3*New York Knicks +3

The New York Knicks have a record of 5-3 after losing two or more games in a row. They have managed to defeat the Miami Heat in their two meetings, even though they were eliminated by the Heat in the playoffs last year. The line for this game seems high, especially considering that the Knicks have a point differential of +4.7, while the Heat's point differential is +1.4 this season. Furthermore, the Heat will play with a roster suffering from injuries and have a big revenge game against Philadelphia on deck. I will gladly bet on the Knicks as the road underdogs in this spot!

2*Illinois +8.5

UConn had only three losses during the season. Two of these losses were against Creighton and Kansas, who had a size advantage over UConn. However, Illinois is also a team with a size advantage, ranked 8th at Kenpom. The Fighting Illini have a lot of experience, ranking 11th, and have played a tougher schedule (No. 24 vs. No. 37). The Huskies have a +12.3 point differential in road/neutral site games. In comparison, Illinois has a +7.5 point differential. The Huskies have held their opponents to 58 or fewer points in four straight games. I anticipate some negative regression. Take the underdog!

3*Illinois +2

The Fighting Illini currently has the top-ranked offense at Kenpom. While Iowa State is known for its excellent defense, they have mostly played against weaker opponents in non-conference games, ranking 345th in difficulty. Illinois has a more experienced team as they rank 11th in Division 1 experience, compared to Iowa State's ranking of 124th. Illinois also has a better free throw percentage, ranked 85th, whereas Iowa State ranks 293. Teams with size may challenge the Cyclones as Illinois ranks 8th in average team height, while Iowa State ranks 100th. Furthermore, Illinois is a much better rebounding team, ranking 6th compared to Iowa State's ranking of 238th. I will gladly take the points in this spot!

3*Clemson +4.5

The Baylor Bears have faced the third most challenging schedule overall, but they ranked 101st against non-conference opponents. On the other hand, the Clemson Tigers played the 33rd toughest schedule and were 69th in terms of non-conference opponents. Clemson has a higher ranking in free throw percentage (9 vs. 103), rebounds per game (78 vs. 198), turnovers (53 vs. 175), and blocks (83 vs. 198). According to advanced analytics, the Tigers have a better overall defense. We must take the points in this spot!

5*Utah State +4.5

Utah State faced a much more challenging non-conference schedule compared to TCU. However, both teams maintain a close point differential, with Utah State having a +7.4 and TCU having a +8.0 this season. Utah State is a skilled team that excels at scoring inside (ranked 12th in 2-point FG%) and defending three-point shots (ranked third in the nation), according to Kenpom. The team is led by Danny Sprinkle, known for his excellent coaching skills, especially with extra time to prepare. The Aggies have demonstrated their ability to bounce back this season, going 4-1 after a loss. Utah State is 10-1 SU when playing with five or six days of rest since 2021, including 4-0 this season. Take the points in this upset maker!

4*Drake Bulldogs -1.5

Four different Bulldogs players have made 42 or more 3-point field goals, with Tucker DeVries leading the pack with 84 and Atin Wright following closely with 60. Drake has a solid 37% 3-point shooting average and hits almost nine 3-pointers per game. DeVries is the best player in the MVC, averaging nearly 22 points per game and leading Drake in rebounding, assists, and steals. He is a big-time NBA prospect. Washington State has lost nine road/neutral site games, including Arizona State (129th at Kenpom) and California (123rd). The Cougars rank 268th in free throw percentage, while Drake ranks 38th. Washington State shouldn't be seeded this high. I like the Bulldogs to advance!

3*Iowa State +5.5

The Iowa State Cyclones were one of three teams to defeat the Houston Cougars, winning 57-53 in Ames, Iowa, on January 9th. Houston returned the favor to beat Iowa State 73-65 at home on February 19th. I am a big fan of Cyclones head coach T.J. Otzelberger. Iowa State is 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS avenging a road loss. Houston is 1-6 ATS after scoring 80 or more points this season. The Cougars have 6 ½ healthy players after the injury to J'wan Roberts. Iowa State is 5-0 all-time in Big 12 Championship games. The total implies a lower-scoring contest, so let's take the points with the Cyclones.

3*St. John's +9.5

Connecticut has won both matchups against the Red Storm this season. Rick Pitino is known for his coaching abilities when seeking double revenge in the postseason. The Huskies have already secured a No. 1 seed in the Big Dance, while Johnny is playing to get a higher seed. Pitino's crew can keep this game within the number. I was hoping for 10 points, but that's not happening.

4*St. Johns -3.5

After a humiliating loss to Seton Hall at home, where they blew a 19-point lead, the St. Johns Red Storm are on a 5-game win streak, thanks to Rick Pitino's leadership. Pitino has an excellent track record when seeking double same-season revenge and has proven to be outstanding in the postseason. St. Johns faced a more challenging non-conference schedule than their opponent (No. 148 vs. No. 241) and will play at Madison Square Garden, which has a home-court advantage of 3.9 points. I like the Red Storm in this spot!

4*Washington U +3

On March 5th, the USC Trojans won against Washington with a score of 82-75, even though they were 4.5-point underdogs. During the game, Washington allowed USC to shoot 54% from the field and 47% from beyond the arc. The Huskies ranked fourth in D-1 experience and will likely learn from this loss. All five starters on the team are seniors, and Mike Hopkins is a great head coach who achieved 20+ wins in 2018 and 2019. I make this point spread closer to zero. Play Washington U!

3*Houston Rockets +6.5

The Sacramento Kings have scored 130+ points in their last two games. Houston is ranked 11th in defensive efficiency while the Kings are ranked 22nd. The Kings could be looking ahead to their games against Milwaukee and the LA Lakers on Tuesday & Wednesday respectively. Sacramento is allowing 121 points per game at home. I think the Rockets can keep this within the number and possibly win outright!

4*Mississippi State -4

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are determined to win their 20th game on Senior Day and want to avenge their previous 68-62 loss against South Carolina on January 6th. Despite suffering three consecutive losses, the Bulldogs have the better defense (No. 18 vs. No. 40) at Kenpom. The Gamecocks rank 307th in turnover differential, and betting against teams like them in their last road games has been profitable. Since South Carolina has no chance of winning the SEC, they may lack motivation. The Bulldogs are 3-1 after dropping two or more games in a row this season, and the Humphrey Coliseum ranks 9th in home-court advantage. I like the home team in this spot!

