinois has been going over this tournament and all season. The Illini results are creating a high total. They are finally meeting a team which can slow them down. The Cyclones can really get after it on defense! With Illinois permitting a respectable 66.2 points per game versus non-conference opponents, this total is too high!

The Cyclones are 5-1 to the under in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games. They have allowed 65 or fewer points in 10 straight games. Last game, they limited Washington State to 56. They kept Houston to only 41. Their last 5 opponents are averaging 56 points and hitting 38% of their field goals. Illinois will get more than 56 but not as many as it usually does. Go with the Under!

Paced by their top three starters, Luis Castillo, George Kirby, and Logan Gilbert, the Mariners should again have one of the better starting rotations in baseball. In fact, they return all five starters from last year. Remember, Seattle had the best combined ERA (3.74) in the American League last season. Seattle pitchers recorded 18 shutouts in 2023, the most in the big leagues and a franchise record. The Mariners also set a franchise record with 1,459 strikeouts in 901 innings pitched. Today's starter Castillo is the best of the bunch. In 5 spring starts Castillo had a 2.95 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. Opposing batters hit only .194 against him here last season. The Red Sox are a young team which is in for a long season. Bello had a 4.66 ERA when starting on the road last year.

Mitch Haniger, who has returned to Seattle, said this of the Mariners: "This group is just hungry The guys in here want to win. Ultimately, being a loser is not fun. It's really motivating just to try to get back into the playoffs and win a World Series -- the No. 1 goal. It's win the division first and get in the playoffs, and then make a run and win that last game of the season." They take the first step towards that goal on Thursday night!

Ottawa is off a win at Buffalo last night. Now the Senators are playing with 0 days rest. That's not a good look for the Senators. They are 1-4 their past 5 tries, when playing the second of back-to-back games. They are 2-8 their last 10 tries with no rest. Despite their poor record with no rest, the Senators are now required to win by 2 or more goals to beat us. That's not going to be easy, as Chicago is playing its best hockey.

Anton Forsberg should start in goal for Ottawa as Joonas Korpisalo played last night against the Sabres. Forsberg has made one start against the Blackhawks and it resulted in a 6-3 loss. The Senators might also be down an important player as defenseman Thomas Chabot left early in the third period of last night's game. The Blackhawks have won 2 games in a row and 3 of their last 5. They are 6-4 their last 10 games. The Hawks are 10-0 their last 10 games against the Senators. This season's game was decided by 1 goal. The last time the teams played in Ottawa, the game went to Overtime. Grab the +1.5 goals with visitors on the puck-line!

Montas is ready to show that he can be the Reds' ace. Full of confidence, he improved and built up his innings as spring training went on. He was perfect in this season's spring training debut, while throwing limited innings. Back from shoulder surgery, he's ready to shine in his Cincinnati regular season debut.

Gray had a worrisome 6.61 ERA and 1.96 WHIP in spring training. That wouldn't be as much of an issue if he was showing improvement from start to start. That wasn't really the case. His last start saw him give up 2 home runs in 4 innings, 7 hits and 4 runs overall. At least he only walked one batter. In his previous spring start, he issued 7 free passes!

The Nationals are 19-39 the last 2 years as road underdogs of +125 to +175. Give me the Reds.

The Bruins are one of the best teams in hockey. They could even hoist the Cup this year. They're not very good when playing 2 games in 2 days though. Off a win over the Panthers last night, they will not be able to complete the state of Florida sweep tonight. Boston is only 4-6 when playing with 0 days rest.

The Lightning, 7-2 in March and 6-1 their last 7, come in well-rested. They had the last 2 nights off. They have taken 2 of 3 meetings against the Bruins this season, winning 5-4 here at Tampa. They are playing great and they will be fresh. Let's go Lightning!

So, we've got 2 teams with essentially equal records (Norfolk State is 23-11 and IPFW is 23-12) and one of them is playing at home. But the other is favored. Hmmm. What's the deal? The biggest reason for this is that the Horizon League is considered to be (and is) stronger. That doesn't make the Mastodons better on the road than the Spartans are at home. Ipfw is a solid 12-7 on the road but Norfolk State is a perfect 14-0 at home!

