4* Kansas City -1 over San Francisco 

The key for the Chiefs defense is to not be taken by the pre-snap movement of the 49ers offense. Penalties would obviously extend drives creating scoring opportunities.  The former Niners coach Bill Walsh always talked about a pass rush effecting the game in the 4th quarter, and this will be a close game, but the difference will QB Mahomes and his ability to create positive yards from a negative field situation.

We like Andy Reid, and the techs in the game favor KC.  The Chiefs 7-0-1 ATS L8 and 6-0-1 ATS as a chalk.  In addition, KC is 6-0-1 ATS off a SU win.  The Niners come in 5-0 ATS as a dog, but they have a miserable 3-7 ATS record off a SU win of 14 or more points. In addition the Niners show 1-2 SU (64-75) last ten years in the state of Florida.  Remember the series has been KC who is 4-1 AT L5 times facing the 49ers.  Take the Chiefs laying -1 and good luck.

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5* Tennessee+ (313) over Kansas City @ 3:05 Eastern Sunday

The key here from our side of the line of scrimmage is that Belichick disciple HC Mike Vrabel has done a super job carving out a path to the playoffs for the Titans.  The key lineup change that has augmented the rejuvenation of the offense came when QB Mariota was benched in favor of QB Tannehill.  With the insertion of the new signal caller and the uptick of running back Henry, the Titans have put together a winning streak of 9 of the last 12 games. Last time against Baltimore the Titans ran for 217 yards with only 15 first downs to the Ravens 29 advances. 40 of the last 41 drives resulted in touches.  And with their opportunistic defense they controlled the tempo of the game at key intervals.  The Chiefs volume of yards and covers has been once again highlighted by the super efforts of QB Mahomes who is as healthy at this critical time in the playoffs.  HC Andy Reid (12-4) picked up a huge playoff win over Houston last week after being down in the first quarter.  However, Reid’s career record is 13-14 SU in the post season, so that stat adds to our overall angle.  Granted this is a revenge game for the Chiefs (-6) who dropped a 35-32 war at Tennessee this season, but they will be in for a real “dog” fight.  Kansas City shows 2-5 ATS in home playoff games and 3-8 ATS overall in the playoffs. The underdog shows 4-0 ATS in the series, while the road team in the series is 8 of 10.  Take the Titans plus the points on Sunday.  Good Luck.

10* NYG+ over Philadelphia

NFC EAST GAME OF THE YEAR

BRAD DIAMOND SPORTS

10* Temple+ over UNC

CFB EASTERN EDGE BOWL OF THE YEAR

BDS

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5* WASHINGTON+ (453) over Carolina

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK…BDS

We an earlier game on the Sunday card when the ‘Skins travel to Carolina (5-6).  Last week Washington (2-9) pulled out a rare win 19-13 over Detroit down in Maryland.  A field goal with 16 seconds left did the trick after a Washington interception changed the Lions winning hopes.  Carolina on Sunday lost to the Saints down in New Orleans forged by a last second field goal.  The Panthers had a chance of winning the key division and road game, but missed a field goal with around two minutes on the clock.  In the series the underdog has been money of late, and now we have letdown situation facing Carolina.  And we note Washington has played a fairly tough schedule this year, so with some good feelings after last week we see the ‘Skins close here.  Good Luck.

5* Georgia Southern -7 over Georgia State

SUN BELT GAME OF THE WEEK...BDS

Realize GSU letdown last week in their loss to Troy on the road.  But, needs to respond in game where underdog State is accruing late interest.  Georgia State has solid forces in Ellington, Barnett and McCoy.  QB Ellington, though, is injured playing on a so-so leg issue.  On the road I don't want that angle burying our chances of covering when getting points.  We're going GSU who is coming off a loss, while State just beat 1-10 South Alabama at home which was not impressive.  For now, we're laying the points with a homer in a must win scenario.  Good Luck.

ALREADY CASHED AMERICAN/ALBANY UNDER CBB EARLY

5* Central Michigan (7-4, 9-2) over Toledo (6-5, 3-7-1)

CFB FRIDAY EARLY BEST BET ANGLE....BDS

HOW CENTRAL HAS PERFORMED THE LAST TWO VERSUS NIU AND BALL STATE HAS BEEN SUPERLATIVE WINNING AND COVERING EACH, WHILE OUT SCORING THE OPPOSITION IN THEIR SEVEN WINS BY 135 POINTS.  LAY THE WOOD NOON TIME ON THE NETWORK.  GOOD LUCK.