3*New York Knicks +6.5

Both teams are dealing with injuries to key players. The Cavs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games, while the Knicks are 1-10 ATS in their last eleven. After scoring under 100 points in consecutive games, New York is due for some positive scoring regression. Cleveland has a big revenge game against Boston on Tuesday. I like the points with the road team!

3*Wisconsin -1.5

Illinois hit the road after winning against Minnesota, 105-97 on Wednesday. The Fighting Illini had a shooting percentage of 55% on two-point shots and 70% from beyond the arc. Wisconsin lost at Indiana 74-70 on Tuesday, shooting just under 31% from three-point land. Despite recording 0 block shots, the Badgers had ten steals. Illinois is ranked 359th in creating turnovers and has a big revenge game against Purdue on deck. Their overall strength of schedule is ranked 46th, but they rank 247th in non-conference action. Wisconsin has played the fifth most demanding schedule overall, including 34th in non-conference games. The Badgers have a home record of 13-2 at Kohl Center this season, losing only to Tennessee and Purdue.

4*Kentucky -2

Alabama has scored 307 points in their last three games and now hit the road for the first time in two weeks. Kentucky can score with the best of the SEC and return home after a one-point loss in the final seconds at LSU. The Wildcats led 42-27 with 19:11 left in the second half and will be super focused in front of the 26th-ranked home-court advantage in the nation. The Rupp Arena holds 20,500, the sixth largest in Division 1. The Wildcats will be playing with revenge after the Crimson Tide won 78-52 last season, their largest margin of victory against Kentucky in school history. The Wildcats are 6-1 after a loss this season.

5*South Florida +6

South Florida's success this season has been built on their solid defense, which has limited opponents to 42.1 percent shooting from the floor and 31.1 percent from beyond the arc. However, they had a disappointing game on Wednesday night, with 15 turnovers, which did not please head coach Abdur-Rahim. The last time these two teams played each other was back in 2019, which should benefit the home team. Interestingly, fading ranked teams in the game immediately following their 20th win has proved profitable. As someone who values good defense, I will happily take the points with the underdog, especially since the game is sold out at the Yuengling Center.

4*Colorado State +6

San Diego State is determined to avenge their road loss against Colorado State. Hence, the majority of the public is rooting for the home team. However, the current line is exaggerated by at least two points. The Rams rank eighth in terms of effective FG percentage on offense, while the Aztecs are ranked 145th. Both teams are placed outside the top 230 in adjusted tempo, indicating a greater likelihood of a low-scoring, closely contested game. I like the road dog!

2*Kansas City Chiefs +2

The Kansas City Chiefs have played the most demanding strength of schedule this season, while the 49ers ranked 12th. Kansas City is ranked fifth in third-down defense, eighth in red zone defense, and sixth in special teams DVOA. Conversely, San Francisco is ranked 27th in third-down defense, 14th in red zone defense, and 25th in special teams. Patrick Mahomes is 10-1-1 ATS as an underdog in his career and should feast against the 49ers zone defense. Andy Reid and Steve Spagnuolo are difficult to conquer with extra preparation time. Kansas City is 4-0 at Allegiant Stadium and should feel right at home. The Chiefs will win back-to-back Super Bowls for the first time since New England accomplished the feat in 2003-04.

Patrick Mahomes Under 0.5 interceptions (-120)

Patrick Mahomes has zero turnover-worthy plays in his last four games. Throughout his career, he has only thrown seven interceptions in 17 postseason games and has not thrown any interceptions in his previous six games. The defense is performing exceptionally well, and Patrick understands he does not need to make risky throws.

Longest FG Over 47.5 yards (-125)

Both kickers possess strong legs, and Allegiant Stadium's altitude of 2,190 feet and indoor setting make it conducive to kicks over 50 yards. 

Travis Kelce Over 69.5 receiving yards (-130)

Travis has exceeded this number in all three playoff games, averaging 87.3 yards. Kelce has been performing exceptionally well, averaging over 90 receiving yards with extra preparation time. Kelce will have a lot of success against the 49ers zone defense. This number keeps climbing and would take it up to 79.5. According to my model, his predicted performance is 89.5 yards.

4*Washington U +8.5

Oregon upset Washington 76-74 as 4.5-point road underdogs on January 4th. The Huskies matchup quite well against the Ducks. This line is now inflated after opening at six. We are getting great value on the underdog. Speaking of underdogs, they are 7-3 ATS in the last ten meetings. Play Washington in this major overlay!

5*St. Joe's +3

St. Joseph's is returning all five starters from last year's team. Last year's squad was eliminated by Dayton in the first round of the Atlantic-10 tournament, losing 60-54 as 10.5-point underdogs. This defeat ended the Hawks' season. Additionally, Dayton will have a chance to avenge their loss against VCU in the A-10 title game from last season on Friday. The Flyers are facing a tough look-ahead spot in this double revenge angle. I like the home team in this spot!

4*St. Johns +4

In December, the Connecticut Huskies won against St. Johns with a score of 69-65. They were 11-point home favorites. The Red Storm has been eagerly waiting for a rematch ever since. They have a great chance to defeat the top-ranked team in the nation. St. Johns has played the tenth most challenging schedule, while Uconn is ranked 51st in the strength of schedule. The Red Storm are 8-2 at home and have a higher consistency per possession, considering turnovers, steals, blocks, rebounds, and points. These key metrics are averaged together, and the Red Storm ranks higher than the Huskies. I like the home team quite a bit!

3*Ohio State +4

The Ohio State Buckeyes have lost 12 straight road games and are winless in conference away games. However, I still rate the Buckeyes higher, as they have played a tougher non-conference schedule and rank higher in consistency. With the Cornhuskers not at full strength, this is a great spot to back a motivated Ohio State squad.

3*Kansas City Chiefs +3

In December, the Buffalo Bills had two weeks to prepare when they defeated the Chiefs 20-17 as 1-point road dogs. Also, the Chiefs were without their top two linebackers. This time, the Chiefs will have the rest advantage (two days), and the Bills are dealing with numerous injuries, especially on defense. I think it’s a tall task for backups to contain Patrick Mahomes and company this time of year. The Chiefs own the better DVOA defense (#7 vs. #12) and special teams (#6 vs. #15). Finally, Patrick Mahomes is 8-1 ATS in his career as an underdog, winning seven of those games outright. I like the road dog in this spot!

