4* Total Money OVER Lions/ Cowboys

Taking the NINERS here. I liked them when I thought Baltimore was going to lose on the road last week at Jacksonville. So I love them coming in off a win. Look. I have said for the last month I think these 2 teams are meeting in the Super Bowl. Only thing going to stop that would be Buffalo really going on a run, which, might still happen. But here on Christmas, I think it is San Fran in beat down fashion. Niners defense is superior. Lamar will be running for his life. Grab some Over Rushing Props on the guy. I don't the Ravens defense can slow this bunch down. I think San Fran is a TD better than any team in the league right now. Sure - bring up a 3 game slide when they were missing their 2 best offensive pieces. When this team has their RB + WR lined up, watch out. It is surgical. San Fran by double digits to close out your Christmas Day. 10* Money Bomb SAN FRANCISCO 

Taking the JETS. Sean Payton said Nathanial Hackett was basically a big ole pile of doo doo. You don't think these guys want to crush Denver for their coach. He was here last year. Basically knows this trash squad in an out. Not that New York can drop a 70 piece, but I expect a big J-E-T-S WIN. 8* Sure Shot NEW YORK JETS

Going UNDER the total. Two teams I will look to keep fading offenses with. Burrow didn't look all that great on Monday night. Now, a short week. Still hobbled. Tennessee. What is there to say? You draft Willis - You draft Levis. You still trot out the old guy. Guess you get some AARP discount or something for this QB-RB-WR combo of veterans. Both teams had the same 27-24 games in Week 2. But the other 4 games. Slop fests. I love that the Titans are 1-9 their last 10, so of course that peeks my interest. But, first team to 20 wins. 4* Total Money UNDER Bengals/ Titans 

Taking GREEN BAY. We didn't pull the trigger on Minny last week for whatever reason. Guess it got lost in the 10-3 Week 1. We did cash the Bears though. And now GB will do what it does. Demolish Chicago. Getting points at home from basically a rookie QB is one thing. Getting them from a HOFer. A totally different story. Packers left for dead after Game 1. We saw this last year. And honestly - you think Fields is outplaying Aaron Rodgers. They can wheel out James Loften and Antonio Freeman for Rodgers to throw to. The guy will make plays tonight. Bears still a long way to go to be a competitive team. This game has 34-13 written all over it. 5* Best Bet GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking the RAMS. Have to say. And I have said this the last 2 weeks as I go against the Niners. I like this team. We had win total and division tickets on San Fran. I say all the time this team is hamstrung by injuries. I think people forget they had a lead in the Super Bowl vs the Chiefs. I cannot knock them at all. Huge comeback in Week 17 got them into the playoffs. And yeah, we can say - 4 straight road games. Well 2 are in LA vs a team that has zero home field and fans for SF will be here cheering them on. Maybe I look to the Under again as we have had the last 2 SF playoff games. And let us look at those. One. Dallas. I'm a Cowboys fan. But the coaching is terrible and, well, Niners did hold on for the win. But don't forget that Jimmy G did throw a late INT in that one and it nearly cost them. Then in GB. Packers score on the first drive and then take the rest of the game off! A blocked FG to end the half that would have been 10-3 GB. A blocked Punt returned for a TD at 10-3 (13-3) for a 10-10. I mean, 10 guys on the field for the Packers on the final GW FG attempt. What a cluster of errors. And to be great, you need to catch some breaks. And SF has caught them all so far. Gucci Garoppolo 11-19 131 yards 1 INT vs GB. 16-25 172 yards 1 INT vs Dallas. He had 2 INTs in the season finale comeback vs the Rams. Stafford out-Brady-ed Brady in Tampa. I think people will see the Rams collapse in Week 18 vs SF and the near collapse vs TB and think they are ripe for the fall. We have 2 very good SB HCs going at it here. The smallest of smallest edge to the home team. I think Stats Padford. Matt Statsford Pads Statford, I mean Matt Stafford makes the plays over Jimmy G. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS 

Taking the CHIEFS. Playoff revenge tour in full swing. Can we really get anything better in these Championship Games than what we have seen so far in these playoffs? Totally unbelievable games. So KC dispatched Bills who upset them at home. Now on tap are the Bengals who rallied back from 21-7 and 28-14 down to win 34-31 on a last second FG. Now. I thought the Titans would take care of Cincy last week. And again. Not knocking Cincy. But even when we backed them vs the Raiders, we really need an INT on the 1 to preserve a W. That game shouldn't have been close but Cincy couldn't finish. Then vs the Titans they get 3 INTs from Tannehill, a bumbling mess. I will tell you this, 4 FGs will not cut it against the Chiefs. Too much experience, and winning, playoff experience for KC here. Burrow is great. But Mahomes and Company have been in this spot for now 4 straight years. I'm laying it. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS 

Taking GREEN BAY. Niners get past Dallas who continue to find new ways to lose. This would have been nice to see the old HC come back to face the Pack. And the Rodgers come out and throw 6 TD passes. But, we still get Rodgers throwing 4 TD passes here. I do like SF. You know this. We had a future win ticket and NFC West ticket on them. Should have had them ML last week as I thought the line should have been 4.5-5.5. Dumb move by me. But still a nice weekend of Wild Card action going 3-1 heading into Monday and us backing the Rams. Here though. I just think GB has a QB who won't make stupid mistakes. He won't let his HC make mistakes. Guy is MVP and HOFer. Also has a great WR. Solid RBs. The defense is underrated. 8* Sure Shot GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking the TITANS. So we scored the win last week. Cincy as a Premium hold on and we also cash our Mid Day Money pick on the Under. But you know what I saw all the time. That 3.5 - man. Everyone will run to grab Burrow and that extra hook. Not so fast my friend. Titans by 10! Love the extra rest. We should be getting some guys back. Road playoff game for the youngsters from Cincy. Not happening Bengals fans. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the BENGALS. Look. We had the Raiders last week. But honestly, I thought they would go down to the Colts the week before. Line has come down a full point. And here I thought it would be Cincy -7. I still think Bengals win this by 10+. A nice 4 game win streak for LV. Upset Colts on road, OT win vs Vegas. But we saw b2b clunker offenses vs Broncos and Browns with backup QBs leading the charge for the other teams. Cincy game to Vegas and won 32-13 back in November. I have been surprised by Cincy this year. Not on the wins. They are talented. I am just not a lover of their coach. That being said- I will take Burrow and friend in the cold over Carr and company. 8* Sure Shot CINCINNATI BENGALS

Taking the RAIDERS. Yes, the Raiders are basically assured of a playoff spot. But I can't see them losing here at home. Who thought they would be here after the season they just went through. But there they are. And the fact they can knock out a division rival of their shot at the playoffs -man, sign me up for Vegas. Plus, we get a little revenge angle at home. 28-14 last time these two met up with LAC up 21-0 at the half. Geez. You would think that Gus Bradley who was the season before with the Chargers would be able to game plan vs his old squad. I think he has the troops ready. I thin this is an outright win. Also like the OVER in this one. 8* Sure Shot LAS VEGAS RAIDERS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. Revenge game for the best coach in the league and a reeling Miami team. What more do we need. This line has already moved several points. I would lay 10 here. New England will eat the Dolphins like the stuff that gets scooped up in the tuna nets. Miami win streak bit the dust last week when they actually played a decent team. Add in that NE can win the AFC East with a win and Bills loss - no way they don't come out and play hard here the entire game. Might actually be looking at the UNDER in this game also. Scoreboard watch - if Bills get out to big early lead, wouldn't be shocked if Patriots goes run heavy with backups. 5* Best Bet NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking the NINERS. I am not a believer of this Rams team. They needed a big comeback last week. San Fran like a cornered Wolverine looking for a big win. Stafford has been brutal lately with 7 turnovers the last 3 games. Pads Statsford or Stats Padford, whatever you want to call him. He hasn't played any meaningful football while in Detroit. Not sure he can handle the pressure. SF with 5 straight wins (4-1 ATS) over LAR. Points are nice, but won't be shocked at an outright win this afternoon. 4* Money Maker SAN FRANCISCO 49ers 