3* MISSISSIPPI STATE -1 over Ole Miss

CFB EGG BOWL WINNER...BDS

4* NO. ILLINOIS+ over Western Michigan

Much press for WMU who have won 3 straight in conference games against 3-8, 4-8 and 5-6 teams.  Western has been a loser on the road this season, despite they should come in a little over confident against NIU.  The road chalk in this series has not won and covered going back to 2012, we'll grab the value tonight.  Good Luck.

5* SEATTLE+ over Philadelphia

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK...BDS

Our totals in the NFL were 3-3 last week, while losing our only with Tampa Bay.  The Bucs were granted credence because of seldom used systems that illustrated our go position.  Honestly, all four were  unsuccessful.  

Last week Seattle (8-2) bounced the 49ers in a road setting 27-24 in overtime as the Seahawks defense held the Niners run game to 3.1 yards per carry.  The Seahawks had 4 turnovers, home standing SF had 3 on the day but, the QB Wilson  was the driving offensive force for Seattle to help pick the FG win.  New England garnered SUPER BOWL REVENGE with a 17-10 road win in Philly (5-5). The key in the loss was again the inept receiver corpse that misses Jackson and others to help support Wentz in the long distance attack.  However, WR Ertz has come on of late with TE Goddard making visible mistakes in the loss.  Overall (8-2) Seattle shows 5-0 SU versus road opponents with a 24-26 SU record, included are wins against Pittsburgh, Cleveland and San Francisco.  Seattle is 10-1-1 ATS as a road dog L12.  Also, they are 5-1 ATS at Philadelphia and 5-0 ATS L5 in November.  The Eagles show in critical form with the NFC East their only visible chance for the playoffs as of this week. Philadelphia is 3-2 SU (2-3 ATS) at home this season after the NE loss on Sunday, while teams playing their 3rd straight home game 2019 show 0-2-1 ATS.  The Eagles have NOT defeated a winning unit home in 2019, not a very good sign. Also, Philly comes in 2-8 ATS L10 in November, 2-5 ATS versus the NFL L7 and 1-4 ATS L5 in November.  On the field Seattle (28.2/21.6) has been bailed out consistently by leader QB Russell (68.5%) whereas Philadelphia (23.8/18.2) has Wentz challenging (61.2%) in this must win situation.  So, we see Wilson making the difference in a huge NFC war.  Good Luck.

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4* Minnesota+ (335) over Iowa

CFB Key Reverse Angle…BDS

Coach Fleck of Minnesota has turned around the team’s course of action, winning 9 straight (6-2-1 ATS) this season and 11 in a row going back to 2018.  Last week the Golden Gophers stunned Penn State (-6-1/2) 31-26.  OB Morgan of Minnesota was the key completing 18-20 (339) and 3 touchdowns.  Last season Minny went 6-6 SU with Big-10 losses to Maryland (13-42), Iowa (31-48), Ohio State (14-30), Nebraska (28-53), Illinois (31-55) and Northwestern (14-24).  They were out scored 242-131 in those defeats.  Thus far in 2019 the Golden Gophers have faced Maryland, Nebraska and Illinois out scoring the group 126-34 winning all three SU & ATS.  So, it’s easy to ascertain the improvement by Minnesota on the playing field.  Iowa comes in 6-3 SU (4-5 ATS), 4-1 L5 SU in Iowa City. They have won 6 of 7 SU over Minnesota out scoring in the series 187-172.  Technically, the road unit comes in 3-0-1 ATS L4 with the underdog 3-1-1 ATS L5 times out.  Remember Minnesota has covered 7-straight versus the Big-10, 6-0 ATS L6 overall and 5-0 ATS on turf.  Iowa (after losing to Wisconsin 22-24) shows 1-4 ATS L5 after a SU loss and 2-5 ATS L7 after allowing 200+ rushing yards prior.  No matter, we’re going with the Golden Gophers to cover considering they have so much revenge built up in the que.  Good Luck.

3* Cornell+ over Dartmouth

The Green (8-0) is a perfect 5-0 SU in the Ivies this season after taking care of hated rival Princeton last week in easy fashion.  Their two largest blowouts at home were against Yale and Columbia one sided affairs.  However, those easy winners where after a road game with a road game scheduled next after those two huge wins.  Today Dartmouth has another game versus Cornell.  The Big Red (2-6) have played seven difficult games in a row.  They dropped a road game to Princeton 21-20 last week and now have even a tougher situation on the road.  The Big Red did cover earlier this season in the second of BB road games against Yale.  In 2018 as a RF the Green (-9) beat Cornell 35-24, and the line sets up herewith +30-1/2.  Take the points in what we expect might be somewhat of a letdown for Dartmouth.  Good Luck.

4* STONY BROOK+ over Delaware

Key CFB Eastern Edge...BDS

Again turnovers and OL blocking (2 fumbles and 3 sacks) hurt the Blue Hens in their loss to Albany running their losing streak to three, while the Brook on a 1-4 SU run L5 looks to bounce back after some tough losses.  We must recall Stony on the road a few games upset Villanova 36-35. Here feel the Brook is in the right spot to pull road upset.  Good Luck.

4* Fresno State over Utah State

CFB MWC Special Saturday...BDS

5* WASHINGTON (5-4) over Oregon State (4-4)

Incredible scenario with the Huskies losers (leading in the 4th quarter in each) of BB games to Oregon and Utah, and they were the underdog in each case.  Now they go on the road against the Beavers who show off BB road wins over California and Arizona. Talk about contrasting situations!  Don't forget it's November and Washington has not secured a bowl bid.  SOS of late really favors the Huskies, but their defense will face a balanced scoring arsenal with QB Luton (who is hot) and a bevy running backs.  Washington no doubt is in a must win situation on the road.  However, overall they have the better defense and should be able to respond with a run first attack controlling the tempo of the game.  Remember State has been more vulnerable  at home against the run this season allowing on average of 236 yards.  Washington has won the last three by 19, 35 and 24 points, but the spread has been -32, -27 and -26 and the -10 does extend the mind alittle.  The Huskies have controlled the series winning seven straight games, and the road team has covered the last four.  Also, despite being jacked up State has poor history on their field going 2-7 ATS L9.  In addition, they are 1-4 ATS L5 in Friday games.  Washington looking to regain their mojo is 4-1 ATS L5 after running for less than 100 yards and 7-2 ATS Friday's.  What should be a close game early, feel the Huskies focusing on the run and TOP will circumvent Oregon State's prolific gang somewhat.  Don't forget Washington just played Oregon and Utah two top ten units.  Drop in overall physical pressure at the line of scrimmage equates to a 38-24 win by Washington.

3* FLORIDA+ over South Carolina

SEC APPRECIATION SATURDAY ANGLE

BRAD DIAMOND SPORTS

LES MILES!

10* KANSAS+ (348) over Kansas State

CFB...BIG-12 GAME OF THE YEAR...BDS

4* North Carolina State+ over Wake Forest

CFB REVERSE ANGLE ELITE...BDS

Double Revenge for reeling Pack who show 0-3 SU & ATS this season on the road against West Virginia, Florida State and Boston College.  Wake 6-1 and 4-1 SU at home with all close games with the exception of ELON!  For the Demon Deacons QB Newman should start, while State will look at 1-3 options behind the center, but frosh QB Leary should get the nod.  Overall the spread series has been controlled by Wake of late, but Deacons 0-4 ATS after a bye.  NCS is a perfect 5-0 ATS after carrying for under 100 yards in their last game.  Another positive angle for the Pack is the additional rest after the Boston College game.  Good Luck.

4* Columbia+ over Yale

IVY LEAGUE SPECIAL...BDS

3* UCONN+ (308) over Navy

CFB Friday Appreciation Angle…BDS

Navy travels tonight 6-1 with the loss being earlier at Memphis.  They ran for almost 400 yards last week rarely in a must throw situation versus a testy Tulane team.  Also, the Middies managed only 68 yards through the air winning 41-38 at home.  The Huskies with a 2-6 record show off a nice win against lesser UMass and have improved offensively with a frosh quarterback.  Can they stay in the game enough to cover the large number?  One insight has the #1 rushing team (Navy) quite capable of piling up the points, especially considering they have the #18 rush defense in the country.  However, we believe UConn will have the edge in mental focus being at home and showing off a rare win.  In addition, teams who have Notre Dame (Navy) up next are 2-4 ATS L6 in 2019.  Granted Navy has been a consistent spread unit of late, still they come in 1-4-1 ATS on grass and 1-5 ATS L6 against a losing home unit.  TAKE THE POINTS!