If we go back to the beginning of the season, Norfolk State was projected to be near the top of the MEAC. IPFW was expected to be near the bottom of the Horizon. The Mastodons didn't return a single starter from last season. They should be commended for having the season which they've accomplished but it will end with a loss. The Spartans outscore teams by a 84.5 to 62.6 point margin at home. That cannot be ignored. Make it 15-0 after tonight!

If you pay attention to how teams fare in certain situations, you'll understand why this the case of the wrong team being favored. Both teams are off a victory last night. That works in favor of Dallas. The Mavericks are 8-3 versus the spread their last 11 tries, when playing with 0 days rest. The Kings are only 4-8 ATS when doing so.

The Kings played great defense last night. The problem is that they are only 2-9 ATS their last 11 tries, after allowing 105 points or less. The Mavericks are 29-18-1 ATS (30-18 straight up) when revenging a home loss, 12-5 ATS their last 17. The Kings won twice at Dallas but the Mavericks get them back tonight!

Seattle was 9-3 versus the spread in non-conference action. Having beaten Grand Canyon during the season, the Redbirds know that they can beat this Fairfield team. The Stags are 1-5 versus the spread their last 6 tournament games and the Redbirds are 5-1 versus the spread.

The Redbirds are the stronger team but they also have a scheduling advantage. They play 2 games in 2 days but the Stags are playing 3 games in 3 days. That extra Sunday game played by Fairfield, as opposed to Seattle playing on Saturday, will be a factor. Lay the points with the Redbirds!

This is a great price on Toronto. The Maple Leafs are off a loss to Carolina, a top level opponent. They will be angry and fired when they encounter a weaker New Jersey club. Toronto is 8-2 (+5.2) their last 10 tries, when playing against a team with a losing record. The Maple Leafs are also 9-1 the last 10 meetings with the Devils.

The Devils are off a 4-0 victory but they are an atrocious 25-47 (-36.6) their last 72 tries, after a win by 2 goals or more. This season, they are 4-17 (-20.4) when off a win by 2 or more goals! Give me the better team on home ice!

This is as essentially as big a mismatch as it gets in the NBA. The Denver Nuggets are the defending champions. They need to keep winning and they dominate teams at home. The Memphis Grizzlies are playing for nothing. This is a team which is beleaguered by injuries.

The last time that these teams faced each other, the Nuggets won by 37 points. The Nuggets have won 41 of 50 meetings here and many of them have been blowouts. The last 5 Denver home wins over Memphis have all been by at least 13 points. With the Grizzlies only 4-7 versus the spread their last 11 tries with 2 days rest, this one will see the Nuggets win by at least 20! **WESTERN CONF GOM**

The road team has won both meetings this season. This should result in another victory for the road team! Vegas is 3-1 its last 4 visits here. The Blues are only 11-13, after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game. The Knights are 14-9 after a win by 2 goals or more. They are 48-36 in that spot the last 2 seasons.

The Blues average 2.9 goals a game. The Knights average 3.2 goals per game. The Knights average more than 31 shots per game. The Blues average 28. The Knights are off a dominant effort where they outshot their opponent 47-22. The advantages add up to a Vegas win!

My CakeWalk selections are usually reserved for favorites which I expect to win with ease. They don't have to be though. When I am getting points with an underdog which I expect to win outright, as I am here, I can occasionally use that title. Here, we've got a Montana team which won 24 games. Arkansas State won 19. Both teams score roughly the same number of points but Montana allows a lot less.

Though the points aren't likely to come into play, both teams did see their last game decided by 2 or less. Montana won by 1 and Arkansas State won by 2. If this turns out to be another game decided on the final possession, I'd rather be getting points than laying in them. The Grizzlies are 10-3 straight up (9-4 versus the spread) their last 13 tries when playing with 1 days rest or less. They are 25-11 SU their last 36 tries. Let's go Grizzlies!

The San Diego State Aztecs are an experienced team which made a deep run in this tournament. They have the type of team suited to winning at this time of the year. The Yale Bulldogs were fortunate to win the Ivy League Finals. Then, they pulled off a first round upset over Auburn. That was a big win but they won't duplicate it tonight.

The Aztecs will dial up the defensive intensity and low-scoring games don't really suit Colorado. The Buffaloes are just 1-3 versus the spread their past 4 when the total was 120 to 129.5. San Diego State is a perfect 5-0 ATS its past five tries, as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. The Aztecs caught a break by getting Yale and they will take advantage of it!

