NHL Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
05-06-17 | Penguins v. Capitals OVER 5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Over between the Penguins & Caps on Saturday night. These teams have scored a combined 5 goals in three of the first four games of the series, with 8 goals score in game-2. We expect another high scoring game tonight. The key to this play is the fact the Caps have moved a few skaters around, putting Alex Ovechkin to the third line. I expect with the moves, Washington will be much more diverse on the offensive end, rather than putting all their eggs in one basket. The new scoring line depth will drive this game Over in my betting opinion. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has forced their will on teams like Washington, those allowing no more than 2.4 goals per game, going Over 15 of the last 21 times with an average of 7.1 goals score per game. And we note that games involving two teams each averaging at least 2.9 goals per game have sailed Over to the tune of 60-25, provided they stayed Under in at least two straight previous meetings. I'm playing the Over between the Penguins & Caps on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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04-13-16 | Blackhawks v. Blues OVER 5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -114 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
I'm playing the Over between the Blackhawks & Blues on Wednesday night. Corey Crawford returned between the pipes recently, but the Chicago netminder has not looked as good as he did during the first half of the season. Tonight in game-1 and in the series in general, Crawford and his counterpart, Brian Elliott, will each face incredibly talented offensive attacks. In Elliott's case, the Blues' goaltender will face the top line in the NHL in Artem Anisimov, Patrick Kane, and Artemi Panarin. Both power plays are top shelf and I expect both teams' to receive a serious challenge on the defensive end. Elliott owns a .931 save percentage, but in the second half of the last two seasons, the Blackhawks have played to the Over in 13 of the last 17 times they have faced a goalie with a .915 or better mark. Chicago and their opponents have totaled at least five combined goals in 24 of the Blackhawks' last 28 games, and we saw nine goals scored in Chicago's 5-4 loss to Columbus in the regular season finale. When the Hawks get it going, the momentum and their style of play are tough to stop, evidenced by Chicago's 8-0 Over run following a game where at least nine goals were scored. I expect more of the same in their game-1 battle with St. Louis. I'm playing the Over between the Blackhawks & Blues, my Total on Wednesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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06-03-15 | Chicago Blackhawks v. Tampa Bay Lightning OVER 5 | 2-1 | Loss | -138 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Over in Wednesday's Game 1 of the Finals. Both teams are quick and with offensive talent. Tampa Bay's depth at forward is about as good as it gets. There should be very little sluggishness and not a lot of obstruction in this matchup. Another key component leading to the chance at a high scoring game is the fact both teams attack when short-handed. So many teams will look to get defensive when attempting to kill-off a power play, but both Chicago & Tampa Bay will attack when a man down. This does two things for us - it gives us a shot at a short-handed goal and it also means teams on the kill could get caught at the wrong end of the ice already down a man. Corey Crawford and Ben Bishop have both stepped up when needed, but Bishop has struggled at home and Crawford has been inconsistent at times this postseason. Chicago's blue-liners may need a little time catching up to Tampa's speed after the series with Anaheim. The Over is on a 4-0 run in Blackhawk games and 4-0-1 in Tampa's last five at home. I believe we're in for a higher scoring game than expected and I'm playing the Over, my Slap Shot Total on Wednesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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05-27-15 | Anaheim Ducks v. Chicago Blackhawks OVER 5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 1 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Over between the Ducks & Blackhawks on Wednesday night. Like last night's Eastern Conf matchup, one side is going to have to go all out to stave off elimination...that side, of course, the Chicago Blackhawks. One of the odd tidbits from the 2015 postseason, Chicago has allowed 3 goals in a single period seven times. There have been times when the blue-liners haven't done their job...and there have been times when Crawford has not been at his best between the pipes. Having said that, the Hawks are never out of a game because of their offensive talent. Chicago won four of the seven games where they allowed 3 goals in a period. I expect offenses to control this one. The Over is on a 5-1 run when the Ducks are on the road. Meanwhile, the Blackhawks are on an 8-1-2 run in their last 11 Conference Finals games. And finally, six of the last seven meetings between these teams have seen a combined output of 5 or more goals. I'm playing the Over between the Ducks & Hawks on Wednesday, my Total Slap Shot. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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05-26-15 | NY Rangers v. Tampa Bay Lightning OVER 5 | 7-3 | Win | 104 | 17 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Over between the Rangers & Lightning on Tuesday. It's literally win or go home tonight for New York and I expect the Rangers to take chances in order to grab the victory and keep their season alive. This could leave their already out-classed blue line at a disadvantage, which means we should see multiple goals at both ends of the ice. Tampa Bay has used their speed and their outstanding offensive talent to their advantage against good teams, those playing better than .600 hockey, and we have seen a 46-18-1 Over run in those games. And with Johnson, Palat, Kucherov, and Stamkos, we have rarely seen two low scoring games in a row when it comes to the Lightning. In fact, Tampa Bay games are on a 13-3 Over run following a game where there were no more than three total goals scored. Tampa and those 16 opponents combined to average over 6 goals per contest. I expect more of the same in this one and I'm playing the Over between the Rangers & Lightning, my Slap Shot Total. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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04-16-14 | Columbus Blue Jackets v. Pittsburgh Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -130 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
I'm playing the Under between the Blue Jackets & Penguins on Wednesday night. Three of the last four meetings between these teams this season finished with a combined 3 goals scored. I'm expecting similar results in this one. Columbus has actually allowed just 2.6 gpg, while the Penguins have been even stingier on home ice. While Pittsburgh allows very few visiting goals, Jackets' goalie Sergei Bobrovsky is 9th in the league in save percentage...and the two probable net-minders in this contest are tied for 4th in the league in shutouts this season. The Jackets are on an 8-0 Under run on the road, while the Penguins are on a 5-0-1 Under run against teams with a winning record. I'm betting on more of the same. I'm playing the Under between the Blue Jackets & Penguins, my Total Smackdown on Wednesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. |
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10-15-13 | Chicago Blackhawks v. Carolina Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Under between the Blackhawks & Hurricanes on Tuesday night. Corey Crawford is expected to be between the pipes for the Hawks tonight and he has been stellar of late. Crawford has stopped 73 of the last 79 shots he has faced and now looks to shut down a Carolina squad that's averaging just 2.2 gpg. I also expect a strong effort from Carolina's blue-liners after the 'Canes gave up 5 goals to the Flyers in their last home game. Before the "meltdown," Carolina had allowed a grand total of just 4 regulation goals in 3 games on home ice and they're 12-3-1 to the Under after allowing at least 5 goals in their previous game. Chicago's offense has been held in-check in their last 4 games and they have totaled just 5 goals in their last 3 trips to Carolina ice. Both teams are 4-1 to the Under this season with a posted total of 5 1/2 goals and the Hawks are 12-2-3 Under in their last 17 road games going back to last season. Both 4-1 spots along with the 12-3-1 & 12-2-3 spots add up to a 32-7 Under combination. I'm playing the Under between the Blackhawks & Hurricanes on Tuesday. Thanks & GL! - Scott Spreitzer.
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05-19-13 | NY RANGERS GM2 v. BOSTON GM2 UNDER 5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing the Under between the Rangers & Bruins on Sunday afternoon. These teams are 8-1-2 to the Under when they meet on Boston ice and I expect more of the same on Sunday. Boston has slammed the door on weak road teams and the Rangers didn't exactly tear it up on the road this season. At the same time, New York knows their game is to shut down the opposition due to their inconsistent scoring. They have done just that, currently on a 33-13-9 Under run on the road against teams playing better than .600 home ice hockey. New York has allowed a grand total of just 5 goals in their last 5 games, while the Bruins have allowed more than 2 goals in a game just one time in their last 4 contests. Game 1 saw 5 combined goals and I expect a lower scoring game in this one. I'm playing the Under between the Rangers & Bruins on Sunday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.
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05-12-13 | Detroit Red Wings v. Anaheim Ducks UNDER 5 | Top | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing the Under between the Red Wings & Ducks on Sunday night. We saw a misleading final score between these two on Friday night when Detroit beat Anaheim 4-3 in overtime. The Red Wings led by a score of 3-1 late in the third period. There were just four combined goals with just 3:30 left in regulation before the Ducks scored twice in the final minutes of the third period. Look for both teams to do what they do...play defensive hockey coming off games where they each allowed at least 3 goals. The teams also play lower scoring games in the spot they're in today. Detroit is 19-7-6 to the Under when playing on one day of rest and they're 6-1-2 to the Under in their last 9 road games. Meanwhile, the Ducks are on a 9-3-3 Under run in their last 15, while these teams are on an 8-3-1 Under run when they face each other in Anaheim. More of the same. I'm playing the Under on Sunday night. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.