5* CAROLINA+ (269) over San Francisco

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK...BDS

3* NYG+ over Detroit

Sunday NFL Appreciation Angle

Brad Diamond Sports

4* Chargers+ (255) over LA Chargers

NFL KEY REVERSE ANGLE...67% RUN

BRAD DIAMOND SPORTS

4* AUBURN+ over LSU

CFB SEC Special Saturday...BDS

5* Brown+ over Cornell

IVY LEAGUE SPECIAL...BDS

The Bears have not won an Ivy League game in two years, while continuing their streak this season with losses to both Harvard (7-42) and Princeton (22-65).  Granted they are no doubt overdue for a reclamation win.  Cornell this season shows 0-2 SU in the Ivies copying Brown, but in both cases Yale and Harvard they covered +18 for nice underdog covers.  The aforementioned line was originally  stroked at -10 with the Big Red.  The line change still has value for the Bears  considering they played two of the top four units (9-1) in the Ivies.  The Bears should have enough offense to stay close with an "expected" win by Cornell with Princeton up next(!).  Big Red lost to the Tigers 66-0 last season, TAKE THE POINTS.

3* Pennsylvania+ over Yale

By all means this the Eli football game.  However, we were not impressed by their last two wins.  If the running game can execute more effectively for Pennsylvania they should manage to stay close in what could a shocking final score.  Good Luck.

3* Washington+ over San Francisco

NFL EARLY APPRECIATION ANGLE...BDS

5-1 ATS IN CFB THIS WEEK...

4* DETROIT+ over Minnesota

NFL KEY REVERSE ANGLE...BDS

BACK AT 3:15 EASTERN

5* LSU over Mississippi State

SATURDAY CFB GAME OF THE WEEK

BRAD DIAMOND SPORTS

3* Tulsa+ over Cincinnati

CFB Saturday Appreciation Side

Good Luck, BDS

4* Auburn over Arkansas

Saturday SEC Special...BDS

Auburn (5-1 SU & ATS) shows off a bye week and a SU loss to talented Florida.  And now must travel to Arkansas to face a 2-4 team both SU & ATS.  Granted Arkansas despite their negative is seemingly on the improve, but recently the War Eagles have dominated, especially in the last three games winning and covering each by an average margin of 38.7 points.  We know HC Malzahn of Auburn will want to rebound after their horrific loss and will be well rested.  The favorite in the series is 6-0 ATS and the Tigers show 5-1 ATS L6 meetings.  Good Luck.

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4* Marshall+ (309) over Florida Atlantic

Friday Night Key College Angle…BDS

At home Marshall (3-3, 1-5) won 31-17 last week over a 1-5 Old Dominion club, while FAU (4-2, 4-2) at home won 28-13 over MTS (2-4). Earlier FAU dropped both games to quality opponents in Ohio State and Central Florida. Since improving their running game, the Owls are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS.  Although QB Robison and young RB Davidson played well last week, though, it was the ineptness of the ODU passing game which earmarked three interceptions making the difference.  Marshall knowing, they are going up against Kiffin just might show a different look offensively.  Of course, they will be looking for QB Green to get untracked in a negative environment.   We look for the Herd to improve on the defensive side of the ball with some of the players dealing with nagging injuries.  Granted this is a tough call with the home team winners of the last three in the series, but the road units are 4-1 ATS and the underdog 5-1 L6 ATS.  Marshall comes an amazing 16-5 ATS on grass, FAU is 3-8 ATS L11 in that venue. And, don’t forget the Owls show 1-9 ATS L10 at home when laying between -3-1/2 and -7.  In Friday encounters the Herd is 8-3 L11 ATS and opposing Florida Atlantic a PERFECT 0-6 ATS.  Grab the line value now and earn with us.  Good Luck.

4* Detroit+ over Green Bay

NFL KEY BEST BET MONDAY...BDS

Overall this is one tough football game to handicap especially considering the Lions have won 4 straight both SU & ATS in this heated series of which the Packers had controlled for so many years. This season Detroit (2-1-1) has played a strong schedule and have been highly competitive in doing so.  They will need to accrue something more out of the their running to pick off a SU win in Green Bay.  The Packers will be without WR Adams and the line has been adjusted to compensate going from -5-1/2 to -3-1/2.  In their last battle with the Lions, QB Rodgers suffered a concussion in the second quarter then Detroit won 31-0.  So, we expect home club to fixate on the shutout revenge factor.  However, Detroit has really book some solid confidence early and we don't they will come up short in the field in a close game.  Remember the Lions are 6-1 ATS off a bye, while the Packers show 0-4 ATS in week #6 of the schedule.  TAKE THE POINTS!

5* Tennessee over Denver

NFL Game of the Week

Brad Diamond Sports