The top teams in the Big East are right there among the best and it starts with UConn. The defending champions are taking no prisoners this year. They have scored over 90 points in 2 of their past 3 games. Northwestern won't be able to keep up!

Playing on a neutral court must feel like playing at home for the Huskies. They are 7-1 versus the spread (8-0 SU) their past 8 games on a neutral court. They are 20-6 ATS their last 26. They are now 7-1 ATS their last 8 NCAA Tournament games. Some team will test them but Northwestern won't be the one to do it. Lay the points!

Utah State has gone over the total in 5 straight games. Things will change against a Purdue team off a dominant defensive effort! The Boilermakers held Grambling to only 50 points in round 1. The under is now 4-1 in Purdue's last 5 tries in an NCAA tournament game.

The Boilermakers aren't always as high-scoring as some of the other top teams in this tournament. They have failed to score more than 80 points in any of their last 5 games. When the Aggies play with more than 1 days rest, their games average more than 150 points. When they play with 1 day of rest or less, their games average only 137 points. Go with the Under!

In case you've haven't noticed, the Big 3 in the Big East are all special teams. The Huskies are the defending champs and didn't miss a beat this year. Arizona can compete with the top 3 in the Big East but the other Pac-12 teams cannot. We saw Creighton dismantle Pac-12 Tournament Champion Oregon last night.

Marquette is another special Big East team which has the potential to go a long way. The Buffaloes are 2-4 versus the spread as an underdog. The Golden Eagles are 17-9 versus the spread as a favorite. Lay the points!

The Flyers haven't been able to beat the Bruins. Boston has won 7 straight meetings in the series. The Bruins scored 5 or more goals in each of the last 4 of those wins. The Flyers simply cannot keep up. Off a loss, Boston will respond with a high level effort. From Boston's Jacob De Brusk: "We need a response. Nobody's happy in this room."

The Flyers continue to contend with many injuries on defense which will lead to another day filled with Boston goals. They can light the lamp but the Bruins can also beat you with defense. The last 3 times that they were off a loss, the answered by holding their next opponent to 1 goal. Let's Go Bruins!

North Texas is 9-3 to the over as an underdog. The Mean Green are 5-1 to the over this month. The Mean Green are off an 84-77 victory over LSU and the over is 5-0 when they scored 80 or more points in their previous game.

Seton Hall is 10-5 to the over at home, its last 15 tries when the total is between 135 and 139.5. The Pirates are 3-1 to the over in that situation this season. Seton Hall averages 77.6 points per home game and North Texas is averaging 77.6 points its last 5 games. This number is too low. Go with the Over!

These teams can both really get after it on the defensive end of things. The Gaels just held Gonzaga to 60 points. You saw Gonzaga score 86 yesterday. The Gaels can also hold down the Antelopes! It goes both ways as the Antelopes will also make scoring difficult.

Grand Canyon has allowed an average of 58.8 points its past 5 games. Opposing teams hit only 37% of their field goals in those games. St Mary's has been playing that kind of defense all season! The Gaels allow an average of just 58.7 points. Opposing teams hit only 39% of field goals. Go with the Under.

A small line is offering excellent value with the Big 12 team. The Mountain West is a solid conference but the Big 12 is stacked. The Horned Frogs have wins over teams like Houston, Texas Tech, Baylor, K-State Cincinnati and Oklahoma. They were within a bucket of beating Kansas, and Iowa State. In fact, there were numerous very close losses. This team is better than its record!

The Horned Frogs are 21-9 versus the spread their last 30 tries, off a loss against a conference rival. The only time that they played with 7 or more days rest in between games resulted in an easy cover, a 77-42 blowout. The Frogs were 14-10 versus the spread as favorites, 3-1 ATS as road favorites. TCU is 7-1 straight up its last 8 against Mountain West teams. The Aggies are 1-5 ATS as underdogs and 0-3 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games. Lay the small number!

Give me the extra +1.5 goals with the Pittsburgh Penguins. Every game and point is of critical importance for the Penguins at this time. They will fight to the end. The Dallas Stars are only 17-19 their last 36 tries after playing 3 consecutive home games. Now they have to win by more than a goal!

Pittsburgh's last visit here was one year ago, on March 23, 2023. The final score was 3-2 for Dallas, the extra +1.5 goals coming into play. Four of the past 5 meetings have been decided by 1 goal. Only 1 of the past 10 h2h meetings has resulted in a Dallas win of more than 1 goal. Play the Penguins on the puck-line.