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02-21-13 | MIN WILD v. EDM OILERS UNDER 5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing the Under between the Wild & Oilers on Thursday night. Minnesota and the opposition have combined to top five goals just once in their last 10 games and the Wild are 32-15-11 to the Under in their last 58 road games. Minnesota is off a 3-2 win over Detroit and they're 7-0-1 to the Under following their last eight victories. They might have Niklas Backstrom back between the pipes tonight, he's listed as questionable with the flu. But even if he's unable to go, Darcy Kuemper has played well when needed, sporting a 2.02 GAA. Meanwhile, Edmonton has been an Under bettor's dream. They're 22-5-3 Under in their last 30 games, overall. They have scored 10 goals in two games against Colorado, but have scored a grand total of just 26 goals in their other 13 games this season, for an average of just 2 goals per game. In fact, in six home games against teams not called the Avalanche, the Oilers have averaged just 1.83 goals per game. One goal may be enough to land this one in the win column for Edmonton. After all, the Wild are dead-last in the league in goals scored per game and second to last in shots on goal per game. The Wild are 7-1-2 to the Under in their last 10 overall, while the Oilers are 4-0-2 to the Under when playing with one day off between games. I'm playing the Under between the Wild & Oilers on Thursday. Thanks! GL! - Scott Spreitzer.
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02-17-13 | STL BLUES v. VAN CANUCKS UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 16 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Blues & Canucks to finish Under the total on Sunday night. Roberto Luongo is expected to be between the pipes for Vancouver tonight and he has been nothing short of a granite wall posting a 1.45 GAA and a .943 save percentage, and he's allowed a grand total of just 4 goals in his last 4 starts. These teams have combined for 5 goals or less in each of their last 9 meetings, averaging just 4.33 goals per game and they are 10-2-4 to the Under in their last 16 meetings, overall. The Blues scored 5 goals in a win over Calgary last time on ice, but they're 23-9-5 to the Under after scoring at least 5 goals in their previous game. Now they go from facing the league's 28th-ranked team in goals allowed per game to the stone-wall that is Luongo. The Canucks are on a 4-0 Under run against teams that scored at least 5 goals in their previous game, so they're used to shutting down hot attacks. They're 8-2-2 to the Under in their last 12 overall, and 17-5-4 Under when playing on one day of rest. More of the same. I'm playing the Under between the Blues & Canucks on Sunday night. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.
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02-06-13 | ANA DUCKS v. COL AVALANCHE OVER 5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -128 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing the Over between the Ducks & Avalanche on Wednesday night. The Ducks are playing their fourth game in six nights a situation that has seen them play to the Over 71% of the time going back to last season. There have been a combined 5 goals or more in 6 of Anaheim's 8 games this season, while at least 3 goals have been scored by the winning side in all 9 of Colorado's games. Colorado is without Defenseman Ryan Wilson due to an ankle injury and I expect his absence to be missed. He certainly was last time out when the Avs gave up 3 goals in a loss to Dallas. At the same time, I expect Anaheim to have their share of problems with RW PA Parenteau, who has 7 goals and 9 points in 9 games. These teams have scored at least 5 combined goals in each of their last 7 meetings with an average of 6.33 goals per game in their last 6. I expect more of the same on Wednesday. I'm playing the Over between the Ducks & Avalanche on Wednesday night. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.
