Kansas City Chiefs.

Game 102.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

Hello friends, in all sincerity, I feel both of these teams deserve to be playing in the Super Bowl. As a matter fact, I predicted in the preseason, that these two teams would be playing for this season’s Lombardi Trophy (notice they named it after an Italian lol). Having said that, with all respect to the San Francisco 49ers and Brock Purdy, they just have proven that they could win at this level. I know Purdy was not there a few years back when the 49ers made it to the Super Bowl. But I still feel that they are a little bit short of what they need to do to win the Super Bowl. Whether you like it or not, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are the new Tom Brady and the Patriots. Not only have they gotten here quite a few times over the last several seasons, but they have prevailed on this platform. I have said it before and I will say it again, whatever you did prior to the Super Bowl does not matter. It is a moot point. Patrick Mahomes is a money player. He comes up big in big game situations. If you are worried about the hype about this team not being what they were, or that their defense can't stop the rush, just look at the Conference title game against a Ravens opponent, which happened to be the NFL’s top-rushing offense. They possess a defensive unit that has not allowed a single opponent to put up better than 27 points this season. My friends, after the Conference Title win, Patrick Mahomes was interviewed, and made it a point to say that the team was cognizant of being an underdog there. HMMM. How would you feel if you were the heavyweight champion of the world, and yet you faced the new kid on the block and were an underdog? Trust me when I tell you, Mahomes and the Chief will take care of business here and probably win this game outright. But I will take the points to err on the side of caution. Kansas City is the play plus the points. Thank you.

Props

As far as props go, we are all well-aware that not just in the Super Bowl (which was usually the only major prop contest of the year), PROPS have really exploded over recent years. Every single game in every sport, every day you'll find a list of prop bets available to you longer than your arm. Listen folks, when it comes to props, if it doesn't give you value, step away. If you just want to bet some props for poops and giggles, then bet 20 props for 10 bucks a game, and have all the poops and giggles you can possibly handle. However, if you're serious about making money, be disciplined. Let me tell you what I mean by that: There is a prop out there about Patrick Mahomes throwing a touchdown; Will Mahomes throw a TD? Do I think he's gonna’ throw a TD? I think he's gonna’ throw several TD’s. But the odds on him to throw a TD, ranges from -450 to -500. There is no value in it my friends. There is no value at all. Listen, God forbid on the first series of the game he gets hurt and he is sidelined, then you are screwed. And to be honest with you, unless you're betting hundreds of thousands of dollars, there's no significant profit in it anyway. Let it go. Below are some props that I really feel strongly about. They are all props that I feel give us value.

PROPS

These are the props I feel are most “valuable” and the ones with a star are stronger, two stars are really strong as far as “value” goes.

 Will the game be tied after 0-0? YES +145 *

Shortest FG of game 27.5 yards. UNDER -110 *

 Will there be a ST or Defensive TD? Yes +250 *

Longest rush by Purdy 6.5 yards. OVER Even Money

Total TD passes by Purdy 1.5. OVER -110

Total receiving yards by Kittle 49.5. OVER -110 *

Will Kittle score a TD? Yes +170

Total TD passes by Mahomes 2. OVER +170

Will Pacheco score a TD? Yes +120

10)Total receiving yards by Kelce 72.5. OVER -110 *

11)Longest reception by Kelce 21.5 yards. OVER Even Money

12)Total receptions by Kelce 6.5. OVER -110 **

13) Will Kelce score a TD? YES +105 **

Over.

Just like me, I'm going to keep this analysis very short and extremely sweet (lol. While, both defenses have consistently been two of the best in the NFL, I feel that both offenses can and will exploit their opponents’ defensive units here. Both offensive units have amazing receivers and great ground games as well. Mind you, a lot of people out there think the under is going to be a big play. But I think you're going to see two smart coaches with two smart quarterbacks commanding two very successful offensive units. Defense will probably win the game in the end. But only after a lot of scoring. Just FYI, the 49ers have played to 10 overs, eight unders, and one push. While the Chiefs have played to mostly unders this season, playing in the Super Bowl is a whole different monster. I see both teams scoring quite a bit consistently throughout the game. Take the over. Thank you.

Props

As far as props go, we are all well-aware that not just in the Super Bowl (which was usually the only major prop contest of the year), PROPS have really exploded over recent years. Every single game in every sport, every day you'll find a list of prop bets available to you longer than your arm. Listen folks, when it comes to props, if it doesn't give you value, step away. If you just want to bet some props for poops and giggles, then bet 20 props for 10 bucks a game, and have all the poops and giggles you can possibly handle. However, if you're serious about making money, be disciplined. Let me tell you what I mean by that: There is a prop out there about Patrick Mahomes throwing a touchdown; Will Mahomes throw a TD? Do I think he's gonna’ throw a TD? I think he's gonna’ throw several TD’s. But the odds on him to throw a TD, ranges from -450 to -500. There is no value in it my friends. There is no value at all. Listen, God forbid on the first series of the game he gets hurt and he is sidelined, then you are screwed. And to be honest with you, unless you're betting hundreds of thousands of dollars, there's no significant profit in it anyway. Let it go. Below are some props that I really feel strongly about. They are all props that I feel give us value.

PROPS

These are the props I feel are most “valuable” and the ones with a star are stronger, two stars are really strong as far as “value” goes.

 Will the game be tied after 0-0? YES +145 *

Shortest FG of game 27.5 yards. UNDER -110 *

 Will there be a ST or Defensive TD? Yes +250 *

Longest rush by Purdy 6.5 yards. OVER Even Money

Total TD passes by Purdy 1.5. OVER -110

San Francisco 49ers.

NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER.

Game 322.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

My friends, I'm gonna’ keep this analysis a lot like me, very short and extremely sweet (LOL). I will admit that I drank the blue Kool-Aid several times this season winning a few and dropping a few with the Lions. This is a very good team. Don't get me wrong. They are certainly deserving of their postseason spot. But could we possibly be jumping the gun here and maybe more wanting them to wins than thinking they're going to win? Let's start with the elephant in the room. As of posting this play, the status of Deebo Samuel is uncertain. However, please remember that that situation is already included in the current number. In my opinion, if he plays this number should be closer to -9 or -10. And that's only so they don't get overwhelmed with underdog bets. If he plays, great. If he does not, it will not significantly affect the offense. This squad is loaded with playmakers. They've got an arsenal of receivers, one of the best tight ends in the game, and let's not forget in the backfield, one of the most valuable players to their team playing today. I feel Brock Purdy and the fourth-ranked passing offense of San Francisco will totally pick apart the 27th ranked pass defense of Detroit. Let's be honest guys, just about every opponent the Lions have faced since early-November, has put a lot of points up on them. While they own solid, stop-unit against the rush, they haven't faced too many offenses that is as loaded at every key position as they're going to face here this weekend. A big part of their success offensively, is there ground game. Once again, they're lining up against the second-ranked run defense in the league. As far as the passing game goes, there is no question. Jared Goff has put up some very impressive numbers. However, look at their schedule and you will see that when the quarterback has faced defenses that are strong in the middle of the field with good linebacking corps, he has put up his five worst performances this season. I'm happy for the Detroit fans. They certainly deserve some excitement. But maybe they're a little overexcited and come in here overconfident. One more item my friends, big games usually come down to big plays by quarterbacks and mistakes. Brock Purdy makes very few mistakes. As a matter fact, the offense has done very well not turning the ball over too often. The same can't be said for Detroit. They have committed 23 turnovers on offense this season. That does not bode well when you're going up against the team that's already snagged 27 takeaways. Take the 49ers. Thank you.

Kansas City Chiefs.

AFC Championship Game Winner.

Game 319.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

There is no question these are the two best teams in the AFC. However, you cannot ignore the success of Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in the postseason. As far as Lamar Jackson and the Ravens are concerned, they are certainly a great squad. But let's be honest, when it comes down to the playoffs, Jackson and the team overall, falls a bit short. Trust me when I tell you, Kansas City did what they needed to do on the road in Buffalo last Sunday. Although Baltimore did the same at home against Houston, there is a big difference in the level of opponent from last week to this week for them. The Chiefs are clicking at the right time. They overcame injury issues mid-season. But finished strong, and won and covered both postseason contests. The Ravens have been solid all season long. But at times their defense has shown cracks. I know this somewhat contradicts their top-ranked scoring defense. But hear me out. At times, they showed vulnerability. You cannot say the same for the Kansas City stop-unit. Yes, I am aware that Baltimore's "D" allows just 16.5 points per game, while the KC "D" allows 17.3 points per game. But Kansas City has not allowed a single opponent this season to reach 30 points in scoring (27). Offensively, the Ravens put up more points statistically. They top the league on the ground. But leave a lot to be desired in the air. This is going to be an issue because they are facing one of the toughest pass defenses in football. Kansas City will completely shut down the passing game of Baltimore and allow their defense to key on the running game. The Chiefs have proven they could win a tough game on the road against a solid opponent in the playoffs. They showed us this last week. I also think they are better coached, more disciplined, and a lot more experienced in the postseason. Take Kansas City. Thank you.

Kansas City Chiefs.

AFC JANUARY GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 317.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

Two of the most acclaimed quarterbacks in the NFL are going to be meeting one another for the seventh time. Kansas City and Buffalo have each won three of the previous matchups. However, Patrick Mahomes has bested Josh Allen when it counts, taking both playoff meetings. I don't want to upset any Bill fans. But I've been doing this for a long time, and I want you to know there are fun players, and there are money players. Josh Allen is the first. He puts up amazing numbers every year. But when it comes down to games he must win, let's be honest, the mistakes pile up and the Bills lose. On the other hand, Patrick Mahomes is a money player. He wins when games are on the line. He wins when crunch time is upon him. And he wins in the postseason. No matter what you do during the regular season, when it comes to the playoffs, it is a whole different monster.  I hear people talking about the weather up in Buffalo. But Kansas City is no stranger to cold weather. I know the Bills closed out the regular season one of the hottest teams in the league. And that did include a three-point outright win on the road at Arrowhead in early-December. But giving Mahomes and the experienced, Kansas City Chiefs points in January is a big mistake. Not only will Mahomes be a major difference in this contest. But the consistently solid defense of the Chiefs will be a major factor as well. This is a squad that has yielded a mere, 17.3 points per game, and ranks fourth against the pass. They are going to get a lot of pressure on Allen and force him to make mistakes. Take Kansas City. Thank you.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

WC CONSENSUS GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 152.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

You would think that this time of year in the playoffs Philadelphia would be the play. I'm here to tell you they are a go against. This is not the same Eagles team we have come to watch over the last several seasons. Let's face it, they backed into the postseason, losing five of their last six straight up, and failing to cover seven straight and eight of their last 10. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have been a surprise, earning a postseason spot, winning five of their last six SU, and covering seven of their last 10 ATS. Momentum plays a big part come the postseason, my friends. And to be honest with you, Tampa Bay wasn't expected to be here. And a team with nothing to lose is very dangerous. The Philadelphia defense has gotten shredded for over 25.2 points per game this season, ranking 30th in points allowed. While their offense still has a lot of weapons, they also make a lot of mistakes, turning the ball over 28 times this season. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has a solid run defense, ranking fifth in the league, which can and will neutralize the rushing attack of Philadelphia here. They will cause a lot of three-and-outs thus putting the Eagles “D” on the field a little more than they would like to be. I believe 4000-yard passer, Baker Mayfield (check status) will have a very good day here lining up against the 31st ranked pass defense of Philly. I expect him to play, folks. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you.

Dallas Cowboys.

Sunday WILD CARD BEST BET.

Game 148.

1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST.

I am aware the Packers have won covered the last four meetings with the Cowboys, going back to 2017. I am also aware they have won three in a row straight up, covering their last two, coming into the playoffs. But if there is any team in the NFL that has a significant home-field advantage, it is Dallas. They are on a 16-game win streak at AT&T Stadium. They are a perfect, 8-0 on their own field this season. They also know they can't let their guard down here in this round. You know this stadium is going to be loud and crazy as the loyal fans of the Cowboys are going to watch their first home playoff game since 2018. Please remember that although Green Bay is a good team. They haven't been consistently good this season. They are also at a big disadvantage as the Dallas Cowboys head coach knows the Green Bay Packers team inside and out. On both sides of the ball, the home team here is one of the most complete in all of the NFL. I see their rushing attack moving the chains and allowing Dak Prescott to open up the passing attack. I don't see the Cowboys letting their foot off the gas here. They will leave no doubt. Take Dallas. Thank you.

Kansas City Chiefs.

Saturday Wild Card Best Bet.

Game 144.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

When this line first came out, I will admit I leaned towards the ‘dog. However, looking at the injury report and recent performances has compelled me to take the favorite here. The story of the Dolphins this season was a very good story. However, they have dropped three of their last five games, both straight up and against the spread, including their last two coming into the postseason. Momentum means a lot this time of year, my friends. Their once once powerful offense has tallied a total of 33 points the last two outings, while their defense has gotten flattened for 77 points. Something you may find very strange is this team has only averaged a mere 19 points per game against the six fellow playoff teams they faced this season. By the way, they lost five of those games. What does that tell you? It tells you this team can put up some numbers, but when they have to step up in class, they fall short. Kansas City was struggling for sure. But they still made it to 11 wins this season. Their offense started to step up a bit. And it's hard to go against Patrick Mahomes at home in the month of January. But I believe it will be their defense that will shine in this matchup. You may not realize this, but this defense ranks second in the league in point scored, allowing only 17.3 points per game. I know the Miami offense tops the NFL in passing yards per game. However, they are going up against one of the best pass defenses in football. Oh, by the way, as I mentioned earlier, the Dolphins are going to be without quite a few starters on the defensive side of the ball. Take the Chiefs. Thank you.

Detroit Lions.

NFC North Game of the Month.

Game 478.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Detroit currently has the No. 3 seed in the NFC playoff picture. But does have an opportunity to step up to the No. 2 seed with a win here and some help. The Vikings playoffs chances are basically hanging on by a thread. Now normally I would be a little apprehensive about a game like this. But Detroit head coach, Dan Campbell announced he will be playing quarterback, Jared Goff, and his starters in this contest. For how long, who knows. But they want this win. They lost a heartbreaker last week on the road to Dallas by one-point. That ended a two game straight up win streak. But did extend their ATS cover streak to three consecutive games. They don't want to go into the postseason on a two-game slide. They need a big ego boost here. And what better team to face than their hated division rival, which happens to be on a three-game slide straight up themselves. As a matter fact, they've lost five of their last six straight up. failing to cover five straight. One thing for sure, with the announcement that Nick Mullins will start at quarterback for the Vikings, you can expect the Lions to throw a lot of different schemes at him with their very talented defense. On the flipside of the ball, Goff is going to have his best performance of the regular season because most of Minnesota secondary is either banged-up or out here. FYI, Detroit has taken three of the last four meetings in this series straight up and six in a row against the number. Take the Lions. Thank you.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

NFC South Game of the Month.

Game 479.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Tampa Bay controls their destiny here folks. In other words, they win and they are in the playoffs. Let's throw away the fact the Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS as a visitor this season. Let's throw away the fact Carolina has been eliminated from any postseason chances quite a while back. Throw away the fact that this home team is just 2-14, which is the worst record in the NFL this season. And throw away the fact that Carolina is also just 1-4 SU against division opponents this season. The Buccaneers are a smart, well-coached, disciplined squad, certainly outclassing their opponent in this matchup. They were riding a four-game straight up win streak prior to last weeks, 23-13 loss on the road at the Saints. But did extend their ATS cover streak to three in a row. They have dominated this division rivalry, taking eight of the last 10 meetings, straight up, and covering seven of those 10 matchups. The Panthers aren't going to jeopardize any of their significant starters here. And let's face it, even if they were going to play all out, they just don't have the personnel to contend here. If they did, they wouldn't have finished this season with the worst record in football. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you.

Houston Texans on the Money line.

NFL Consensus Game of the Week.

Game 469.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

It seems as though every year during the last week of the regular season, you need graphs, charts, and diagrams to understand which teams need victories, which teams are eliminated, and which teams could certainly better their playoff situation. This game is very simple, a win and you will be in the postseason. Now there is a game being played earlier in the Jaguars/Titans matchup. If the Jaguars win, they take the division. If they lose, and the Texans win, Houston will take the division. Let me start off with something that really stuck out to me…the Texans are 7-0 ATS their last seven division road games. That is huge my friends. Quarterback, CJ Stroud has led this team to their first winning season since 2019. Now they want a playoff berth. In last week’s, 26-3 win at home against the Titans, the offense showed no signs of rust as Stroud made his return. The offensive line also looks very sharp, only allowing one sack. I see the Rookie of the Year candidate putting up some of his best numbers of the season here against a very vulnerable, Colts secondary. Indianapolis also ranks 27th in the league against the rush. That means Devin Singletary will get a lot of touches here and move the chains on the ground with his legs, opening up Stroud and the passing game. Defensively, Houston matches up well here with Indianapolis. I see a real mismatch in this contest. Oh, one more item, the Texans also have revenge as a motivator as they dropped the first meeting with the Colts back in mid-September at home. The line is moving between a -1.0 and a -1.5. So just err on the side of caution, take Houston on the money line. Thank you.

Play LA.

Los Angeles needs victories right now. And let's be honest, this is a team that has turned it up when they needed to, winning five of their last six straight up, and five straight against the spread. Word has come down that New York is basically throwing in the towel here, as many of their starters are going to be sidelined in place of backups. The Rams need the game, while the Giants have already made January vacation reservations. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Play Dallas.

Having suffered back-to-back losses for the first time this season, the Dallas Cowboys return home and get back on track. They are a perfect 7–0 at AT&T Stadium this season, covering six of those games. As far as Detroit goes, I think they're a very good team. However, every time they need to step up in class, they truly let us down. I'm not saying they are posers. I'm just saying they can't win in crunch time. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

Miami Dolphins on the moneyline.

Game 472.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

Guys, I think the Dallas Cowboys are a good team. However, there's a few things that really stand out in my mind about this team. For starters, it seems each time are asked to step up, they fall short. Their last three losses this season were against San Francisco, Philadelphia and Buffalo. Sure, they can be teams like the Jets, the Chargers, the Giants, and the Panthers. But each time they have to step up in class and face an NFL elite team, they fall short. Secondly, they might be 7-0 at home, but they are just 3-4 on the road this season straight up.  They have failed to cover four of their last six on the road in 2023. And lastly, I really don't think Dak Prescott is a big game quarterback. While he'll put up statistics and numbers, etc., he folds like a cheap suit in big game situations. And this is a big game situation. The Dolphins are a monster team, the number one scoring offense in football, averaging over 31.5 points per game. They are equally good in the air as they are on the ground. And defensively I like the way they match up here. Yes, the Cowboys own the number two scoring offense in the league. However, they face a defense here that matches up well with them as Miami’s stop-unit ranks 10th against the pass and forth against the rush. The dolphins are 6-1 SU at home this season, going 5-2 ATS. Being at home in front of a friendly crowd, I feel the Dolphins are the play here. Take Miami. Thank you.

Indianapolis Colts.

Game 457.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Guys, I understand that Atlanta is playing at home. But I still think the wrong team is favored here. The Falcons have dropped five of their last seven, both straight up and against the spread, including the last two games coming into this matchup. Meanwhile the Colts have been much more consistent, winning and covering five of their last six games coming into this contest. Taylor Heinicke has been named starter here. I could just leave the analysis at that and I think we'd all know what we should do (LOL). But I'm not crazy about this kid. I don't like the way he calls a game, and I don't think he's a leader. At least not yet. I see the 1-2 punch of Minshew and Moss moving the chains offensively for Indianapolis and wearing down an already-fatigued Atlanta defense. Take the Colts. Thank you.

Cincinnati Bengals on the moneyline.

Game 453.

1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST.

Very simply, the Bengals need wins. Yes, the Steelers need wins too. But I think we can all agree, Cincinnati is starting to run at the right time, winning and covering their last three outings, while Pittsburgh is ice-cold losing and failing to cover their last three contests. These two teams certainly know each other well and don't like each other. The Bengals have taken four of the last six both straight up and against the spread in the series and have revenge on their minds, because they did drop a November 26 meeting at home against the Steelers, 16-10.  The Pittsburgh offense is non-existent. During their current three-game slide, they have accounted for an average of 13.6 points per game, while their defense has gotten blown up for 75 points during their skid. Good teams rise to the occasion. And Cincinnati is a good team. Take the Bengals on the moneyline. Thank you.

Los Angeles Rams.

Game 452.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

Despite both the Saints and the Rams possessing identical, 7-7 records, Los Angeles is in the seventh seed while New Orleans is in the ninth seed in the NFC. The Saints come off back-to-back wins and covers against the Panthers and the Giants. However, facing Bryce Young and Tommy DeVito are far cry from facing Matthew Stafford. Neither Carolina’s, Chuba Hubbard, or New York's, Saquon Barkley could do anything on the ground either. It's not because the New Orleans run defense is so good. It was because those running offenses are so bad. Tonight, they must face a very solid ground attack of Kyren Williams. Prior to their last two games, the Saints defense got thrashed for 27, 24, and 33 points against the likes of the Vikings, the Falcons, and the Lions. I expect them to get thrashed again this evening, facing the leagues ninth ranked-scoring offense. Speaking of Los Angeles, they enter this matchup winning four of their last five straight up, and their last four consecutive against the spread. This team is rolling. And they are rolling at the right time. They need victories to better their situation for a postseason opportunity. Take the Rams. Thank you.

Los Angeles Rams.

Game 324.

1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST.

Following their three-game straight up win streak, Los Angeles lost a heartbreaker last week on the road at Baltimore, however, extending their ATS cover run to three consecutive outings. The Rams sit at 6-7 and need wins right now. After this week’s matchup with the Commanders, they have a home game against the Saints, before finishing up the regular season on the road at the Giants, and then the 49ers. This is a team that certainly controls its own destiny. As far as Washington goes, they have now dropped four in a row straight up, and three straight against the spread. Possessing the NFL's worst defense in total yards, passing yards, and points allowed, it is evident that this game will be a nightmare. During their four-game slide, the commanders have allowed 29, 31, 45, and 45 points. Look for Matthew Stafford, who has accounted for 10 TD’s and just one INT over the last three games, to light up the leagues poorest secondary, while Kyren Williams keeps the Washington defense honest on the ground. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Miami Dolphins.

Game 320.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

If you looked at this game and did your due diligence, you will see the Dolphins are the play. Money came in on the Jets early then bounced back on the ‘Fins. In your research, you had to have checked the remaining regular season games for Miami. Following this contest, they have Dallas at home, Baltimore on the road, finishing the regular campaign up with Buffalo at home. That is a tough slate to end the season. This is a must win for the team and sincerely, the only real pushover for the Dolphins. The Jets have only won one game since November began and only covered one outing since mid-October. They won last week and got their “face-saving” victory behind them. Now New York comes back down to Earth. No way their laughable offense, which has posted 13 or less points in five of their last six outings, can match up with the angry, redemption-seeking, second-ranked scoring offense of Miami here. This game gets ugly. Take the Dolphins. Thank you.  

Atlanta Falcons.

Game 307.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The NFC South has three teams tied at 6-7 and one team bringing up the rear, at 1-12. With last week’s loss at home against Tampa Bay, Atlanta dropped from the number four seed in the NFC, all the way down to the number 10 seed. The Falcons need every victory they can get right now. And what better team to face than the Panthers. Carolina is only one of two teams in the NFL eliminated from any chance at postseason play.  possess the worst record in all the football at 1-12. And as far as sportsbetting is concerned, they've only covered two games in 2023. Atlanta comes into this matchup a little angry and looking for a vengeance after letting their two-game win and cover streak come to an end a week ago. Surely, they are very confident here, knowing they took down Carolina back in early September, 24-10. I just don't see the Panthers, which rank 30th in the league in scoring, and during their current six-game slide has averaged a dismal, 11.6 points per game, keeping pace on the scoreboard here. It's just might be Atlanta’s biggest offensive output this season. Take the Falcons. Thank you.

Denver Broncos.

Game 311.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

My numbers have the line here closer to 1.0 or maybe 1.5. Detroit, which was one of the most exciting stories this season, has dropped two of their last three straight up, and three of the last four against the spread (which includes their last two games played at home). I will admit that I drank the blue Kool-Aid for a while. But it seems every time the Lions are asked to step up or play big, they fall short. Denver is one of the hottest teams in the NFL, winning six of their last seven straight up, and covering five of those seven outings against the spread. Since mid-October, their stop-unit has been one of the toughest in football. Coincidentally, when their defense stepped up, so did their offense. Looking at the history between these two squads, the Broncos have dominated, winning and covering the last three meetings going back eight seasons. With each of these teams completing the regular season on January 7, after this week, the Broncos certainly have a smoother ride, playing at home against the Patriots and Chargers before going on the road to face the Raiders. However, the Lions path is a lot tougher. After this week, they play visitor to both the Vikings and the Cowboys, before finishing the regular season at home once again against their division rival, Minnesota. The statistics are obvious. Detroit should have success on the ground against the NFL’s poorest run defense. However, that is a ranking that comes from the regular season, overall. And to say the Broncos "D" has significantly improved, would be an understatement. Look for quarterback, Russell Wilson to put up some of his best numbers so far in 2023. Take Denver. Thank you.

Philadelphia Eagles.

Game 127.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

My friends, there is no question that these are two of the best teams in football. They just happen to both be NFC representatives. And also, both share the NFC East division. This game has serious implications down the road, for sure. The Philadelphia Eagles own an NFL-best, 10-2 record. The Dallas Cowboys are at 9-3. There are only two other teams in the NFC at 9-3, the Detroit Lions and the San Francisco 49ers. As far as us sports bettors go, Philadelphia is 6-3-3 ATS this season, while Dallas is 8-4 overall against the number on the campaign. The Eagles are money on the road, going 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS as a visitor in 2023. But it's hard to ignore the fact the Cowboys are a perfect 6-0 straight up at AT&T Stadium this season, covering five of their six games played as host. But even more than that, Dallas is riding a 14-game straight up home winning streak, which happens to be the second-longest in franchise history. Philly took a November 5 meeting at home over Dallas, 28-23 to give the team two wins and covers over the last three meetings with their division rival. The Eagles, who got caught, looking in a mid-October contest on the road at the New York Jets, just suffered their most embarrassing defeat in quite a while, losing 42-19 to the 49ers on national TV. This isn't a team that takes losing lightly, sports fans. I expect them to bounce back here and make a statement against a team they know very well. Not only that, this victory would certainly give them control over the Division. Remember, this is a team chock full of talent on both sides of the ball. Put a pin in that we're gonna’ come back around to it in a moment. They have manhandled just about every opponent they have faced this season, including some of the NFL elite (Miami, Dallas, Kansas City, and Buffalo). As far as Dallas goes, they have been one of the most exciting teams in the 2023 regular season. They're currently riding a four-game SU hot streak, covering three of the four. However, I've got to tell you, a lot of their wins have been against subpar opponents. Looking at their schedule thus far, they beat all the teams they should've beaten. But a late-September road loss at the hands of Arizona, throws up a red flag to me. And they did get embarrassed a few weeks later on the road at San Francisco. Other than the 49ers and the Eagles (games they both lost), they haven't faced too many of the Leagues powerhouse opponents. During their current hot run, they took down the New York Giants, the Carolina Panthers, and the Washington Commanders (a combined record of 9-28) before last week’s, 41-35 squeaker over the Seattle Seahawks. As far as injuries, both teams are relatively healthy at major positions as of this post. Both quarterbacks are seasoned, both possessing the luxury of an arsenal of receivers, and both running backs are outstanding. Statistically, the Cowboys own better numbers, both offensively and defensively. And on paper, they look like the better team. However, I think we can all agree that football is not played on paper. It is played on the gridiron. The Cowboys have an explosive passing attack and can exploit the sometimes, leaky Eagles secondary. However, Dallas’ offensive success relies upon their ability to run the ball to open up the passing game. And they're going to have a lot of problems here, moving the chains on the ground against the NFL’s stout, fourth-ranked rush defense. And at times on defense, the Cowboys stop-unit struggles come the second half against solid ground attacks. And the Eagles certainly have a solid ground attack. They rank eighth in the League, averaging over 126.0 yards per game on the ground. A combination of the Cowboys not facing a high-level of opponents this season along with the Eagles needing to bounce back and make a statement after last week’s loss, and throw in the fact, I just don't like Dak Prescott in big game situations, compels me to take the points here. Jalen Hurts has proven he can succeed in must-win games, while Prescott has not. Speaking of the points, the +3.5 is huge here. Take Philadelphia. Thank you.

Detroit Lions.

Game 109.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Detroit is tied for the second-best record in the NFC at 9-3. They have won five of six road games this season straight up, and are 6-2 SU in conference play. As far as the NFC North goes, they are 2-1 SU against Division opponents this season. As far as covering on the road, they have gotten sports bettors paid, going 5-1 ATS as a visitor in 2023. They have taken the last three meetings against Chicago SU, going 2-1 ATS. I am well aware the Bears are rested, coming off a bye week. But I think we can all agree they really aren't too much of a team. With all respect to Chicago fans, this team is downright atrocious. And my friends, they've only covered one game at Soldier Field this season. Things have changed for sure for them as they have no more home field advantage. Granted, they do lead the NFL against the rush, defensively. Looking at their schedule, you will see the defensive numbers are skewed, having not lined up against too many solid running attacks. Detroit ranks third in the NFL in rushing, averaging over 137.7 yards per game on the ground. The ground assault will keep the Bears defense honest, and open up their passing game, which ranks fourth in the football. That is the mismatch that really caught my eye here. Because Chicago is one of the worst defensive teams against the pass in the League, ranking 25th. They have given up a ton of yards in the air to every decent quarterback they have faced. I see the 1-2 punch of quarterback, Jared Goff, and running back, David Montgomery, putting up their best numbers of this regular season here. Take Detroit. Thank you.

San Francisco 49ers.

Game 467.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

 Without question, these are certainly two of the best teams in football. This game will also have some serious implications down the road. Having said all that, we all know that San Francisco is 8-3, while Philadelphia is an NFL-best, 10-1. But there's a few items I would like you to remember. For starters, the last time these two face one another was in late-January, a season ago when the Eagles ousted the 49ers, and then went on to the Super Bowl. San Francisco has had this game circled since the schedule came out. Not only are they a smart, well-coached team, but they are perhaps the most-complete team in the NFL on both sides of the ball. Their offense is clicking on all cylinders, ranking at top-10 in every major category. And their defense is the best in football. I don't think the matchup favors the Eagles here at all. I'm not looking to take away anything from their success. They've earned all of it. But their defense at times, has shown flaws. And I believe those flaws will be exploited here in this matchup. I know they're one of the best in football against the rush. But they rank 29th against the pass. Going back to the 49ers stop-unit, it is the best “D” Philly has faced this season. The Eagles rely upon their ability to move the ball on the ground, thus opening up the passing game. However, this is the second-best run defense in the League. And I think they're going to get very frustrated here and add to their 16 offensive turnovers. One more item I would like you to keep in mind; the next few opponents for San Francisco are definitely beatable. However, coming on deck for the Eagles is the Cowboys on the road. They might be caught in a little bit of a lookahead situation as well. Take the 49ers. Thank you.

Detroit Lions.

Game 453.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

 The Detroit Lions have a nice cushion in the NFC North and are currently tied for the third seed in the NFC at 8-3. They come off a disappointing, Thanksgiving Day loss at home against the Green Bay Packers. The first time they dropped the game this season in mid-September, they followed it up with four consecutive wins and covers. They lost their next game in late-October, following that defeat up with three consecutive straight up wins, going 2-1 ATS. This is a team that bounces back very well. They are also 4-1, both straight up and against the spread as a visitor in 2023. Meanwhile, New Orleans is just 5-6 overall on the season, covering just two games on the campaign. At home, they split out at 2-2 straight up, failing to cover all four on their home field. They are riding a two-game straight up losing streak, failing to cover their last three outings. On both sides of the ball, the Lions outclass the Saints. They own a top-10 offense, averaging over 26.7 points per game. And what better team to face to change things around for their leaky defense. The Saints offense is mediocre at best. They are in for a very frustrating day here. Defensively, they can't stop the rush at all, which is not good in this matchup. I just look for the Lions, which are a well-coached, talented team to bounce back here and get back on track and start getting some victories to close out the season. Take Detroit. Thank you.

Baltimore Ravens.

Game 271.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

With the Miami Dolphins victory the other night, prior to this Sunday's contest, the Baltimore Ravens share the AFC’s top-spot with them at 8-3. They have an opportunity to take sole possession of the top-seed in the Conference with a victory here. They had a few extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for this meeting. After this game, they will be idle with a bye week prior to a December 10 home game against the Rams. This team is running hot, winning five of their last six games straight up, covering four of those six. Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Chargers dwell in the AFC West cellar, at 4-6, and own the Conferences 13th spot. They have lost and failed to cover their last two outings, while only covering one of five home games in the 2023 regular season. The Chargers offense certainly can be dangerous. However, running into the NFL's second-ranked defense is going to be a problem. That's right, the Ravens allow a mere, 16.1 points per game, ranking 30th against the pass and 13th against the run. But I think it will be on the other side of the line of scrimmage that will prove to be fatal for Los Angeles. They ranked 31st in total yards allowed, 32nd in passing yards allowed, and 25th in total points allowed defensively. Dual-threat quarterback, Lamar Jackson will light up the scoreboard, both on the ground, and in the air here. If you recall, he heads up the NFL’s top-ranked rushing offense, while sitting at fourth in the League in points scored, accounting for over 27.6 points per game. Justin Herbert was listed as questionable with a left finger injury. Guys, I expect him to play (check status). But the point is moot, as he must lineup against one of the toughest defenses in the NFL, particularly against the pass. Oh, by the way, the Baltimore stop-unit is by far and away the best in pro football at sacking the quarterback, leading all teams with 44.0 sacks. This game gets ugly. Take the Ravens. Thank you.

Pittsburgh Steelers om the moneyline.

Game 259.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Pittsburgh has a chance to better themselves in the Division, while putting some distance between them and the disappointing, AFC North’s last-place squad, the Cincinnati team. They have done well when facing Division opponents this season, going 2-1 SU, while the Bengals have failed to win any meetings against AFC North opponents thus far in the 2023 regular season. The Bengals have had a few extra days to rest and prepare. But it won't matter. There is certainly a fire under the Steelers backsides, as this week, head coach, Mike Tomlin fired offensive coordinator, Matt Canada, and replaced him with Eddie Faulkner. Quarterback, Kenny Pickett will be at the helm, with the luxury of Najee Harris, heading up the ground attack. Say what you want about Pittsburgh’s statistics, but you can't argue with the 60.5% completion rate for the QB, or the fact he heads an offense that ranks second in the league, committing just eight turnovers. This will be the game that Pickett will put up his best numbers, facing the League’s, 27th ranked pass defense. But it won't stop there as the ground game will be very successful lining up against the NFL’s 30th ranked rushing defense. We all know Jake Browning will be the starter for the Bengals. He took his first significant snaps more than a week ago in a loss on the road at Baltimore. Despite having a solid workhorse in the backfield in Joe Mixon, the offense ranks 30th in the League on the ground. Without a solid, rushing attack, the Cincinnati offense is in real trouble here. Pittsburgh will exact a bit of revenge as they have lost and failed to cover four of the last five meetings in this heated rivalry. I know the Steelers are on the road and laying a small number here. I believe they will dominate this contest. But just to err on the side of caution, take the Steelers on the money line. Thank you.

San Francisco 49ers.

Game 109.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

My friends, currently following the Monday Night contest, the Eagles possess the best record in the NFC, at 9-1, followed by the Detroit Lions at 8-2, then at 7-3, sits the Dallas Cowboys and the San Francisco 49ers. The 49ers started off the season winning their first five outings, covering four of the five. Then they suffered a three-game slide in which they were crushed by injuries. I don't think it's a coincidence that as they’ve gotten healthy, they've won their last two games. This is a team that I feel is one of the best in the National Football League. After this week, they take a little hiatus until a December 3 meeting on the road at the Philadelphia Eagle's. I don't see them overlooking the Seattle Seahawks or being in a lookahead spot at all. They must take this game very seriously. They have to. They have a few extra days off to rest, heal, and prepare for their biggest matchup of the season in their next game. I know the Seattle Seahawks are getting some money put on them here in Vegas (as of post). For the life of me, I don't see why. They were beaten in their last outing by the Los Angeles Rams, 17-16. They allowed Los Angeles to put up 10 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to lose the game very late. This isn't just a reflection of their roster and personnel, it is a reflection of the coaching staff as well. Please understand that the 49ers have won both of their divisional games this season. They took both NFC West games in 2023 thus far: on the road at the Rams in mid-September, then a few weeks later at the beginning of October at home against the Cardinals. As far as the Seahawks go, their quarterback, Geno Smith, banged up his elbow in Sunday's loss. As of Tuesday morning, posting this play, he is questionable. I feel he's going to play. Whether he does or it's back up, Drew Lock, I don't think it matters. They will be going to go up against the NFL's top-ranked scoring defense. San Francisco allows just 15.7 points per game and have already snagged 19 takeaways. That does not bode well for a Seattle offense that's already coughed up the ball 11 times. Let's face it, their offensive unit is mediocre at best. They are horrible at running the ball and middle of the pack at throwing the ball. But either way, they are overmatched with a fast, ferocious, and furious San Francisco stop-unit. On the defensive side, they are facing a top-10 offense, both on the ground and in the air. Let's face it, the 49ers offensive unit has gotten healthy and are truly dangerous. I feel this team should be a favorite of nearly double-digits. So, laying right now less than a touchdown is an early Christmas present. Oh, by the way, San Fran took all three meetings last season, both SU and ATS. Take San Francisco. Thank you.

Minnesota Vikings.

Game 473.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

Guys, I've worked in every facet of this business. I spent several years working in line services. And even worked alongside the original Vegas odds makers. I'm pretty good at creating lines for games. And yet, for the life of me, I just don't see the line the odds makers put on this game. It looks like a trap to me. I have the Minnesota Vikings 1.0 to 1.5 points favorites here. This is currently the hottest team in the NFL, winning and covering five in a row and six of their last seven. As a matter fact, they have covered 5 straight road games. Is this all because Kirk cousins is out? My friends, he's been out for quite a while. Joshua Dobbs has done a very good job filling in at the helm. And their defense has certainly been much-improved. Maybe the odds makers made the line what it is because the Broncos are riding their own three-game win and cover streak. But let's face it, they beat a subpar Packers opponent, happen to catch the Chiefs at the right time, and come off a road win against the struggling Bills. Granted, two of those three teams are known as NFL elite. But I think they have just been very lucky. I feel Dobbs is going to have an enormous amount of success in the air here. I also feel they're going to establish the run against the NFL's worst rush defense. You know overall, the once-feared Denver “D” ranks dead last in points allowed this season, getting plowed for over 27.6 points per game. Meanwhile, offensively, I don't see them moving the chains as easily as they have against their last few opponents. Please remember that prior to the current win streak, the Broncos failed to cover their first five games of this season. The wrong team is favored. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

Game 472.

1:25 PM, PST/4:25 PM EST.

Where to begin...hmm. For starters, this is definitely a disappointing season for the Buffalo Bills. They sit in second place in the AFC East at 5-5. This was a team touted to definitely be in the AFC Title game. Having said that, they began the 2023/2024 campaign off with a big nationally television broadcast loss back on September 11 on the road at the New York Jets. This was a very well publicized game. If you recall, Aaron Rodgers went down in the first series for New York. Everybody gasped, everybody said that's it for the Jets, and everybody said the Buffalo Bills will crush them here tonight. Well, that didn't happen. Following that loss, the Bills then rattled off three consecutive wins and covers. But have since gone just 2-4 straight up and 0-6 ATS.  They come off an embarrassing home defeat to the Denver Broncos. This is a team that does not take a losing lightly. This is a team that especially does not losing in front of their loyal fans. They must kickstart the season with the win here, or they are in dire straits. So, this brings me to my next point...revenge. They don't like losing period. They furthermore don't like losing to Conference opponents. And to go one further, they especially do not like losing to Division opponents. They've had this rematch circled since the opening season lost. The New York Jets are horrible. They lost their last two and failed to cover their last three. Their offense is nonexistent. To be quite honest, they haven't scored a touchdown in 36 straight drives as quarterback Zach Wilson has only thrown one touchdown in his last five games. Over the last two contests, they have zero touchdowns, while Wilson has been sacked 10 times. This does not bode well as they face a very angry Bills defense looking for a little redemption. You know overall the Buffalo's stop-unit still ranks fifth in points allowed, yielding just 18.4 PPG. Offensively, they still score quite a bit, ranking eighth and averaging over 26.2 points per game. If Buffalo is going to get their season back on track, they must start with a big revenge win here. Take the Bills. Thank you.

Detroit Lions.

Game 257.

1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST.

There's still a lot of questions surrounding the Detroit Lions around the league in around the sports betting industry. People are deciding whether they are a contender or a pretender. In my opinion, they are a contender. They own the second-best record in the NFC at 6-2. Believe it or not, the same questions surround the Los Angeles Chargers. They certainly have a solid roster of talent. But each time they're asked to step up in class, they lose, and they fail to cover. Sure, they can beat teams like Minnesota, Las Vegas, Chicago, and New York. But this season, they took losses against Miami, Dallas, and Kansas City. Don't kid yourself, Detroit deserves to be put in the same class as those teams. They are equally good at home as they are on the road. They rank in the top-10 in every major offensive category. Their defense is only allowing 20.6 points per game. I feel the major mismatch between the leagues sixth-ranked passing attack going up against its 32nd ranked pass defense is going to be the factor here. Take the Lions. Thank you.

Cincinnati Bengals.

Game 246.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The early season funk of the Cincinnati Bengals is now in the past. This is a team looking as strong as we expected them to be this season. I think we all know that a few injuries, especially to quarterback, Joe Burrow, not being 100% to kick off the campaign was the reason why they fell short of expectations early. However, over the last month, they have won and covered all four games against some formidable opponents; on the road in Arizona, at home against Seattle, on the road in San Francisco, and at home against Buffalo. Not only has their offense have gotten it done, but their defense has stepped up.  While the Houston Texans certainly have talent, and in my opinion, the best young quarterback playing today, this team just falls short overall. They don't have a ground assault to complement the passing game. It hurts them offensively. On defense, while they have played well overall, they rank 24th against the pass, and that does not bode well as they go up against the Burrow and the surging aerial assault of the Bengals. I do believe this is the game in which Cincinnati establishes their ground assault behind the legs of Joe Mixon. Remember, the Bengals are tied for second place in the AFC north, along with the Browns and the Steelers. A big win today and they can certainly move up a notch. Overall, they could notch another AFC victory. Take Cincinnati. Thank you.

New York Jets.

Game 476.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 EST.

Very simply, I feel the wrong team is favored here. On my two sets of power ratings, I have New York a 2.0-point favorite at a 4.3-point favorite. For starters, the Chargers are not the best road team. They have won just one game straight up on the road since January 1. They've also covered just one game on the road since January 1. They have to face a Jets team that have won three in a row straight up, and are just a half-point away from covering their last four outings. During their current win streak, their defense has allowed just 15.0 points per game, while their offense has stepped up to account for 21.3 points for game during the hot streak. Zach Wilson is showing significant signs of improvement and leadership, which does not bode well for a Los Angeles defense that ranks dead last in the NFL against the pass. Meanwhile, the erratic Chargers offensive unit, which solely relies upon the pass, lines up against the League’s fifth-ranked, pass defense and it's eighth overall stop-unit in points allowed. As I mentioned at the beginning of this analysis, I think the wrong team is favored in. Take the Jets. Thank you.

Dallas Cowboys.

Game 471.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

This may sound crazy my friends. But despite possessing the best record in the NFL, I just don't feel the Philadelphia Eagles are in sync yet. They have looked vulnerable, fatigued, and at times, outclassed this season, despite their league-best record. Their defense, which tops the NFL against the rush, ranks 26th against the pass and 19th in points allowed. Guys, just over recent weeks they allowed the Washington Commanders to twice put up 31 points on them. They also let the Jets post 20 points on them. Guys, elite defenses don't allow teams like that to put up that many points. They must face the NFL’s third-ranked scoring unit in the Dallas Cowboys "O". The problem for the Eagles is that the Cowboys offensive unit is equally good in the air as well as on the ground. They account for over 28.0 points per game. And as far as a home field advantage goes, Philadelphia does not have one when it comes to covering the spread. They have covered just one game at home this season. Statistically, this is the best defense they've had to face this season. On both sides of the ball. They are in for a very tough battle here. Stepping up in class is going to hurt them. Personally, I think this line should be about to pick him. I will take the Dallas Cowboys. Thank you.

Cowboys/Eagles OVER.

NFL BOOKIE BUSTER OF THE WEEK.

Games 471/472.

Sunday, November 5, 2023.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

The Cowboys and Eagles are two of the best teams in the NFC. They just happen to also be in the same division, the NFC East. Normally, this is one of the most competitive divisions in football. However, so far this season, these two teams are separating themselves from the rest of the pack. Philadelphia sits at 7-1, the best overall record in the NFC. Just behind them is Dallas at 5-2. FYI, two other NFC teams also own a 5-2 record, Detroit and Seattle. As of posting this play, these two teams are two of the highest-scoring teams in all of football as the Cowboys average over 28.1 points per game, while the Eagles account for 28.0 points per game. Both offenses are well-balanced: equally strong on the ground as they are in the air. Granted, these are two of the stronger defenses in the league. But my friends their last five meetings have all gone over the total. Four of the Cowboys last six contests coming into this matchup have gone over the total, while Philly just comes off a 69-point contest against Washington. Both teams need this victory. And both teams match up well with the others. You will see quarterback, Dak Prescott exploit the 26th ranked pass defense of the Philly, while the leagues seventh ranked rushing attack of Eagles will exploit the Cowboys lax run defense. Expect a lot of scoring here. Take the over. Thank you.

Under in the NYG/LV matchup.

Games 469/470.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

On one side to side of the field, you've got starting quarterback, Daniel Jones, returning to an offense that averages just 11.9 points per game. However, the Giants defense have certainly stepped up lately, allowing the bills the score just 14, the Commanders to put up just 7, and the Jets to account for just 13 points. On the other side of the field, it's reported that Aiden O'Connell will start. He heads up the 30th ranked scoring offense in the NFL here, which averages a mere 15.8 points per game. And let's face it, I've seen more action on a field than he has. Lol. These two teams have combined to play three overs and 13 unders this season. They only met once in recent years. And that was in November of 2021, when the game went under the total. Take the Under. Thank you.

Indianapolis Colts on the moneyline.

Game 467.

1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST.

This is the ideal situation for Indianapolis to get off their three-game slide. The well-balanced, 1-2 punch of quarterback, Gardner Minshew, and running back's Jonathan Taylor and Zack Moss will be too much for a Carolina defense that ranks 30th in the NFL in points allowed, getting plowed for over 28.4 points per game. Despite their current losing streak, the Colts are still averaged 28.3 points per game during their slide. I see the offense absolutely lighting up the scoreboard here. By the way, the Panthers have covered just one game since last January. Take Indianapolis on the money line. Thank you.

Kansas City Chiefs.

AFC West Game of the Week.

Game 271.

1:25 PM, PST/4:25 PM EST.

Granted, these two teams met just a few weeks ago as the Chiefs prevailed at home, 19-8. They did get the win and cover there. Speaking of covering, this is a team that is 5-2 ATS this season. And going back a little bit further, have covered seven of their last nine outings. Playing in Denver is no benefit to the Broncos anymore. I remember a while back when the Broncos were a “gimmee” at home folks. But this team has covered just one home contest going back to last January. The Chiefs are rolling. Granted they have a meeting on deck with the Dolphins. But I don't see this team falling in the trap of being in a look ahead mode. They know how to stay focused on the task at hand. Let's face it, Denver has a lackluster offense that turns the ball over a lot (11 turnovers) and a defense that ranks 32nd points allowed, 32nd in rushing yards allowed, 30th in passing yards allowed, and 32nd in total yards allowed. I look for quarterback, Patrick Mahomes to have his best performance yet this season. Take Kansas City. Thank you.

San Francisco 49ers.

Afternoon Bailout.

Game 274.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

The number in this game has been going up and down since it came out. Every time somebody comes in on one side, the line gets pulled back on the other side. Granted, the Cincinnati Bengals have one back-to-back games for the first time this season. They've also covered their last two as well. However, they line up against a 49ers opponent that just might be the most complete team in football. To make matters worse for the Bengals, the 49ers have lost and failed to cover their last two games. Please take a note that both of those games are played on the road and in both outings, they were without some key personnel. Several guys are expected to be back for San Francisco here at home in front of their faithful fans. They are certainly further along I believe than Cincinnati. Brock Purdy (check status) is expected to be on the field. Christian McCaffrey is a monster. And let's face it, they have more superstars on both sides of the ball than just about any other team in the NFL. Many people out there thought that these two teams might be competing down the road in the Super Bowl. And anything can happen between now, and then, my friends. However, I just don't see the Bengals defense containing Purdy and his arsenal of weapons. On the flipside, I do see the NFL’s third-ranked stop-unit of San Francisco, getting pressure on Joe Burrow. FYI, the 49ers have covered 10 straight on their home field. Take San Francisco. Thank you.

New York Jets.

Best Bet.

Game 263.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

In a battle for New York, the New York Jets are certainly in better shape at this point in the season than the New York Giants. They enter this matchup winning their last two games; on the road at the Denver Broncos, and at home against the Philadelphia Eagles. Not only that, but they've covered three consecutive outings. No let down situation here as this team has had some extra time off to rest, heal, and prepare. They are expected to see the return of two of their starting defensive secondary stars. That's spells doom for the New York Giants, which will be without starting quarterback, Daniel Jones. That leaves the offense in the hands of Tyrod Taylor. Granted, the Jets passing unit is one of the worst in football. But so is the Giants passing unit. At least the Jets have a monster running back to rely on in ball-carrier, Breece Hall. They also possess a much stronger stop-unit, yielding just 19.8 points per game. I expect their defense to put pressure on Taylor and create turnovers. Please remember you'll see as many green jerseys in the stands as you will blue jerseys. Take the Jets. Thank you.

Minnesota Vikings on the moneyline.

NFC NORTH GOM.

Game 267.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM ET.

It may be just the end of October, but my friends, this game has serious implications down the road. The Detroit Lions are in first place in the NFC North at 5-2. They have a Monday Night matchup at home against the Las Vegas Raiders this week. Sitting in second place is the Minnesota Vikings at 3-4. Third place sees the the Green Bay Packers at 2-4. And bringing up the rear at 2-5, is the Chicago Bears. If Minnesota wins, they pick up a few games on Green Bay. If Green Bay wins, they leapfrog Minnesota. Having said all that the Vikings are starting to stride. They have won and covered their last two outings: on the road at the Bears, the game wasn't as close as their 19-13 victory. Then at home last week as an underdog, they manhandled the 49ers. That game gave them their third ATS cover over their last four contests. Meanwhile, Green Bay is now riding a three-game losing streak, both SU and ATS. The Vikings are also looking for a little payback here. They're looking for revenge from last January’s, 41-17 beat down at the hands of the Packers.  Granted, Green Bay has a pretty good best defense. However, not too many have been able to slow down, let alone, stop the third-ranked passing unit of Minnesota. On the flipside, the mistake-prone Jordan Love (seven INT's) is in trouble here as he goes up against the very stingy, very nasty, defense of Minnesota that has already snagged 10 takeaways. This line is going up and down a little bit. Just the err on the side of caution, take the Vikings on the money line. Thank you.

San Francisco 49ers.

Game 473.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

My friends, the line is a little bit short here and for a good reason. The 49ers have several key players that are either out or listed as questionable as of posting this play. However, you cannot deny that this team is loaded on both sides of the ball. They rank second in scoring and second in points allowed. They rank in the top-10 in just about every major offensive and defensive category. On top of that, they don't turn the ball over at all. They come off their first loss of their season and must bounce back here, for sure. I know they have the Bengals on deck. And if Cincinnati was the team that we had thought they were going to be at this point in the season, I might look to go against San Francisco this evening. But they are not the team that we figured them to be and I don't think the 49ers will be in a look ahead spot. Minnesota cannot run the ball at all. And without a solid ground game to keep the San Francisco defense honest, I just don't think they're going to be able to pull up too many points on the board here. Take the 49ers. Thank you.

Kansas City Chiefs.

AFC West GOW.

Game 468.

1:25 PM, PST/4:25 PM EST.

I know there's money coming in on the underdog here. I know last year’s meetings were each separated by three-points. But football and sports betting are each based on situations. Let's face it, Los Angeles isn't the greatest road team, while Kansas City is a monster team at Arrowhead Stadium. Since they dropped their season-opening game by one-point to the Lions, the Chiefs have rattled off five consecutive straight up wins, going 4-1 ATS. And if you're keeping records, they have also won 12 straight Division games, straight up.  Not only do they like to win games, they particularly enjoy beating AFC West opponents. Patrick Mahomes must be salivating, knowing the second-ranked passing offense in the NFL is going to line up against the 32nd-ranked pass defense in the League. Now that the Chiefs offense is starting to click, let's face it they are the most-complete team in football right now. Their defense has been outstanding, ranking second in points allowed, yielding just 14.7 points per game. I see they're LB corps spending more time in the Chargers backfield than the Chargers players lol. I look for Kansas City to make a statement here. Take the Chiefs. Thank you.

Green Bay Packers on the moneyline.

BEST BET.

Game 469.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

Does anyone remember when the Denver defense was feared? It seems like years have passed since those days. But it all sincerity, they were supposed to be a force to be reckoned with this year. And yet this team is 1-5 SU, failing to cover a single outing yet in the 2023/2024 campaign. Not only that, but their so called, “stop- unit” ranks dead last in the League. That's right, they are 32nd in points allowed (33.3 PPG), 30th in passing yards allowed (268.0 PY), 32nd in rushing yards allowed (172.3), and their offense has twice as many turnovers as their defense has takeaways (11/5). Because their “D” is so overworked and tired, their “O”, which was never a great offense, let's face it, is absolutely horrible. They rank in the bottom half in the NFL in every major category. Mind you, Green Bay, at 2-3, isn't all that great either. But I think we can all agree that they’ve been a bit more competitive this season, than many thought. And for us, sports bettor's, they have covered three of their five outings. The status of starting running back, Aaron Jones is still uncertain as of this post (check status). However, if he does not play, AJ Dillon has proved he can step in and contribute without missing a beat. And let's face it, as I mentioned earlier, the Denver defense ranks dead last against the run. The ability to move the chains on the ground will certainly open up the passing game for Jordan Love. Russell Wilson's numbers are horrible, ranking 27th in a league with a QBR of 39.8. He will have another long day here, going up against the much-improved, ninth-ranked pass defense of Green Bay. In my opinion, the Packers should be a favorite in this matchup of anywhere from 1.5-3.0. If you recall in the beginning of this breakdown, I mentioned about anybody remembering when the Broncos defense was feared. Here's another question I post to you; does anyone remember when playing at home was a must play on Denver? It seems like it was just yesterday that playing at Mile High was a definite play on the home team. Well, this team has failed to cover all three games played at Empower Field this season. Take Green Bay on the moneyline. Thank you.

Detroit Lions.

High Roller

Game 457.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

I admit it folks, I am drinking the Kool-Aid. Just from a sports betting point of view, the Lions are money. Going back to last season, they are on a 14-2 ATS cover streak. And when an underdog, they have covered seven straight. On the other hand, Baltimore is just 3-9ATS their last 12 games when laying a field goal or more. In my opinion, the wrong team is favored here. Very quietly, Detroit's offense ranks in the top-10 in every major category. I know the Baltimore defense is a true force. But they haven't faced a team this complete in quite a while, my friends. On the opposite side of the ball, the Lions stop-unit tops the League against the run. If they could at least slow down Lamar Jackson and the rushing offense of the Ravens, this game can surely get out of hand. Take Detroit. Thank you.

Under in the Jax/NO matchup.

Games 311/312.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

Just like me, I'm going to keep this analysis, short and sweet, (lol). As of posting this play, the status of Trevor Lawrence is still uncertain. My friends, whether he plays or not, I feel this is the contest Jacksonville will feel a little jet leg and suffer the consequences of a time difference. As we all know the Jaguars spent several weeks in London, beating both the Falcons and the Bills. They came back to the United States last week, and took care of business at home against the Colts. I believe that was on shear strength and momentum. This week they're going to feel a little jetlagged and certainly feel the difference between time zones. They face a Saints team that are a mediocre, 3-3 this season. Defense has been the reason why they still have a chance at making 2023 successful. Going back to last season, this team has played to 12 consecutive unders, which includes all six outings this season. And when, facing the AFC South, five consecutive contests have gone under the total. On the flipside, let's face it, their offense just can't score behind the shakiness of quarterback, Derek Carr. With a game at Pittsburgh 10 days from this outing and then going home two weeks after that, well rested to face San Francisco, I can expect the Jacksonville to take their foot off the gas a little bit here. Take the under. Thank you.

Dallas Cowboys ON THE MONEY LINE.

OM play.

Game 277.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

Coming off a bye week, following back-to-back wins, with the expected return (check status) of running back, Austin Ekeler, and getting points at home, makes Los Angeles a very enticing play. But as in life, sometimes things can seem too good to be true. That is the case here. Getting Dallas coming into this matchup, seeking redemption and vengeance after last Sunday’s demoralizing, 42-10 loss at San Francisco is a huge betting angle. For that alone, I would back to Cowboys. But the icing on the cake, they are 8-0 ATS their last eight games played following a loss. By the time they take the field on Monday, the Chargers would have been idle for 15 days. Can you say “Stale, Flat, & Rusty? Dak Prescott had his ugliest outing last week: 153 yards passing, 1 TD, 3 INT’s. He lines up across the NFL’s 32nd ranked pass defense here, a unit that has yielded over 26.0 PPG. Guys, Dallas is a good team. They are not a team to dwell on a past defeat, letting it linger. One big win, on national TV here, sets them back on track. Oh, BTW, my numbers have them a TD favorite in this matchup. Take the Cowboys ON THE MONEY LINE (Just to err on the side of caution. But, we ain’t gonna’ need it. The line, while I was posting this, dropped a bit. So I saw value in the extra few pennies on the ML. Thank you.

Los Angeles Rams.

TEN DIMES PLAY.

Game 272.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

Covering their first three games of the season, Arizona was shaping up to be an under the radar ATS moneymaker. But when October arrived, the Cardinals fell back down to Earth, going 0-2, both straight up and against the spread as underdogs of 14.5 and 3.0 points. On the other hand, the Rams just might be the best sub .500 team in the League right now. And if they're going to take it up a notch, this is the matchup to kick it off. They have dominated their division foe, taking eight of their last 10 meetings, both SU and ATS. Arizona's only true offensive weapon, running back, James Conner is out, dealing a critical blow to the team. Reports are L.A. star wide receiver, Cooper Kupp will be a major factor here in his second game back from injury. Kupp, in his first game back from injury, a week ago, had eight receptions for 118 yards. The cobwebs have been shaken off now. Expect the Stafford/Kupp connection to pick apart the 26th ranked pass defense of ‘Zona in one of my highest-rated plays on the board this week. Take the Rams. Thank you.  

Philadelphia Eagles.

Consensus play.

Game 273.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

Only one of two undefeated teams left this season, Philadelphia is truly scary. Why? Because we still haven't seen their "A" game. With a meeting with Miami, up next, you can expect them to stay focused here. Granted, New York has a stellar rushing attack, behind running back, Breece Hall. But the Eagles counter with the No. 1 "D" in the NFL vs. the run. With a potentially limited ground game to crutch on, quarterback, Zach Wilson and the 32nd ranked passing "O" of the Jets is in real trouble here. They will not be able to exploit the Eagles, shaky secondary. Philly is money on the road, with a 3-0 ATS mark as a guest this season. In a huge mismatch, the 2nd ranked rushing attack of the Eagles, will shred the NFL’s 29th ranked rush defense of the Jets. Yes, overall, the NY stop-unit owns some solid statistics. But when facing well-balanced offenses (Dallas 30, Kansas City 23) they are very beatable. FYI, I give a “mulligan” to Buffalo on that first game of the season against NYJ (lol). Take Philadelphia. Thank you.

Over SEAHAWKS/BENGALS.

No Limit.

Games 257/258.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

This is one of the most exciting games on the board this Sunday in pro football. As a capper, I thought it was very difficult to predict which team would triumph. But one thing I had no problem predicting is on the total. The Seahawks offense has come to life over recent weeks, accounting for a combined 108 points during the current three-game win streak. The problem is, their defense has been atrocious all season long. They have only held one opponent to under 27 points scored this season. And that was their last game against the lowly, Giants. The Bengals finally looked like the team we expected them to be this season in last week’s road win at the Cardinals, 34-20. Quarterback, Joe Burrow had his best performance this season. No surprise this coincides with him looking healthier than in previous weeks. Their struggling offense matches up very well here. I expect Burrow to have another stellar showing here as he lines up against the 30th ranked pass defense in the league. The Burrow/Chase connection is rolling. Look for a high scoring game. So much so they may have to replace the bulbs on the scoreboard afterwards. Taking over. Thank you.

Over in the Panthers/Dolphins.

HIGH ROLLER.

Game 265/266.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

There is no question the number one scoring offense in NFL of the Miami Dolphins will pick apart the 28th ranked scoring defense of the Carolina Panthers. If you're concerned about the absence of starting running back, Devon Achane, don't be. Raheem Mostert has accounted for over 314 yards on the ground, averaging 5.4 yards per carry. Oh, and by the way, he leads the team in touchdowns with seven. I know the Carolina team is 0-5, the only winless teams left in the League. And they possess an “O” ranking towards the bottom of the barrel. But as good as the Dolphins are, there hasn't been too many teams that haven't been able to score easily on them. They rank 26th in the League, allowing over 27.0 points per game. To be quite honest, going back to even last season, their defense has gotten steamrolled. It’s only due to their explosive offense they keep winning. Take the over. Thank you.

Under Ravens/Titans.

AFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH.

Game 2517252.

6:30 AM PST/9:30 AM EST.

Both, Baltimore, and Tennessee aren't exactly where they hoped to be at this point in the season. Both offenses are struggling to put points on the board. However, both defenses have been outstanding. These two squads match up pretty well. Coming into this match up, the Ravens and Titans have played to eight unders in their 10 combined games this season. Over there four most recent meetings, three have gone under the total. Take the under. Thank you.

Green Bay Packers.

Game 475.

5:15 PM PST/7:15 PM EST.

Green Bay had a few extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for this matchup tonight. Losing at home against division rival, Detroit will further motivate them to put forth a solid performance on national TV. What better team to face than Las Vegas. My friends, I know the Raiders team very well. I watch them during practices. I see them each home game. I can tell you this is not a very good team, no matter who is at the helm. Latest reports show Jimmy Garoppolo (check status) will be back under center. But guys, does it really matter? The offensive unit ranks 30th in scoring, averaging a mere, 15.5 points per game. They rank dead last in rushing. And without a solid ground attack in the league in today's game, a quarterback like Jimmy G is usually a sitting duck. They've already coughed the ball up 10 times as well. Meanwhile, defensively, their numbers are just as bad. They are allowing over 25.3 points per game and rank dead last, and for the record, that's 32nd in the league with just one take away. Jordan Love had a less than stellar (lol) performance last week. I expect him to bounce back here against a very beatable “D”. It's true, he also has one of the worst rushing attacks in football. However, they can put up points, they rarely turn the ball over, and he is a good passer. He has several solid receivers at his disposal. And I do think the ground game will get going a little bit here and give the quarterback some breathing room, keeping the Las Vegas defense honest. For everyone that likes trends out there: Green Bay has covered three of their four outings this season, which does include both road contests. Going back a bit, they've covered four in a row as a visitor. Meanwhile, Vegas has covered just one game in the 2023 campaigns thus far, failing to cover either of their two games played at home. I'll take the points with a Packers here. Thank you.

Kansas City Chiefs.

High Roller.

Game 471.

1:25 pm pst/4:25 pm est.

Following their season-opening loss in which they were shorthanded for sure, Kansas City has now rattled off three consecutive wins, going 2-1 against the spread. Meanwhile, on the other end of the spectrum, Minnesota opened the season up going 0-3, both straight up against the spread, but came up with a big win last week on the road at Carolina to also earn their first cover of the campaign. But I've got to be honest, my friends, their defense has been absolutely atrocious and beating the Panthers is no big achievement. A big mistake made by sports bettor's out there is judging a team by their previous performance. I can tell you the Chiefs did not play their best game last week when they did eke by the Jets on the road. This is a game they have to get back on track, get all their ducks in a row, and get their foot on the gas. Facing an inexperienced quarterback that just can't seem to get a grasp of the NFL in Bryce Young is a far cry from going up against the most accomplished quarterback in the league today in Patrick Mahomes. Don't expect the Vikings defense to have the same success here this week at all. As a matter of fact, they are in for a huge let down for sure. On the opposite side of the ball, the Kansas City defense has really been superb, allowing just 15.0 points per game. My friends, please remember that the Vikings offense ranks dead least in the league in turnovers. I expect that number to skyrocket and for them to keep their 32nd ranking in tact after this contest. I look for this game to get out of hand. Take Kansas City. Thank you.

Los Angeles Rams

Touchdown play.

Game 468.

1:05 pm pst/4:05 pm est.

Guys I'm going to level with you. While, I think the Philadelphia Eagles are a good team. I mean obviously, they are at 4-0. I just don't think they're the same team they were even a season ago. I think this team is struggling a bit. And the oddsmakers are still treating them like the team they used to be. Yes, they are perfect so far this season. But let's take a look at some of their opponents: New England Patriots, Minnesota Vikings, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and Washington Commanders (only one team with a winning record). Oh, by the way, they've only covered two of their four outings this season, too. The Los Angeles Rams are just 2-2 this season. However, they're a half a point away from covering all four outings. Let's start with some basics. First of all, the Eagles are traveling across the country. Jalen Hurts looks to be struggling. His numbers are certainly off from the season ago. And their defense has absolutely been atrocious. I mean come on folks, they allowed the Patriots to put up 20, the Vikings to put up 28, and the Commanders to put up 31. I see a major mismatch here between their 27th ranked pass defense and the explosive Rams passing offense, which ranks second in the NFL. On the flipside, I look for the seventh ranked pass defense of Los Angeles to wreak some havoc on Hurts and the 13th ranked passing attack in the league. I think the line is way off here. I think this is going to be a very tight game. To be honest with you, I feel Los Angeles has what it takes to possibly win this outright. But I will take four points at home with the Rams for sure. Thank you.

Houston Texans.

Bookie Buster.

Game 453.

10:00 am pst/1:00 pm est.

These two teams started the season very differently and now they’re heading in opposite directions again. The Atlanta Falcons started off the campaign winning their first two outings at home over both Carolina and Green Bay. But has since dropped road games against Detroit and Jacksonville. By the way, they failed to cover three in a row. The Houston Texans opened the season up with a road loss at Baltimore, and then a home loss against Indianapolis, only to win their next two games, the first on the road at Jacksonville, and the second at home against Pittsburgh. By the way, they've covered their last two outings. The last few weeks the Falcons defense have been nonexistent, while their offense has struggled badly. The opposite can be said for the Texans. Without question CJ Stroud is a quantum leap ahead of where Desmond Ridder. Stroud, who has 1,212 yards passing, six touchdowns, and zero interceptions, isn’t just producing, he is making zero mistakes. On the other hand, Ridder has only 744 yards passing, with only three touchdowns, and three interceptions. By the way, outside of running back, Bijan Robinson, Atlanta hasn't been too threatening offensively. Defensively, these teams have very similar statistics, however, one that stands out and certainly favors Houston is that they rank ninth against the pass, while Atlanta ranks dead last in the league at 32nd in passing. This is huge, my friends. Football is streaky right now. The Texans are streaking. Take Houston. Thank you.

Tennessee Titans on the moneyline.

Consensus play.

Game 457.

10:00 am pst/1:00 pm pst.

Guys, I am going to keep this analysis just like me, short and sweet (lol). Tennessee's defense has very quickly become one of the toughest in the NFL. They are allowing just 17.5 points per game and have held some very good offenses in check. I look for their aggressive stop-unit to go after the mistake-prone, Anthony Richardson and wreak some havoc. On the flipside, running back extraordinaire, Derrick Henry is back to doing what he does best. With him carrying much of the workload, he will keep the Colts defense honest, and on the field. Oh, by the way, Tennessee has won and covered the last five meetings in the series. Take the Titans on the money line just in case. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

No Limit

Game 452.

6:30 AM PST/9:30 AM EST.

Guys, I am well aware that Jacksonville has become a fan favorite in London. And they did not have to travel last week following their win against Atlanta across the pond. But Buffalo has revenge in their eyes. These two teams met at Wembley stadium in 2015 when the Jaguars came out victorious, 34-31. Losing doesn't sit well with the Bills. Speaking of the team, following their season-opening embarrassing loss on national TV to a jets team minus Aaron Rodgers, the team has now won and covered three consecutive outings against some solid competition. In all sincerity, the Jaguars haven't had to face an opponent as complete as the Bills yet this season. Trevor Lawrence is struggling. And now has to line up against one of the most ferocious stop-units in the NFL. As a matter fact, Buffalo ranks fourth against the pass sixth in total yards allowed, second in points scored, and first in takeaways, snagging 11 already. And now that Josh Allen is back on track and doing what he does, I see him absolutely dissecting the 21st ranked pass defense of Jacksonville. This game is going to get out of hand while Buffalo gets their revenge. Take the Bills. Thank you.

Seattle Seahawks on the moneyline.

MNF WINNER.

Game 279.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

I think we can all agree that the Giants struggle on nationally televised games, particularly against solid opponents. Granted, the team is dealing with some injuries. But they are just 1-2 SU, failing to cover all three outings thus far this season. They opened the campaign up suffering a devastating loss at home against the Cowboys, 40-0. They then went on the road and eked by with a three-point victory over the Cardinals. There was some hype coming out of their camp following the win. Then they came back down to Earth, getting crushed in San Francisco at the hands of the 49ers, 30-12. Despite having a few extra days off to rest, heal, and prepare it is most likely they will once again be without running back, Saquon Barkley (check status). As of this post, technically, he is a gametime decision. The one positive note for New York is that they should see the return of left tackle, Andrew Thomas. The Giants have yielded 12 sacks already. Quarterback, Daniel Jones has been knocked around quite a bit, and seems to be running for his life regularly (LOL). Offensively, New York possesses one of the worst units in football, ranking 31st in points scored, averaging just 14.3 points per game. They’ve also turned the ball over five times in just three contests. Defensively, their statistics are just as dismal, ranking 30th in points allowed, getting plowed for over 32.7 points per game. To add insult to injury, their so-called stop-unit hasn’t recorded a single takeaway. The Seahawks opened up the campaign at home with an ugly loss to the Rams, 30-13. They then went on the road to take down a very talented opponent, beating the Lions, 37-31. Last week at home, they got another win and cover against the Panthers. With a well-balanced offense, Seattle ranks fourth in the NFL in scoring, accounting for over 29.0 points per game, while only turning the ball over once. Their defense leaves a lot to be desired. However, a bright spot is ranking sixth in the League against the rush. If you recall, they took down the Giants at home last season, 27-13 to give them their fifth ATS cover against the G-Men over the last six meetings. Seattle is a better team on both sides of the ball and comes into this Monday Night matchup riding two consecutive wins and covers. Take the Seahawks on the money line. Thank you.

Dallas Cowboys.

Consensus Play.

Game 274.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 EST.

My friends, I think the line is a little off here. I think it should be closer to a -9 or even -10. Yes, I know Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots got a win    ND cover last week on the road against the Jets. But haven’t they beat them like 15 straight times? Let’s look at their performance prior to last week when they beat a Jets team with a shaky quarterback. They opened up the season losing, 25-20 at home against Philadelphia, and then followed it up also at home, losing to Miami, 24-17. Last week’s win and cover was a rarity. That was their first win since January 1. And that was the first cover since December 12 of last year. I know “the Hoodie” is an amazing coach. But he just doesn’t have the personnel any more, my friends. Let’s look at Dallas. They opened up the campaign annihilating the New York Giants on the road, 40-0, then followed that up with a Week 2 win at home against the New York Jets, 30-10. Last week as an 11-point favorite, they lost outright on the road to Arizona, 28-16. This is a perfect “bounce back” situation for the Cowboys. I know they took a serious blow when they lost CB, Trevon Diggs. But this team is loaded and they have a lot of play makers on defense. I mean they rank third in points allowed, yielding just 12.7 points per game. They’ve already snagged seven takeaways as well. They are a little bit better against the pass than they are against the rush. But let’s face it, the New England 26th ranked scoring offense…to put it very simply, is lackluster. I doubt Mac Jones will have any success in the air here, even without Diggs in the secondary. And in all sincerity, their rushing attack isn’t very threatening. Defensively, they put up some decent numbers overall. But they did give up 25 points to the Eagles and 24 points to the Dolphins. Last week when they only allowed the Jets to put up 10 points…well guys, that’s the Jets. I see Dallas bouncing back with authority here getting the win and cover at home. By the way, the Patriots are just 1-3 ATS their last four on the road, while the Cowboys are 7-2 ATS their last nine games played in their house. Take Dallas. Thank you.

Cleveland Browns on the moneyline.

NO LIMIT Play.

Game 260.

Sunday, October 1, 2023.

10:00 AM PST/1:00PM PM EST.

The Cincinnati Bengals were predicted to run away with the AFC North. After three games into the regular season, they dwell in the division cellar at 1-2. Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh Steelers, Baltimore Ravens, and Cleveland Browns are all tied at 2-1. This past Monday night, the Bengals eked by the Rams, 19-16, still not showing much. This upcoming week Cincinnati will go up against Tennessee, while Pittsburgh faces Houston. This is an ideal opportunity for Cleveland to beat a division rival and make a statement to the rest of the AFC North. This is an interesting matchup as the Browns have won and covered two of the last three meetings with the Ravens, which includes the most recent matchup, last December, 13-3. Losing running back, Nick Chubb is a significant blow to Cleveland. They did pick up a well-known face in ball-carrier, Kareem Hunt last week to combine with RB, Jerome Ford. However, their ground game really couldn’t get it going in their 27-3 victory at home against Tennessee. They must establish the run here. And I feel they will. It seems each year they possess one of the top rushing offenses in the NFL. One thing for sure, they can still score points. They have accounted for 24.3 points per game thus far this season. And when you have Deshaun Watson as your quarterback, you know he’s going to also keep defenses honest with his legs. No matter what, their defense once again is ferocious. As of post, they rank number one in overall yards allowed, number one passing yards allowed, number two in rushing yards allowed, and number one in points allowed. The stop-unit is the reason why they have won two games already. Their offense did cough the ball up quite a bit through Games 1 and 2. But reports are head coach, Kevin Stefanski was pleased after this past Sunday’s victory as Watson did not throw any INT’s and the team only lost one fumble. They are definitely improving. The Ravens, despite a winning record, have looked quite lackluster this season. They took down the Texans, and did beat a banged-up, Joe Burrow and the Bengals on the road. But just couldn’t do anything right against the mediocre, Colts this past weekend, losing 22-19. I think they are in real trouble here this upcoming week. Just looking at last week’s numbers, Lamar Jackson, accounted for 303 of their 364 total yards of offense. Facing a defense like they are going to face this week I feel Jackson’s numbers will plummet. The Browns DC, Jim Schwartz is a pretty sharp guy, and he certainly has the personnel to throw a lot of different schemes at Jackson and force mistakes. Going back to last season, Cleveland is 5-1, both straight and against the spread their last six games played at home. Playing at Cleveland Browns Stadium, in front of some of the loudest, rowdiest, and most loyal fans, against a hated rival is going to be an added factor for the Browns here. There is no love lost between these teams. I feel the Ravens are in big trouble. Just in case the number moves, take Cleveland on the money line. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills on the money line.

Bookie Buster.

Game 254.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Guys, last week I was all over Miami in their 70-20 blowout at home against Denver. Yes, it’s true, they have won all three of their outings this year, both straight up and against the spread. And going back to last year, they have covered six consecutive outings. But after last week’s massacre, they are in a huge “letdown” mode here as they must face the very dangerous Buffalo bills. I know the Dolphins play the Bills very tough, as all three of last year’s matchups we’re settled by three or less points. However, there is no place for Miami to go but down following last week’s performance. Please understand this will be the Dolphins third road trip in the last four weeks. And playing up in Orchard Park is always a tough task for any visitor. Their season-opening loss on the road on Monday Night Football to the Jets without Aaron Rodgers, motivated the Bills to then go out and destroy the Raiders at home, 38-10, and then go on the road and shred the Commanders, 37-3. That Week 1 MNF game raised a lot of concerns about Josh Allen and the team in general, as they turned the ball over again and again. However, their last two contests, they’ve only coughed the ball up once. And their defense has really stepped up.Miami’s statistics are a bit skewed due to their blow out of Denver last week. In just about every offensive category, they top the NFL. But they’ve also turned the ball over three times on offense against some less than stellar defenses. And to be quite honest, their defense leaves a lot to be desired. This is by far the best offense and the best defense they have had to face yet this season. Buffalo ranks second in the league in scoring and second in the league in points allowed. I doubt very much the Dolphins will be able to slow down Josh Allen and the juggernaut, which is the Bills “O”. On the flipside, the Buffalo stop-unit has looked absolutely ferocious, topping the league with nine takeaways, and only allowing 11.7 points per game. The clock strikes midnight for Cinderella here and the carriage will turn back in to a pumpkin. Just in case the line moves, let’s err on the side of caution and play Buffalo on the money line. Thank you.

Detroit Lions on the money line.

Touchdown play.

Game 101.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

Ya’ know my friends, I keep reading about “drinking the blue Kool-Aid.” But the Detroit Lions have been winning for a while now. And as far as covering games, they have been money. So don’t be ashamed if you walk around with blue stains around your lips from drinking the blue Kool-Aid (lol). Granted, both teams are 2-1 straight up this season, while the Lions have covered two of their three contests, and the Packers all three of their outings. You know, for quite a while, the Packers had their way in this series. However, Detroit has now won and covered the last three meetings against their division rival. Not only that, but this past January, they took their first overall meeting in Green Bay in quite a while. My friends, the worm has turned. The Lions overcame quite a bit last week in their 20-6 win and cover over the Falcons at home. They were a little banged up, didn’t really do too well on third down conversions, had a turnover, and yet they still dominated a formidable opponent. On the other hand, looking at the Green Bay victory at home against New Orleans last Sunday, they only started moving to chains and putting points on the board, after quarterback, Derek Carr went down for the Saints. While, both teams are dealing with some key players that a questionable tonight (check status), I just fell on both sides of the ball, the Lions are a bit stronger. I don’t feel Green Bay quarterback, Jordan Love is reading defenses as much as the team would’ve liked at this point. And without an adequate rushing game, I feel Detroit will put a lot of pressure on him and force mistakes. Speaking of mistakes, in the last three meetings between these two teams, the Packers are -8 in turnover margin. Lions head coach, Dan Campbell is a pretty sharp guy who knows how to get the most out of his personnel. And by the way, he is 10-2 against division opponents straight up the last 12. As both teams are 2-1, while the Vikings and Bears are sitting at 0-3 in the NFC North, Detroit has a real opportunity to take hold of the division. Take the Lions on the money line just to err on the side of caution. Thank you.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

MNF GOM.

Game 478.

4:15 PMPST/7:15PM EST.

Granted, Philadelphia is 2-0 this season. But in all sincerity, they really haven’t impressed me too much. Their defense has allowed 24.0 points per game against the likes of New England and Minnesota. I understand they own one of the top rushing offenses in football right now. But the Tampa Bay run defense has been stellar, yielding just 54.0 yards per game on the ground. I don’t have too much faith in Jalen Hurts and the NFL’s 29th ranked passing unit. And they must face a frustrating “D” that has already snagged five takeaways. In my opinion, the Buccaneers wins against the Vikings and Bears having more impressive. Offensively, it’s tough to put any real faith in Baker Mayfield. However, this unit has not turned the ball over yet, which is huge. By the way, the Eagles are just 4-10 ATS their last 14 as a road favorite. And going back to the start of last season, away from home, they are a dismal, 3-7 ATS overall. This game does include last year’s Super Bowl. Home ‘dog on Monday night is the way to go. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you.

New England Patriots.

Consensus.

Game 457.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

With all respect to Zach Wilson and the New York Jets, they came back down to Earth last week, getting crushed by the Dallas Cowboys on the road, 30-10. Now they must face a team they have not beaten in years. Let me put it this way folks, the last time New York took down New England, Ryan Fitzpatrick was at the helm. My friends, that was back in December of 2015. The patriots have beaten the Jets 14 straight times since. New England is 0-2 (both straight up and against the spread) for the first time since Drew Bledsoe went down, and Tom Brady came in off the bench. I can’t remember the last time the team started 0-3 (LOL). And guess what folks? It’s not going to happen this season. They played two extremely strong opponents thus far, in Philadelphia and Miami and played them both very tough. I just don’t see Zach Wilson, putting up too many points on an angry, New England defense. On the flipside, Mac Jones has looked OK. They need to put a little more stress on the running game. But either way, their offense will be too much for an overworked and battered, New York defense. I expect “The Hoodie” to come out with an extremely strong game plans and throw everything but the kitchen sink at Wilson and force mistakes. New England gets their first win of the season. And for us they get their first cover. Take the Patriots. Thank you.

Miami Dolphins.

No Limit.

Game 462.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The Miami dolphins have played some stellar football thus far in this young season, going 2-0, both straight up and against the spread. As a matter of fact, as far as us, sports bettors are concerned, they have covered five straight games going back to last season. They face a Denver Broncos team that was supposed to be much improved this year. However, after both losses, and no covers at home against Las Vegas and Washington, they now hit the road. Russell Wilson and the offense finally put up some points. But it was is a losing effort against the Commanders. Let’s face it, the Broncos defense was supposed to be their strength again this season. And yet, Washington posted 35 points on them. This is Miami’s first home game. They have a loyal fan base that will further motivate them here and big part of another victory for this team. To add insult (no pun intended) to injury, the Bronco’s secondary is a little banged up. Look for Tagovailoa to have his best performance yet this season. Take the Dolphins. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

Ten Dimes.

Game 463.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The Buffalo Bills have extremely high expectations again this season. They are tired of being a bridesmaid. Following their season-opening loss to the Jets, sans Aaron Rodgers, they bounced back last week to absolutely crush the Raiders. Not only did their defense step up, play strong, and create turnovers, but Josh Allen played mistake free football. Great effort from running back, James Cook as well. Going back to Allen, he really wants to shake the reputation of being mistake-prone. I understand the Washington Commanders are off to a 2-0 start. But before we begin handing out Lombardi Trophies to Ron Rivera and his team, let’s please remember that this team has a lackluster offense, and a defense that sprung a lot of leaks a season ago. Their supposed “stop-unit” allowed the lackluster, Denver Broncos “O” to post 33 points on them last week.  Quarterback, Sam Howell has a whopping, three starts at this level under his belt. And trust me when I tell you, none of the defenses he had to lineup against were as tough, as talented, or as angry as a defense he’s going to face this week. That Week 1 loss the Buffalo Bills experienced will not only make them a better team, it will make them a team looking for vengeance. They outclass the Washington Commanders in every aspect of the game. Lay the points with Buffalo. Thank you.

New Orleans Saints.

MNF Winner.

Game 289.

4:15 PM PST/7:15 PM EST.

New Orleans opened up the season with a win, while Carolina did not. Derek Carr seems to have adjusted quite well to his new team and the role of quarterback and team leader. While I think we could all agree that Bryce Young has a bright future in this league, it’s going to take a while for him to adapt to the speed and the intricacies of the NFL. I don’t expect him to get in sync with his offense anytime soon. There is a reason why preseason predictions have the Saints running away with their division. This is an ideal opportunity for them to make a statement to a division rival and furthermore to the rest of the NFC South…that they are the top team in the division. On both sides of the ball, Carolina might be missing some key players (check status). New Orleans, which is certainly a little deeper, has a seasoned veteran quarterback at the helm, and reportedly a much-improved defense. You can expect head coach, Dennis Allen to throw everything at the rookie quarterback, Young, but the kitchen sink. The Saints defense will go at the Panthers offense and wreak havoc, forcing mistakes and at the very least, getting them off the field quickly. Thus, allowing New Orleans QB Carr to work his magic. Take the Saints. Thank you.

Green Bay Packers.

No Limit.

Game 265.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Guys, I really feel the wrong team is favored here. I like the matchups for Green Bay very much. While both teams are truly a work in progress, I think the Packers are a little further along. As far as ATS trends go, the Falcons are 3-13 ATS the L16 in the second of consecutive home games. Meanwhile, the Pack are 5-1 ATS in the second of consecutive away games the last six times in that situation. Green Bay shut down the Chicago ground game last week. I feel they can do the same here against Atlanta, and if so, will make it a lot tougher for Falcons quarterback, Desmond Ridder to have any success in the air. He had some trouble last week against the less than stellar Panthers defense. Without a running game he is going to be a sitting duck and turn the ball over. Take Green Bay. Thank you.

Detroit Lions.

High Roller.

Game 270.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Sports fans, all week long I’ve been reading about how Detroit got lucky winning on the road at Kansas City because they were missing a couple of key players. They still went on the road in Kansas City, the defending Super Bowl Champions and beat them. I am well aware of the fact that Seattle has had their number. The Seahawks have won five in a row, covering the last four going back to 2015. However, the worm has turned my friends. If people want to keep saying Detroit is just a lucky team, then they must be one of the luckiest teams on the planet. The second half of last season they went 8-2 their final 10 games covering nine of the 10 final contests.  Now they return home for the first game in this campaign with a very big fan base in a very loud stadium. The Seahawks, lack of offensive prowess has been highly publicized. And now a couple of their offense of lineman are a little banged up (check status). The lions defense stepped up big time against some solid opposition a season ago. They come into this game with a little momentum following the Chiefs match up. I’m not a big fan of Geno Smith, guys. And to be honest with you, although Pete Carroll deserves the respect, I think his best days are in the rearview. Lay the points with the Lions at home. Thank you.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Late Info Move.

Game 272.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

My friends, I’m sorry for my lack of eloquence, but to put it very simply, the Chicago Bears are absolutely atrocious. This team has lost 11 in a row now. Justin Fields and the offense, if you could call them that, has to go against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense that has certainly improved from last season. This is a stop-unit that possesses some real veterans and some true talent. Offensively, the Buccaneers are led by Baker Mayfield. We all know the last few seasons have been rough on the quarterback. But he has a couple of good receivers at his disposal to make his life a lot easier, this season. I see him having the same success in the air, that Jordan Love and the Packers had last week against the Bears. Tampa Bay is playing at home for the first time this season coming off a very big victory on the road at Minnesota last week. They come in here with some momentum for sure. On both sides of the ball, they outclass their opponent here. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you.

Las Vegas Raiders.

NFL ANGLE PLAY.

Game 471.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

With a new quarterback at the helm and signing their running back to a long-term deal, the Las Vegas Raiders are entering the 2023 regular season with excitement. Many out there will say the same for the Denver Broncos. However, an aging quarterback with a lackluster offense, which in turn had their defense spending too much time on the field last season and springing leaks, I feel this team is in trouble. For the Raiders, what better team to face than the Broncos. For us sports bettors, they have covered nine of the last 10 meetings, going back to September, 2018. They have also won eight of the last 10 straight up, which includes six consecutive matchups with their division rival. Jimmy Garoppolo had a 40-17 regular season record as a starter in six seasons with the San Francisco 49ers. He’s got some big receivers, including superstar wideout, Davante Adams. In the backfield, Josh Jacobs, who had 1,653 yards rushing a season ago is a workhorse. With a solid passing game and an incredible ground attack, this offense is going to be very hard to defend. Speaking of defense, Las Vegas certainly beefed up their stop-unit in the off-season. Let’s face it, Wilson is not the quarterback he once was. He doesn’t have the legs as he did in his youth. And without a solid ground attack, I feel the Broncos “O” is going to struggle once again this season. On paper, it looks like Denver has edges both overall on the roster and in coaching. But the last time this team beat the Raiders by more than one-point on their home field, was back in 2017. Playing in Mile High doesn’t offer the big advantage it once did. If you recall a season ago, the Broncos failed to cover four of their first five at home. This is way too many points to give a very hungry visitor, which has had their way in this series for years. By the way, Denver has failed to cover six straight as a divisional home favorite. Take Las Vegas. Thank you.

Jacksonville Jaguars.

No Limit.

Game 459.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The Jacksonville Jaguars enters this season with confidence, being touted as the top-team in the AFC South. They will begin the campaign the same way they finished last year’s campaign, with momentum. The Jags completed the regular season winning five straight then won the Wildcard contest, and fell just short in the divisional round. As far as us sports bettors go, they were money, going 9-2 ATS their last 11 contests, which includes both postseason outings. Speaking of covering the number, they face an opponent here, covering six of their last seven meetings against. On the other hand, the Colts were a dismal, 4-12-1 SU a season ago, failing to cover 11 of 17 outings. Rookie quarterback, Anthony Richardson will be making his first pro start here, after making a mere, 13 college starts for Florida. In my opinion, the youngster is in way over his head in this matchup. Not only are there major concerns surrounding the offensive line, but he doesn’t have stellar ball-carrier, Jonathan Taylor in the backfield. The star running back will be out of action for the first four games of the season. Jacksonville QB, Trevor Lawrence matured significantly last season. The “O” is well-balanced, possessing three solid rushers, along with an arsenal of talented receivers. Lawrence will absolutely pick apart the very beatable pass defense of Indy here. The Colts playing on their own field hasn’t been an advantage, dropping their last five games played at home SU, and going 1-4 ATS in that span. Meanwhile, the Jags took three of their last four as a visitor a season ago SU, finishing with four ATS covers. Take Jacksonville. Thank you.

New Orleans Saints.

Late Info Move.

Game 464.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The line in this game is a bit off. At home, in the Superdome, in front of their loyal, loud, faithful fans, the Saints should more of a favorite. Maybe it’s because RB, Alvin Kamara will be missing three games, serving a suspension. Maybe it’s because the offense has a new QB at the helm in Derek Carr, who didn’t see very much playing time in the preseason. Or maybe it’s because last season, the New Orleans defense had some ugly performances. But, in the offseason, they signed ball-carrier, Jamaal Williams, the NFL’s touchdown leader a season ago. Carr is a veteran, who by the way, is reunited with his former coach, Dennis Allen. Maybe it gets overlooked, but the play-caller brings a ton of experience and solid stats to the table. He also has newly-acquired TE’s, Foster Moreau and Jimmy Graham. And back from an injury, WR, Michael Thomas is reported to be in solid form. Despite owning the League’s top-rushing defense, the Titans slumped last season, losing their final seven contests SU, only covering once, the last game of the season. The Tennessee offense has some outstanding talent. But they did rank among the worst in football in passing. The team beefed up their receiving core with the addition of WR, DeAndre Hopkins. As we all know, the success of this unit revolves around RB, Derek Henry. With some issues regarding their offensive line, especially without Nicholas Petit-Frere, Henry is carrying an even larger load on his shoulders…or should I say, legs. The line here is a gift. Take the Saints. Thank you.   

Pittsburgh Steelers.

Bookie Buster.

Game 466.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The 49ers are once again predicted to be one of the best teams in the NFL this season. On both sides of the ball, San Francisco possesses some of the best talent in football. Back at the helm is QB, Brock Purdy. Exactly how stable, healthy, and successful he will be in his first game returning from injury and surgery on his elbow, is uncertain. On the stop-end, Nick Bosa is going to be starting, reportedly seeing action for most of the game. He heads one of the most-ferocious defenses in the NFL. But both, the 49ers offense and defense are in for a tough battle here. The Steelers, which made a strong finish a season ago, winning seven of their last nine contests SU, and covering 9 of their final 12 ATS, are coming into this season expected to be the cellar-dweller in the AFC North. Not a familiar situation for this storied franchise, team, and city. Head coach, Mike Tomlin is not one to take bad reports lightly. Kenny Pickett matured quite well and has become the leader of the team and a true favorite of the fans. The QB has a slew of talented playmakers at his disposal, both on the ground and in the air. The “O” sports a brick wall in one of the most experienced offensive lines in the game today. The luxury of RB, Najee Harris along with a few new additions, will move the chains here for sure. On the defensive side of the ball, Pittsburgh has the personnel to possibly be one of the stingiest in the League. A healthy, TJ Watt will wreak havoc on the untested and unsteady, Purdy. Let’s not forget, this is a “D” that allowed 18 or fewer points 11 times last season. San Fran is 1-5 ATS the last six season openers, while Pitt is 8-1-1 ATS the last 10 as a home ‘dog. Take the Steelers. Thank you.

Philadelphia Eagles on the money line.

Super Bowl LVII winner.

Game 102.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

My friends, you all know me as someone who writes detailed, lengthy analysis, with angles appealing to every type of sports bettor. I’m going to forgo that for this Super Bowl side release. I’m going to keep it very simple. Both teams certainly deserve to be here. I do feel this will be one of the most competitive Super Bowls we seen in recent memory. However, I believe this game will be decided due to two major reasons: For starters, this matchup will be won by in the trenches. There is no doubt the Eagles possess the better offensive and defensive lines.

Secondly, whichever team makes fewer mistakes will take home the Lombardi Trophy. On both sides of the ball, Philadelphia is significantly stronger. They rank fifth offensively, only committing 19 miscues this season. They face a Kansas City defense ranking 24th, only snagging 19 takeaways. On the other side of the line of scrimmage, the Eagles rank third in the league, snagging 27 turnovers. Meanwhile, the Chiefs have coughed up the ball up quite a bit this season ranking, 24th and committing 23 turnovers.

So, for both of those reasons I like the Eagles to soar here. I know the line is varying a bit from sportsbook to sportsbook. So just to err on the side of caution, take Philadelphia on the money line. Thank you.

Props Offering Value: Courtesy of my good friends at the SuperBook

11 PROPS In Order of Strength STRONGEST TO WEAKEST

*** Will The Game Be Tied After 0-0

YES EVEN

*** Largest Lead Of Game By Either Team 14.5

UNDER -135

*** Total Receptions By Travis Kelce 6.5

OVER -135

*** Will Travis Score a TD

YES EVEN

Total Rushing Yards By Mahomes 10.5

OVER EVEN

Longest Rush By Mahomes 6.5

Over -110

Will There Be A Lead Change In The 4Th Quarter

YES +270

Will Both Teams Have The Lead In the 1st Half

YES +140

WILL THE GAME BE DECIDED BY EXACTLY

1 PT +1500

2 PTS +1300

3 PTS +475

Total Gross Passing Yards By Mahomes 288.5

UNDER EVEN

Will There Be A ST Or Defensive TD

Yes +270

Under 51.

Super Bowl LVII Total Winner.

Games 101/102.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

My friends, you all know me as someone who writes detailed, lengthy analysis, with angles appealing to every type of sports bettor. I’m going to forgo that for this Super Bowl total release. I’m going to keep it very simple. Guys, I know the general public is betting the over. And on paper, it makes sense. You’ve got two of the best scoring offenses in the NFL facing one another here. The Chiefs average 29.2-points per game, while the Eagles account for over 28.1-points per game. However, these are two very good defenses as well. Kansas City allows just 21.7-points per game, while Philadelphia yields a mere 20.2-points per game. You’ve got two smart head coaches. Two very savvy quarterbacks. One has more Super Bowl experience. Mahomes obviously still not 100% with that ankle issue. That changes the way their unit attacks offensively. In any case, they line up against the top ranked pass defense in the NFL. The other quarterback heavily relies upon the ground game to open up the passing game. Well, they face one of the best run defenses in football. Both teams have to establish the run to keep the opponents defense honest. Both quarterbacks are smart and make very few mistakes. Both coaches know that this is a game that has to be strategically played. And whoever makes the fewer mistakes or takes the fewer chances I should say, has a high percentage leading when the gun sounds. Coming into this match up Kansas City has played four unders in the last five outings, while Philadelphia’s last six contests, have seen five unders. There’s a ton more trends that further confirm why we are taking the under. But I think we’re all good to go folks. Take under. Thank you.

Props Offering Value: Courtesy of my good friends at the SuperBook

11 PROPS In Order of Strength STRONGEST TO WEAKEST

*** Will The Game Be Tied After 0-0

YES EVEN

*** Largest Lead Of Game By Either Team 14.5

UNDER -135

*** Total Receptions By Travis Kelce 6.5

OVER -135

*** Will Travis Score a TD

YES EVEN

Total Rushing Yards By Mahomes 10.5

OVER EVEN

Longest Rush By Mahomes 6.5

Over -110

Will There Be A Lead Change In The 4Th Quarter

YES +270

Will Both Teams Have The Lead In the 1st Half

YES +140

WILL THE GAME BE DECIDED BY EXACTLY

1 PT +1500

2 PTS +1300

3 PTS +475

Total Gross Passing Yards By Mahomes 288.5

UNDER EVEN

Will There Be A ST Or Defensive TD

Yes +270

Cincinnati Bengals on the money line.

AFC Game of the YEAR.

Game 323.

Sunday, January 29, 2023.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

My friends, with all respect to Patrick Mahomes and his success, he is not above getting rattled. He has lost the last three meetings against Cincinnati, all since January, 2022. For our purpose guys, Kansas City has also failed to cover all three of those meetings as well. That has got to be weighing on the mind of Mahomes as well as the rest of the team. To add to the pressure, all three of those matchups were when the quarterback was 100% healthy. Granted, he will have some time to rest his ailing ankle. But much of the offenses success comes from his ability to be mobile. The Chiefs “O” must also lineup across from one of the nastiest and stingiest “D’s” in the NFL. The Bengals stop-unit ranks sixth in the league, allowing just 20.1-points per game. They are incredibly strong against the run. And to be quite honest with you, even though overall they may be 23rd against the pass, they have contained some very good opposing quarterbacks in the air. Obviously, KC has a lot of talent with Pacheco on the ground and Kelsey and Smith-Schuster in the air. But I do feel this team has significantly more pressure on their shoulders than does Cincinnati. Speaking of the Bengals, not only are they winning, they seem to be improving with each passing week. And come in here red-hot, winning 10 in a row straight up, and missing 10 straight covers by a mere, half-point. I mentioned pressure a moment ago. If you look at the way Joe Burrow is leading this entire team, they are playing with an enthusiasm and an excitement you rarely see in the NFL these days, let alone come to playoffs. They are getting the job done and also having a little fun in the process. We know that the Kansas City defense has had issues at times this season against well-balanced offenses. While Joe Burrow leads the fifth-ranked aerial assault in the League, while Joe Mixon has absolutely taken it up a notch. Overall, on the season the numbers are a bit skewed on the ground for Cincy. But don’t let that fool you at all, the running back is more than adequate to move the chains on the ground and allow Burrow to open up the passing game and exploit the weaknesses on the Chiefs defense. He also has an arsenal of playmakers at his disposal in Chase, Higgins, Boyd, and even Mixon coming out of the backfield. I think we can all agree the Chiefs are seriously overvalued by the oddsmakers. Now I know the line has moved a bit and now the Bengals are a slight favorite as of this post, but I still feel even with no points and taking Cincinnati on the money line, that they are the play and offer us enormous value. We know Mahomes has won the big game in February. If you’re worried about Burrow doing the same, don’t be. This is a team that went to the Super Bowl last year, and instead of suffering a hangover this year, have risen to be one of the best teams in the NFL this season. Not only that, but if you recall, Burrow did win on a national platform a few years ago bringing a National Title to LSU in a perfect 15-0 season. Take the Bengals on the money line. Thank you.

San Francisco 49ers.

NFL POSTSEASON ANGLE PLAY.

Game 321.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

 There is no question in my mind both the 49ers and Eagles deserve to be in the NFC Championship game. I mean finally we can throw away the bones and just eat the meat on an NFC matchup folks. Guys, an enormous amount of Philadelphia’s success comes from their ability to run the football. Hence it comes from their offensive lines ability to manhandle opposing defensive lines. That’s not going to be the case here this week, folks. San Francisco’s defense ranks No. 1 in the NFL in points allowed, No. 1 in total yards allowed, and No. 2 at stopping to rush. Oh, by the way they also rank 2nd in the League in takeaways, snagging 28 turnovers. And there is no way this defensive front is going to get manhandled. I’m not looking to take away anything from the Eagles offensive line. They are very good. But they’re not going to be able to manhandle their opponent here. That is going to seriously stunt their ground game. Jalen Hurts is a good quarterback. But I don’t think he would be the same quarterback put in other systems in the NFL. He’s also not 100%. And I think that will be an issue as well. Let’s face it guys, he isn’t the greatest passer in the world. And I really feel the San Fran secondary is going to add to their NFL-high 20 INT’s this season. You can also look for DE, Nick Bosa to have one of his best performances of the campaign as he goes up against LT, Jordan Mailata (Big mismatch, folks). Now defensively, Philly is pretty damn good as well. They are tops in the League against the pass and rank eighth in points allowed. They’re also pretty good at snagging takeaways, themselves. However, the 49ers “O” does not make many mistakes and does not turn the ball over very often. That is huge inn the playoffs, sports fans. Now, I keep hearing about how Brock Purdy is a rookie quarterback. Well folks, he spent four years as a starter in the Big 12. And he was on quite a few big game platforms in those four years. Now he’s in the NFL as a rookie. Yes, we all know he is a rookie. Well, he’s got seven games as a starter under his belt, which in case you’ve forgotten, are all victories. Guys, one more item on the subject of Purdy: when you are a “less-experienced” QB, you tend not to take any chances and force making plays. Therefore, make less mistakes. Keep that in mind. Listen folks, if you’re cooking in the kitchen and you’ve got Christian McCaffrey, Brandon Aiyuk, and George Kittle in the recipe, that’s going to be a pretty damn fine meal. Throw in the mix, Deebo Samuel, and you got the best food on the planet. I don’t feel the Eagles defense will be able to contain every one of those weapons. Particularly, McCaffrey coming out of the backfield. He will be a big reason why San Francisco moves the chains at will here. By the way folks, Philly has only covered one of the last six games played in the month of January, one of the last five games played versus NFC opponents, and one of the last five games played overall. On the flipside, San Francisco has covered 20 of the last 26 in the month of January, 20 of the last 26 versus NFC foes, and 23 other last 31 overall. Take the points with the 49ers and get paid. Thank you.  

San Francisco 49ers.

NFC GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 318.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

I know, I know, I know all the headlines this week is that Mike McCarthy, Dak Prescott, and the Dallas Cowboys finally won a playoff game last week. Well sports fans, look who they beat. With all respect to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, they really weren’t a very good team. They couldn’t score, couldn’t stop opponents from scoring, have an aging quarterback, no running game, and are very weak in the trenches on both the offensive and defensive lines. So, let me ask you, who did the Cowboys really beat? Well, they enter this matchup against a San Francisco 49ers opponent that has rattled off 10 consecutive victories, covering eight of those 10 contests. Yes, I know Brock Purdy is a rookie quarterback. But my friends, he has the luxury of having Christian McCaffrey in the backfield, with all-purpose superstar, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, and arguably the best tight end in the game in George Kittle at his disposal. Not only do the 49ers rank among the best in the NFL in scoring, averaging 26.5-points per game, they also lead the NFL on the defensive side, allowing a mere 16.3-points per game. This isn’t just a team that can score tons of points and hope they get the last possession of the game. This is a team very complete on both sides of the ball. Dallas has not played a team like this in quite some time. As a matter of fact, outside of the Philadelphia Eagles game on Christmas Eve, in which they went up against back up quarterback, Gardner Minshew, they haven’t played a great team in quite a while. I am still not sold on Dak Prescott as he is one of the most erratic quarterbacks in the NFL. Let’s face it guys, he is shaky at best. They also turn the ball over quite a bit. Their offense has coughed up the ball 23 times, which does not bode well because the San Francisco defense ranks second in the League with 28 takeaways. On the flipside the Cowboys “D“ tops the league with takeaways. However, The 49ers “O“ rarely turns the ball over, ranking third in the League, only committing 17 turnovers. I just don’t feel the Cowboys stop-unit will be able to slow down, let alone stop the well-balanced offense of the 49ers. Christian McCaffrey, who is one of the most valuable players to his squad in the NFL, goes up against the 22nd ranked run defense in the NFL. By the way guys, say what you want to by Brock Purdy having very little experience. But the guy has tossed 16 touchdowns and only four interceptions for over 1,700 yards passing. He has a lot of weapons, as I mentioned, at his disposal. Too many for the Cowboys defense to keep up with. Dallas has failed to cover the last four games played following a straight up win, four of the last five playoff games, and nine of the last 11 January games. San Francisco is 12-2 ATS the last 14 home games, 20-7 ATS the last 27 versus the NFC, and 5-0 ATS the last last five Divisional Playoff games. Take the 49ers. Thank you.

Cincinnati Bengals.

98% ANGLE PLAY.

Game 315.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

My friends, I will tell you that both Cincinnati and Buffalo might have gotten a little lucky last week. I will also tell you that this is where Buffalo Bills fans are going to be very angry at me, that Josh Allen is one of the dumbest quarterbacks in this league. He makes a lot of stupid mistakes…a lot of stupid mistakes. Let’s face it, when he was at Wyoming, they had literally one of the worst ranked offenses in the nation. They had such a good defense, they kept him winning for a bit. He came to Buffalo and he is surrounded by good personnel. But he still makes stupid mistakes and he puts the defense in predicaments where they get tired. You know who isn’t a dumb quarterback… Joe Burrow. He won at LSU, he went to the Super Bowl last year, and instead of being in a hangover this year, this is a quarterback that has led his team to nine consecutive straight up victories, covering eight of the nine. Well let me rephrase that. Depending on when you bet the Bengals last week, you either won, pushed, or lost by a hook. I do believe both offenses will have success in the air. Both will struggle a bit on the ground, but eventually will get their ground games going. But this is going to come down to mistakes. And the Bills rank 30th in the NFL, committing over 27 turnovers. And you know what? Most of them fall on the shoulders of Allen. Yes, he has talent athletically. I’m not going to debate that. But his mind is mush. He makes a lot of stupid mistakes. I am going with the smarter, more stable, proven winner in Burrow. This game is going to be a tight one, coming down to whichever team makes fewer mistakes. And that will be Cincinnati. The Bills have only covered two of the last seven at home, one of the last six against teams with a winning record, and only two of the last seven playoff games. Meanwhile, the Bengals are 6-1 ATS the last seven played the month of January, 36-17 ATS the last 53 on the road, and 5-1 ATS the last six in the playoffs. Take the points with the Bengals. Thank you.

OVER in the BENGALS/BILLS matchup.

AFC STRONGEST TOTAL OF THE SEASON.

Games 315/316.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

My friends, make no mistake of it, this is the most anticipated matchup in this conference this season. Yes, Saturdays Jacksonville/Kansas City contest certainly has some excitement. But I think we can all agree that no matchup in the AFC has been as anticipated as the Cincinnati/Buffalo meeting. As we all know these two teams met on January 2, and after the unfortunate incident to Damar Hamlin, the game was suspended and eventually canceled. Cincinnati enters this matchup winning the last nine games straight up, while Buffalo has won eight in a row coming into Sunday’s contest. The Bengals have played to three overs in their last four outings, while the Bills are on a four-game over streak. You’re looking at two of the highest-scoring teams in the League as Cincy averages 26.1-points per game and Buffalo accounts for 28.4-points per game. Granted, both defenses ranked in the top-six, but as the season progressed, both stop-units have looked a little bit fatigued. Both quarterbacks are certainly two of the best in the game today. Joe Burrow leads the fifth-ranked passing attack and they will have a lot of success in the air against the 15th-ranked pass defense in the NFL. Josh Allen leads the seventh-ranked aerial assault and they too will have a lot of success throwing the ball against the 23rd-ranked pass defense in the League. Both offenses have stellar ground attacks. Joe Mixon is a workhorse. And Devin Singletary is the same. Both offenses will establish the run to keep the opponents defenses honest, and then pass off of the run. I sincerely feel that neither defense is going to be able to stop either offense from throwing the ball, moving the chains, and crossing the goal line. In my opinion this will be one of the highest-scoring games for either one of these teams this season. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two conference rivals. Expect another high-scoring affair. Take the over. Thank you.

New York Giants.

NFC EAST GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 303.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

As good as the Philadelphia Eagles record is, they come into the postseason failing to cover the last four outings. Oh, by the way, they’ve lost two of the last three straight up as well. Jalen Hurts, as we all know is not 100%. A lot of people are looking at the fact that New York also has lost more than they have won since mid-November. However, they have covered four straight and 14 of their 18 contests this season. No, they’re not flashy or flamboyant. But they do have a quarterback who doesn’t make many mistakes. Granted, they face a defense that ranks No. 1 in the NFL against the pass. But what the Eagles do have problems with, and they’ve had problems with this all season, is well-balanced offenses. They have problems with offenses that could run the ball and then pass off the run. Well folks, Saquon Barkley is healthy and looking very, very good right now. We are talking about a running back who has tallied nearly 1,400-yards on the ground this season. Daniel Jones will keep the Philly defense honest by handing the ball off the Barkley, which will then open up the passing game. Because Barkley is such a strong ball-carrier, they will also eat up the clock and keep the Eagles “D” on the field and most importantly, their offense off it. The Eagles are a little hobbled and I do believe laying better than a touchdown is a huge mistake here. Remember one more item folks, nobody expected the Giants to get this far. There is no pressure on this team to win. All the pressure is on Philadelphia. New York has covered five of the last six meetings in Philadelphia. The road team has covered seven of the last 10 meetings in this series. Oh, by the way the Giants are also 5-0 ATS the last five games played on the road. Meanwhile, the Eagles have failed to cover the last four versus NFC opponents and the last five in the month of January. Take New York. Thank you.

Jacksonville Jaguars.

Postseason Angle Play.

Game 301.

1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST.

My friends, you can say what you want about the Kansas City Chiefs. Yes, they are one of the most successful teams over the last several years. And yes, overall, this season they own a 14-3 record. However, this team is perennially overvalued. They have only covered five games on the campaign. And when playing host at Arrowhead Stadium, they have only covered one of their last nine. Let’s face it, this team is point spread poison. They face a red-hot Jacksonville Jaguars opponent here. This is a team that has won six consecutive outings straight up, going 5-1 against the spread. Yes, we all know they lost the November 13 matchup on the road to Kansas City. That was in the earlier stages of their development, where they were just trying to get in sync and on track. They followed that loss off with a win at home against Baltimore, then lost badly in Detroit, only to finish up the regular season winning out, before taking down Los Angeles a week ago in the WC round. It is specifically the Chargers win last week, being down badly and making a miraculous comeback that tells me how good this team really is. And furthermore, how good their quarterback is. The Jaguars are a much better team right now than the last time they faced the Chiefs. Let’s face it folks, Kansas City has looked very mortal this season. I mean just since the start of December, they’ve allowed Cincinnati to beat them and put up 27 points, then granted they rattled off five consecutive victories. But they allowed Denver to put up 28, Houston to put a 24, and Denver once again to put 24 on them. Their defense is looking fatigued and overworked. I think you’re going to see Trevor Lawrence have a lot of success here, especially coming in here motivated after last weeks come from behind victory. Jacksonville has covered seven of the last eight against AFC opponents and six of the last eight in the month of January. Take the Jaguars. Thank you.

Jaguars/Chiefs OVER.

TOUCHDOWN PLAY.

Games 301/302.

1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST.

My friends, look for a very high-scoring affair in the Jaguars/Chiefs matchup. Both offenses are clicking on all cylinders. Obviously, Kansas City owns the No. 1 scoring “O“ in the NFL, averaging 29.2-points per game. You will see Patrick Mahomes and the top-ranked passing unit of Kansas City have enormous success in the air against the 28th ranked pass defense in the League. On the flipside, Trevor Lawrence and company are putting up a lot of points. Just during their six-game win streak, they have averaged 29.5-points per game. Just since the beginning of December, we have seen the Chiefs defense look a little fatigued and overworked as they allowed the Bengals to put up 27, the Broncos to put up 28 and 24 and the Texans to put up 24. I feel Lawrence will have a lot of success as well in the air against the 18th ranked pass defense in the NFL. The over is 8-3 in the Jaguars last 11 games played on the road and 4-0 the their last four games played versus teams with a winning record. It is also 10-3 in the Chiefs last 13 games played in the month of January and 8-3 in their last 11 games played following an ATS win. Take the over. Thank you.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

MNF Winner.

Game 152.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

Sports fans, here’s a couple of facts for you; the Cowboys haven’t won a road playoff game in 30 years. Mike McCarthy, in his third year with the team, has yet to win a playoff game. Dallas is a lowly 6-18 ATS the last 24 games played in the month of January. And furthermore, they are 0-7 against Tom Brady, who already defeated them this season. Yes, I know I know I know, Tampa Bay has been point spread poison this season, going 4-12-1 against the number. But let’s face it, I doubt that things will change for Dallas here. I mean they needed last weeks win to significantly better their playoff situation. And yet they still could not earn a victory come crunch time. I am not a big fan of Mike McCarthy. I am not a big fan of Dak Prescott. Going back to Tampa Bay, you can’t argue Tom Brady is the most successful NFL playoffs player ever. When you come into the postseason it is a whole different monster. And there is no one better in January and February then Tom Brady. Understand that this is the first losing season as a starting quarterback in the NFL. Understand also Dallas has a lot more pressure on them than Tampa Bay. They had high hopes of being an NFC representative in the Super Bowl this season. Nobody expected too much of the Bucs. Let’s face it, they backed into the playoffs in arguably the weakest division in the NFL. But defensively overall they match up pretty good here. And one more item folks, they are also 11-2-1 against the spread as a home ‘dog the last 14 times in that situation. Oh, wait they’re also 5-1 straight up in the postseason under Brady. By the way, not only is Dallas 1-4-1 ATS the last six road games, they are also 0-4 ATS the last four playoff games. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you.

Cincinnati Bengals.

No Limit.

Game 150.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST

I am sure you recall these two teams met a week ago. Cincinnati took the game, 27-16. Lamar Jackson is out again here. As you all know, he hasn’t taken the field since December 4. And hasn’t played any significant amount of time since November 27. Let’s face it, the offense’s entire success revolves around Jackson working his magic, allowing the ground game to keep defenses honest. Even when he was healthy, in all sincerity, this team really wasn’t scoring a ton of points guys. In my opinion, Cincy is just about the most well-balanced team right now in the NFL. Offensively, they’re averaging over 26.1-points per game. And you can expect the first-ranked passing offense, led by Joe Burrow to light up the sky here against the 26th-ranked pass defense of Baltimore. Overall, they’re rushing stats aren’t very impressive. However, Joe Mixon is more than adequate folks…he really is. On the flipside, the Bengals defense is allowing just 20.1-points per game and has seemed to have gotten stronger over the last month, yielding just 16.7-points per game over the last four outings. My friends, coming into the postseason, Cincy has rattled off eight consecutive wins and depending on your line last week, eight consecutive covers as well. At the very worst, you got a push last week guys. I don’t normally look at momentum coming into the postseason in the NFL because the playoffs are a whole different monster. But understand that Joe Burrow and company made it to the big game a season ago. He has won in the playoffs and a few years back on a huge platform playing for LSU. This is a team full of talent and are playing with an enthusiasm and excitement that we very rarely see these days. I know it’s a big number, but understand the Bengals have covered the last six games played at home, are 19-6-1 ATS the last 26 versus AFC opponents, and 4-0-1 ATS the last five playoff games. Lay the points here with Cincinnati. Thank you.

New York Giants.

Angle play.

Game 147.

1:40 PM PST/4:40 PM EST.

My friends I’m not looking to downplay the Vikings 13-4 record. Obviously, you’ve got to do something right to amass 13 regular season wins in today’s NFL. However, I’m not going to sit here and tell you I don’t think a little bit of that was luck. This is a team with 11 victories by a margin of eight-points or less. Speaking of 13-4 records, the New York Giants are the most bankable team in pro football, going 13-4 against the spread the season. These two teams met approximately three weeks ago with Minnesota prevailing on the road, 27-24. Let’s face it a lot of things went wrong for New York and they still only lost by three-points. They enter this matchup covering four in a row and six of their last seven (Talk about being bankable). With the fourth-ranked rushing attack in the league, I feel the Giants will move the chains against the 20th ranked run defense in football. They will use the rush to keep the Vikings defense honest and allow Daniel Jones to pass off the run. Say what you want about the quarterback, but he doesn’t make too many mistakes. No, he is not flashy. But he has passed for over 3,205 yards with a 67.2% completion rate and a 15/5 TD/INT ratio. Something to understand folks: Minnesota ranks 28th in points allowed, 20th against the rush, 31st against the pass, and 31st in total yards allowed. Their defense is atrocious. And facing an offense that can run the ball and pass off the run is going to be fatal for this team. On the flipside, New York has played pretty well defensively. The Vikings are 1-4 ATS the last five games played following a straight up win and 2-8-1 ATS the last 11 games played versus NFC opponents. The Giants 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road, 7-0 ATS the last seven games played following a straight up loss, 5-1 ATS the last six games played versus NFC opponents, and 9-1 ATS the last 10 playoff games played on the road. Take New York. Thank you.

Jacksonville Jaguars.

WC ANGLE PLAY.

Game 144.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

Jacksonville comes into this Wildcard contest winning five in a row and six of the last seven straight up, covering five of those seven games. Yes, I know recently they haven’t faced some of the NFL’s premier quarterbacks. And they are certainly going to face a very talented QB here today. But the defense has stepped up, holding their last three opponents to a total of 22 points scored. I know the Jaguars possess one of the poorer pass defenses in the league. But their offense has played so well, it is keeping opponents defenses on the field and more importantly, their offenses off it. They are certainly more well-balanced offensively. And Jacksonville is 5-1-1 ATS the last seven games played versus AFC opponents. I definitely like the home ‘dog here in the Wildcard round. Take the Jaguars. Thank you.

San Francisco 49ers.

Touchdown Play.

Game 142.

1:35 PM PST/4:35 PM EST.

One month ago, San Francisco took down Seattle on the road to give them a sweep of the Seahawks in this regular season 2-0, both straight up and against the spread. The 49ers enter today’s matchup possessing the top-scoring offensive unit in the league since Week 14. I just don’t see Seattle and they are lackluster “O“, keeping pace here offensively. Especially because they have the tougher task of facing the No. 1 ranked scoring defense in the NFL. By the way, the 49ers have also snagged 28 takeaways, while the Seahawks have committed 23 turnovers. This heavily favors the 49ers folks. They are 5-0 ATS the last five games played at home, 19-7 ATS the last 26 games played versus the NFC, 5-1 ATS the last six games played in the postseason, 8-0 ATS the last eight games played versus the NFC West, and 21-8 ATS the last 29 games played overall. Take San Francisco. Thank you.

Green Bay Packers.

Late Bailout Play.

Game 460.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

The Packers control their own destiny. They win and they’re in. Their division rival, the Lions need a bit of help as well as a victory here today. As a matter fact the Lions might be eliminated even before this game starts. They need the Seahawks to lose to the Rams this morning. If Seattle wins, Detroit has no chance of making the postseason. Not only does Green Bay have momentum, winning and covering four straight games coming into this contest. But they are led by one of the most seasoned veterans in the game today in Aaron Rodgers. He gets to go up against the 30th ranked pass defense in the NFL. By the way speaking of defenses, the Green Bay stop-unit has held their last four opponents to an average of just 17-points per game. To make matters worse, the home team has covered the last six meetings between these two rivals. Take the Packers. Thank you.

Los Angeles Chargers.

NFL Angle Play.

Game 469.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST

A lot of people are playing the Denver Broncos here because they think they’re looking to play spoiler I guess the Los Angeles Chargers. Denver is out of the postseason. They have absolutely no shot as they are just 4-12 this year. However, at 10-6, Los Angeles is looking to secure the number five AFC spot with a victory here. This is a team that is certainly riding momentum, winning and covering for in a row. Granted, they are not too much of a threat on the ground. But they enter this match up with the fifth ranked passing attack in the NFL. I know the Broncos overall are good defensively. However, this is a stop-unit that has started to spring a leak over the last few months. Let’s face it, they allowed Las Vegas to put up 22, Carolina to put up 23, Kansas City to put up 34, Los Angeles to put up 51, and Kansas City once again to put up 27. Their defense has sprung a leak. It is tired and overworked. It is very vulnerable in the air. On the flipside, we all know the Broncos possess the worst scoring offense in the NFL, averaging is 16-points per game. Making Los Angeles an underdog is a mistake as the ‘dog is 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings in this rivalry. Oh, by the way, LA is also 6-2 ATS the last eight games played on the road, 9-4 ATS the last 13 games played on grass, at 8-3-1 ATS the last 12 games played in the month of January. Take the Chargers. Thank you.

Dallas Cowboys.

HIGH ROLLER PLAY.

Game 473.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

A victory here and a little bit of help, and Dallas will be home for the first round of the playoffs. There is even a slight chance that they would wind up with the NFC East’s top-seed. What a better opponent to face then a division rival in which they’ve had their way with. The Cowboys have won and covered three consecutive meetings with the Commanders, including this year‘s only matchup, an early-October, 25-10 annihilation on the road. Washington enters this matchup having not won a single game since the end of November. They have failed to cover four straight as well. Let’s face it, offensively they just can’t compete with the explosive Dallas “O“. I mean the Commanders average just 18.4-points per game. A lot has been said over the course of the regular season about how good their “D“ is. However, this is a unit that has allowed their last four opponents to put up over 101-points on them. And a couple of those opponents are not known to have explosive offensive units. The Cowboys have covered six of the last eight meetings in this series on the road and sixth of the last eight overall meetings. By the way, they are also 23-9 ATS the last 32 versus the NFC East. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

Pittsburgh Steelers.

No Limit.

Game 462.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

A lot has to happen, but Pittsburgh still has a slim chance of making the playoffs. Having said that, we all know Cleveland is out. The Steelers play at home in front of their loyal fans and can give them something to be excited about here with a big win. This is a team that has rattled off five wins over the last six outings, both straight up and against the spread. Not only that, but we all know Mike Tomlin and company enjoy payback. If you recall, the first meeting back at the end of September in Cleveland, the Browns embarrassed the Steelers 29-17. Even if Cleveland does look to play spoiler here, I don’t expect them to put their only true weapons, the rushing attack in jeopardy for far too long. Please remember, the Steelers do possess the seventh ranked run defense in the NFL. On the flipside, I just look for Kenny Pickett to continue to work his magic. The home team has covered seven of the last 10 meetings in this rivalry. Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS the last five games played versus teams with a losing record and 17-7 -3 ATS the last 27 games played in the month of January. Take the Steelers. Thank you.

Jacksonville Jaguars.

AFC South Game of the Month.

Game 458.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

Jacksonville took the December 11 meeting with Tennessee on the road, 36-22. That win and cover started their current four-game win and cover hot streak. On the other hand, the Titans are going in a very different direction. Since the end of November, they have lost and failed to cover six consecutive outings. Their offense has been non-effective and non-existent, accounting for a mere, 14.8-points per game during their slide. Being that they can’t move the chains offensively, their defense is overworked, tired, and getting plowed. This does not bode well as they are facing a Jags “O“ that comes off scoring performances of 36, 40, 19, and 31-points. I just don’t see the Titans 32nd ranked pass defense slowing down, let alone stopping Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars 10th ranked passing attack. Derrick Henry is expected to play. But for how long we can only speculate. As of this post, even if he plays the entire game, he still must lineup against one of the toughest and stingiest run defenses in the NFL. To make matters worse, Tennessee has coughed-up the ball 21 times, while Jacksonville has snagged 24 takeaways. The Jaguars are 5-0-1 ATS the last six versus AFC opponents, 6-2 ATS the last eight on Saturday, and 5-1 ATS the last six in January. Take Jacksonville. Thank you.

Green Bay Packers.

NFC North GOM.

Game 128.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

I’m not looking to take anything way from the Minnesota Vikings. But folks you’ve got admit, luck has played a part in their 12-3 record. Having said that I’m also going to give you a cliché. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. Well, the Green Bay Packers opened this season with an embarrassing 23-7 loss on the road at the hands of the Minnesota Vikings. They then won three consecutive victories before hitting a big slide. Since December began, things turned a corner for this team, winning and covering three straight games with authority. Green Bay is back in the playoff race. They can sneak into the postseason if they win their last two games as long as Washington loses at least once or the New York Giants lose both of their remaining contests. Either way the Packers must win here this week. This is a team that is striding at the right time. Plus, they have Aaron Rodgers at the helm who is out to prove there’s still some life left in his aging body. We talked about the Vikings being lucky. They’ve been very lucky. While they have won two of their last three games straight up, they failed to cover all three outings. Their main offensive strength is in the air. But they must go up against the NFL third ranked pass defense here. Dalvin Cook is solid. But in all sincerity, this “O” ranks 28th in rushing. On the flipside, they rank dead last in the NFL defending the pass and have to go up against a surging and angry Rodgers. Understand that the Packers have started to get healthy coincidentally the same time they started to win. The home team has covered nine of the last 13 meetings of the series. Green Bay has covered nine of the last 13 against Minnesota at home. Ohm, by the way the Vikings are just 0-3-1 ATS the last four versus NFC opponents. Take the Packers. Thank you.

Washington Commanders on the moneyline.

High Roller Play.

Game 106.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Cleveland has been eliminated from any postseason chances. So, I doubt they’re going to jeopardize any of their star players here in the game that does not matter to them. Even playing spoiler makes no sense. The last few weeks, let’s face it, their offense has gone from bad to worse, only counting for a total of 33-points over the last three outings, which resulted in a 1-2 mark, both straight up and against the spread. Washington looks to keep their postseason hopes alive here. They can clinch their second playoff berth in three seasons, with a win over the Browns combined with some help. If they do not win here, they can still make the playoffs. But a lot of things has to happen for them to do so. Carson Wentz will start for the Commanders. He leads an offense that too has sputtered a bit recently. However, I look for this unit to steam roll the 25th ranked rush defense of the Browns on the ground. Being that they run the ball with such efficiency, they will also keep the Cleveland defense on the field and their offense off it. Washington is 4-0 ATS the last four versus teams with a losing record. Take the Commanders. Thank you.

Philadelphia Eagles.

No Limit Play.

Game 110.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The Philadelphia Eagles can secure the top seed in the NFC playoffs by beating the New Orleans Saints here on Sunday. I must make you aware of the fact the New Orleans Saints can’t qualify for the playoffs if they don’t beat the Philadelphia Eagles here either. So, both teams have a lot riding on this game. I have to tell you no matter who is under center for Philly, I look for them to come out here and make a big statement following last week’s 40-34 loss in Dallas. Let’s face it, the Cowboys. But due to four turnovers, they lost the game. That won’t sit well with the Conference’s best team.  While the Saints are very good at defending the pass, they are absolutely atrocious defending the run. The Eagles come in here ranked fourth in the league in rushing, accounting for over 153.8 yards per game on the ground. They also own the No. 1 scoring offense in the NFL, averaging over 29.7-points per game. Defensively, they are outstanding. I just don’t see New Orleans moving the chains, let alone getting in the end zone here. I do see the Eagles, which rank second in the NFL with 26 takeaways, forcing the Saints into making a lot of mistakes and turning the ball over. After all, they’ve already committed 23 turnovers, ranking 29th in the league. Philadelphia has won and covered the last two meetings over New Orleans. They also enter this game covering six of their last seven at home. Take the Eagles. Thank you.

Los Angeles Chargers.

MNF winner.

Game 481.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

It would be bad enough for the Colts losing four in a row and seven of the last eight straight up. But the last loss on December 17 at the Vikings, 39-36 in overtime, blowing a 33-point lead is devastating. To add to their pressure, the Colts have not taken the field in nine days. Trust me when I tell you this is not an experienced, intelligent team lead by true leaders. So instead of bouncing back here, I look for things to get even worse for the Jeff Saturday experiment. To add to their laundry list of problems, their only true offensive threat, Jonathan Taylor is out. With the Jets, the Patriots, and the Raiders all losing this past weekend, the Chargers can clinch a playoff berth with the win here tonight. Los Angeles enters this matchup winning three of the last four straight up and possessing the league’s third-ranked passing offense. Justin Herbert, who has passed for over 4000 yards this season (4,019), on a 67.5% completion rate, with 21 touchdowns, is salivating knowing he gets to go up against a defense that has allowed 39, 54, and 24-points over the last three weeks. Running back, Austin Ekeler will keep the Indy defense honest and allow Herbert to open up the passing game. One more item folks, the Chargers rank amongst the best in the league at not turning the ball over, while the Colts rank as one of the worst in the league at creating turnovers. On the flipside, Indy has turned the ball over 27 times which already ranks dead-last in the NFL. As I mentioned earlier in this breakdown, things will go from bad to worse from the Colts. Los Angeles has been money on the road covering five of the last seven as a visitor. Take the Chargers. Thank you.

Philadelphia Eagles.

NFC East Game of the Month.

Game 471.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

This line is so off it is absolutely absurd. I know the absence of Jalen Hurts is significant. Obviously, as he is a favorite to take the league MVP this season as of this point. But can you really trust the Dallas Cowboys in a big-game situation like this? I mean come on folks a week ago they took an overtime loss in Jacksonville. They tend to get over valued by the odds makers, covering just two of their last six outings. And now they face a division rival who took them down 26-17 back in mid-October. And they are this high of favorite because Hurts is out. I’m here to tell you Gardner Minshew is one of the better backup quarterbacks in the NFL. Obviously, the dynamics change with him at the helm. Are people forgetting that this is the second ranked scoring offense in the NFL, averaging just under 30-points per game? Are people forgetting they rarely turn the ball over? Are people forgetting they own a top-five rushing attack? And it will be that rushing attack that will allow Minshew some time and open up the passing game. Their ground game ranks fourth in the league, averaging over 158.6 yards per game. My friends they face one of the worst rush defenses in the NFL here. Dak Prescott is erratic at best. Let’s face it the passing attack of Dallas is no attack, ranking 17th in the league. And they must lineup against the number one ranked pass defense in the NFL. Not only that but the Eagles only allow 19.1-points per game. And they’ve already forced and taken 25 turnovers. You can bet your butt that they will pressure Prescott and force him to make mistakes. Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS the last five games versus teams with a winning record. Take the Eagles. Thank you.