At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Washington.  The Longhorns have the better ground game, as they're averaging 189 yards per game (compared to 125.2 by Washington).  And Texas' yards per rush is also favorable (4.9 vs 4.5).  All things being equal, I prefer to play on the team with the better ground game in the semifinals or championship games.  Indeed, the team with the better offensive YPR has gone 27-8 ATS their last 35.  That bodes well for Texas on Monday night.  As does the fact that Washington is a soft 6-12 ATS its last 18 as an underdog of 7 or less points.  Take the Longhorns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Washington/Texas game.  This game falls into my two best College Football Totals systems, which are 124-54 and 84-30.  Additionally, the Longhorns are surrendering just 17.54 ppg, and rank #11 in the country in defense.  This is the highest total they've had this season (and, in my estimation, too high).  Texas is 44-22 Under when the O/U line was greater than 58 points, while Washington is 26-18-3 Under with a line of 58+ points.  And, in the post-season, teams with defenses that give up less than 19 ppg are on a 60.5% under run when the O/U line was 53+ points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Alabama.  This is the 3rd straight season Michigan has made the College Football playoff, but the first that it entered as the #1 team in the country.  And its #1 ranking is warranted.  In 2021, Michigan was overmatched by a dominant Georgia team, which had a defense giving up just 9.5 ppg.  Then, last season, Michigan was really good, and led by its defense which was allowing just 13.3 ppg.  Unfortunately, they couldn't contain TCU's Quentin Johnson, and were burned for 51 points.  But this season, Michigan's defense has been the country's best (and the only defense to allow less than 10.0 ppg).  Texas' defense ranks 11th (17.54 ppg), Alabama's defense ranks 15th (18.38) and Washington's defense ranks 49th (23.62).  This is the 4th time a team was in the NCAA semifinals or championship game with a defense that gave up less than 10 ppg.  All three of the other teams won 15+ point blowouts, and covered by an average of 15.3 ppg.  The Wolverines are 26-13-2 ATS the last 3 seasons, including 14-3 ATS when not favored by 17+ points.  After knocking on the door the past 2 seasons, I expect Jim Harbaugh's men to bang it down this season.  Take Michigan.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Tennessee.  The Volunteers ended their regular season with 3 straight point spread defeats.  And now they've been installed as a sizable favorite vs. Iowa.  I don't want any part of Tennessee as a favorite, as NCAA teams have covered just 86 of 207 in the post season when favored by more than 1 points, if they were off back to back ATS losses to end the regular season.  Additionally, Iowa is 78-55-4 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, and 14-7-1 ATS its last 22 Bowl games.  Take the Hawkeyes + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Monday, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over LSU.  The Badgers have been installed as a huge underdog vs. LSU.  We'll happily grab the points with Luke Fickell's men, as Wisconsin is 38-15-2 ATS its last 55 games when getting more than 6 points.  Even better:  its defense gives up 8.83 ppg less than LSU's defense.  And NCAA teams that give up 8.83 points less than their foes are on a 61.4% run in the post-season.  Take Wisconsin + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets + the points over Wyoming.  The Rockets went 11-1 in the regular season, and reached the Mid-American Conference title game, where they lost to Miami-Ohio, 23-14.  Wyoming ended the season with back to back blowout wins to finish 8-4, but failed to reach the Mountain West championship game.  I like playing on .692 (or better) underdogs in the Bowls that played in their title game against opponents that did not reach their conference championship game.  Our Bowl underdogs have cashed 58.2%.  Moreover, favorites off back to back wins have gone 46-70-3 ATS away from home in the post-season vs. .846 (or better) opponents.  Take Toledo + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Florida St.  The Bulldogs were upset by the Alabama Crimson Tide in the SEC Championship game.  Off that upset loss, we'll lay the points with Georgia this afternoon, as Georgia is 10-1 ATS off an upset loss against an opponent off a SU/ATS win, if Georgia wasn't getting 7+ points.  Even better:  undefeated teams (like Florida State), with a 5-0 (or better) record, have covered just 21.4% since 1994 when getting more than 14 points.  Take the Bulldogs.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Maryland.  The Tigers suffered a heartbreaking loss to rival Alabama at season's end, and finished with a 6-6 record.  The good news for Auburn is that it will be able to redeem itself in this Music City Bowl game vs. Maryland.  And it's 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS when favored off back to back losses, if it didn't own a winning record.  The Terrapins will play this game without star QB, Taulia Tagovailoa, who is their all-time leader in passing yards (11,356), as well as the Big 10's all time leader.  In his stead will be Billy Edwards Jr., who had a QB rating of 59.4 (compared to Tagovailoa's 73.6 rating).  I expect Maryland to drop off significantly on offense without Tagovailoa, and we'll lay the points with Auburn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Ohio St Buckeyes minus the points over Missouri.  Ryan Day's men had high hopes to be in the FBS playoffs.  They were ranked #1 in the country, but lost their season-ending game at Michigan, 30-24.  I look for Ohio State to bounce back off that defeat, as it's a super 16-5 ATS away from home off a loss.  Meanwhile, Missouri is 2-11 ATS in the post-season off a straight-up win, and 19-40 ATS off a win, if they were playing an opponent off a road loss.  Take Ohio State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Iowa St.  This game will be played at the Tigers' home field in Memphis, so the Tigers will have a very friendly crowd in their corner.  Memphis is a solid 13-5 ATS as a home underdog, including 6-0 ATS when getting more than 5 points, while Iowa State is a soft 5-8 ATS as a double-digit road favorite.  Grab the points with the homestanding Tigers.