Brandon Lee Brandon Lee
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 22, 2017
Pelicans vs Lakers
Pelicans
-4 -107 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

50* NBA WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Pelicans -4) 

The public loves to back the Lakers and I feel we are getting some great value here with the Pelicans only laying 4-points against this team. All the hype with Lonzo Ball and his dad has everyone talking about LA making a playoff push in the west, but that's just not going to happen. New Orleans has the two best players on the floor and the Pelicans will be all business here after losing their first two. Lakers looked bad against the Clippers and barely held on against a bad Suns team. That win over Phoenix puts LA in a very favorable spot to fade, as home dogs off a close win by 3 points or less are just 43-66 (39%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Lakers are also just 14-30 ATS at home off a road win by 3 or less. New Orleans is a crazy 25-9 ATS under Gentry when playing on the road in the first half of the season. Give me the Pelicans -4! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Seahawks vs Giants
Seahawks
-3½ -110 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Free

10* FREE NFL PICK (Seahawks -3.5) 

The fact that the Giants dominated on the scoreboard, winning by 13 as a 13.5-point dog will have a lot of people second-guessing themselves when it comes to whether or not they should fade them again this week.

On top of that, the Seahawks haven’t exactly looked great so far, despite the fact that they are 3-2. I believe it’s actually created some value here on Seattle, as I think they have no problem winning by at least a touchdown in New York.

I believe the Giants caught the Broncos off guard, as a lot of people just thought this team would lay down after they lost both Odell Beckham Jr and Brandon Marshall. New York instead turned to their running game, rushing it a season-high 32 times. They piled on 148 yards against a Denver run defense that had been outstanding, which only strengthens my thought process that the Broncos just didn’t show up with the right mentality.

That’s not going to be the case with Seattle, who now has a good idea of what to expect from this new-look Giants offense. The Seahawks have routinely had one of the best defenses in the NFL and with the talent they have in the secondary, they will be able to load the box and take away that running game.

Another key factor here is that the Seahawks have a big scheduling advantage coming off their bye. That extra week to prepare and recharge the mind and body is huge this time of year. Not to mention the Seahawks have historically been a team that starts slow and turns it on about this time under Pete Carroll.

New York is also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after a straight up win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 after holding their previous opponent under 90 yards rushing. Seattle is 50-33 ATS after the first month of the season since Carroll took over as head coach and 10-4 against teams from the NFC East. Give me the Seahawks -3.5! 

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Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Bengals vs Steelers
Bengals
+5½ -110 at 5Dimes
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

50* AFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH (Bengals +5.5) 

For as well as the Steelers played against the Chiefs last week, there’s reason to be concerned that they only won by 6-points. Had it not been for what should have been an interception bouncing off a Chief player and into the hands of Antonio Brown, which he ran in for a TD, they actually might have lost that game.

While Le’Veon Bell was fantastic with 179 yards on 32 attempts, Ben Roethlisberger didn’t look great and hasn’t really played well in 2017. I think the Steelers offense is in for a long day here against a stingy Cincinnati defense. The Bengals come in ranked 2nd in the NFL, giving up just 262.8 ypg. They also have the 2nd best scoring defense, allowing only 16.6 ppg.

The run defense has been exceptional the past few weeks, which also coincided with return of star linebacker Vontaze Burfict, who missed the first 3 games with a suspension. Cincinnati has allowed just 63.7 ypg in their last 3, holding the Bills strong rushing attack to just 82 yards in their last game. I’m not saying they are going to shutdown Bell, but I think he has a hard time getting to 100 yards unless he breaks a big run.

It’s not just the defense that has come alive for the Bengals. Cincinnati’s offense has looked so much better since they fired offensive coordinator Ken Zampese and replaced him with Bill Lazor. Under Labor the Bengals are averaging 25.0 ppg and 346.3 ypg. Note they scored a combined 9 points and averaged just 258 yards/game under Zampese.

The other big key here is that Cincinnati is coming off a bye, which I believe should have this spread a lot closer to a field goal than a touchdown. The thing is, even though the Bengals are clearly on the rise, Pittsburgh is such a public team the books are going to take advantage of that an inflate the line. Give me the Bengals +5.5! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Titans vs Browns
Browns
+6 -110 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

40* NFL PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Browns +6) 

As difficult as it might be to stomach the Browns right now, I think there's enough value here to warrant a play on Cleveland. I don't think this team is going to go 0-16 like everyone thinks and the Titans haven't exactly played up to their potential this season. It's a spot they have been horrific against the number under Mularky. They are 3-11 ATS under him against teams with a losing record, 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs an opponent that gives up 24+ ppg and 0-6 ATS after a contest in which they gained 400+ yards. 

Cleveland's defense isn't as bad as the numbers would suggest, as turnovers by the offense have really put them in some bad spots.  They are actually allowing fewer yards than the Titans per game and are yielding just 3 yards/rush. Titans are a team that really relies on the running game, making this a good matchup. 

I also got a sneaky feeling we get a good game here out of rookie QB DeShone Kizer, who is getting another chance after he was bench thanks to the Kevin Hogan injury. Titans secondary is a good one for him to attack, as they are allowing opposing teams roughly 35 yards more game than they average on the year. Give me the Browns +6 and don't hate a little side action on the money line! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 22, 2017
Jets vs Dolphins
Dolphins
-3 -117 at BMaker
Tie
Play Type: Premium

40* NFL BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Dolphins -3) 

It’s not easy to beat the same team in your division twice in the same year. So while the Jets won by 14 at home over Miami in Week 3, I think this turns into a blowout the other way.

I’m still not buying into the Jets being as good as their 3-3 record would indicate. Outside of their win over the Dolphins at home, they beat the Browns on the road and snuck out an overtime win against the Jaguars at home. Sure they played New England tough, but that was at home. Outside of 3-point win at Cleveland, the road hasn’t been kind to New York, which lost by 9 at Buffalo in Week 1 and by 25 at Oakland in Week 2. Adding to this, is the fact that the Jets are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games and 0-5 in their last 5 vs a team with a winning home record.

I also think this is a big letdown spot for the Jets. They put everything they had into beating New England, who they despise. A loss that has to be tough to swallow given they were up 14-0, outgained the Patriots 408-375 and turned it over 3 times. Those are the kind of defeats that can be difficult to bounce back from, especially when going up against a team they beat without much problem just a few weeks ago.

The Miami offense hasn’t been very good to start the season, but that was to be expected after they just picked Jay Cutler up off the straight and made him their starter in the middle of training camp. I think they may have found something in the 2nd half of last week’s game against the Falcons, where they scored on all 4 possessions to overcome a 17-point halftime deficit. They should come out with a ton of confidence on that side of the ball this week.

The Jets are a miserable 0-6 ATS under head coach Todd Bowles in road games after playing their previous game against a division opponent and have lost these games by an average of 15.3 points. On the flip side of this, the Dolphins are a strong 18-7 ATS in their last 25 when revenging a road loss by 14 or more points. Give me the Dolphins -3! 

SERVICE BIO

Brandon Lee has grown up learning the ins and outs of the sports betting industry, and is well known for his ability to bring home consistent winners in every sport he handicaps. Being a successful handicapper requires a lot of work, something that Brandon really takes pride in. If you are serious about bringing home a profit, take the time to see what this handicapper has to offer. You won't be disappointed!aa