4*St. John's +1

The St. John's Red Storm return home after two consecutive road losses where they only made 9 of 32 three-point shots. This is lower than their season's average of 34.2%. On the other hand, the Golden Eagles have a negative point differential of minus-1.3 in away games, while St. Johns has a point differential of plus-17 in their home games. Marquette will play just their third road game in over a month. St. John’s ranks significantly higher in rebounds and blocked shots. In the quarter-finals of the Big East tournament last March, Marquette eliminated the Red Storm with a score of 72-70. The home team looks to improve their record to 5-0 this season after allowing 80 or more points in this colossal revenge spot.

4*Kansas City Chiefs -3.5

The Miami Dolphins are different from the team we saw earlier in the season as they deal with multiple injuries, especially on defense. Speaking of defense, the Dolphins were on the field for 77 plays and will be playing on a short week. The Kansas City Chiefs are well-rested and will have a massive advantage of playing in freezing weather at home. The Chiefs are ranked 10th in third-down defense and 8th in red-zone defense, while Miami is ranked 20th on third-down defense and 28th in defending the red zone. The Chiefs rank 8th in opponent passer rating, while the Dolphins rank 24th. Kansas City ranks 6th in special teams DVOA, while Miami is ranked 22nd. I will swallow 3.5 points!

10*Tennessee Titans +5.5

The Tennessee Titans were eliminated from playoff contention after losing to the Jaguars in week 18 last season. They have dropped eight straight division games from 2022, including three against Jacksonville. The Jags had lost four straight before defeating the Carolina Panthers 26-0 last week. We are getting two extra points of value. Houston recorded six sacks against the Titans last week, but Jacksonville is ranked 27th in sack rate. The Jags committed just one penalty last week, and I expect a negative regression. The Jaguars own a +0.66 net yards per play on the road, while Tennessee owns a +0.62 net yards at home. Mike Vrabel is 24-12-2 ATS as an underdog of 3 or more points. Revenge is sweet!

3*Iowa State +3

The Cyclones are gearing up to face the 11th-ranked Sooners in Norman, OK. They managed to pull off a victory last year as 3.5-point underdogs. This year's Iowa State team has the potential to win the game outright once again. Even when playing at home, I would only make Oklahoma 1-point favorites in this matchup. The road team is ranked higher on offense and defense, according to KenPom.

4*Oklahoma State +2.5

Texas A&M will be without 11 players due to injuries, opt-outs, and the transfer portal. Head coach Jimbo Fisher is out, and former Duke head coach Mike Elko will take over starting next season. The Aggies went 1-5 straight-up and 1-4-1 against the spread vs fellow bowl teams, while the Cowboys went 4-4 SU and 4-4 ATS this season. Texas A&M went 1-4 SU and 1-3-1 ATS vs. winning teams, while Oklahoma State went 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS vs. winning teams. QB Alan Bowman and RB Ollie Gordon II (Doak Walker award winner) should have a field day against a defense missing several key starters. I love Mike Gundy in games when his team is an underdog (11-6 ATS in the last three seasons).

4*Northern Illinois +1

Northern Illinois has dropped seven straight bowl games and should be super motivated to win this game. Arkansas State played a slightly tougher schedule, but ignoring these stats is hard. The Red Wolves own a minus- 3.4 point differential and minus- 70-yard differential per game, while the Huskies are plus- 4.1 and- plus- 48, respectively. Arkansas State went 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS while getting outgained (-155 YPG) in seven of the eight games against fellow bowl teams. Northern Illinois went 3-1 SU and 3-1 ATS while outgaining (+7) three of four matchups. Arkansas State is ranked 127th (dead last), while Northern Illinois is ranked 23rd in total defense of all the bowl teams. Defense travels well. I love the underdog!

3*Buffalo Bills -2

The Dallas Cowboys will be playing their first road game since November 19th. They are coming off a colossal division revenge victory last Sunday, where they benefited from three Eagles turnovers and ten penalties for 95 yards. Speaking of those pesky yellow flags, Dallas is ranked 32nd in penalties per game (7.5). Dallas owns net yards per play of +0.22 on the road, while Buffalo has a +1.37 net yards per play at home. The Cowboys haven’t played any game this season when the kickoff temperature is below 50 degrees. We have a 7-6 team favored over a 10-3 team. The odds-makers want you to bet on Dallas. Not so fast. Buffalo is the more desperate team and can win in this spot.

4*Chicago Bears +3.5

The Chicago Bears have been performing exceptionally well recently and have climbed up my power rankings. They have won three out of their last four games, and their defense looks impressive since they traded for edge rusher Montez Sweat. Joe Flacco had one of his best passing games in a while, but his QBR is still low at 41.5, and his lack of mobility could prove problematic, especially since offensive tackle Dawand Jones is out for the season. The Bears are ranked seventh in third-down conversion percentage, while the Browns rank 30th or 27th with Flacco playing. Despite allowing 140 yards last week, the Bears rank second in rushing yards against. Grab the 3.5 points!

3*Miami (OH) +6.5

The Miami Red Hawks have a good chance of covering the point spread with their superior defense and special teams. They have one of the best kickers in the country, Graham Nicholson, who was named first-team All-MAC. A significant factor to consider is the weather forecast, which shows a 100% chance of rain (over 1 inch) and winds of 15-35 MPH. This weather condition will negatively affect App State's passing attack and positively impact the Red Hawks running game. Miami (OH) ranks 36th against the run, while App State ranks 110th in rushing yards allowed. It is worth noting that the underdog is 4-0 ATS last four Cure Bowls, and Miami (OH) has a 6-1 ATS record in all bowl games since 1993. 

4*Chicago Bears +3.5

The Detroit Lions will be playing their second straight road game against a team with revenge coming off its BYE week. Detroit won the first meeting while outgaining the Bears by just four yards. The Lions held Jared Goff to a season-low 68.3 passer rating in perfect weather conditions. This game will be the opposite, with 50% snow showers and 15-25 MPH winds. Jared Goff has a QB rating of 93.9 outdoors and 88.0 on the natural grass compared to 101.5 indoors and 104.1 on turf. The Bears have been improving on both sides of the ball, while the Lions are slipping a bit thanks to multiple injuries at critical spots. Grab the 3.5 points!

3*Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5

The Thunder are younger and quicker than the Warriors right now. They are 2-1 vs. Golden State this season. OKC is ranked sixth in offensive efficiency and seventh in defensive efficiency, while the Warriors are ranked 14th in offense and 14th on defense. Golden State is 2-8 straight-up as an underdog, while OKC is 8-3 SU and 8-3 ATS as chalk this season. I like the home team in this spot!

