4* Total Money OVER Lions/ Cowboys

Taking the NINERS here. I liked them when I thought Baltimore was going to lose on the road last week at Jacksonville. So I love them coming in off a win. Look. I have said for the last month I think these 2 teams are meeting in the Super Bowl. Only thing going to stop that would be Buffalo really going on a run, which, might still happen. But here on Christmas, I think it is San Fran in beat down fashion. Niners defense is superior. Lamar will be running for his life. Grab some Over Rushing Props on the guy. I don't the Ravens defense can slow this bunch down. I think San Fran is a TD better than any team in the league right now. Sure - bring up a 3 game slide when they were missing their 2 best offensive pieces. When this team has their RB + WR lined up, watch out. It is surgical. San Fran by double digits to close out your Christmas Day. 10* Money Bomb SAN FRANCISCO 

Taking SAN JOSE STATE. 6 straight wins for the Spartans. QB from Hawaii. Have been here, not a crazy trip to the islands. Coastal coming from something like 5 thousand miles away. QB says he wants to hit the portal. Will he play or not? Who the heck knows. Kid on UTSA decides an hour before kick to not play. Ridiculous. No matter though. Spartans to me the more motivated bunch with something to prove to get their coach his first bowl win here. 10* Money Bomb SAN JOSE STATE

 Going UNDER the total here. Boise will be starter a true freshman QB in this one. Granted, the UCLA DC left for USC. Bruins also lose some decent defensive pieces here as well. Something like 13 sacks and 6 INTs. I do like Boise and the point here even with their 3rd stringer going. UCLA also lacking punch on offense as they will be starting a new QB as well. But his QB coach just took off. I think this one is an ugly one. But I can't see this one getting to 50 points. 8* Sure Shot Total Money UNDER Boise/ UCLA

Taking the JETS. Sean Payton said Nathanial Hackett was basically a big ole pile of doo doo. You don't think these guys want to crush Denver for their coach. He was here last year. Basically knows this trash squad in an out. Not that New York can drop a 70 piece, but I expect a big J-E-T-S WIN. 8* Sure Shot NEW YORK JETS

Going UNDER the total. Two teams I will look to keep fading offenses with. Burrow didn't look all that great on Monday night. Now, a short week. Still hobbled. Tennessee. What is there to say? You draft Willis - You draft Levis. You still trot out the old guy. Guess you get some AARP discount or something for this QB-RB-WR combo of veterans. Both teams had the same 27-24 games in Week 2. But the other 4 games. Slop fests. I love that the Titans are 1-9 their last 10, so of course that peeks my interest. But, first team to 20 wins. 4* Total Money UNDER Bengals/ Titans 

Taking GREEN BAY. We didn't pull the trigger on Minny last week for whatever reason. Guess it got lost in the 10-3 Week 1. We did cash the Bears though. And now GB will do what it does. Demolish Chicago. Getting points at home from basically a rookie QB is one thing. Getting them from a HOFer. A totally different story. Packers left for dead after Game 1. We saw this last year. And honestly - you think Fields is outplaying Aaron Rodgers. They can wheel out James Loften and Antonio Freeman for Rodgers to throw to. The guy will make plays tonight. Bears still a long way to go to be a competitive team. This game has 34-13 written all over it. 5* Best Bet GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking the RAMS. Have to say. And I have said this the last 2 weeks as I go against the Niners. I like this team. We had win total and division tickets on San Fran. I say all the time this team is hamstrung by injuries. I think people forget they had a lead in the Super Bowl vs the Chiefs. I cannot knock them at all. Huge comeback in Week 17 got them into the playoffs. And yeah, we can say - 4 straight road games. Well 2 are in LA vs a team that has zero home field and fans for SF will be here cheering them on. Maybe I look to the Under again as we have had the last 2 SF playoff games. And let us look at those. One. Dallas. I'm a Cowboys fan. But the coaching is terrible and, well, Niners did hold on for the win. But don't forget that Jimmy G did throw a late INT in that one and it nearly cost them. Then in GB. Packers score on the first drive and then take the rest of the game off! A blocked FG to end the half that would have been 10-3 GB. A blocked Punt returned for a TD at 10-3 (13-3) for a 10-10. I mean, 10 guys on the field for the Packers on the final GW FG attempt. What a cluster of errors. And to be great, you need to catch some breaks. And SF has caught them all so far. Gucci Garoppolo 11-19 131 yards 1 INT vs GB. 16-25 172 yards 1 INT vs Dallas. He had 2 INTs in the season finale comeback vs the Rams. Stafford out-Brady-ed Brady in Tampa. I think people will see the Rams collapse in Week 18 vs SF and the near collapse vs TB and think they are ripe for the fall. We have 2 very good SB HCs going at it here. The smallest of smallest edge to the home team. I think Stats Padford. Matt Statsford Pads Statford, I mean Matt Stafford makes the plays over Jimmy G. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS 

Taking the CHIEFS. Playoff revenge tour in full swing. Can we really get anything better in these Championship Games than what we have seen so far in these playoffs? Totally unbelievable games. So KC dispatched Bills who upset them at home. Now on tap are the Bengals who rallied back from 21-7 and 28-14 down to win 34-31 on a last second FG. Now. I thought the Titans would take care of Cincy last week. And again. Not knocking Cincy. But even when we backed them vs the Raiders, we really need an INT on the 1 to preserve a W. That game shouldn't have been close but Cincy couldn't finish. Then vs the Titans they get 3 INTs from Tannehill, a bumbling mess. I will tell you this, 4 FGs will not cut it against the Chiefs. Too much experience, and winning, playoff experience for KC here. Burrow is great. But Mahomes and Company have been in this spot for now 4 straight years. I'm laying it. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS 

Taking GREEN BAY. Niners get past Dallas who continue to find new ways to lose. This would have been nice to see the old HC come back to face the Pack. And the Rodgers come out and throw 6 TD passes. But, we still get Rodgers throwing 4 TD passes here. I do like SF. You know this. We had a future win ticket and NFC West ticket on them. Should have had them ML last week as I thought the line should have been 4.5-5.5. Dumb move by me. But still a nice weekend of Wild Card action going 3-1 heading into Monday and us backing the Rams. Here though. I just think GB has a QB who won't make stupid mistakes. He won't let his HC make mistakes. Guy is MVP and HOFer. Also has a great WR. Solid RBs. The defense is underrated. 8* Sure Shot GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking the TITANS. So we scored the win last week. Cincy as a Premium hold on and we also cash our Mid Day Money pick on the Under. But you know what I saw all the time. That 3.5 - man. Everyone will run to grab Burrow and that extra hook. Not so fast my friend. Titans by 10! Love the extra rest. We should be getting some guys back. Road playoff game for the youngsters from Cincy. Not happening Bengals fans. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the BENGALS. Look. We had the Raiders last week. But honestly, I thought they would go down to the Colts the week before. Line has come down a full point. And here I thought it would be Cincy -7. I still think Bengals win this by 10+. A nice 4 game win streak for LV. Upset Colts on road, OT win vs Vegas. But we saw b2b clunker offenses vs Broncos and Browns with backup QBs leading the charge for the other teams. Cincy game to Vegas and won 32-13 back in November. I have been surprised by Cincy this year. Not on the wins. They are talented. I am just not a lover of their coach. That being said- I will take Burrow and friend in the cold over Carr and company. 8* Sure Shot CINCINNATI BENGALS

