Over in the Mississippi State/Arkansas matchup.

Total of the MONTH.

Game 395/396.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Trust me, when I tell you, my friends, the total in this matchup is way too low. Both of these teams are looking for their first Conference victory. And both will fight to get it. Mississippi State comes off a bye last week and Arkansas returns home after several weeks. Starting with the basics: these two teams have combined to play eight overs, four unders, and one push this season. The Bulldogs enter this matchup on a four-game over run, while the Razorbacks have played to four overs in their last five outings. Going back the last eight matchups, six of them have gone over the total, this includes four of the last five, and the last two meetings, the last two seasons. Neither offense is particularly exciting. But they do combine for over 60 points per game. Makes you think, doesn’t it? I just don't see this being a low-scoring contest. Take the over. Thank you.

Under in the Air Force/Baylor Armed Forces Bowl.

NCAAF Total of the Month.

Games 227/228.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Just for the record, the Baylor Bears enter this Bowl matchup having played two unders in their last three outings following having played six consecutive overs. As the season progressed the odds makers looked to trap you. We all know the type of game plan Air Force plays, thus resulting in five unders in their last six outings. Having said all that, both defenses are amazing. The Bears, which play in the explosive Big 12, allow just 26.6-points per game. The Falcons, ranked number one in the nation, in both yards allowed and passing yards allowed. They rank eighth in rushing yards allowed and third in college football in points scored, yielding a mere 13.3-points per game. The matchups here are very interesting. The Bears, which are a good team offensively, will have a lot of problems. This is a team that primarily relies upon the run to open up their passing game. Well, the Falcons are amazing at stuffing the rush. On the flipside, Air Force we all know, tops the nation in rushing. That is one area that Baylor was very good at defensively in the conference. They allowed only 137.6 yards per game on the ground. Two items that really stood out to me here; Baylor coach Dave Aranda, who really got the head coaching position he currently holds due to the fact that he was the defensive coordinator for Ed Orgeron during the 15-0 National Championship season of 2019 for LSU. He just recently fired his defensive coordinator, Ron Roberts and is taking over the reins here. You can bet your kid‘s college fund that he has prepared his defense for the explosive rushing attack they will face here this evening. Switching it around, we all know the Falcons are the best in the nation at running the ball. Well, they use up a lot of clock on the ground. They don’t score a lot of points, but they use up a lot of clock. The under is 4-1 in the Bears last five games played versus the MWC, 4-0 in their last four games played at a neutral site, and 4-0 in their last four games played in the month of December. The under is 16-5 in the Falcons last 21 nonconference games, 5-1 in their last six games played on grass, and 4-1 in their last five Bowl games. Take the under. Thank you.

Over.

Games 273/274.

12:00 PM PST

Louisiana Tech head coach, Skip Holtz has done wonders with this year’s squad. Following the departure of three-year starter, superstar J’Mar Smith, the talk was that this team would have a problem putting points on the board. Well sports fans those doubters now need some water to wash down their foot as the Bulldogs offensive unit have accounted for over 29.3 PPG.

 If I had asked you before the season began to name a team that would play more games in 2020 despite the health crisis, I bet you would have never guessed Georgia Southern. But three months later the most battle-tested team in the nation, the Eagles are college football’s only team to complete a 12-game regular season. Their 7th ranked rushing unit will shred the lax 88th ranked run defense of Louisiana Tech.

 The Bulldogs have played three straight overs while the Eagles enter this matchup having played to four overs in their last five outings. This game flies over the total folks. Take the over. Thank you.

OVER in the Ducks/Trojans.

Pac-12 TOM.

Games 251/252.

5:00 pm pst.

Pac-12 Championship between Oregon Ducks and USC Trojans. The total is currently 64. Six of the last seven meetings in this rivalry have gone over the total folks. Two offenses that can put up 35 points on just about any defense in the nation square off here. You can expect another seesaw shootout here. They may need to replace the bulbs in the scoreboard by halftime. Take the over. Thank you.