4*San Francisco 49ers -1

The Philadelphia Eagles defense had a tough game on Sunday as they were on the field for 92 plays in their overtime victory. Facing a physical group like San Francisco, seeking revenge after losing to Philly in the NFC Championship, will be challenging. The 49ers have ten days of rest and preparation after playing on Thanksgiving, which gives them an advantage. They have better net yards per play, third-down defense, red-zone defense, opponent passer rating, and offensive and defensive DVOA. It makes sense that they are the favorites in this game. Meanwhile, the Eagles are scheduled to play the Dallas Cowboys next week, and this game might prove to be a classic schedule loss for them. This spot screams San Francisco!

5*Alabama +6

Although the Georgia Bulldogs have a better offense and defense, the Alabama Crimson Tide has a great chance to keep this within the number. Alabama has faced more formidable teams, and a win in this game is crucial for them to make the playoff bracket. My model shows that the Bulldogs will win by five points, so I am happy to take the extra point and bet on Alabama with the 6-point spread.

5*Indianapolis Colts -2

The Buccaneers have played six straight games (Week Five Bye) without rest and are coming off a physical matchup against San Francisco. I love playing on teams off their BYE with an offensive-minded head coach (Shane Steichen). Tampa Bay ranks 23rd in yards per play (4.9) and 27th in yards per play against (5.7). Indianapolis ranks 16th in yards per play (5.4) and 15th in yards per play against (5.2). Also, Tampa Bay ranks 30th in third-down defense, while the Colts rank 14th. Tampa Bay will have to rely on the pass. Not good. The Colts rank 8th in opponent passer rating, while the Bucks rank 26th. Tampa Bay ranks 27th in penalties, while the Colts rank 16th. This line should be minus 3!

10*Jacksonville State -2

The New Mexico State Aggies pulled off a major upset by defeating the Auburn Tigers as 24.5-point road underdogs last week. Win or lose, they have already qualified for the Conference USA Championship game next week. As a result, they may decide to rest some of their key players. The Jacksonville State Gamecocks have a solid rushing attack, averaging 249 yards per game. They will be going against a team that ranks 99th in success rate against the run. The Gamecocks have a strong defense, ranked 18th in yards per play against (4.7), while New Mexico State is ranked 74th (5.6). This game is crucial for Jacksonville State as they are not eligible to play in the postseason, making this their de facto bowl game.

4*TCU +10.5

The Horned Frogs feel very proud after their appearance in last year's championship game. They must pull off an upset against the Sooners to qualify for a bowl game. TCU has a positive yard differential and a solid special teams unit. Oklahoma has played a slightly more demanding schedule and is dealing with some injuries ahead of this game. Grab the points!

5*LA Rams +1

The Seattle Seahawks are tied for the NFC West's top spot. In their next four games, they will play against San Francisco twice, as well as Dallas and Philadelphia. Seattle has a negative point differential while playing the 29th most demanding schedule. On the other hand, the Rams are coming off their Bye week and are highly motivated after losing three consecutive games straight up and against the spread while playing the eighth-hardest schedule. The team will be the healthiest it's been since week one. The Rams rank 10th in third-down conversion percentage, while Seattle ranks 30th in third-down defense. Sean McVay owns Pete Carroll, having won four of the past six meetings. More of the same!

4*Arizona Cardinals +5

The Houston Texans have an impressive 5-0 record when taking points, but they have yet to cover a spread in any of their three games where they were favored. Last Sunday, Kyler Murray returned to the field and significantly impacted the Cardinals' performance. His ability to read defenses and extend drives with his legs is off the charts. The Texans' listed 18 players on Wednesday’s injury report including several key starters. The Texans have allowed the 31st most fantasy points against opposing tight ends which could lead to a big game for emerging tight end Trey McBride. Houston has a massive division game against Jacksonville on deck. Also, I like fading teams & players after record setting performances. 

4*Oregon State -2

Last year's game between Oregon State and Washington was intense. Oregon State initially took the lead, but Washington made a comeback and won the game with a field goal in the last eight seconds. QB Michael Penix Jr. had to complete 52 passes to accumulate 298 yards due to Oregon State's defense. Washington's defense is struggling, ranking 122nd against the pass and 67th in yards per play. In contrast, Oregon State is a top-20 scoring offense and ranks 16th in yards per play. QB DJ Uiagalelei brings big-game experience from his time at Clemson. Rain is expected during the game, which should benefit the Beavers, who own the better offensive and defensive lines. I like the home team!

5*Wake Forrest +2.5

Last week, NC State clinched bowl eligibility against Miami, even though they were outgained for the second straight game after upsetting Clemson. Wake Forest and NC State recently played at Duke, and the turnover margin was neutral in both matchups. Wake Forest lost by only three points despite outgaining the Blue Devils 400-267. On the other hand, the Wolfpack lost by 21 points despite outgaining Duke just 305-301. Wake Forest has won four out of six games this season on turf, while NC State will be playing its first game on turf in 2023. The Wolfpack are 3-10 against the spread on the road, including 0-3 this season. Wake Forest has won and covered their last home game in three straight seasons. 

4*Carolina Panthers +3 (-115)

Frank Reich's revenge game against the team that released him last season. Carolina's Bryce Young played very well, with a season-best 103.6 passer rating and an average of 7.6 yards per attempt in defeating Houston on a field goal as time expired. Young is expected to continue playing well against the Colts’ defense, which ranks 25th in passing yards allowed (247.3) and allows the most points per game in the NFL (28.6). The Carolina Panthers have an underrated defense, ranking eighth in third-down defense. With Thomas Brown now calling the plays, Carolina should continue improving in their second consecutive home game following another week of practice. This will be the Colts’ second game outdoors in over a month and ninth straight without a break.

4*Kansas State +4

Redshirt freshman quarterback Maalik Murphy made his first career start in place of the injured Quinn Ewers and passed for 170 yards and two touchdowns in defeating BYU 35-6. However, Murphy also had one interception and lost a fumble. He now takes a significant step up in class as Kansas State is one of six Power Five teams that rank in the top 15 nationally in both scoring offense and scoring defense. Currently, the Wildcats are ranked 13th in scoring (37.4) and 14th in points allowed (15.9) as they look to snap a six-game losing skid in this series. Kansas State is ranked ninth (55%) in third-down efficiency, while Texas is ranked 83rd (40%). An outright upset wouldn’t shock me. Grab the points!