Taking the RAIDERS. Yes, the Raiders are basically assured of a playoff spot. But I can't see them losing here at home. Who thought they would be here after the season they just went through. But there they are. And the fact they can knock out a division rival of their shot at the playoffs -man, sign me up for Vegas. Plus, we get a little revenge angle at home. 28-14 last time these two met up with LAC up 21-0 at the half. Geez. You would think that Gus Bradley who was the season before with the Chargers would be able to game plan vs his old squad. I think he has the troops ready. I thin this is an outright win. Also like the OVER in this one. 8* Sure Shot LAS VEGAS RAIDERS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. Revenge game for the best coach in the league and a reeling Miami team. What more do we need. This line has already moved several points. I would lay 10 here. New England will eat the Dolphins like the stuff that gets scooped up in the tuna nets. Miami win streak bit the dust last week when they actually played a decent team. Add in that NE can win the AFC East with a win and Bills loss - no way they don't come out and play hard here the entire game. Might actually be looking at the UNDER in this game also. Scoreboard watch - if Bills get out to big early lead, wouldn't be shocked if Patriots goes run heavy with backups. 5* Best Bet NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking the NINERS. I am not a believer of this Rams team. They needed a big comeback last week. San Fran like a cornered Wolverine looking for a big win. Stafford has been brutal lately with 7 turnovers the last 3 games. Pads Statsford or Stats Padford, whatever you want to call him. He hasn't played any meaningful football while in Detroit. Not sure he can handle the pressure. SF with 5 straight wins (4-1 ATS) over LAR. Points are nice, but won't be shocked at an outright win this afternoon. 4* Money Maker SAN FRANCISCO 49ers 

Taking WASHINGTON 56-14 is all people will remember heading into this one. I thought I would be able to get around 6, maybe closer to kick off. We last saw that Sunday night beatdown. We also remember Philly winning by 10 at home putting up 500 yards of offense. Let us not forget the 4 straight WFT wins before that. Before covid hit. Before they ran out a QB off the street last week. Look. For me. This is straight pride play. You give up 56 on national TV in front of your peers. You are facing a team that ran over 2 weeks ago. If you are any kind of man, you are ready to go into the stands and tackle Eagles family members. Philly hasn't beaten a team over .500 all year. These guys lost 13-7 to the Giants at the Meadowlands. Then beat the Jets with a rookie QB in Wilson, Garrett Gilbert off the street for WFT and then Mike Glennon and Jake Fromm last week. Get out of here. Heinicke isn't some savior, but he is better than those guys. Won't be shocked if Washington wins outright. 5* Best Bet WFT 

Taking NOTRE DAME. No coach. No problem. This team loves the new guy in charge. No lack of motivation. These guys are excited. Plus, they get a shot a big name program like Oklahoma. Who lost their HC and bring back an old HC to coach the bowl game. Why do I think some guys will be opting out for Oklahoma here? Give me the Irish in an absolute blowout. 5*  Best Bet NOTRE DAME

Taking MICHIGAN here. This is it for Harbaugh. Time to deliver. You have the same NFL talent as Georgia does. Bulldogs defense very good. But, we have seen them vs Alabama and NFL talent. They can give up points. Wolverines can move the ball. We are also on this OVER. For me, this is really about Harbaugh getting over the hump and delivering. The guy can recruit. He finally got the big win he needed. Huge pressure lifted. I think these guys win outright tonight. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN WOLVERINES 

Taking TENNESSEE. This team really surprised me this season. Was not expecting such a quick turnaround. But here we are. And playing basically a home game. Huge edge here for Vols. Line moved accordingly. Look Perdue was 8-4.  Beat Michigan State, Iowa on the road. Lost 27-13 to ND. The team plays defense. Vols offense will put that to the test. This team can move the ball and put points on the board, just about 39ppg. Boilermakers best defense player opted out of the bowl. Their best WR also is sitting out as both get draft ready. Not sure Purdue has enough bullets to go shot for shot here. 8* Sure Shot TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS 

Taking GREEN BAY. I hate saying something is easy. But there was zero chance I was going to take the Browns here. And you know I am big Cleveland backer. But this is an extremely short week. Add in the Covid tests. Who knows what we get here from them. On the other side. Man. What a brutal loss with GB -2 last week. Are you kidding me? At least off that game I know here at home, the defense will want to atone for that disaster. We also have the MVP behind center. Not sure what the Browns have left in the tank at this point of the season. Much higher hopes coming into this season after last year. Now sitting at .500, I don't know if they have the heart to win this thing. Make no mistake. Browns win this one outright or they get run out of the Lambeau by 20. I think we see the latter. 5* Best Bet GREEN BAY PACKERS

Taking SAN FRAN tonight. I am just not sold on this Titans team. First. They are in off a tough loss to the Steelers. Tough, more like Brutal. Up 13-0, can't score in the 2nd half. Miss a 4th down by a full yard. That is 3 losses in the last 4 weeks. Lone win. Jacksonville. A game they won 20-0. And we move on to point number 2. The offense. We can start with no points in the 2nd half vs Pitt. But lets go to Jags and 20 points. You get 4 INTs and can only put up 20? That isn't shocking. They put up 13 in back to back losses to the Patriots and Texans. Funny, we have or have faded the Titans the last 5 weeks and are a perfect 5-0. I think I can read this bunch. The offense is anemic without Henry. Enter SF. This team is playing well. 30 or more points in 4 of their last 6 games. 5-1 in those games. 5-1 ATS in those games. Finally the HC. Clear edge for us on the sidelines right now. Zero adjusts coming from Tennessee. That 4 week slide in September/October seems a lifetime ago for the Niners. SF by double digits tonight. They take care of business tonight, 10 days to get ready for Houston at home. That might be the fade spot with the Rams in LA to close out the regular season. Tonight though. The focus is on winning, and they do that by 10. 5* Best Bet SAN FRANCISCO 49ers

Taking OLD DOMINION. 5 straight wins for the Monarchs. Honestly, in December, normally I am looking at OD hoops, not the football team. But they are worth the bet today. Tulsa comes in winning 3 straight, but, too many points here. OD started 1-6 - let's not forget, these guys didn't even suit up last year during Covid. Maybe it took some time to get their act together. Too many points to lay with Golden Hurricane. 5* Best Bet OLD DOMINION 

Taking GREEN BAY. We had these guys last Sunday night and needed a big 2nd half. Totally flat out of the gate and their bye week. But they are still fighting Tampa and Arizona for home field. I can't see them mailing a game in here. I know Rodgers has a toe thing. The guy is a gamer. He isn't sitting out. The run game is solid. Ravens a total desperate team right now. QB situation sketchy. Still banged up all over the place. We had the Browns last week who blew a 24-6 halftime lead. This isn't Baker and we will screen and run the ball offense. GB will air it out. And then run their RBs at you. Now sure Baltimore can handle a balanced attack right now. Packers by at least a TD this afternoon. 4* Money Maker GREEN  BAY PACKERS 

Taking the CHARGERS. Again. Locked in before a whirlwind week began. NYG with QB questions. Chargers with their own issues. We do have a decent number as of now. I was liking this based on Miami to Cali and Freddy Kitchens calling OC plays. We do have the more talented team. The QB edge gets to the moon if we get Fromm behind center. G-Men putting up just about 11ppg their last 3 games. Chargers offense has put up 41 in 2 of the last 3 weeks so should be able to cover this. We also grabbed the UNDER 44.5 here. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS 