Taking WASHINGTON 56-14 is all people will remember heading into this one. I thought I would be able to get around 6, maybe closer to kick off. We last saw that Sunday night beatdown. We also remember Philly winning by 10 at home putting up 500 yards of offense. Let us not forget the 4 straight WFT wins before that. Before covid hit. Before they ran out a QB off the street last week. Look. For me. This is straight pride play. You give up 56 on national TV in front of your peers. You are facing a team that ran over 2 weeks ago. If you are any kind of man, you are ready to go into the stands and tackle Eagles family members. Philly hasn't beaten a team over .500 all year. These guys lost 13-7 to the Giants at the Meadowlands. Then beat the Jets with a rookie QB in Wilson, Garrett Gilbert off the street for WFT and then Mike Glennon and Jake Fromm last week. Get out of here. Heinicke isn't some savior, but he is better than those guys. Won't be shocked if Washington wins outright. 5* Best Bet WFT 

Taking GREEN BAY. I hate saying something is easy. But there was zero chance I was going to take the Browns here. And you know I am big Cleveland backer. But this is an extremely short week. Add in the Covid tests. Who knows what we get here from them. On the other side. Man. What a brutal loss with GB -2 last week. Are you kidding me? At least off that game I know here at home, the defense will want to atone for that disaster. We also have the MVP behind center. Not sure what the Browns have left in the tank at this point of the season. Much higher hopes coming into this season after last year. Now sitting at .500, I don't know if they have the heart to win this thing. Make no mistake. Browns win this one outright or they get run out of the Lambeau by 20. I think we see the latter. 5* Best Bet GREEN BAY PACKERS

Taking SAN FRAN tonight. I am just not sold on this Titans team. First. They are in off a tough loss to the Steelers. Tough, more like Brutal. Up 13-0, can't score in the 2nd half. Miss a 4th down by a full yard. That is 3 losses in the last 4 weeks. Lone win. Jacksonville. A game they won 20-0. And we move on to point number 2. The offense. We can start with no points in the 2nd half vs Pitt. But lets go to Jags and 20 points. You get 4 INTs and can only put up 20? That isn't shocking. They put up 13 in back to back losses to the Patriots and Texans. Funny, we have or have faded the Titans the last 5 weeks and are a perfect 5-0. I think I can read this bunch. The offense is anemic without Henry. Enter SF. This team is playing well. 30 or more points in 4 of their last 6 games. 5-1 in those games. 5-1 ATS in those games. Finally the HC. Clear edge for us on the sidelines right now. Zero adjusts coming from Tennessee. That 4 week slide in September/October seems a lifetime ago for the Niners. SF by double digits tonight. They take care of business tonight, 10 days to get ready for Houston at home. That might be the fade spot with the Rams in LA to close out the regular season. Tonight though. The focus is on winning, and they do that by 10. 5* Best Bet SAN FRANCISCO 49ers

Taking GREEN BAY. We had these guys last Sunday night and needed a big 2nd half. Totally flat out of the gate and their bye week. But they are still fighting Tampa and Arizona for home field. I can't see them mailing a game in here. I know Rodgers has a toe thing. The guy is a gamer. He isn't sitting out. The run game is solid. Ravens a total desperate team right now. QB situation sketchy. Still banged up all over the place. We had the Browns last week who blew a 24-6 halftime lead. This isn't Baker and we will screen and run the ball offense. GB will air it out. And then run their RBs at you. Now sure Baltimore can handle a balanced attack right now. Packers by at least a TD this afternoon. 4* Money Maker GREEN  BAY PACKERS 

Taking the CHARGERS. Again. Locked in before a whirlwind week began. NYG with QB questions. Chargers with their own issues. We do have a decent number as of now. I was liking this based on Miami to Cali and Freddy Kitchens calling OC plays. We do have the more talented team. The QB edge gets to the moon if we get Fromm behind center. G-Men putting up just about 11ppg their last 3 games. Chargers offense has put up 41 in 2 of the last 3 weeks so should be able to cover this. We also grabbed the UNDER 44.5 here. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS 

Taking KANSAS CITY. Uh. Will the Chiefs get down to business and start covering big numbers? That is the question. For me. Andy Reid out of a bye week. Guy is great off rest. 27-6 SU 21-12 ATS. KC with Mahomes, Kelce and Hill should be able to put up 30 tonight. This Denver defense is patchwork. Looks ok vs teams that do not have stars. And honestly - is Teddy B going to keep pace here? And maybe you think, ugly game. It will be close. He doesn't have to keep up. I dunno. KC on a 11-0 SU run vs these guys. How about 9-2 ATS under Reid vs the Broncos. And as bad as the Chiefs defense was to start the season, they are allowing about 12ppg the last month. A bye week win over a slumping Chargers team. Coming in to KC on a Sunday night vs a team off their bye week. I think KC wins by 20. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS 

Taking the BENGALS. I understand not wanting to bet Cincy off of them beating the Steelers again. But this is new Cincy. It think Mixon has a big game here. I think we have the QB and offensive edge here. We have the defensive edge. Chargers give up points. 28-37-27-24-27-34-42. Cincy has rolled out 41-31 the last 2 weeks. Then before that egg vs Cleveland, 31-41-34. Chargers in another road game. After getting beat down in Denver. They pulled out a game out of their butts vs Pitt that should never have been close. They edged Philly 27-24. Before that 2 straight losses. This team could have lost 6 in a row or won 6 in a row. Give me the new look Bengals. 5* Best Bet CINCINNATI BENGALS 

Taking the COWBOYS here. Also on the UNDER 47.5. Pair of reeling teams. Both in off Thanksgiving home losses. Saints having dropped 4 straight. A total no-show vs Buffalo. We had Bills and Under there. But also lost with Dallas and the Under. This is an important game for them. Who cares the coach isn't there. I can't stand that guy anyway. First of 3 straight road games. They need to get back on track. Washington on deck then the Giants. We have seen Dallas wilt under the pressure before. I just can't see it with this offense. The defense is decent enough that it should hold Hill in check. Saints are a mess. If the Cowboys don't win by 10 I would be shocked and will be looking for Washington or Eagles NFC East division champ tickets. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking GREEN BAY here. We had Minny last week with this game circled. Angry GB at home. We get the Rams outside in November. What is there not to like? Stafford, a guy the Packers have seen for years. They know every weak spot of his game. If Green Bay doesn't win  by 2 touchdowns here, then Love had to come in to QB this game for the home team. 8* Sure Shot GREEN BAY PACKERS

Taking the PATRIOTS. This line will be a TD by game day. Hats off the best coach ever. We did say to grab NE to win the AFC North back in August. This is not that shocking that the Patriots are playing well. The defense is solid. The QB has been solid. We know we always have an edge on the sidelines. We said to fade the Titans last week. Winner. This team had been winning with smoke and mirrors and honestly, that run was ready to end. Some tough reality now hitting the road. I think Patriots win this one by 10+.  5* Best Bet NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