Take OVER in the ND/UNC matchup.

This is my ACC TOTAL OF THE MONTH.

Games 135/136.

12:30 pm pst.

Two ACC (this season) powerhouses meet here as the No. 2 Fighting Irish and the No. 25 Tar Heels take the field. Notre Dame, which averages over 37.6 PPG, has put up points against just about every opponent this in 2020. They will be able to pass the ball with success here against the 92nd ranked pass defense in college football, while their devastatingly talented rushing attack moves the chains. North Carolina, which accounts for over 43.1 PPG can light up the scoreboard on any team in the nation with their well-balanced (11th passing, 15th rushing) offense. The Fighting Irish have gotten burned for over 71 points the last two outings against the Tigers without Trevor Lawrence and an Eagles squad that is not known for their offensive prowess. The Tar Heels one flaw is their “D”, which has gotten torched for over 30.8 PPG. These teams have combined to play 10 overs and just 6 unders this season. Five of the last seven ND games have gone over the total while UNC has played to four straight overs. Take the OVER. Thank you.

Take the UNDER.

Games 241/242.

1:00 pm pst.

When two of the best offenses in the country square off, logic tells you to play the over. That's what the odds makers are hoping you'd do. Don't fall into the trap here. As good as the offenses are, the defenses are just as talented. We have two savvy quarterbacks and two very smart head coaches. Look for both offensive units to establish the run and then pass off of it. You won't see too many mistakes in this matchup, either on the field or on the sidelines.  I do see scoring here, but not enough to justify the high total. The under is 8-2 in the Sooners last 10 vs. the SEC, 18-3-2 in the Sooners last 22 in December, 5-3 in the Tigers last seven on neutral sites, and 5-1-1 in the Tigers last seven nonconference games. Take the UNDER. Thank you.

Take the UNDER in the ULL.

This is my TOM.

Games 107/108.

9:00 am pst.

ULL has played to 6 UNDERS over the L7 outings while APP State has played to 6 UNDERS in the L8 contests. Both teams play tough defenses as the Ragin' Cajuns rank 11th, yielding 17.8 PPG and the Mountaineers ranks 18th, allowing just 18.8 PPG. The UNDER is 6-1 in ULL's L6 in conference play, 4-0 in ULL's L4 vs. winners, 5-2 in APP State's L7 in conference play and 6-1 in APP State's L7 vs. winners. Take the UNDER. Thank you.

Take the UNDER in the FSU/BSU matchup.

Games 317/318.

4:45 pm pst.

When you talk about great college football defensive matchups, you normally refer to the SEC or the Big Ten. Well, two of the nation's better stop-units are in the MWC, and face each other on Saturday. Fresno State owns the #2 defense in college football, allowing a mere, 13.5 PPG. The Boise State "D", ranks 36th, giving up just, 22.3 PPG. Both offenses rely upon the pass as neither have found success on the ground. Of their 24 combined outings this season, 15 have gone Under the TOTAL, due to their collective, defensive prowess. As a matter of fact, the last four meetings in this series, have all gone Under the TOTAL. Take the UNDER. Thank you.

Take the OVER in the TEXAS/OKLAHOMA matchup.

Games 311/312.

9:30 am pst.

The first meeting, back on October 6th, combined for 93 points. The Oklahoma offense ranks 1st in points scored, averaging, 50.3 PPG. Their defense is absolutely horrible, ranking 100th, and allowing over 32.8 PPG. 11 of their 12 outings this season have gone OVER the Total. Texas has a very good offense, led by dual-threat, Sam Ehlinger (2774 YP, 64.4% CR, 23/4 in the air and 376 YR and 11 TD's on the ground). The QB has an excellent corps of receivers and two solid ball-carriers. Both defenses have been exploited by the pass as the Sooners ranks 127th and the Longhorns rank 104th. 6 of the L9 meetings have gone OVER the Total. Take the OVER. Thank you.