Taking KANSAS CITY. Uh. Will the Chiefs get down to business and start covering big numbers? That is the question. For me. Andy Reid out of a bye week. Guy is great off rest. 27-6 SU 21-12 ATS. KC with Mahomes, Kelce and Hill should be able to put up 30 tonight. This Denver defense is patchwork. Looks ok vs teams that do not have stars. And honestly - is Teddy B going to keep pace here? And maybe you think, ugly game. It will be close. He doesn't have to keep up. I dunno. KC on a 11-0 SU run vs these guys. How about 9-2 ATS under Reid vs the Broncos. And as bad as the Chiefs defense was to start the season, they are allowing about 12ppg the last month. A bye week win over a slumping Chargers team. Coming in to KC on a Sunday night vs a team off their bye week. I think KC wins by 20. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS 

Taking the BENGALS. I understand not wanting to bet Cincy off of them beating the Steelers again. But this is new Cincy. It think Mixon has a big game here. I think we have the QB and offensive edge here. We have the defensive edge. Chargers give up points. 28-37-27-24-27-34-42. Cincy has rolled out 41-31 the last 2 weeks. Then before that egg vs Cleveland, 31-41-34. Chargers in another road game. After getting beat down in Denver. They pulled out a game out of their butts vs Pitt that should never have been close. They edged Philly 27-24. Before that 2 straight losses. This team could have lost 6 in a row or won 6 in a row. Give me the new look Bengals. 5* Best Bet CINCINNATI BENGALS 

Taking MICHIGAN. We had these guys a few times during the season. Didn't have them vs OSU. Had -6 on Buckeyes early. Guess I was still fuming over Wolverines blowing double digit lead to Sparty on the road. Let's be honest here. Michigan is way more talented than Iowa. The monkey is off the back. Time to bring Michigan back to the National Championship level. Took a long time for Harbaugh, but he is here now. No let down. They should win this one by 20. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN WOLVERINES 

Taking GEORGIA. Nothing has changed since August. We liked Georgia then. Still like them now. The defense is super. That will be the difference maker here. We can get into Nick vs his old assistants. We can talk until we are blue in the face about the greatness of Alabama. Nothing has changed my thoughts about Georgia this season. 5* Best Bet GEORGIA BULLDOGS 

Taking the COWBOYS here. Also on the UNDER 47.5. Pair of reeling teams. Both in off Thanksgiving home losses. Saints having dropped 4 straight. A total no-show vs Buffalo. We had Bills and Under there. But also lost with Dallas and the Under. This is an important game for them. Who cares the coach isn't there. I can't stand that guy anyway. First of 3 straight road games. They need to get back on track. Washington on deck then the Giants. We have seen Dallas wilt under the pressure before. I just can't see it with this offense. The defense is decent enough that it should hold Hill in check. Saints are a mess. If the Cowboys don't win by 10 I would be shocked and will be looking for Washington or Eagles NFC East division champ tickets. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking GREEN BAY here. We had Minny last week with this game circled. Angry GB at home. We get the Rams outside in November. What is there not to like? Stafford, a guy the Packers have seen for years. They know every weak spot of his game. If Green Bay doesn't win  by 2 touchdowns here, then Love had to come in to QB this game for the home team. 8* Sure Shot GREEN BAY PACKERS

Taking the PATRIOTS. This line will be a TD by game day. Hats off the best coach ever. We did say to grab NE to win the AFC North back in August. This is not that shocking that the Patriots are playing well. The defense is solid. The QB has been solid. We know we always have an edge on the sidelines. We said to fade the Titans last week. Winner. This team had been winning with smoke and mirrors and honestly, that run was ready to end. Some tough reality now hitting the road. I think Patriots win this one by 10+.  5* Best Bet NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

Taking the HOUSTON TEXANS 

Taking NOTRE DAME. Big number, but I think the Irish win this by 3+ TDs. Do we think Stanford is just going to start slowing down people. 41 to Cal last game. 35 to Oregon State before that. 52 to Utah. You think they roll out another Oregon miracle OT winner? So the defense has been sound the last 3 games. How about this offensive output. 11 vs Cal - 14 Oregon State - 7  Utah. Notre Dame thinks it is the 4th team in the Playoffs. 50 points on the board tonight. 10* Money Bomb NOTRE DAME

Taking OHIO STATE. So this is a great number because it will sail over the 7 shortly. Every will talk about bad Harbaugh vs good teams. I get it. And if it gets to 8.5 or higher, maybe I go for the  middle. We had Michigan last week because as I said then, can't look ahead to a team that has owned you and for it to mean anything you need to beat the team in front of you. We know the past numbers between these too. I think OSU defense a bit better. We saw the Wolverines choke it away against Michigan State. (We had Michigan there also). We don't think they can do something stupid and turn a 5 point game into 14? Honestly, I think OSU wins by 10+. Yes the Buckeyes might have the pressure on them with the whole playoff thing or whatever. But the real pressure - the pressure everyone is feeling is resting on Michigan's shoulders. Harbaugh 3-9 against Ohio State and Michigan State, and 2-13 vs. AP Top 10 teams. If you think the players don't read papers or the internet, come on now.  5* Best Bet OHIO STATE

Taking ARKANSAS. Besides the fact I think Missouri is terrible, what we have is their former HC sitting as DC of the Razorbacks. Oh you know he is going to want this one. And the players will respond. This is tough group. The new regime really has brought in the change. Have to like what you are hearing after their loss to Bama. No shame battling them. This is a get right game at home. The fans will be pumped. 3-7 last year. Win #8 here. First bowl bid since 2016. The blowout is on. 8* Sure Shot ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS 

Taking the COWBOYS. Not that we love laying points at home with Dallas, but, they had been taking care of ATS business in Jerry's World with the exception of that Denver game. Now they are off an ugly Kansas City game. So. Amari banged up. Lamb too. Maybe Zeke. You know what. It won't matter. Because this Raiders team is in a free fall. 3 straight losses. Not even close the last 2. Oh. They are going to turn it on for Thanksgiving. I don't think so. I wasn't high on these guys to start the year. No way I can back them even at a TD price. Lots of problems on and off the field. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the COWBOYS. I know KC finally showed up after what seems like an eternity of not covering game. 15-3 ATS NO Covers for KC last 18. How about an 0-9 ATS run at home. Yeah. A short number. But how many people will be saying - Oh, Mahomes and KC just have to win by a FG. Easy Money. Dallas Outright for me - Short week in Vegas. Back in first place in the AFC West. Have to take any points with Dallas. Their offense is just as good or better than Kansas City. Now. Coaching another story. Dallas with a Big D as in Dummy on the sidelines. Cowboys had it going last week, and that was with a big road trip to Arrowhead on deck. This is a big measuring stick for Dallas and Dak. I like the small dogs to win this one. 5*  Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the BEARS and going ML. You can grab the points. I am going for the big pay day. And why not. Baltimore 1-6 ATS as faves - straight up losses as faves to the Raiders, Bengals and Miami. How about the Lions game with a 700 yard FG! Easy money Ravens backers. Oh. Overtime for wins over the Colts and Vikings. I know Chicago and Fields is a tough backing. But, off a bye week, I think this will be their best game of the season. Plus. Anyone remember last time we saw the Bears on MNF getting hosed by the refs. Maybe we get a little repayment with a call or two. 8* Sure Shot CHICAGO BEARS 