Taking the HOUSTON TEXANS 

Taking the COWBOYS. Not that we love laying points at home with Dallas, but, they had been taking care of ATS business in Jerry's World with the exception of that Denver game. Now they are off an ugly Kansas City game. So. Amari banged up. Lamb too. Maybe Zeke. You know what. It won't matter. Because this Raiders team is in a free fall. 3 straight losses. Not even close the last 2. Oh. They are going to turn it on for Thanksgiving. I don't think so. I wasn't high on these guys to start the year. No way I can back them even at a TD price. Lots of problems on and off the field. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the COWBOYS. I know KC finally showed up after what seems like an eternity of not covering game. 15-3 ATS NO Covers for KC last 18. How about an 0-9 ATS run at home. Yeah. A short number. But how many people will be saying - Oh, Mahomes and KC just have to win by a FG. Easy Money. Dallas Outright for me - Short week in Vegas. Back in first place in the AFC West. Have to take any points with Dallas. Their offense is just as good or better than Kansas City. Now. Coaching another story. Dallas with a Big D as in Dummy on the sidelines. Cowboys had it going last week, and that was with a big road trip to Arrowhead on deck. This is a big measuring stick for Dallas and Dak. I like the small dogs to win this one. 5*  Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the BEARS and going ML. You can grab the points. I am going for the big pay day. And why not. Baltimore 1-6 ATS as faves - straight up losses as faves to the Raiders, Bengals and Miami. How about the Lions game with a 700 yard FG! Easy money Ravens backers. Oh. Overtime for wins over the Colts and Vikings. I know Chicago and Fields is a tough backing. But, off a bye week, I think this will be their best game of the season. Plus. Anyone remember last time we saw the Bears on MNF getting hosed by the refs. Maybe we get a little repayment with a call or two. 8* Sure Shot CHICAGO BEARS 

Taking the COWBOYS. Had these guys last week, and we faded Atlanta in what was a miserable day. Today though, Dallas gets straight. Atlanta gave up 25 points to Trevor Simien and the Saints. 28 to Tua and Miami and 48 to Brady all on the road. Do we forget that Hurts and Philly put up 32 on these guys. Dallas better all over the field. After that loss, payback time. They cost themselves with some failed 4th down tries. A weird punt block. If Dallas doesn't get to 40 I will be shocked. And I don't think Atlanta scores 30+. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the SAINTS. Matt Ryan an underdog to, checks notes, Trevor Siemian! A win over Brady will do that to you. But it is more than that. One. It starts with the defense. New Orleans will bring a defense to the field today. They will rally around the backup here. We have Kamara in the backfield to ease the burden, no worries in my mind. Atlanta. Ridley out. Defense still bad. I had both of these guys last week with mixed results. Carolina with the ugly 19-13 win. Falcons look lost on both sides of the ball for sure. Before that FG fest, they were in a wild game in Miami. They let the Jets score 20 on them. Safe to say backups and average QBs can move the ball and put up some points. How about that offense? What is going on with Matt Ryan. 13 points - 17 points at Giants - 6 vs Philly. Ok, want to be happy with the 30 in Miami and 25 at Tampa. We know Tampa D is suspect. 30 vs Washington. Again, home vs a bad defense. Saints defense will make plays when needed. Chalk up a 10 point win here. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

Taking the COWBOYS. At a pk, worth the grab here on Dallas. The offense is really clicking. A bye week to get a little healthier. I do like Minny. I like Zimmer. You will how Cousins can't win Prime Time games. I don't worry about that. I think as much I like Zim, and he is a defensive guy, this Dallas offense is just too much for most teams. Cowboys defense does it what it needs to do to win games. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the BILLS. Buffalo with an extra week to think about that Titans loss. (winner for us on Tennessee!) Dolphins absolutely reeling. A gift win to start the year in New England. 6 straight losses since. 4th different stadium for Miami in 4 weeks and 8 straight games of football. Team is hot mess. Bills won 35-0 in Miami and they didn't break a sweat in the humidity. I have Buffalo putting up 40 here. Can't see the Dolphins staying close. 5* Best Bet BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking ARIZONA. So we had both of these guys on Sunday. But this spot, it is all home team. GB is a traveling machine right now. Arizona tonight. At KC next week. WFT was sandwich between trips to Cincy and Chicago. Cardinals have made believers out of me. Total domination of the Rams and Browns. Rams, a team that had owned them. And the Browns, without bring their HC and others, not even close. Until someone gets within 5-10 of these guys, the offense will score 30+ and the defense will keep opponents under 20. 5* Best Bet ARIZONA CARDINALS

Taking the RAMS FH -8.5 here. Should have grabbed them at 13 when the line first opened, waited like a dummy and it is now 16. But 1st half. Let's get it. Lions shut out in 3 of their last 4 games in the first half. Add in the QB switch - the Rams HC despising his old QB. I think we have a blowout brewing. 5* Best Bet LA RAMS First Half 

Taking the COWBOYS. I like the Texans last week. I thought they would win outright over the Patriots. This NE team still struggling to score. Maybe at home they dial up the defense to slow down the Dallas offense. I don't see it. I think the Cowboys can overpower almost any team in the league. The defense is a solid, bend don't break unit. Not high on Mac Jones. HC edge for NE as always. But if you don't have the horses to run, tough to win the race. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the BROWNS. A pair of losses for them in a pair of shoot-outs. But Arizona showing some dings in the armor. Cashed them last week as a Top 10, but it wasn't easy. Browns cost us a play last week. Tough one losing when you put up 42 and have no turnovers and can't close a game out. I think Browns getting home, run it down the Cardinals throats. The run game of Chubb and Hunt is unbelievable. Defense will regroup after last week. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking GREEN BAY. Stop with the Bears talk already. You beat a reeling Raiders team. Bears last in NFL in total offense and passing yards. Your QB threw for 111 yards last week. Fields is completing 51% of his passes. 1 TD (2 yarder) and 2 INTs on the year. The team threw for 1 yard against Cleveland. I will say I will agree, the Packers defense isn't the Browns defense. This team is not a good team. Passing yards for Bears game with Fields and Dandy Andy. 109- 185-1 -83 - 188..  In today's NFL, you are leaning on this passing game? Hope the QB gets 2 TDs and play the field position game vs Aaron Rodgers? Rodgers will laugh at his HC when it is 4th and 2 on the Bears 36 and will have the offense out there looking to score TDs after last week's game. Again. You are betting on Fields over Rodgers. You aren't getting 17 like the Texans were getting. You aren't getting 10. You aren't even getting half of that. Last year. 35-16 GB, 41-25. Even if middle the Bears points and you think they score 20 - You really think GB isn't getting 25? This game is 34-13 all day and the Packers win this by double digits 99 out of 100 times. 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking TAMPA. Bucs with a 'easy' win over Miami. When I say easy, I say from a physical stand point of the game. Yes, they had a cushy win, but Eagles in a tough grinder vs the Panthers. And let's really just get to the bottom line here. Last time we saw Brady and Tampa in Prime Time, they looked terrible vs New England in the rain. Short of another driving rain, Tampa wins this one by double digits. 5* Best Bet TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 

