Sports Watch Monitor Line Moves and Today’s Top Trends
Sports Watch Monitor Line Moves and Today’s Top Trends
By Doug Upstone
I find the choices sports bettors made for college football games very interesting in the first part of week. Be sure to review all the top trends which apply to today. Like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll. (247-195 L76D)
CFB – (123) VIRGINIA TECH at (124) WAKE FOREST12:30 ET W-ESPN
The combination of Virginia Tech upsetting Duke last week and Wake Forest inability to score has helped raise the Hokies from -14 to -15.5. Virginia Tech’s relentless defensive pressure led to all their points at Durham and the Demon Deacons are averaging an 11.7 PPG in ACC action. With the Hokies 4-0 SU and ATS against Wake Forest, hard to argue the adjustment. Betting Trend – 60 percent backing Virginia Tech
CFB – (147) NORTHWESTERN at (148) PURDUE 12:00 ET ESPNU
Those betting football are at least in part counting on the Notre Dame factor for Northwestern, as teams that upset the Irish are typically poor bets the following week. The Wildcats have dropped from -3 to -1 road favorites and there is also a perception Purdue is playing better at 4-2 ATS in conference play, however, those have all been as double digit underdogs. Betting Trend – 60 percent backing Purdue
CFB – (149) WEST. MICHIGAN at (150) CENT. MICHIGAN 1:00 ET W-ESPN
Both MAC universities are playing well which should make for entertaining contest. Western Michigan is the better team which is why they were made one-point favorites. The Broncos despite their 9-1 ATS record were flipped to one-digit underdogs with the key reason being their 2-8 SU and 3-5 record at Central Michigan. Know this, the SU winner is 8-0-1 ATS since 2005. Betting Trend – 64 percent backing Central Michigan
CFB – (165) UTSA at (166) WEST. KENTUCKY 12:00 ET FSN Affiliates
These are two C-USA squads on the opposite ends of the spectrum when it comes to offense and defense. Western Kentucky scores 41.6 PPG and allows 39.8 PPG. UT-San Antonio scores an abysmal 16.4 PPG and concedes 23.8 PPG. In football bettor’s minds, they are on the home team that scores and elevated the Hilltoppers two points to -10. Betting Trend – 96 percent backing Western Kentucky
CFB – (167) BOISE STATE at (168) WYOMING 10:15 ET ESPN2
As we have talked here all season, Boise State is not the same team as past years despite their record, not having as many quality athletes. Nonetheless, they are one 7-turnover game away from winning nine in a row, yet have tumbled from -14 to -12.5 at Wyoming. Here is one possible clue why – in common foes, the Broncos are +3 PPG and the Cowboys are +6 PPG. Betting Trend – 56 percent backing Boise State
CFB – (203) SMU at (204) CENTRAL FLORIDA 2:30 ET ESPN News
SMU took a 13-0 lead into the fourth quarter at home against South Florida but could not close the deal for their first win of 2014, falling 14-13. Generally speaking, the Mustangs have played better with 3-2 ATS mark of late. Yet, SMU is not generating any confidence among gamblers and are two-points to +27.5. In coach George O’Leary’s career, he is 12-3 ATS as a home favorite of 21.5 or more. Betting Trend – 91 percent backing Central Florida
io
CFB – (207) FRESNO STATE at (208) NEVADA 10:30 ET ESPNU
This is an important contest in the MWC West Division with the winner advancing to the conference title tilt. Nevada was posted as 8-point home favorite and has been bet up to 9.5. By nearly any measure, the Wolfpack are the better team, but Fresno State is 6-2 ATS in Reno and has won the last two outright. Betting Trend – 84 percent backing Nevada
Sports Watch Monitor Weighty Trends
NBA ATS Trend
New York is 5-17 ATS in November games the last two seasons.
NBA Totals Trend
Sacramento is 16-3 UNDER after four straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers the last two seasons.
CBB ATS Trend
Mid. Tenn. State is 11-0 ATS at home playing against a team with a losing record the last two seasons.
CBB Totals Trend
San Diego State is 11-1 UNDER in home games since season.
NHL Money Line Trend
Anaheim is 16-1 playing their third game in four days the last two seasons.
This website is monitored at the Sports Watch Monitor.