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers + the points over Notre Dame.  This Sun Bowl game's over/under line has been installed around 41 points.  And that bodes well for Oregon State, as it's 11-1 ATS in games with O/U lines < 52 points.  Additionally, Oregon State is 17-8-1 ATS as an underdog.  And the underdog has cashed in 30 of 39 Sun Bowls, including 7-0 ATS off back to back losses.  Take the Beavers + the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats + the points over the Clemson Tigers.  The Wildcats pulled off a big upset to end their season, with a 38-31 win over rival, Louisville.  Kentucky has been installed as an underdog this afternoon in the Gator Bowl, and we'll grab the points, as Kentucky is 35-18-1 ATS in non-conference games, if it won its previous game, straight-up, including 5-1-1 ATS off an upset win.  And Clemson has covered just 3 of 11 bowl games when favored by 3 or more points.  Finally, the SEC conference is a solid 69-50 ATS as a post-season underdog vs. non-conference foes, including 23-11 ATS vs. the ACC conference.  Take Kentucky + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:15 pm, our selection is on the Alamo Bowl game to go Under the total.  This game will pit the Oklahoma Sooners vs. the Arizona Wildcats.  Each of these teams ended the season with high-scoring victories.  The Sooners put up 69 points in a 24-point win over TCU, while Arizona tallied 59 in a 36-point blowout of rival, Arizona St.  Dating back to 2013, match-ups between teams that scored 54+ points in their previous game have gone under 61% of the time.  Additionally, Arizona is 19-7 Under when the line has been 56+ points.  And the Under falls into a 139-62 Totals system of mine.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:45 pm, our selection is on the Kansas St. Wildcats minus the points over NC State.  The Wildcats were a 9.5-point home favorite, but fell by 7 points, 42-35, to Iowa St at the end of the regular season.  But K-State is a perfect 7-0 SU/ATS off a loss since 2022, and 81-46-1 ATS off a loss since 1990 (including 17-1 ATS its last 18 when it failed to cover by 13+ points in its previous game).  Additionally, ACC Conference teams off a win have covered just 23% away from home vs. Big 12 foes off a loss.  We'll take the Wildcats to blow out NC State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 am, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles + the points over SMU.  This game will be played less than 5 miles from B.C.'s campus, at Fenway Park, so the crowd will be decidedly in the Eagles' corner.  The Mustangs are laying double-digits, which is always a high tariff in a Bowl game.  Indeed, double-digit dogs are 88-67 ATS in the Bowls since 1981.  Even worse:  when SMU has had a winning record, it's a miserable 10-41 ATS away from home when priced from +10.5 to -14 points.  Grab the points with Boston College.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans + the points over Louisville.  The Trojans lost, 38-20, to rival UCLA at season's end.  We'll grab the points with the Trojans, as they're 25-10 ATS as an underdog off a SU/ATS loss.  Take USC + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels + the points over West Virginia.  The Mountaineers have woefully underperformed in the Bowls, as they're 7-24 ATS including 0-14 ATS when not getting 3+ points.  Take North Carolina as a big underdog.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave + the points over Virginia Tech.  The Green Wave lost coach Willie Fritz to the University of Houston, and have a lot of player absences as well, which is why they're catching double-digits this afternoon.  We'll happily take the points, as double-digit Bowl underdogs have gone 83-62 ATS at home, or on neutral fields.  Even better:  Tulane is 10-0 ATS away from home when not laying 10+ points.  Take the Green Wave.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Texas State.  This Lone Star State battle in the First Responder Bowl will take place in Dallas, Texas.  We'll grab the points with Rice, primarily because of its advantages on the defensive side of the ball.  Texas State ranks #104 in yards given up, at 414.3 (Rice is #55 at 370.1), and #116 in points allowed, at 33.83 (Rice is #66, at 26.67).  And Texas State's porous defense has triggered negative systems of mine that are 49-103, 34-76 ATS, and 26-60 ATS.  Finally, the Owls are 11-4 ATS as an underdog (or PK), while the Bobcats are a soft 10-16 ATS as a favorite, including 1-8 ATS vs. winning ATS foes.  Grab the points with Rice.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers minus the points over Bowling Green.  The Golden Gophers stumbled at the end of the season, with four straight losses (both SU and ATS).  But we'll still take them as a small favorite over a Mid-American Conference foe.  Big 10 Conference teams have excelled in the Bowls off back-to-back SU/ATS losses, as they've gone 13-4-1 ATS.  And teams off 3+ losses have gone 34-25-1 ATS in the Bowls since 1983.  Meanwhile, MAC Conference teams are a soft 14-30-3 ATS in the post-season vs. an opponent off a SU loss.  Take Minnesota minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers + the points over San Jose.  Coastal Carolina lost by 42 points in their final game of the season, as a 4-point underdog vs. James Madison.  We'll take the big underdog tonight, as Bowl underdogs of +8 (or more) points, off a SU/ATS loss, have covered 67% the last 10 seasons.  Take Coastal Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars minus the points over Eastern Michigan.  The Eagles upset Buffalo, 24-11, to end their regular season.  Unfortunately, they're a paltry 7-18 ATS as an underdog away from home in non-conference games, if they were off a win, including 0-5 ATS off an upset win.  Take South Alabama minus the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Arkansas State Red Wolves minus the points over Northern Illinois.  Butch Jones' men ended their regular season with a thud, as they lost, 35-21, to Marshall.  We'll take the Red Wolves to bounce back, as they're 11-2 ATS away from home off a double-digit conference defeat.  Take Arkansas St.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets + the points over Central Florida.  The Knights have been installed as a favorite in this Gasparilla Bowl.  But Central Florida is a woeful 0-8 ATS its last 8 when priced from -3.5 to -7 points!  