Take the UNDER in the CSU/BSU matchup.

This is my FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS WINNER.

Games 207/208.

6:00 pm pst.

Over the last month, the Boise State offense has slowed a bit. However, their defense is tough, allowing just, 21.8 PPG. CSU has very little offensive prowess and won't be able to score here. The UNDER is 5-1 in the Rams L6 overall and 16-6 in the Broncos L22 at home. Take the UNDER. Thank you.

Take the UNDER in the Stanford/ASU matchup.

This is my TD play.

Games 305/306.

6:00 pm pst.

Bryce Love is going to return to the Stanford backfield here, but still isn't 100%. While he was healthy, the RB wasn't exactly breaking records. QB, KJ Costello is too inconsistent (12/6). The ASU offense hasn't posted more than 21 points on any decent opponent this season. The UNDER is 5-1 the L6 meetings in this series. Take the UNDER. Thank you.

Take UNDER in the Miami/LSU matchup.

This is my TOTAL OF THE WEEK.

Games 217/218.

4:30 pm pst.

Miami is touted to be a powerhouse team and win 9.5 games. LSU has a new QB and reports are that they will be more of a passing squad than in recent years. The Tigers have a monster "D" that allowed just 316 yards and 18.9 PPG last season. They will get pressure on the 'Canes star QB, Malik Rosier. The UNDER is 6-0 in Miami's L6 neutral site games, 5-1 the L6 vs. the SEC, 9-2 the K11 overall, 4-0 in LSU's L4 neutral site games, 7-2 the L9 in September, and 20-8 the L28 overall. Take the UNDER. Thank you.

Take the UNDER in the South Carolina/Michigan Outback Bowl.

Game 265-266.

9:00 am pst.

Neither team is known for a fast-tempo, high-scoring offense. South Carolina averages just 24.1 PPG with the 80th ranked run and 108th ranked pass units. Michigan accounts for 25.8 PPG and owns one of the poorest passing squads in the nation, ranking 111th. They are known as a running team. But, the Gamecocks counter with one of the strongest run defenses and an overall "D" that allows just 20.8 PPG (25th). The Wolverines have one of the stingiest stop-units in college football, ranking #1 vs. the pass and 20th vs. the run, yielding a mere, 18.2 PPG (12th). With 2 solid defenses, smart coaches, and both lacking explosive offenses, I look for the contest to go UNDER the Total. The UNDER is 2-1 in Michigan's L3 and 8-3 in South Carolina's L11 overall. Take the UNDER. Thank you.

Take Oregon/UCLA OVER.

This is my NCAAF TOTAL OF THE MONTH.

Games 383/384.

1:00 pm pst.

Oregon's offense is beginning to look like the power house they were just a few short years ago. The Ducks average 37.9 PPG. They have the 18th ranked rushing attack in the nation with 4 solid ball-carriers and face a UCLA defense that ranks last, that's right, 129th vs. the run, yielding 313 YPG on the ground, and an overall, 40.5 PPG (124th). The Bruins are led by Josh Rosen and the #2 passing unit in college football and go up against a Ducks "D" that ranks 98th vs. the pass and yields an overall, 30.3 PPG. The OVER is 5-2 in Oregon's L7 games played in the month of October and 5-1 in UCLA's L6 overall. Take the OVER. Thank you.

Take UNDER in the MARY/BC matchup.

This is my Bowl Total of the Year.

Games 231/232.

11:30 am pst.

Both teams know each other quite well, having played one another 8 times between 06’-13’. Maryland found success running the ball (110th passing) this season but will have trouble here against the 8th ranked rush defense of Boston College while the Eagles averaged less than 150 YPG both on the ground and in the air, offensively. The Terrapins accounted for just 25.4 PPG and the Eagles a mere, 19.1 PPG. As a matter of fact, 16 of the combined 24 games played by these two teams this season went UNDER the Total. And so does this one. Take the UNDER.