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01-31-12 | Colorado Avalanche v. Edmonton Oilers OVER 5 | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Over between the Avs & Oilers on Tuesday. Colorado needs to go all out the rest of the way to grab a postseason berth and I expect the team to take more chances on the offensive end. Teams react differently off extended rest and Avs games tend to see a rise in goals scored. Colorado, in fact, is on a 7-2-1 Over run when playing with at least 3 days off between games. While I expect the Avs to open up the ice a bit, likely starting goalie, Jean-Sebastien Giguere has been a "siv" in his last 7 against the Oilers, posting a hefty 3.33 GAA. Colorado has lost 2 of its last 3 games. NHL teams in this spot, with a .510 to .600 overall win percentage have gone 39-14 to the Over when the total is 5 or less as long as the opposition owns a .250 to .400 win percentage. I expect more of the same in this one. I'm playing the Over between the Avalanche & Oilers on Tuesday, no matter who is between the pipes. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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01-20-12 | Montreal Canadiens v. Pittsburgh Penguins UNDER 5.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -136 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Under between the Canadiens and Penguins on Friday. Montreal has struggled all season on the offensive end and I don't believe they're going to fare any better on Pittsburgh ice tonight. The Canadiens have scored 2 goals or less in 4 of their last 5 games, including 2 shutouts. The league's 23rd ranked offense and 30th ranked power play will now face a Penguins' squad that's on a 19-7-2 Under run at home against teams with a losing road record. Pittsburgh allows the 2nd fewest shots on goal in the league and a top-5 penalty killing unit. The Penguins have also scored just 7 goals in their last 5 home games. One thing we know about Montreal is that they'll "bring it" on the defensive end of the ice where they are 5th in shots on goal allowed and 2nd in the league against the extra man. Montreal is 5-0-1 to the Under in their last 6 games (22 total goals scored) and they're 15-5 to the Under following a loss by at least 3 goals. They normally rely on defensive play after getting blown out. More of the same in this one. I'm playing the Under between the Canadiens and Penguins on Friday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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12-12-11 | New Jersey Devils v. Tampa Bay Lightning UNDER 5.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -135 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Under between the Devils & Lightning on Monday evening. Tampa Bay has been in a bit of a drought, scoring just 13 goals in their last 7 games combined. First glance says they may be able to do some damage against likely starting netminder Johan Hedberg. But don't pay attention to career numbers. Instead, you'll see that Hedberg shut down TB in his 2 starts against them last season, sporting a 2.03 GAA. Hedberg hasn't faced the Lightning yet this season, but he owns a 2.26 GAA in 15 overall appearances for NJ, including 3 shutouts in 12 starts. It doesn't matter to me whether Mathieu Garon or Dwayne Roloson starts in net for TB tonight. Garon owns a smoking 1.58 GAA against the Devils, while Roloson sports a 2.93 career mark against them. Neither team owns a decent power play (NJ = 26th & TB = 24th), but the Devils do sport the league's top penalty killing unit. I believe we're in for a low scoring, defensive battle on Monday. And finally, it should be noted that Tampa Bay is on a 6-0 Under run after allowing at least 5 goals in their previous game. The Lightning gave up 5 in a 3-goal loss to Philly on Saturday. I'm playing the Under between the Devils & Lightning on Monday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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12-10-11 | New York Rangers v. Buffalo Sabres UNDER 5.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Under between the Rangers & Sabres on Saturday evening. Buffalo got a little healthier on the blue line when Jordan Leopold returned from injury last night. And whether Ryan Miller or Jhonas Enroth is between the pipes on Saturday, I feel Buffalo is in excellent goaltending shape. Miller played last night and he's 7-2 in his last 9 against NYR with a 1.83 GAA. Meanwhile, Enroth has been dominant against the Rangers in a couple of career starts, sporting a fantastic 1.48 GAA. Buffalo will need to execute a deliberate tempo tonight due to injuries up front. I suspect they'll do so since they enter this one having scored 2 goals or less in 6 of their last 10 games. The Sabres will also be facing New York's strong penalty killing unit which means Buffalo could be in for more offensive trouble. The Sabres have "connected" on just 2 of their last 25 power play opportunities. The Rangers normally oblige with a lower scoring game away from home, entering Saturday on a 40-18 Under run on the road with a posted total of 5 1/2. New York is also on a 16-4 Under run on the road against teams that average at least 29 SOGs per game while converting at least 17% of their extra-man chances on the season. Buffalo averages 29.6 SOG per game and have converted 17.5% of their power plays. These teams are on a 9-3 Under run in their last 12 meetings, including a current 3-0 Under streak, scoring a grand total of just 11 goals, or 3.67 goals per game, combined. I'm playing the Under between the Rangers & Sabres on Saturday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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12-08-11 | Vancouver Canucks v. Montreal Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -132 | 18 h 43 m | Show |
I'm playing the Under between Vancouver & Montreal on Thursday. The Canucks have been on a roll for sure. But on Thursday Vancouver runs into one of the best teams in the league when it comes to controlling the pace of a game, not to mention an excellent defensive squad. Montreal owns the NHL's second best penalty killing unit. They're also 5th in shots against per game and the Canadiens allow just 2.4 goals per contest. Montreal will be focused on keeping this contest a low scoring affair because they cannot afford to get into a shootout. The Habs are one of the worst offensive teams in the league in just about every important category. Even if Montral could generate decent work on the offensive end, the Canucks have been one of the better teams in the league on the defensive end of the ice all season. And when these two teams meet in "The City of Saints" you can almost count on a low scoring contest. Nine of the last 10 in Montreal have finished Under the posted total. The Canucks are on a 5-0 Under run against teams with a home win percentage of less than .400. Meanwhile, Montreal is 34-16-5 to the Under when playing on one day of rest. They're also 5-1-1 to the Under in their last 7 home games. I'm playing the Under between Vancouver & Montreal on Thursday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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12-06-11 | Detroit Red Wings v. St. Louis Blues UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing the Under between the Red Wings & Blues on Tuesday. The story of the weekend may have been the fact that there were 7 goals scored in a St. Louis Blues game. The Blues lost 5-2 to Chicago, marking the first time in 14 games that a Blues contest finished with more than 5 combined goals. I expect a return to norm in this one. St. Louis and Detroit are #1 and #2 in shots on goal allowed per game, respectively. Both teams have already pitched multiple shutouts. And while Detroit is allowing just 2.2 gpg, the Blues are the best in the NHL, holding their opponents to 2.1 gpg. The Blues aren't much for goal scoring either and that's not likely to change in this one, hamstrung with the league's 30th ranked power play. The Blues are on a 7-1 Under run after losing their previous game at home by at least 3 goals. They're also 8-1-2 to the Under on 2 days rest. Meanwhile, Detroit is on a 7-2-1 Under run with 1 day off between games...and their games have finished with 5 combined goals or less following a game where 6 or more goals were scored. Both teams are in "clampdown" situations and we'll play the Under between the Red Wings and Blues on Tuesday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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11-30-11 | Montreal Canadiens v. Anaheim Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Under between the Canadiens & Ducks on Wednesday night. Montreal has been off since a 4-3 OT loss on Saturday to Pittsburgh. With three days to rest-up, I'm positive they have focused their extra down time on the defensive end. That's something Montreal tends to do, going 5-0-1 to the Under when playing with at least 3 days off between games. More importantly is that Montreal played a 7-goal game. That's an important note because the Canadiens are on an 8-0 run of scoring 5 combined goals or less after scoring at least 6 combined goals in their previous contest. The Habs and their opponents have averaged just 3.75 goals per game combined in those 8 outings. Wednesday's opponent, Anaheim, will oblige with a lower scoring contest. The Ducks are the league's 8th best penalty killing team. Best of all, they're 29th in the NHL averaging just 2.1 gpg and they're 26th, averaging just 26.4 SOG per game. They have seen the opposition pile up some goals over the last 5 games, but that's not Montreal's M.O. as mentioned above. The visitors from the east average just 2.5 gpg. Besides the 5-0-1 Under run and the 8-0 spot mentioned earlier, the Canadiens are on a 36-16-4 Under run on the road. I'm playing the Under between Montreal & Anaheim on Wednesday. Thanks & GL! Scott.
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11-21-11 | Edmonton Oilers v. Dallas Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing the Under between the Oilers & Stars on Monday night. Edmonton have been involved in some high scoring contests lately. The Oilers and their opponents have combined to score 9, 9, 7, and 11 goals combined in four of their last five games. But that's not the M.O. for this organization and they enter tonight on a 15-5 Under run after scoring at least 4 goals in their previous game. In fact, they're 5-1 to the Under after scoring at least 5 goals in their previous game, which is the case tonight. Despite the sudden outbursts, the Oilers still rank 6th in the league in goals allowed per game and they own the 7th best penalty killing unit. The team averages just 2.6 gpg on the season and rank 29th in shots on goal per game. Dallas has been letting too many goals through of late, but they're a stingy 10-2 to the Under at home after allowing at least 3 goals in 3 straight games. The Stars are 25th in shots on goal allowed on the season. Dallas, a weak goal scoring team themselves, are 6-1 Under following a loss by at least 3 goals. Add it up and we have the recipe for a low scoring game. I'm playing the Under between the Oilers & Stars on Monday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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11-17-11 | Florida Panthers v. St. Louis Blues UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Under between the Panthers & Blues on Thursday. We are off to a strong start in the NHL this season (10-3 overall) but did lose an Under the other night in a game involving the Florida Panthers. Florida did what we thought they would on the defensive end, pitching a shutout, but they scored 6 goals in the win, pushing it Over the total by 1/2 a goal. Florida rarely follows an offensive outburst with a second one. Indeed, they're 10-2 to the Under following a game where they scored at least 5 goals. And playing against St. Louis lowers the chances even more. The Blues are 6th in the league, allowing just 2.2 gpg. They're #1 in shots on goal allowed, and the Blues have already "pitched" 3 shutouts. Florida also owns outstanding defensive numbers, ranking 8th in goals allowed per game. The Blues 30th ranked power play, converting on just 11% of their chances may be even worse tonight. St. Louis is on a 6-0 Under run as home chalk, while the Panthers are on a 19-4-3 Under run against the Central Division. The teams are 13-3-1 to the Under in their last 17 meetings, including 5-0 on St. Louis ice. More of the same. I'm playing the Under between the Panthers & Blues on Thursday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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11-15-11 | Florida Panthers v. Dallas Stars UNDER 5.5 | 6-0 | Loss | -133 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Under between the Panthers & Stars on Tuesday. Dallas was "taken out behind the woodshed" over the final 16 minutes of the third period last time out, turning a 2-2 3rd period tie turned into a 5-2 loss at Detroit. But Dallas has been simply nasty off of bad defensive games. They take the ice on Tuesday on a 14-3 Under run after allowing at least 5 goals in their previous game. The Florida Panthers are likely to oblige with a lower scoring contest. They normally play low scoring games when facing Western Conference teams, currently on a 38-11-1 Under run in those meetings. The run should continue in the Under direction against the Dallas defense led by Kari Lehtonen who is likely to get the start in net. Lehtonen has been outstanding this season, sporting an 11-2 mark with a 2.20 GAA and one of the best save percentages in the league (.934). These two teams are 8-3-2 to the Under in their last 13 meetings. And besides the 14-3 run mentioned earlier, Dallas also owns a 5-0-1 Under run when playing on 2 days rest. More of the same tonight. I'm playing the Under between the Panthers & Stars on Tuesday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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11-11-11 | Dallas Stars v. Pittsburgh Penguins UNDER 5.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Under between the Stars & Penguins on Friday evening. The Dallas Stars have exploded on the offensive end in their last three outings, but I don't believe it's going to continue, at least in tonight's contest in Pittsburgh. Before scoring 5, 5, and 7 goals in their last three games, the Stars had averaged just 2.33 goals per game in their previous six. Tonight, they must face the league's 4th best defensive squad, allowing just 2.1 gpg. Pittsburgh doesn't give up a lot of quality chances, ranked 7th in the NHL in shots on goal allowed and they own the league's top penalty killing unit. At the same time, I expect Pittsburgh's "average" offense to struggle a bit against a Dallas defense that ranks 23rd in shots on goal allowed. Pittsburgh has been tremendous on the defensive end as a favorite of -1.50 or less, currently on a 6-1 Under run in this situation. Meanwhile, the Stars offensive momentum has likely been effected simply by having a couple of days off. Dallas is on a 4-0-1 run to the Under with two days off between games. The Stars have scored just 1 PP goal in their last 15 man-advantages in Pittsburgh, and they have scored a grand total of just 6 goals in their last 4 games at tonight's venue, overall. I believe we are in for a lower scoring game than the oddsmaker expects. I'm playing the Under between the Stars & Penguins on Friday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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11-09-11 | New York Rangers v. Ottawa Senators UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 60 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Under between the Rangers & Senators on Wednesday evening. When these two teams met on October 29, they combined to score 8 goals in regulation. An Over between these two teams is not the norm, however. The Rangers & Sens are on a head-to-head 34-15-3 run to the Under, including a 6-2-3 Under run in Ottawa. The Senators are likely to have happen to them what happens to most Ranger opponents...I expect them to be forced to play at New York's tempo. The Rangers like to slow things down and depend heavily on their blueliners, which is the main reason why they're 29th in the league in shots on goal (25.1) per game. New York is poor with the man advantage, but they're 7th in the league killing penalties. Add it up and we have the NHL's third best defensive team, allowing just 2.1 goals per game. New York ventures back on the road tonight for the first time in a while. Ranger road games have seen a total of just 25 goals in seven road games this season, an average of 3.6 gpg combined. New York is 10-2 to the Under against teams that average at least 3 gpg. And they're in a league wide spot that's on a 27-5 Under run. You play the Under in games with a 5 1/2 total, providing the road team is on a 4-game unbeaten streak and they've had two days rest. Those last two situations add up to a 37-7 combined spot. I'm playing the Under between the Rangers & Senators on Wednesday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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11-08-11 | Carolina Hurricanes v. New Jersey Devils UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Under between Carolina & New Jersey on Tuesday. I expect a big-time effort from Carolina after a bad outing last time out ending in a 5-2 loss to Dallas. Hurricanes' coach Paul Maurice basically challenged his team when he said, "We were not physically involved in that game. It was more than that, it was just soft." It certainly won't hurt the Carolina cause and "Under" players cause alike that Devils LW Ilya Kovalchuk probably won't play in this game due to a leg injury. New Jersey already struggles on the offensive end, scoring just 2.2 gpg. They also own the league's 24th ranked power play. At the same time, the Devils are the league's third best penalty killing team. Jersey is off a couple of "high scoring games" which puts them in a solid Under spot. The Devils are on an 8-1 Under run after scoring at least 3 goals in back-to-back games. They're also on a 59-29-9 Under run as a home favorite of -1.50 or less. When the Devils are in this role it's normally due to their play on the defensive end and in net. Martin Brodeur is expected to be back between the pipes, but whether he is or not I expect a low scoring game. I'm playing the Under between the Hurricanes & Devils. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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11-03-11 | Anaheim Ducks v. New York Rangers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
I'm playing the Under between the Ducks & Rangers on Thursday. There have been 7 and 8 goals scored in New York's last two games, but I expect a return to normal on Thursday evening. Ranger games are on a 10-2 run to the Under following back-to-back games where they and their opponents combined for at least 7 goals. And we're not talking about one of the more high powered attacks in the league. The Rangers average 2.5 gpg, which ranks 19th in the league. The power play is mediocre and the team ranks 29th in shots on goal per contest. But the Rangers do own one of the better defensive units in the NHL, ranking 7th in both goals allowed per game and in killing off the extra man. I expect the Ranger blueliners to slam the door on the struggling Ducks' offense tonight. Anaheim ranks 28th in goals per game (2.1), and like the Rangers they're near the bottom of the league in shots on goal per contest. Neither team shoots the puck much...subsequently neither team scores a lot of goals. Yet both teams are off unusually high scoring contests. The Ducks are 5-1-1 to the Under in their last 7 road games, while the Rangers are 45-22-3 to the Under at home against teams with a road win percentage of less than .400. And finally, the Rangers are 13-4 to the Under against teams that score 2.4 or fewer gpg. Anaheim averages 2.1. I expect a return to the norm for both teams tonight. I'm playing the Under between the Ducks & Rangers. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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11-02-11 | Phoenix Coyotes v. Colorado Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 1 m | Show |
I'm playing the Under between the Coyotes & Avs on Wednesday evening. Goals have been hard to come by when the Avs play on home ice. Colorado and their four visitors have reached a combined 5 goals just once this season. And the Avs have scored more than 1 goal in just one of the four games. Tonight, they'll likely face Mike Smith in net, which means more of the same, in my opinion. Smith has stopped 131 of the last 142 shots he's faced and he's been virtually unbeatable in his last couple of starts against Colorado. As a team, the Coyotes have been excellent at killing off penalties, denying 34 of the last 37, and the Avs came up short in a dozen chances with the extra man against Phoenix last season. The Coyotes have changed-up their lines a bit of late, but I don't believe the sudden "goal scoring surge" is going to last. Phoenix has a personality set where they don't score or allow a lot of chances or goals following two straight wins. They're on a relatively long-term 19-6 Under run in this situation. The two teams are on a 70% Under run in their last 10 meetings, and 4-1 to the Under the last 5 times on Denver ice. I expect the low scoring results to continue tonight. I'm playing the Under between the Coyotes & Avalanche on Wednesday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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10-31-11 | Winnipeg Jets v. Florida Panthers UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -114 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Under between the Jets & Panthers on Monday. When these two teams met in Florida as the Thrashers & Panthers you could almost count on a low scoring game with 13 of the last 16 meetings going Under the posted total on Sunshine state ice. I expect the trend to continue. Winnipeg scored 9 goals in a combined 17 goal game against Philadelphia on Thursday. But take away the outburst and you'll see that the Jets have scored a grand total of 17 goals in their other 9 games. Florida meanwhile, is on a 22-9 Under run after scoring at least 3 goals in back-to-back games...the situation they're in tonight. This has already happened once this season and Florida was shutout in each of their next two games. We also have strong goalie history in this one. With Chris Mason nursing a groin injury, we're almost certain to see regular netminder Ondrej Pavelec between the pipes for the Jets. Pavelec owns a 1.63 GAA in 3 starts at Florida. If Mason were to start, we get the goalie with the better GAA on the season. Jose Theodore owns a 2.63 GAA in 19 starts against the Winnipeg franchise. But if Jacob Markstrom gets the start, we'll get a Florida netminder with a 2.11 GAA in 4 starts this season. A win-win situation with all 4 goaltending possibilities. Besides the 13-3 & 22-9 Under runs mentioned earlier, the Jets are on an 8-3 Under run playing with a day off, while the Panthers are 15-6-4 to the Under in their last 25 home games. More of the same. I'm playing the Under between Winnipeg & Florida. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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10-27-11 | Washington Capitals v. Edmonton Oilers UNDER 5.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Under between the Caps & Oilers on Thursday night. We cashed the Under with Edmonton two nights ago when they hosted and beat Vancouver 3-2. The combined 5-goal game was a bit of an outburst for the Oilers, who have combined with their opponents to score a grand total of just 35 goals in 8 games (1-7 Under). In fact, Edmonton has now played to the Under in 38 of their last 56 home games. Washington comes into this one off a 7-1 blasting of Detroit. They're on a 6-0 Under run on the road following a game where at least 8 goals were scored. The Caps are also on a 7-0 Under run on the road against weak offensive teams, those that average no more than 2.4 goals per game. Washington and their opponents have averaged a combined 3.7 gpg in those seven outings. The Capitals rank 6th in the league on the defensive end, allowing just 2 gpg, and I expect their offense to struggle in this one against the NHL's top defense (1.5 gpg). And finally, Edmonton is 30th in the league in goal scoring, averaging just 1.9 gpg. I suspect they won't challenge Washington's blue line play, especially coming off the huge, in-season multiple revenge win over Vancouver. I'm playing the Under bewteen the Capitals & Oilers on Thursday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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10-25-11 | Vancouver Canucks v. Edmonton Oilers UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Under between the Canucks & Oilers on Tuesday evening. This is just the 8th game of the season for Edmonton, yet they're already in a triple-revenge situation. Vancouver won the first two meetings 4-1 and 4-3. The Canucks 4 goal game in the first meeting was a bit misleading, considering the score was 2-1 with 45-seconds left in the final period. But mostly, we are on the Under in this one because we know that Edmonton's best chance to exact some revenge is by playing their type of hockey, which is a low-scoring, grind-it-out style. There have been a grand total of just 30 goals scored in Edmonton games this season, an average of just 4.3 goals per game. Vancouver is expected to start working David Booth into the mix. Booth had just one assist in six games with the Panthers before the trade and I do believe the offensive attack is going to be a little sluggish for a game or two. The Canucks are 22-8-3 to the Under as a favorite and they're 10-3 to the Under against teams that allow 2.4 or fewer goals per game. The Canucks averaged just 1.7 gpg in those 13 contests. Meanwhile, the Oilers are 37-18 to the Under in their last 55 home games and they're 5-0 Under when playing on two days rest. Edmonton definitely plays "their type" of grind-it-out hockey when well rested. More of the same in this one. I'm playing the Under between the Canucks & Oilers on Tuesday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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10-24-11 | New York Rangers v. Winnipeg Jets UNDER 5.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
I'm playing the Under between the Rangers & Jets on Monday night. Winnipeg has been offensively challenged to start the season, scoring 11 goals through their first 6 games. But last time out, the Jets broke out and scored 5 goals in a win over Carolina. But then again, the Hurricanes have allowed 3 goals or more in 6 of their 8 games this season. The 5 goals came in about an 18-minute span between the first and second periods, with 2 goals scored on power play opportunities. I expect a return to norm for the Jets on Monday. The Rangers have been excellent on defense, allowing a grand total of just 15 goals in 6 games, including just 4 goals allowed in their last 3 games. New York will control the tempo of this game, as far as I'm concerned. And the Rangers must control the ice because they have been terrible with the man-advantage. In fact, they're dead last in the league, scoring just 1 goal on 23 power plays. But controlling the ice in tonight's situation is something this team normally does. The Rangers 34-13-4 to the Under in their last 51 road games. They're 20-6-1 to the Under when playing with one day of rest, and 28-13 to the Under (3-0 this season) against teams with a losing record during the first half of the season. More of the same tonight. I'm playing the Under between the Rangers & Jets on Monday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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