That doesn't bode well for UCF this evening.  Nor does the fact that Georgia Tech is 12-3 ATS its last 15 as an underdog (or PK), including 7-1 ATS off a straight up loss.  Take Georgia Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:15 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over California.  The Red Raiders were annihilated in Austin, Texas, 57-7, at the end of their regular season.  But off that 50-point blowout loss, I expect Tech to bounce back in this bowl game and crush California.  Texas Tech is a super 11-0 ATS off a straight-up loss as a road underdog, if it wasn't favored by double digits.  Lay the points with the Red Raiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Boise St.  The Bruins were upset at home, 33-7, by California to end their regular season.  And the Bruins were favored by 9.5 points in that game.  Off that defeat, where they failed to cover the spread by 35.5 points, we'll take UCLA to rebound in this de facto home game (at SoFi Stadium), on Saturday.  UCLA is a stellar 29-12-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread by more than 10 points in its previous game (including a perfect 4-0 ATS in the post-season).  And it's 31-17 ATS when playing in Los Angeles vs. non-conference foes, and not favored by 14+ points.  Meanwhile, Boise St. is a brutal 2-9-2 ATS away from home against foes not off a SU/ATS win, including 0-4-1 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  Lay the points with Chip Kelly's Bruins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:45 pm, our selection is on the Fresno St Bulldogs + the points over New Mexico St.  The Bulldogs fell flat in the season's final weeks, as they lost their last three games (both SU and ATS).  We'll take Fresno to bounce back, as it's 9-0 ATS when it was off 3+ losses, and not getting more than 7 points from its opponent.  Take the Bulldogs + the points.

At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks minus the points over Louisiana-Lafayette.  The Ragin' Cajuns ended their regular season by thumping rival, Louisiana Monroe, 52-21.  Unfortunately, the Cajuns are a horrid 0-10 ATS off a win by more than 17 points.  Lay the points with Jacksonville St.

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Army Black Knights minus the points over the Navy Midshipmen.  Army defeated Air Force earlier this season, and will claim the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy with a victory against Navy.  I like Army in this game, as it falls into a Military Series system of mine which is 33-10 ATS since 2006.  The Black Knights ended their season strong with 3 straight wins coming into this final game, including a 28-21 upset win at Coastal Carolina in their previous game.  Navy was blasted in its last game, 59-14, by SMU, and failed to cover the spread by 26 points.  That doesn't bode well for the Midshipmen in this game vs. rival, Army, as Navy has gone 13-5-2 ATS vs. Army when Navy was off an ATS win, but just 7-10 ATS when Navy was off an ATS loss.  And if Army was off a good game, where it covered the spread by 7+ points, then the Black Knights have gone 5-1 ATS vs. Navy.  Finally, the Midshipmen have covered just 5 of 26 games when they weren't getting 10+ points vs. a non-conference foe off an upset win.  Take Army minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Florida State.  These two teams met last season, and Florida State went into Louisville and defeated the Cardinals, 35-31.  We'll take the Cards to avenge that defeat, as underdogs playing with revenge from a loss the previous season have gone 63% ATS in Conference Title games.  Even better:  the Cardinals lost to Kentucky, 38-31, last week.  But Louisville is 8-0 ATS its last eight (and 17-3-1 ATS its last 21) off a point spread loss, and 15-5-1 ATS off a straight-up loss.  Meanwhile, Florida State is a poor 37-65 ATS vs. conference foes not off a SU/ATS win.  Take Louisville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Troy Trojans minus the points over Appalachian St.   The Trojans won this Sun Belt Title game last season, as they blew out Coastal Carolina, 45-26, as a 6-point home favorite.  Over the last 2 years, the Trojans have dominated Sun Belt play, as they've gone 14-3 ATS, including 8-0 ATS when priced from -3 to -15 points.  Appalachian St., on the other hand, is 5-13 ATS its last 18 conference games.  Take Troy minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels + the points over Boise St.  The Rebels were upset here, at home, by San Jose St. last week.  We'll take UNLV as a home underdog and fade a Boise St. team which has covered just 1 of its last 12 road games vs. an opponent not off a SU/ATS win.  Grab the points with the Rebels.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks + the points over Toledo.  These two teams met earlier this season, in Oxford, and the Rockets came away with a 21-17 win as a 2-point road favorite.  Revenge-minded teams have cashed 52% of Conference Title games since 1992, but Miami falls into my best revenge angle which is 25-1-1 ATS since 1994 (and 19-0 ATS since 2009).  Additionally, the Red Hawks are 11-1 ATS when playing with revenge when the line was less than 12 points.  And they're 22-10 ATS vs. a foe off a win.  Take Miami-Ohio.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames minus the points over New Mexico St.  These two teams met earlier this season in Lynchburg, and Liberty blew out the Aggies, 33-17.  This game will also be played on the Flames' home field.  The Flames are currently riding a 7-game home win streak.  And they're 9-4 ATS at home when priced from -6 to -20 points.  The Aggies are a poor 2-9 ATS on the road when priced from +8 to +13.5 points.  Take Liberty to blow out New Mexico St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks minus the points over New Mexico State.  The Aggies won (and covered) their 7th straight game with a stunning upset of Auburn, 31-0, as a 25-point road underdog.  We'll fade New Mexico State, as single-digit underdogs, that pulled off major upsets over non-conference foes as double-digit underdogs, have covered just 33.9% since 1980 when playing an opponent off a straight-up win.  That doesn't bode well for the Aggies on Saturday.  Nor does the fact that they've covered just 32% at home off a SU win.  Take the Gamecocks minus the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie..