4*Carolina Panthers +3

I've been waiting to bet on the Carolina Panthers without Frank Reich's play-calling. Offensive coordinator Thomas Brown has taken the reins, and the Houston Texans have no idea what the Panthers' offensive will look like. The Texans have a negative yard differential (outgained 430-297 in defeating New Orleans before their bye week), while the Panthers are a sneaky good team despite their 0-6 record. Carolina has a solid third-down defense, ranking fourth in the league, and an efficient red zone offense, ranking tenth. On the other hand, the Texans are struggling in third-down defense, ranking 27th, and opponent passer rating, ranking 20th. Moreover, betting on winless home underdogs after their bye week has been very profitable.

4*Green Bay Packers +1

The Minnesota Vikings have won and covered two in a row and will now travel to Green Bay, who has dropped three in a row straight-up and against the spread. The Vikings will play this division game on short rest after playing the 49ers on MNF. Seems like a very tough spot. The Packers defeated the Vikings 41-17 without CB Jaire Alexander in a cold weather game in Green Bay last season. He practiced on Wednesday and should be available for this cold weather (40 degrees) matchup. Minnesota is ranked 26th in red zone defense, 25th in third-down defense, and 23rd in red zone offense. Green Bay is ranked seventh in red zone defense, ninth in third-down defense, and eighth in red zone offense.

4*Cincinnati U +7.5

Despite only two wins, the Cincinnati Bearcats have outperformed Oklahoma State in offense and defense. They have an average of 445 yards compared to Oklahoma State's 405 yards in offense and 345 yards versus Oklahoma State's 404 yards in defense. Oklahoma State has won three consecutive games as underdogs, but will dress up as the favorite in their homecoming game. However, the Cowboys have a crucial game against Oklahoma next week, which could affect their performance. This presents an excellent opportunity for the visiting team to end their losing streak against the spread. I like the road dog!

5*Baltimore Ravens -3 (-105)

The Lions coaching staff canceled practice on Wednesday, opting for a walkthrough to rest their injured roster after six weeks of physical football. The Lions have won and covered four straight, and this is the perfect spot to sell high. Baltimore’s defense was on the field for only 46 plays in London. The Ravens are ranked third in opponent passer rating and second in red-zone defense. The Lions struggled to contain both mobile quarterbacks they faced this season: Geno Smith and Patrick Mahomes. The home team should be more accustomed to the 10-20 MPH winds in this matchup. Lastly, the Lions will host a Monday Night Football game next week for the first time since 2018.

10*Minnesota U +4.5

Iowa has won their last three games and scored 61 points while allowing only 36 points. However, they were outgained in all three games by 1,016 to 750, which is a cause for concern. This will be their eighth consecutive game without rest, and they might already be thinking about their upcoming BYE week. Meanwhile, Minnesota is seeking revenge after their 52-10 loss and has had two weeks to prepare for this game. Last year, Iowa won 13-10 despite being outgained 399-280. I am all over the road dog, especially with such a low total.

3*New England Patriots +3

New England is a professional football team, and they know that being outscored 72-3 in their last two games is unacceptable. I believe the Patriots will have success running the ball against a defense ranked 23rd against the run. Las Vegas will have one less day to prepare for the game. This doesn't bode well, especially since head coach Josh McDaniels has a career record of 19-30, including 7-12 after a win. The Patriots had a franchise-low 3rd down conversion rate of 7.14% against the Saints and failed to enter the red zone. NE owns the better 3rd down defense and has played a much tougher schedule. Belichick is 23-14 straight-up after losing two or more consecutive games, including 6-0 over the last three seasons.

5*Indianapolis Colts +4.5

This is a rematch from week one, where the Jaguars won by 10, although the final score was misleading. Both teams are closely matched, with the Colts owning a net yards per play of -0.2 and Jacksonville holding -0.6 this season. The Colts have a solid offensive line, ranked fourth, while Jacksonville is ranked 27th in sack percentage. It's a tough spot for the home team after playing back-to-back games in London. The Colts have not won in Jacksonville since 2014, so they should be highly motivated to win this game. The weather will be mild (mid 70s) with winds 10-15 MPH. Take the points in this overlay! 

3*Auburn +11.5

In last year's game, Auburn had a 17-0 lead, but they allowed a fumble return touchdown and lost to LSU 21-17 despite outgaining them 438-270. LSU is a tired team, having played their seventh straight contest and fourth consecutive game against an SEC foe. The last three games were high-scoring close affairs. Auburn is fresh off a bye and confident after a close loss to Georgia two weeks ago. Although Auburn has struggled to pass the ball, LSU's young secondary has allowed an average of 283 passing yards per game. Revenge cover!

5*Cincinnati Bengals -3

Although Josh Dobbs has been better than expected, he is not a threat to the Bengals' defense, as he primarily relies on short passes and running plays. The Cardinals recently played against the 49ers, known for their physical play. This situation is not ideal. Lou Anarumo criticized the Bengals' effort after missing 12 tackles, a three-year high. The Bengals are ranked sixth (5.3) in penalties per game, while Arizona is tied for last (8.5) through week four. Cincinnati's defensive line DVOA is ranked 7th, while Arizona allows the fifth-highest pressure rate (36.5%) per PFF. Joe Burrow is 4-1 straight-up in dome games and 8-4 SU off a loss since 2021. He told the local beat writers his calf is feeling much better. The Bengals are a tremendous buy-low team in this matchup!

5*Pittsburgh Steelers +4.5

The Steelers are back home after a disappointing game and are expected to be highly motivated in this crucial rivalry. These teams have a history of playing close games, and despite being favored only twice, the Steelers have won 5 out of 6 games against the Ravens in the last three seasons. This presents an excellent opportunity for the Steelers to bounce back as underdogs. Pittsburgh will be all in with their BYE week coming up. This game will be another closely contested match, so taking the points is a wise choice.

5*Oklahoma +6.5

The line should be a tad under five points, and I must trust my numbers. It's worth noting that although Texas defeated Alabama as 7-point road underdogs, the Crimson Tide had significant quarterback issues at the time. The Sooners will be highly motivated after losing 49-0 last year, especially since their QB Dillon Gabriel missed that game. Texas has a poor record of 1-7 against the spread before their BYE week of late. It's going to be a close match, so grab the points!

