Stephen Nover Stephen Nover
I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.
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FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Jan 16, 2018
Pelicans vs. Celtics
Celtics
-4½ -105
  at  5DIMES
in 14h
Brad Stevens may be the best coach in the NBA with the possible exception of Gregg Popovich. So it's not a huge surprise the Celtics own the best point spread mark in the league at 27-15-2 (64%).  Boston has won seven in a row. The Celtics are extremely well rested having last played on Thursday in London and draw New Orleans with the spread opening smaller than I thought it would.  The Celtics' No. 1 ranked defense surrenders nearly 14 points fewer points per game than New Orleans. Boston catches the Pelicans off a big comeback overtime road victory against the Knicks this past Sunday. All but one of New Orleans' starters, Rajon Rondo, logged more than 44 minutes in that game. Anthony Davis played nearly 50 minutes. This marks the Pelicans' thrid game in five days. New Orleans is at Atlanta on Wednesday. So if his team falls far behind, Pelicans coach Alvin Gentry just may keep his starters out the rest of the way in order to rest them for tomorrow in a far more winnable situation.  This is just Boston's second game in 11 days. So perhaps there could be a rust factor. But I believe Stevens will have his team fresh, well-prepared and raring to play again. The Celtics have had four full days to recover since returning from London. They practiced on Saturday and Monday. The extened time off has allowed Al Horford and Jayson Tatum to recover from their knee injuries. Both are expected to play here.  Davis and DeMarcus Cousins can present matchup difficulties. Stevens has the coaching acumen and versatile roster to combat this, however. Think unsung center Aron Baynes. Stevens versus Gentry is a huge coaching mismatch in Boston's favor.  The Celtics have defeated the Pelicans in five of the last six meetings, including the past three at TD Garden.  (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is recognized as one of the top basketball 'cappers in the country with the record to prove it. Stephen is 135-99-5 on his last 239 NBA plays and is on a 63 percent college basketball run. Make sure not to miss any of Stephen's winners!)   
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Jan 15, 2018
Knicks vs Nets
UNDER 213 -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium
Both teams carry a high fatigue rating that isn't going to be helped playing at this early start time. That means tired jump shooters.  The Knicks are playing for the third time in four days, including going into overtime on Sunday. Kristaps Porzingis logged nearly 44 minutes yesterday. The Nets also are playing for the third time in four days.  The Nets have gone Under in seven of their last eight games.  This is a rivalry game, too, so the defensive intensity should be up. 
 
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Jan 15, 2018
Lakers vs Grizzlies
Grizzlies
-138 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium
The Lakers are fat and happy after opening their road trip with an overtime victory against the Mavericks this past Saturday.  The Grizzlies have been playing better. They are are 3-2 in their five home games, but off an 87-78 road loss to Denver. That game was on Friday and ended the Grizzlies' string of six straight games of scoring triple-digits. The Grizzlies were idle during the weekend and should be ready for this early-start MLK Day matchup.  Memphis is the stronger defensive club. The Grizzlies have defeated the Lakers the past six times at home.  The Lakers are playing for the fourth time in seven days. They won't be helped by an earlier start time than normal for them. LA also is banged-up as both Lonzo Ball and Brandon Ingram are questionable. 
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 15, 2018
Maryland vs Michigan
Maryland
+7 -105 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium
Maryland has had Michigan's number winning five of the last six times the teams have met, including a victory in Ann Arbor last season. The Terrapins catch the Wolverines off a huge 82-72 win against rival Michigan State this past Saturday. I doubt the Wolverines can regain their full intensity for this matchup following that huge win.  Maryland is out for redemption having suffered a 91-69 loss to Ohio State on Thursday. 
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Jan 15, 2018
Hornets vs Pistons
UNDER 205 -105 Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

Charlotte is averaging just 95 points in its last two games. The Hornets face a severe fatigue factor here playing for the third time in four days, which is made worse by this being a very early daytime start because of Martin Luther King Day.  So the Hornets are not going to have interest in running and their perimeter game could be off because of tired legs. This likely means a lot of standing around on offense watching Dwight Howard hog the ball inside and miss free throws. He's shooting less than 53 percent from the foul line.  The Pistons rank fifth defensively. Detroit has held its past four opponents at home to an average of 91 points per game. The teams met early in the season and the Pistons beat the Hornets, 102-90, at home.  
 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Jan 15, 2018
Hornets vs Pistons
Pistons
-150 at 5Dimes
Lost
$150.0
Play Type: Premium
Charlotte isn't a good road team. The Hornets have lost 13 of their 18 away contests. Charlotte is 2-11 versus .500 or better clubs when playing on the road. The Pistons are 13-5 at home.  Detroit is in a strong scheduling advantage here since this is an early start because of Martin Luther King Day. The Hornets ran out of gas on Saturday night after also playing on Friday. Now they're playing a very early Monday game making this their third game in four days. 
SERVICE BIO

Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 20 of 22 winning seasons.