Taking WISCONSIN. Who remembers the Badgers 1-3 start? PSU, Notre Dame and Michigan knocked Wiscy around early. But they have reeled off 6 straight with a super defense. Now. Army, Purdue, Iowa, Rutgers, Northwestern. I get it. Not like those aforementioned programs. But Nebraska is somewhere in the middle, if not closer to these bottom teams. I think they are in for a rough day. 4 straight losses. 6 of 7 in the L column. And these are some tough losses. 26-17 vs Ohio State. 28-23 Purdue. 30-23 Minny. 32-29 Michigan. Heck, That 23-20 OT at Michigan State. 23-16 Oklahoma. These guys are battlers for sure. So Cornhuskers in off bye week. Great! Extra prep time. No! Scott Frost gets a contract extension, and oh by the way- Say Good-Bye to the offensive coordinator and wide receivers coach, offensive line coach and running game coordinator, the quarterbacks coach and running backs and recruiting coordinator last week! What the heck!. Last home game for Badgers. Wiscy by double digits. 5* Best Bet WISCONSIN BADGERS 

Taking the COWBOYS. Had these guys last week, and we faded Atlanta in what was a miserable day. Today though, Dallas gets straight. Atlanta gave up 25 points to Trevor Simien and the Saints. 28 to Tua and Miami and 48 to Brady all on the road. Do we forget that Hurts and Philly put up 32 on these guys. Dallas better all over the field. After that loss, payback time. They cost themselves with some failed 4th down tries. A weird punt block. If Dallas doesn't get to 40 I will be shocked. And I don't think Atlanta scores 30+. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking TEXAS A&M. Aggies starting with that Alabama win look like a different team right now. They look like the Top 5 team people thought they should be to start the season. Ole Miss and all the love for the coach and the QB. Eh. They are pretty banged up. 27 vs Liberty last week. Maybe they were looking ahead to this game. Aggies though with 3-14-14 allowed their last 3. We saw Mississippi vs Alabama. This team is right up there talent wise. Jimbo 11-3 ATS as road record at A&M also a tough trend not to back. 8* Sure Shot TEXAS A&M 

Taking TENNESSEE. Vols will come out throwing like they always do. This is the best offense that the Bulldogs will see. We have been multiple times this season and have cashed several tickets. This is not one of them. Way too big a number with what the Vols can do offensively. Back-door wide open. But honestly, I won't be shocked if this is closer to a 7-10pt game with a small chance of an outright upset. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS 

Taking PENN STATE. I like Michigan. Think they are a solid club. And, how about a 2-22 SU run for the Wolverines vs ranked teams. Yikes. I  had Michigan vs Michigan State. They couldn't hold a double digit lead. I know that PSU will bring the defense. (Wolverine defense not too shabby either) They have been in some tough games. That Illinois game was nuts. Michigan at home. Crowd will be insane. Think the defense will force McNamara into a mistake or too. Big spot for a young QB. Clifford a bit more big game experience - could be the difference maker. 5* Best Bet PENN STATE 

Taking the SAINTS. Matt Ryan an underdog to, checks notes, Trevor Siemian! A win over Brady will do that to you. But it is more than that. One. It starts with the defense. New Orleans will bring a defense to the field today. They will rally around the backup here. We have Kamara in the backfield to ease the burden, no worries in my mind. Atlanta. Ridley out. Defense still bad. I had both of these guys last week with mixed results. Carolina with the ugly 19-13 win. Falcons look lost on both sides of the ball for sure. Before that FG fest, they were in a wild game in Miami. They let the Jets score 20 on them. Safe to say backups and average QBs can move the ball and put up some points. How about that offense? What is going on with Matt Ryan. 13 points - 17 points at Giants - 6 vs Philly. Ok, want to be happy with the 30 in Miami and 25 at Tampa. We know Tampa D is suspect. 30 vs Washington. Again, home vs a bad defense. Saints defense will make plays when needed. Chalk up a 10 point win here. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

5* Best Bet BAYLOR 

Taking EAST CAROLINA. Yes. Big number to lay with ECU. But the Pirates a pretty decent team. Yes. 2 losses in last 3 games. Lost in OT to Houston on the road. Lost 20-16 on the road to UCF. Losing 20-17 at South Carolina not a bad loss either. Temple though for me, a straight fade team. They have scored 24 points their last 3 games. 49-7 loser to UCF. 34-14 loser at USF. 52-3 loser at Cincy. Somehow they beat Memphis. Akron and Wagner as their other wins? They were 1-6 last year! As I mentioned. Loss to Cincy by 49 - Loss to Central Florida by 42 - Loss to South Florida by 20 - Loss to Rutgers by 47 - Loss to Boston College by 25. If ECU doesn't win this by 20 just on default, I will be shocked. 8* Sure Shot EAST CAROLINA 

Taking the COWBOYS. At a pk, worth the grab here on Dallas. The offense is really clicking. A bye week to get a little healthier. I do like Minny. I like Zimmer. You will how Cousins can't win Prime Time games. I don't worry about that. I think as much I like Zim, and he is a defensive guy, this Dallas offense is just too much for most teams. Cowboys defense does it what it needs to do to win games. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the BILLS. Buffalo with an extra week to think about that Titans loss. (winner for us on Tennessee!) Dolphins absolutely reeling. A gift win to start the year in New England. 6 straight losses since. 4th different stadium for Miami in 4 weeks and 8 straight games of football. Team is hot mess. Bills won 35-0 in Miami and they didn't break a sweat in the humidity. I have Buffalo putting up 40 here. Can't see the Dolphins staying close. 5* Best Bet BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking FRESNO STATE. One of those spots. San Diego, a 'ranked' team. Everyone on these guys as short home faves. But we have the better offense. I think the Aztecs defense is not as good as their rankings. SDST is undefeated. But unless Cincy slips up, these guys aren't going anywhere. And honestly those hopes end tonight. They have lost a couple of the stat battles in their games. And yes, a good team will make up for that. But not half the time. You are getting a little too lucky. This line tells you all you need to know about what people think about the Bulldogs. Balanced Fresno gets it done. 5* Best Bet FRESNO STATE 

Taking OHIO STATE. So we rolled out OSU last week and will come right back on them today. We saw a terrible Penn State team. And you say, well, they were looking ahead. Yeah. That would be fine on a 20-6 win. A 20-18 9 OT loser. No. You were outplayed. You didn't play well. And you will be totally flat coming here. Oh. You will be pumped to knock off OSU. Well the Buckeyes already took that loss from Oregon at home. They won't be looking past the Lions here. And frankly, they can't PSU losing drops them in the polls. Losing to Illinois will only mean Ohio State needs to win by 30+ instead of 20. 8* Sure Shot OHIO STATE 

Taking MICHIGAN here. So I do like my Spartans. But this is too a short a line. Maybe it is a 'too easy' game. Michigan State sitting off their bye week, but Michigan took care of Northwestern in simple fashion. Wolverines come in with revenge for last years 27-24 win, as 21.5 point underdogs! Year before, Michigan 44-10 as 13.5 faves. I'll toss out some older numbers. Michigan -7.5, Michigan -13, Michigan -24.5 in 2016. Now we are seeing this kind of number? I think the Spartans have improved, but I am not buying this is a top 10 team. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN WOLVERINES 