5*Indianapolis Colts  PK

The Rams will be playing their third road game in four weeks, with short rest and a body clock of 10:00 AM PT. Anthony Richardson can use his running skills effectively against the Rams' linebackers, who are ranked last at PFF. The Colts are ranked fifth in sack rate, while the Rams are ranked 24th. The Colts rank significantly higher than the Rams in special teams and total defense (DVOA). With a PFF grade of 82.8, Center Ryan Kelly returns to boost the Colts' offensive line. Indianapolis has lost eight consecutive home games and should be motivated to win for their fans' enjoyment.

5*Georgia State  PK

Georgia State has been performing well this season with a net yards per play of +1.0, while Troy has a -0.1 mark. Georgia State has won and covered against three FBS foes. On the other hand, the Trojans rank No. 130 in Red Zone defense and No. 126 in turnover margin. In comparison, Georgia State averages 37 points per game and has the nation's No. 5 squad in Red Zone defense. Moreover, Troy will be playing their third game in 14 days and fifth game in 28 days, which could put them at a disadvantage. I like the home team in this spot!

5*Coastal Carolina +6.5

Coastal Carolina has a significant rest advantage in this matchup. However, they are coming off a disappointing 30-17 loss despite outgaining GA State by 14 yards and being 5-point favorites. On the other hand, the Eagles will be playing their third game in 14 days and fifth game in 28 days, which is not an ideal schedule. Grayson McCall is a phenomenal QB who can put up points against any defense. The line between the two teams is inflated, as they have similar playing styles. I like the road dog in what should be a tight game.

5*Denver Broncos +6.5

The Dolphins are in the middle of a division sandwich, having played New England last week and with Buffalo on deck. Denver is ranked No. 1 in points per drive and will be all out to avoid a 0-3 start. This line has trap written all over it as all the bets and money are coming in on Miami, yet the line hasn't moved. Jaylen Waddle is OUT for this game with a concussion. There is a 75% chance of thunderstorms, and the wet field will slow down this Miami team. I like the Broncos in this spot!

5*Clemson +2.5

In their previous game, FSU lost the time of possession battle, as their defense was on the field for 75 plays. This week, the Seminoles will be playing their second consecutive road game. The Eagles could have won despite committing 18 penalties for 131 yards. Clemson's coaching staff still remembers how FSU avoided playing them in the 2020 season. The summer line was Clemson -4 points, and we are getting good value on the home team with the better defense.

5*New England Patriots +3

The Dolphins are in a tough spot, having traveled out to the West Coast, back home, and now up North to face the Patriots. Despite their unlucky start in week 1, we can expect the Patriots' defense to be well-prepared under the leadership of Bill Belichick. In their last two games against New England, Miami only scored 20 and 21 points, respectively. Although the Dolphins won against the poorly-coached Chargers in their first game, this matchup will be different as they will be playing outdoors on field turf instead of indoor artificial turf. Fading teams in week two after scoring 30+ and allowing 30+ has been highly profitable. I like the Pats in this spot!

4*Northern Illinois +11.5

Nebraska is back home after a demanding game at high altitude. When the total is relatively low, it's a wise choice to bet on double-digit underdogs. The Huskies have a good track record of 12-6 against the spread as an underdog and 9-4 ATS on the road over the past three seasons. On the other hand, the Cornhuskers have just a 4-8 ATS record when favored over the same period. According to my model, this line should be closer to 9 points. I like the Huskies to stay within the number!

4*Mississippi State +10

This will be the Tigers’ third game in 13 days, and temps are expected to be in the mid to upper 80s. LSU lost more players (10) to the NFL than any other team in the nation. Last year, Mississippi State allowed 21 unanswered points against LSU after leading 16-10 to begin the fourth quarter. The Rebels were 3-point road dogs and now get to play in Starkville, where they have a solid home-field advantage. LSU is 1-4 against-the-spread in their last five games as road chalk. I like the home dog!

4*Houston Texans +10

The Texans relied heavily on their first-string players in the preseason, while the Ravens did not. This is significant because Baltimore is adjusting to a new offensive scheme. Houston's defense should be better than average at the beginning of the season. Last year, the Ravens went 0-2 SU and 0-2 ATS before playing the Bengals, and they have playoff revenge against Cincinnati in week two. It is advisable to bet on teams that did not make the playoffs against teams that did in week one. The Ravens are 7-16 ATS as a favorite over the last three seasons. Take the road dog and the generous 10 points!

4*Indianapolis Colts +5.5

According to PFF, the Colts' offensive line is placed at No. 10, whereas the Jaguars are at No. 26. Betting on underdogs with a better-performing offensive line has proven to be a lucrative strategy. Furthermore, the Colts are well-acquainted with the Jaguars' offensive system. Jacksonville has yet to learn what to expect from Anthony Richardson and his team. In week one, division underdogs have a high probability of covering. A solid strategy is to play on teams in their first game that missed the playoffs against teams that made it last season. I like the Colts and the points!

4*California +6.5

The Bears have improved significantly, with 16 returning starters compared to Auburn's 12. Head Coach Justin Wilcox has a career ATS record of 36-24-1 with California. Additionally, the Bears have a good record as underdogs at 8-4 ATS and have gone 6-3 ATS in September over the past three seasons. In contrast, Auburn has struggled in September with a 3-6 ATS record over the same period. Based on my Power Ratings, this spread should be closer to 4.5 points. Furthermore, Auburn will play with a body clock time of 10:30 ET. I like the home dog in this spot!

3*Duke +13.5

Brad Powers states Duke Blue Devils are ranked 11th while Clemson is ranked 53rd. This ranking is based on Bill Conelly's returning production and experience chart from Phil Steele. Both teams have dual-threat QBs; Duke's Riley Leonard had a QBR of 73.7 on 391 passing attempts, while Cade Klubnik had a 57.1 QBR on just 100 pass attempts last season. Mike Elko improved Duke from a 3-win to a 9-win team, winning the Military Bowl 30-13 over UCF. Duke has a 10-3 ATS record at home over the past three years, while the Tigers are 1-7 ATS in September over the last three seasons. This is the first matchup between these two schools since 2018, and I'm on the home dog.

4*Toledo +9.5

The Rockets, led by head coach Jason Candle, are a strong contender to win the MAC. With 16 returning starters from their nine-win season and victory in the Boca Raton Bowl, Toledo is ranked 14th in the nation for Returning production. Their secondary is one of the best in the Group of Five. Quarterback Dequan Finn, who had a successful campaign in 2022 as a passer and runner, is returning. Illinois has lost significant production and will have to start sophomore QB Luke Altmyer, who had a low QBR of 50.7 on only 54 attempts. Additionally, Altmyer rushed for only three yards on 25 carries. This is an excellent spot to back the road dog!