Too many points between two equal teams in a game which will be close. The Wildcats are 4-0 versus the spread their last 4 NCAA tournament games. The Owls are 3-7 versus the spread their last 10 tries as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points.

The Wildcats are also 6-2 versus the spread their last 8 tries, off a loss against a conference rival. Northwestern has 8 losses since getting blown out on January 2nd. All 8 losses came by single digits. During that time they have beaten teams like Illinois and Michigan State. They know that they can beat this Florida Atlantic team. Grab the points.

This number is too low. This is likely going to be a competitive game. The winning team is probably going to score more than 70 points. Yet, the losing team isn't going to get blown out. Drake scores 80.5 points a game. Washington State scores 74.3. Cougar games average more than 140 points. Bulldog games average more than 150.

Off an 84-80 win, the Bulldogs have scored more than 70 points in each of their last 11 games. The Cougars are off a low-scoring game but their previous 4 games all finished above 140. They are 7-2 to the over after allowing 60 points or less. Drake is 4-2 to the over when the total is 130 to 139.5. Washington State is 7-4-1 to the over when the total is 130 to 139.5. Go with the Over!

Oakland will be outclassed. Kentucky has disappointed in recent tournaments and will be ready to run up the score. It doesn't matter that the coaches are friends. The Wildcats were 8-5 versus the spread against non-conference opponents and they outscored them by an average of 16 points a game.

The Wildcats are 12-2 versus the spread their last 14 tries as a neutral court favorite of 12.5 to 15 points. Oakland was great with no rest but not so good with lots of it. The Golden Grizzlies are 0-3 versus the spread the last 3 times that they played with 7 or more days rest and 2-6 ATS their last 8 tries in that situation. Lay the points!

An Original 6 showdown is always exciting. When it features 2 of the top teams in the league, its extra enticing. Playing at home, the Bruins will have the edge. The Bruins are rolling. They have won 6 of 8 and they have scored 5 or more goals in 3 of their last 5 games. They are off a 6-2 victory.

The Rangers are playing without top-four defensemen Ryan Lindgren and without their captain Jacob Trouba. They were missed in a loss to the Jets on Tuesday. Their absences will be noticeable again tonight.The Bruins won all 4 games against the Rangers last season but are 0-2 in this season's first 2 games. Playing with 2x revenge, they won't let the Rangers beat them 3x in a row. The Bruins were better last game and have hit their stride. Go with the Bruins!

We get a good one right out of the gate: SEC taking on the Big Ten. 8 versus 9. Tom Izzo is a legend but Chris Jans is also a winner. I give the edge to the Bulldogs on the floor.

Playing the game at Spectrum Center in Charlotte shouldn't bother the Bulldogs. Did you know that Mississippi State is 9-0 when playing on a neutral court? The only loss came versus Auburn and the Bulldogs were playing their 3rd game in 3 days. The Bulldogs did beat Auburn earlier. They also beat Tennessee twice this year. When facing a Big Ten opponent, they thumped Northwestern. The Spartans split with NW but were outscored by 10 points in the two games combined. Let's go Bulldogs!

Getting to play this game in Jadwin Gymnasium is a big advantage for Princeton. The Tigers were undefeated on their home floor this season. In going 12-0, they outscored visiting teams by an average of 16.8 points. UNLV had some big wins but came up short when it mattered. The Rebels are a long way from home and aren't going to be as motivated as the Tigers.

The Tigers score more points and they allow less. That's not all from the Ivy League schedule either. The Rebels are only 2-5 versus the spread in 7 tries in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5. The Tigers are 6-3 ATS in nine tries, off a loss against a conference rival. Lay the small number!

The Maple Leafs are off consecutive losses. This is a Toronto team which rarely loses 4 in a row. The Maple Leafs are 22-15 the past 37 tries, when playing on back-to-back days. They are 60-37 in same time frame after allowing 4 goals or more and 64-44 against losing teams. They are 7-2 their last 9 against losing teams.

The Capitals are off 3 straight wins. They rarely win 4 in a row. They are 2-4 in 6 tries, after 3 straight victories. Washington is playing its first game back home from a road trip. The Capitals are 12-19 their last 31 tries, after playing 3 or more consecutive road games. They are also 50-72 against teams with a winning record. Go with the better team. Take Toronto.