Take UNDER.

Game 103/104.

12:00 pm pst.

Navy has taken 14 straight over Army and I would have made the Midshipmen a DD favorite here but they lost both their starting QB and starting RB in LW's AAC Title game loss to Temple. These are the #2 and #3 ranked rushing teams in the nation, so look for alot of time eaten off the clock with the run. Navy, now has to do it with 2 backups at their key positions and Army's defense ain't no pushover. Take the UNDER. Thank you.

Take the UNDER in the Flo/Ala matchup.

This is my Championship Game Total of the Year.

Games 327/328.

1:00 pm pst.

Very simply, Florida's stagnant offense will not be able to score on the #1 stop-unit of Alabama, yielding a mere, 11.4 PPG. The gators "D" ranks 4th against the pass, which tells me that HC, Nick Saban will keep the ball on the ground with his stable of stout ball-carriers, Harris, Hurts, Jacobs, and Scarbrough, moving the chains and eating the clock. The UNDER is 4-1 in the Tides L5 overall and 5-0 in the Gators L5 overall. Take the UNDER. Thank you.

Take UNDER in the BSU/Toledo matchup.

This is my Consensus winner.

Games 305/306.

4:00 pm pst.

These two teams have played to 4 straight UNDERS the L4 seasons. Toledo's "D" is holding foes to just 22.9 PPG. The UNDER is 4-1 in the Cardinals L5 on the road and 5-1 in the Rockets L6 in November. Take the UNDER. Thank you.

Take UNDER in the BC/FSU matchup.

This is my FNL winner.

Games 117/118.

4:30 pm pst.

BC is limited offensively, averaging just 19.4 PPG with neither their passing or running games resulting in anything special. However, the Eagles rank 14th in total defense, and have played well against such notables as Clemson, V Tech, and Louisville. They have hung in tightly against the Seminoles the L3 seasons. FSU is 0-3 as a home fav this season and their top weapon, RB, Cook ran for just 54 YR in LY's meeting. The UNDER is 5-1 in the Eagles L6 in November and 9-1 in the Seminoles L10 in November. take the UNDER. Thank you.

Take OVER in the Navy/South Florida game.

This is my Consensus play.

Games 113/114.

4:00 pm pst.

These two teams do not match up well with one another defensively. Navy QB, Will Worth leads the #4 rushing offense against the 99th ranked rush defense of South Florida. The Bulls post 42.4 PPG behind dual-threat QB, Quinton Flowers (23 TD's accounted for). These two teams have combined to play for 10 OVERS and just 4 Unders TY. The OVER is 7-1 in the Midshipmen L8 Conference games and 7-1 in the Bulls L8 at home. Take the OVER. Thank you.

Take UNDER in the SJ ST/SD ST game.

Games 313/314.

7:30 pm pst.

These two teams have played to 2 UNDERS the L2 years while both enter this matchup riding a 2-game UNDER streak. San Diego State is a running team that eats up a ton of clock. On defense, the Aztecs are allowing just 20.0 PPG and haven't allowed a MWC foe to score an offensive TD yet. The UNDER is 4-1 in the Spartans L5 games played in the month of October and 23-10 in the Aztecs L33 games played overall. Take the Under. Thank you.

Take the UNDER in the Mia/VT game.

This is my LVSM.

UNDER in Games 303/304.

4:00 pm pst.

Miami's offense has stalled, but their defense ranks 6th nationally, allowing a mere, 14.0 PPG. The fast and ferocious stop-unit held both FSU and UNC to just 20 points apiece the L2 weeks. With their offense sputtering and facing a Virginia Tech team that has revenge in their eyes, having lost the L2 (both UNDERS), this is an ideal UNDER spot. The UNDER is 10-3 the L13 meetings in this series. Take the UNDER. Thank you.