Taking RUTGERS. So yes, this is my Top 10*. But just because we put a nice name on it, doesn't mean we go crazy betting it. Put an extra unit or two on it. But we really love the Scarlet Knights in this spot. And why wouldn't we. Off their bye week. Illinois off their biggest win in ages over Penn State. 20 something point dog. 9 Over Times. Rutgers by double digits! 10* Money Bomb RUTGERS 

Taking ARIZONA. So we had both of these guys on Sunday. But this spot, it is all home team. GB is a traveling machine right now. Arizona tonight. At KC next week. WFT was sandwich between trips to Cincy and Chicago. Cardinals have made believers out of me. Total domination of the Rams and Browns. Rams, a team that had owned them. And the Browns, without bring their HC and others, not even close. Until someone gets within 5-10 of these guys, the offense will score 30+ and the defense will keep opponents under 20. 5* Best Bet ARIZONA CARDINALS

Taking the RAMS FH -8.5 here. Should have grabbed them at 13 when the line first opened, waited like a dummy and it is now 16. But 1st half. Let's get it. Lions shut out in 3 of their last 4 games in the first half. Add in the QB switch - the Rams HC despising his old QB. I think we have a blowout brewing. 5* Best Bet LA RAMS First Half 

Taking OHIO STATE. Don't get all wrapped up the Hoosiers going 8-2 ATS last 10 in this series. OSU huge edge today. Off their bye week. Indiana off a 20-15 loss vs Michigan State. On the heels of getting shut out 24-0 at Penn State. This offense is sputtering. Take out the Idaho 56pt game and this team is putting up a little more than 15ppg. Everyone loves Pennix. Guy is always banged up. This team is reeling. OSU looking to come out huge here. In their only loss, the offense put up over 600 yards. We know that OSU will close in on 50. Are you counting on this Hoosiers team to get the mid 20s? 5* Best Bet OHIO STATE 

Taking IOWA STATE. Holy cow. We have a perfect storm here in my eyes. Unranked Cyclones favored by a TD over an Undefeated team ranked in the Top 10! Added bonus - Said team is off monster road win over Texas Longhorns. Only thing that would be the proverbial icing on the cake if it was a win over Oklahoma. But all the ingredients are in this home cake to rise to the occasion. 8* Sure Shot IOWA STATE 

Taking the COWBOYS. I like the Texans last week. I thought they would win outright over the Patriots. This NE team still struggling to score. Maybe at home they dial up the defense to slow down the Dallas offense. I don't see it. I think the Cowboys can overpower almost any team in the league. The defense is a solid, bend don't break unit. Not high on Mac Jones. HC edge for NE as always. But if you don't have the horses to run, tough to win the race. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the BROWNS. A pair of losses for them in a pair of shoot-outs. But Arizona showing some dings in the armor. Cashed them last week as a Top 10, but it wasn't easy. Browns cost us a play last week. Tough one losing when you put up 42 and have no turnovers and can't close a game out. I think Browns getting home, run it down the Cardinals throats. The run game of Chubb and Hunt is unbelievable. Defense will regroup after last week. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking GREEN BAY. Stop with the Bears talk already. You beat a reeling Raiders team. Bears last in NFL in total offense and passing yards. Your QB threw for 111 yards last week. Fields is completing 51% of his passes. 1 TD (2 yarder) and 2 INTs on the year. The team threw for 1 yard against Cleveland. I will say I will agree, the Packers defense isn't the Browns defense. This team is not a good team. Passing yards for Bears game with Fields and Dandy Andy. 109- 185-1 -83 - 188..  In today's NFL, you are leaning on this passing game? Hope the QB gets 2 TDs and play the field position game vs Aaron Rodgers? Rodgers will laugh at his HC when it is 4th and 2 on the Bears 36 and will have the offense out there looking to score TDs after last week's game. Again. You are betting on Fields over Rodgers. You aren't getting 17 like the Texans were getting. You aren't getting 10. You aren't even getting half of that. Last year. 35-16 GB, 41-25. Even if middle the Bears points and you think they score 20 - You really think GB isn't getting 25? This game is 34-13 all day and the Packers win this by double digits 99 out of 100 times. 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking ALABAMA. I don't think Mississippi State gets within 3 TDs here. First off. Last week, Crimson Tide was 18.5 favorite over A&M. Miss State was a 7 pt dog on the same field. So Alabama is a 25.5 favorite over the Bulldogs on a neutral. You want to think - home team off a bye week. Bama will be sad and not show up after a loss. Ok. You can go that way. All I know is that the Tide came all the back from being down 24-10 to take a 38-31 lead. They started slow, were a little sloppy with the ball. 41-0 last year. Oh. Revenge game for Mike Leach. Come on. Bama talent still light years ahead of the Bulldogs. Plus. Zero run game. A one dimensional team for the cover? Not happening. Not off a loss. 10* Money Bomb ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE 

Taking TAMPA. Bucs with a 'easy' win over Miami. When I say easy, I say from a physical stand point of the game. Yes, they had a cushy win, but Eagles in a tough grinder vs the Panthers. And let's really just get to the bottom line here. Last time we saw Brady and Tampa in Prime Time, they looked terrible vs New England in the rain. Short of another driving rain, Tampa wins this one by double digits. 5* Best Bet TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 

Taking the COWBOYS. So we rolled out the Giants in our Tuesday Teaser show on Mid Day Money and again on the Sunday Free Pick show. But that was against a poor New Orleans bunch. You can say what you want about it will be a 'tough' division game. Last year we saw 23-19 and 37-34 games. One game with half of Dak, the other without. Before injuries, Dallas Dak won winning games 37-18 and 35-17. This is that kind of offense. And the defense is a very improved unit from the last couple years. I have said before - when I see 7.5 (or a 3.5), I am jumping on the favorite. It is going to be blowout. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking ARIZONA. I thought that the Rams coaching would force the Cards to lay an egg last week. But LA could not overcome the hangover win over Tampa. Out of the gate fast, Arizona never looked back. Not sure how SF slows this offense down. Or, even keeps up. I don't like Lance. Like I don't like Wilson. You can't just toss rookie QBs out there and expect HOF results. Now, with Jimmy G hurt again. And who knows if he plays or not. This is early week write ups and betting. Even if he goes, he is not 100%. Not close. This team has injuries that are hurting them. Back to Lance as a rookie starting on the road. How did that work out when we faded Fields and the Bears in his first start in Cleveland. Arizona fans will be nuts today. Cards get to 40 here. 10* Money Bomb ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Going OVER the total here. Last year 41-21 Iowa. 17-12 PSU in 2019. 30-24 PSU in 2018. Different teams, but we do so some scoring - and 40.5. Come on. There needs to be a lot of things breaking right for this to stay under. And that is just the offense not scoring. That isn't the defense forcing short fields or even scoring. Iowa defense brings it, we know this. For the team to win this one though, they will need to cross that football into the end-zone. Yes. Both defenses are very good at forcing TOs. I just don't see how this game doesn't play out 24-20, 27-24 or something in that range. 10* Money Bomb OVER Penn State/ Iowa 