Give me the points with Timberwolves! The situation is that the Nuggets are off a buzzer beater loss on Sunday and the Timberwolves are off a comeback win last night. Because of the lack of rest, the Nuggets are laying a hefty number as a road favorite. Too hefty!

If we look at Minnesota's 10 games with 0 days rest we find a 7-3 straight up record. Closer examination reveals that all 3 losses came on the road, the last 2 both by single-digits. The Timberwolves are 4-0 straight up when playing a home game after playing the previous day. Twice they've played a home game after playing an away game and they won those games by an average of 118-107. On the season, the Timberwolves have a better home record than Denver does a road record. Give the me points! *Northwest GOW

The Red Wings need a victory and Columbus is the right opponent to get one against. Detroit is already 2-0 against the Blue Jackets this season. The Blue Jackets have been bad all year and they have lost 4 of their last 5. They have many injuries and nothing to play for.

The Red Wings are still waiting for the return of Dylan Larkin but otherwise are quite healthy. This is a game which they cannot afford to lose. The Red Wings lost last game but that was on the road and they were playing with 0 days rest. They have been much stronger at home all season and they won their last game here 4-1. This game will be all Detroit!

Not much separates these teams and I'm happy to grab the points being offered. Wagner was 9-7 versus the spread as an underdog. Howard was just 7-11 versus the spread as a favorite. The Seahawks don't score many points but they don't allow many either. Those type of teams give the Bison trouble.

Howard is 1-4 ATS their last 5 tries versus poor offensive teams - scoring

I wasn't surprised that the Hawks showed up for last night's game. I don't believe that they'll be able to do it two nights in row though. Atlanta is 4-7 versus the spread when playing with 0 days rest. When playing the 2nd of back-to-back road games, the Hawks are 0-2 both straight up and against the spread. They lost those 2 games by an average score of 120-111.

Overall, the Hawks are only 12-19 ATS as underdogs. They are really bad when they are off an upset victory. In that situation, they've gone 10-27 ATS their last 37 tries, 3-7 ATS this season. The Lakers lost at Atlanta in January but they smashed the Hawks by 16 the last meeting here. Another big win coming up tonight!

Despite being the better team, LAC isn't at full strength right now. Russell Westbrook is out and James Harden is questionable for this game. Having said that, this line is too big. In their last four meetings with each other, the Hawks have either won, or kept it within single digits.

Although Atlanta is on a losing streak, the Clippers have also been struggling lately. Also, Atlanta's losses have been close. They're still 3-3 their last 6 games and the Hawks last 2 losses were by only 6 combined points. This is a big game for the Hawks as they don't want to slip any further as the final play-in tournament team right now. The Hawks upset LA here last year. This line is considerably too high and don't be shocked if the Hawks win this one outright.

Strong situational spot for the Vegas Golden Knights here. Vegas is rested as the Knights had Friday and Saturday night off. The Devils played yesterday. The Knights have some injuries but the Devils injuries are worse. New Jersey is 2-10 when playing with 0 rest!

The Knights play with revenge and they are 17-8 their last 25 tries, revenging a loss versus opponent. They are 62-30 (+30) their last 92 in the revenge role! Knights are also 9-3 after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game. This game will be all Vegas!

The Bulldogs have gotten their act together just in time. They dominated Cornell yesterday and they will have their way with Brown this afternoon. This is the best team in the Ivy League and that will be on full display this afternoon.

Brown beat them at home less than a week ago but Yale is 4-1 versus the spread, 5-0 straight up the past 5 tries, when avenging a home loss. The Bulldogs are also 5-1 ATS (6-0 SU) their past 6 tries, as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 9 points. Yale is still 9-1 the past 10 meetings, even after last week's loss. The Bears' run comes to an end today. Yale by double-digits!

UC Davis might own the better record here. But, we all know that it’s March. The Beach are fighting to get revenge after losing to the Aggies just a week ago today. These two teams split the season series and that doesn’t surprise me. Long Beach State was able to knock off the top team during the regular season in UC Irvine in their last game and are now getting the respect that they deserve.

Long Beach State is 5-1 versus the spread in its last 6 conference tournament games. Cal Davis is 3-8-1 ATS its last 12 as a neutral court favorite of 3 or less. Marcus Tsohonis is someone to keep an eye on. The pace of LBSU should be enough to cause problems for UC Davis and let the 49ers into the big dance for the first time since 2012.

Nice win for the Wolfpack yesterday. Any time you knock out Duke, its a good day! They are only 5-9 versus the spread their last 14 tries off an ATS victory though and now they will face a dominant defensive team. They are 1-4 straight up the past 5 times versus good defensive teams - allowing

Yesterday's results don't tell the whole story as both these teams went to Overtime. The Aztecs are 34-18-1 to the under their last 53 tries when the total is 130 to 139.5. That includes a 4-0 under mark in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5. Before yesterday's over due to overtime, the Aztecs were 6-0 to the under their previous 6 conference tournament games.

Utah State can score but SD State is 13-6 to the under last 19 versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games. The Aggies are 4-1 to the under in their 5 neurtal court games. They are also 2-0 to the under when playing with 1 or less days rest. The last h2h meeting stayed below the total by more than 10 points. This will be another defensive battle! Go with the Under!

Its never wise to underestimate a Tom Izzo coached team. Sometimes, great coaching isn't enough. The Spartans simply have no answer for Zach Edey. He's dominated them and there's little reason to expect anything different on Friday morning. Edey scored 32 points, while adding 11 rebounds in the game a couple of weeks ago. Last season, Edey averaged 35 points against the Spartans.

If Izzo's Spartans go all out to contain Edey, it'll leave them vulnerable to Purdue's outsider shooters. This will be the first time that the Spartans have played 2 games in 2 days all season. The Boilermakers are 11-7-1 versus the spread with 3 or more day's rest and they are 5-0 straight up and ATS (or 4-0-1) when on a neutral court with wins over Gonzaga, Tennessee, Marquette, Alabama and Arizona. The line is low. Lay the points with Edey and the Boilermakers.

Georgia got a fortunate first round matchup against Missouri. The Tigers hadn't won a game in months. This is a big step up in class though and the Bulldogs will be exposed by a stronger Florida team tonight. The Gators won both regular season meetings.

Prior to yesterday, the Bulldogs were 0-3 straight up and versus the spread in neutral site games. Some teams are used to doing so but this will be the first time this season that they played with 0 days rest. When off a loss, as the Gators are, they outscored teams by an average score of 83.8 to 73.4. They'll beat the Bulldogs by at least that many tonight!

Who in their right mind would back Villanova after the Wildcats only beat Depaul by 1 point? Call me crazy and count me in. Yesterday's result was great. It's keeping people off the Wildcats today and that is leading to extra points on the line. With Marquette's best player Tyler Kolek out, and with Nova needing the win more than the Golden Eagles, this is a lot of points. They could come in handy, as Villanova has had some close ones. Yesterday's 1-point game was preceded by a 2-point loss versus Creighton, a game Villanova was down big and showed heart in rallying. Remember the 1-point game versus UConn?

A win today and the Cats could start feeling a lot better about their NCAA Tournament hopes. Marquette already knows it'll be there. The Golden Eagles are 1-2 versus the spread on a neutral floor. The Wildcats have thrived in their neutral court games including victories over UNC, Texas Tech and Memphis. They are 2-0 both straight up and versus the spread when playing with 0 days rest. Give me the points!

These teams are closer in talent than the point spread is telling us. They were the two best in the conference last season. The Golden Flashes were favored for the game at Kent State and the Rockets are laying nearly as many today as they were for the game at Toledo. The Flashes are 10-4 versus the spread their last 14 tries on a neutral court.

Toledo won the regular season title last year but Kent State won the MAC Conference Tournament to advance to the NCAA Tournament. The Flashes are 5-1 straight up and versus the spread their last 6 games in this tournament. They are coming in confident. The Rockets are only 6-10 versus the spread their last 16 tournament games. Give me the points!

The Gauchos weren't that good against the spread this season. They were good to me when I supported them though. I won my Big West Game Of The Year on them way back in the middle of January. I was high on them then and I still them. I also won with the Gauchos last March 11th, my Big West Tourney Game Of the Year from last year. They were laying a similar number that day that they are today and they won by 10.

The Gauchos have been excellent as short neutral court favorites the past couple of years. In all neutral site games they were 6-3 versus the spread. The Matadors have won just 1 of their last 10 first round tournament games, going 3-7 versus the spread. The Gauchos went to the NCAA Tournament last year. They won't be stopped tonight.