Taking the COWBOYS. So we rolled out the Giants in our Tuesday Teaser show on Mid Day Money and again on the Sunday Free Pick show. But that was against a poor New Orleans bunch. You can say what you want about it will be a 'tough' division game. Last year we saw 23-19 and 37-34 games. One game with half of Dak, the other without. Before injuries, Dallas Dak won winning games 37-18 and 35-17. This is that kind of offense. And the defense is a very improved unit from the last couple years. I have said before - when I see 7.5 (or a 3.5), I am jumping on the favorite. It is going to be blowout. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking ARIZONA. I thought that the Rams coaching would force the Cards to lay an egg last week. But LA could not overcome the hangover win over Tampa. Out of the gate fast, Arizona never looked back. Not sure how SF slows this offense down. Or, even keeps up. I don't like Lance. Like I don't like Wilson. You can't just toss rookie QBs out there and expect HOF results. Now, with Jimmy G hurt again. And who knows if he plays or not. This is early week write ups and betting. Even if he goes, he is not 100%. Not close. This team has injuries that are hurting them. Back to Lance as a rookie starting on the road. How did that work out when we faded Fields and the Bears in his first start in Cleveland. Arizona fans will be nuts today. Cards get to 40 here. 10* Money Bomb ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking TAMPA BAY. I don't see how this line does not get pumped up. I don't even know what happens vs the Rams, but I think this is a game for Brady to explode on. And that is saying something cause the guy tosses 4 TDs a passes a game like clockwork. I can't see NE keeping it within a touchdown. I know The Hoodie will have some insight on how to slow down Brady. But there are just too many weapons for Tampa. Overall talent wise on both sides of the ball, edge Bucs. This is just a bad spot for Mac Jones. The defense for Tampa will want to stomp this kid out for their QB. Maybe I am being a square on this one. But unless this line moves at least 2 or 3 points, I can't even think of grabbing the Patriots. 10* Money Bomb TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 

Taking the RAMS. Ok. At first glance, we think let-down spot right? Off big win over the Super Bowl Champs. A nice game on both sides of the ball. Maybe Tampa was looking ahead to NE. Maybe their secondary isn't just that great. I think it is a combo of both plus, the Rams are good. Here comes the early MVP favorite in Murray and the Cards. Early start last week. Struggled a bit. Easy to think they come in here, cover or even knock off LA. I don't see it. One. Huge edge coaching for the Rams. Two. LA owns Arizona. 8 straight wins over the Cardinals. 9-10-7-27 the last 4 margins of victory. Maybe people have forgotten the miracle win for Arizona at home over the Vikings. I guess they forget them being behind at the half off a crazy special teams play. Not buying Arizona. The money has come in from 6 to 4.5 on Arizona. Edge for us on the shorter number - though I think this is a double digit winner. 8* Sure Shot LA RAMS 

Taking the TITANS. I have an old buddy named Scoop. He would always say when talking about his mid 90s Steelers. Can't win if you can't score. Gregg Lloyd and Rod Woodson took peoples souls. I say the same about the Jets. This QB looks like a deer in headlights. I thought it was a bad pick in April. I think it is bad now. Maybe he grows and is the QB they think he will be. But for now. I can't see NYJ slowing down the Titans. The offense is just too good. The line is short enough where even if the Jets somehow punch one in late, I don't think the spread will come into play. Henry will maul these guys. Then the WRs will get their shots in. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the VIKINGS, going ML. This is an absolute 'must win' circle the wagons' whatever you want to call it for Minny. They have let 2 games slip through their fingertips. Pressure is on. Good thing though -Seattle comes to town. A team that has no problems going up and down the field. Hey, we get up 20 points its ok, we will let you come back and tie things up. Cook might not be Henry, but he is a great back. Should open things for the WRs here. Vikings can easily be 2-0. Don't blame the offense. They will put 30+ up on this Seattle unit. We just need a defensive stop. 10* Money Bomb MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the BROWNS. You are kidding me with this line right? I though this line should be 9, maybe 10. Everyone excited about Justin Fields. Ok. Great. Cincy Joe Joe tossed 3 INTs, 1 for a TD. The score was 7-3 heading to the 4th before a flurry of miscues make it a 20-17 final. You have that much faith in the rookie on the road? In the Dawg Pound. Against a defense that just laid an egg? Good Luck. 8* Sure Shot CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the CHIEFS. I believe KC is now on something like an 0-10 ATS run. 1-11-1 ATS if you want to go back a little further. Tough one last week. I had KC -2.5 and still think I had the right side. Chiefs have been playing down and down and down to their opponents. I think Andy Reid doesn't call the dogs off today. He has a super QB. No way he is giving the ball to a RB with the game on the line ever again. They are in off a loss where the defense was absolutely horrible. Now they get Herbert. Kid was the spot starter after Tyrod Taylor was stabbed in the lung! Ok. They don't know much about the kid, close game. Then it was a Week 17 game. Yeah. KC was really invested in that game before the playoffs begin. Now they have a year of tape. They are off a bad game. They have seen the Charger score 20 and 17 points with their new coaching staff. If ever Andy Reid was to 'release the hounds', it is right now. KC should score 40 today. 5* Best Bet KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

Taking the CHIEFS. Had these guys last week. Couldn't get it done. Slow start and we paid for it. Chiefs have owned Baltimore in the past. I don't see this changing much. They are really beat on offense. I won't be shocked at a Raiders win on MNF over the Ravens. I actually took Vegas +140 FH. Again. Ravens on offense, a mess. KC offense, well you see what they can do. I don't think this line gets any lower. Will only go up, especially if Baltimore lays an egg Monday night. I will grab KC early at this price. 5* Best Bet KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. I see 3.5s up to 5. I will lay a little extra money if I have to 120/130. Obviously I think the Patriots are going to win this one by double digits. If I take a favorite, I am thinking blowout. When I take a dog, I think we are winning outright. I had New England last week. Tough loss. 1 of 4 in the red zone. A turnover 2 FGs. That won't cut it. The defense is good. We knew that. And now it gets to face a rookie QB. Did we see the Jets offense last Sunday? I won't be shocked if this game gets to 6 or 7. I think people will be hammering Patriots off a loss. In this spot, I think it is warranted. I would say, if NE was in off beating Miami, maybe I would think of grabbing the home dogs. But everything is week to week in NFL. And this one checks all my boxes for a huge blowout win. 10* Money Bomb NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. Here comes the Mac Attack. I thought Cam would be here, but, so it goes. This team was missing a bunch of guys on defense and still managed to win games. The Patriots will be better. I am not buying into Tua on the road. I get it - Miami HC ex NE guy. Ok. Fine. But this isn't old NE where we are laying huge numbers. This is a FG game. I think NE wins by more. Simple as that. One team out to redeem themselves and prove doubters wrong. Sign me up with the coach with some SB hardware looking to show people he hasn't lost a step. 8* Sure Shot NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking the NINERS. This is probably my favorite game of the week. I am not rushing out my big Top 10* Money Bombs in week one. I know some guys come out with GOWs or GOYs out of the gate, but I will go Best Bet here. Still Week 1. Anything is possible. But San Fran is a good team. I like the defense. Like the coach. The offense is good. We have an entire new regime in Detroit. A QB who this defense knows. A QB with less talent than he had when he faced this defense. If SF doesn't win by 2 touch downs, I'll be shocked. A double digit win should in the making. 5* Best Bet SAN FRANCISCO 49ers 

Taking the CHIEFS. We had KC last year in the Super Bowl, will take them again here - on the ML. I really have no problem laying -3 -115, but something tells me the refs will be looking at Brady like he signs their checks. Especially as a home dog. Look. I faded both of these guys in Championship Sunday. That being said, I have no problem taking the favorite today. Brady Brady Brady. That is all anyone is talking about. Oh, will he retire if he wins. Guy is the greatest ever. If you had doubts, this season should all but seal that thinking up. Guy is unbelievable. KC though. I dunno. Reigning champs. They have basically played down to their opponents the last 2 months of the season before beating up on the Bills. I guess they can 'flip the switch' and turn it on when needed. We saw last year in this game there is absolutely zero quit in this team. As well as the TB defense has played, I thought SF had as good or better defense. And we saw how that worked out. I also think we have a HC edge, Andy Reid. Guy finally got credit when he won it all But he has been more than solid his career. Let's not forget how great he is off with extra rest and prep time. Guy is cashing over 80%. No starstruck Mahomes looking at Brady. He has faced him in AFC Championship Game. No intimidation factor. The defenses will get a little chippy here. I won't be shocked at an under. I think the game plays out slow to start before things open up. Special Teams of KC i think is a difference maker.. If you are in the NY/NJ/PA region, I will be at the Fan Cave at Bally's Wild West Atlantic City. Come by for a drink or bite to eat. Grab a shirt and make some money. 5* Best Bet KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