Taking GEORGIA here. So the Bulldogs in off a pair of shutouts over SEC teams winning a combined 99-0 over Arkansas and Vanderbilt. We are to think that Auburn stays within 20? You betting on Bo Nix being the guy to solve the Georgia defense? They are in off a great win at LSU. An early than a late 4th QB TD to turn 19-17 into 24-19. Very nice. But Georgia is head and shoulders past LSU right now. So coming in off that high, I think when the Bulldogs punch you in the mouth and all of a sudden it is 17-0 in the first quarter, War Eagle will be like, someone, anyone, help. 0 TD rushes allowed. 1 passing TD and 7 INTs for the defense. Until I see a team score off Georgia, I will lay the number. 5* Best Bet GEORGIA BULLDOGS 

Taking TAMPA BAY. I don't see how this line does not get pumped up. I don't even know what happens vs the Rams, but I think this is a game for Brady to explode on. And that is saying something cause the guy tosses 4 TDs a passes a game like clockwork. I can't see NE keeping it within a touchdown. I know The Hoodie will have some insight on how to slow down Brady. But there are just too many weapons for Tampa. Overall talent wise on both sides of the ball, edge Bucs. This is just a bad spot for Mac Jones. The defense for Tampa will want to stomp this kid out for their QB. Maybe I am being a square on this one. But unless this line moves at least 2 or 3 points, I can't even think of grabbing the Patriots. 10* Money Bomb TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 

Taking the RAMS. Ok. At first glance, we think let-down spot right? Off big win over the Super Bowl Champs. A nice game on both sides of the ball. Maybe Tampa was looking ahead to NE. Maybe their secondary isn't just that great. I think it is a combo of both plus, the Rams are good. Here comes the early MVP favorite in Murray and the Cards. Early start last week. Struggled a bit. Easy to think they come in here, cover or even knock off LA. I don't see it. One. Huge edge coaching for the Rams. Two. LA owns Arizona. 8 straight wins over the Cardinals. 9-10-7-27 the last 4 margins of victory. Maybe people have forgotten the miracle win for Arizona at home over the Vikings. I guess they forget them being behind at the half off a crazy special teams play. Not buying Arizona. The money has come in from 6 to 4.5 on Arizona. Edge for us on the shorter number - though I think this is a double digit winner. 8* Sure Shot LA RAMS 

Taking the TITANS. I have an old buddy named Scoop. He would always say when talking about his mid 90s Steelers. Can't win if you can't score. Gregg Lloyd and Rod Woodson took peoples souls. I say the same about the Jets. This QB looks like a deer in headlights. I thought it was a bad pick in April. I think it is bad now. Maybe he grows and is the QB they think he will be. But for now. I can't see NYJ slowing down the Titans. The offense is just too good. The line is short enough where even if the Jets somehow punch one in late, I don't think the spread will come into play. Henry will maul these guys. Then the WRs will get their shots in. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking MICHIGAN STATE. Lost with these crew last week. But while I was shuffling my feet muttering about Sparty, WKY was cashing an Over for us. I'll be honest, I thought this line should be about 2 Touchdowns. Indiana was -9 on the road, so they would have been 12-14 point faves at home. This line did open at 8 - I don't think MSU is worse than Indiana. Maybe I'm missing something. Anyway - on to WKU off Indiana. It was a dog fight -a 33-31 loss. Big game on tap for them with UTSA on deck. Much more important than trying to get a win here. Get out injury free. You tossed the kitchen sink at the Hoosiers, and Michigan State will be ready. Spartans off a tough OT loss and have a trip to Rutgers on deck. But after a poor game last week, I think this is a big get right spot. 8* Sure Shot MICHIGAN STATE

Taking OKLAHOMA. At first look, you have say to yourself, we are grabbing K-State at this price. They won at Oklahoma last year 38-35. They won in 2019 at home 48-41. This Sooners team was down at West Virginia 13-10 heading into the 4th quarter. Won on a last second FG 16-13. They barely beat Nebraska at home, 23-16. We are going to make it 3 in a row over OU. This line opened 12, and has come down. So - a double revenge spot where OU was favored by 27.5 and 23.5 points. KSt QB Skylar Thompson is at best, very questionable for the game. He won those last 2 games for the Wildcats. His back up is also banged up. So - if Kansas State does suit up a less than healthy Thompson, this is a still a good spot. A 2 TD line move based on past games. And if we get a backup who did nothing last week on offense - we should get a huge revenge blowout with the Sooners winning by 3 TDs. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

Taking the VIKINGS, going ML. This is an absolute 'must win' circle the wagons' whatever you want to call it for Minny. They have let 2 games slip through their fingertips. Pressure is on. Good thing though -Seattle comes to town. A team that has no problems going up and down the field. Hey, we get up 20 points its ok, we will let you come back and tie things up. Cook might not be Henry, but he is a great back. Should open things for the WRs here. Vikings can easily be 2-0. Don't blame the offense. They will put 30+ up on this Seattle unit. We just need a defensive stop. 10* Money Bomb MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the BROWNS. You are kidding me with this line right? I though this line should be 9, maybe 10. Everyone excited about Justin Fields. Ok. Great. Cincy Joe Joe tossed 3 INTs, 1 for a TD. The score was 7-3 heading to the 4th before a flurry of miscues make it a 20-17 final. You have that much faith in the rookie on the road? In the Dawg Pound. Against a defense that just laid an egg? Good Luck. 8* Sure Shot CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the CHIEFS. I believe KC is now on something like an 0-10 ATS run. 1-11-1 ATS if you want to go back a little further. Tough one last week. I had KC -2.5 and still think I had the right side. Chiefs have been playing down and down and down to their opponents. I think Andy Reid doesn't call the dogs off today. He has a super QB. No way he is giving the ball to a RB with the game on the line ever again. They are in off a loss where the defense was absolutely horrible. Now they get Herbert. Kid was the spot starter after Tyrod Taylor was stabbed in the lung! Ok. They don't know much about the kid, close game. Then it was a Week 17 game. Yeah. KC was really invested in that game before the playoffs begin. Now they have a year of tape. They are off a bad game. They have seen the Charger score 20 and 17 points with their new coaching staff. If ever Andy Reid was to 'release the hounds', it is right now. KC should score 40 today. 5* Best Bet KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

Taking MICHIGAN STATE. What a spot here for Sparty? Foget the fact they are already having a nice little season. We cashed them vs Northwestern. We cashed them vs Miami. And we will go big here vs Nebraska. Now. I had Oklahoma last week in what I thought would be an absolute blow-out. Far from it. In fact, it was a tough pill to swallow if you are a Nebraska fan. Missing 2 FGs and a PAT - a 23-16 loss. Yikes. Just a total flat spot. I mean really. You are facing the Sooners, old-school Big 8 Rival when you guys were always Top 5 teams. Now you have to get off the mat and get pumped to play Michigan State. I don't see it. I think their coach is on the way out. I don't think they will be able to contain this MSU run game. I think their own run game is their QB running for his life. Spartans should win this one by at least 2 TDs. 10* Money Bomb MICHIGAN STATE 