Alamo Bowl-January 2nd

OVER the Total

Game 277/278

3:45 pm pst

The Total opened up around 73 and (as of print) has risen to 78. These are two explosive offenses with the Horned Frogs averaging 41.7 PPG and the Ducks accounting for 43.2 PPG. TCU's Trevone Boykin (3574 YP) will exploit the 126th ranked pass defense of Oregon as the Ducks, Vernon Adams-led offense will light up the Horned Frogs "D" that has had problems against high-octane passing attacks. This game flies OVER.

OVER

Game 259, 260

5:00 pm pst

There is no doubt that these two teams are two of the nation's best. But there is a very low TOTAL here. Alabama and Derrick Henry will get their yards and put the ball in the endzone while MSU and Connor Cook will exploit the 'Bama weakness, which is their secondary. Both coaches know each other well as Dantonio was Saban's assistant for a while. This tells me that both will have a few surprises in store. Michigan State allowed 24 or more to Rutgers, Michigan, Indiana, and Nebraska while Alabama hasn't faced an offense this good since yielding 43 to Ole' Miss. The OVER is 5-1 in the Spartans L6 Bowls and 8-1 in the Tides L9 Bowls. Take the OVER. Thank you.

Take OVER.

1:00 pm pst

Game 261, 262

Both squads have combined to be an astounding 24-1 on the season and both possess explosive offenses. Clemson has DeShaun Watson (3517 YP, 30 TD's in the air and 887 YR and 11 TD's on the ground) and Wayne Gallman (1319 YR and 10 TD's) while Oklahoma has Baker Mayfield (3389 YP and 35 TD's) and RB, Samaje Perine (1291 YR and 15 TD's). Both play a very quick "blast 'em" type of "O" for big gains and quick scores. The Tigers have played to 7 OVERS in their L9 games and 8 of the Sooners L10 contests have gone OVER the Total. Take the OVER. Thank you.

St. Petersburg Bowl-Saturday December 26

UNDER

Both teams play very strong on the defensive side of the ball as Marshall allows just 18.4 PPG while Connecticut yields only 19.8 PPG. Both teams match up well against the other. The Thundering herd's games went 4-8 UNDER the Total and the Huskies went 2-10 UNDER the Tptal this season. Take the UNDER. Thank you.

Take UNDER in the Toledo/Bowling Green game (Game 301, 302 3:00 pm pst).

This is my MAC TOTAL OF THE MONTH.

Bowling Green already has the East berth locked up in the MAC Championship. Toledo is in a tough race. The Rockets have taken 5 in a row in this series, however, the L8 have all gone UNDER the Total. Toledo is UNDER 7 of 9 games this year while Bowling Green has played 4 UNDERS in their L7. Toledo has a much stronger "D", yielding just 18.8 PPG in 2015. Both offenses are well-balanced, but I look to see both utilizing the ground here to establish the pass. The UNDER is 4-0 the L4 meetings at BG, 14-6 in Toledo's L20 on the road, and 5-2 in Bowling Green's L7 in November. Take The UNDER. Thank you.

Play UNDER in the Army/Navy matchup (Game, 303 and 304).

Both teams rush for over 300 yards per game on the ground while both teams lack explosive passing games as they combine for an average of 76 yards per game in the air. Both the Army and Navy defenses hold opponents 200 hundred yards per game on the rushing, so they match up well here. Option vs. option attacks eat up a lot of time off the clock which tells me a low-scoring game is in the cards. History repeats itself as these teams have gone UNDER in the last eight meetings in this series. Take the under. Thank you.

Play Under (Game 107/108).
This is my PAC 12 Total of the Year.

The total has went up from 70 to74 here. The public is wrong. Each of the L3 meetings in this series has gone under the total. Oregon's L2 losses were to Arizona. The Wildcats match up and play well against the Ducks style. Both teams have precise defenses to slow down the others offensive units. Arizona has a rookie quarterback playing in his first championship game while Oregon is a bit banged up in their ground game. Take the Under. Thank you.