Taking the BILLS. No Mahomes. Or a concussion Mahomes. Don't think it makes a difference. We will buy more Buffalo if we somehow start getting some points here. But as I said last week taking the Bills, this team is good. Underrated defense. A more than solid offense. A quality HC. 5* Best Bet BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking the PACKERS. Maybe this line comes down a bit more. Everyone loving the Brady story. He got his payback over the Saints last week. Now it is time for Rodgers to get his. Bad game in Tampa. I don't see Rodgers throwing 3 INTs this afternoon. Not happening. GB can run the ball. And we know they can pass it. The defense can get after Brady a bit. Not worried about Tom in this weather. But, it is Green Bay late January and Tampa is the road team. Everything went right last week in the New Orleans dome. Rodgers is the MVP this season. He shows it here. 8* Sure Shot GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking NEW ORLEANS. I didn't like Tampa last week, and not liking them here. I don't see the revenge angle here. 34-23 in Week 1. 38-3 Week 9. Brady has had some problems to say the least vs New Orleans. 2 TD in Week 1 2 INTs. 3 INTs 0 TDs in Week 9. The Saints defense is the real deal. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking the BILLS. Everyone on the Ravens. And yes, they have been playing very well. But this Buffalo team is awfully good. The money poured in on Baltimore early, then shot up late here on the Bills Mafia. This defense is good. The offense is as good or better. This QB can run. This isn't one QB making a difference with his legs. Give me Bills by at least a touchdown. 10* Money Bomb BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking the PACKERS. Already on the Under 46.5 here, we go with the home team. Rams in the cold. I dunno. Not buying Goff, who has a 5TD 7INTs when the weather turns chilly. Chilly thumb might act up a bit. Rodgers having an epic season and looks like he is going to try to close out an MVP Season with a Super Bowl Trophy.  Edge defense to Rams for sure, but GB offense should be able to cover this number. 8* Sure Shot GREEN BAY PACKERS

Taking the TITANS. I am just not sold on the Ravens this season. Tennessee can control things with the run game. The QB can, as we saw late Sunday, make key plays. The defense, ok. - leaves a lot to be desired. But getting points at home, we will ride the home dog. I get it. Revenge Game for Baltimore. Double revenge in fact. They lost last year's playoff game 28-12. Then, thinking payback, Tennessee got them again 30-24. Everyone saying NO WAY Titans win again over Harbaugh's guy. Outright Dog 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the BILLS. I think these guys can give the Chiefs a run. The offense is just absolutely rolling right now. Dome team outside, in Buffalo in January. What can possibly go wrong? Under-rated defense. An MVP in the making at QB. Coach of the Year most likely. I don't think Indy keeps up. 8* Sure Shot BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking CAROLINA. I get a nice live dog QB at home this afternoon. Saints already clinched the South. Scoreboard watching GB and Seattle. Seattle and Saints both looking for a GB trip up to get home field. Possible for GB to lose at Chicago. Yes, any given Sunday is the saying I believe. Extra rest for visitors off that Minny beatdown on Christmas Day. New HC will demand a full 60 minutes from his guys. And depending how things go, NO might be pulling guys for a little breather in the 2nd half. 5* Best Bet CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Taking the NINERS. Oh these guys buried me last Saturday vs Arizona. Here I think they are mailing it in, and they come out full of piss and vinegar. Safe to say, they are not dead on the year. Last game and I am sure they will bring it. Especially against Seattle. And they get Seattle off a tough game vs the Rams. Division clinched for Seattle. This is also a spot depending on other games we can see the Seahawks pull some guys. I think SF controls this game from the opening kickoff. 5* Best Bet SF 49ers 

Taking the BROWNS. Going  big with a SURE SHOT play here. Little brother vs Big brother and if they could have beat the pathetic Jets last week. I like this HC. You know I am sitting on COY futures even though I think the guy up in Buffalo has it in the bag now. What I do think we see is Pitt pull some guys in the second half for sure. I see 10s starting to pop up here. That would mean we get a full game of back-ups. Cleveland wins, and they are in the Playoffs. We know they can run the ball. They will have WRs back. And Pitt, again, they HAVE to rest guys. Their bye week was way back in Week 4. I can't see them going all game - not happening. 8* Sure Shot CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the RAMS. Seattle with no answers for LA. Rams with straight up wins in 6 of the last 7 and the loss was 30-29, wide right with 15 seconds left after Greg The Leg hit his first 3 FGs of the game. Besides that. We have the better team. No question in my mind. Defense a clear edge. Rams know they just need to win these last 2 games. Well, would have been nice if they took care of the winless Jets last week for us. Heck. I can't tell you what I lost live betting them when they went to even money to win after cutting lead to 23-10. Brutal. Anyway. So - in off a horrible loss. A game they didn't show up for in the first half. They take care of business here like they always do. 5* Best Bet LA RAMS 

Taking ARIZONA. We cashed the Cowboys ML last week over SF. It's over. 10 months ago, you had a lead in the Super Bowl. Now, you are playing out the string and guaranteed last place in the NFC West. Can't practice or play games in your own area. Zero motivation now as Niners have dropped 3 straight. Coach said they will be home with their families for the holidays. Last I checked Christmas Eve/Christmas is Thursday/Friday. This is a Saturday afternoon game. Yeah. These guys will be roaring to go. Arizona still fighting for their playoff lives. Arizona played these guys tough when SF was at the top of their game. Now they are down. Home team blowout. 10* Money Bomb ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the BROWNS. So yeah. Probably a little bias from me sitting on Stefanski COY tickets that will net be a few thousand and a Baker Comeback POY that will put another nickel in my pocket. That being said, there is a reason I made those bets! Stefanski has changed this team around. They are good! The OL is solid. The defense is solid. The QB doesn't have to force things to happen and make mistakes. He has a pair of RBs that can carry the team all game if need be. Now the Ravens. So I am writing this Monday before they even face Dallas. But as I take Dallas Tuesday I say - what have the Ravens looked like lately? The offense looks average. I think the league has caught up to Lamar. Much like when the offense was run in SF by Kap, the OC has yet to make adjustments. We had Cleveland in the first meeting and we were swamped. Look for some payback Let's go all the way to Romeo Crennal and 2007 for a 10 win season. Sitting at 9-3, playoffs still not locked in place. What better way to reach double digits and bury a division rival. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the CHIEFS. I'll lay anything less than 17 here. Denver, no matter who is behind center, has trouble getting into the end zone. KC cruised to an early lead and coasted to a win vs Tampa last week. Division game. Rivalry. Statement game to let the league know the best team still resided in the AFC West. 2 road games up next. Give the fans a nice 44-10 win. 5* Best  Bet KC CHIEFS 

Taking the RAMS. What is going on with Arizona? No home field edge here. Take away that Hail-Mary vs the Bills and you have 4 straight home losses. Now 2 straight losses, 17ppg. Couldn't score in NE. Sitting at 6-5 with SF on their heels at 5-6. 7-3 Rams in off loss to said Niners. But, Rams with 6 straight wins over Arizona, 5-0-1 ATS. Rams with McVay. 21-10 SU, 19-12 ATS on the road, plus 14-7 SU 13-8 ATS vs division. 4 TO's doomed LAR last week. I expect a crisp offense this afternoon. And defensively for us, we have the 2 best guys on the field. On the line with Donald, in the secondary with Ramsey. 10* Money Bomb LA RAMS 