At 4 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Washington.  These two rivals will play for the Apple Cup on Saturday afternoon.  Last year, the Huskies won the trophy with a 51-33 triumph.  I like the Cougars to avenge that defeat as they're 18-4 ATS as a 14-point (or greater) underdog when playing with revenge.  Even better:  the Cougars racked up 56 points last week in a blowout victory over Colorado.  Off that offensive explosion, the Coogs fall into a 60% ATS momentum system of mine.  What we want to do is play on any revenge-minded team in its final game of the season, if it scored 55+ points in its previous game.  Take Washington State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils + the points over Arizona.  Last week, I had my strongest college football play of the season-to-date on Oregon against Arizona State, and was rewarded with a 49-13 blowout victory.  But off that 36-point loss, I like Arizona State to bounce back on this Saturday against its cross-state rival, Arizona.  The Wildcats are a horrible favorite, as they've gone 53-95-3 ATS, including 2-11 ATS vs. Arizona State.  Even worse for Arizona:  the Sun Devils will be playing with revenge from a 38-35 loss last season to the Wildcats. And the revenge-minded team has gone 18-6 ATS in this series if it was installed as an underdog.  Grab the points with Arizona State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Red Wolves exploded for 77 points last week, which was the most points tallied by a team vs. an FBS foe this season.  We'll fade Arkansas St., as teams that scored more than 7 points in a SU/ATS win over an FBS foe have covered just 31% the next week, if they weren't favored by 3 or more points.  Take Marshall.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points over BYU.  The Cougars come into this game on a 4-game losing streak after falling at home, 31-24, to Oklahoma last Saturday.  Oklahoma State, meanwhile, is 8-3 after a SU/ATS win last week at Houston.  The Cowboys are an awesome 52-25 ATS when favored by 12+ points (and 29-6 ATS their last 35 when favored by 12+ points vs. foes off back to back losses).  Take the Cowboys to blow out BYU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks + the points over Louisiana Lafayette.  The Rajin' Cajuns and Warhawks will both try to snap losing streaks as they end their seasons on Saturday.  La-Lafayette lost their 3rd straight last Saturday when Troy defeated it by 7, 31-24.  Meanwhile, the Warhawks come into this game on a 9-game losing streak after falling at Ole Miss, 35-3, last Saturday.  We'll grab the points with Monroe, as teams on 9-game (or worse) losing streaks have gone 36-22 ATS in their final game of the season, if they were also playing an opponent off a SU loss.  Even better:  the road teams have dominated this Bayou State rivalry, as they've gone 19-0 ATS when not favored by more than 4 points.  We'll take the underdog Warhawks on Saturday afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Texas A&M.  The Jimbo Fisher era is over in College Station, and Elijah Robinson is the interim coach.  At Robinson's press conference earlier this week, he said QB Max Johnson is day-to-day with a rib injury.  If Johnson is unable to go for the Aggies, then Jaylen Henderson will make his 3rd straight start.  Regardless who is under center for A&M, we'll lay the points with LSU.  Texas A&M is a terrible 27-68 ATS away from home vs. .636 (or better) foes in the regular season, including 3-20 ATS when priced from +4 to +11.  Lay the points with LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Pitt.  The Blue Devils are 6-5, but have dropped their last two games, including an upset loss last week at Virginia.  We'll lay the points, as winning teams have gone 38-20 ATS in their final game of the season vs. conference foes, if they were off an upset loss, and back to back losses overall.  Take Duke.