3*LA Dodgers +1.5  (Strider/Lynn)

The Dodgers have already beaten Spencer Strider once this season. The Dodgers' lineup has a .818 OPS in 33 at-bats against Atlanta's top pitcher. The Braves are coming off a three-game series at a high altitude without any days off. On the other hand, the Dodgers have a perfect 5-0 record when Lance Lynn is on the bump, and they have a rested bullpen. Take the Blue Crew on the run line!

3*Hawaii +17.5

The Warriors seek 53-point revenge from last season's second half meltdown. The Run and Shoot is fully installed, with head coach Timmy Chang calling the plays and QB Braden Schrager better suited within it. Hawaii went 7-1 ATS in their last eight games. Vanderbilt's stadium has undergone renovations and now has a capacity of 28,500, down from 40,000+. They possess one of the worst home-field advantages (1.75) and only won five games last year, with a luck ranking of No. 11 in the nation. The Commodores rank last in SEC recruiting for the fourth time in five years and are only 3-10 ATS as home favorites over the past three seasons. Vanderbilt will miss their most promising offensive lineman due to an injury sustained in the off-season. I like the road dog in this spot!

5*Cincinnati Bengals +4.5

The Bengals, coming off a tie last Thursday, have a fierce competition for their backup QB. Both will be motivated to perform against the Commanders, who are coming off an emotional victory on MNF, where their offense was on the field for 81 plays. The road team has a substantial net rest and preparation advantage of 4+ days. The Bengals would like to end the preseason with a 1-1-1 record by beating the team that just snapped Baltimore's 24-game preseason win streak. Take the dog!

3*New England Patriots +3

During the past week, these teams had joint practices. I admire the Patriots' coaching staff in these situations. The Packers won big in week one and don't need to show much. New England has two QBs who can run, an advantage in the second half. Bet on the underdog.

4*Cincinnati Bengals +6.5

Jake Browning, a skilled quarterback with two years of experience in the Bengals' system, will lead the team in the second half of the game. He has demonstrated his abilities through impressive performances in all three preseason games last season. Although Green Bay crushed the Bengals, they have significant potential, making the point spread seem overly generous. Notably, 0-1 underdogs of 6 or more points, playing against 1-0 teams, have covered the spread 61% in week two.

3*Tennessee Titans +3.5

The Titans are using a three-quarterback rotation and plan to bring in Malik Willis, known for his ability to run and throw, during the second half of the game. In preseason games against third and fourth-string defenses, it's wise to support quarterbacks with a solid running game. Additionally, since it will be a hot day, this will further favor a quarterback who can run. While there are high hopes for the Chicago team this season, you'll unlikely see many of their top players on the field. Therefore, I recommend betting on the underdog.

3*Cincinnati Reds +1.5 -120 (Garrett/Weaver)

Today's lineup for the Reds consists of seven right-handed batters, with one switch hitter. Braxton Garrett has a strong record against left-handed batters, allowing only a .230 batting average compared to .279 against righties. However, his hard-hit rate is relatively high at 43%. It's worth noting that the Reds have an impressive .844 OPS against left-handed pitchers. Based on this information, the Reds are a good choice for the run line, which should be closer to -135.

4*LA Lakers +6

The Lakers function better with extended rest, and this team has the best record since the trade deadline. The Nuggets did not play this new version of the Lakers. All four meetings were before the trade deadline. LA is ranked No. 8 in defense efficiency, while Denver is ranked No. 15 this season. I like the Lakers in this spot!

4*Phoenix Suns -4

The Suns are 30-14 at home, with a +5 point differential. Denver is 20-23 on the road, with a -3 point differential. Chris Paul is out and that's reflected in the line. Cameron Payne has proven his ability to step up in clutch moments. During the Suns' 2021 playoff run, he filled in admirably for an injured Chris Paul, notching a career-high 29 points in a Game 2 victory over the LA Clippers during the Western Conference Finals. Take the hungry host!

Kentucky Derby (May 6th)

We like #6 Kingsbarns (12/1) to win, place, and show!

Owns the fastest early and middle pace speed figures in the race. He won the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby from Post 6. His last work (4f in 48.4) was off the charts (33/150) at Churchill Downs. The progeny of Uncle Mo have won 20% in all dirt routes over the past 5 years and have hit-the-board 50% as well. The track is expected to be on the wet side, which should help his front-running style.

3*Denver Nuggets -2.5

The Nuggets have extra motivation after getting swept by Phoenix in this round last season. The Suns play their starters heavy minutes and that doesn't bode well at high-altitude. Kevin Durant did not play in Denver this season. I like this cohesive Nuggets' team that has been playing together all season. Take the hungry host!

4*Memphis Grizzlies -4

Memphis shot poorly in game four and still almost won the game. I think the Lakers are a tired team and closeout games are tough to win on the road. The earlier start time favors the Grizzlies. Take the home team in this spot!

4*Golden State Warriors +1

The extra time between games should benefit the Warriors in game one. Since 2013, NBA defending champions are 8-0 SU in their first playoff game. The Raptors and Lakers didn't make the playoffs after winning the Title. The Warriors should be super focused after not playing great on the road during the regular season. Andrew Wiggins is back and ready to go. Take Golden State!

2*Chicago Bulls +5.5

The Bulls went 3-0 vs. Miami this season and were short-handed in one of those games. Miami is 9-24 ATS vs. teams with a losing record. That is very telling. The Bulls and Hawks are built similarly, and Atlanta had very little trouble against Miami's older roster. This line seems a tad inflated. Take the road dog!

3*Atlanta Hawks +5.5

The Heat eliminated Atlanta from the playoffs in five games last season. I think this Hawks' team has more talent than last year's squad. The Heat are "nicked" up for this play-in game. Miami is 19-36 ATS as a favorite and 2-9 ATS after a win by 10 or more points. I think the Hawks will be extremely motivated in this spot. Take the underdog!

4*Philadelphia 76ers -2

The Celtics hit the road for the last time this season after having three days off. Boston has a revenge game against Toronto on Wednesday. Doc Rivers called out his team after their non-effort against the Bucks. Philadelphia is 0-3 vs. the Celtics and should be super motivated at home. Jaylen Brown has a 50% chance of playing after injuring his back. Robert Williams is Out for Boston. Take the hungry host!