Taking the PACKERS. This should be an easy double digit win. We have GB in off OT loss to Colts. Bad enough to lose on a fumble to start the OT. But blowing a double digit lead is also bad. Full focus A-Aron tonight in Prime Time. Packers the #3 scoring offense while Bears can't score 16ppg. I don't care who is QBing tonight, it won't matter for Chicago. 5-5 with 5 straight losses. They could be 0-10! Final possession games vs Carolina and Giants. Rallied from double digit deficits against the Lions and Falcons. And the Tampa Bay Thursday night game. This team is an absolute fraud. Saints at 8-2. Rams and Seattle at 7-3. Tampa at 7-4, Arizona 6-4. GB needs to continue winning for playoff implications. 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking the BILLS. Chargers a nice story with their rookie QB. But their HC has got to go. Why I really like this game. A couple reason. Right off the bat, early start on East Coast. Poor HC who makes terrible in game adjusts. Weather could be a factor. LA, Buffalo. Totally different elements end of November. Buffalo has a pretty good defense. The offense is pretty darn good too. I can't believe we are getting this at less than a touchdown. Maybe its too good to be true. We will rate it a best bet instead of money bomb, but in the end, we are still collecting. 5* Best Bet BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking the CHIEFS. I will be honest. I was thinking, yeah, I'll grab the Raiders here as a nice home dog. But then reality smacked me in my giant head. Hello. Andy Reid off bye week where he is 25-6 SU and 21-10 ATS. Not too shabby. Let's add a tidy 17-1 SU 15-3 ATS run when Andy has Mahomes under center. Add a dash of revenge from a 40-32 home loss as the icing on this winning ticket. 8* Sure Shot KC CHIEFS

Taking BALTIMORE here. We had the Ravens last week, and will ride them again here on the road. Ravens crushed a better NE team last year 37-20. We saw how bad the Patriots looked on MNF. Now a short week to face an always tough Baltimore team. Forget it. Cam. Holy cow. If I hear one thing about how he is some kind of the next Kap when he isn't on a NFL roster next season. As much as 25-5 last 30 games with Lamar looks, 3-13 as a team when Cam is your QB is not a good look. 2 TDs 7 INTs on the year, he does have 8 rushing TDs to his credit. Patriots offense with the most turnovers in the league. That isn't a good club. It isn't going to flip a switch sitting at 3-5 and reel of a bunch of wins. The defense is showing its lack of depth with the opt outs. The offense is showing that there are not any kind of playmakers. Yeah. It is a big number. And we will hear all about The Hoodie being an underdog. I don't even think we have to worry about the back door. Ravens still looking up at undefeated Steelers and KC looms. They cannot lose a game if they want to make up any ground and wish to host a home playoff game. 8* Sure Shot BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking the RAMS. Off a bye week, Seattle coming back west after a loss. Will happily take LA in this spot. McVay clearly knows how to play the Seahawks. Last year. 28-12 Win. 30-29 should have been a win. 2018 36-31 33-31 Win Win. 42-7 Win in 2017. You getting the sense of a trend going on here. Rams can rush the passer with a much better defense right now than Seattle. 10* Money Bomb LA RAMS 

Taking the BROWNS. Off bye. Rested. Better team. Better defense. Better coach. The coach is the difference maker here. Not your same old Cleveland club. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS

Taking ARIZONA. Grabbing these guys off their bye week. Look. This is really just fading Tua. I had Miami last week. And somehow, we pulled out a huge win. And I say somehow - because, hello - Tua led Miami to a whopping 145 yards of offense. 12-22 93 through the air. 4  turnovers will make you look good. Not getting that vs this bunch. Miami was laying in wait for the Rams to come east. Now Arizona will return the favor. 3 straight wins for them by 17ppg. If the Dolphins defense forces 2+ turnovers, well, hats off to them. I just don't see that being the case. 10* Money Bomb ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the FALCONS. Uh. These guys kill me every year. Another NFC South future ticket down the drain. Another Matt Ryan MVP ticket to be used as kindling to a fire. On the bright side, no more Dan Quinn. Woo Hoo. Atlanta should be 3-0 under Morris except for that stupid final play vs the Lions. Denver comes in as a nice win for last week, albeit that was vs the Chargers and Anthony Lynn another HC who costs backers thousands. Falcons playing better ball right now. 27 Turnovers for Lock in 10 games is probably a favorable thing for the Atlanta defense. I mean, can't hurt when you are given 2 turnovers at some point during the game. 15 turnovers for Denver on the season - and that my friends is why I am calling for a double digit win here by the home team. 8* Sure Shot ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking the RAVENS. Lost with these guys last week, and lost fading the Colts and taking the Lions last week. Will continue down that road. One. Lamar and the Ravens 23-5 good for a 82% since he took over under center. I'll take a shot on several things with an 82% return rate. We are off a loss. We are off 4 turnovers. We are off rushing for over 225 yards. We are not sold on Phillip Rivers finding the fountain of youth the last 2 weeks with 6TDs 1 int. 5* Best Bet BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking the RAIDERS. Easy to say oh yeah Tampa. Tom Brady is the GOAT. They reeled off 38 straight vs Rodgers and the Packers. Ho-hum. Extra rest off a game where their HOF QB didn't know what down it was an embarrassed on national TV. Now they fly cross country to a team off their bye week. A team that just held a pretty good KC to 8 points after half-time. A team that has a RB that will run right at your defensive weak spot. Raiders not a bad bunch. Went on the road an beat a decent Carolina team. Beat the Saints here. Lost a tough one to the Bills turning the ball over 4 times. Beat the Chiefs on the road as double digit dogs. Lost to NE after that MNF Saints win. Let's not sell them short. Won't be shocked if we steal this one outright. 5* Best Bet LAS VEGAS RAIDERS 

Going OVER the total. Texans defense is like a wet bag trying to hold a brick. Absolutely pathetic. Cost us last week in these write ups. I can't see them slowing down an angry A-Aron. Rodgers hurt us also as we had the Over against Tampa. Well. Looked good early as it was 10-0 then Rodgers turns into INT machine and its 38-10 and we can't get any garbage scoring. Off that kind of game, I am all in on the Pack and Rodgers jumping out fast. Already on the first half over will also be on the full game. 8* Sure Shot OVER Packers/ Titans 

Taking DALLAS. I will never say 'bad pick' when I have a team +3 and it goes to -1. No way. But, Hello 2020. Plenty of time we have been ahead of lines and totals only to be beat. It is a tough grind. I can't believe how poorly things played out Monday night. But there is zero shot that I think that Washington is a good team. I do like their defense though. We are also on the UNDER in this game. And why not. Redskins now with 5 straight games of 20 or less points. I have faith in Andy. The playmakers are there for him to make plays. Dallas isn't laying anything this afternoon. Any early number of them laying is long gone. That's fine. Washington has been down double digits in EVERY game this season. Dallas 15-4 ATS last 19 in division games. I'll tell you this. Dallas loses here, there should be a HC change coming. There is way too much talent here going to waste even before Dak was injured. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the COWBOYS. Ok. No Dak. I get it- huge loss. Guy has been throwing for 400 yards and 4 TDs a game. But, let's be honest. The turnovers have killed them early in games. The defense is like a wet paper bag trying to hold 20 tuna cans. Not going to hold. Give me some Andy Dalton. Do people forget this guy took Cincy to the playoffs? Have you see the offensive playmakers on this Dallas roster? The WR corp is possibly the best in the league. And, they RB is, I dunno, pretty good in his own right. Home dogs. I'll take the points and grab the ML. This team will be 100% improved based on the QB change. Why? Cause they will feed Zeke like a fat guy at a buffet. Then Andy will pick apart an Arizona defense playing their 3rd straight road game. Make no mistake people. The Cowboys offense isn't the NY Jets, Panthers or Washington Redskins. And it isn't the Niners or Lions either. And Dalton is probably a lot less likely to toss INTs then Dak.  No way you can lay points with Arizona in this spot. Murray may run all over the place. But the Cowboys are winning this one outright. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS

Taking the CHIEFS. I am high on the Bills. We had the over on Tuesday, but all in all, I do like the club. Like the HC. Like the defense. Like the run game. QB a bit of a question mark. It shows at time. But look. How the heck are we getting in front of Andy Reid here. This is like a bye week for him. Extra rest for his guys - Extra prep. Off a loss on top of that where they played poorly. And the Bills. Ok, at home. Short week after a Tuesday game. I have taken my fair share of home dogs this season. We can run down those losers if we really wanted to. Not doing it. Give me the reigning champs, angry, with extra prep + rest. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFS 

5* Total Money OVER Browns/ Pitt

Taking the COWBOYS. Going to sprinkle some ML in on these guys also. We have seen that both of these teams can score. And both can give up some points. We are already on the over. Something just tells me Dallas really shows up this week. I mean, Ok. Wilson with 9 TDs in his 2 games. But, Seahawks have been outgained (970 yards) in their two games. Dak and Dallas overcame multiple 15 point holes. Seattle is 3-7 ATS last 10 and that was with a great home-field edge. Dallas as a fave, eh, I'm leery. As a dog, I will bite - just like this live dog this afternoon. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. We have the Hoodie vs Gruden. No contest. We cashed Vegas on MNF while riding the Over in our free pick video Sunday. Nice emotional win for the Raiders in their new stadium. Now they face the best HC and a QB who looks like he is healthy and back in Super Bowl Season form. Tough one for sure the way it ended Sunday night. But this is a team that just goes about its business. Let's flash back to when we had the Panthers in Week 1 over Vegas. That should have been a win for us. This coach won't make those mistakes to cost a team the win. Especially coming up a yard short last week. 2-0 and off a big win over the Saints. Nowhere to go but down for the Silver and Black. 10* Money Bomb NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking the GIANTS. I get it. Higgs. How the F are we taking another crap dog! You are killing us with the Browns and Giants in Week 1 - Lions + Jets Week 2. Oh the pain. This line is coming down for a reason. SF is pretty banged up. Giants are in desperation mode. I get no Barkley. But that might actually help NYG since they will realize this is a passing league and they have some weapons. Won't be shocked at an outright win here. 5* Best Bet NY GIANTS 

Taking the RAMS. Eagles going to Eagle. We had Washington last week and the defense did exactly what I thought they would do. 8 sacks of Wentz. Injuries already piling up in Philly. Normally I don't simplify things by saying if you can't stop X, how will you stop Y. In a case of now preseason games and practices though, I will. Cowboys a much better team talent wise. Even if their new coach was as lame as the old one in the play calling. Rams have a lot to prove after last season. Can't see how their pass rush does not get to Wentz at least 5 times. They have the best guy on the DL in the game. Yes - early start west to east for LAR. But I will be more inclined to fade them next week at Buffalo since the Covid forces them to go home and not stay in nearby. McVay will have the offense exploiting Philly weaknesses. 5* Bets Bet LA RAMS

Taking the BROWNS. Had these guys and watched them get demolished on Sunday. Also faded Cincy and had to hold for dear life just to earn a push with the Chargers. So - First drive for Cleveland INT and 8 plays later a TD. Next possession. Run a fake punt and fumble the ball. FG. 10-0 just like that. But. We did come right back for a TD. Missed the PAT, and that should have told us we are going to be in for a long day. And it was. A 99 yard drive for a TD. We miss a FG - 70 yards in about 40 seconds, its 24-6 and we are done. Hunt and Chubb went for 130 combined which is nice. I don't see them playing catch-up vs Cincy. Ah the Bengals. I can't even write the Chargers HC name since he is so terrible. Maybe I should have said, he's a crap HC, and just stayed away. But Taylor was a winning QB for the Bills. Plenty of weapons. And, Chargers do what they do. Shoot themselves in the foot, time and time again. Last week Cleveland saw an MVP performance from opposing QB completing 20/25 3 TDs. Burrow led a great drive to put them in position to win or tie the game. But overall. Come on. 23-36. Pretty sure he was 8-12 on the last drive. All short stuff. 5 yards a pass. Short week for a rookie QB, on the road. Fans or not, it is a tough task. I think we have a great play here. Everyone down on the Browns saying same ol' Cleveland. While everyone saying, wow, Burrow nearly had a last minute TD drive negated by an OPI. That game was ugly because the players played ugly. Browns in a blow-out. 8* Sure Shot CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the CHIEFS. Not going to get real deep into this game. We have two teams, both different. KC is your new style air-assault. Niners bring a multi-headed rush attack. The defense has been much better for SF of late. But lets look at that. KC even falling behind by big scores has not only rallied to win the games. But also shut down those offenses. 37-14 the last two 2nd halves for KC. How about the 2nd quarter score of 42-10. We also have Andy Reid off a bye week which is always a profitable angle, not at 19-3 SU. Let's also reflect a little on SF play calling. This is the same HC that blew a 28-3 Super Bowl lead. He was cruising Sunday vs GB then you look up to see 27-0 has turned into 34-20 and the backdoor hope was alive for a moment for GB backers. As good as the defense has been for SF, I just think that Mahomes is on another level the last 2 weeks. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFS 

Taking the CHIEFS. Gotta say this is a tough one as we have had Tennessee plenty of times this season. Cashed them vs Patriots in Round 1, lost with Ravens in Round 2. Now, the AFC Championship. 3 straight playoff road games. 4 straight road games overall. We have seen Henry be a beast. We have seen trick plays. We have seen defense. I like their HC. Think the defense is a bend don't break unit. But KC sees the door ajar. They lost here to New England last year. Off an epic comeback - it's one for the record books. Records were set. They look pretty focused. They didn't get away from what they did all year when down 24-0. The Ravens folded up like a tent. KC also with revenge from a Week 10 35-32 loss at Tennessee. They led 29-20 going into the 4th quarter. 29-27, 32-27 and then 35-32 as Tannehill completed a 23 yard pass with 23 seconds left to pull out the win. That was Mahomes first game back from injury. Titans a different team with Tannehill under center and what could have been if he played the entire season. I am not going to knock his 2 playoff games this year with 88 and 72 yards passing - Henry for 195 and 182 show what kind of team this is. That being said - I think KC is in the zone. They let it slip away last year. Heck- Go back to January of 2018 and Mariotta was beating Alex Smith here 22-21 after KC led 21-0 at half! Those 2 teams are eons ago. They were a 3pt home fave last year over the Patriots. Down 14-0 at half, 17-7 entering the 4th. Do you remember this game? Under betters haven't forgotten. A 21-17 lead at the 7 minute mark. Down 24-21 with 3 + to play. Up 28-24 with 2 minutes left. Down 31-28 with 30 seconds left. Tied - OT - Brady Magic 36-31. They have battled back when needed. Twice in the playoffs. They have faced the adversity. I am not saying the Titans aren't a great story. Holy Cow Tannehill coming back to Miami to be the starting QB in a Super Bowl is Kurt Warner story-book time. Maybe a slight, albeit by the tiniest margin, an edge at HC. But this Tennessee team is really cooking. I just think in the end - what KC has been through in their last playoff games adds a big edge to them. Titans with the house money, but with that you don't get a lot of urgency. The World wanted Chiefs / Saints last year. KC holds up their end of the deal here. 5* Best Bet KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