At 3:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over New Mexico.  The Lobos upset Fresno St, 25-17, last week, as a 22-point road underdog.  We'll fade New Mexico on Friday, as home teams have cashed just 39 of 114 after pulling off an upset win away from home and covering the spread in that win by 30+ points.  Lay the points with the Lobos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Friday, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over the Iowa Hawkeyes.  The 'Huskers sit at 5-6, and need to win on Friday to gain eligibility for a Bowl game, while Iowa already has become eligible, with its 8-3 record.  I like Nebraska's chances, as NCAA teams that need to win their final game of the season to gain Bowl eligibility have cashed 55% since 1980 if they were favored in their final game.  Nebraska head coach Matt Rhule has tabbed 3rd string QB Chubba Purdy as the starting QB for this game, and that's all I need to pull the trigger on the Cornhuskers, as Purdy delivered the best performance by a Nebraska QB all season in last week's OT loss at Wisconsin.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Iowa State.  The Longhorns are 9-1, but come into this matchup off back to back games where they failed to cover the spread.  We'll take Texas to get the $$$ tonight, as it's 51-30 ATS following 2 games where it failed to cover the spread, including 13-1 ATS on the road vs. a foe off an ATS win.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over Missouri.  The Tigers pulled off a huge upset last week when they trounced Tennessee, 36-7, as a 2-point home underdog.  We'll fade Florida, as winning NCAA teams off 29-point (or greater) upset wins have covered just 35% of Conference games since 1980 vs. foes not off a SU/ATS win.  Take Florida.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Arizona State.  The Sun Devils upset UCLA last week, but are just 3-7 on the season.  We'll fade ASU off that upset win, as Pac-12 teams with a losing record have gone just 17-43-1 ATS off an upset win as an underdog of +8 (or more) points, including 0-12 ATS their last 12 as a dog of more than 13 points.  Take Oregon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Ohio State.  The Buckeyes are 10-0 after blowing out Michigan St, 38-3, last week.  Off that big win, we'll fade Ohio State, as undefeated NCAA teams are 5-19 ATS as favorites vs. conference foes in the regular season, at Game 11 forward, if they held their previous opponent to 7 or less points.  Additionally, the Gophers are 13-3 ATS when getting more than 23 points on the Big 10 road.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:00 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over New Mexico State.  The Tigers have their big rivalry game next week vs. Alabama, and they generally do well the game before that rivalry game, as they've gone 23-14 ATS.  Moreover, the Tigers come into this game on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  And they're 14-0 ATS as a home favorite of less than 28 points, if Auburn was on a 2-game ATS win streak and playing an opponent off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Sam Houston St.  The Hilltoppers are a super 11-0 ATS as a home favorite, priced from -11.5 to -31, vs. Conference foes.  Lay the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins + the points over USC.  The Trojans are a nasty 3-11 ATS their last 14 at home vs. conference foes.  Take UCLA + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers + the points over Georgia.  The Volunteers were blown out, 36-7, by Missouri last week, while the defending champion Bulldogs remained undefeated with a 52-17 rout of Ole Miss.  We'll grab the points with Tennessee, as it's 9-0 ATS off a loss by 6+ points.  Additionally, defending NCAA Champions are a poor 29.0% ATS away from home off a win, if they weren't favored by more than 15 points, and their opponent was off a loss.  Take Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers + the points over Duke.  Virginia might be 2-8 straight-up, but it's 7-3 "in Vegas," this season.  We'll ride Virginia as a home underdog this afternoon, as it's 19-7 ATS its last 26 as a home pup, including 7-1 ATS vs. a foe off a loss.  Take the Cavaliers.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Red Wolves enter on a 3-game ATS win streak.  Unfortunately, Sun Belt Conference home dogs of more than 3 points are a horrible 37-62 ATS off an ATS win.  Lay the points with Texas State.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Tulsa.  The Golden Hurricane dropped its fifth straight game last weekend when it fell, 24-22, at Tulane (though it covered the spread).  We'll fade Tulsa as a short home underdog, as it's 3-10-1 ATS its last 14 conference games, including 1-5-1 ATS at home, and 1-8-1 ATS off a loss.  Meanwhile, North Texas is a solid 16-5-1 ATS in conference games, including 7-1 ATS as as favorite.  Take the Mean Green minus the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Hawaii.  The Rainbow Warriors come into this road game off back to back upset wins over Nevada and Air Force.  We'll fade Hawaii this afternoon, as it's 5-13 ATS as a road underdog off back to back ATS wins.  Take Wyoming.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over SMU.  The Mustangs blew out North Texas, 45-21, last week.  Unfortunately, SMU is 0-8-1 ATS its last nine (and 6-19-1 ATS its last 26) away from home off a 24-point (or greater) win.  Grab the points with Memphis.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs minus the points over Southern Mississippi.  The Bulldogs were blown out, 51-10, by Texas A&M last week.  We'll lay the points and go against Southern Miss, as the Golden Eagles are 0-10 ATS when getting between 15.5 and 45 points vs. an opponent off an ATS loss.  Take Miss State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Northwestern.  The Wildcats pulled off an upset last week when they went into Madison, and knocked off Wisconsin, 24-10, as a 12 point underdog.  We'll go against Northwestern, as Big 10 home dogs are a soft 37.3% in conference games since 1980 off an upset road win, if they covered the spread by 12+ points in that win.  Take Purdue.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the UNDER in the SMU/Memphis game.  Both of these teams have been scoring points in bunches over their last four games.  Memphis has averaged 48.25, while SMU has averaged 50.75.  And this offensive prowess has led to an inflated line based on my numbers.  The last 3 meetings between these teams have similarly had very high over/under lines, and have all gone under the total (by an average of 13.5 ppg), and I expect another relatively low scoring game on Saturday.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over Michigan.  Maryland comes into this game off a road win at Nebraska.  Meanwhile, the Wolverines are 10-0, and ranked #3 in the country after their big win in Happy Valley last Saturday.  We'll fade the Maize and Blue, as double-digit road favorites have covered just 27% since 1980 if they were undefeated, at Game 11 forward, and their opponent was off a SU win.  Take the Terrapins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie..

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies minus the points over Western Michigan.  The Broncos come into tonight's game off back to back SU/ATS wins, and have covered six of their last seven, while the Huskies have lost their last two games -- both SU and ATS.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Broncos.  But MAC Conference favorites, off back to back SU/ATS losses, have covered 60% since 1992 vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  And the Huskies are 46-30-2 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins, including 8-1 ATS if the Huskies were off back to back defeats.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the USC/Oregon game.  The Oregon Ducks tend to go UNDER in games with big O/U lines, as they're 17-6 Under in games with lines of 72 (or more) points, including 6-0 Under their last six.  Take the Trojans and Ducks Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over LSU. The Gators come into this road game off an upset home loss, 39-36, to Arkansas. We'll take the Gators to rebound off that upset defeat, as they're a perfect 7-0 ATS as an underdog off an upset loss. Grab the points. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Mississippi.  The Bulldogs are trying to win their 3rd straight National Championship.  This week, the Rebels will look to snap Georgia's 36-game regular season win streak.  We'll lay the points with Kirby Smart's men, as they're 23-6 ATS when priced from -7 to -20 points.  And they're 10-1 SU and 7-4 ATS their last 11 vs. Ole Miss.  Take Georgia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over Stanford.  The Cardinal pulled off a big upset last Saturday, 10-7, as a 14-point road dog.  Can Stanford make it two-in-a-row?  It's unlikely, as Pac-12 teams with a losing record, that pulled off an upset as an 8-point (or greater) underdog in their previous game, have gone 13-49 SU and 17-42-1 ATS, including 0-21 SU and 2-19 ATS if they were getting more than 13 points.  Take Oregon State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars minus the points over Arkansas St.  South Alabama's QB, Carter Bradley, missed last week's game at Troy, and the Jaguars missed him greatly.  Troy blew out South Alabama, 28-10, as a 7 point favorite, and that was S. Alabama's 2nd straight blowout loss.  Bradley should be back under center on Saturday vs. Arkansas St.  And we'll lay the points with the homestanding Jaguars, who have covered 69% off back to back losses by more than 10 points, and 82% after failing to cover the point spread by 6+ points in their two previous games.  And the Jags are also 4-0 SU/ATS their last four meetings with the Red Wolves.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes over Rutgers.  Iowa is a spectacular 70-30-2 ATS in Big 10 Conference games when priced from -7 to +2 points.  Take the Hawkeyes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over New Mexico St.  The Aggies won, 13-7, last week, as a 3-point home favorite, while Western Kentucky went into El Paso, and defeated the Miners, 21-13.  We'll fade New Mexico St on the road Saturday, as it is an awful 28% ATS as a road dog off a home win, if matched up against an opponent off a win.  Even better:  the Hilltoppers are 39-21 ATS in conference games off a win, including 6-1 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over Oklahoma St.  The Cowboys will be seeking their 6th straight win after upsetting rival Oklahoma last week.  We played on Oklahoma State in that game, but will go against them on Saturday, as a letdown is expected (the Cowboys have covered just 25% on the road after playing Oklahoma since 1980).  Also, Central Florida has gone 15-2 SU and 13-4 ATS at home vs. conference foes off back to back wins, if UCF wasn't getting 7+ points.  Take the Knights.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons + the points over North Carolina State.  This is a big letdown spot for NC State after its two upset wins at home over Clemson and Miami.  Now, the Wolfpack are road favorites against a Deacons squad off back to back losses.  Since 1980, road favorites have covered just 28% off back to back upset wins as a home dog, if they were next matched up against a conference foe off back to back losses.  Take Wake Forest.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers minus the points over Appalachian St.  The Mountaineers notched a rare ATS win vs. Sun Belt conference foes last week in their 31-9 victory vs. Marshall.  Still, the Mountaineers are a poor 2-13 ATS their last 15 conference games, including 0-7 ATS on the road.  Take Georgia State minus the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Michigan.  The Nittany Lions are 8-1 this season, and are giving up just 11.8 ppg.  We'll grab the points with the defensive juggernaut, as home dogs of +3 (or more) points, that give up less than 12 ppg, have covered 73% since 1980, at Game 6 forward, if their win percentage was .888 (or better).  Take the Nittany Lions.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Indiana.  The Hoosiers upset Wisconsin, 20-14, as a 7.5-point home dog last Saturday.  Unfortunately, losing Big 10 teams have only covered 30% since 1980 off an upset win as a home dog of more than 7 points, if they were matched up against foe off a SU win.  And Illinois has covered 63% since 1980 as a favorite vs. conference foes off a win.  Take the Illini.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Under in the SMU/North Texas game.  Mustangs QB Preston Stone is in the concussion protocol, and may miss Friday's game.  Regardless of whether he plays, we'll look for a low-scoring game, as it falls into 2 of my better totals systems, with records of 140-70 and 135-61.  Additionally, the last 2 meetings between these two Dallas Metroplex rivals have gone Under the total (by an average of 19 points).  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns minus the points over Southern Miss.   The Cajuns were upset, 37-17, by Arkansas State last Saturday, as a 7-point road favorite.  We played against Louisiana-Lafayette in that game, but will switch gears, and now play on the Cajuns at home.  In this game, the Cajuns will be seeking to avenge an upset loss suffered at the hands of Southern Miss last season.  