Taking CENTRAL MICHIGAN. So they are 1-2 on the year and a MAC team is laying double digits. Both losses in SEC play. In fact, last week they flew to the LSU game on game day! Yes. Not much hotel space after the Hurricane roared through town. 35-7 at the half and you're shocked they got 7. That's a tough schedule spot. But are home now, comfy in our surroundings. FIU comes in for a long road trip. A team off back to back losses - lost at home to Texas State and then went to Texas for Texas Tech to rough them up, 54-21. And unlike CMU, they didn't show up from the airport with their luggage. I like Jim McElwain. Butch Davis has lost that Miami U glow a long time ago. 5* Best Bet CENTRAL MICHIGAN 

Taking NORTHWESTERN. We faded these guys last week in one of my videos but will ride them to a cover and a date at the ticket window. This is a nice get right game for the home team. Ohio is an absolute dumpster fire right now. Coming into the season, these guys were poised to be one of the top teams in the MAC. Well - their long time HC abruptly hangs it up, and talent or not, the new guy can't get out of his own way. The players are just responding and maybe the guy standing next to the other guy wasn't the right choice to run the program. Wildcats were down 30-7 at half and rallied to a 30-23 loss. Turnovers hurt. Now they get a taste a victory vs a team that lost at home to Duquesne 28-26, as 28.5 favorites! Duquesne by the way, after trailing TCU 35-0 at the half, talked the Horned Frogs into playing 12 minute 3rd + 4th quarters. Ohio is a mess. If Northwestern doesn't win this by 20 here at home, they will be getting into the dumpster with the Bobcats. 8* Sure Shot NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS 

Taking the CHIEFS. Had these guys last week. Couldn't get it done. Slow start and we paid for it. Chiefs have owned Baltimore in the past. I don't see this changing much. They are really beat on offense. I won't be shocked at a Raiders win on MNF over the Ravens. I actually took Vegas +140 FH. Again. Ravens on offense, a mess. KC offense, well you see what they can do. I don't think this line gets any lower. Will only go up, especially if Baltimore lays an egg Monday night. I will grab KC early at this price. 5* Best Bet KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. I see 3.5s up to 5. I will lay a little extra money if I have to 120/130. Obviously I think the Patriots are going to win this one by double digits. If I take a favorite, I am thinking blowout. When I take a dog, I think we are winning outright. I had New England last week. Tough loss. 1 of 4 in the red zone. A turnover 2 FGs. That won't cut it. The defense is good. We knew that. And now it gets to face a rookie QB. Did we see the Jets offense last Sunday? I won't be shocked if this game gets to 6 or 7. I think people will be hammering Patriots off a loss. In this spot, I think it is warranted. I would say, if NE was in off beating Miami, maybe I would think of grabbing the home dogs. But everything is week to week in NFL. And this one checks all my boxes for a huge blowout win. 10* Money Bomb NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking NOTRE DAME. I think the Irish win this one by double digits. This line is a joke in my eyes. Do we forget that Notre Dame was up nearly 20 points vs Florida State. That was a tough place to play that night with Bowden stuff going on. A  hungry home dog. They took the punches and won the game. Here at home vs the Boilermakers. This is Purdue. A team I think is one of the bottom 3 teams in the Big 10, I mean Big 14. I understand that everyone is going to be on Purdue here. I see it already. Notre Dame defense bad. Can't stop people. I think this is a big overreaction. Normally I am an Irish fade guy, but something tells me the little green guy gets it done today. 5* Best Bet NOTRE DAME 

Taking the PATRIOTS. Here comes the Mac Attack. I thought Cam would be here, but, so it goes. This team was missing a bunch of guys on defense and still managed to win games. The Patriots will be better. I am not buying into Tua on the road. I get it - Miami HC ex NE guy. Ok. Fine. But this isn't old NE where we are laying huge numbers. This is a FG game. I think NE wins by more. Simple as that. One team out to redeem themselves and prove doubters wrong. Sign me up with the coach with some SB hardware looking to show people he hasn't lost a step. 8* Sure Shot NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking the NINERS. This is probably my favorite game of the week. I am not rushing out my big Top 10* Money Bombs in week one. I know some guys come out with GOWs or GOYs out of the gate, but I will go Best Bet here. Still Week 1. Anything is possible. But San Fran is a good team. I like the defense. Like the coach. The offense is good. We have an entire new regime in Detroit. A QB who this defense knows. A QB with less talent than he had when he faced this defense. If SF doesn't win by 2 touch downs, I'll be shocked. A double digit win should in the making. 5* Best Bet SAN FRANCISCO 49ers 

Taking GEORGIA. I know Clemson doesn't rebuild, it just reloads. But, big shoes to fill at both QB and RB. Georgia is always a talented bunch. Nothing really to say here. I am high on Georgia this year. It starts right here in Game 1. ML +190 should be sprinkled in. Let's go Bulldogs. 5* Best Bet GEORGIA BULLDOGS 

Taking the CHIEFS. We had KC last year in the Super Bowl, will take them again here - on the ML. I really have no problem laying -3 -115, but something tells me the refs will be looking at Brady like he signs their checks. Especially as a home dog. Look. I faded both of these guys in Championship Sunday. That being said, I have no problem taking the favorite today. Brady Brady Brady. That is all anyone is talking about. Oh, will he retire if he wins. Guy is the greatest ever. If you had doubts, this season should all but seal that thinking up. Guy is unbelievable. KC though. I dunno. Reigning champs. They have basically played down to their opponents the last 2 months of the season before beating up on the Bills. I guess they can 'flip the switch' and turn it on when needed. We saw last year in this game there is absolutely zero quit in this team. As well as the TB defense has played, I thought SF had as good or better defense. And we saw how that worked out. I also think we have a HC edge, Andy Reid. Guy finally got credit when he won it all But he has been more than solid his career. Let's not forget how great he is off with extra rest and prep time. Guy is cashing over 80%. No starstruck Mahomes looking at Brady. He has faced him in AFC Championship Game. No intimidation factor. The defenses will get a little chippy here. I won't be shocked at an under. I think the game plays out slow to start before things open up. Special Teams of KC i think is a difference maker.. If you are in the NY/NJ/PA region, I will be at the Fan Cave at Bally's Wild West Atlantic City. Come by for a drink or bite to eat. Grab a shirt and make some money. 5* Best Bet KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

Taking the BILLS. No Mahomes. Or a concussion Mahomes. Don't think it makes a difference. We will buy more Buffalo if we somehow start getting some points here. But as I said last week taking the Bills, this team is good. Underrated defense. A more than solid offense. A quality HC. 5* Best Bet BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking the PACKERS. Maybe this line comes down a bit more. Everyone loving the Brady story. He got his payback over the Saints last week. Now it is time for Rodgers to get his. Bad game in Tampa. I don't see Rodgers throwing 3 INTs this afternoon. Not happening. GB can run the ball. And we know they can pass it. The defense can get after Brady a bit. Not worried about Tom in this weather. But, it is Green Bay late January and Tampa is the road team. Everything went right last week in the New Orleans dome. Rodgers is the MVP this season. He shows it here. 8* Sure Shot GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking NEW ORLEANS. I didn't like Tampa last week, and not liking them here. I don't see the revenge angle here. 34-23 in Week 1. 38-3 Week 9. Brady has had some problems to say the least vs New Orleans. 2 TD in Week 1 2 INTs. 3 INTs 0 TDs in Week 9. The Saints defense is the real deal. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking the BILLS. Everyone on the Ravens. And yes, they have been playing very well. But this Buffalo team is awfully good. The money poured in on Baltimore early, then shot up late here on the Bills Mafia. This defense is good. The offense is as good or better. This QB can run. This isn't one QB making a difference with his legs. Give me Bills by at least a touchdown. 10* Money Bomb BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking the PACKERS. Already on the Under 46.5 here, we go with the home team. Rams in the cold. I dunno. Not buying Goff, who has a 5TD 7INTs when the weather turns chilly. Chilly thumb might act up a bit. Rodgers having an epic season and looks like he is going to try to close out an MVP Season with a Super Bowl Trophy.  Edge defense to Rams for sure, but GB offense should be able to cover this number. 8* Sure Shot GREEN BAY PACKERS