Taking the PACKERS here. Rodgers at home. Short number. They will know if they are playing division rival Minny, or heading to SF to face the Niners for some payback. This line will only rise. Seattle banged up. They didn't look that impressive vs a very depleted Philly team. Granted, on the road, but still - not impressed. I get Seattle has HOF in Wilson and Carrol. Rookie HC for us. But - this is why they have a rookie. HC. Mike McCarthy terrible play calling. Rodgers playing with that chip on his shoulder. Raise your hand if you had either of these teams getting to the NFC Championship Game before the season started! - 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking the CHIEFS. One. Have to back Andy Reid off a bye week. 18-3 in his career and 5-2 here with KC. This year vs the Raiders, 40-9. I know the Texans aren't the Raiders. But their HC drinks from the same fountain as fellow former State of Texas HC, Dallas Cowboy Jason Garrett. How do you have faith backing this team? Even getting this big number- Can't do it. Watson should have been picked at least twice. Bills collapse and we get Houston here in Kansas City. Not buying this team at all. Texans have been slow starters their last 2 playoff games. That won't fly here vs Reid's bunch. 8* Sure Shot KC CHIEFS 

Taking MINNY. Smacking myself for last week. I have been on the Vikes so many times this season. Had a NFC North future on these guys. And I got so annoyed the last time I bet them (vs GB), that I was blinded against New Orleans. And my bankroll paid the price. I get SF is rested. And they need it. They are a pretty banged up team. But Minny is healthy. This is a talented team on both sides of the ball. Won't be surprised if this turns into a bit of a shoot-out. That being said, SKOL!  5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the SAINTS. Now. You know I like my Vikings. Had them plenty of times this season. Cost me a NFC North future ticket. But that isn't why I am fading them here. Believe it or not, it's their defense - or lack of it. Tough to say as a big Zimmer fan. But this will be a problem here. Tough place to play here vs Brees and Payton. This offense is really explosive. Air or ground, NO can do it both. Kimara and Murray are a 1-2 beast out of the backfield. Best WR in the league right now in Thomas. Vikes come limping in to say the least. Saints, after a slow Week 1&2 go 11-3 ATS to finish the year. Outscoring teams by +117. 3rd straight year these guys are getting together. We remember the Minnesota Miracle in 2017. Saints with revenge last year 30-20. (then they get hosed at home with that PI call). Now, time for a 13-3 Wild Card to lay it to the visitor who is 1-4 vs teams with winning record this year. 10* Money Bomb NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking the COWBOYS. Tough laying with this HC. But, Dallas has been very good vs NFC East teams the last few years. Long year for Philly as injuries have decimated the team. When you are down your best OL and basically every WR that was on your active roster to start the year - it can be tough. Winner here will basically lock up the division. I hear the cheers for taking a home dog. I have seen Dallas come in here with Romo and lay eggs with the division on the line. This team, and the recent Cowboys have been much more complete than those previous teams. Going to lay it here and watch the Dak and Zeke show earn their contracts. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

10* Total Money UNDER Dallas/ Philly

Taking the BRONCOS. Long season for the NFL veteran HC Fagio. Started ugly with a loss in Oakland. He will get his revenge next week here. Now breaking in a new signal caller. Simple thinking here though. We have an old school coach who isn't quitting on the season. His team hasn't quit all year. Lions a hot mess. Can't believe they are keeping their HC around. They old coach, Jim Caldwell was let go because 10-6 wasn't good enough. Jeez. That's another story. But here they are with a terrible QB, on the road, in one of the tougher places to play. Dome team outside, in Denver elevation to boot. Lay it. 10* Money Bomb DENVER BRONCOS

Taking the CHARGERS. Raiders really buried us last week. 16-3 at half and you can't put away the Jags on the road. In your final home game. Where is the motivation? I get they are closing out in LA - another city they played in. But I can't see them caring. Pack the bags. Here, then Denver. Then Vegas. Time to move. On the other hand. Rivers wrapping up his career possibly? Have to like this LAC offense a heck of a lot better than the Raiders. Off what 6, 7 TOs last week. I really want to forget that game since we had the Chargers. But this team will bounce back from that horrible game. Can't say the same about Oakland. 10* Money Bomb LA CHARGERS

Taking DALLAS. I just can't get over this line move. The look ahead was Dallas -4. Opening number last week -3. Now, +2 for the Cowboys. I get it. Garrett is a dead man walking. They don't need this game as long as they beat Washington and Philly they are in the playoffs, with, Home Field! But nothing is a given in life. Especially when Jason Garrett is your QB. Also, having your kicker miss 10 FGs isn't helpful either. Now. If you, with extra rest, Playoff Revenge, and quite frankly, some damn pride, can't get off the carpet at home and show your fans something this afternoon. Then this 3 game slide will be 6 because you won't beat Philly next week or the Redskins. Rams needs this more, understood. They also needed a win at Pittsburgh. They eked out a win over the Bears. Got mauled by the Raven. Beat a bad Arizona team. Last week, really got on Seattle good. San Fran on deck, then Cards to end the year. Everything pretty much screams LA Rams. We will go opposite and happily cash our tickets. 10* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the RAIDERS. Holy Cow are the Jags a dead team walking. Totally underestimated how done this team is last week when I unloaded on them. Raiders off a loss. But, no RB. He should be back and I think Oakland can challenge this total themselves. That is how far I think Jax is done right now. Zero interest in flying cross country 2 weeks before Christmas. 8* Sure Shot OAKLAND RAIDERS

Taking the BEARS. Line on the move as it was a 6.5 and I see some 4.5 - Mitchell looking pretty good the last 2 Thursdays behind center tossing some TDs. Maybe this Bears offense has finally found itself. I was hesitant after Thanksgiving. But 2 in a row, I'll take a stab getting some points. Chicago defense will travel and has been above average most of the time. Packers defense worries me a bit. Something not right with the offense with what I have seen the last 5 weeks. Maybe Bears making a late wild-card run here. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BEARS 

Taking the RAMS. Wilson and Seattle crushed my dreams last week on Minny. My Vikings NFC North ticket dangling in the wind. So yea, I will grab LAR here. I know I have kicked their teeth in at times this year saying they aren't a great team. From Super Bowl to possibly not making the playoffs. But man oh man, it seems like Seattle is playing with fire every game. Forget fire. TNT. I dunno, something worse. No Theilen or however you spell his name at WR. Cook goes out. That is a game changer. They eked out a win at home over LAR when Greg the Leg missed a game winning FG. Good for us as we had Seattle ML. But as I said - Seattle playing a little to close to the edge. OT to beat Tampa, Lost to Baltimore. Lost to Bridgewater Saints. Nearly lost to Bengals. 2pt win on the road at Pitt when Big Ben got hurt. OT win on the road at SF. 27-10 was their easiest win at Arizona. Heck 17-9 at Philly was painful to watch. I just can't see them catching every break all season long. 5* Best Bet LA RAMS 

Taking the JAGS. Who the heck are the Chargers to be laying again on the road. It was 14-0 Denver before you settled in last week. (we had Broncos) Going to sprinkle in some ML here. Rivers looks done. Lynn should be fired before Garrett. LAC finds interesting ways to lose games on a weekly basis. Seems like every game is decided by one score. Give me a the home dogs with a QB with something to prove. 10* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS