Michigan Wolverines.

National Championship Game Winner.

Game 288.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Just like me, I'm going to keep this game analysis very short and extremely sweet (lol). There is no question that both Washington and Michigan deserve to be here. Both completed the entire campaign perfect, at 14-0. Both played and beat the best in their conference title games. I mean the Huskies took down the Longhorns, 37-31 as a 3.5-point underdog. The Wolverines came on strong at the end of the fourth quarter, and then won in overtime against, what many people thought was the best team in the College Football Playoff, the Crimson Tide. There are a few major disparities here. With all respect to Washington, and their top-ranked, passing offense, they have not faced a defense as complete as the one they are lining up against here. Not only is Michigan the most ferocious and well-balanced defense they will have faced this season, but they are equally strong in the air and on the ground. The Wolverines stop-unit leads the nation, allowing just 9.5 points per game, ranks second against the pass, six against the rush, second in total yards allowed, and sixth in takeaways. On the opposite side of the ball, let's face it, the Huskies give up a lot of points. That rank 50th nationally, allowing 23.6 points per game. That's bad enough. But the Wolverines offense is so well-balanced and so dangerous it is impossible to shut them down. They have a smart quarterback at the helm. And I believe that's where the big contrast will be. The Huskies rank 122nd, defensively against the pass. Quarterback, JJ McCarthy is smart, capable, and must be salivating, knowing he's going to pass the ball at will here. Remember, if the Huskies key on the pass attack of the Wolverines, Michigan could then fall back on the rushing attack of Blake Corum. A lot of talk is that head coach, Jim Harbaugh is going to be departing for the NFL after this game. Now these are just rumors. But there's a lot of talk surrounding his future just might just be in Las Vegas. And if that does happen, he also just might be taking his starting quarterback with him. He will want to leave Ann Arbor with a National Title. Take Michigan. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

Game 279.

2:00 PM PST/5:00 PM EST.

With all respect to Michigan and their 13-0 season, I think we can all agree, they didn't play the toughest schedule out there. And as the season, progressed, and they did play some better teams, they had struggled a bit. Penn State, Maryland, and Ohio State all gave them a tough time. But make no mistake of it, they are going up against the toughest defense they will have had to face this season. Alabama not only owns a stop-unit that allows just 18.4 points per game, but they have gone up against and completely shut down quite a few solid offenses. I think we can all agree that neither in the air or on the ground, the wolverines Are explosive. It is their defense that allows their offense success. I believe their passing a game will be in real trouble here as the Crimson Tides pass defense has improved with each game this season, and is now in my opinion, one of the best in the nation. Offensively, Alabama's quarterback, Jalen Milroe has matured better than any other player in the country. Let's be honest, my friends, when this team dropped their second game of the season in early-September, at the hands of Texas, Nick Saban read them the riot act, and they got on course and were on a mission. They have not dropped the game since, annihilating all opponents. Not only that, but they've covered eight of 10 since that loss. Sabin and his coaching staff have had more than enough time to prepare for the Michigan team. There is no way they're going to drop this game as they want nothing less than another national title. The only thing standing is this week’s opponent. There is one more thing that I think is very significant here, my friends. And that is all the off the field distractions the Wolverines are going through. The entire football team, their athletic department, their head coach, coaching staff, etc. There is a lot of distractions. The rumor has it, Jim Harbaugh, no matter what happens, this season, is going to go onto the NFL. There is also some whispers that he will be in a position to also take his quarterback with him. Trust me when I tell you this is a distraction. The Crimson Tide have no distractions. They have one thing on their minds and that is a national title. They scratched and clawed to get here. I believe Michigan will come in a bit overconfident and get taken by surprise. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Tennessee Volunteers.

Game 276.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

I am well aware Tennessee lost their starting quarterback, Joe Milton III, who opted out of the Citrus Bowl. We all know how good the Iowa defense has performed once again this season. However, the offense is absolutely atrocious. They can't put up too many points on any opponent. The one thing Tennessee has, is depth. They have enough talent to not just get a win here, but get the cover for us. Take the Volunteers. Thank you.

Oregon Ducks.

Game 278.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

In all sincerity, the Oregon Ducks were just a few points away from a College Football Playoff invitation. Losing to the Washington Huskies in the Pac-12 Championship game by three-points, dropped this team to the No. 5 spot and a New Year's Day Bowl. There is nothing this team wants more than to exact a little revenge and show the nation that they deserved to be in the CFP. Bo Nix, who is without question one of the greatest college football quarterbacks of all time, will be playing in his last game at the collegiate level. Trust me when I tell you he wants to go out on a high note. They don't just want to win this game; they want to crush the Liberty Flames. Speaking of which, the Flames finished the campaign off at 13-0 and have some impressive numbers on both sides of the ball. They rank fifth in the nation in scoring and 46th on defense. That's all well and good. However, they haven't faced a top tier team. For goodness sake, they haven’t even faced a medium tier team. While there is a lot of talent on this squad, I just don't see them competing with the Mighty Ducks (LOL).  What better way to go out for Nix and the Oregon team, then to annihilate the Flames, giving them their first loss of the season and giving the pollsters something to remember. Take Oregon. Thank you.

Play PSU.

As of posting this play, by far, Penn State will be affected less significantly than Mississippi as far as opt out or transfer portals. But more than that, the Nittany Lions were hoping for a New Year's day Bowl for sure. They feel a little short-changed here because they suffered two losses. But this is a team on both sides of the ball that are loaded with playmakers, and guys that are starters, which are coming back next year. They want this game. They want this Bowl. Take Penn State. Thank you.

Play Clemson.

Despite rumors that Kentucky's early NFL draft entrants are going to play and some of Clemson’s are not, it reflects in the number still. The Tigers want and more over need this win. This is a team for more than a decade dominated college football. And yet they're just 8-4 this season. But please remember they finished strong, winning of covering their last four games. They want to win this Bowl game and finish out the year on a high note. Take Clemson. Thank you.

Oklahoma.

Game 2056.

6:15 PM PST/9:15 PM EST.

There are certainly a lot of good stories in this matchup. Oklahoma begins a new era at the quarterback position. And they narrowly missed playing in a New Year's Bowl Six matchup. I mean playing in the Conference they play in and going 10-2 is pretty darn respectable, in my opinion. On the opposite Sideline, Arizona is trying to match their longest winning streak in 25 years. And they were certainly one of college football's biggest surprises this season. But the line is off my friends. I understand quarterback, Dillon Gabriel will not be at the helm here. This is truly a big loss. I also understand that overall, the Sooners rank 100th in pass defense. But they have a smart coach and a long tradition of winning Bowl games. This is a very well-balanced team that is truly deep at every major position. They had one of the best rushing attacks in the country and average over 43.2 points per game, which is good enough for being the third highest-scoring team in the nation. Defensively, they rank second in takeaways, snagging 19 turnovers. Oh, by the way, they only allow 22.3 points per game in a Conference known for some of the most explosive offenses. The Arizona defense is good, but they're not very good at creating turnovers. They're also not very good against the pass either. And trust me when I tell you, backup quarterbacks in Oklahoma can start for just about any other team in the country. The line is off here. Take the Sooners. Thank you.

NC State.

Game 253.

2:45 PM PST/5:45 PM EST.

Several of the teams this Bowl season lost starters, and yet still played very well. Trust me when I tell you Kansas State will not be one of those teams. Losing quarterback, Will Howard and the teams second-leading rusher, running back Treshaun Ward, it's a big blow for this offense. This is a good team, don't get me wrong. But you just can't fill the shoes so easily of an on-the-field general and leader like Howard. Especially against the team like NC State, which ended the season with five consecutive wins and covers, four of which they were a ‘dog. Brennan Armstrong should be back at the helm here (check status). But I don't think it matters, because this team and their success solely revolves around their defense. And their defense is intact. They only allow 20.2 points per game. And have snagged over 17 takeaways already this season. Whoever is at the helm for the Wildcats, is going to be in for a long day. Take the Wolfpack. Thank you.

Miami Florida.

Game 252.

11:15 AM PST/2:15 PM EST.

With word starting quarterback, Tyler Van Dyke, and back up, Emory Williams, not playing here, oddsmakers have the line at Rutgers -1.5 (as of post). Please remember, this team was a solid team this season. They were only a handful of points away from 10 wins. Yes, they finished 7-5. But three of their losses were by a touchdown or less. I just don't see Rutgers, which ended the season on a four-game lose and no cover streak, competing with them. Yes, the Scarlet Knights have a very strong rushing attack. But they're going up against the 11th-ranked run defense in college football. Offensively, overall, the Scarlet Knights average a mere, 22.2 points per game. Yes, I see their defense overall played well. But please remember that those numbers are skewed as some of the teams they thumped were teams like the Owls of Temple and the Seahawks of Wagner. When they went up against strong defensive units, they folded like a chief suit as they will hear today once again. Let’s not forget they are riding a four-game slide, both SU and ATS Take Miami. Thank you.

SMU.

Game 249.

8:00 AM PST/11:00 AM EST.

My friends, with no major opt outs in this Bowl game, it seems like we are in uncharted territories (lol). What amazes me is the fact that SMU, which finished first in the AAC at 11-2, is only a 10-point favorite over BC, which finished 10th in the ACC at 6-6. I know, I know, I know, there are some mismatches between these Conferences during the Bowl season. But I don't think this is one of them. The Mustangs enter this match up on a nine-game straight up winning streak, going 6-3 against the spread. Meanwhile, the Eagles finished their campaign on a three-game slide, both straight up and against the spread. Granted, Boston College has a quarterback and a running back that put up some impressive numbers, facing the SMU very stingy defense is going to be a tall order for the team. The ‘Stangs allowed just 17.4 points per game this season against some very good offensive units. They are equally good against the pass as they are against the rush. Because their defense is so good it allows their offense to tire out opponents defensive units and put points on the board as they average over 40.6 points per game, offensively. I think there's a major mismatch between their 36th-ranked, rushing attack and the Eagles 125th ranked run defense. This game is going to be won by more than two touchdowns. Take SMU. Thank you.

West Virginia

2:30 PM PST/5:30 PM EST.

Very simply, West Virginia is one of the most complete teams in the Bowl season, with only a few players opting out here. Meanwhile, North Carolina lost their entire offense. Quarterback, Drake Maye will be going to the draft. The dual-threat QB was their on-the-field at general. The combination of the nation’s third-ranked, rushing attack on offense, and a very stout intact defense, tells me West Virginia is the play here. Take the Mountaineers. Thank you.

Tulane.

Game 242.

11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST.

This time of year, it seems more about the transfer portal and opt outs than it does the actual players that are playing. While the team lost a couple of key cogs in their offensive wheel, please remember the Green Wave wasn't about the offense this year. They are about the defense. Their stop-unit allows just 18.9 points per game and earned them victories over such teams as South Alabama, Memphis, and UTSA. They will completely shut down the Hokies ability to run the ball, thus taking away their entire offense. On the flipside, Tulane does have a solid ground attack and that is certainly a weakness for the West Virginia defense. And allows the Green Wave to control the clock. Take Tulane. Thank you.

Bowling Green Falcons.

Game 235.

11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST.

Money was originally coming in on the underdog here. But the last few days the general public has been playing the favorite. My friends, I have the line here way off. My two sets of power ratings have Bowling Green a slight favorite of 1.5 points. Yes, I know Minnesota plays in a stronger Conference. But this is a team that was a doormat in Big Ten play. And they finished the season on a four-game slide, both straight up and against the spread. They have to take the field without their starting quarterback, Athan Kaliakmamis, who started every game this season, but has entered the transfer portal. They turn the reins over to Cole Kramer, making his first start. This is already a lackluster offense, averaging just 20.2 points per game, even when they had their first string QB at the helm, ranking 126th in passing and just 79th in rushing. The Falcons have a seasoned quarterback in Connor Bazelak, and a couple of strong rushers in the backfield. But is there defense that will shine here. They're one of the best in the nation in takeaways (16), only allow 23.5 points per game, and are equally strong against the pass as well as the rush. They will spend more time in the Minnesota backfield then the Minnesota players themselves (lol). Let's not forget this team comes in here red-hot, winning and covering five of their last six games. And they are not intimidated by their opponent. As the last time they faced one another, they beat the Golden Gophers, 14-10, just two years ago. Take Bowling Green. Thank you.

Texas Tech Red Raiders.

Game 212.

6:15 PM PST/9:15 PM EST.

It's been reported the Red Raiders are expected to be without better than a dozen players for this contest. Don't overthink this. The Golden Bears will also be without quite a few playmakers. I know Cal ended their campaign winning and covering three straight. But going up against Texas Tech, coming off a loss, their first loss in November, an embarrassing defeat at the hands of Texas, will prove to be fatal for California. The Red Raiders are riding a Bowl hot streak, earning back-to-back outright upset wins over the last two seasons, beating the Mississippi State Bulldogs as a 10.0-point underdog in 2021, and ‘Ole Miss as a 4.5-point underdog last season. While, Texas Tech on paper is going to be shorthanded, offensively, expected to play is quarterback, Behren Morton, and running back, Tahj Brooks. Morton had a 61.8% completion rate, passing for 1,498 yards, with 12 TD’s and just seven INT’s, while Brooks tallied over 1,447 yards rushing and nine scores. There's also a significant advantage in turnovers, both offensively and defensively for the Red Raiders. Take Texas Tech. Thank you.

New Mexico State Aggies.

Game 207.

2:45 P PST/5:45 PM EST.

Both teams here will be missing some key players due to the usual opt outs this time of year. However, it looks like the Bulldogs have been hit a little bit harder with this issue than the Aggies. Following an eight-game win and cover streak, New Mexico State took a loss against Liberty on December 1. I expect this team to bounce back with a vengeance and earn a big Bowl victory here. This is a team that can put up points on just about any opponent, with a well-balanced offense. But it will be their ground game, which ranks 12th in the nation that will absolutely devour the 98th ranked rush defense of Fresno State. We are all well aware the Aggies secondary is vulnerable. I doubt this will be a problem, as the Bulldogs are having serious concerns at the quarterback position. Fresno State has also crushed bettors, covering just one of their last eight contests. Take New Mexico State. Thank you.

Navy Midshipmen.

Game 104.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

We all know these teams know each other very, very, well. For many years, Navy dominated this rivalry. Then in 2016, Army began their first of three consecutive wins in this historic rivalry. However, over the last four years, they have alternated wins, both straight up and against the spread. If you recall, a season ago, the Black Knights bested the Midshipmen, 20-17 in overtime. Now that's not enough reason for me to side with Navy here. But it certainly peaked my curiosity. Both teams are known as rushing powerhouses. However, this season both tried to open up their passing games with a little more success than they have had in previous years. There are a few key items that prompt me to take the Midshipmen here. For starters, they are much stronger against the rush than their counterpart. As a matter of fact, they rank 30th nationally against the run, yielding just 121.9 yards per game on the ground. Army allows 178.4 yards per game on the ground, ranking 114th. Turnovers are big, especially in matchups like this. And there is no question that the Midshipmen are better on both sides of the ball in that category. Army turned the ball over 11 times on offense, while their defense has only snagged eight takeaways. Meanwhile, Navy has just seven offensive turnovers, while their defensive unit snagged 10 takeaways. Also, on defense, although they both allow about the same amount of points, the Midshipmen have blanked three opponents this season. At times yes, it is true, they have allowed several solid opponents to put up numbers on them. But those three shutouts really mean a lot coming into this matchup, in my opinion. Outside of an early- season contest against Delaware State, Army has allowed every single opponent to score on them. Going back to the revenge factor, the last dozen meetings in this series, the avenger is 10-2 ATS. Take Navy. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

Game 318.

1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST.

With all respect to the Georgia Bulldogs, Nick Saban doesn't lose too many big games. Not only that, but as far as us sports bettors are concerned, the Alabama Crimson Tide has covered eight of their 12 outings this season, while their opponent has only covered five of their 12 contests in 2023. Quarterback Jalen Milroe has matured this season, better than just about any other player in college football. He proved he can lead, he can win, and he can win in big games. The situation is very simple, Alabama beats Georgia and they could jump into the four-team College Football Playoff. The early season loss to Texas stunned many people, including the Tide themselves. But they went on a 10-game straight up winning streak, covering seven of the 10. And last weeks late comeback victory on the road at the Tigers showed me exactly what Milroe and the Alabama team are made of. I think the line in this matchup should be a lot closer to two or maybe even a field goal. But no higher than that. And that's only because Georgia is undefeated this season. I'm not sold on Kirby Smart in big game situations. This is the most complete team the Bulldogs have gone up against this season. It is a big step up in class for them. and I think they're going to come in here overconfident and underestimating their opponent. Take the points and Roll Tide! Thank you.

UNLV Rebels.

Game 314.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

While three teams were tied at 6-2 for the best Conference record, the team with the most wins overall in the MWC was the UNLV Rebels at 9-3. Not only that, but they were monster moneymakers for sports bettor’s, covering 10 of 12 contests this season. While Boise State is a good team, there were just 7-5 overall on the season and covered just six of their 12 games on the campaign. By the way, they only covered one of their five away games in 2023. The Rebels possess quite a few of the Conference’s best players for sure. And believe it or not, they own the nation’s 19th ranked scoring offense, averaging over 35.5 points per game. They're offense makes very few mistakes, while their defense snagged 13 takeaways. Not to take anything away from the Broncos, but I feel quarterback, Jayden Maiava is going to have his best performance of the season going up against the 117th ranked pass defense in college football. In my opinion, the wrong team is favored here. Take UNLV. Thank you.

Miami (Ohio) RedHawks.

Game 311.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

The line here is a little skewed, because the RedHawks are without their starting quarterback, Brett Gabbert. But backup QB, Aveon Smith has filled in quite nicely in his absence, winning all four of his starts since Gabbert went down. My friends, this offense does not revolve around the passing game. They are a ground and pound attack that wears down defenses. Speaking of defense, Miami (Ohio) possesses the nation’s eighth-ranked stop-unit, yielding just 16.3 points per game. While the Toledo Rockets have a pretty solid offensive unit, the matchups heavily favor their opponent here in this contest. The Rockets do not have the same type of defense. Although they are good, they have sprung some leaks lately yielding quite a few points to some less than stellar offenses. By the way, the RedHawks have also covered nine of their 12 outings this season. Take Miami (Ohio). Thank you.

Kansas Jayhawks.

Game 145.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Kansas, despite being Bowl-eligible had higher expectations than a 4-4 Conference record this season.  They are a respectable, 7-4 overall. And they have covered six of their 11 outings this season. However, two losses in a row over the last two contests compels this team to bounce back here against the Conferences poorest representative. That's right, the Cincinnati Bearcats are 1-7 in Big 12 play this season, and tan overall, 3-8. To make matters worse for the team, they have absolutely crushed any supporters, going just 2-7 ATS their last nine outings. Their defense has gotten steamrolled. The matchup here heavily favors the visitor, for sure. Kansas averages over 32.2 points per game with one of the most dominating rushing attacks in the nation. They are just as good in the air, too. This does not bode well as I see Cincinnati experiencing the same issues they have experienced all season long against Conference opponents…and that is getting steamrolled on defense. The Jayhawks seriously wants to earn eight victories this season and this is the opponent to accomplish their goal. Take Kansas. Thank you.

Florida State Seminoles.

Game 153.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

My friend, the money this week has been coming in on Florida. I understand why. They are at home, and Florida State has quarterback issues. However, so does Florida. Having said that I want you to know that the Seminoles need this win badly. They are one of only five undefeated teams in college football right now and they round out the top-five as a number five team in the country. They need to keep their foot on the gas here. Georgia is going to have a tough time coming up with Alabama in the SEC Title game next week, Ohio State and Michigan square off on Saturday and Washington has a tough game as well. They have a chance to sneak into the top-four, for sure. Having said that, I'll tell you why I like FSU so much. It's not just because they are perfect 11-0.  I understand the quarterback issue is a major issue. However, this team possesses a solid ground attack, and one of the best defenses in the country. Those two reasons alone make me side with them here. However, they also do have an arsenal of receivers for their backup quarterback to connect with. Let's face it, the gators are horrible. They started off the season good enough. But over the last month have lost four in a row, failing to cover three of the four. They have also failed to cover three of their last four on their own field. They have their own quarterback problems. But they don't have a solid ground attack or a smart backup like their counterpart does. And their offense makes a lot more mistakes while their defense is mediocre at best. The Seminoles keep their foot in the gas and run the score up to make a point to the pollsters. Take Florida State. Thank you.

Northwestern Wildcats.

Game 221.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

For the life of me guys I cannot understand why Illinois is nearly a touchdown favorite in this matchup. They are just 5-6 this season overall, going 3-8 ATS. This does include a Conference record of 3-5 SU. This is not the same Fighting Illini team that we have seen over the last few seasons. Their once-feared defense is allowing over 28.0 points per game this year and has gotten beaten equally on the ground and in the air. Offensively, they are one of the poorest scoring teams in the Conference. And their offense has committed eight turnovers, while their defense has just five takeaways. The Northwestern offense is just as lackluster. But they rank number one in the nation in turnovers. They have committed just one turnover this season. They don't make many mistakes. That's for sure. They are a smart, well-coached team that comes into each contest prepared. Defensively, they can counter their opponents 45th ranked passing offense with the nation’s 13th ranked passing defense. I think they win this game outright. This game will certainly be a lot closer than the pointspread dictates. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

Game 213.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

The only way Alabama will stay in the College Football Playoff hunt is with an annihilation of Auburn this Saturday. You may not realize this, but since their September 9 surprise loss at home against Texas, this team has rattled off nine consecutive straight up victories, going 7-2 ATS. They have gone out of their way to crush every Conference opponent they have gone up against. Let's face it, they have had Auburns number. This is a team that has taken seven of the last nine meetings in this Conference rivalry straight up, covering six of those nine against the spread. This does include three consecutive wins, by an average of 17.6 PPG. The Tigers, at 6-5 are Bowl-eligible and really don't need to keep their foot on the gas here at all. They just want to get away with their lives. The Crimson tide quarterback, Jalen Milroe has matured very nicely this season. He has an arsenal of receivers at his disposal and a solid ground attack as well. He has not made many mistakes at all this season. Thus, why the “O” ranks 16th in scoring, averaging over 36.5 points per game. But it has been their defense that has been solid and stellar all season long, ranking 14th in the nation, allowing a mere 17.4 points per game. If Auburn has a weakness, and trust me, they have more than one weakness, it is going up against aggressive defenses. They don't have a passing game. They solely rely on their ground game. So, Alabama can and will key on this. And I promise you, their linebackers will spend more time in the Auburn backfield, and the Auburn players themselves. The Crimson Tide as I mentioned earlier doesn't just need a win, they need a big win. They will get it. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Iowa Hawkeyes.

Game 121.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Iowa has already locked up the Big Ten West Division Title and a spot in the Conference Title game on December 2. And normally I would shy away from playing a team like this in this situation. We all know that Nebraska needs this win to become Bowl-eligible. However, Iowa, despite all their accolades and playing in the Conference Title game, is still ranked 17th right now. Let's face it, that they won three in a row and six of their last seven straight up en route to an overall record of 9-2 this season. And yet they're not getting the respect that they deserve. Yes, I know their “O” is stagnant. But when your defense yields just 12.4 points per game against some of the best offenses in the country, let's face it, you don't need an explosive offensive unit. This is one of the strongest stop-units the Cornhuskers have faced this season. And just over the last several games, their offense has sputtered. They put up 17 points against the Spartans, 10 points against the Terrapins, and 17 points against the Badgers: all games that they lost and failed to cover. The matchups heavily favor the Hawkeyes here. What's funny about Iowa is their defense is so strong, they get their opponents offense units off the field very quickly thus allowing their opponents defensive units to become tired from overwork. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you.

North Carolina Tar Heels.

Game 341.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

North Carolina possesses one of the most well-balanced and explosive offenses in college football. They average 39.9 points per game behind a solid quarterback, and a devastating ground attack. Offensively they don't make too many mistakes, only committing two turnovers. Now I do understand that their defense leaves a lot to be desired. But their offense is so well-balanced and they have such a good ground game, that they will keep the Clemson defense on the field. Please remember that when they're on “D”, there stop-unit has already grabbed 12 take away's already. That does not bode well for a Tigers “O” known to be mistake-prone, committing 11 turnovers. I just think this is way too many points to give a team like UNC. Take North Carolina. Thank you.

Georgia Bulldogs.

Game 329.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

 The top-RANKED Georgia Bulldogs cannot take their foot off the gas HERE. With only a few games remaining in the regular season, they have Tennessee up here, then a road game at Georgia Tech, and then finish the season on neutral ground against Alabama in the SEC Title game. There are a few other undefeated teams that round out the top-five in Ohio State, Michigan, Florida State, and Washington. This week a few of those teams have tough conference competition. And next week the No. 2 and No. 3 teams, the Buckeyes, and the Wolverines square off against one another. So, if the Bulldogs keep their foot on the gas, run the gauntlet and stay perfect, they guarantee themselves a spot in the CFP. Even if they drop the game against Alabama and win everything else big time, they should still be in that CFP. The Volunteers just got spanked a week ago at the hands of the Tigers, 36-7. There is no way they could face this weeks opponent on either side of the ball as they are outclassed. Take Georgia. Thank you.

Louisville Cardinals.

Game 333.

 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Guys, the Cardinals should be at least a three-point favorite in this match up. They are stronger on both sides of the ball, come in here with momentum, and are playing for a big-time Bowl spot. Miami has lost their last two straight up and two of the last three against the spread. I keep hearing how good the Hurricanes defense is. But in consecutive outings, they've allowed 23, 41, 20, 26, 20, and 27 points. Offensively, they leave a lot to be desired and they make a lot of mistakes. They're running into perhaps one of the strongest defenses they've had to go up against in quite some time this week. The Cardinals only allow 17.1 points per game and have snagged 11 turnovers already. They are equally good against the pass as they are against the rush. We’ve seen Miami struggle offensively. But we've also seen their defense give up a lot of points. That is not a good combination against this week's opponent. Take Louisville. Thank you.

Northwestern Wildcats.

Game 352.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

One more win and the Wildcats become Bowl-eligible. They enter this matchup getting bettors paid, covering four straight games. This is a feisty bunch that really don't match up well for the Purdue Boilermakers. Purdue just got off a four-game slide, beating Minnesota. The balloon will pop my friends, as they plummet back down to Earth. If you recall, Northwestern got their top quarterback back from injury last week as they took down Wisconsin, 24-10. That's a big win for the team. They get another big one here and earn Bowl-eligibility. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Oklahoma Sooners.

Game 371.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

You know, folks, Oklahoma is not happy about missing the CFP. This is the team that was running perfect through the end of October. Then losses on the road at Kansas and that Oklahoma State snuffed out any chance they had at the CFP. They did follow that up with an annihilation, 59-20 over West Virginia. This is a team that does not take losing lightly. This is a team that had high expectations this season. One thing for sure, they still have a chance at the Conference title. But they must win their last two games.  Please remember they have covered point spreads of 37.0, 16.5, 28.0, 13.5, 20.5, and 13.0. Not only do they have to win, they have to absolutely annihilate the remaining opponents. That starts with BYU this week and finishes with TCU next week. Trust me when I tell you, they will crush both. The Cougars have had a hard time this season. As a matter fact, since the end of September things have gotten very hard for the team. It just so happens that coincided with Conference play. BYU was just 2-5 straight up in Big 12 action. And have only covered three of their 10 outings this season overall. That does include just two games in Big 12 play. Just over the last three outings, they lost by 31 at the hands of the Longhorns, 31 at the hands of the Mountaineers, and 32 at the hands of the Cyclones. Don't think that they have any dreams about even making a bowl. They just want to get this season over and done with. Their offense is atrocious. Their defense is atrocious. They have no team leadership. And let's be honest, their coaching is horrible. On both sides of the ball, they are significantly outclassed. This game will get ugly. Take the sooners. Thank you.

Colorado Buffaloes.

Game 317.

7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST.

I think it's safe to say that both Colorado and Washington State fell a little short of their expectations this season. Now if this would've been an early season matchup, this would've been one of the most exciting matchups on the board. But it isn’t. While both teams are 4-6 overall, and both teams own identical 1-6 Conference records, to us bettors, this isn’t about which team wins, this is about which team covers. And the Buffaloes have been covering. They are on a three-game ATS cover streak. This is a team that plays very close games. Meanwhile, the Cougars are not only riding a six-game straight up losing streak, they've only covered one of those six outings. A few items to please keep in mind here; Deion Sanders is a prideful man. And I believe he's going to give his all and have his team ready to make a good showing on television this evening. Something else to keep in mind: Washington State has a lawsuit against the Pac 12. Now, I'm not saying the referees are going to be on the side of Colorado. But I am saying that WSU may not get many very favorable calls this evening. I just feel the Buffaloes have played a lot of competitive games and are covering the point spread. Deion Sanders will have his team revved up and ready to go. Take Colorado. Thank you.

Oregon.

Game 186.

7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST.

The Ducks are making all opponents pay since their sole defeat a while back. They know they must close out the regular season strong. With huge lopsided wins throughout, OU can make a case for the CFP. Trojans are vulnerable. By the way, USC have not covered a game this season as a guest while the Ducks are 4-1 ATS at home in 2023. Take Oregon. Thank you.

Iowa State.

Game 171.

7:15 PM PST/10:15 PM EST.

The Cyclones come off a loss. The last time that occurred, they rattled off three consecutive wins and covers. The Cougars are outmanned and overmatched. A win here, and Iowa State becomes Bowl-eligible. Look for their swarming stop-unit to completely shut down the BYU erratic offense. Take the Cyclones. Thank you.

Washington State.

Game 175.

1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST.

The Cougars have won and covered the last two meetings with the Golden Bears. After a 4-0 start, WSU has now dropped their last five. They know they dominate Cal and this their shot to earn a well-needed, ego-boost, and get back on track. Washington State steps up huge here. Take the Cougars. Thank you.

Missouri.

Game 196.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

A win here and the Tigers out some distance between the rest of their SEC East reaps, and take a stronghold in the Conference as the second-place team, behind the Bulldogs. Missouri matches up well with Tennessee, makes fewer mistakes on offense and has the talent to win this one outright. Take the Tigers. Thank you.  

Utah.

Game 177.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

The matchups just favor the Utes here. The Huskies are an outstanding team. But they have started to show cracks and thew long season has taken its toll on the squad. Utah can and will exploit those weaknesses and keep this contest much closer than the number. Take the Utes. Thank you.

New Mexico State.

Game 211.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

The Aggies are on a five-game win and cover streak. The Hilltoppers are killing bettors, failing to cover their last three outings. NMSU can and will control the clock with their powerful ground game on offense and do possess a much more balanced defense. They have also covered their last four as a guest. Take the Aggies. Thank you.

Boston College.

Game 134.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

The Eagles are surging at the right time, riding a five-game SU winning streak. And to add to their advantage, Boston College had and extra day to rest, heal, and prepare. The Hokies have yet to win an away game this season, going 0-4 SU on the road, and 1-3 ATS as a visitor. Take the Eagles. Thank you.

Nebraska.

Game 218.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

It’s not about which team wins. It’s about which team covers. Right now, the Terrapins are sliding, riding a four-game lose and no cover streak. With Michigan on deck, I see Maryland in a lookahead spot here and Nebraska, matches up well with them. Winning five of their last seven SU against some formidable foes will give the Cornhuskers the momentum and the motivation to win this one. Take Nebraska. Thank you.

Michigan.

Game 149.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Yeah, yeah, yeah…we have all read the news about Michigan not having been tested thus far this season. But can you blame them? Just because the opposition has been less than stellar, it doesn’t take away from the fact the Wolverines are the strongest team in the nation. Despite the off-the-field news, they will go out of their way to crush a Nittany Lions foe that gave the Buckeyes all they can handle. Just like Michigan hasn’t faced solid teams, Penn State fell short when they went up against a strong adversary. This is the Wolverines opportunity to make a statement. Take Michigan. Thank you.

Georgia Bulldogs.

Game 402.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

There are five undefeated teams at the top of the nation’s polls. Ohio State, Georgia, Michigan, Florida State, and Washington rank in the top-five, and are all 8-0 overall. While there aren’t any easy opponents in the SEC, the Bulldogs certainly need to keep their foot on the gas, as the number one and number three ranked teams, the Buckeyes and Wolverines, will face one another in a few weeks. The number five team, the Huskies have a big matchup this week against the Trojans. Georgia cannot ease up at all. Not only do they need to win, but style-points mean quite a bit right now. While Missouri is 7-1 straight up, I just don't see them being in the same class as Georgia. The Bulldogs have taken the last nine meetings in this rivalry, straight up, I've got a tell ya’, they have been major favorites in most of them. Last year's meeting was a little too close for comfort as the Bulldogs pulled it out with a four-point victory. Trust me when I tell you they will not take this game lightly here. They can't. They have yet to allow any opponent this season to post more than 21 points. They will completely shut down the Tigers offense. On the opposite side of the ball, I just don't see Missouri's defense doing anything but getting flattened here. Take Georgia. Thank you.

North Texas Mean Green.

Game 388.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

Guys, in my opinion, UTSA shouldn't be anywhere near better than a touchdown favorite against North Texas. Yes, I know they've won four in a row, going 3-1 ATS. But the Mean Green have made a lot of green for those who bet on them, covering four straight, and five of their last six outings. They play some very solid competition. And my friends, they cover the point spread. No, they are not going to win the National Title. And no, they are not going to win the Conference Title either. But they continuously get undervalued. They have a well-balanced offense that can and will own the time of possession here, keeping the Road Runners defense on the field and their offense off of it. Take North Texas. Thank you.

Kansas State Wildcats.

Game 405.

9;00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Yes, it's true, the Longhorns have taken the last six meetings over the Wildcats, straight up. And despite being 7-1 this season SU and 4-1 in Conference play, Texas is showing signs of weakness and fatigue. This is an ideal opportunity for Kansas State to leapfrog them and stay in the Conference regular-season Title hunt. My friends, there are five teams at 4-1 in the Big 12, the Sooners, the Cowboys, the Cyclones, the Longhorns, and the Wildcats. Several of these teams will be playing each other over the final weeks of the regular season. So, this is an ideal opportunity for Kansas State jump ahead this week. The Wildcats are on a three-game win and cover streak. Meanwhile, the Longhorns, haven’t faced an opponent of this caliber in a few weeks since their loss at home against the Sooners. They faced the Cougars of Houston and the Cougars of BYU their last two outings. Both defenses here are quite good. But the nation’s fifth-ranked rushing attack of Kansas State along with their offense that makes very few mistakes, will be the difference in this matchup. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

TCU.

Touchdown.

Game 311.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Sports fans, neither of these teams have really impressed too much this season. Both have some key players that are listed as questionable or out (check status). But coming off an embarrassing loss on the road at Kansas State, 41-3 will certainly motivate Texas Christian to bounce back here. They only have four games left in the regular season. And after this week, they have to face Texas, Baylor, and then Oklahoma on the road. They need every win they can get to at least become Bowl-eligible. On the other hand, Texas Tech has lost and failed to cover their last two outings, both as a favorite: at home against Kansas State, and on the road at BYU. It's highly unlikely that his team could earn a Bowl spot as they have three games remaining in the regular season: obviously this week against the Horned Frogs, then go on the road to face the Jayhawks, and then finish the regular season as a visitor against the Longhorns. In my opinion, they threw in the towel already.  Oh, by the way, TCU has won and covered the last four meetings in this series. Take the Horned Frogs. Thank you.

Buffalo Bulls.

Game 301.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Toledo owns the best overall record in the MAC. They are also the only undefeated team in the Conference. Having said that, they could coast through the rest of the regular season and not worry. Buffalo, despite a 3-5 overall record, is 3-1 in MAC play. They won and covered the last three meetings in this Conference rivalry, including last year's, 34-27 victory. They enter today's contest covering four of their last five. And do matchup well with tonight's opponent. While the bobcats possess one of the best rushing units in college football, they also turn the ball over quite a bit. This doesn't bode well as the Bulls defense have already snagged 10 takeaways this season. I just think the circumstances prompt us to side with an underdog getting better than two touchdowns. Take Buffalo. Thank you.

Oregon State.

PAC 12 PAYDAY.

Game 175.

7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST.

Sports fans, I looked at this game up and down and inside and out, and I just can't figure the line being this short. These two teams haven't met since 2019, when the Beavers took down the Wildcats, 56-38. Oregon State enters this match up on a win streak. Yes, 6-1 straight up this season, and going back to last season, on a 10-1 straight up run. And guys, when it comes to covering the spread, they are even more impressive. They are actually on a 16-1 ATS run. Let's face it, they get the bettors paid. Yes, Arizona is pretty good against the spread, covering six of seven this season. But the matchups just don't seem to be very kind here for the home team. They do put up some pretty good numbers on both sides of the ball. However, their numbers do not compare to the numbers Oregon State is showing. OSU averages just about seven points per game more on offense and do yield a little bit less on defense. They make less mistakes offensively, and have a lot more takeaways, defensively. I also like the more well-balanced, 1-2 punch of quarterback, Uiagalelei, and running back, Martinez. 'Zona has a question mark on their starting QB, de Laura again. Even if back up, Fifita, who had a good game last week against Washington State, takes the helm, I'm just not in love with this kid. And their running back, Coleman is good, but not good enough to keep the very hungry Beavers defense at bey. Oregon State has covered five of their last six away from home. Take the Beavers. Thank you.

Nebraska.

TD PLAY.

Game 158.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Sorry, Boilermaker fans, but Purdue is absolutely horrible. They are 2-5, both straight up and against the spread this season. But going back a little bit further, they are a dismal, 2-7 both SU and ATS their L9 outings. They really haven't looked too good at all this season. They're only solid performance was over the “Jekyll and Hyde”, Illinois Fighting Illini. Meanwhile, Nebraska enters this match, hot, winning four of their last five straight up, including the last two. And by the way, they are less than a field goal away from covering those last two outings. They took down the same Illinois opponent three weeks ago, 20-7. I like the matchups for the home team here laying less than a FG, for sure. Purdue has a very lackluster offense. Outside of getting caught off guard earlier in the season by the very surprising, Colorado Buffaloes, and the shellacking at the hands of one of the top teams in the country, in the Michigan Wolverines, the Nebraska Cornhuskers have not allowed a single opponent to break 20 points, going back to last November. They've got a very strong defense, my friends. They are going to completely shut down the Boilermakers offense, meanwhile look for the nations 21st ranked rushing attack to absolutely dissect the Purdue defense. This game will get out of hand. I think it's one of the biggest mismatches on the board. Take Nebraska. Thank you.

Eastern Michigan.

MAC GOM.

Game 150.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Guys, it doesn't have to be a Power Five Conference matchup for us to make money in it. And believe me, we're gonna’ make money in the MAC this Saturday. Personally, I think the wrong team is favored. On my two different sets of power ratings, I have Eastern Michigan -1.0, and Eastern Michigan -1.5. My friends, the Eagles have won and covered four consecutive meetings in this Conference rivalry. They enter this matchup covering their last four outings. While both offenses are "less than stellar", in my opinion, this game will come down to defensive play. And you cannot ignore the fact that Western Michigan's defense has gotten plowed this season for over 34.3 points per game, while Eastern Michigan allows under 20-points per game (19.5 PPG). I think they win outright. But I'll take the points with the home ‘dog here for sure. Take Eastern Michigan. Thank you.

Penn State.

OM play.

Game 156.

9:00 AM PST/12;00 PM EST.

With Michigan and Ohio State facing each other on the last regular season matchup (Nov. 25), one of them has to lose, obviously. Anything can happen between now and that as well. This means Penn State must keep their foot on the gas throughout the regular season. They have a match up with Michigan in a few weeks, and you never know what can happen. At the very least, this team has a chance at a Major Bowl game. Having said that, getting this team off their first defeat of the season is huge. They must come back and make a statement. And what better team to face to do just that, than Indiana. The Hoosiers are winless in Conference play and own an overall record of 2-5. They have failed to cover a single game over their last four outings. Obviously, the Nittany Lions have had their way in this series, taking eight of the last nine straight up, including six of the nine against the spread. This does include wins and covers in the last two meetings: 24-0, and 45-14. PSU allowed 20 points to OSU last week. That was the most allowed since January of last season. This is a team that yields just 9.7 points per game, equally good against the pass and the rush. They will completely shut down the lackluster, IU offense. On the flipside, expect their explosive ninth-ranked scoring “O” to completely steamroll, an Indiana defense that has gotten decimated by just about every opponent this season. Take the Nittany Lions. Thank you.

Liberty Flames.

C USA GOM.

Game 103.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

Liberty isn't just a perfect 5-0 in Conference play; they are also 70 overall. And to be quite honest, after they put Western Kentucky to bed here this week, they can easily run the gauntlet and go perfect, facing remaining opponents, Old Dominion and Massachusetts. They have a real chance at a respected Bowl game. Not only that, but they are a covering machine. As a matter fact, when laying 10 or less points, they have covered six in a row, which includes all five in that situation this season. They possess a 1-2 punch of a great quarterback and an outstanding ball carrier. They rank second in the nation as a matter fact, in rushing, averaging over 274.6 yards per game on the ground. Western, Kentucky by the way, ranks 129th against the rush. Not only that but defensively this team does not allow a lot of points. The Flames defense yields just 19.7 points per game and are equally good against the pass as well as the rush. They also t0p the nation in takeaways, accumulating 15 snags already. The Hilltoppers are in way over their heads here. Take liberty. Thank you.

New Mexico State.

Contrarian play.

Game 101.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

I know as of posting this play, most of the money is coming in on Louisiana Tech. And in all sincerity guys, I just don't see why. I have made money for all of us quite a few times on the Aggies this season. I mean folks, they are a half-point away from covering five straight outings. They enter this matchup with a very talented, dual-threat quarterback at the helm in Diego Pavia. They have a well-balanced offense. They don't make many mistakes. And they have a solid defense. Louisiana Tech comes in here dropping their last two games, both straight up and against the spread. Granted, they played a couple of tough teams this season. But I just don't see why everybody's playing them here. They are basically mediocre on both sides of the ball. Yes, they're pretty good against the pass. But they ranked 125th against the rush. And they must go up against the 18th ranked ground attack in college football here. New Mexico State will control the clock and the tempo, move the chains, and win this game outright. But I'll take the points here, folks. Take the Aggies. Thank you.

Utah.

Pac-12 Payday.

Game 381.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

All season long the Trojans have been overvalued by the oddsmakers. They are just 2-5 ATS this season, failing to cover the last four outings. To make matters worse, their defense has been bleeding all season long. Last week against the Fighting Irish, their weaknesses were unveiled. I do not expect a big revenge game here as the Utes handed them not just their only regular season loss, but also took them down with authority in the Conference Title game, last year. Utah's offense isn't so flashy, for sure. But their defense is outstanding. In their five victories this season, they have not yielded more than two touchdowns. FYI, and although they have Oregon on deck, I don't see a look ahead situation for the team. They can run the ball and they can stop the run. Not only that, but they make very few miscues on “O”, while forcing and snagging a lot of turnovers on “D”. This is way too many points for USC to lay. Take Utah. Thank you.

Michigan.

BIG TEN GOM.

Game 337.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

It's no secret that Michigan State has dominated this rivalry for quite a while now. After taking the two previous meetings, both straight up has underdogs, the Spartans got routed last year by the Wolverines, 29-7. The worm has turned my friends. And this year, these are very different teams. MSU is only four-game straight up losing streak, only covering one of those outings. And after last week’s, 27-24 loss on the road Rutgers, blowing a 24-6 lead, there is no way they could get up for this contest. With Ohio State playing Penn State early this morning today, no matter the outcome, Michigan must rev the engine, and turn it up here. After this game, they have an off week before they go home and face Purdue. The following week they go on the road at Penn State. They also go on the road after that to face Maryland. Then it is their regular season finale at home against Ohio State. As I mentioned earlier, they cannot take their foot off the gas here. On both sides of the ball, they are significantly stronger, without question the strongest opponent Michigan State has faced yet this season. The mistake-prone Sparty offense is going to turn the ball over quite a bit. And Michigan will capitalize. Over the last few weeks, the Wolverines have covered as favorites of 17.5, 19.0, and 31.5 against conference opponents. Lay the wood with Michigan. Thank you.

Miami-Ohio.

MAC GOM.

Game 362.

1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST.

Oddly enough, these two MAC teams haven't met in over a decade. Both teams hold 3-0 records in Conference play as well as 6-1 overall marks. But when it comes to covering the spread, that's where they differ. Toledo is on a 0-5 ATS no cover streak. But checking our stats going a little further, they are also 0-8 ATS when coming off of a win as a favorite as well as 2-11 ATS their last 13 overall as a favorite. Meanwhile, Miami Ohio has not just won their last six games straight up, they've also covered their last six games as well. The Redhawks are a little more well-balanced on both sides of the ball. The wrong team is favored here. Take Miami-Ohio. Thank you.

Ohio State.

Contrarian GOM.

Game 326.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Everybody and their mothers are playing Penn State here. And why not? They are perfect 6-0 this season, both straight up and against the spread. And going back to last season, the Nittany Lions have covered 13 straight outings. The team possesses some of the best statistics in the nation on both sides of the ball. But folks, look at their schedule thus far; West Virginia, Delaware, Illinois, Iowa, Northwestern, and Massachusetts. They haven't been less than a 14-point favorite over any opponent this season. Let's be honest, my friends, not one of those adversaries possess a solid offensive unit. And only one of them owns a decent defensive unit. They haven't been tested yet. They're going to come into this match up with a false sense of self-worth to face the third-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes, which have faced some solid opposition already. Offensively, Ohio State has the depth and the talent to move the chains. Defensively, they rank fourth against the pass, 23rd against the rush, seventh in total yards allowed, and third in points allowed. After this week, Ohio State doesn't have another formidable foe until their regular season finale on the road at Michigan. They cannot afford to take their foot off the gas here. This is a low number. Take the Buckeyes. Thank you.

Rutgers.

TD play.

Game 343.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Coming back and winning the game against Michigan State the way they did last week, shows a lot about this Rutgers team. They enter this matchup with momentum and motivated. At 5-2, the Scarlet Knights need another win to become bowl eligible. My friends, after this contest, they have matchups against the Buckeyes, the Hawkeyes, the Nittany Lions, and the Terrapins. To put it lightly, they must win here. Indiana comes in here losing their last two games, both on the road, by a combined 96-24. They are also riding a three-game ATS no cover streak. Look for Rutgers running back, Kyle Monangai, who leads the Conference in rushing, to absolutely steamroll the Indiana run defense. Lay the short price here with the road favorite. Take the Scarlet Knights. Thank you.

Oklahoma.

Consensus GOM.

Game 390.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

UCF Head Coach, Gus Malzahn stated starting quarterback, John Rhys Plumlee is close to 100% and is expected to see action here (check status). In my opinion, although the play-caller is talented, it will not matter. His numbers weren’t all that great when he was on the field. The Knights are on a three-game slide, both SU and ATS. They have failed to cover all three of their road games this season. And going back to last season, failed to cover six in a row away from home. Normally, I would look to fade Oklahoma following the Red River Rivalry. But this team is playing on another level. Following their road win and cover as an underdog to Texas, they had a week off to rest, heal, and prepare. They are not just 6-0 straight up this season, they are 6-0 against the spread as well. The Sooners have a real chance to run the gauntlet and go undefeated during the regular season and make a case for the CFP. Oklahoma quarterback, Dillon Gabriel is salivating here. He has a chance to go up against his former team, and show them why he left. The Knights defense has allowed 44, 36, and 51 points in consecutive contests. The Central Florida offense solely relies upon their ability to run the ball. This doesn't bode well as Oklahoma's stop-unit ranks 32nd in the nation against the rush. The Sooners have already covered pointspreads of 13.5 and 20.5 over Conference foes. This game gets ugly. Take Oklahoma. Thank you.

JMU Dukes.

Money Maker.

Game 313.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

James Madison is on a nine-game straight up winning streak going back to last November. This season, they are on a four-game ATS cover streak. They do pretty well on the road for us as well, my friends, covering their last two as a guest. Meanwhile, not only has Marshall dropped their last two games in a row straight up, they have failed to cover their last three overall outings. Their defense, which was respected earlier on the season, has now allowed a combined 124 points over the last three. Just for the record, that's 41.3 points per game. The Dukes are accounted for over 34.5 points per game on their well-balanced offense that rarely turns the ball over. Meanwhile, although their pass defense leaves a lot to be desired, they are actually the top team in the nation against the rush, allowing a mere, 42.8 yards per game on the ground. And they have already taken away 10 turnovers. I think those two items will be the key here. Take James Madison. Thank you.

Oregon State.

PAC 12 PAYDAY.

Game 190.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

All I keep reading is how good the Bruins defense is. However, they stepped up in class once this season and got spanked a few weeks back against Utah. On the other hand, Oregon State has looked strong against solid opposition. They are 5-1 straight up, going 4-2 against the spread. They opened the season against a couple of pushover foes, earning wins and covers. Then they took their foot off the gas winning, big but not covering a huge pointspread against San Diego State. I'll give them a mulligan in their heartbreaking three-point road loss against rival, Washington State a few weeks back. However, they bounced back and took control of their destiny beating Utah at home and Cal on the road, with authority. By the way, they covered both of those outings too. This is a team that gets us sportsbettors paid at home, covering 14 of their last 15 contests at Reser Stadium. Quarterback, DJ Uiagalelei has matured quite nicely, and found a home as the head of this team. They possess a solid ground attack. Defensively they're holding teams to under 20 points per game and I've already snagged four takeaways. I believe they're going to make it a very long day for Dante Moore, UCLA’s freshman quarterback that only has five games under his belt as a starter. With a more experienced quarterback, a significantly stronger rushing attack, a smart head coach, and playing at home, we must take the Beavers. Thank you.

Auburn Tigers.

TD play.

Game 159.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Whispers around the Las Vegas sportsbooks are that there's going to be some serious money coming in on LSU this Saturday. And why not? They rank 22nd in the nation. And following their road loss to Mississippi, they bounced back last week and took down Missouri as a visitor too. They return home to face an Auburn opponent riding a two-game straight up losing streak. But my friends, sportsbetting is about situations and matchups. And the situation here tells me the Tigers of Auburn are going to catch the Tigers of LSU at the right time. First of all, Auburn has covered the last four meetings in this series, winning two of those matchups straight up. The other two matchups, they lost by three and four points. They play LSU tough, my friends. Guys, Louisiana State was supposed to have an awesome defense this season. But to be quite honest, every halfway decent opponent they went up against, has put up points on them; Florida State 45, Arkansas 31, Mississippi 55, and Missouri 39. They certainly have a very talented quarterback at the helm, and a solid running back in the backfield. But Auburn owns some pretty good statistics as well, ranking 25th in the nation in points allowed, yielding just 18.2 points per game. They're equally strong against the pass as they are against the rush. And offensively they possess one of the most complete rushing units in college football, ranking 19th, and averaging over 200 yards per game on the ground. It is this area that I feel benefits Auburn the most. They will run the ball a lot, wear down the LSU defense, control the clock, and keeping the LSU defense on the field, while keeping their offense off it.  Giving Auburn double-digits as they look to rebound from two straight up losses, and had a week off to rest, heal, and prepare is a mistake. Take Auburn. Thank you.

Maryland Terrapins.

No Limit.

Game 128.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Facing Maryland, following their first loss of the campaign, will prove to be fatal for Illinois. The Terrapins have too much fire power for the "not so" Fighting Illini. Maryland has played some solid football this season. And as far as covering the spread, following a couple of pushover opponents to start off the season, in which they pulled starters, and took the foot off the gas late in the games, they then covered three straight against the likes of Virginia, Michigan State, and Indiana. To be quite honest, last week’s loss at Ohio State was a lot closer than the score. Speaking of covering the spread, this team is 6-1 ATS their last seven as a home favorite of eight or more points. Meanwhile, Illinois has failed to cover any of their six contests in 2023. As a matter fact, going back a bit, they have failed to cover any outings in the calendar year of 2023, failing to cover seven straight games, going back to last season. Turnovers have been an issue for the Fighting Illini, and facing a Terrapins opponent here that has not turned the ball over offensively, and yet has snagged eight takeaways defensively, will be the nails in the coffin here. I'm both sides of the ball, Maryland outclasses Illinois. Take the Terrapins. Thank you.

Memphis.

Friday Night Lights.

Game 122.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Guys, this might be one of the most exciting games on the board this weekend, believe it or not. There's a lot of drama surrounding this game. Both teams are 4-1 straight up. And believe it or not, even though we're about halfway done with the regular season, this match up has serious implications down the road for a New Year's Six Bowl possibility. Having said that, the home team has covered six of the last seven meetings in this series. I want to talk about last year's matchup. Tulane was at home in a sold-out stadium, leading 35-0 at halftime. Memphis rallied back, but unfortunately lost the game, 38-28. I'm sure that left a very bad taste in the Tigers mouth. Both teams beat teams they should've beaten already, while both have also lost to teams that on paper, they were inferior than. Looking at each teams loss this season, the Green Wave took a bit of a beating at home against the Rebels. Meanwhile, the Tigers held on very tough on the road at the other Tigers (LOL) of Missouri. While both teams possess able quarterbacks and decent running backs, there is no question that Memphis owns a much stronger offensive unit. They average over 36.6 points per game, nearly seven points per game more than does Tulane. Defensively, the Green Wave puts up some very good numbers. But they're facing a very well-balanced offensive unit. One more item my friends that I feel is very significant; Tulane has turned the ball over seven times already. They make a lot of mistakes. This is a big matchup, lots of pressure, that they are playing on the road. I think the wrong team might be favor to hear. That's why I'm prompted to take Memphis plus the points. Thank you.

Appalachian State Mountaineers.

Best Bet play.

Game 102.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Appalachian State has taken four of the last six meetings going back to 2017, with Coastal Carolina. This season, the Chanticleers are falling a little bit short. Granted, they started their season covering the first three games, but they have since failed to cover their last two outings. And to be quite honest, they look pretty bad against both Georgia State, and Georgia Southern. Going 3-2 straight up and 2-2-1 against the spread, the Mountaineers aren’t exactly where they wanted to be at this point either. But I must tell you, they beat all the teams they should've beaten, and against the two that on paper are better than them, they covered both. Those were games against the Tar Heels and the Cowboys. They match up well here. Coastal Carolina has a decent quarterback, but no running game whatsoever. This doesn't bode well for the Chanticleers as the Mountaineers possess an extremely strong pass defense. On the flipside, not only does Appalachian State have an extremely good quarterback, they have one of the best running backs in the conference. They have the ability to control the tempo and the clock and move the chains here. Take the Mountaineers. Thank you.

Fresno State Bulldogs.

High Roller.

Game 369.

5:00 PM PST/8;00 PM EST.

Following their season-opening outright win as nearly a two-touchdown underdog at home against Texas Tech, there was a lot of excitement in the Wyoming camp. Granted, they won three of their last four outings, but they have really failed to impress me for sure. They played Texas tough for nearly three quarters a few weeks back, But, then the Longhorns went to town in the fourth quarter outscoring them, 21-0 to get the 31-10 win and no cover. If you're keeping records, please note that Wyoming has failed to cover their last three at home. Fresno State enters this matchup at 5-0 and ranked 24th in the nation. They have faced several good opponents in Purdue and Arizona State, winning and covering both of those contests, one as an underdog and one as a slight favorite. The other games that were huge favorites of 30, 27.5, and 25.5. Head-to-head with the Cowboys, the Bulldogs have now won and covered four consecutive meetings going back to 2017. However, the two most recent meetings, the last two seasons, they won 17-0 and 30-0. The matchups in this game heavily favor Fresno State. This is a team, granted that does not run the ball very well, but they rank 14th in the nation in passing, average over 36.4 points per game, and have yet to turn the ball over. I just don't see the very lackluster, very mediocre defense of Wyoming slowing them down, let alone stopping them. On the flipside, the Cowboys can't pass the ball at all. They rank 127th in that category. They rely solely upon the run, of which they do adequately. If there is one major mismatch here, it is their ground game going up against the 16th ranked rush defense of the Bulldogs. Overall, Fresno State allows a mere 17.0 points per game and has already snagged eight turnovers. This game isn't even close. It gets out of hand. Lay the short price with the Bulldogs. Thank you.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

Crusher.

333.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Louisville might be 5-0, but this week they're currently ranked 25th in the nation. What does that tell you? It tells you they haven't played anybody good yet. And yet they've only covered two games so far this season. This is a major step up in class for the Cardinals, as they face a Fighting Irish opponent that that has faced some good opposition already. They covered against Ohio State a few weeks ago and played them extremely tough as the game came down to the final minutes. They followed that loss up by dominating Duke on the road a week ago. The Fighting Irish rank 10th in the nation, being the only team in the top-10 with a loss. They cannot afford another one. Therefore, I don't see them taking their foot off the gas here and easing up a bit even though they have the Trojans on deck. This is a game they have to rev the engines from start to finish and get some style points from the pollsters. Prior to the season starting, many thought Louisville will have one of the most-explosive offenses in college football. But only putting up 21 points against Indiana and 13 points against NC State tells me a lot about this offensive unit. And they have yet to face a defense as ferocious as they're going to line up against this week in the Notre Dame stop-unit, which has allowed just 13.0 points per game. I just don't see the out of sync QB, Jack Plummer having too much success in the air here. I do see him adding to his six INT's already. On the flipside, look for the Notre Dame well-balanced “O” to move the chains at will, get into the red zone, and put points on the board. In my opinion, they should be favored by double-digits. So, let’s lay the short price here and take the Fighting Irish. Thank you.

Michigan Wolverines.

Oddsmakers mistake.

Game 401.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

My friends, Michigan is sitting pretty right now. They are a perfect 5-0, ranked second in the nation in the polls, and don't have a very tough opponent for quite a while until November 11, when they face Penn State. Normally you would think that you don't want to lay this type of wood when they have several weeks of pushover opposition upcoming. But they can't let themselves get stale, that's for sure. They also can’t put in a lackluster performance in which a result might be drop in the polls. These days style points mean a lot my friends. They have dominated Minnesota, taking nine of the last 10 meetings straight up, covering eight of those 10, which includes wins and covers in the last two meetings. Speaking of the Golden Gophers, they got their first cover since last December last week, against the Ragin' Cajuns. This is a team that has really not impressed at all. They couldn't cover against Nebraska, Eastern, Michigan, North Carolina, or Northwestern. It was the last two games that I really focused on. Granted, they were on the road in both of those outings, but they got crushed at the hands of the Tar Heels offense, and then against the very mediocre Wildcats, they were just simply outplayed. The Wolverines possess one of the most well-balanced offensive units in college football. They average over 34.4 points per game and they've only committed one turnover. Defensively, they are the top stop-unit in the nation, allowing a mere 6.0 points per game, ranking 11th against the pass and 14th against the rush. By the way, they've already snagged five takeaways, too. This game will get seriously out of hand. But remember it's only the second game back for Coach Harbaugh, and last week against Nebraska on the road, they devoured the Cornhuskers, 45-7. This team will go above and beyond with their coach back on the sidelines to crush the Golden Gophers. As I mentioned earlier, style points mean a lot right now, especially being they’re playing some less than great opposition in the upcoming schedule. Take Michigan. Thank you.

Kentucky Wildcats.

Shocker.

Game 329.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

With all due respect to the Georgia Bulldogs, how did they really earn the number one spot this season? In my opinion they really haven't impressed me all that much. Yes, they are a very good team. But this is a team that has only covered one of their five outings, and that was against Ball State my friends. They failed to cover against Tennessee-Martin, South Carolina, UAB, and most recently, Auburn. But in all sincerity, I'm not sold on their offense, folks. One thing I know about the Kentucky Wildcats, they have a real-deal defense. Not only that my friends, but they very quietly have accumulated a record of 5-0 straight, up covering four of their five outings this season. They too, won and covered against Ball State, along with victories and ATS wins for us against Akron, Vanderbilt, and Florida. They did not cover as they took it easy and let their foot off the gas against Eastern Kentucky. They certainly impressed me shutting down Florida's “O” a week ago.  This is a team holding opponents to just 75.8 rushing yards per game. The rush is not a strength of the Bulldogs. But if they can slow down the rush, they can certainly get to quarterback, beck and force some mistakes. Offensively, the Wildcats, leave a lot to be desired, but they don't make many mistakes, and they do have a more than adequate ground game. With an offense that makes very few mistakes, a decent ground attack, and a ferocious stop-unit, I think this game is going to be a lot closer than the 14.5-point spread. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Nebraska Cornhuskers.

Friday Night Lights.

Game 317.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

Yes, it's true, both teams sit a 2-3 straight up this season. It is also true, neither has been very impressive. However, I just can't see Illinois laying points to any opponent out there. This is a team that hasn't covered a game since November of last season. They have also failed to cover five consecutive games played at home. Nebraska's played very competitively for most of the season until last week’s, 45-7 loss at the hands of Michigan at home. But I think we can all agree, the Wolverines are one of the top teams in the country and taking a beating from them shouldn't warrant too much shame. I'll look for them to bounce back here. You may not realize this because their numbers overall aren’t very impressive, but the Cornhuskers rank 15th nationally in rushing, averaging over 209.0 yards per game on the ground. They have the ability to control the tempo on the clock and keep the Fighting Illini’s “not so fighting defense” on the field, and their offense of it. One more item folks, they also possess the nation’s 15th ranked run defense. Thus, getting Illinois lackluster offense off the field in a hurry. I like the line here. Take Nebraska. Thank you.

Oregon.

High Roller.

Game 173.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

As of post, there are currently six teams in the Pac-12 ranked in the top-25 in the nation. There are also five teams in the Conference, that has started the season off at 4-0. This week, Oregon faces Stanford. In my opinion, the Pac-12’s preseason highest-touted team, USC, although is very strong, has a defense that is very beatable. This is the Ducks last opportunity to fine-tune their skills before serious conference competition. They have the Huskies up next. This is a team that has no problems running up scores. So far this season they’ve been favorites of 48, 4.5, 38, and 21.5, covering all four outings. Meanwhile, the Conference’s worst team, the Stanford Cardinal are 1-3 overall, which does include an 0-2 record in Pac-12 play. They opened the season with a respectable win and cover on the road at Hawaii. Then got shredded by USC, and believe it or not, Sacramento State, before losing a tight one at home against Arizona. Last year’s meeting saw Oregon shred Stanford at home, 45-27. That marked the third win and cover for the Ducks over the Cardinal in the last four meetings. Quarterback Nix, looks like he has found a home at the helm of the Oregon offense. So far this season he has a 79.4 completion percentage, thrown for over 1,169 yards, with 11 TDs and just one INT. He has an arsenal of receivers at his disposal along with a trio a very solid ball-carriers. As a matter of fact, running backs, Irving, James, and Whittington have combined for over 660 yards rushing and 11 TDs on the ground. The defensive of Oregon is almost as impressive, as their stop-unit ranks 10th against the pass, 33rd against the rush, and 17th nationally in points allowed, yielding just 13.3 points per game. Oh, by the way, going back to their offense, every aspect of it ranks in the top-10 in the nation, while not turning the ball over at all. My friends, in all sincerity Stanford is atrocious. They can’t score offensively and they can’t stop anyone defensively. I look for Nix to have his finest performance of the season thus far against the 126th ranked pass defense of Stanford. In an era where style points count for something in the polls, look for Oregon to light up Stanford like it’s the Fourth of July. Take the Ducks. Thank you.

Georgia.

VI MOVE.

Game191.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Believe it or not, Georgia is one of only three undefeated teams left in the SEC. The nation’s top-ranked team needs to pile up victories and pile them up with big margins for sure. What a better team to face than Auburn. The Bulldogs have had their way with the Tigers, taking six in a row and nine of the last 10 meetings, both straight up and against the spread. Just going back, the last three years, Georgia has won by margins of 21, 24, and 32 points. Don’t put too much stock in the fact that this team has only covered one of their four games this season. None of those pointspreads were less than 26 points. They had each of the games won and started pulling starters out. This is a Conference matchup and with the Kentucky Wildcats up next, I expect the Georgia Bulldogs to flex their muscles and show the rest of the Conference that they deserve to be the top team in it as well as in the country. The Tigers started the season off winning three straight before stepping up in class on the road and getting embarrassed, 27-10 at the hands of the Aggies in College Station. That no cover marked the third consecutive for Auburn as they couldn’t cover in the SU win on the road at Cal and also failed to cover a big pointspread at home against Samford. While they’re defense seems to be adequate. They have not faced an offense of the caliber that they will face here this week. On the flipside, I doubt very much they’re going to move the chains at all against the stout, 10th ranked Georgia “D”, which has allowed just 11.3 points per game. One more item that has really stood out to me: the Bulldogs defense has snagged seven takeaways. Meanwhile, the Tigers offense have already coughed the ball up four times. Look for the Georgia defense to create some turnovers here and capitalize them with ease. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you.

Louisville.

Friday Night Lights Play.

Game 113.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Louisville is only one of two ACC teams to have started this season off 2-0 in Conference play and 4-0 overall. Going back to last season, the Cardinals have won five consecutive outings SU. While NC State is off to a 3-1 start, they have been pointspread poison, failing to cover all four outings thus far this season. This is nothing new for the Wolfpack, as they have failed to cover five in a row and eight of the last 10 going back to last October. The only bright spot for the team has been their rushing game. However, sometimes statistics can be very deceiving. They piled up yardage on the ground against both Connecticut and VMI. I doubt they will have the same success against a very stout, Louisville defense, which has only allowed 19.0 points per game. Offensively, I don’t see how the Wolfpack can slow down, let alone stop the well-balanced offense of the Cardinals, which are accounting for over 43.0 points per game. The 1-2 punch of quarterback, Jack Plummer and running back, Jawhar Jordan will not just move the chains at will, but will light up the scoreboard here. Louisville just has too much fire power. And to be honest, they know if they play things right, they have a chance at competing for the Conference crown. Take the Cardinals. Thank you.

Washington State.

No Limit.

Game 376.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Both teams are 3-0 straight up. Both teams are 2-1 against the spread. But that’s where their similarities end. Oregon State has faced the likes of San Jose State, UC Davis, and San Diego State. Meanwhile, Washington State has gone up against Colorado State, Wisconsin, and Northern Colorado. Granted their last opponent leaves a lot to be desired. But they have gone up against some very stiff competition and have played very well. They can counter the Beavers strong rushing attack with an extremely stout run defense. And I just don’t see Oregon State slowing down their explosive passing attack. Prior to last season’s meeting, the Cougars had won eight consecutive matchups in this rivalry straight up, going 6-3 against the spread. They will get revenge from last year’s loss. Take Washington State. Thank you.

Georgia Tech.

Contrarian play.

Game 315.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

All the stats so far this season would support taking Wake Forest here. I mean why not? They are 3-0 straight up. But in all sincerity, look at the teams they have beaten; Elon, Vanderbilt, and Old Dominion. Meanwhile, despite being 1-2, Georgia Tech has gone up against Louisville, South Carolina, and ‘Ole Miss. The line is off here. The Yellow Jackets match up well with the Demon Deacons. They’re pretty well-balanced offensively. They have a heck of a quarterback in King, who has already tallied nine TDs and just one INT. The line is off. Take the ‘dog. Thank you.

Maryland.

High Roller play.

Game 379.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Guys, I’ve got to tell you, I rarely pick a game because of their previous week’s performance. But when Maryland came back and scored 42 unanswered points last week to win and cover over Virginia, it showed me what the team is made of. Meanwhile Michigan State is, how can I put this, “a hot mess.” I know there are 2-1, both straight up against the spread. But their two wins and covers were against Central Michigan and Richmond. Teams they were favorite by 14 and 29 points. When they went up against Washington last week, they got humiliated by a score of 41-7. This is a big game for both teams as they enter conference competition. Quarterback, Tagovailoa, has had huge success against the Spartans. In two starts against them, he has thrown for over 664 yards passing with three touchdowns in the air. Defensively, the Terrapins will completely shut down the lackluster “O” of the Spartans. By the way, Maryland has not won five consecutive games going back to last season and have covered four of their last six. I am not afraid of this line at all. And neither should you be. Take the Terrapins. Thank you.

TCU.

Oddsmakers Mistake.

Game 384.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

I’m going to give TCU a mulligan on their season-opening loss to the very well hyped and publicized Colorado team. Over the last two weeks I think we would all agree the Buffaloes are a decent team headed by a very good coach. Many teams would’ve folded like a cheap suit after that game. They came out and bounced back to crush Nicholls State, 41-6. Then last week on the road, shredded Houston, 36-13. Please don’t forget that a season ago, this was one of the top teams in college football as they started the regular season, 12-0. They lost their final game of the regular season, then beat up on Michigan in a Bowl game to earn a spot in the National Title game. Yes, they were humiliated by Georgia. But this is a team that takes no opponent lightly. SMU is a good team. But this is their first attempt as a member of the Big 12. And I believe they are in way over their head. If you recall a season ago, this team took losses at the hands of Maryland, yes…TCU, Central Florida, Cincinnati, and Tulane during the regular season. Then they lost to BYU in a Bowl. This season they did destroy the likes of Louisiana Tech and Prairie View A&M. But sandwiched in between those two victories, they got destroyed on the road and Oklahoma. That is the same Sooners team that the Horned Frogs destroyed last October, 55-24. That season-opening loss will further motivate TCU not to take their foot off the gas here. Take the Horned Frogs. Thank you.

Air Force Falcons.

Friday Night Lights play.

Game 313.

7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST.

I have been reading that Air Force, despite possessing one of the top defenses of the country, really hasn’t played any strong opponents as of yet. But folks, if you looked at last year’s schedule, when they did play some solid opponents, their defense was one of the best in the country, holding opponents to 20 points or less in 12 of the 13 overall outings. This does include a late-December Bowl win and cover against Baylor. San Jose State is just 1-2, with their only victory coming against Cal Poly SLO. They did play a couple of formidable foes in Oregon State and Toledo. But I’ve got to be honest, they really didn’t show me too much. I don’t think they’re going to have too much success moving the ball here against the Falcons stout defense. And I do see Air Force continuing to do what they do best, and that is rushing the ball with success. The Spartans aren’t the team that we’ve come to know over several seasons being pointspread royalty. They are now pointspread bums. They finished last season failing to cover seven consecutive outings. Take Air Force. Thank you.

Fresno State Bulldogs.

Late Bailout.

Game 209.

7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST.

At first glance, you may think that Arizona State at home getting a field goal is the play here. I mean why not? The Sun Devils play in a bit stronger of a conference for sure. And they are at home. But there’s a few things you may not know. For starters, ASU just came off an ugly loss at home against Oklahoma State. Up next for this team is USC at home as well. I think this is a definite sandwich spot, or even a lookahead spot in which FSU can catch them off guard. Next up, these two teams met a few years back in December bowl matchup in which Fresno State took down Arizona State, 31-20, so they have the confidence of knowing they beat this opponent before. And then there’s the fact that the Bulldogs took down the Boilermakers in Week 1 on the road, 39-35 as a 4.0-point underdog. Fresno State is also riding an 11-game SU win streak, which does include a Bowl win last December against Washington State. There is too many questions offensively and a big concern on defense too, for the Sun Devils. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you.

Penn State Nittany Lions.

Oddsmakers Mistake.

Game 127.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM PST.

My friends, Penn State should be at least an 18 to 21-point favorite in this matchup. If there is a true mismatch on the board this Saturday in college football, this game is it. My friends, it was just last season that the Illinois defense was making headlines. This season, not so much. They have failed to cover both outings so far, as they eked by Toledo, 30-28 as a 7.5-point favorite and then lost, 34-23 on the road at Kansas, as a 3.5-point underdog. Their defense has sprung a big leak. Granted, Penn State really didn’t have any opposition thus far, winning and covering at home against both West Virginia and Delaware. But don’t forget that this team has been money against the spread, covering nine straight games going back to last season. Might I remind you they’ve been big favorites on more than one occasion during that span. This is their first conference matchup, and the Nittany Lions must make a statement to the rest of the Big Ten. Penn State has gotten the better of Illinois, winning and covering three of the last four overall meetings. Going back a bit, they have covered three of the last four contests played at Illinois as well. Without the defensive mind of Ryan Walters, who departed for Purdue, I just don’t see the Fighting Illini putting up much of a fight against the well-balanced offense of the Nittany Lions. They have a smart coach, a seasoned quarterback, and a seven-game straight up winning streak going back to last year. PSU needs to make a splash in this conference. And what better way than to shred Illinois here. Take Penn State. Thank you.

Kansas State Wildcats.

High Roller.

Game 129.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Coming into this matchup, Kansas State ranks 15th in the nation. Guys, to be very blunt, Missouri’s offense is a mess. They failed to cover, despite winning straight up against South Dakota and Middle Tennessee State. To be even more blunt, I just don’t see their lackluster offense keeping pace with Will Howard and the explosive, Kansas State “O”.  If you recall, these two teams met a season ago as the Wildcats shredded the Tigers, 40-12. To be quite honest, not too much has changed on the Missouri side of the ball to think that this game will have any different of an outcome. The Tigers, as I mentioned earlier, have a lackluster offense. If they couldn’t move the ball very well, or I should say with ease against their two less than stellar opponents already, I just don’t see them moving the ball here. And if that is the case, their defense is going to be spending a lot of time on the field, facing the very well-balanced offense of the Wildcats. I mean, after all, this team possessing a dangerous backfield, and one of the most exciting quarterbacks in college football today. This explosive unit put points a season ago against just about every opponent they went up against. Need a remind you, they play some very good opposition. They also covered 10 of the 13 outings during the last year’s regular season. This is a small number to lay on the road here. Lay it and take your bookmaker’s money. Take Kansas State. Thank you.

Mississippi State Bulldogs.

Touchdown Play.

Game 132.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. 

(PLEASE NOTE, I accidentally hit the wrong button when posting this game yesterday. The analysis and pick was for the Bulldogs, as I wanted it,. But I did hit the wrong team when posting originally. THIS IS THE CORRECT POST. My apologies. Good luck-JD 

A big mistake made by many in sports betting is judging a team by their previous week’s performance. Of course, LSU was supposed to destroy Grambling a week ago. But their season opening loss on the road at Florida State, I believe, showed us a lot about this team. Also, to any of us sports bettors, this is a team that is just 1-7 ATS the last eight as a road favorite. Guys, I am well aware of the fact that LSU has covered the last two years in this match up. And I do put a bit of stock in trends and streaks. However, going on the road and laying nearly double-digits against a very game team looking for a little revenge, I feel is a gift. Going back to last season the Bulldogs have now won five in a row straight up, going 4-1 against the spread. Outside of a couple of expected drubbing at the hands of Alabama and Georgia a season ago, this team has been competitive in every single game they have played since the beginning of last season. They can run the ball, which means they can control the tempo and the clock here, keeping the LSU defense on the field, and their offense off of it. You can bet your butt that the Bulldogs coaching staff watched the game film of the LSU/FSU matchup more than once, and will take a page out of it and apply it here. Take the points with Mississippi State. Thank you.

Florida State Seminoles.

ACC Game of the Month.

Game 117.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

With Clemson already at 1-1 overall, which does include an 0-1 conference record, Florida State has a legitimate shot at taking the ACC crown this season. This team came out of the chute and blasted LSU as a one-point underdog in Week 1, 45-24. If there was going to be a letdown situation, it would’ve been last week when they did cover as a 31-point favorite over Southern Miss at home, 66-13. This is their last game against a pushover before they take on some serious conference opponents. They have Clemson up next. This is their last opportunity to fine tune their offense and defense. And trust me, they are not going let their foot off the gas against an ACC foe. They face a Boston College opponent here that fell way short in their season opener, dropping a 27-24 home game against Northern Illinois as an eight-point favorite. If they were going to show some moxie, they would’ve done it last week when they eked by Holy Cross by only three points as a double-digit favorite. Over the last four seasons, the Seminoles have taken four meetings against the Eagles, both straight up and against the spread. Last year’s matchup saw an absolute beat down as Florida State thumped Boston College, 44-14. Offensively, the Eagles are very little threat as they’re having trouble both on the ground and in the air. Defensively, it’s going to be a long day for their defense, going up against one of the most explosive offenses in the country, that is accounting for over 55.5 points per game. The Seminoles are equally strong on the ground and in the air. They have a very solid, rushing attack to control the tempo and the clock, while their explosive air assault can go down field at well. Take Florida State. Thank you.

Maryland Terrapins.

Friday Night Lights

Game 110.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

This is the final tune-up game for Maryland before they go into some serious conference play. These two teams haven’t faced one another in a decade, since they were both in the same conference. Let’s start with the Cavaliers folks. Virginia opened the season by getting shellacked, 49-13 on the road at Tennessee. Then last week at home against James Madison, they took a one-point loss. Guys this was supposed to be a very big win for them, especially because they had a dedication ceremony to the players that unfortunately passed away not that long ago. There was a break in the action due to some weather issues, but this is a team that couldn’t get past James Madison, my friends. Going back a bit, they have failed to cover five consecutive outings, and eight of the last nine overall contests. Now they have to take it on the road on a short week, coming off a devastating loss. By the way folks, this team is only touted to win 3.5 games this season. Maryland on the other hand, plays in a very tough conference and is looking to pad their win/loss record before going into conference play. This is a team that going back to last season has won four in a row straight up and three of the last five against the spread. They started the season with two decisive victories over Towson and Charlotte. Granted, they didn’t cover either game, but laying 38 and 24 points, they had easy wins, going into the last portion of both outings, so they eased back a bit. There’s no question that the Terrapins possess the better quarterback in Tagovailoa. He has more experience and savvy at the helm. And believe it or not, this team possesses the much stronger stop-unit. By the way, my friends, Maryland has taken four of the last five against ACC opponents. This may be a lot of points, but I’m not afraid to lay it. Take the Terrapins. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

Marquee Game Winner.

Game 384.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Let’s put aside the fact that all the headlines this week wrote how successful Nick Saban has been against his former assistants, going 28-2 all-time against them. For the first time, in as far back as most of us can remember, Alabama did not make the College Football Playoff last season. Not only will he come out here to make a statement, he is going to come out here with a vengeance and make a statement against a top-10 ranked opponent on national TV at home. For starters, although Quinn Ewers is an excellent quarterback, there is a lot of questions surrounding his offensive line. Going up against a defense like Alabama possesses is going to be a nightmare for the quarterback here. I know that the Longhorns return 10 starters from last season. I am also well aware of the fact that Bryce Young has since departed the Crimson Tide and their offense is now in the hands of Milroe. But you must understand that Alabama is stacked higher and deeper than the pancakes at your favorite breakfast joint. Saban won’t take any chances here and rev the engines the entire game against a team that they eked by with a one-point victory a season ago. Guys, when playing at home, the Crimson Tide are on a 15-3 ATS run in Tuscaloosa. By the way, folks, Texas is just 1-5 ATS their last six nonconference road tilts and 3-9 ATS their last 12 versus SEC opponents. After last year’s close game scare, and being shunned for the CFP, Nick Saban is going to make an example of Texas here. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Oregon Ducks.

Touchdown Play.

Game 359.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

My friends, I am going to ask you to do a little bit of math here. The Oregon Ducks are the second-choice in the Pac 12, and are touted to win 9.5 games. The Texas Tech Red Raiders are supposed to be the fourth best in the Big 12, slated to win just 7.5 games. Now going to the preseason predictions to win the National Championship, the odds for the ducks are twice as strong as the Red Raiders. With the way, the USC defense has looked thus far, in my opinion Oregon and Washington are the best teams in that conference by far. You can’t say the same for the Big 12 as far as the Texas Tech goes. Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas State are all rated significantly higher in the conference than is Texas Tech. They did finish last season strong, winning and covering their final four outings. However, they opened this season up with a very poor performance, losing outright, 35-33 as a 13.5-point favorite in Wyoming. Some bettors out there will think they’re going to bounce back strongly to make a point here. I think they exposed their weaknesses. This is a home game for the Red Raiders. But you cannot dismiss the fact that the Ducks are a monster road team, accounting for 34, 49, 42, 49, and 44 points against some solid opposition. They also have a well-balanced offense, equally strong in the air and on the ground. Bo Nix has found his home with this team. He is a stud, a good play-caller, and possesses a solid arm. He also has the luxury of having a monster ground attack. Oregon will control the clock and the tempo, keeping the Texas Tech defense on the field and their offense off of it. The Red Raiders rushed for just 95 yards against the Cowboys last week. If you can’t run the ball, you can’t keep opponent’s offenses on the sideline. And that is one thing you must do to at least slow down the juggernaut which is the Ducks offense. Don’t forget Texas Tech ranked 97th in opponents points per game last year and 102nd in yards per play against. They might come out here with some fire bellies. But they just don’t have the personnel to contend on the scoreboard in this one. Take Oregon. Thank you.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

Oddsmakers Mistake.

Game 303.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Sports fans, I keep reading that this is the first true test for Notre Dame this season. I’m looking at it at a different point of view. I think it’s their first opportunity to show the nation they are a true force to be reckoned with. Fighting Irish quarterback, Sam Hartman is no stranger to playing against this conference. The gunslinger left the ACC with the most touchdown passes in the history of the conference. And lit up this specific secondary for nearly 700 yards passing the last two meetings with NC State. Please don’t forget Notre Dame is 8-1-1 ATS the last nine versus the ACC just over the last two campaigns. Furthermore, they are also 14-2 ATS as a favorite of 10 or less points the last 16 in the situation. I will admit that facing NC State is a step up from their last two opponents, Navy, and Tennessee State. But we all must admit that the Wolfpack didn’t have that easy of a time last week against the Huskies in their 24-14 victory over them on the road. We could all agree that Brennan Armstrong just doesn’t put up the same numbers anymore. And for him and the NC State offense, this is a very, very big step up in class from Connecticut. I just feel that they do not have either the playmakers or the depth to keep pace on the scoreboard in this matchup. Being around the hot number of 7.0 or 7.5 doesn’t scare me one bit. Take the Fighting Irish. Thank you.

Florida State Seminoles

Oddsmakers Mistake.

Game 232.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

My friends, my staff and I have come up with a line on this game that Florida State should be a three-point favorite. Please remember that they’re playing in Orlando, Florida. Also, remember that last year’s meeting, the Seminoles blocked a kick at the end of the game to win 24-23. They come into this meeting with confidence. Believe it or not, FSU comes in here with a lot less pressure on them. They also come in here very optimistic. Last year they were the only team in the country to lead its conference in both total offense and total defense. Now, I will tell you both starting quarterbacks are back. However, a major advantage gives FSU an edge here. LSU defensive tackle, Maason Smith has been suspended. Let me tell you how significant he is to the squad. Head coach, Brian Kelly tried to get a Week 0 game scheduled so he could actually serve out his suspension against a no-name team and be available for this game. While I believe the Tigers are a good team, I just don’t believe all the hype that they are a great team. Trust me when I tell you folks, Florida State is a great team. Defensively they are a little stronger, a little more consistent, and possess bigger playmakers overall. And they’re at 100% coming into this contest. Granted, it’s not technically a home game for the Seminoles. But playing in Orlando, Florida certainly gives them a lot more friendly fans in the stands. Please remember that a season ago LSU, during the regular season went 1-4 against the spread away from home. I still feel FSU should be the favorite. Take the points with the Seminoles. Thank you.

Ohio State Buckeyes.

NO LIMIT.

Game 165

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

The preseason polls have Ohio State figured to be one of the top teams in college football again this season. There are some questions about their quarterback because head coach Ryan Day hasn’t officially named the starter yet to replace CJ Stroud. My friends, this team is loaded on both sides of the ball and they do have one of the best wide receiver tandems in college football today. So any QB at the helm will thrive. They face a team that they have beaten 28 consecutive meetings, and which is supposed to finish this season dead last in their conference. The Buckeyes have averaged over 50.1 points per game in the last six meetings with the Hoosiers. But even more than that, my friends this game takes place 12:30 pst/3:30 PM EST. The other team in the conference that’s supposed to be the best and one of the highest touted teams in college football, the Michigan Wolverines have a contest early at 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST against East Carolina at home. Follow this logic; if Michigan blows up East Carolina, Ohio State hast to keep their foot on the gas to keep pace with them and show them that they too are a team to be reckoned with. If the Wolverines maybe don’t cover against the Pirates, and it’s a little bit closer than many people think, then the Buckeyes still have to keep their foot on the gas to show the Wolverines that they are the best team coming out of the gate and possibly even solidify a top spot in the polls. Either way guys, Ohio State must crush Indiana. And there’s no reason why they shouldn’t. Take the Buckeyes. Thank you.

Washington Huskies.

HIGH ROLLER.

Game 198.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

My friends, this might be one of the biggest mismatches on the college football board this Saturday. To say that the Pac 12 is in a state of flux, would be an understatement. The USC Trojans were supposed to run away with this conference this season. However, after watching their defense allow San Jose State to put up 28 points on them as they failed to cover last week, we must admit that they might have the same problems they had in recent years. Their defense, their defense, their defense!. Both the Oregon Ducks and the Washington Huskies are touted to vie for the PAC 12 title. And right now, I have to be honest, the Huskies are sitting in the catbird seat. There is no question Boise State is a solid team in the Mountain West. They are supposed to be the top team in the conference this season. If you recall, they went up against Oregon State in Week 1 of last season and got blown up, 34-17. Let’s be honest, they just don’t face the same level of competition as does their opponent here this weekend. Their “all-universe” quarterback, Hank Bachmeier has departed the team and is now wearing a Louisiana Tech uniform. The Broncos are also missing some of their coaching staff, who have also departed for bigger and better. Maybe the writing is on the wall. Guys, there is no way they can keep pace offensively with the high-flying squad headed by Michael Penix Jr. A season ago, the Huskies offense ranked number one in passing yards, number two in total yards, and number four in points scored. Oh, by the way, they also didn’t turn the ball over too much, ranking second in college football in that category. Statistics can be quite deceiving my friends. Last season, Boise State possessed one of the best pass defenses in the land. However, when you go up against run-heavy offenses, like they did (Wyoming, Air Force, San Diego State, UTEP, New Mexico, Oregon State) the statistics are going be padded for sure. This is not just a step up in class for their pass defense. This is a step up, step up, step up, like they’ve never experienced before. This is a true mismatch. Lay the two TDs with the Huskies. Thank you.

TCU Horned Frogs.

National Championship Game Winner.

Game 287.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

What many sports bettors fall victim to this time of year is overthinking the National Championship Game. Obviously, with nine days between the College Football Playoff and the Title Game, you’re going to read countless articles, columns, trends, streaks, etc. My friends, don’t overthink this matchup. There is no questioning the Georgia Bulldogs have earned the No. 1 spot in the nation and deserve of all their praise and accolades. However, making this team nearly a two-touchdown favorite is a mistake. The odds makers are hoping that you buy into all the media and the hype the last few weeks. Yes, the Bulldogs are 14-0 this season. Yes, the Horned Frogs lost one game, sporting a 13-1 straight up record. I will not argue I feel Georgia is a little stronger in the trenches in this matchup. However, they are also overvalued quite a bit by the oddsmakers only covering one of their last four outings. Their defense, which overall has been very impressive the season, has gotten plowed for 71 combined points over the last two games. And I feel they have significantly more pressure on them to win here on Monday. Not only that guys, but I think we can all agree that perhaps Buckeyes head coach, Ryan Day made a couple of bad in-game decisions last week. Granted, TCU did lose the Conference Championship in overtime to Kansas State a month ago. But it also showed this team and their coaching staff what they need to work on. I also don’t want you to solely judge the Horned Frogs by their decisive win over the Wolverines last week. Yes, Michigan is certainly one of the most complete teams in College Football this year. And TCU handled them pretty well. But looking at this team overall, this season they have knocked off five ranked teams, including three as an underdog. Many were worried that their biggest ball-carrier, Kendre Miller was sidelined. But I think we can all agree, Emari Demercado can fill in on the rushing game without missing a beat. On this platform, mistakes and turnovers usually play a key part in the outcome of the game. And once again, TCU is significantly better on both sides of the ball as they do not commit nearly as many turnovers as Georgia, and while they do snag more takeaways than the Bulldogs. One more item folks…they are money. They are 4-0 ATS the last four nonconference games played and 10-3-1 ATS the last 14 overall games played. Oh, by the way Georgia has failed to cover each of their last four nonconference games folks. I just feel this is way too many points to give a very talented and scrappy bunch like the Horned Frogs led by a quarterback, who perhaps possesses more heart and grit than any other QB in the nation. Take TCU. Thank you.

Georgia Bulldogs.

Late Info Move.

Game 274.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

My friends the line has moved exactly where we wanted it here in this game. Very simply, both teams deserve to be here. However, looking at the close of the Buckeyes season, three of their final five games, their defense got plowed for 30 or more points. There is no way the Nittany Lions should’ve put up 31 on them. And there is no way the Terrapins should’ve scored 30 on them either. Their last game, a 45-23 loss against the Wolverines is understandable. Their defense has definitely sprung a leak. And I doubt psychologically this team can bounce back from that devastating loss to Michigan. Understand they’ve only covered one of their last five outings. They have become point spread poison. The Georgia defense took out starters in their last outing on December 3, a 50-30 win and cover in the Conference Title game against the LSU Tigers. Other than that, this stop-unit never allowed a single opponent to put up better than 22-points this season. And guys, they’ve faced some explosive offenses. The fact that they are so well-balanced offensively will keep the OSU defense honest and on the field. Not only does Georgia want to win the National Title game, they also want to stay undefeated. Today they achieve both of those goals. Ohio State is 2-6 ATS the last eight nonconference games, 1-5 ATS the last six neutral site games, and 0-3-1 ATS the last four versus teams with a winning record. Georgia is 8-2 ATS the last 10 Bowl games, 4-1 ATS the last five neutral site games, and 8-2 ATS the last 10 December games. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you.

Michigan Wolverines.

Cash Money Play.

Saturday, December 31, 2022.

Game 276.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

My friends, for once there is no questioning the Final Four teams that made this year’s College Football Playoffs. Normally, we’re engulfed in controversy about teams that made it and certain teams that should’ve made it. That’s not the case this season. And I expect the Peach Bowl between Ohio State and Georgia is a highly anticipated matchup as well as this game that I’m going to talk about, the Fiesta Bowl between Texas Christian and Michigan. Both teams certainly deserve to be here. The Horned Frogs possess a 12-1 mark, with their only defeat coming in the Big 12 Championship game at the hands of the Wildcats. The Wolverines, at 13-0 have already set a school record for most victories in a season. They’re also looking to finish undefeated for the first time since 1997, when they won a share of the National Championship, back then when it was decided by the polls. Guys, I’m not going to get in to some big debate over my next item, but I don’t think anyone would really question the fact that the Big Ten is a bit stronger than the Big 12. The Big 12 is chock-full of offenses that can light up the scoreboard. However, the Big Ten is made up of good, well-balanced offenses, along with defenses that could shut down opponents’ offenses. Looking at TCU‘s schedule this season, they had quite a bit of problems with opponents like Oklahoma State, Texas, and even Baylor. And as we all saw in the December 3, Big 12 Title game, Kansas State really took it to them as quarterback, Max Duggan and the offense looked very vulnerable. As far as Michigan goes, they didn’t have too many close games this season. As a matter of fact, the only opponent that gave them a tough time the entire campaign was Illinois. But as we came to find out, the Fighting Illini’s defense was the real-deal. Speaking of that loss to the Wildcats, the very smart head coach, Jim Harbaugh and his staff watched the game tapes of that contest and will take a page out of it as to how to slow down the quarterback and the rushing attack. Granted, the Horned Frogs offense is equally good on the ground and in the air, resulting in scoring 40.3 points per game. However, they haven’t faced a defense like they’re going to face here this week. The Wolverine stop-unit ranks fifth nationally, allowing just 13.4-points per game and was equally tough against the rush as well as a pass. They will shut down the ground game of TCU as did Kansas State. Thus, putting more pressure on Duggan, throwing a lot of different schemes at him and a lot of blitzes. Trust me when I tell you they will force him to make mistakes here in this game. Defensively, the Horned Frogs leave a lot to be desired. Overall, they give up 25.0-points per game. They rank 83rd against the pass and 64th against the rush. Well, I’ve got to tell you, the Michigan offense is so deep and so talented, they will keep their opponents “D” off-balanced this entire game and backpedaling. Come the second half, the TCU defense will be gasping for air.  I know Blake Corum is out. But backup running back, Donovan Edwards is outstanding. He tallied 872 yards rushing, averaging 7.5-yards per rush and seven touchdowns. Just against the mighty, Ohio State defense a month ago, the ball-carrier rushed for 216 yards and two touchdowns. He then put up 185 yards on the ground and another touchdown in the Big 12 Championship against Purdue. The Wolverines will exploit the Horned Frogs weaknesses on defense. Furthermore, they will keep that defense on the field and the TCU offense off it, resulting in their “O” not getting into any rhythm at all. And as I mentioned earlier the Horned Frogs have yet to face a defense as complete, as talented, and as ferocious as they will face here against the Wolverines. TCU is 3-7 ATS the last 10 Bowl games and 4-11 ATS the last 15 neutral site games. Michigan is 5-2 ATS the last seven nonconference games and 19-7-1 ATS the last 27 overall games. Take the Wolverines. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

Bowl Game of the Season.

Game 272.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Guys, I’m not going to break this game down like I normally do in detail. I am going to break it down for you in common sense. ‘Bama quarterback, Bryce Young and linebacker, Will Anderson will be playing this game. Many expected both to opt out at this point. But being that they have not, tells me a few things about the Sugar Bowl. Especially because of the 13 Crimson Tide players who entered the transfer portal, only one was a starter. Granted, I know Nick Saban‘s Alabama squad has not been a covering machine when it comes to Bowl games. However, this years squad is a lot different than past squads. First of all, they did not make the College Football Playoff. And anything short of that, Saban feels is a losing season. While they have a 10-win campaign this year, this is a team that following their second loss of the season back in November to LSU, a one-point overtime defeat, has since rattled off three consecutive straight up victories. As a matter fact, both of the Crimson Tides defeats the season came on the final plays of the game against the Volunteers and the Tigers. And both of those opponents were highly-ranked at the time. Saban will go out of his way to have his boys prepared, revved up, motivated, and ready to prove to the pollsters that this year was a fluke. No matter who is under center for the Wildcats, I think we can all agree that Kansas State is not a passing team. Their offense relies upon the rush. They have an excellent RB in Deuce Vaughn. But the ‘Bama defense ranks 30th nationally against the rush. And guys, they have faced some pretty darn good rushing attacks this season. If they can slow down Vaughan, and I believe they will, this leaves whichever quarterback is at the helm, Howard or Martinez, a sitting duck. Alabama‘s pass rush is one of the best in the nation and they rank 16th overall in passing yards allowed. While K State plays in the Big 12 and faces a lot of very high-powered offenses, I just don’t see them slowing down, let alone stopping the well-balanced ‘Bama offensive juggernaut. This is a team that averages over 40.8-points per game, while playing some of the toughest defenses in the nation. That is unfamiliar territory for the Wildcats, guys. Once again, I feel that Nick Saban is going out to prove a point in this matchup, especially because this game goes off before the two CFP contests. He can really make a statement here. The Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS the last six Bowl games, 10-4 ATS the last 14 nonconference games, and 4-1 ATS the last five games in December. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Clemson Tigers.

Friday Night Lights Winner.

Game 267.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

Sports fans, there is no questioning the fact that the Tennessee Volunteers offense finished the season ranking first in total yards and points scored. Their success offensively came off the arm and the leadership of Hendon Hooker, who is out with an injury. Now the reins are in the hands of Michigan-transfer, Joe Milton III. I’ve got to tell you folks, I’ve never been a big fan of Milton. And now he must start a Bowl game and play without the services of two of the Volunteers top-four receivers in Hyatt and Tillman. By the way Milton is it known to run the ball as well as Hooker either. He is definitely a one-dimensional quarterback. They must face the nation’s 18th ranked defense, allowing just 20.1 points per game, consisting of college football’s 10th ranked run defense. I feel the fact Clemson stuffs the run so well, it is going to hurt the Tennessee offense significantly. Offensively, the Tigers will start phenom quarterback, Cade Klubnik. This will be his “coming out” party on a national platform. Clemson will get a chance to show the world of college football that next year they are gunning for a CFP spot. This is a team that finished the season very strong dominating opponents. Their one recent loss was a one-point heartbreaker at the hands of South Carolina, a team in which devoured Tennessee two games ago, 63-38. I see Klubnik dissecting the Volunteers 127th ranked pass defense. He also has the luxury of RB, Will Shipley in the backfield to keep the UT “D” honest. The Tigers are 16-5 ATS the last 21 in December, 4-1 ATS the last four Bowls, and 20-6 ATS the last 26 on neutral sites. Take Clemson. Thank you

Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

Friday Bowl Best Bet.