Taking ALABAMA. So I lost with both of these guys on Friday. I am still not sold on Ohio State defense. I don't think anything can slow down the Tide but themselves. If you watched Alabama play at all this year, you can sit there and think they aren't 2 TDs better than any time? So they didn't run it up vs ND. To me, it seemed like they were going through the motions most of the time. Now- I didn't think OSU would lay the wood to Clemson. I thought they had something to prove in their own right. Maybe the loss of that offensive coach really set them back. Can't dwell on it - time to move on. OSU with a huge chip on their shoulder, probably the number 11. That being said, I still don't think the should be in the playoffs. The win, I will swallow a huge bitter pill. But this Tide team is just too much on offense. The total is in the mid-70s for a reason. I am just shocked this game isn't double digits. I mean, 22-10 grinder vs Northwestern. 42-35 Indiana. 49-27 Rutgers. 38-25 Penn State. PSU was 0-5 before it ran off a bunch of wins over 2 win teams. And lastly, let's not forget that big hit Fields took. He'll be feeling that a day later for sure. Eye test people. Think of what you have seen out of this Alabama team all year. I'd lay 10 and feel extra comfortable. 10* Money Bomb ALABAMA 

Taking the TITANS. I am just not sold on the Ravens this season. Tennessee can control things with the run game. The QB can, as we saw late Sunday, make key plays. The defense, ok. - leaves a lot to be desired. But getting points at home, we will ride the home dog. I get it. Revenge Game for Baltimore. Double revenge in fact. They lost last year's playoff game 28-12. Then, thinking payback, Tennessee got them again 30-24. Everyone saying NO WAY Titans win again over Harbaugh's guy. Outright Dog 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the BILLS. I think these guys can give the Chiefs a run. The offense is just absolutely rolling right now. Dome team outside, in Buffalo in January. What can possibly go wrong? Under-rated defense. An MVP in the making at QB. Coach of the Year most likely. I don't think Indy keeps up. 8* Sure Shot BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking CAROLINA. I get a nice live dog QB at home this afternoon. Saints already clinched the South. Scoreboard watching GB and Seattle. Seattle and Saints both looking for a GB trip up to get home field. Possible for GB to lose at Chicago. Yes, any given Sunday is the saying I believe. Extra rest for visitors off that Minny beatdown on Christmas Day. New HC will demand a full 60 minutes from his guys. And depending how things go, NO might be pulling guys for a little breather in the 2nd half. 5* Best Bet CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Taking the NINERS. Oh these guys buried me last Saturday vs Arizona. Here I think they are mailing it in, and they come out full of piss and vinegar. Safe to say, they are not dead on the year. Last game and I am sure they will bring it. Especially against Seattle. And they get Seattle off a tough game vs the Rams. Division clinched for Seattle. This is also a spot depending on other games we can see the Seahawks pull some guys. I think SF controls this game from the opening kickoff. 5* Best Bet SF 49ers 

Taking the BROWNS. Going  big with a SURE SHOT play here. Little brother vs Big brother and if they could have beat the pathetic Jets last week. I like this HC. You know I am sitting on COY futures even though I think the guy up in Buffalo has it in the bag now. What I do think we see is Pitt pull some guys in the second half for sure. I see 10s starting to pop up here. That would mean we get a full game of back-ups. Cleveland wins, and they are in the Playoffs. We know they can run the ball. They will have WRs back. And Pitt, again, they HAVE to rest guys. Their bye week was way back in Week 4. I can't see them going all game - not happening. 8* Sure Shot CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking A&M. I thought this team should have made the Playoff over Ohio State. After OSU gets trucked by Clemson and Bama wins by 30 over ND, you will hear that losing to good teams isn't bad. Except when you are 1 loss A&M. NC lost a bunch of offense to bowl opt-outs. 2 thousand yard rushers 28 TDs, Out. Leading receiver, 1000 yards 8 TDs Out. I'm all for next guy up. But next RB up has 121 yards on 80 rushes - oh its the QB. Yikes. The TAM comments alone make me think they will try to run it up. 10* Money Bomb TEXAS A&M

Taking CLEMSON. Not a chance that Ohio State slows down the Tigers. You should know by now that I don't even think OSU belongs in this game, or even sniffing the playoffs. Clemson / Alabama Championship game awaits. Buckeyes defense will have zero answers tonight. 5* Best Bet CLEMSON TIGERS 

Taking ALABAMA. Part of me wanted Ohio State here so we can all make fun of the Big 10 when the Tide put up 60+ on them and beat them by 45. But, we get another laugher as Notre Dame gets the 4 spot based on beating a team they just got dominated by with a backup QB. Irish do not have the horses to run with Alabama. I lost with Bama in the SEC Championship, but I think that is really a blessing. Now the Tide have been in a close game. They won't call the dogs off when they get up as Florida was fighting back the entire time. Is ND keeping Alabama under 50? Blowout. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

Taking TULSA. Hey Hey. Armed Forces Bowl -Look at us. We play in the SEC. Oh nice. Yeah. Come to our bowl. Who cares you are 3-7. Your coach is a great quote with a great named, 'Air Raid' offense. Tulsa all day for me. Only losses on the year. Opening game at Oklahoma State 16-7 and a FG loss in AAC Championship Game to Cincy. Both those teams would be favorites over this slop of a team from Starksville. Nothing better than your smaller brother beating up big brother. 8* Sure Shot TULSA 

Taking the RAMS. Seattle with no answers for LA. Rams with straight up wins in 6 of the last 7 and the loss was 30-29, wide right with 15 seconds left after Greg The Leg hit his first 3 FGs of the game. Besides that. We have the better team. No question in my mind. Defense a clear edge. Rams know they just need to win these last 2 games. Well, would have been nice if they took care of the winless Jets last week for us. Heck. I can't tell you what I lost live betting them when they went to even money to win after cutting lead to 23-10. Brutal. Anyway. So - in off a horrible loss. A game they didn't show up for in the first half. They take care of business here like they always do. 5* Best Bet LA RAMS 

Taking ARIZONA. We cashed the Cowboys ML last week over SF. It's over. 10 months ago, you had a lead in the Super Bowl. Now, you are playing out the string and guaranteed last place in the NFC West. Can't practice or play games in your own area. Zero motivation now as Niners have dropped 3 straight. Coach said they will be home with their families for the holidays. Last I checked Christmas Eve/Christmas is Thursday/Friday. This is a Saturday afternoon game. Yeah. These guys will be roaring to go. Arizona still fighting for their playoff lives. Arizona played these guys tough when SF was at the top of their game. Now they are down. Home team blowout. 10* Money Bomb ARIZONA CARDINALS