Louisiana has gone 20-11 ATS off an upset loss, and is also 17-6 ATS when playing with revenge.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Arizona.  The Wildcats upset Oregon State last Saturday, 27-24, as a 3-point underdog.  We'll fade Arizona as a home dog tonight, as it's 10-32 ATS as an underdog off an upset win the previous week.  Take UCLA.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over NC State.  We played on the Wolfpack last week, as a double-digit underdog vs. Clemson, and were rewarded with a 24-17 upset win.  But off that big victory, I look for a letdown by Dave Doeren's men tonight.  NC State is a woeful 15-27 ATS in ACC Conference games off an upset conference win, including 7-23 ATS if it owned a winning record.  Lay the points with Miami-Fla.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans + the points over Washington.  The Trojans have lost their last six games ATS, while Washington is 0-3-1 ATS its last four, so something has to give tonight.  It's hard to pass up the Trojans as a home underdog, and especially when getting a field goal or more, as USC is 16-7 ATS as a home dog of +3 (or more) points, including 7-1 ATS when it failed to cover the spread by 9+ points in its previous game.  Take USC.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over Georgia Southern.  The Eagles are in 2nd place in the Sun Belt East division with a 3-1 record following a 44-27 blowout of Georgia State last week.  Meanwhile, the Bobcats have won just two of four conference games this season, and lost by 18 at home to Troy last week.  We'll take Texas State as a home favorite, as NCAA favorites (or PK) have covered 62% of conference games since 1980 if they did NOT have a winning conference record, and were off a SU/ATS loss, and were playing a foe off a SU/ATS win which had a .750 (or better) conference record.  Lay the points with the Bobcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors + the points over Nevada.  The Rainbows are 2-7 ATS this season, including 0-4 SU/ATS their last six.  Meanwhile, the Wolf Pack come into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the ice-cold Rainbows.  But consider that NCAA teams have covered 56% the last 41 years when they were on 4-game SU/ATS losing streaks, and their opponent was off back to back SU/ATS wins, including 63% when our 'play-on' team wasn't getting 7+ points.  Take Hawaii.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over East Carolina.  Tulane stumbled out of the gate by losing to Ole Miss, but has reeled off six straight wins.  The Green Wave will try to make it seven-in-a-row this afternoon, in Greenville, against a Pirates team riding a 4-game losing streak (and a team which is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS vs. FBS schools).  Tulane is a solid 24-10 ATS as a favorite.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Iowa.  The Hawkeyes were upset last week, 12-10, by Minnesota, while the Wildcats pulled off an upset win vs. Maryland, 33-27, as a 14.5-point underdog.  We'll take Northwestern to win its second straight (and cover its 3rd straight), as it is 42-22 ATS as a single-digit underdog vs. foes off a loss.  Grab the points with the Wildcats.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys + the points over Oklahoma.  I love playing on Home Dogs that can score, and Okie State certainly fits the bill.  The Cowboys have tallied 39, 48 and 45 in their last three games.  We'll grab the points with Oklahoma State, as home dogs of +5 (or more) points have gone 34-14 ATS as home dogs of +5 (or more) points.  Take the Cowboys.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Florida State.  The Seminoles are 8-0 and ranked 4th in the country, while Pitt is 2-6 SU/ATS, including back to back SU/ATS losses at Wake Forest and at Notre Dame.  But the last time an undefeated team came calling and played Pitt here, on campus, was just three weeks ago, when the 6-0 Louisville Cardinals were handed their first loss of the season, 38-21, as a 7-point road favorite.  Pitt is understandably getting more points than that today, and we'll happily take the Panthers + the more than 3 touchdowns, as they fall into a 76.8% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses vs. undefeated foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Additionally, Pitt is 21-11 ATS as a home dog of +3 (or more) points vs. conference foes.  Take the Panthers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over Penn State.  The Maryland Terrapins will be looking to bounce back from last week's upset loss at Northwestern.  And they'll also be seeking revenge, as they were whitewashed, 30-0, by Penn State.  We'll take the points with the revenge-minded Terps, as Big 10 teams have gone 36-16 ATS when playing with shutout revenge, and installed as an underdog of less than 20 points.  Even better:  the Terrapins are 21-11 ATS at home off a SU/ATS loss when playing with revenge vs. a conference foe.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas St Red Wolves + the points over Louisiana-Lafayette.  The Rajin' Cajuns pulled off a big upset last week, as a 12-point road underdog, when they went into Mobile, and upset the South Alabama Jaguars, 33-20.  Unfortunately, teams off upset road wins as 12-point (or greater) underdogs have covered the next week just 38% since 1980, if they were on the road vs. an opponent off a win.  With Arkansas State, indeed, off a win last week, we'll grab the points with Butch Jones' men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers + the points over Notre Dame.  The Tigers have been installed as a home underdog vs. the Irish, and I'll happily take the points.  Indeed, it's hard to pass up Clemson as a home underdog (or PK), as it's gone 26-14 ATS in that role, including 9-2 ATS off a SU/ATS loss.  Even better:  the Irish come into Death Valley off back to back blowout home wins over USC (48-20) and Pittsburgh (58-7).  But Notre Dame is a nasty 1-13 ATS after back to back home wins by more than 10 points.  Take Clemson + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Wake Forest.  The Blue Devils will be thrilled to see Wake Forest in Durham tonight, as three of Duke's last four opponents are currently ranked among the nation's Top 20 (Notre Dame (#12), Florida State (#4), Louisville (#15)).  Not surprisingly, the Blue Devils lost all three games.  But Wake Forest is not an elite team, as the Demon Deacons are 1-4 in ACC Conference play.  And the Deacons are especially horrible against the pass, as they give up 256.5 passing yards per game (rank #112 of 130 in country, and dead last in the ACC).  So this will be a big step-down in class for Duke.  And when Duke's been installed as a favorite vs. an FBS (Division 1) school, it's gone 3-0 SU/ATS this season, and 8-2 ATS its last 10.  Duke is also 9-0 SU/ATS its last nine as a home favorite of more than 10 points.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Midnite, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbows and San Jose State Spartans Under the total.  The last three meetings between these two foes have sailed UNDER the total.  The three games have averaged 43.3 ppg, and have gone Under the total by an average of 17 ppg.  I'll look for another low-scoring game on the Island, as nine of the last 12 Hawaii home games vs. Mountain West foes have gone Under.  And the Under also falls into two totals systems of mine that are 89-59 and 48-25. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs minus the points over UNLV.  Both teams are 6-1 on the season, but Fresno is looking up at UNLV in the Mountain West standings, since Fresno's loss came in conference play, while UNLV lost at Michigan.  We'll lay the points with the home team, as road underdogs of +6 (or more) points that are undefeated in conference play have cashed just 43% since 1980 vs. conference foes that had lost at least one conference game.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats + the points over Oklahoma State.  The Bearcats are on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak while Oklahoma State has won and covered its last three.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Cowboys at home, in Stillwater.  But be careful, as teams on 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks have been solid on the road vs. conference foes off SU/ATS wins, as they've covered 57.2% since 1980.  Even better:  since 1980, the Bearcats have covered 71% off back to back losses when playing a conference foe off back to back wins.  We'll grab the points with the Bearcats.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over Ohio State.  The Buckeyes had a big win last week in their showdown with Penn State.  Both teams entered with 6-0 records, and the Buckeyes won, 20-12, as a 4-point favorite.  But I expect a bit of a letdown in Madison, on Saturday, as undefeated teams have only covered 22% on the road the past 44 seasons (at Game 8 forward) following a win against another undefeated team, if our play-against team (here, Ohio State) wasn't favored by more than 4 points in its prior game.  Wisconsin is an awesome 18-3 ATS when getting more than 6 points from an undefeated team, including 9-0 ATS at home, or on a neutral field.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Boise State/Wyoming game UNDER the total.  These two teams generally play low-scoring contests, as the last four (and seven of the last eight) have gone UNDER the total.  Indeed, the last four meetings have averaged 34 points, and have gone under by an average of 13 ppg.  I look for another low-scoring game on Saturday evening.  Take the Under.

At 5 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Warhawks come into this game on a 5-game losing streak.  But they've played well in defeat, lately, as they covered their last two games by 17.5 and 6.5 points.  They'll now welcome a Red Wolves squad which defeated it, 45-28, last season, but is off back to back blowout SU/ATS losses.  I look for Monroe to snap its long losing streak, as revenge-minded teams, on 4-game (or worse) losing streaks, have gone 59-34 ATS when they weren't getting more than 5 points.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over Rice.  The Green Wave have been road warriors of late, as they have now covered 10 straight away from New Orleans.  I won't step in front of this freight train.  And especially not with an Owls team which has covered just 7 of 24 as a double-digit home underdog.  Rice also falls into a negative 111-208 ATS system of mine which fades certain underdogs off upset wins.  Lay the points with Tulane.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over BYU.  The last two times these teams met, the Cougars were underdogs, but hammered the Longhorns by scores of 41-7 and 40-21.  I expect Texas to remember those upset losses, and exact a measure of revenge on Saturday afternoon, as NCAA favorites of 14 or more points have cashed 74% when they lost the two prior meetings (and weren't underdogs in those two losses).  Even better:  Texas has lost its last 2 games to the spread.  But it's cashed 72.2% as favorites of -14 (or more) points off back to back ATS losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over Oregon.  The Utah Utes had an impressive win last week at USC, as they won, 34-32, as a 7-point road underdog.  It was the first time a team had scored more than 21 points on the defensive-minded Utes, who are giving up just 15 ppg on the season.  They now return home to take on the high-octane Ducks, who are averaging 47 ppg.  In match-ups between offensive-minded teams and defensive juggernauts, I tend to side with the defense -- and especially if installed as an underdog.  We'll play on the Utes as a home underdog, as NCAA home dogs of +4 (or more) points have covered 78% since 1980 (at Game 5 forward) if they gave up 15 ppg (or less) on defense, and their opponent averaged 45+ points on offense.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over Virginia.  The Cavaliers come into this road game off back to back wins over William & Mary and North Carolina (as a 24-point underdog!).  Unfortunately, Virginia is a woeful 9-25 ATS on the road off back to back wins.  Take Miami.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Clemson.  We played against the Tigers last Saturday at Miami, and will go against them on the road again, in Raleigh.  The Wolfpack lost their previous game, 24-3, at Duke, and play this game with revenge from a 10-point loss at Clemson last season.  The Tigers are a horrible 15-38-1 ATS away from home when playing a revenge-minded foe off a straight-up loss.  Take NC State.