Game 264.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Guy, the line moved in this game yesterday morning because of the wiseguy‘s here in Vegas. And I’m not going to lie to you. I was one of those sharp players who bet Notre Dame, moving the line up to -3. South Carolina’s claim to fame is the fact that their last two games of the season were outright wins against Tennessee and Clemson. If that wasn’t the case, you would see this line closer to a six or even a seven. Having said that my friends, the Gamecocks are depleted. While head coach Shane Beamer will have his starting quarterback Spencer Rattler at the helm here, most of his other stars have run for the hills in one way or another. Opt outs, transfer portal, and injuries have really depleted this team of their biggest playmakers for the most part. On the flipside, Notre Dame finished the season winning five of the last six games straight up. Yes, they took an 11-point loss on the road at USC to finish off the campaign. But this team will be in “bounce back” mode here. Understand that not only do the Fighting Irish have a long tradition of winning, but they are very deep…very deep. Let’s talk about that real quick. Quarterback, Drew Pyne is heading to Arizona State. And tight end, Michael Mayer has opted out to prep for the NFL. But if you recall Tyler Buchner entered preseason camp as the starter and a shoulder injury forced him to miss the last 10 games for the Irish. He’s been getting first team reps in practice and is expected to be back at the helm here. So, no big disappointment under center for Notre Dame, guys. A few other items that you really need to take note of: Understand this was not an offense that had explosive passing attack to begin with. They ran the ball and passed off the run. And just FYI folks their biggest ball carriers are playing here and get to face the 113th ranked run defense of South Carolina. Next, the Fighting Irish will absolutely dominate the Gamecocks in the trenches. On both sides of the line of scrimmage, their linemen are much bigger, much stronger, and much better. Then, Spencer Rattler is a very good quarterback. However, he goes up against the nation’s 20th ranked pass defense. And he’s going to do it without his two best ball-carriers in the backfield. Both Lloyd and Bell have entered the transfer portal. Lastly, in consecutive games, South Carolina got plowed for 24, 23, 27, 38, 38, and 30-points. They’re going to give up a lot of points here, folks. As I said earlier the line is way off here. And that’s why we’re going to stay with Notre Dame. Take the Fighting Irish. Thank you.

Washington Huskies.

Alamo Bowl Winner.

Game 257.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

There is no question that both Texas and Washington possess two of the best offenses in college football today. The Longhorns average over 35.7-points per game on 430.3 yards per game, while the Huskies account for 40.8-points per game and over 521.7 yards per game. Texas enters this matchup on a 3-2 straight up run and have split out their last six games against the spread. Washington is a little hotter, riding a six-game straight up win streak, covering the last three in a row. However, the Longhorns might have a little bit of trouble keeping pace offensively as they lost their two best offensive weapons in running backs, Bijan Robinson and Roschon Johnson. The tandem accounted for over 2,134 yards rushing and 23 touchdowns on the ground, with another 344 yards receiving and three TD’s in the air. No other ball-carriers have any real experience other than the pair. This will surely put extra pressure on the young and inexperienced quarterback, Quinn Ewers. If Texas cannot move the ball on the ground (which I doubt they will), their defense will get very tired here. Something they are not accustomed to being. The Huskies, behind the nation’s top-ranked passing attack will dissect the 88th ranked pass defense of the Longhorns in this matchup. Quarterback, Michael Penix Jr. (who will be coming back next year), has tallied over 4,354 yards passing and a 29-7 TD/INT ratio. He does have a couple of good ball-carriers at his disposal to keep the Texas defense honest. I just don’t see the Longhorns keeping pace offensively on the scoreboard with the Huskies. Washington is 4-0 ATS the last four nonconference games. Take the Huskies. Thank you.

Florida State Seminoles.

Cheez-It Bowl Winner.

Game 256.

2:30 PM PST/5:30 PM EST.

If there was another team more disappointing this season than Oklahoma, I don’t know which team that would be. The Sooners finished the campaign 6-6 and every time they stepped up in class, they seemed to have taken a big beating. Now, they have been hit with a large amount of opt outs. They face a Florida State opponent that enters this Bowl matchup winning five in a row straight up going 4-1 against the spread. As a matter of fact, since they lost a few games in a row back in October, this team has played perfect football. Unlike their adversary here, they have not been hit by too many opt outs. Moreover, this is the first Bowl game in a while and an opportunity for them to reach the 10-win mark, which would be huge for this program. Reports are Sooners head coach Brent Venables spent the last few weeks not preparing for this meaningless Bowl matchup, but instead recruiting for next year’s class. The Seminoles will enjoy basically a home crowd being that this game is being played in Orlando, Florida. While this is a lot of points, please understand that on both sides of the ball, FSU is far superior. The average over 36.2-points per game and they face one of the worst defenses in the nation. On the stop end of the ball, the Seminoles rank 16th, only allowing 19.7-points per game. Oklahoma, even at full strength would have a problem here because of their horrible Swiss-cheese like defense. However, I think things are going to go from bad to worse for this team because their only true offensive weapon, running back Eric Gray has opted out. They are 1-6 ATS the last seven versus teams with a winning record and 2-7 ATS the last nine overall. Florida State is 10-3-1 ATS the last 14 Bowl games and 8–2 Ats the last 10 following a straight up win. Take the Seminoles. Thank you.

East Carolina Pirates.

Birmingham Bowl winner.

Game 241.

3:45 PM PST/6:45 PM EST.

Three-time Sun Belt Player of the Year, Grayson McCall, despite entering the transfer portal, will play quarterback in this game for Coastal Carolina. The rumor mill has been buzzing that he has quite a few offers from SEC squads. He has put up some outstanding numbers in his tenure with the chanticleers. However, he’s coming off of foot injury and does not have his offensive line intact in this Bowl game. After missing the embarrassing, 47-7 loss at James Madison at the end of November, he did return at the beginning of December and was clearly hobbled with that foot injury in the team’s, 45-26 loss at Troy. Granted, he has had several weeks to heal. But without his offensive line at full force here, he’s going to be on the run for most of this contest. While the Pirates possess one of the worst pass defenses is in the nation, they are one of the best against the rush. Trust me when I tell you, they can still get to the quarterback here. At the very least, they will shut down the rushing game of Coastal Carolina, forcing McCall out of the pocket and committing turnovers. ECU has a much more well-balanced offense. They average just shy of 31-points per game, ranking 16th in the nation in passing and 55th in rushing. Due to the fact that they have a well-balanced offense, they will keep the CCU defense busy and on the field for most of this contest. Please take note the Chanticleers pass defense is just as bad, ranking 124th nationally. One more item that is vital here is the fact the Pirates do not turn the ball over. And let’s face it, the Chanticleers are not known for creating turnovers. This is going to play a big part in today’s matchup. By the way, East Carolina quarterback Holton Ahlers is going to wrap up his five-year career here. This season he has thrown for 3,408 yards and 23 touchdowns, with just five interceptions. All three of the Chanticleers losses this season were outright beat downs. I think you’re looking at another beat down, folks. CCU is 0-4 ATS the last four games in December, 2-8 ATS the last 10 games versus teams with a winning record, and 2-6 ATS the last eight games overall. Take ECU. Thank you.

New Mexico State.

Game 235.

11:30 AM PST/2:30 PM EST.

Sports fans, you ever noticed you never see a sportsbook, a casino, a racetrack, or even a local bookmaker go out of business? Do you know why? Because the general public loses. And that’s what’s going to happen in the Quick Lane Bowl on Monday between New Mexico State and Bowling Green. The Aggies actually opened up a slight one-point favorite here. And as of this show, this line has now moved to make the Falcons a 3.5-point favorite. The general public is all over the MAC team. Now guys, I know New Mexico State plays in the Independents Conference. And they are outshined by other representatives like Notre Dame, Liberty, BYU and even Army. But I’m here to tell you this team is a pretty decent team. They started the campaign off losing their first four games. And then something happened. The team solidified behind quarterback, Diego Pavia. Oh, by the way, the play-caller was a little banged up but. But it was announced that he’s at least 90% recovered from a hamstring issue. So, no worries there. When he got the starting job, the offense got in sync He produced an 11-1 touchdown-interception ratio. Now this team has won five of their last six both straight up against the spread. But when Pavia took all over the reins, things certainly changed significantly for the better. They have rattled off four wins in the last five games, both straight up and against the number. They have really stepped up a notch. So, when I tell you that their numbers over on the season are skewed…believe me they are skewed. Look for the outstanding gunslinger to decimate the Bowling Green 104th ranked pass defense. Now when the Falcons have the ball, it’s no secret they are a passing team. To be honest, they can’t rush the ball at all, barely breaking 100 yards per game on the ground averaging 101 yards per contest. They strictly throw the ball. They rely… let me rephrase that, they live and die by the pass. Now they have a pretty darn good quarterback themselves in Matt McDonald. But he must face an Aggies pass defense that ranks 14th nationally. This team frustrated much better offenses in the air this season. By the way, coming back around to Pavia folks, he’s a monster threat on the ground as well. He really compliments Starr Thomas and Jimony Jones, their solid backfield tandem as he has added another 452 yards and six TD’s with his legs. So once again, when he took over the reins the entire offensive unit got in sync and everybody started producing at a much higher level. And once again, their statistics are skewed because it that was so bad the first portion of the season that it doesn’t show overall. One more item folks, Bowling Green has only been favored away from home once in the last five years and they failed to cover that game, which occurred back at the beginning of October this season. When it comes to covering, New Mexico State has been money. So, let’s go with the money and take the 3.5-points with the Aggie’s. Thank you.

San Diego State.

Game 234.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

My friends, putting these two teams together in the Hawaii bowl seems to me to be inhumane. Blue Raiders are not a bad mean. I mean they finished the season winning the last three outings straight up. But let’s face it, being Charlotte, FAU, and FIU will definitely give this them a false sense of security. Yes, they ranked 31st in the nation in passing. However, the Aztecs defense is one of the best in college football. They allow just 20.2-points per game, equally good against the pass as well as the rush. Middle Tennessee State has not faced a defense of this caliber at all this season. I mean this is a team that had trouble scoring on James Madison, UAB, and Western Kentucky. Being that the San Diego State stop-unit is so strong, they will get the Middle Tennessee State offense off the field very quickly with a lot of three-and-outs and even force some turnovers. This will then tire out the Blue Raiders defense and allow the Aztecs offense to go to work. Granted, the San Diego State “O“ is slow-moving. But they have three phenomenal wideouts that will absolutely exploit the MTU 129th ranked pass defense. They have a solid backfield that will keep this defense honest and allow their quarterback to open up the passing game. The Blue Raiders are 2-5 ATS the last seven Bowl games, 2-7 ATS the last nine games in December, and 2-5-1 ATS the last eight games overall. Take the Aztecs. Thank you.

Fresno State Bulldogs.

Cure Bowl.

Game 211.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

The depleted Cougars defense was running thin at the linebacker position as several key players entered the transfer portal several weeks ago. To thin the corps even more, their best player OLB, Henley has opted out to prep for the NFL Draft. Washington State is also going to be missing several coaches. Offensively they will be without their two of their top three wideouts. But in all honesty, even if this team was at full strength, I think they would still have a hard time with a Fresno State squad that has run off eight consecutive wins and six covers out of those eight contests. Look for quarterback, Jay Haener to absolutely decimate the depleted Washington State defense. He heads up the 27th ranked passing attack in the nation. And he’s going to face a pass defense that ranks 113th. And that was before they lost all their linebackers. He’s got a great offensive line that will give him all the time in the world to pick the Cougars ”D” apart. I’ve got to be honest my friends, on the flipside, Wazzu quarterback Cam Ward is a stud. However, being without two of his favorite weapons and without a true rushing game to keep the Broncos defense honest, I think he’s going to be a sitting duck, guys. Understand Fresno State’s pass defense is one of the best in the nation, ranking 23rd. And as I said, the Washington State rushing game is absolutely deplorable, ranking 113th. I know there’s a lot of emotion on the Wazzu side with recent off the field heartbreaks. However, I just don’t see emotion beating experienced talent in this matchup. One more major item is that this game is being played in Inglewood, California, where there will be more of a Bulldogs crowd. The Cougars are 3-7 ATS their last 10 nonconference games, 1-4 ATS their last five Bowl games, and 0-4 ATS their last four games played in the month of December. I doubt you’re going to need it, but buy this line down to -3 just to err on the side of caution. Take Fresno State all the way here guys. Thank you.

Michigan Wolverines.

BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER.

Game 324.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

The news of running back, Blake Corum sidelined here for the Big Ten Championship game moved the line slightly. And I’m here to tell you although the ball-carrier is an outstanding athlete, it won’t matter much. The Michigan backfield is deep. Edwards and Stokes are excellent running backs. They both have an enormous amount of experience. Both saw a lot of action this season. As a matter of fact, Edwards played in nine games and Stokes in 10. We’ve seen some very peculiar things occur during this college football campaign. We saw teams, despite winning, still dropping in rankings because they did not annihilate lesser opponents. Michigan not only needs to win this game they need to blow Purdue out. They rank second in the polls. As you may or may not know, they are only one of three undefeated teams. Going off earlier on Saturday is LSU and Georgia. The Bulldogs top the rankings. While I think the Tigers are no pushovers, I do expect Georgia to prevail. Also, earlier on Saturday the third-ranked Horned Frogs will have a tough time with the Wildcats. Then the one-loss Trojans played Friday night and have a very worthy adversary in the Utes (as of posting this game, the Pac-12 Title game has yet to take place). Then there is the fifth-ranked Buckeyes which also have just one loss. My point being, Michigan must go all out in this matchup on Saturday. Now I know there are naysayers out there that would think that after they defeated Ohio State a week ago, 45-23 that they might take their foot off the gas a bit or maybe even be in for a left down here. There is no way Head Coach, Jim Harbaugh will allow his boys to do anything but annihilate their opponent here on Saturday. He won’t take the chance. And he wants his team to be riding momentum for their next contest. Speaking of their opponent, Purdue is outclassed on both sides of the ball in this match up. Just FYI folks, the 23-points given up in last weeks win over Ohio State, was the most Michigan has allowed since late-September. I really don’t see the Boilermakers having any success, whether it be on the ground or in the air here. I don’t see them moving the chains. And I certainly don’t see them putting too many points on the board. They don’t have a ground game to speak of. That leaves their one-dimensional offense very vulnerable. They can pass the ball. I will give them that. But the Wolverines own the 11th-ranked pass defense in the nation. Being Purdue cannot run the ball, the Michigan “D” will be able to key on their passing game. On the flipside, I just don’t see Purdue slowing down the juggernaut which is the Michigan offense. Understand that they’ve been much bigger favorites than 16.5-points this season against better opposition and they covered those outings. They will cover the spread here again this week. Take the Wolverines. Thank you.