3*Toronto Raptors +5.5

Philadelphia shot 47.2% from 3-point land in their win against Dallas on Wednesday. This will be the 76ers' second game after playing in Denver. Teams are cashing under 40% in this role. Tobias Harris is doubtful. He's only missed six games this season. Toronto is 10-4 ATS playing with two days of rest. The 76ers are just 1-5 SU and 1-5 ATS before playing the Milwaukee Bucks over the last two seasons. Take the road dog!

5*San Diego State +7.5

Both teams play real defense. The Aztecs' defense is elite which is why the total is relatively low. All the pressure is on Alabama. I try to keep it simple in the Sweet 16. I have this game power-rated closer to five points. I see value with the Aztecs in this spot. I love their coach too. Take the underdog in this spot! 

4*Auburn +5.5

This will be the Houston Cougars' fifth game in eight days. A far cry from the regular season where teams get plenty of days to rest and prepare. I think the Tigers matchup quite well and that was before Marcus Sasser's groin injury. He's going to play, but won't be 100% healthy. Auburn played a much tougher schedule this season. I'm taking the points with the Tigers in this spot!

5*Michigan State -1.5

The Spartans are ranked No. 2 in three-point percentage. They shot 18.8% from beyond the arc in their loss against Ohio State. USC will be playing this game on a body clock of 9:15 AM. We just sprung forward too! The Trojans are a poor rebounding team that commits turnovers on 17.6% of their possessions. A Tom Izzo coached team with one week to prepare seems like the right side. Take the Spartans!

5*Boise State +2

The Broncos' head coach (Leon Rice) was a longtime assistant at Gonzaga and the players execute his system to perfection. Boise State holds opponents to just 30% from beyond-the-arc and has a Top 20 defense two years in a row. Max Rice (Leon's son) has exploded this year, averaging 14 points per game on 42% from 3-point land. He's also shooting 87.7% from the free-throw line. Northwestern is ranked outside the Top 250 nationally in points per game (290), three point percentage (292), and field-goal percentage (341). The Broncos are 5-2 straight-up in neutral court games, while Northwestern is just 1-2 SU this season. I like the Broncos quite a bit in this spot!

3*Utah State +2

The Aggies will be playing with triple revenge after San Diego State defeated Utah State twice this season. The Aztecs eliminated Utah State from the conference tournament last season as well. I think this line is a trap. The Aggies own a +14.6 point differential over their past five games, while the Aztecs are +6.2 in their past five tilts. San Diego State owns a negative point differential this season when playing without rest. They expended a lot of energy on defense holding San Jose State to 49 points. I like the Aggies in a mild upset!

3*Texas A&M -1

The Aggies are on a mission after returning four starters from a 27-win team last season. Texas A&M wasn't ranked in the preseason Top 25. The Aggies went 15-3 in conference games with a +8.2 point differential this season. Arkansas went 9-10 in conference games with a +1.6 point differential. I like Texas A&M in this spot! 

3*St. Johns -5

Teams have split two meetings this season. I was more impressed with the Red Storm and they can't get to play this revenge game at home. Butler is 6-13 SU and 8-11 ATS vs. losing teams this season. I like the home team in this spot!

2*USC Trojans +3

The Trojans need a signature win against a ranked team to solidify a berth in the Big Dance. USC shot 36.9% from the field and 23.5% (4-for-17) from 3-point land in the first meeting. Arizona shot 50% (12-for-24) from beyond the arc. USC is 8-2 SU and 8-2 ATS since that loss back on January 19th. These teams have similar stats in conference games with USC owning the better defense. Light play on the home underdog!

4*Boise State PK

The Broncos should be fired-up in their final regular season home game. Boise State has revenge from a 20-point loss back on February 3rd. They shot 37% from the field and 11% from three-point land (2-for-18). I think the Broncos will be a tough match-up and SD State will be playing their first back-to-back road games with the longest travel of the season. The Aztecs have a big home game on deck vs Wyoming. Max Rice has followed a poor shooting game (4-for-18) with a stellar performance this season. Boise State is 4-1 straight-up after a loss and extra pissed off after going down in OT. Take the Broncos!

4*Kentucky Wildcats +2

The Wildcats already defeated a much healthier Tennessee squad last month. The Wildcats can tie the Volunteers for third place in the conference with a victory. Tennessee is coming off an emotional high-energy win against the No. 1 team in the nation (Alabama). I like the home underdog in this spot!

3*Northwestern +3

The Wildcats already defeated Indiana when the Hoosiers were much healthier. Northwestern has won three in a row and plays really good defense at home. Lets fade Indiana playing in back-to-back road games! 

4*Kansas City Chiefs +2

The Chiefs played the 9th toughest schedule, while the Eagles played the 29th easiest schedule. Philadelphia steps up in class after beating the over-rated Giants, and the 49ers who had to use their fourth string QB, and Brock Purdy who couldn't throw the ball downfield. Jalen Hurts yards per attempt has been declining in his past four games (8.0, 6.0, 5.9, 4.0). The Chiefs' offensive line is ranked No. 5 in sack rate (4.8%), while the Eagles are ranked No. 19 (7.7%) this season. Look for Kansas City to play a lot of up-tempo which should negate the Eagles' pass rush. I can't pass up Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes with two weeks to prepare, knowing they are 18-6-1 ATS as an underdog or a favorite of three points or less. Kansas City has played 32 straight games they either won outright or lost by four points or less. Take the Chiefs plus the points.

3*St. Johns +1.5

The Red Storm have dropped five in a row, and should be super focused playing a team they easily defeated last month. The Bulldogs are 0-7 SU when playing with revenge this season. St. Johns is 6-1 SU against losing teams, while Butler is 4-11 SU against winning teams. Light play on the road team!

3*Virginia Tech PK

Virginia will be playing its second straight road game. Virginia Tech returns home after a poor defensive effort with a chance to get a signature win against an in-state rival. The Hokies have been solid at home in revenge games vs. ranked teams. Take V. Tech!

3*Nevada +3.5

The Wolf Pack will be playing with revenge and should be focused facing a ranked team at home. Nevada is 5-0 SU after a loss this season. San Diego State is ranked No. 122 in free-throw percentage, while Nevada is ranked No. 4 this season. This line seems inflated to me. Take the points in this late night match-up!